@conference{Herman
  title = {Spatiotemporal Causal Effect Estimation},
  author = { Herman, Rebecca Jean and Runge, Jakob },
  year = {2024},
},
@article{Herman
  title = {Drivers of low-frequency Sahel precipitation variability: comparing CMIP5 and CMIP6 ensemble means with observations},
  author = { Herman, Rebecca Jean and Biasutti, Michela and Kushnir, Yochanan },
  url = {https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-023-06755-1},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {61},
  pages = {4449-4470},
},
@article{Anne L. Morée
  title = {Impact of deoxygenation and warming on global marine species in the 21st century},
  author = { Anne L. Morée and Thomas L. Frölicher and Tayler M. Clarke and William W. L. Cheung },
  journal = {Biogeosciences},
},
@article{Hayashi
  title = {The contribution of climate change to increasing extreme ocean warming around Japan},
  author = { Hayashi, Michiya and Shiogama H. and Ogura T. },
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {49},
  pages = {e2022GL100785},
},
@article{Huard
  title = {Estimating the Likelihood of GHG Concentration Scenarios From Probabilistic Integrated Assessment Model Simulations},
  author = { Huard, David and Fyke, Jeremy and Capellán‐Pérez, Iñigo and Matthews, H. Damon and Partanen, Antti‐Ilari },
  url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2022EF002715},
  journal = {Earth's Future},
  volume = {10},
},
@article{Mackallah
  title = {ACCESS datasets for CMIP6: methodology and idealised experiments},
  author = { Mackallah, C. and Chamberlain, M. A. and Law, R. M. and Dix, M. and Ziehn, T. and Bi, D. and Bodman, R. and Brown, J. R. and Dobrohotoff, P. and Druken, K. and Evans, B. and Harman, I. N. and Hayashida, H. and Holmes, R. and Kiss, A. E. and Lenton, A. and Liu, Y. and Marsland, S. and Meissner, K. and Menviel, L. and O’Farrell, S. and Rashid, H. A. and Ridzwan, S. and Savita, A. and Srbinovsky, J. and Sullivan, A. and Trenham, C. and Vohralik, P. F. and Wang, Y.-P. and Williams, G. and Woodhouse, M. T. and Yeung, N. },
  url = {https://www.publish.csiro.au/?paper=ES21031},
  journal = {Journal of Southern Hemisphere Earth Systems Science},
},
@article{T.H.J. Hermans
  title = {The Effect of Wind Stress on Seasonal Sea-Level Change on the Northwestern European Shelf},
  author = { T.H.J. Hermans and C.A. Katsman and C.M.L. Camargo and G.G. Garner and R.E. Kopp and A.B.A. Slangen },
  url = {https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/clim/35/6/JCLI-D-21-0636.1.xml?tab_body=supplementary-materials},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {35},
  pages = {1745-1759},
},
@article{Hua
  title = {Reconciling Human and Natural Drivers of the Tripole Pattern of Multidecadal Summer Temperature Variations Over Eurasia},
  author = { Hua, Wenjian and Qin, Minhua and Dai, Aiguo and Zhou, Liming and Chen, Haishan and Zhang, Wanxin },
  url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2021GL093971},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {48},
},
@article{Beverley
  title = {Future Changes to El Niño Teleconnections over the North Pacific and North America},
  author = { Beverley, Jonathan D. and Collins, Matthew and Lambert, F. Hugo and Chadwick, Robin },
  url = {https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/clim/aop/JCLI-D-20-0877.1/JCLI-D-20-0877.1.xml},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  pages = {1-43},
},
@article{McBride
  title = {Comparison of CMIP6 historical climate simulations and future projected warming to an empirical model of global climate},
  author = { McBride, Laura A. and Hope, Austin P. and Canty, Timothy P. and Bennett, Brian F. and Tribett, Walter R. and Salawitch, Ross J. },
  url = {https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/12/545/2021/},
  journal = {Earth System Dynamics},
  volume = {12},
  pages = {545-579},
},
@article{Sohail
  title = {Fifty Year Trends in Global Ocean Heat Content Traced to Surface Heat Fluxes in the Sub‐Polar Ocean},
  author = { Sohail, Taimoor and Irving, Damien B. and Zika, Jan D. and Holmes, Ryan M. and Church, John A. },
  url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2020GL091439},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {48},
},
@article{Melnikova
  title = {Carbon Cycle Response to Temperature Overshoot Beyond 2°C: An Analysis of CMIP6 Models},
