@article{Jahn
  title = {Projections of an ice-free Arctic Ocean},
  author = {
Jahn, Alexandra
and Holland, Marika M.
and Kay, Jennifer E.
},
  url = {https://www.nature.com/articles/s43017-023-00515-9},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {5},
  pages = {164-176},
}
,
@article{Herman
  title = {Drivers of low-frequency Sahel precipitation variability: comparing CMIP5 and CMIP6 ensemble means with observations},
  author = {
Herman, Rebecca Jean
and Biasutti, Michela
and Kushnir, Yochanan
},
  url = {https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-023-06755-1},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {61},
  pages = {4449-4470},
}
,
@article{Carlino
  title = {Declining cost of renewables and climate change curb the need for African hydropower expansion},
  author = {
Carlino, Angelo
and Wildemeersch, Matthias
and Chawanda, Celray James
and Giuliani, Matteo
and Sterl, Sebastian
and Thiery, Wim
and van Griensven, Ann
and Castelletti, Andrea
},
  url = {https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.adf5848},
  journal = {Science},
  volume = {381},
}
,
@article{Wyburn-Powell
  title = {Modeled Interannual Variability of Arctic Sea Ice Cover is within Observational Uncertainty},
  author = {
Wyburn-Powell, Christopher
and Jahn, Alexandra
and R. England, Mark
},
  url = {https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/clim/35/20/JCLI-D-21-0958.1.xml},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {35},
  pages = {3227-3242},
}
,
@article{Holtanová
  title = {Projected changes in mean annual cycle of temperature and precipitation over the Czech Republic: Comparison of CMIP5 and CMIP6},
  author = {
Holtanová, Eva
and Belda, Michal
and Halenka, Tomáš
},
  url = {https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/feart.2022.1018661/full},
  journal = {Frontiers in Earth Science},
  volume = {10},
}
,
@article{Huard
  title = {Estimating the Likelihood of GHG Concentration Scenarios From Probabilistic Integrated Assessment Model Simulations},
  author = {
Huard, David
and Fyke, Jeremy
and Capellán‐Pérez, Iñigo
and Matthews, H. Damon
and Partanen, Antti‐Ilari
},
  url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2022EF002715},
  journal = {Earth's Future},
  volume = {10},
}
,
@article{Klitting
  title = {Predicting the evolution of the Lassa virus endemic area and population at risk over the next decades},
  author = {
Klitting, Raphaëlle
and Kafetzopoulou, Liana E.
and Thiery, Wim
and Dudas, Gytis
and Gryseels, Sophie
and Kotamarthi, Anjali
and Vrancken, Bram
and Gangavarapu, Karthik
and Momoh, Mambu
and Sandi, John Demby
and Goba, Augustine
and Alhasan, Foday
and Grant, Donald S.
and Okogbenin, Sylvanus
and Ogbaini-Emovo, Ephraim
and Garry, Robert F.
and Smither, Allison R.
and Zeller, Mark
and Pauthner, Matthias G.
and McGraw, Michelle
and Hughes, Laura D.
and Duraffour, Sophie
and Günther, Stephan
and Suchard, Marc A.
and Lemey, Philippe
and Andersen, Kristian G.
and Dellicour, Simon
},
  url = {https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-022-33112-3},
  journal = {Nature Communications},
  volume = {13},
}
,
@article{Koshiro
  title = {Estimated cloud-top entrainment index explains positive low-cloud-cover feedback},
  author = {
Koshiro, Tsuyoshi
and Kawai, Hideaki
and Noda, Akira T.
},
  url = {https://pnas.org/doi/full/10.1073/pnas.2200635119},
  journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences},
  volume = {119},
}
,
@article{Farquharson
  title = {Volcanic hazard exacerbated by future global warming-driven increase in heavy rainfall},
  author = {
Farquharson, Jamie I.
and Amelung, Falk
},
  url = {https://royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/10.1098/rsos.220275},
  journal = {Royal Society Open Science},
  volume = {9},
}
,
@article{Jansen
  title = {Global increase in methane production under future warming of lake bottom waters},
  author = {
Jansen, Joachim
and Woolway, Richard Iestyn
and Kraemer, Benjamin M.
and Albergel, Clément
and Bastviken, David
and Weyhenmeyer, Gesa A.
and Marcé, Rafael
and Sharma, Sapna
and Sobek, Sebastian
and Tranvik, Lars J.
and Perroud, Marjorie
and Golub, Malgorzata
and Moore, Tadhg N.
and Råman Vinnå, Love
and La Fuente, Sofia
and Grant, Luke
and Pierson, Don C.
and Thiery, Wim
and Jennings, Eleanor
},
  url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.16298},
  journal = {Global Change Biology},
}
,
@article{Qin
  title = {On the Correspondence Between Atmosphere‐Only and Coupled Simulations for Radiative Feedbacks and Forcing From CO 2},
  author = {
Qin, Yi
and Zelinka, Mark D.
and Klein, Stephen A.
},
  url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2021JD035460},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {127},
}
,
@article{Tabari
  title = {Amplified Drought and Flood Risk Under Future Socioeconomic and Climatic Change},
  author = {
Tabari, Hossein
and Hosseinzadehtalaei, Parisa
and Thiery, Wim
and Willems, Patrick
},
  url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2021EF002295},
  journal = {Earth's Future},
}
,
@article{Boulange
  title = {Validity of estimating flood and drought characteristics under equilibrium climates from transient simulations},
  author = {
Boulange, Julien
and Hanasaki, Naota
and Satoh, Yusuke
and Yokohata, Tokuta
and Shiogama, Hideo
and Burek, Peter
and Thiery, Wim
and Gerten, Dieter
and Müller Schmied, Hannes
and Wada, Yoshihide
and Gosling, Simon N
and Pokhrel, Yadu
and Wanders, Niko
},
  url = {https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/ac27cc},
  journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
  volume = {16},
  pages = {104028},
}
,
@article{Lyu
  title = {Projected ocean warming constrained by the ocean observational record},
  author = {
Lyu, Kewei
and Zhang, Xuebin
and Church, John A.
