@article{Scheuerer
title = {Multi-decadal streamflow projections for catchments in Brazil based on CMIP6 multi-model simulations and neural network embeddings for linear regression models},
author = {
Scheuerer, Michael
and Byermoen, Emilie
and Ribeiro de Oliveira, Julia
and Roksvåg, Thea
and Vikhamar Schuler, Dagrun
},
url = {https://hess.copernicus.org/articles/29/5099/2025/},
journal = {Hydrology and Earth System Sciences},
volume = {29},
pages = {5099-5119},
}
,@article{Middendorf
title = {Return Levels of Dry Extreme Events in Terrestrial Water Storage From Satellite Gravimetry and CMIP6 Global Coupled Climate Models},
author = {
Middendorf, Klara
and Dobslaw, Henryk
and Jensen, Laura
and Eicker, Annette
},
url = {https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2024JB031011},
journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth},
volume = {130},
}
,@article{Hayashi
title = {Scenario Dependence of Future Precipitation Changes across Japan in CMIP6},
author = {
Hayashi, Michiya
and Shiogama, Hideo
and Ishizaki, Noriko N.
and Wakazuki, Yasutaka
},
url = {https://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/sola/20/0/20_2024-028/_article/-char/ja/},
journal = {SOLA},
volume = {20},
pages = {207-216},
}
,@conference{Herman
title = {Spatiotemporal Causal Effect Estimation},
author = {
Herman, Rebecca Jean
and Runge, Jakob
},
year = {2024},
}
,@article{Hayashi
title = {The contribution of climate change to increasing extreme ocean warming around Japan},
author = {
Hayashi, Michiya
and Shiogama H.
and Ogura T.
},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {49},
pages = {e2022GL100785},
}
,@article{Huard
title = {Estimating the Likelihood of GHG Concentration Scenarios From Probabilistic Integrated Assessment Model Simulations},
author = {
Huard, David
and Fyke, Jeremy
and Capellán‐Pérez, Iñigo
and Matthews, H. Damon
and Partanen, Antti‐Ilari
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2022EF002715},
journal = {Earth's Future},
volume = {10},
}
,@article{Koshiro
title = {Estimated cloud-top entrainment index explains positive low-cloud-cover feedback},
author = {
Koshiro, Tsuyoshi
and Kawai, Hideaki
and Noda, Akira T.
},
url = {https://pnas.org/doi/full/10.1073/pnas.2200635119},
journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences},
volume = {119},
}
,@article{Kajtar
title = {Tropical western and central Pacific marine heatwave data calculated from gridded sea surface temperature observations and CMIP6},
author = {
Kajtar, Jules B.
and Hernaman, Vanessa
and Holbrook, Neil J.
and Petrelli, Paola
},
url = {https://linkinghub.elsevier.com/retrieve/pii/S2352340921009690},
journal = {Data in Brief},
volume = {40},
pages = {107694},
}
,@article{Worou
title = {Weakened impact of the Atlantic Niño on the future equatorial Atlantic and Guinea Coast rainfall},
author = {
Worou, Koffi
and Goosse, Hugues
and Fichefet, Thierry
and Kucharski, Fred
},
url = {https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/13/231/2022/},
journal = {Earth System Dynamics},
volume = {13},
pages = {231-249},
}
,@article{T.H.J. Hermans
title = {The Effect of Wind Stress on Seasonal Sea-Level Change on the Northwestern European Shelf},
author = {
T.H.J. Hermans
and C.A. Katsman
and C.M.L. Camargo
and G.G. Garner
and R.E. Kopp
and A.B.A. Slangen
},
url = {https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/clim/35/6/JCLI-D-21-0636.1.xml?tab_body=supplementary-materials},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
volume = {35},
pages = {1745-1759},
}
,@article{Lalande
title = {Climate change in the High Mountain Asia in CMIP6},
author = {
Lalande, Mickaël
and Ménégoz, Martin
and Krinner, Gerhard
and Naegeli, Kathrin
and Wunderle, Stefan
},
url = {https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/12/1061/2021/},
journal = {Earth System Dynamics},
volume = {12},
pages = {1061-1098},
}
,@misc{Kajtar
title = {Tasmanian region daily sea surface temperature from observations and CMIP6 models},
author = {
Kajtar, Jules B.