  author = { Melnikova, I. and Boucher, O. and Cadule, P. and Ciais, P. and Gasser, T. and Quilcaille, Y. and Shiogama, H. and Tachiiri, K. and Yokohata, T. and Tanaka, K. },
  url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2020EF001967},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {9},
},
@article{Revell
  title = {Atmosphere‐Ocean Feedback From Wind‐Driven Sea Spray Aerosol Production},
  author = { Revell, L. E. and Wotherspoon, N. E. and Jones, O. J. and Bhatti, Y. A. and Williams, J. H. T. and Mackie, S. L. and Mulcahy, J. P. },
  url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2020GL091900},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {48},
},
@article{Goyal
  title = {Historical and Projected Changes in the Southern Hemisphere Surface Westerlies},
  author = { Goyal, Rishav and Sen Gupta, Alex and Jucker, Martin and England, Matthew H. },
  url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2020GL090849},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {48},
},
@article{Nicholls
  title = {Regionally aggregated, stitched and de‐drifted CMIP‐climate data, processed with netCDF‐SCM v2.0.0},
  author = { Nicholls, Zebedee and Lewis, Jared and Makin, Melissa and Nattala, Usha and Zhang, Geordie Z. and Mutch, Simon J. and Tescari, Edoardo and Meinshausen, Malte },
  url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/gdj3.113},
  journal = {Geoscience Data Journal},
},
@article{Douville
  title = {Fast adjustment versus slow SST-mediated response of daily precipitation statistics to abrupt 4xCO2},
  author = { Douville, Hervé and John, A. },
  url = {https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-020-05522-w},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {56},
  pages = {1083-1104},
},
@article{Zhang
  title = {BCC-ESM1 Model Datasets for the CMIP6 Aerosol Chemistry Model Intercomparison Project (AerChemMIP)},
  author = { Zhang, Jie and Wu, Tongwen and Zhang, Fang and Furtado, Kalli and Xin, Xiaoge and Shi, Xueli and Li, Jianglong and Chu, Min and Zhang, Li and Liu, Qianxia and Yan, Jinghui and Wei, Min and Ma, Qiang },
  url = {https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00376-020-0151-2},
  journal = {Advances in Atmospheric Sciences},
  volume = {38},
  pages = {317-328},
},
@article{Thornhill
  title = {Climate-driven chemistry and aerosol feedbacks in CMIP6 Earth system models},
  author = { Thornhill, Gillian and Collins, William and Olivié, Dirk and Skeie, Ragnhild B. and Archibald, Alex and Bauer, Susanne and Checa-Garcia, Ramiro and Fiedler, Stephanie and Folberth, Gerd and Gjermundsen, Ada and Horowitz, Larry and Lamarque, Jean-Francois and Michou, Martine and Mulcahy, Jane and Nabat, Pierre and Naik, Vaishali and O'Connor, Fiona M. and Paulot, Fabien and Schulz, Michael and Scott, Catherine E. and Séférian, Roland and Smith, Chris and Takemura, Toshihiko and Tilmes, Simone and Tsigaridis, Kostas and Weber, James },
  url = {https://acp.copernicus.org/articles/21/1105/2021/},
  journal = {Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics},
  volume = {21},
  pages = {1105-1126},
},
@article{Hayashi
  title = {The northwestern Pacific warming record in August 2020 occurred under anthropogenic forcing},
  author = { Hayashi, Michiya and Shiogama H. and Emori S. and Ogura T. and Hirota N. },
  url = {https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1029/2020GL090956},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {48},
  pages = {e2020GL090956},
},
@article{Ribes
  title = {Making climate projections conditional on historical observations},
  author = { Ribes, Aurélien and Qasmi, Saïd and Gillett, Nathan P. },
  url = {https://advances.sciencemag.org/content/7/4/eabc0671},
  journal = {Science Advances},
  volume = {7},
  pages = {eabc0671},
},
@article{van Noije
  title = {EC-Earth3-AerChem, a global climate model with interactive aerosolsand atmospheric chemistry participating in CMIP6},
  author = { van Noije, Twan and Bergman, Tommi and Le Sager, Philippe and O'Donnell, Declan and Makkonen, Risto and Gonçalves-Ageitos, María and Döscher, Ralf and Fladrich, Uwe and von Hardenberg, Jost and Keskinen, Jukka-Pekka and Korhonen, Hannele and Laakso, Anton and Myriokefalitakis, Stelios and Ollinaho, Pirkka and Pérez García-Pando, Carlos and Reerink, Thomas and Schrödner, Roland and Wyser, Klaus and Yang, Shuting },
  url = {https://gmd.copernicus.org/preprints/gmd-2020-413/},
  journal = {Geoscientific Model Development},
},
@article{McKenna