},
  url = {https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-021-01151-1},
  journal = {Nature Climate Change},
  volume = {11},
  pages = {834-839},
}
,
@article{Thiery
  title = {Intergenerational inequities in exposure to climate extremes},
  author = {
Thiery, By Wim
and Lange, Stefan
and Rogelj, Joeri
and Schleussner, Carl-Friedrich
and Gudmundsson, Lukas
and Seneviratne, Sonia I.
and Andrijevic, Marina
and Frieler, Katja
and Emanuel, Kerry
and Geiger, Tobias
and Bresch, David N.
and Zhao, Fang
and Willner, Sven N.
and Büchner, Matthias
and Volkholz, Jan
and Bauer, Nico
and Chang, Jinfeng
and Ciais, Philippe
and Dury, Marie
and François, Louis
and Grillakis, Manolis
and Gosling, Simon N.
and Hanasaki, Naota
and Hickler, Thomas
and Huber, Veronika
and Ito, Akihiko
and Jägermeyr, Jonas
and Khabarov, Nikolay
and Koutroulis, Aristeidis
and Liu, Wenfeng
and Lutz, Wolfgang
and Mengel, Matthias
and Müller, Christoph
and Ostberg, Sebastian
and Reyer, Christopher P. O.
and Stacke, Tobias
and Wada, Yoshihide
},
  url = {https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.abi7339},
  journal = {Science},
}
,
@article{Klein
  title = {Combining CMIP data with a regional convection-permitting model and observations to project extreme rainfall under climate change},
  author = {
Klein, Cornelia
and Jackson, Lawrence S.
and Parker, Douglas J
and Marsham, John H
and Taylor, Christopher M
and Rowell, David P
and Guichard, Françoise
and Vischel, Theo
and Famien, Adjoua Moise Landry
and Diedhiou, Arona
},
  url = {https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/ac26f1},
  journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
}
,
@article{Palmer
  title = {How does the CMIP6 ensemble change the picture for European climate projections?},
  author = {
Palmer, T E
and Booth, B B B
and McSweeney, C F
},
  url = {https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/ac1ed9},
  journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
  volume = {16},
  pages = {094042},
}
,
@article{Jayasankar
  title = {Does increasing the spatial resolution in dynamical downscaling impact climate change projection of Indian summer monsoon, population and GDP?},
  author = {
Jayasankar, C. B.
and Rajendran, K.
and Sajani, Surendran
},
  url = {https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00704-021-03633-w},
  journal = {Theoretical and Applied Climatology},
  volume = {145},
  pages = {441-453},
}
,
@article{von der Gathen
  title = {Climate change favours large seasonal loss of Arctic ozone},
  author = {
von der Gathen, Peter
and Kivi, Rigel
and Wohltmann, Ingo
and Salawitch, Ross J.
and Rex, Markus
},
  url = {https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-021-24089-6},
  journal = {Nature Communications},
  volume = {12},
}
,
@article{Kajtar
  title = {CMIP5 Intermodel Relationships in the Baseline Southern Ocean Climate System and With Future Projections},
  author = {
Kajtar, Jules B.
and Santoso, Agus
and Collins, Matthew
and Taschetto, Andréa S.
and England, Matthew H.
and Frankcombe, Leela M.
},
  url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2020EF001873},
  journal = {Earth's Future},
  volume = {9},
}
,
@article{Lee
  title = {Benchmarking performance changes in the simulation of extratropical modes of variability across CMIP generations},
  author = {
Lee, Jiwoo
and Sperber, Kenneth R.
and Gleckler, Peter J.
and Taylor, Karl E.
and Bonfils, Céline J. W.
},
  url = {https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/clim/aop/JCLI-D-20-0832.1/JCLI-D-20-0832.1.xml},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  pages = {1-70},
}
,
@article{Koch
  title = {Earth System Models Are Not Capturing Present‐Day Tropical Forest Carbon Dynamics},
  author = {
Koch, Alexander
and Hubau, Wannes
and Lewis, Simon L.
},
  url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2020EF001874},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {9},
}
,
@article{Wehner
  title = {Evaluation of extreme sub-daily precipitation in high-resolution global climate model simulations},
  author = {
Wehner, Michael
and Lee, Jiwoo
and Risser, Mark
and Ullrich, Paul
and Gleckler, Peter
and Collins, William D.
},
  url = {https://royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/10.1098/rsta.2019.0545},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {379},
  pages = {20190545},
}
,
@article{Ismail Yucel
  title = {Intercomparison of the expected change in the temperature and the precipitation retrieved from CMIP6 and CMIP5 climate projections: A Mediterranean hot spot case, Turkey},
  author = {
Ismail Yucel
},
  journal = {Atmospheric Research},
}
,
@article{Tebaldi
  title = {Climate model projections from the Scenario Model Intercomparison Project (ScenarioMIP) of CMIP6},
  author = {
Tebaldi, Claudia
and Debeire, Kevin
and Eyring, Veronika
and Fischer, Erich
and Fyfe, John
and Friedlingstein, Pierre
and Knutti, Reto
and Lowe, Jason
and O'Neill, Brian
and Sanderson, Benjamin
and van Vuuren, Detlef
and Riahi, Keywan
and Meinshausen, Malte
and Nicholls, Zebedee
and Tokarska, Katarzyna B.
and Hurtt, George
and Kriegler, Elmar
and Lamarque, Jean-Francois
and Meehl, Gerald
and Moss, Richard
and Bauer, Susanne E.
and Boucher, Olivier
and Brovkin, Victor
and Byun, Young-Hwa
and Dix, Martin
and Gualdi, Silvio
and Guo, Huan
and John, Jasmin G.
and Kharin, Slava
and Kim, YoungHo
and Koshiro, Tsuyoshi
and Ma, Libin
and Olivié, Dirk
and Panickal, Swapna
and Qiao, Fangli
and Rong, Xinyao
and Rosenbloom, Nan
and Schupfner, Martin
and Séférian, Roland
and Sellar, Alistair
and Semmler, Tido
and Shi, Xiaoying
and Song, Zhenya
and Steger, Christian
and Stouffer, Ronald
and Swart, Neil
and Tachiiri, Kaoru
and Tang, Qi
and Tatebe, Hiroaki
and Voldoire, Aurore
and Volodin, Evgeny
and Wyser, Klaus
and Xin, Xiaoge
and Yang, Shuting
and Yu, Yongqiang
and Ziehn, Tilo
},
  url = {https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/12/253/2021/},
  journal = {Earth System Dynamics},
  volume = {12},
  pages = {253-293},
}
,
@article{Goyal
  title = {Historical and Projected Changes in the Southern Hemisphere Surface Westerlies},
  author = {
Goyal, Rishav
and Sen Gupta, Alex
and Jucker, Martin
and England, Matthew H.
},
  url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2020GL090849},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {48},
}
,
@article{Nicholls
  title = {Regionally aggregated, stitched and de‐drifted CMIP‐climate data, processed with netCDF‐SCM v2.0.0},
  author = {
Nicholls, Zebedee
and Lewis, Jared
and Makin, Melissa
and Nattala, Usha
and Zhang, Geordie Z.
and Mutch, Simon J.
and Tescari, Edoardo
and Meinshausen, Malte
},
  url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/gdj3.113},
  journal = {Geoscience Data Journal},
}
,
@article{Shrestha
  title = {Assessment of climate change impact on high flows in a watershed characterized by flood regulating reservoirs},
  author = {
Shrestha, Sabin
and Sharma, Suresh
},
  journal = {Other},
}
,
@article{Tang
  title = {Evaluating Diurnal and Semi-Diurnal Cycle of Precipitation in CMIP6 Models Using Satellite- and Ground-Based Observations},
  author = {
Tang, Shuaiqi
and Gleckler, Peter
and Xie, Shaocheng
and Lee, Jiwoo
and Ahn, Min-Seop
and Covey, Curt
and Zhang, Chengzhu
},
  url = {https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/clim/aop/JCLI-D-20-0639.1/JCLI-D-20-0639.1.xml},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  pages = {1-56},
}
,
@article{Ribes
  title = {Making climate projections conditional on historical observations},
  author = {
Ribes, Aurélien
and Qasmi, Saïd
and Gillett, Nathan P.
