@article{Verniest
title = {Anticipating the effects of climate warming and natural habitat conversion on waterbird communities to address protection gaps},
author = {
Verniest, Fabien
and Le Viol, Isabelle
and Julliard, Romain
and Dami, Laura
and Guelmami, Anis
and Suet, Marie
and Abdou, Wed
and Azafzaf, Hichem
and Bendjedda, Nadjiba
and Bino, Taulant
and Borg, John J.
and Božič, Luka
and Dakki, Mohamed
and El Hamoumi, Rhimou
and Encarnação, Vitor
and Erciyas-Yavuz, Kiraz
and Etayeb, Khaled
and Georgiev, Valeri
and Hamada, Ayman
and Hatzofe, Ohad
and Ieronymidou, Christina
and Langendoen, Tom
and Mikuska, Tibor
and Molina, Blas
and Moniz, Filipe
and Moussy, Caroline
and Ouassou, Asmaâ
and Petkov, Nicky
and Portolou, Danae
and Qaneer, Tareq
and Sayoud, Samir
and Šćiban, Marko
and Topić, Goran
and Uzunova, Danka
and Vine, Gal
and Vizi, Andrej
and Xeka, Erald
and Zenatello, Marco
and Gaget, Elie
and Galewski, Thomas
},
url = {https://linkinghub.elsevier.com/retrieve/pii/S0006320723000393},
journal = {Biological Conservation},
volume = {279},
pages = {109939},
}
,@article{Verniest
title = {Coupling future climate and land‐use projections reveals where to strengthen the protection of Mediterranean Key Biodiversity Areas},
author = {
Verniest, Fabien
and Galewski, Thomas
and Julliard, Romain
and Guelmami, Anis
and Le Viol, Isabelle
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/csp2.12807},
journal = {Conservation Science and Practice},
}
,@article{Hayashi
title = {The contribution of climate change to increasing extreme ocean warming around Japan},
author = {
Hayashi, Michiya
and Shiogama H.
and Ogura T.
},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {49},
pages = {e2022GL100785},
}
,@article{Chan
title = {Heatwave–blocking relation change likely dominates over decrease in blocking frequency under global warming},
author = {
Chan, Pak Wah
and Catto, Jennifer L.
and Collins, Matthew
},
url = {https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-022-00290-2},
journal = {npj Climate and Atmospheric Science},
volume = {5},
}
,@article{Koshiro
title = {Estimated cloud-top entrainment index explains positive low-cloud-cover feedback},
author = {
Koshiro, Tsuyoshi
and Kawai, Hideaki
and Noda, Akira T.
},
url = {https://pnas.org/doi/full/10.1073/pnas.2200635119},
journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences},
volume = {119},
}
,@article{Hayashi
title = {Assessment of CMIP6-based future climate projections selected for impact studies in Japan},
author = {
Hayashi, Michiya
and Shiogama, Hideo
},
url = {https://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/sola/18/0/18_2022-016/_article/-char/en},
journal = {SOLA},
volume = {18},
pages = {96-103},
}
,@article{Kajtar
title = {Tropical western and central Pacific marine heatwave data calculated from gridded sea surface temperature observations and CMIP6},
author = {
Kajtar, Jules B.
and Hernaman, Vanessa
and Holbrook, Neil J.
and Petrelli, Paola
},
url = {https://linkinghub.elsevier.com/retrieve/pii/S2352340921009690},
journal = {Data in Brief},
volume = {40},
pages = {107694},
}
,@article{Worou
title = {Weakened impact of the Atlantic Niño on the future equatorial Atlantic and Guinea Coast rainfall},
author = {
Worou, Koffi
and Goosse, Hugues
and Fichefet, Thierry
and Kucharski, Fred
},
url = {https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/13/231/2022/},
journal = {Earth System Dynamics},
volume = {13},
pages = {231-249},
}
,@article{Holbrook
title = {Impacts of marine heatwaves on tropical western and central Pacific Island nations and their communities},
author = {
Holbrook, Neil J.
and Hernaman, Vanessa
and Koshiba, Shirley
and Lako, Jimaima
and Kajtar, Jules B.