  title = {Stringent mitigation substantially reduces risk of unprecedented near-term warming rates},
  author = { McKenna, C. M. and Maycock, A. C. and Forster, P. M. and Smith, C. J. and Tokarska, K. B. },
  url = {https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-020-00957-9},
  journal = {Nature Climate Change},
  volume = {11},
  pages = {126-131},
},
@article{Qin
  title = {Quantifying Contributions of Internal Variability and External Forcing to Atlantic Multidecadal Variability Since 1870},
  author = { Qin, Minhua and Dai, Aiguo and Hua, Wenjian },
  url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2020GL089504},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {47},
},
@article{Bi
  title = {Configuration and spin-up of ACCESS-CM2, the new generation Australian Community Climate and Earth System Simulator Coupled Model},
  author = { Bi, Daohua and Dix, Martin and Marsland, Simon and O'Farrell, Siobhan and Sullivan, Arnold and Bodman, Roger and Law, Rachel and Harman, Ian and Srbinovsky, Jhan and Rashid, Harun A. and Dobrohotoff, Peter and Mackallah, Chloe and Yan, Hailin and Hirst, Anthony and Savita, Abhishek and Dias, Fabio Boeira and Woodhouse, Matthew and Fiedler, Russell and Heerdegen, Aidan },
  url = {https://www.publish.csiro.au/?paper=ES19040},
  journal = {Journal of Southern Hemisphere Earth Systems Science},
  volume = {70},
  pages = {225},
},
@article{Douville
  title = {Drivers of the enhanced decline of land near-surface relative humidity to abrupt 4xCO2 in CNRM-CM6-1},
  author = { Douville, Hervé and Decharme, B. and Delire, C. and Colin, J. and Joetzjer, E. and Roehrig, R. and Saint-Martin, D. and Oudar, T. and Stchepounoff, R. and Voldoire, A. },
  url = {https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-020-05351-x},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {55},
  pages = {1613-1629},
},
@article{Burrows
  title = {The DOE E3SM v1.1 Biogeochemistry Configuration: Description and Simulated Ecosystem‐Climate Responses to Historical Changes in Forcing},
  author = { Burrows, S. M. and Maltrud, M. and Yang, X. and Zhu, Q. and Jeffery, N. and Shi, X. and Ricciuto, D. and Wang, S. and Bisht, G. and Tang, J. and Wolfe, J. and Harrop, B. E. and Singh, B. and Brent, L. and Baldwin, S. and Zhou, T. and Cameron‐Smith, P. and Keen, N. and Collier, N. and Xu, M. and Hunke, E. C. and Elliott, S. M. and Turner, A. K. and Li, H. and Wang, H. and Golaz, J.‐C. and Bond‐Lamberty, B. and Hoffman, F. M. and Riley, W. J. and Thornton, P. E. and Calvin, K. and Leung, L. R. },
  url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2019MS001766},
  journal = {Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems},
  volume = {12},
},
@article{Irving
  title = {A Mass and Energy Conservation Analysis of Drift in the CMIP6 Ensemble},
  author = { Irving, Damien and Hobbs, Will and Church, John and Zika, Jan },
  url = {https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0281.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  pages = {1-43},
},
@article{Ziehn
  title = {The Australian Earth System Model: ACCESS-ESM1.5},
  author = { Ziehn, Tilo and Chamberlain, Matthew A. and Law, Rachel M. and Lenton, Andrew and Bodman, Roger W. and Dix, Martin and Stevens, Lauren and Wang, Ying-Ping and Srbinovsky, Jhan },
  url = {https://www.publish.csiro.au/?paper=ES19035},
  journal = {Journal of Southern Hemisphere Earth Systems Science},
  volume = {70},
  pages = {193},
},
@article{Séférian
  title = {Tracking Improvement in Simulated Marine Biogeochemistry Between CMIP5 and CMIP6},
  author = { Séférian, Roland and Berthet, Sarah and Yool, Andrew and Palmiéri, Julien and Bopp, Laurent and Tagliabue, Alessandro and Kwiatkowski, Lester and Aumont, Olivier and Christian, James and Dunne, John and Gehlen, Marion and Ilyina, Tatiana and John, Jasmin G. and Li, Hongmei and Long, Matthew C. and Luo, Jessica Y. and Nakano, Hideyuki and Romanou, Anastasia and Schwinger, Jörg and Stock, Charles and Santana-Falcón, Yeray and Takano, Yohei and Tjiputra, Jerry and Tsujino, Hiroyuki and Watanabe, Michio and Wu, Tongwen and Wu, Fanghua and Yamamoto, Akitomo },
  url = {https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s40641-020-00160-0},
  journal = {Other},
},
@article{Qin
  title = {Aerosol-forced multidecadal variations across all ocean basins in models and observations since 1920},
  author = { Qin, Minhua and Dai, Aiguo and Hua, Wenjian },
