@article{Scheuerer
  title        = {Multi-decadal streamflow projections for catchments in Brazil based on CMIP6 multi-model simulations and neural network embeddings for linear regression models},
  author       = {
                        
                            
                                Scheuerer, Michael
                            
                        
                            
                                and Byermoen, Emilie
                            
                        
                            
                                and Ribeiro de Oliveira, Julia
                            
                        
                            
                                and Roksvåg, Thea
                            
                        
                            
                                and Vikhamar Schuler, Dagrun
                            
                        
                        },
  url       = {https://hess.copernicus.org/articles/29/5099/2025/},
  journal   = {Hydrology and Earth System Sciences},
  volume       = {29},
  pages       = {5099-5119},
                        
                    }
,@article{Zhang
  title        = {A Copula-Based Framework for Emergent Constraints Using MCMC Simulations},
  author       = {
                        
                            
                                Zhang, Xu
                            
                        
                            
                                and Li, Jinbao
                            
                        
                            
                                and Dong, Qianjin
                            
                        
                            
                                and Gao, Cong
                            
                        
                            
                                and Chen, Hao
                            
                        
                        },
  url       = {https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/clim/38/15/JCLI-D-24-0591.1.xml},
  journal   = {Journal of Climate},
  volume       = {38},
  pages       = {3751-3762},
                        
                    }
,@article{Hayashi
  title        = {The contribution of climate change to increasing extreme ocean warming around Japan},
  author       = {
                        
                            
                                Hayashi, Michiya
                            
                        
                            
                                and Shiogama H.
                            
                        
                            
                                and Ogura T.
                            
                        
                        },
  journal   = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume       = {49},
  pages       = {e2022GL100785},
                        
                    }
,@article{T.H.J. Hermans
  title        = {The Effect of Wind Stress on Seasonal Sea-Level Change on the Northwestern European Shelf},
  author       = {
                        
                            
                                T.H.J. Hermans
                            
                        
                            
                                and C.A. Katsman
                            
                        
                            
                                and C.M.L. Camargo
                            
                        
                            
                                and G.G. Garner
                            
                        
                            
                                and R.E. Kopp
                            
                        
                            
                                and A.B.A. Slangen
                            
                        
                        },
  url       = {https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/clim/35/6/JCLI-D-21-0636.1.xml?tab_body=supplementary-materials},
  journal   = {Journal of Climate},
  volume       = {35},
  pages       = {1745-1759},
                        
                    }
,@article{Palmer
  title        = {How does the CMIP6 ensemble change the picture for European climate projections?},
  author       = {
                        
                            
                                Palmer, T E
                            
                        
                            
                                and Booth, B B B
                            
                        
                            
                                and McSweeney, C F
                            
                        
                        },
  url       = {https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/ac1ed9},
  journal   = {Environmental Research Letters},
  volume       = {16},
  pages       = {094042},
                        
                    }
,@article{Ahmed
  title        = {A Process‐Oriented Diagnostic to Assess Precipitation‐Thermodynamic Relations and Application to CMIP6 Models},
  author       = {
                        
                            
                                Ahmed, Fiaz
                            
                        
                            
                                and Neelin, J. David
                            
                        
                        },
  url       = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2021GL094108},
  journal   = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume       = {48},
                        
                        
                        
                    }
,@article{Rashid
  title        = {Diverse Responses of Global‐Mean Surface Temperature to External Forcings and Internal Climate Variability in Observations and CMIP6 Models},
  author       = {
                        
                            
                                Rashid, Harun A.
                            
                        
                        },
  url       = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2021GL093194},
  journal   = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume       = {48},
                        
                        
                        
                    }
,@article{von der Gathen
  title        = {Climate change favours large seasonal loss of Arctic ozone},
  author       = {
                        
                            
                                von der Gathen, Peter
                            
                        
                            
                                and Kivi, Rigel
                            
                        
                            
                                and Wohltmann, Ingo
                            
                        
                            
                                and Salawitch, Ross J.
                            