and Amosa, Patila
and Singh, Awnesh
},
url = {https://linkinghub.elsevier.com/retrieve/pii/S0921818121002654},
journal = {Global and Planetary Change},
volume = {208},
pages = {103680},
}
,@article{T.H.J. Hermans
title = {The Effect of Wind Stress on Seasonal Sea-Level Change on the Northwestern European Shelf},
author = {
T.H.J. Hermans
and C.A. Katsman
and C.M.L. Camargo
and G.G. Garner
and R.E. Kopp
and A.B.A. Slangen
},
url = {https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/clim/35/6/JCLI-D-21-0636.1.xml?tab_body=supplementary-materials},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
volume = {35},
pages = {1745-1759},
}
,@article{Lalande
title = {Climate change in the High Mountain Asia in CMIP6},
author = {
Lalande, Mickaël
and Ménégoz, Martin
and Krinner, Gerhard
and Naegeli, Kathrin
and Wunderle, Stefan
},
url = {https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/12/1061/2021/},
journal = {Earth System Dynamics},
volume = {12},
pages = {1061-1098},
}
,@misc{Kajtar
title = {Tasmanian region daily sea surface temperature from observations and CMIP6 models},
author = {
Kajtar, Jules B.
},
year = {2021},
}
,@article{Martin Mohrmann
title = {Southern Ocean polynyas in CMIP6 models},
author = {
Martin Mohrmann
and Céline Heuzé
and Sebastiaan Swart
},
journal = {The Cryosphere},
}
,@article{Palmer
title = {How does the CMIP6 ensemble change the picture for European climate projections?},
author = {
Palmer, T E
and Booth, B B B
and McSweeney, C F
},
url = {https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/ac1ed9},
journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
volume = {16},
pages = {094042},
}
,@article{Ahmed
title = {A Process‐Oriented Diagnostic to Assess Precipitation‐Thermodynamic Relations and Application to CMIP6 Models},
author = {
Ahmed, Fiaz
and Neelin, J. David
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2021GL094108},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {48},
}
,@article{Rashid
title = {Diverse Responses of Global‐Mean Surface Temperature to External Forcings and Internal Climate Variability in Observations and CMIP6 Models},
author = {
Rashid, Harun A.
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2021GL093194},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {48},
}
,@article{von der Gathen
title = {Climate change favours large seasonal loss of Arctic ozone},
author = {
von der Gathen, Peter
and Kivi, Rigel
and Wohltmann, Ingo
and Salawitch, Ross J.
and Rex, Markus
},
url = {https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-021-24089-6},
journal = {Nature Communications},
volume = {12},
}
,@article{Xin
title = {Impact of Higher Resolution on Precipitation over China in CMIP6 HighResMIP Models},
author = {
Xin, Xiaoge
and Wu, Tongwen
and Jie, Weihua
and Zhang, Jie
},
url = {https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/12/6/762},
journal = {Atmosphere},
volume = {12},
pages = {762},
}
,@article{Lim Kam Sian
title = {Multi-Decadal Variability and Future Changes in Precipitation over Southern Africa},
author = {
Lim Kam Sian, Kenny Thiam Choy
and Wang, Jianhong
and Ayugi, Brian Odhiambo
and Nooni, Isaac Kwesi
and Ongoma, Victor
},
url = {https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/12/6/742},
journal = {Atmosphere},
volume = {12},
pages = {742},
}
,@article{Crawford
title = {Arctic open-water periods are projected to lengthen dramatically by 2100},
author = {
Crawford, Alex
and Stroeve, Julienne
and Smith, Abigail
and Jahn, Alexandra
},
url = {https://www.nature.com/articles/s43247-021-00183-x},
journal = {Other},
volume = {2},
}
,@article{Kajtar
title = {CMIP5 Intermodel Relationships in the Baseline Southern Ocean Climate System and With Future Projections},
author = {
Kajtar, Jules B.
and Santoso, Agus
and Collins, Matthew
and Taschetto, Andréa S.
and England, Matthew H.
and Frankcombe, Leela M.
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2020EF001873},
journal = {Earth's Future},
volume = {9},
}
,@article{Purich
title = {Historical and Future Projected Warming of Antarctic Shelf Bottom Water in CMIP6 Models},
author = {
Purich, Ariaan
and England, Matthew H.
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2021GL092752},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {48},
}
,@article{Beverley
title = {Future Changes to El Niño Teleconnections over the North Pacific and North America},
author = {
Beverley, Jonathan D.
and Collins, Matthew
and Lambert, F. Hugo
and Chadwick, Robin
},
url = {https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/clim/aop/JCLI-D-20-0877.1/JCLI-D-20-0877.1.xml},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
pages = {1-43},
}
,@article{McBride
title = {Comparison of CMIP6 historical climate simulations and future projected warming to an empirical model of global climate},
author = {
McBride, Laura A.
and Hope, Austin P.
and Canty, Timothy P.
and Bennett, Brian F.
and Tribett, Walter R.
and Salawitch, Ross J.