},
  url = {https://advances.sciencemag.org/content/7/4/eabc0671},
  journal = {Science Advances},
  volume = {7},
  pages = {eabc0671},
}
,
@article{Hobbs
  title = {Anthropogenic Temperature and Salinity Changes in the Southern Ocean},
  author = {
Hobbs, William R.
and Roach, Christopher
and Roy, Tilla
and Sallée, Jean-Baptiste
and Bindoff, Nathaniel
},
  url = {https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/clim/34/1/jcliD200454.xml},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {34},
  pages = {215-228},
}
,
@article{Wehner
  title = {Characterization of long period return values of extreme daily temperature and precipitation in the CMIP6 models: Part 1, model evaluation},
  author = {
Wehner, Michael
and Gleckler, Peter
and Lee, Jiwoo
},
  url = {https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2212094719302440},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {30},
  pages = {100283-100283},
}
,
@article{Kim
  title = {Performance Evaluation of CMIP5 and CMIP6 Models on Heatwaves in Korea and Associated Teleconnection Patterns},
  author = {
Kim, Maeng‐Ki
and Yu, Dae‐Geun
and Oh, Ji‐Seon
and Byun, Young‐Hwa
and Boo, Kyung‐On
and Chung, Il‐Ung
and Park, Jeong‐Soo
and Park, Doo‐Sun R.
and Min, Seung‐Ki
and Sung, Hyun Min
},
  url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2020JD032583},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {125},
}
,
@article{Kawamiya
  title = {Two decades of Earth system modeling with an emphasis on Model for Interdisciplinary Research on Climate (MIROC)},
  author = {
Kawamiya, Michio
and Hajima, Tomohiro
and Tachiiri, Kaoru
and Watanabe, Shingo
and Yokohata, Tokuta
},
  url = {https://progearthplanetsci.springeropen.com/articles/10.1186/s40645-020-00369-5},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {7},
}
,
@article{Wehner
  title = {Characterization of long period return values of extreme daily temperature and precipitation in the CMIP6 models: Part 2, projections of future change},
  author = {
Wehner, Michael F.
},
  url = {https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2212094719302452},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {30},
  pages = {100284-100284},
}
,
@article{Qin
  title = {Quantifying Contributions of Internal Variability and External Forcing to Atlantic Multidecadal Variability Since 1870},
  author = {
Qin, Minhua
and Dai, Aiguo
and Hua, Wenjian
},
  url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2020GL089504},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {47},
}
,
@article{Szuwalski
  title = {Climate change and the future productivity and distribution of crab in the Bering Sea},
  author = {
Szuwalski, Cody
and Cheng, Wei
and Foy, Robert
and Hermann, Albert J
and Hollowed, Anne
and Holsman, Kirstin
and Lee, Jiwoo
and Stockhausen, William
and Zheng, Jie
},
  journal = {Other},
}
,
@article{Zhang
  title = {The ARM Data-Oriented Metrics and Diagnostics Package for Climate Models: A New Tool for Evaluating Climate Models with Field Data},
  author = {
Zhang, C.
and Xie, S.
and Tao, C.
and Tang, S.
and Emmenegger, T.
and Neelin, J. D.
and Schiro, K. A.
and Lin, W.
and Shaheen, Z.
},
  url = {https://journals.ametsoc.org/bams/article/101/10/E1619/348634/The-ARM-DataOriented-Metrics-and-Diagnostics},
  journal = {Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society},
  volume = {101},
  pages = {E1619-E1627},
}
,
@article{Cummins
  title = {A new energy-balance approach to linear filtering for estimating effective radiative forcing from temperature time series},
  author = {
Cummins, Donald P.
and Stephenson, David B.
and Stott, Peter A.
},
  url = {https://ascmo.copernicus.org/articles/6/91/2020/},
  journal = {Advances in Statistical Climatology, Meteorology and Oceanography},
  volume = {6},
  pages = {91-102},
}
,
@article{Burke
  title = {Evaluating permafrost physics in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 6 (CMIP6) models and their sensitivity to climate change},
  author = {
Burke, Eleanor
and Krinner G.
and Yu Zhang
},
  journal = {The Cryosphere},
}
,
@article{Planton
  title = {Evaluating climate models with the CLIVAR 2020 ENSO metrics package},
  author = {
Planton, Yann Y.
and Guilyardi, Eric
and Wittenberg, Andrew T.
and Lee, Jiwoo
and Gleckler, Peter J.
and Bayr, Tobias
and McGregor, Shayne
and McPhaden, Michael J.
and Power, Scott
and Roehrig, Romain
and Vialard, Jérôme
and Voldoire, Aurore
},
  url = {https://journals.ametsoc.org/bams/article/354641/Evaluating-climate-models-with-the-CLIVAR-2020},
  journal = {Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society},
  pages = {1-57},
}
,
@article{Cummins
  title = {Optimal Estimation of Stochastic Energy Balance Model Parameters},
  author = {
Cummins, Donald P.
and Stephenson, David B.
and Stott, Peter A.
},
  url = {https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/clim/33/18/jcliD190589.xml},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {33},
  pages = {7909-7926},
}
,
@article{Orbe
  title = {Representation of Modes of Variability in Six U.S. Climate Models},
  author = {
Orbe, Clara
and Van Roekel, Luke
and Adames, Ángel F.
and Dezfuli, Amin
and Fasullo, John
and Gleckler, Peter J.
and Lee, Jiwoo
and Li, Wei
and Nazarenko, Larissa
and Schmidt, Gavin A.
and Sperber, Kenneth R.
and Zhao, Ming
},
  url = {https://journals.ametsoc.org/jcli/article/33/17/7591/348564/Representation-of-Modes-of-Variability-in-Six-US},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {33},
  pages = {7591-7617},
}
,
@article{Hayashi
  title = {Dynamics for El Niño-La Niña asymmetry constrain equatorial-Pacific warming pattern},
  author = {
Hayashi, Michiya
and Jin, Fei-Fei
and Stuecker, Malte F.