},
year = {2021},
}
,@article{Martin Mohrmann
title = {Southern Ocean polynyas in CMIP6 models},
author = {
Martin Mohrmann
and Céline Heuzé
and Sebastiaan Swart
},
journal = {The Cryosphere},
}
,@article{Palmer
title = {How does the CMIP6 ensemble change the picture for European climate projections?},
author = {
Palmer, T E
and Booth, B B B
and McSweeney, C F
},
url = {https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/ac1ed9},
journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
volume = {16},
pages = {094042},
}
,@article{Anstey
title = {Prospect of Increased Disruption to the QBO in a Changing Climate},
author = {
Anstey, James A.
and Banyard, Timothy P.
and Butchart, Neal
and Coy, Lawrence
and Newman, Paul A.
and Osprey, Scott
and Wright, Corwin J.
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2021GL093058},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {48},
}
,@article{Alaminie
title = {Evaluation of Past and Future Climate Trends under CMIP6 Scenarios for the UBNB (Abay), Ethiopia},
author = {
Alaminie, Addis A.
and Tilahun, Seifu A.
and Legesse, Solomon A.
and Zimale, Fasikaw A.
and Tarkegn, Gashaw Bimrew
and Jury, Mark R.
},
url = {https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4441/13/15/2110},
journal = {Other},
volume = {13},
pages = {2110},
}
,@article{Ahmed
title = {A Process‐Oriented Diagnostic to Assess Precipitation‐Thermodynamic Relations and Application to CMIP6 Models},
author = {
Ahmed, Fiaz
and Neelin, J. David
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2021GL094108},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {48},
}
,@article{von der Gathen
title = {Climate change favours large seasonal loss of Arctic ozone},
author = {
von der Gathen, Peter
and Kivi, Rigel
and Wohltmann, Ingo
and Salawitch, Ross J.
and Rex, Markus
},
url = {https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-021-24089-6},
journal = {Nature Communications},
volume = {12},
}
,@article{Crawford
title = {Arctic open-water periods are projected to lengthen dramatically by 2100},
author = {
Crawford, Alex
and Stroeve, Julienne
and Smith, Abigail
and Jahn, Alexandra
},
url = {https://www.nature.com/articles/s43247-021-00183-x},
journal = {Other},
volume = {2},
}
,@article{Li
title = {Evaluation of CMIP6 Global Climate Models for Simulating Land Surface Energy and Water Fluxes During 1979–2014},
author = {
Li, Jianduo
and Miao, Chiyuan
and Wei, Wei
and Zhang, Guo
and Hua, Lijuan
and Chen, Yueli
and Wang, Xiaoxiao
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2021MS002515},
journal = {Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems},
volume = {13},
}
,@article{Kajtar
title = {CMIP5 Intermodel Relationships in the Baseline Southern Ocean Climate System and With Future Projections},
author = {
Kajtar, Jules B.
and Santoso, Agus
and Collins, Matthew
and Taschetto, Andréa S.
and England, Matthew H.
and Frankcombe, Leela M.
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2020EF001873},
journal = {Earth's Future},
volume = {9},
}
,@article{Purich
title = {Historical and Future Projected Warming of Antarctic Shelf Bottom Water in CMIP6 Models},
author = {
Purich, Ariaan
and England, Matthew H.
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2021GL092752},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {48},
}
,@article{McBride
title = {Comparison of CMIP6 historical climate simulations and future projected warming to an empirical model of global climate},
author = {
McBride, Laura A.
and Hope, Austin P.
and Canty, Timothy P.
and Bennett, Brian F.
and Tribett, Walter R.
and Salawitch, Ross J.
},
url = {https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/12/545/2021/},
journal = {Earth System Dynamics},
volume = {12},
pages = {545-579},
}
,@article{Koch
title = {Earth System Models Are Not Capturing Present‐Day Tropical Forest Carbon Dynamics},
author = {
Koch, Alexander
and Hubau, Wannes
and Lewis, Simon L.