},
url = {https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/12/545/2021/},
journal = {Earth System Dynamics},
volume = {12},
pages = {545-579},
}
,@article{Sohail
title = {Fifty Year Trends in Global Ocean Heat Content Traced to Surface Heat Fluxes in the Sub‐Polar Ocean},
author = {
Sohail, Taimoor
and Irving, Damien B.
and Zika, Jan D.
and Holmes, Ryan M.
and Church, John A.
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2020GL091439},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {48},
}
,@article{Watters
title = {The Diurnal Cycle of Precipitation According to Multiple Decades of Global Satellite Observations, Three CMIP6 Models, and the ECMWF Reanalysis},
author = {
Watters, Daniel
and Battaglia, Alessandro
and Allan, Richard P.
},
url = {https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/clim/aop/JCLI-D-20-0966.1/JCLI-D-20-0966.1.xml},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
pages = {1-58},
}
,@article{Zanowski
title = {Arctic Ocean freshwater in CMIP6 Ensembles: Declining Sea Ice, Increasing Ocean Storage and Export},
author = {
Zanowski, Hannah
and Jahn, Alexandra
and Holland, Marika M.
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2020JC016930},
journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans},
}
,@article{Gillett
title = {Constraining human contributions to observed warming since the pre-industrial period},
author = {
Gillett, Nathan P.
and Kirchmeier-Young, Megan
and Ribes, Aurélien
and Shiogama, Hideo
and Hegerl, Gabriele C.
and Knutti, Reto
and Gastineau, Guillaume
and John, Jasmin G.
and Li, Lijuan
and Nazarenko, Larissa
and Rosenbloom, Nan
and Seland, Øyvind
and Wu, Tongwen
and Yukimoto, Seiji
and Ziehn, Tilo
},
url = {https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-020-00965-9},
journal = {Nature Climate Change},
volume = {11},
pages = {207-212},
}
,@article{Nicholls
title = {Regionally aggregated, stitched and de‐drifted CMIP‐climate data, processed with netCDF‐SCM v2.0.0},
author = {
Nicholls, Zebedee
and Lewis, Jared
and Makin, Melissa
and Nattala, Usha
and Zhang, Geordie Z.
and Mutch, Simon J.
and Tescari, Edoardo
and Meinshausen, Malte
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/gdj3.113},
journal = {Geoscience Data Journal},
}
,@article{Douville
title = {Fast adjustment versus slow SST-mediated response of daily precipitation statistics to abrupt 4xCO2},
author = {
Douville, Hervé
and John, A.
},
url = {https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-020-05522-w},
journal = {Climate Dynamics},
volume = {56},
pages = {1083-1104},
}
,@article{Tang
title = {Evaluating Diurnal and Semi-Diurnal Cycle of Precipitation in CMIP6 Models Using Satellite- and Ground-Based Observations},
author = {
Tang, Shuaiqi
and Gleckler, Peter
and Xie, Shaocheng
and Lee, Jiwoo
and Ahn, Min-Seop
and Covey, Curt
and Zhang, Chengzhu
},
url = {https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/clim/aop/JCLI-D-20-0639.1/JCLI-D-20-0639.1.xml},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
pages = {1-56},
}
,@article{Watterson
title = {Analysis of CMIP6 atmospheric moisture fluxes and the implications for projections of future change in mean and heavy rainfall},
author = {
Watterson, Ian G.
and Keane, Richard J.
and Dix, Martin
and Ziehn, Tilo
and Andrews, Timothy
and Tang, Yongming
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/joc.6777},
journal = {International Journal of Climatology},
volume = {41 (S1)},
pages = {E1417-E1434},
}
,@article{Hayashi
title = {The northwestern Pacific warming record in August 2020 occurred under anthropogenic forcing},
author = {
Hayashi, Michiya
and Shiogama H.
and Emori S.
and Ogura T.
and Hirota N.
},
url = {https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1029/2020GL090956},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {48},
pages = {e2020GL090956},
}
,@article{Ribes
title = {Making climate projections conditional on historical observations},
author = {
Ribes, Aurélien
and Qasmi, Saïd
and Gillett, Nathan P.
},
url = {https://advances.sciencemag.org/content/7/4/eabc0671},
journal = {Science Advances},
volume = {7},
pages = {eabc0671},
}
,@article{Halder
title = {Assessment of CMIP6 models' skill for tropical Indian Ocean sea surface temperature variability},
author = {
Halder, Subrota
and Parekh, Anant
and Chowdary, Jasti S.
and Gnanaseelan, Chellappan
and Kulkarni, Ashwini
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/joc.6975},
journal = {International Journal of Climatology},
}
,@article{McKenna
title = {Stringent mitigation substantially reduces risk of unprecedented near-term warming rates},
author = {
McKenna, C. M.
and Maycock, A. C.
and Forster, P. M.
and Smith, C. J.
and Tokarska, K. B.