},
  url = {https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-020-17983-y},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {11},
  pages = {4230},
}
,
@article{Irving
  title = {A Mass and Energy Conservation Analysis of Drift in the CMIP6 Ensemble},
  author = {
Irving, Damien
and Hobbs, Will
and Church, John
and Zika, Jan
},
  url = {https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0281.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  pages = {1-43},
}
,
@article{Séférian
  title = {Tracking Improvement in Simulated Marine Biogeochemistry Between CMIP5 and CMIP6},
  author = {
Séférian, Roland
and Berthet, Sarah
and Yool, Andrew
and Palmiéri, Julien
and Bopp, Laurent
and Tagliabue, Alessandro
and Kwiatkowski, Lester
and Aumont, Olivier
and Christian, James
and Dunne, John
and Gehlen, Marion
and Ilyina, Tatiana
and John, Jasmin G.
and Li, Hongmei
and Long, Matthew C.
and Luo, Jessica Y.
and Nakano, Hideyuki
and Romanou, Anastasia
and Schwinger, Jörg
and Stock, Charles
and Santana-Falcón, Yeray
and Takano, Yohei
and Tjiputra, Jerry
and Tsujino, Hiroyuki
and Watanabe, Michio
and Wu, Tongwen
and Wu, Fanghua
and Yamamoto, Akitomo
},
  url = {https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s40641-020-00160-0},
  journal = {Other},
}
,
@article{Priestley
  title = {An Overview of the Extratropical Storm Tracks in CMIP6 Historical Simulations},
  author = {
Priestley, Matthew D. K.
and Ackerley, Duncan
and Catto, Jennifer L.
and Hodges, Kevin I.
and McDonald, Ruth E.
and Lee, Robert W.
},
  url = {https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0928.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {33},
  pages = {6315-6343},
}
,
@article{Mudryk
  title = {Historical Northern Hemisphere snow cover trends and projected changes in the CMIP6 multi-model ensemble},
  author = {
Mudryk, Lawrence
and Santolaria-Otín, María
and Krinner, Gerhard
and Ménégoz, Martin
and Derksen, Chris
and Brutel-Vuilmet, Claire
and Brady, Mike
and Essery, Richard
},
  url = {https://tc.copernicus.org/articles/14/2495/2020/},
  journal = {The Cryosphere},
  volume = {14},
  pages = {2495-2514},
}
,
@article{Di Luca
  title = {Decomposing Temperature Extremes Errors in CMIP5 and CMIP6 Models},
  author = {
Di Luca, Alejandro
and Pitman, Andrew J.
and de Elía, Ramón
},
  url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1029/2020GL088031},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {47},
}
,
@article{Menary
  title = {Aerosol‐Forced AMOC Changes in CMIP6 Historical Simulations},
  author = {
Menary, Matthew B.
and Robson, Jon
and Allan, Richard P.
and Booth, Ben B. B.
and Cassou, Christophe
and Gastineau, Guillaume
and Gregory, Jonathan
and Hodson, Dan
and Jones, Colin
and Mignot, Juliette
and Ringer, Mark
and Sutton, Rowan
and Wilcox, Laura
and Zhang, Rong
},
  url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2020GL088166},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {47},
}
,
@article{Sherwood
  title = {An assessment of Earth's climate sensitivity using multiple lines of evidence},
  author = {
Sherwood, S.
and Webb, M. J.
and Annan, J. D.
and Armour, K. C.
and Forster, P. M.
and Hargreaves, J. C.
and Hegerl, G.
and Klein, S. A.
and Marvel, K. D.
and Rohling, E. J.
and Watanabe, M.
and Andrews, T.
and Braconnot, P.
and Bretherton, C. S.
and Foster, G. L.
and Hausfather, Z.
and Heydt, A. S. von der
and Knutti, R.
and Mauritsen, T.
and Norris, J. R.
and Proistosescu, C.
and Rugenstein, M.
and Schmidt, G. A.
and Tokarska, K. B.
and Zelinka, M. D.
},
  url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1029/2019RG000678},
  journal = {Reviews of Geophysics},
}
,
@article{Qin
  title = {Aerosol-forced multidecadal variations across all ocean basins in models and observations since 1920},
  author = {
Qin, Minhua
and Dai, Aiguo
and Hua, Wenjian
},
  url = {https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/sciadv.abb0425},
  journal = {Science Advances},
  volume = {6},
}
,
@article{DeRepentigny
  title = {Arctic Sea Ice in Two Configurations of the CESM2 During the 20th and 21st Centuries},
  author = {
DeRepentigny, Patricia
and Jahn, Alexandra
and Holland, Marika M.
and Smith, Abigail
},
  url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2020JC016133},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans},
  volume = {125},
  pages = {e2020JC016133},
}
,
@article{Jones
  title = {Quantifying process-level uncertainty contributions to TCRE and carbon budgets for meeting Paris Agreement climate targets},
  author = {
Jones, Chris D
and Friedlingstein, Pierre
},
  url = {https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/ab858a},
  journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
  volume = {15},
  pages = {074019},
}
,
@article{Ahn
  title = {MJO Propagation Across the Maritime Continent: Are CMIP6 Models Better Than CMIP5 Models?},
  author = {
Ahn, Min‐Seop
and Kim, Daehyun
and Kang, Daehyun
and Lee, Jiwoo
and Sperber, Kenneth R.
and Gleckler, Peter J.
and Jiang, Xianan
and Ham, Yoo‐Geun
and Kim, Hyemi
},
  url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2020GL087250},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {47},
}
,
@article{Xia
  title = {Comparison of trends in the Hadley circulation between CMIP6 and CMIP5},
  author = {
Xia, Yan
and Hu, Yongyun
and Liu, Jiping
},
  url = {https://linkinghub.elsevier.com/retrieve/pii/S209592732030390X},
  journal = {Other},
}
,
@article{Cannon
  title = {Reductions in daily continental-scale atmospheric circulation biases between generations of global climate models: CMIP5 to CMIP6},
  author = {
Cannon, Alex J
},
  url = {https://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab7e4f},
  journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
  volume = {15},
  pages = {064006},
}
,
@article{SIMIP Community
  title = {Arctic Sea Ice in CMIP6},
  author = {
SIMIP Community
},
  url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2019GL086749},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {47},
}
,
@article{Roach
  title = {Antarctic Sea Ice Area in CMIP6},
  author = {
Roach, Lettie A.
and Dörr, Jakob
and Holmes, Caroline R.
and Massonnet, François
and Blockley, Edward W.
and Notz, Dirk
and Rackow, Thomas
and Raphael, Marilyn N.
and O'Farrell, Siobhan P.
and Bailey, David A.
and Bitz, Cecilia M.
},
  url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2019GL086729},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {47},
}
,
@article{Watson‐Parris
  title = {Constraining Uncertainty in Aerosol Direct Forcing},
  author = {
Watson‐Parris, D.
and Bellouin, N.
and Deaconu, L. T.
and Schutgens, N. A. J.
and Yoshioka, M.
and Regayre, L. A.
and Pringle, K. J.
and Johnson, J. S.
and Smith, C. J.
and Carslaw, K. S.
and Stier, P.
},
  url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2020GL087141},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {47},
}
,
@article{Lyu
  title = {Regional dynamic sea level simulated in the CMIP5 and CMIP6 models: mean biases, future projections, and their linkages},
  author = {
Lyu, Kewei
and Zhang, Xuebin
and Church, John A.
},
  url = {https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-1029.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,
@article{Grise
  title = {Hadley cell expansion in CMIP6 models},
  author = {
Grise, Kevin M.
and Davis, Sean M.