                        
                            
                                and Rex, Markus
                            
                        
                        },
  url       = {https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-021-24089-6},
  journal   = {Nature Communications},
  volume       = {12},
                        
                        
                        
                    }
,@article{Lim Kam Sian
  title        = {Multi-Decadal Variability and Future Changes in Precipitation over Southern Africa},
  author       = {
                        
                            
                                Lim Kam Sian, Kenny Thiam Choy
                            
                        
                            
                                and Wang, Jianhong
                            
                        
                            
                                and Ayugi, Brian Odhiambo
                            
                        
                            
                                and Nooni, Isaac Kwesi
                            
                        
                            
                                and Ongoma, Victor
                            
                        
                        },
  url       = {https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/12/6/742},
  journal   = {Atmosphere},
  volume       = {12},
  pages       = {742},
                        
                    }
,@article{Crawford
  title        = {Arctic open-water periods are projected to lengthen dramatically by 2100},
  author       = {
                        
                            
                                Crawford, Alex
                            
                        
                            
                                and Stroeve, Julienne
                            
                        
                            
                                and Smith, Abigail
                            
                        
                            
                                and Jahn, Alexandra
                            
                        
                        },
  url       = {https://www.nature.com/articles/s43247-021-00183-x},
  journal   = {Other},
  volume       = {2},
                        
                        
                        
                    }
,@article{Li
  title        = {Evaluation of CMIP6 Global Climate Models for Simulating Land Surface Energy and Water Fluxes During 1979–2014},
  author       = {
                        
                            
                                Li, Jianduo
                            
                        
                            
                                and Miao, Chiyuan
                            
                        
                            
                                and Wei, Wei
                            
                        
                            
                                and Zhang, Guo
                            
                        
                            
                                and Hua, Lijuan
                            
                        
                            
                                and Chen, Yueli
                            
                        
                            
                                and Wang, Xiaoxiao
                            
                        
                        },
  url       = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2021MS002515},
  journal   = {Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems},
  volume       = {13},
                        
                        
                        
                    }
,@article{Kajtar
  title        = {CMIP5 Intermodel Relationships in the Baseline Southern Ocean Climate System and With Future Projections},
  author       = {
                        
                            
                                Kajtar, Jules B.
                            
                        
                            
                                and Santoso, Agus
                            
                        
                            
                                and Collins, Matthew
                            
                        
                            
                                and Taschetto, Andréa S.
                            
                        
                            
                                and England, Matthew H.
                            
                        
                            
                                and Frankcombe, Leela M.
                            
                        
                        },
  url       = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2020EF001873},
  journal   = {Earth's Future},
  volume       = {9},
                        
                        
                        
                    }
,@article{Purich
  title        = {Historical and Future Projected Warming of Antarctic Shelf Bottom Water in CMIP6 Models},
  author       = {
                        
                            
                                Purich, Ariaan
                            
                        
                            
                                and England, Matthew H.
                            
                        
                        },
  url       = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2021GL092752},
  journal   = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume       = {48},
                        
                        
                        
                    }
,@article{Nicholls
  title        = {Regionally aggregated, stitched and de‐drifted CMIP‐climate data, processed with netCDF‐SCM v2.0.0},
  author       = {
                        
                            
                                Nicholls, Zebedee
                            
                        
                            
                                and Lewis, Jared
                            
                        
                            
                                and Makin, Melissa
                            
                        
                            
                                and Nattala, Usha
                            
                        
                            
                                and Zhang, Geordie Z.
                            
                        
                            
                                and Mutch, Simon J.
                            
                        
                            
                                and Tescari, Edoardo
                            
                        
                            
                                and Meinshausen, Malte
                            
                        
                        },
  url       = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/gdj3.113},
  journal   = {Geoscience Data Journal},
                        
                        
                        
                        
                    }
,@article{Sledd
  title        = {Uncertainty in Forced and Natural Arctic Solar Absorption Variations in CMIP6 Models},
  author       = {
                        
                            
                                Sledd, Anne
                            
                        
                            
                                and L’Ecuyer, Tristan
                            
                        
                        },
  url       = {https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/clim/34/3/JCLI-D-20-0244.1.xml},
  journal   = {Journal of Climate},
  volume       = {34},
  pages       = {931-948},
                        
                    }
,@article{Tang
  title        = {Evaluating Diurnal and Semi-Diurnal Cycle of Precipitation in CMIP6 Models Using Satellite- and Ground-Based Observations},
  author       = {
                        
                            
                                Tang, Shuaiqi
                            
                        
                            
                                and Gleckler, Peter
                            
                        
                            
                                and Xie, Shaocheng
                            
                        
                            
                                and Lee, Jiwoo
                            
                        
                            
                                and Ahn, Min-Seop
                            
                        
                            
                                and Covey, Curt
                            
                        
                            
                                and Zhang, Chengzhu
                            
                        
                        },
  url       = {https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/clim/aop/JCLI-D-20-0639.1/JCLI-D-20-0639.1.xml},
  journal   = {Journal of Climate},
  pages       = {1-56},
                        
                    }
,@article{Hayashi
  title        = {The northwestern Pacific warming record in August 2020 occurred under anthropogenic forcing},
  author       = {
                        
                            
                                Hayashi, Michiya
                            
                        
                            
                                and Shiogama H.
                            