},
url = {https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-020-00957-9},
journal = {Nature Climate Change},
volume = {11},
pages = {126-131},
}
,@article{Xin
title = {Comparison of CMIP6 and CMIP5 simulations of precipitation in China and the East Asian summer monsoon},
author = {
Xin, Xiaoge
and Wu, Tongwen
and Zhang, Jie
and Yao, Junchen
and Fang, Yongjie
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/joc.6590},
journal = {International Journal of Climatology},
volume = {40},
pages = {6423-6440},
}
,@article{Douville
title = {Drivers of the enhanced decline of land near-surface relative humidity to abrupt 4xCO2 in CNRM-CM6-1},
author = {
Douville, Hervé
and Decharme, B.
and Delire, C.
and Colin, J.
and Joetzjer, E.
and Roehrig, R.
and Saint-Martin, D.
and Oudar, T.
and Stchepounoff, R.
and Voldoire, A.
},
url = {https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-020-05351-x},
journal = {Climate Dynamics},
volume = {55},
pages = {1613-1629},
}
,@article{Hayashi
title = {Dynamics for El Niño-La Niña asymmetry constrain equatorial-Pacific warming pattern},
author = {
Hayashi, Michiya
and Jin, Fei-Fei
and Stuecker, Malte F.
},
url = {https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-020-17983-y},
journal = {Other},
volume = {11},
pages = {4230},
}
,@article{Irving
title = {A Mass and Energy Conservation Analysis of Drift in the CMIP6 Ensemble},
author = {
Irving, Damien
and Hobbs, Will
and Church, John
and Zika, Jan
},
url = {https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0281.1},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
pages = {1-43},
}
,@article{Shi
title = {Climate Sensitivity and Feedbacks of BCC-CSM to Idealized CO2 Forcing from CMIP5 to CMIP6},
author = {
Shi, Xueli
and Chen, Xiaolong
and Dai, Yunwei
and Hu, Guoquan
and Rong, Xinyao
and Xin, Yufei
and Chen, Haoming
and Su, Jingzhi
},
url = {https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s13351-020-9204-9},
journal = {Other},
volume = {34},
pages = {865-878},
}
,@article{Cannon
title = {Reductions in daily continental-scale atmospheric circulation biases between generations of global climate models: CMIP5 to CMIP6},
author = {
Cannon, Alex J
},
url = {https://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab7e4f},
journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
volume = {15},
pages = {064006},
}
,@article{Tian
title = {The Double‐ITCZ Bias in CMIP3, CMIP5, and CMIP6 Models Based on Annual Mean Precipitation},
author = {
Tian, Baijun
and Dong, Xinyu
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1029/2020GL087232},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {47},
}
,@article{Tsutsui
title = {Diagnosing Transient Response to CO 2 Forcing in Coupled Atmosphere‐Ocean Model Experiments Using a Climate Model Emulator},
author = {
Tsutsui, Junichi
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2019GL085844},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {47},
}
,@article{Oudar
title = {Robustness and drivers of the Northern Hemisphere extratropical atmospheric circulation response to a CO$$_2$$-induced warming in CNRM-CM6-1},
author = {
Oudar, Thomas
and Cattiaux, Julien
and Douville, Hervé
and Geoffroy, Olivier
and Saint-Martin, David
and Roehrig, Romain
},
url = {https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-019-05113-4},
journal = {Climate Dynamics},
volume = {54},
pages = {2267-2285},
}
,@article{Voldoire
title = {Evaluation of CMIP6 DECK Experiments With CNRM‐CM6‐1},
author = {
Voldoire, A.
and Saint‐Martin, D.
and Sénési, S.
and Decharme, B.
and Alias, A.
and Chevallier, M.
and Colin, J.
and Guérémy, J.‐F.
and Michou, M.
and Moine, M.‐P.
and Nabat, P.
and Roehrig, R.
and Salas y Mélia, D.
and Séférian, R.
and Valcke, S.
and Beau, I.
and Belamari, S.
and Berthet, S.
and Cassou, C.
and Cattiaux, J.
and Deshayes, J.
and Douville, H.
and Ethé, C.
and Franchistéguy, L.
and Geoffroy, O.
and Lévy, C.
and Madec, G.
and Meurdesoif, Y.
and Msadek, R.
and Ribes, A.
and Sanchez‐Gomez, E.
and Terray, L.
and Waldman, R.
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1029/2019MS001683},
journal = {Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems},
volume = {11},
pages = {2177-2213},
}
,