},
  url = {https://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/20/5249/2020/},
  journal = {Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics},
  volume = {20},
  pages = {5249-5268},
}
,
@article{Oudar
  title = {Drivers of the Northern Extratropical Eddy‐Driven Jet Change in CMIP5 and CMIP6 Models},
  author = {
Oudar, Thomas
and Cattiaux, Julien
and Douville, Hervé
},
  url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1029/2019GL086695},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {47},
}
,
@article{Tian
  title = {The Double‐ITCZ Bias in CMIP3, CMIP5, and CMIP6 Models Based on Annual Mean Precipitation},
  author = {
Tian, Baijun
and Dong, Xinyu
},
  url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1029/2020GL087232},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {47},
}
,
@article{Tsutsui
  title = {Diagnosing Transient Response to CO 2 Forcing in Coupled Atmosphere‐Ocean Model Experiments Using a Climate Model Emulator},
  author = {
Tsutsui, Junichi
},
  url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2019GL085844},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {47},
}
,
@article{Shiogama
  title = {Selecting Future Climate Projections of Surface Solar Radiation in Japan},
  author = {
Shiogama, Hideo
and Ito, Rui
and Imada, Yukiko
and Nakaegawa, Toshiyuki
and Hirota, Nagio
and Ishizaki, Noriko N.
and Takahashi, Kiyoshi
and Takayabu, Izuru
and Emori, Seita
},
  url = {https://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/sola/16/0/16_2020-013/_article},
  journal = {SOLA},
  volume = {16},
  pages = {75-79},
}
,
@article{Lu
  title = {Uncertainty and hotspots in 21st century projections of agricultural drought from CMIP5 models},
  author = {
Lu, Junyu
and Carbone, Gregory J.
and Grego, John M.
},
  url = {https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-019-41196-z},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {9},
}
,
@article{Po‐Chedley
  title = {Climatology Explains Intermodel Spread in Tropical Upper Tropospheric Cloud and Relative Humidity Response to Greenhouse Warming},
  author = {
Po‐Chedley, Stephen
and Zelinka, Mark D.
and Jeevanjee, Nadir
and Thorsen, Tyler J.
and Santer, Benjamin D.
},
  url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1029/2019GL084786},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {46},
  pages = {13399-13409},
}
,
@article{Irving
  title = {Anthropogenic Aerosols, Greenhouse Gases, and the Uptake, Transport, and Storage of Excess Heat in the Climate System},
  author = {
Irving, Damien. B.
and Wijffels, Susan.
and Church, John. A.
},
  url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1029/2019GL082015},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {46},
  pages = {4894-4903},
}
,
@article{Hua
  title = {An Externally Forced Decadal Rainfall Seesaw Pattern Over the Sahel and Southeast Amazon},
  author = {
Hua, Wenjian
and Dai, Aiguo
and Zhou, Liming
and Qin, Minhua
and Chen, Haishan
},
  url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2018GL081406},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {46},
  pages = {923-932},
}
,
@article{Shrestha
  title = {Impact of global climate change on stream low flows: A case study of the great Miami river watershed, Ohio, USA},
  author = {
Shrestha, Sabin
and Sharma, Suresh
and Gupta, Rishabh
and Bhattarai, Rabin
},
  url = {https://ijabe.org/index.php/ijabe/article/view/4486},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {12},
  pages = {84-95},
}
,
@article{Giannini
  title = {The role of aerosols and greenhouse gases in Sahel drought and recovery},
  author = {
Giannini, Alessandra
and Kaplan, Alexey
},
  journal = {Climatic Change},
  volume = {152},
  pages = {449},
}
,
@article{Yang
  title = {Uncertainty Quantification of Extratropical Forest Biomass in CMIP5 Models over the Northern Hemisphere},
  author = {
Yang, Cheng-En
and Mao, Jiafu
and Hoffman, Forrest M.
and Ricciuto, Daniel M.
and Fu, Joshua S.
and Jones, Chris D.
and Thurner, Martin
},
  url = {https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-018-29227-7},
  journal = {Scientific Reports},
  volume = {8},
}
,
@article{Po-Chedley
  title = {Climate constraint reflects forced signal},
  author = {
Po-Chedley, Stephen
and Proistosescu, Cristian
and Armour, Kyle C.
and Santer, Benjamin D.
},
  url = {https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-018-0640-y},
  journal = {Nature},
  volume = {563},
  pages = {E6-E9},
}
,
@article{Almazroui
  title = {Assessment of CMIP5 global climate models and projected changes in surface air temperature over the Arabian Peninsula in the twenty-first century},
  author = {
Almazroui, Mansour
},
  url = {https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s12517-018-4011-7},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {11},
}
,
@article{Ferguson
  title = {The Effect of Global Warming on Future Water Availability: CMIP5 Synthesis},
  author = {
Ferguson, C. R.
and Pan, M.
and Oki, Taikan
},
  url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1029/2018WR022792},
  journal = {Water Resources Research},
  volume = {54},
  pages = {7791-7819},
}
,
@article{Pu
  title = {How reliable are CMIP5 models in simulating dust optical depth?},
  author = {
Pu, Bing
and Ginoux, Paul
},
  url = {https://acp.copernicus.org/articles/18/12491/2018/},
  journal = {Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics},
  volume = {18},
  pages = {12491-12510},
}
,
@article{Jayasankar
  title = {Monsoon Climate Change Projection for the Orographic West Coast of India Using High-Resolution Nested Dynamical Downscaling Model},
  author = {
Jayasankar, C. B.
and Rajendran, Kavirajan
and Surendran, Sajani
},
  url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/resolve/doi?DOI=10.1029/2018JD028677},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
}
,
@article{Hua
  title = {Contributions of Internal Variability and External Forcing to the Recent Pacific Decadal Variations},
  author = {
Hua, Wenjian
and Dai, Aiguo
and Qin, Minhua
},
  url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2018GL079033},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {45},
  pages = {7084-7092},
}
,
@article{Jiwoo Lee
  title = {Quantifying the agreement between observed and simulated extratropical modes of interannual variability},
  author = {
Jiwoo Lee
and Kenneth R. Sperber
and Peter J. Gleckler
and Céline J. W. Bonfils
and Karl E. Taylor
},
  url = {https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-018-4355-4},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {52},
  pages = {4057-4089},
}
,
@article{Durack
  title = {Toward Standardized Data Sets for Climate Model Experimentation},
  author = {
Durack, Paul
and Taylor, Karl
and Eyring, Veronika
and Ames, Sasha
and Hoang, Tony
and Nadeau, Denis
and Doutriaux, Charles
and Stockhause, Martina
and Gleckler, Peter
},
  url = {https://eos.org/project-updates/toward-standardized-data-sets-for-climate-model-experimentation},
  journal = {EOS, Transactions},
  volume = {99},
}
,
@article{Li
  title = {Evaluating Global Land Surface Models in CMIP5: Analysis of Ecosystem Water- and Light-Use Efficiencies and Rainfall Partitioning},
  author = {
Li, Longhui
and Wang, Yingping
and Arora, Vivek K.