  url = {https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/sciadv.abb0425},
  journal = {Science Advances},
  volume = {6},
},
@article{Andrews
  title = {Historical Simulations With HadGEM3‐GC3.1 for CMIP6},
  author = { Andrews, Martin B. and Ridley, Jeff K. and Wood, Richard A. and Andrews, Timothy and Blockley, Edward W. and Booth, Ben and Burke, Eleanor and Dittus, Andrea J. and Florek, Piotr and Gray, Lesley J. and Haddad, Stephen and Hardiman, Steven C. and Hermanson, Leon and Hodson, Dan and Hogan, Emma and Jones, Gareth S. and Knight, Jeff R. and Kuhlbrodt, Till and Misios, Stergios and Mizielinski, Matthew S. and Ringer, Mark A. and Robson, Jon and Sutton, Rowan T. },
  url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1029/2019MS001995},
  journal = {Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems},
  volume = {12},
},
@article{Lyu
  title = {Regional dynamic sea level simulated in the CMIP5 and CMIP6 models: mean biases, future projections, and their linkages},
  author = { Lyu, Kewei and Zhang, Xuebin and Church, John A. },
  url = {https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-1029.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
},
@article{Grise
  title = {Hadley cell expansion in CMIP6 models},
  author = { Grise, Kevin M. and Davis, Sean M. },
  url = {https://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/20/5249/2020/},
  journal = {Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics},
  volume = {20},
  pages = {5249-5268},
},
@article{Tsutsui
  title = {Diagnosing Transient Response to CO 2 Forcing in Coupled Atmosphere‐Ocean Model Experiments Using a Climate Model Emulator},
  author = { Tsutsui, Junichi },
  url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2019GL085844},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {47},
},
@article{Parsons
  title = {Magnitudes and Spatial Patterns of Interdecadal Temperature Variability in CMIP6},
  author = { Parsons, Luke A. and Brennan, M. Kathleen and Wills, Robert C.J. and Proistosescu, Cristian },
  url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1029/2019GL086588},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {47},
},
@article{Oudar
  title = {Robustness and drivers of the Northern Hemisphere extratropical atmospheric circulation response to a CO$$_2$$-induced warming in CNRM-CM6-1},
  author = { Oudar, Thomas and Cattiaux, Julien and Douville, Hervé and Geoffroy, Olivier and Saint-Martin, David and Roehrig, Romain },
  url = {https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-019-05113-4},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {54},
  pages = {2267-2285},
},
@article{Séférian
  title = {Evaluation of CNRM Earth System Model, CNRM‐ESM2‐1: Role of Earth System Processes in Present‐Day and Future Climate},
  author = { Séférian, Roland and Nabat, Pierre and Michou, Martine and Saint‐Martin, David and Voldoire, Aurore and Colin, Jeanne and Decharme, Bertrand and Delire, Christine and Berthet, Sarah and Chevallier, Matthieu and Sénési, Stephane and Franchisteguy, Laurent and Vial, Jessica and Mallet, Marc and Joetzjer, Emilie and Geoffroy, Olivier and Guérémy, Jean‐François and Moine, Marie‐Pierre and Msadek, Rym and Ribes, Aurélien and Rocher, Matthias and Roehrig, Romain and Salas‐y‐Mélia, David and Sanchez, Emilia and Terray, Laurent and Valcke, Sophie and Waldman, Robin and Aumont, Olivier and Bopp, Laurent and Deshayes, Julie and Éthé, Christian and Madec, Gurvan },
  url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1029/2019MS001791},
  journal = {Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems},
  volume = {11},
  pages = {4182-4227},
},
@article{Voldoire
  title = {Evaluation of CMIP6 DECK Experiments With CNRM‐CM6‐1},
  author = { Voldoire, A. and Saint‐Martin, D. and Sénési, S. and Decharme, B. and Alias, A. and Chevallier, M. and Colin, J. and Guérémy, J.‐F. and Michou, M. and Moine, M.‐P. and Nabat, P. and Roehrig, R. and Salas y Mélia, D. and Séférian, R. and Valcke, S. and Beau, I. and Belamari, S. and Berthet, S. and Cassou, C. and Cattiaux, J. and Deshayes, J. and Douville, H. and Ethé, C. and Franchistéguy, L. and Geoffroy, O. and Lévy, C. and Madec, G. and Meurdesoif, Y. and Msadek, R. and Ribes, A. and Sanchez‐Gomez, E. and Terray, L. and Waldman, R. },
  url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1029/2019MS001683},
  journal = {Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems},
  volume = {11},
  pages = {2177-2213},
},