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2020EF001874},
journal = {Other},
volume = {9},
}
,@article{Sohail
title = {Fifty Year Trends in Global Ocean Heat Content Traced to Surface Heat Fluxes in the Sub‐Polar Ocean},
author = {
Sohail, Taimoor
and Irving, Damien B.
and Zika, Jan D.
and Holmes, Ryan M.
and Church, John A.
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2020GL091439},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {48},
}
,@article{Watters
title = {The Diurnal Cycle of Precipitation According to Multiple Decades of Global Satellite Observations, Three CMIP6 Models, and the ECMWF Reanalysis},
author = {
Watters, Daniel
and Battaglia, Alessandro
and Allan, Richard P.
},
url = {https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/clim/aop/JCLI-D-20-0966.1/JCLI-D-20-0966.1.xml},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
pages = {1-58},
}
,@article{Zanowski
title = {Arctic Ocean freshwater in CMIP6 Ensembles: Declining Sea Ice, Increasing Ocean Storage and Export},
author = {
Zanowski, Hannah
and Jahn, Alexandra
and Holland, Marika M.
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2020JC016930},
journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans},
}
,@article{Gillett
title = {Constraining human contributions to observed warming since the pre-industrial period},
author = {
Gillett, Nathan P.
and Kirchmeier-Young, Megan
and Ribes, Aurélien
and Shiogama, Hideo
and Hegerl, Gabriele C.
and Knutti, Reto
and Gastineau, Guillaume
and John, Jasmin G.
and Li, Lijuan
and Nazarenko, Larissa
and Rosenbloom, Nan
and Seland, Øyvind
and Wu, Tongwen
and Yukimoto, Seiji
and Ziehn, Tilo
},
url = {https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-020-00965-9},
journal = {Nature Climate Change},
volume = {11},
pages = {207-212},
}
,@article{Nicholls
title = {Regionally aggregated, stitched and de‐drifted CMIP‐climate data, processed with netCDF‐SCM v2.0.0},
author = {
Nicholls, Zebedee
and Lewis, Jared
and Makin, Melissa
and Nattala, Usha
and Zhang, Geordie Z.
and Mutch, Simon J.
and Tescari, Edoardo
and Meinshausen, Malte
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/gdj3.113},
journal = {Geoscience Data Journal},
}
,@article{Sang
title = {Improvement of Soil Moisture Simulation in Eurasia by the Beijing Climate Center Climate System Model from CMIP5 to CMIP6},
author = {
Sang, Yinghan
and Ren, Hong-Li
and Shi, Xueli
and Xu, Xiaofeng
and Chen, Haishan
},
url = {https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00376-020-0167-7},
journal = {Advances in Atmospheric Sciences},
volume = {38},
pages = {237-252},
}
,@article{Sledd
title = {Uncertainty in Forced and Natural Arctic Solar Absorption Variations in CMIP6 Models},
author = {
Sledd, Anne
and L’Ecuyer, Tristan
},
url = {https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/clim/34/3/JCLI-D-20-0244.1.xml},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
volume = {34},
pages = {931-948},
}
,@article{Hayashi
title = {The northwestern Pacific warming record in August 2020 occurred under anthropogenic forcing},
author = {
Hayashi, Michiya
and Shiogama H.
and Emori S.
and Ogura T.
and Hirota N.
},
url = {https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1029/2020GL090956},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {48},
pages = {e2020GL090956},
}
,@article{Ribes
title = {Making climate projections conditional on historical observations},
author = {
Ribes, Aurélien
and Qasmi, Saïd
and Gillett, Nathan P.
},
url = {https://advances.sciencemag.org/content/7/4/eabc0671},
journal = {Science Advances},
volume = {7},
pages = {eabc0671},
}
,@article{McKenna
title = {Stringent mitigation substantially reduces risk of unprecedented near-term warming rates},
author = {
McKenna, C. M.
and Maycock, A. C.
and Forster, P. M.
and Smith, C. J.
and Tokarska, K. B.