and Eamus, Derek
and Shi, Hao
and Li, Jing
and Cheng, Lei
and Cleverly, James
and Hajima, T.
and Ji, Duoying
and Jones, C.
and Kawamiya, M.
and Li, Weiping
and Tjiputra, J.
and Wiltshire, A.
and Zhang, Lu
and Yu, Qiang
},
  url = {https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0177.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {31},
  pages = {2995-3008},
}
,
@article{Po-Chedley
  title = {Sources of Intermodel Spread in the Lapse Rate and Water Vapor Feedbacks},
  author = {
Po-Chedley, Stephen
and Armour, Kyle C.
and Bitz, Cecilia M.
and Zelinka, Mark D.
and Santer, Benjamin D.
and Fu, Qiang
},
  url = {https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0674.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {31},
  pages = {3187-3206},
}
,
@article{Purich
  title = {Impacts of Broad-Scale Surface Freshening of the Southern Ocean in a Coupled Climate Model},
  author = {
Purich, Ariaan
and England, Matthew H.
and Cai, Wenju
and Sullivan, Arnold
and Durack, Paul J.
},
  url = {https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0092.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {31},
  pages = {2613-2632},
}
,
@article{Mori
  title = {The value of knowledge accumulation on climate sensitivity uncertainty: comparison between perfect information, single stage and act then learn decisions},
  author = {
Mori, Shunsuke
and Shiogama, Hideo
},
  url = {https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11625-018-0528-7},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {13},
  pages = {351-368},
}
,
@article{Koshiro
  title = {Evaluation of Relationships between Subtropical Marine Low Stratiform Cloudiness and Estimated Inversion Strength in CMIP5 Models Using the Satellite Simulator Package COSP},
  author = {
Koshiro, Tsuyoshi
and Shiotani, Masato
and Kawai, Hideaki
and Yukimoto, Seiji
},
  url = {https://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/sola/14/0/14_2018-005/_article},
  journal = {SOLA},
  volume = {14},
  pages = {25-32},
}
,
@article{Watanabe
  title = {Remote effects of mixed layer development on ocean acidification in the subsurface layers of the North Pacific},
  author = {
Watanabe, Michio
and Kawamiya, Michio
},
  url = {https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10872-017-0431-3},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {73},
  pages = {771-784},
}
,
@article{Almazroui
  title = {Assessment of Uncertainties in Projected Temperature and Precipitation over the Arabian Peninsula Using Three Categories of Cmip5 Multimodel Ensembles},
  author = {
Almazroui, Mansour
and Nazrul Islam, M.
and Saeed, Sajjad
and Alkhalaf, Abdulrahman K.
and Dambul, Ramzah
},
  url = {https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s41748-017-0027-5},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {1},
}
,
@article{Pu
  title = {Projection of American dustiness in the late 21st century due to climate change},
  author = {
Pu, Bing
and Ginoux, Paul
},
  url = {https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-017-05431-9},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {7},
}
,
@article{Lee
  title = {Thermodynamic and dynamic contributions to future changes in summer precipitation over Northeast Asia and Korea: a multi-RCM study},
  author = {
Lee, Donghyun
and Min, Seung-Ki
and Jin, Jonghun
and Lee, Ji-Woo
and Cha, Dong-Hyun
and Suh, Myoung-Seok
and Ahn, Joong-Bae
and Hong, Song-You
and Kang, Hyun-Suk
and Joh, Minsu
},
  url = {https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-017-3566-4},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {49},
  pages = {4121-4139},
}
,
@article{Courtney TA
  title = {Environmental controls on modern scleractinian coral and reef-scale calcification},
  author = {
Courtney TA
and Lebrato M
and Bates NR
and Collins A
and de Putron SJ
and Garley R
and Johnson R
and Molinero JC
and Noyes TJ
and Sabine CL
and Andersson AJ
},
  journal = {Other},
}
,
@article{Quesada Benjamin
  title = {Atmospheric, radiative, and hydrologic effects of future land use and land cover changes: A global and multimodel climate picture},
  author = {
Quesada Benjamin
and Arneth Almut
and de Noblet-Ducoudré Nathalie
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016JD025448/full},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {Volume 122},
  pages = {5113-5131},
}
,
@article{J. Saynisch.
  title = {Impact of oceanic warming on electromagnetic oceanic tidal signals: A CMIP5 climate model-based sensitivity study},
  author = {
J. Saynisch.
and J. Petereit
and C. Irrgang
and M. Thomas
},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
}
,
@article{Brady
  title = {Emergent anthropogenic trends in California Current upwelling},
  author = {
Brady, Riley X.
and Alexander, Michael A.
and Lovenduski, Nicole S.
and Rykaczewski, Ryan R.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2017GL072945/abstract},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
}
,
@article{Esteban Abellán
  title = {Analysis of the southward wind shift of ENSO in CMIP5 models},
  author = {
Esteban Abellán
and Shayne McGregor
and Matthew H. England
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {30},
  pages = {2415-2435},
}
,
@article{Zazulie
  title = {Regional climate of the subtropical central Andes using high-resolution CMIP5 models—part I: past performance (1980–2005)},
  author = {
Zazulie, N
and Rusticucci, M
and Raga, G. B.
},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,
@article{Mudryk
  title = {Snow cover response to temperature in observational and climate model ensembles},
  author = {
Mudryk, L. R.
and Kushner, P. J.
and Derksen, C.
and Thackeray, C.
},
  url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1002/2016GL071789},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {44},
  pages = {919-926},
}
,
@article{DeAngelis
  title = {Importance of vegetation processes for model spread in the fast precipitation response to CO2 forcing},
  author = {
DeAngelis, Anthony M.
and Qu, Xin
and Hall, Alex
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL071392/abstract},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {43},
  pages = {12,550-12,559},
}
,
@article{Purich
  title = {Tropical Pacific SST Drivers of Recent Antarctic Sea Ice Trends},
  author = {
Purich, Ariaan
and England, Matthew H.
and Cai, Wenju
and Chikamoto, Yoshimitsu
and Timmermann, Axel
and Fyfe, John C.
and Frankcombe, Leela
and Meehl, Gerald A.
and Arblaster, Julie M.
},
  url = {https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0440.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {29},
  pages = {8931-8948},
}
,
@article{Le
  title = {ENSO response to external forcing in CMIP5 simulations of the last millennium},
  author = {
Le, Thanh
},
  url = {http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0921818116305574?via%3Dihub},
  journal = {Other},
}
,
@article{Belda
  title = {Global warming-induced changes in climate zones based on CMIP5 projections},
  author = {
Belda, M
and Holtanová, E
and Kalvová, J
and Halenka, T
},
  url = {http://www.int-res.com/abstracts/cr/v71/n1/p17-31/},
  journal = {Climate Research},
  volume = {71},
  pages = {17-31},
}
,
@article{Jahn
  title = {How predictable is the timing of a summer ice‐free Arctic?},
  author = {
Jahn, Alexandra
and Kay, Jennifer E.
and Holland, Marika M.
and Hall, David M.