                        
                            
                                and Emori S.
                            
                        
                            
                                and Ogura T.
                            
                        
                            
                                and Hirota N.
                            
                        
                        },
  url       = {https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1029/2020GL090956},
  journal   = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume       = {48},
  pages       = {e2020GL090956},
                        
                    }
,@article{Ribes
  title        = {Making climate projections conditional on historical observations},
  author       = {
                        
                            
                                Ribes, Aurélien
                            
                        
                            
                                and Qasmi, Saïd
                            
                        
                            
                                and Gillett, Nathan P.
                            
                        
                        },
  url       = {https://advances.sciencemag.org/content/7/4/eabc0671},
  journal   = {Science Advances},
  volume       = {7},
  pages       = {eabc0671},
                        
                    }
,@article{Ombadi
  title        = {Retrospective Analysis and Bayesian Model Averaging of CMIP6 Precipitation in the Nile River Basin},
  author       = {
                        
                            
                                Ombadi, Mohammed
                            
                        
                            
                                and Nguyen, Phu
                            
                        
                            
                                and Sorooshian, Soroosh
                            
                        
                            
                                and Hsu, Kuo-lin
                            
                        
                        },
  url       = {https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/hydr/22/1/jhm-d-20-0157.1.xml},
  journal   = {Journal of Hydrometeorology},
  volume       = {22},
  pages       = {217-229},
                        
                    }
,@article{Halder
  title        = {Assessment of CMIP6 models' skill for tropical Indian Ocean sea surface temperature variability},
  author       = {
                        
                            
                                Halder, Subrota
                            
                        
                            
                                and Parekh, Anant
                            
                        
                            
                                and Chowdary, Jasti S.
                            
                        
                            
                                and Gnanaseelan, Chellappan
                            
                        
                            
                                and Kulkarni, Ashwini
                            
                        
                        },
  url       = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/joc.6975},
  journal   = {International Journal of Climatology},
                        
                        
                        
                        
                    }
,@article{McKenna
  title        = {Stringent mitigation substantially reduces risk of unprecedented near-term warming rates},
  author       = {
                        
                            
                                McKenna, C. M.
                            
                        
                            
                                and Maycock, A. C.
                            
                        
                            
                                and Forster, P. M.
                            
                        
                            
                                and Smith, C. J.
                            
                        
                            
                                and Tokarska, K. B.
                            
                        
                        },
  url       = {https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-020-00957-9},
  journal   = {Nature Climate Change},
  volume       = {11},
  pages       = {126-131},
                        
                    }
,@article{Hayashi
  title        = {Dynamics for El Niño-La Niña asymmetry constrain equatorial-Pacific warming pattern},
  author       = {
                        
                            
                                Hayashi, Michiya
                            
                        
                            
                                and Jin, Fei-Fei
                            
                        
                            
                                and Stuecker, Malte F.
                            
                        
                        },
  url       = {https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-020-17983-y},
  journal   = {Other},
  volume       = {11},
  pages       = {4230},
                        
                    }
,@article{Priestley
  title        = {An Overview of the Extratropical Storm Tracks in CMIP6 Historical Simulations},
  author       = {
                        
                            
                                Priestley, Matthew D. K.
                            
                        
                            
                                and Ackerley, Duncan
                            
                        
                            
                                and Catto, Jennifer L.
                            
                        
                            
                                and Hodges, Kevin I.
                            
                        
                            
                                and McDonald, Ruth E.
                            
                        
                            
                                and Lee, Robert W.
                            
                        
                        },
  url       = {https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0928.1},
  journal   = {Journal of Climate},
  volume       = {33},
  pages       = {6315-6343},
                        
                    }
,@article{Tian
  title        = {The Double‐ITCZ Bias in CMIP3, CMIP5, and CMIP6 Models Based on Annual Mean Precipitation},
  author       = {
                        
                            
                                Tian, Baijun
                            
                        
                            
                                and Dong, Xinyu
                            
                        
                        },
  url       = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1029/2020GL087232},
  journal   = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume       = {47},
                        
                        
                        
                    }
,@article{Tsutsui
  title        = {Diagnosing Transient Response to CO            2            Forcing in Coupled Atmosphere‐Ocean Model Experiments Using a Climate Model Emulator},
  author       = {
                        
                            
                                Tsutsui, Junichi
                            
                        
                        },
  url       = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2019GL085844},
  journal   = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume       = {47},
                        
                        
                        
                    }
,