},
url = {https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-020-00957-9},
journal = {Nature Climate Change},
volume = {11},
pages = {126-131},
}
,@article{Xin
title = {Comparison of CMIP6 and CMIP5 simulations of precipitation in China and the East Asian summer monsoon},
author = {
Xin, Xiaoge
and Wu, Tongwen
and Zhang, Jie
and Yao, Junchen
and Fang, Yongjie
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/joc.6590},
journal = {International Journal of Climatology},
volume = {40},
pages = {6423-6440},
}
,@article{Hayashi
title = {Dynamics for El Niño-La Niña asymmetry constrain equatorial-Pacific warming pattern},
author = {
Hayashi, Michiya
and Jin, Fei-Fei
and Stuecker, Malte F.
},
url = {https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-020-17983-y},
journal = {Other},
volume = {11},
pages = {4230},
}
,@article{Dunne
title = {Comparison of Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity Estimates From Slab Ocean, 150‐Year, and Longer Simulations},
author = {
Dunne, John P.
and Winton, Michael
and Bacmeister, Julio
and Danabasoglu, Gokhan
and Gettelman, Andrew
and Golaz, Jean‐Christophe
and Hannay, Cecile
and Schmidt, Gavin A.
and Krasting, John P.
and Leung, L. Ruby
and Nazarenko, Larissa
and Sentman, Lori T.
and Stouffer, Ronald J.
and Wolfe, Jonathan D.
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2020GL088852},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {47},
}
,@article{Séférian
title = {Tracking Improvement in Simulated Marine Biogeochemistry Between CMIP5 and CMIP6},
author = {
Séférian, Roland
and Berthet, Sarah
and Yool, Andrew
and Palmiéri, Julien
and Bopp, Laurent
and Tagliabue, Alessandro
and Kwiatkowski, Lester
and Aumont, Olivier
and Christian, James
and Dunne, John
and Gehlen, Marion
and Ilyina, Tatiana
and John, Jasmin G.
and Li, Hongmei
and Long, Matthew C.
and Luo, Jessica Y.
and Nakano, Hideyuki
and Romanou, Anastasia
and Schwinger, Jörg
and Stock, Charles
and Santana-Falcón, Yeray
and Takano, Yohei
and Tjiputra, Jerry
and Tsujino, Hiroyuki
and Watanabe, Michio
and Wu, Tongwen
and Wu, Fanghua
and Yamamoto, Akitomo
},
url = {https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s40641-020-00160-0},
journal = {Other},
}
,@article{Shi
title = {Climate Sensitivity and Feedbacks of BCC-CSM to Idealized CO2 Forcing from CMIP5 to CMIP6},
author = {
Shi, Xueli
and Chen, Xiaolong
and Dai, Yunwei
and Hu, Guoquan
and Rong, Xinyao
and Xin, Yufei
and Chen, Haoming
and Su, Jingzhi
},
url = {https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s13351-020-9204-9},
journal = {Other},
volume = {34},
pages = {865-878},
}
,@article{DeRepentigny
title = {Arctic Sea Ice in Two Configurations of the CESM2 During the 20th and 21st Centuries},
author = {
DeRepentigny, Patricia
and Jahn, Alexandra
and Holland, Marika M.
and Smith, Abigail
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2020JC016133},
journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans},
volume = {125},
pages = {e2020JC016133},
}
,@article{Cannon
title = {Reductions in daily continental-scale atmospheric circulation biases between generations of global climate models: CMIP5 to CMIP6},
author = {
Cannon, Alex J
},
url = {https://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab7e4f},
journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
volume = {15},
pages = {064006},
}
,@article{Tian
title = {The Double‐ITCZ Bias in CMIP3, CMIP5, and CMIP6 Models Based on Annual Mean Precipitation},
author = {
Tian, Baijun
and Dong, Xinyu
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1029/2020GL087232},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {47},
}
,@article{Tsutsui
title = {Diagnosing Transient Response to CO 2 Forcing in Coupled Atmosphere‐Ocean Model Experiments Using a Climate Model Emulator},
author = {
Tsutsui, Junichi
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2019GL085844},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {47},
}
,@article{Diamond
title = {Substantial Cloud Brightening From Shipping in Subtropical Low Clouds},
author = {
Diamond, Michael S.
and Director, Hannah M.
and Eastman, Ryan
and Possner, Anna
and Wood, Robert
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2019AV000111},
journal = {Other},
volume = {1},
}
,