},
  url = {https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL070067},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {43},
  pages = {9113-9120},
}
,
@article{Tabari
  title = {Local impact analysis of climate change on precipitation extremes: are high-resolution climate models needed for realistic simulations?},
  author = {
Tabari, Hossein
and De Troch, Rozemien
and Giot, Olivier
and Hamdi, Rafiq
and Termonia, Piet
and Saeed, Sajjad
and Brisson, Erwan
and Van Lipzig, Nicole
and Willems, Patrick
},
  url = {http://www.hydrol-earth-syst-sci.net/20/3843/2016/},
  journal = {Hydrology and Earth System Sciences},
  volume = {20},
  pages = {3843-3857},
}
,
@article{Phoebe A. Woodworth-Jefcoats
  title = {Climate change is projected to reduce carrying capacity and redistribute species richness in North Pacific pelagic marine ecosystems},
  author = {
Phoebe A. Woodworth-Jefcoats
and Jeffrey J. Polovina
and Jeffrey C. Drazen
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com.eres.library.manoa.hawaii.edu/doi/10.1111/gcb.13471/full},
  journal = {Global Change Biology},
  volume = {23},
  pages = {1000-1008},
}
,
@article{Pendergrass
  title = {The Rain Is Askew: Two Idealized Models Relating Vertical Velocity and Precipitation Distributions in a Warming World},
  author = {
Pendergrass, Angeline G.
and Gerber, Edwin P.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0097.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {29},
  pages = {6445-6462},
}
,
@article{Danco
  title = {Effects of a Warming Climate on Daily Snowfall Events in the Northern Hemisphere},
  author = {
Danco, James F.
and DeAngelis, Anthony M.
and Raney, Bryan K.
and Broccoli, Anthony J.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0687.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {29},
  pages = {6295-6318},
}
,
@article{Jones
  title = {Simulating the Earth system response to negative emissions},
  author = {
Jones, C D
and Ciais, P
and Davis, S J
and Friedlingstein, P
and Gasser, T
and Peters, G P
and Rogelj, J
and van Vuuren, D P
and Canadell, J G
and Cowie, A
and Jackson, R B
and Jonas, M
and Kriegler, E
and Littleton, E
and Lowe, J A
and Milne, J
and Shrestha, G
and Smith, P
and Torvanger, A
and Wiltshire, A
},
  journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
  volume = {11},
  pages = {095012},
}
,
@article{Terai
  title = {Constraining the low-cloud optical depth feedback at middle and high latitudes using satellite observations},
  author = {
Terai, C. R.
and Klein, S. A.
and Zelinka, M. D.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016JD025233/abstract},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
}
,
@article{Alan J. Hewitt
  title = {Sources of uncertainty in future projections of the carbon cycle},
  author = {
Alan J. Hewitt
and Ben B. B. Booth
and Chris D. Jones
and Eddy S. Robertson
and Andy J. Wiltshire
and Philip G. Sansom
and David B. Stephenson
and Stan Yip
},
  url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0161.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,
@article{Medhaug
  title = {Global and regional surface cooling in a warming climate: a multi-model analysis},
  author = {
Medhaug, Iselin
and Drange, Helge
},
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-015-2811-y},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {46},
  pages = {3899-3920},
}
,
@article{Wills
  title = {Thermodynamic and dynamic controls on changes in the zonally anomalous hydrological cycle},
  author = {
Wills, Robert C.
and Byrne, Michael P.
and Schneider, Tapio
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL068418/abstract},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {43},
  pages = {4640-4649},
}
,
@article{Harrington
  title = {Poorest countries experience earlier anthropogenic emergence of daily temperature extremes},
  author = {
Harrington, Luke J
and Frame, David J
and Fischer, Erich M
and Hawkins, Ed
and Joshi, Manoj
and Jones, Chris D
},
  journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
  volume = {11},
  pages = {055007},
}
,
@article{Shiogama
  title = {Predicting future uncertainty constraints on global warming projections},
  author = {
Shiogama, H.
and Stone, D.
and Emori, S.
and Takahashi, K.
and Mori, S.
and Maeda, A.
and Ishizaki, Y.
and Allen, M. R.
},
  url = {https://www.nature.com/articles/srep18903},
  journal = {Scientific Reports},
  volume = {6},
}
,
@article{King
  title = {Emergence of heat extremes attributable to anthropogenic influences},
  author = {
King, Andrew D.
and Black, Mitchell T.
and Min, Seung-Ki
and Fischer, Erich M.
and Mitchell, Daniel M.
and Harrington, Luke J.
and Perkins-Kirkpatrick, Sarah E.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL067448/abstract},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {43},
  pages = {3438-3443},
}
,
@article{Purich
  title = {Evidence for link between modelled trends in Antarctic sea ice and underestimated westerly wind changes},
  author = {
Purich, Ariaan
and Cai, Wenju
and England, Matthew H.
and Cowan, Tim
},
  url = {https://www.nature.com/articles/ncomms10409},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {Nature Communications},
}
,
@article{Grieve
  title = {Range expansion of the invasive lionfish in the Northwest Atlantic with climate change},
  author = {
Grieve, BD
and Curchitser, EN
and Rykaczewski, RR
},
  url = {http://www.int-res.com/abstracts/meps/v546/p225-237/},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {546},
  pages = {225-237},
}
,
@article{Mahowald
  title = {Projections of leaf area index in earth system models},
  author = {
Mahowald, Natalie
and Lo, Fiona
and Zheng, Yun
and Harrison, Laura
and Funk, Chris
and Lombardozzi, Danica
and Goodale, Christine
},
  url = {http://www.earth-syst-dynam.net/7/211/2016/},
  journal = {Earth System Dynamics},
  volume = {7},
  pages = {211-229},
}
,
@article{Le
  title = {The influence of external forcing on subdecadal variability of regional surface temperature in CMIP5 simulations of the last millennium},
  author = {
Le, Thanh
and Sjolte, Jesper
and Muscheler, Raimund
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JD024423/abstract},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {121},
  pages = {1671-1682},
}
,
@article{Quesada Benjamin
  title = {Reduction of monsoon rainfall in response to past and future land-use and land-cover changes},
  author = {
Quesada Benjamin
and Devaraju Narayanappa
and de Noblet-Ducoudré Nathalie
and Arneth Almut
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL070663/abstract},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
}
,
@article{HAM
  title = {Assessing Future Climate Changes in the East Asian Summer and Winter Monsoon Using Regional Spectral Model},
  author = {
HAM, Suryun
and LEE, Ji-Woo
and YOSHIMURA, Kei
},
  url = {https://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/jmsj/94A/0/94A_2015-051/_article},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {94A},
  pages = {69-87},
}
,
@article{Zelinka
  title = {Insights from a refined decomposition of cloud feedbacks},
  author = {
Zelinka, Mark D.
and Zhou, Chen
and Klein, Stephen A.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL069917/abstract},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
}
,
@article{Pendergrass
  title = {Does extreme precipitation intensity depend on the emissions scenario?},
  author = {
Pendergrass, Angeline G.
