@article{Hayashi
  title = {The contribution of climate change to increasing extreme ocean warming around Japan},
  author = { Hayashi, Michiya and Shiogama H. and Ogura T. },
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {49},
  pages = {e2022GL100785},
},
@article{Huard
  title = {Estimating the Likelihood of GHG Concentration Scenarios From Probabilistic Integrated Assessment Model Simulations},
  author = { Huard, David and Fyke, Jeremy and Capellán‐Pérez, Iñigo and Matthews, H. Damon and Partanen, Antti‐Ilari },
  url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2022EF002715},
  journal = {Earth's Future},
  volume = {10},
},
@article{Hayashi
  title = {Assessment of CMIP6-based future climate projections selected for impact studies in Japan},
  author = { Hayashi, Michiya and Shiogama, Hideo },
  url = {https://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/sola/18/0/18_2022-016/_article/-char/en},
  journal = {SOLA},
  volume = {18},
  pages = {96-103},
},
@article{Worou
  title = {Weakened impact of the Atlantic Niño on the future equatorial Atlantic and Guinea Coast rainfall},
  author = { Worou, Koffi and Goosse, Hugues and Fichefet, Thierry and Kucharski, Fred },
  url = {https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/13/231/2022/},
  journal = {Earth System Dynamics},
  volume = {13},
  pages = {231-249},
},
@article{T.H.J. Hermans
  title = {The Effect of Wind Stress on Seasonal Sea-Level Change on the Northwestern European Shelf},
  author = { T.H.J. Hermans and C.A. Katsman and C.M.L. Camargo and G.G. Garner and R.E. Kopp and A.B.A. Slangen },
  url = {https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/clim/35/6/JCLI-D-21-0636.1.xml?tab_body=supplementary-materials},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {35},
  pages = {1745-1759},
},
@article{Palmer
  title = {How does the CMIP6 ensemble change the picture for European climate projections?},
  author = { Palmer, T E and Booth, B B B and McSweeney, C F },
  url = {https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/ac1ed9},
  journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
  volume = {16},
  pages = {094042},
},
@article{Anstey
  title = {Prospect of Increased Disruption to the QBO in a Changing Climate},
  author = { Anstey, James A. and Banyard, Timothy P. and Butchart, Neal and Coy, Lawrence and Newman, Paul A. and Osprey, Scott and Wright, Corwin J. },
  url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2021GL093058},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {48},
},
@article{Rashid
  title = {Diverse Responses of Global‐Mean Surface Temperature to External Forcings and Internal Climate Variability in Observations and CMIP6 Models},
  author = { Rashid, Harun A. },
  url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2021GL093194},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {48},
},
@article{von der Gathen
  title = {Climate change favours large seasonal loss of Arctic ozone},
  author = { von der Gathen, Peter and Kivi, Rigel and Wohltmann, Ingo and Salawitch, Ross J. and Rex, Markus },
  url = {https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-021-24089-6},
  journal = {Nature Communications},
  volume = {12},
},
@article{Lim Kam Sian
  title = {Multi-Decadal Variability and Future Changes in Precipitation over Southern Africa},
  author = { Lim Kam Sian, Kenny Thiam Choy and Wang, Jianhong and Ayugi, Brian Odhiambo and Nooni, Isaac Kwesi and Ongoma, Victor },
  url = {https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/12/6/742},
  journal = {Atmosphere},
  volume = {12},
  pages = {742},
},
@article{Kajtar
  title = {CMIP5 Intermodel Relationships in the Baseline Southern Ocean Climate System and With Future Projections},
  author = { Kajtar, Jules B. and Santoso, Agus and Collins, Matthew and Taschetto, Andréa S. and England, Matthew H. and Frankcombe, Leela M. },
  url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2020EF001873},
  journal = {Earth's Future},
  volume = {9},
},
@article{Purich
  title = {Historical and Future Projected Warming of Antarctic Shelf Bottom Water in CMIP6 Models},
  author = { Purich, Ariaan and England, Matthew H. },
  url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2021GL092752},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {48},
},
@article{McBride
  title = {Comparison of CMIP6 historical climate simulations and future projected warming to an empirical model of global climate},
  author = { McBride, Laura A. and Hope, Austin P. and Canty, Timothy P. and Bennett, Brian F. and Tribett, Walter R. and Salawitch, Ross J. },
  url = {https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/12/545/2021/},
  journal = {Earth System Dynamics},
  volume = {12},
  pages = {545-579},
},
@article{Koch
  title = {Earth System Models Are Not Capturing Present‐Day Tropical Forest Carbon Dynamics},
  author = { Koch, Alexander and Hubau, Wannes and Lewis, Simon L. },
  url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2020EF001874},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {9},
},
@article{Nicholls
  title = {Regionally aggregated, stitched and de‐drifted CMIP‐climate data, processed with netCDF‐SCM v2.0.0},
  author = { Nicholls, Zebedee and Lewis, Jared and Makin, Melissa and Nattala, Usha and Zhang, Geordie Z. and Mutch, Simon J. and Tescari, Edoardo and Meinshausen, Malte },
  url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/gdj3.113},
  journal = {Geoscience Data Journal},
},
@article{Sledd
  title = {Uncertainty in Forced and Natural Arctic Solar Absorption Variations in CMIP6 Models},
  author = { Sledd, Anne and L’Ecuyer, Tristan },
  url = {https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/clim/34/3/JCLI-D-20-0244.1.xml},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {34},
  pages = {931-948},
},
@article{Hayashi
  title = {The northwestern Pacific warming record in August 2020 occurred under anthropogenic forcing},
  author = { Hayashi, Michiya and Shiogama H. and Emori S. and Ogura T. and Hirota N. },
  url = {https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1029/2020GL090956},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {48},
  pages = {e2020GL090956},
},
@article{Ribes
  title = {Making climate projections conditional on historical observations},
  author = { Ribes, Aurélien and Qasmi, Saïd and Gillett, Nathan P. },
  url = {https://advances.sciencemag.org/content/7/4/eabc0671},
  journal = {Science Advances},
  volume = {7},
  pages = {eabc0671},
},
@article{Ombadi
  title = {Retrospective Analysis and Bayesian Model Averaging of CMIP6 Precipitation in the Nile River Basin},
  author = { Ombadi, Mohammed and Nguyen, Phu and Sorooshian, Soroosh and Hsu, Kuo-lin },
  url = {https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/hydr/22/1/jhm-d-20-0157.1.xml},
  journal = {Journal of Hydrometeorology},
  volume = {22},
  pages = {217-229},
},
@article{McKenna
  title = {Stringent mitigation substantially reduces risk of unprecedented near-term warming rates},
  author = { McKenna, C. M. and Maycock, A. C. and Forster, P. M. and Smith, C. J. and Tokarska, K. B. },
  url = {https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-020-00957-9},
  journal = {Nature Climate Change},
  volume = {11},
  pages = {126-131},
},
@article{Diamond
  title = {Substantial Cloud Brightening From Shipping in Subtropical Low Clouds},
  author = { Diamond, Michael S. and Director, Hannah M. and Eastman, Ryan and Possner, Anna and Wood, Robert },
  url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2019AV000111},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {1},
},