and Lehner, Flavio
and Sanderson, Benjamin M.
and Xu, Yangyang
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL065854/abstract},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {42},
  pages = {8767-8774},
}
,
@article{Rotstayn
  title = {Why Does Aerosol Forcing Control Historical Global-Mean Surface Temperature Change in CMIP5 Models?},
  author = {
Rotstayn, Leon D.
and Collier, Mark A.
and Shindell, Drew T.
and Boucher, Olivier
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00712.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {28},
  pages = {6608-6625},
}
,
@article{Basharin
  title = {Projected precipitation and air temperature over Europe using a performance-based selection method of CMIP5 GCMs},
  author = {
Basharin, Dmitry
and Polonsky, Alexander
and Stankūnavičius, Gintautas
},
  url = {http://jwcc.iwaponline.com/content/7/1/103},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {Volume 7},
  pages = {jwc2015081-jwc2015081},
}
,
@article{Marvel
  title = {External Influences on Modeled and Observed Cloud Trends},
  author = {
Marvel, Kate
and Zelinka, Mark
and Klein, Stephen A.
and Bonfils, Céline
and Caldwell, Peter
and Doutriaux, Charles
and Santer, Benjamin D.
and Taylor, Karl E.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00734.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {28},
  pages = {4820-4840},
}
,
@article{Wieder
  title = {Future productivity and carbon storage limited by terrestrial nutrient availability},
  author = {
Wieder, William R.
and Cleveland, Cory C.
and Smith, W. Kolby
and Todd-Brown, Katherine
},
  url = {http://www.nature.com/ngeo/journal/v8/n6/full/ngeo2413.html},
  journal = {Nature Geoscience},
  volume = {8},
  pages = {441-444},
}
,
@article{Rotstayn
  title = {Effects of declining aerosols on projections of zonally averaged tropical precipitation},
  author = {
Rotstayn, L D
and Collier, M A
and Luo, J-J
},
  url = {http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/10/4/044018/meta},
  journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
  volume = {10},
  pages = {044018-044018},
}
,
@article{Belleflamme A.
  title = {Do global warming-induced circulation pattern changes affect temperature and precipitation over Europe during summer?},
  author = {
Belleflamme A.
and Fettweis X.
and Erpicum M.
},
  journal = {International Journal of Climatology},
  volume = {35},
  pages = {1484-1499},
}
,
@article{Lindvall J.
  title = {The diurnal temperature range in the CMIP5 models},
  author = {
Lindvall J.
and Svensson G.
},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {44},
  pages = {405-421},
}
,
@article{Scoccimarro E.
  title = {Projected changes in intense precipitation over Europe at the daily and sub-daily time scales},
  author = {
Scoccimarro E.
and Villarini G.
and Vichi M.
and Zampieri M.
and Fogli P.
and Bellucci A.
and Gualdi S.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00779.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,
@article{Ceppi P.
  title = {Connections between clouds, radiation, and midlatitude dynamics: a review},
  author = {
Ceppi P.
and Hartmann D. L.
},
  url = {http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s40641-015-0010-x},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {1},
  pages = {94-102},
}
,
@article{Zappa G.
  title = {The dependence of wintertime Mediterranean precipitation on the atmospheric circulation response to climate change},
  author = {
Zappa G.
and Hoskins B. J.
and Shepherd T. G.
},
  journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
  volume = {10},
}
,
@article{Kamae Y.
  title = {Robust cloud feedback over tropical land in a warming climate},
  author = {
Kamae Y.
and Ogura T.
and Watanabe M.
and Xie S.
and Ueda H.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JD024525/abstract},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
}
,
@article{Kamae Y.
  title = {Recent slowdown of tropical upper tropospheric warming associated with Pacific climate variability},
  author = {
Kamae Y.
and Shiogama H.
and Watanabe M.
and Ishii M.
and Ueda H.
and Kimoto M.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/wol1/doi/10.1002/2015GL063608/abstract},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {42},
  pages = {2995-3003},
}
,
@article{Hartin C. A.
  title = {A simple object-oriented and open-source model for scientific and policy analyses of the global climate system %u2013 Hector v1.0},
  author = {
Hartin C. A.
and Patel P.
and Schwarber A.
and Link R.
and Bond-Lamberty B. P.
},
  url = {http://www.geosci-model-dev-discuss.net/7/7075/2014/gmdd-7-7075-2014.html},
  journal = {Geoscientific Model Development},
  volume = {8},
  pages = {939-955},
}
,
@article{Chavaillaz Y.
  title = {Investigating the pace of temperature change and its implications over the twenty-first century},
  author = {
Chavaillaz Y.
and Joussaume S.
and Dehecq A.
and Braconnot P.
and Vautard R.
},
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10584-016-1659-4},
  journal = {Climatic Change},
  pages = {1-14},
}
,
@article{Chavaillaz Y.
  title = {Spatial stabilization and intensification of moistening and drying rate patterns under future climate change},
  author = {
Chavaillaz Y.
and Joussaume S.
and Bony S.
and Braconnot P.
},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  pages = {1-15},
}
,
@article{Raybaud V.
  title = {Climate-induced range shifts of the American jackknife clam Ensis directus in Europe},
  author = {
Raybaud V.
and Beaugrand G.
and Dewarumez J.
and Luczak C.
},
  url = {http://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007%2Fs10530-014-0764-4.pdf},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {17},
  pages = {725-741},
}
,
@article{King A. D.
  title = {The timing of anthropogenic emergence in simulated climate extremes},
  author = {
King A. D.
and Donat M. G.
and Fischer E. M.
and Hawkins E.
and Alexander L. V.
and Karoly D. J.
and Dittus A. J.
and Lewis S. C.
and Perkins S. E.
},
  url = {http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/10/9/094015/meta},
  journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
  volume = {10},
}
,
@article{King A. D.
  title = {Attribution of the record high Central England temperature of 2014 to anthropogenic influences},
  author = {
King A. D.
and van Oldenborgh G. J.
and Karoly D. J.
and Lewis S. C.
and Cullen H. M.
},
  url = {http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/10/5/054002},
  journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
  volume = {10},
}
,
@article{Chung E.
  title = {An assessment of methods for computing radiative forcing in climate models},
  author = {
Chung E.
and Soden B. J.
},
  url = {http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/10/7/074004/article},
  journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
  volume = {10},
}
,
@article{Zhang R.
  title = {Mechanisms for low-frequency variability of summer Arctic sea ice extent},
  author = {
Zhang R.
},
  url = {http://www.pnas.org/content/112/15/4570},
  journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences},
  volume = {112},
  pages = {4570-4575},
}
,
@article{Wild M.
  title = {The energy balance over land and oceans: An assessment based on direct observations and CMIP5 climate models},
  author = {
Wild M.
and Folini D.
and Hakuba M.
and Schär C.
and Seneviratne S.
and Kato S.
and Rutan D.
and Ammann C.
and Wood E.
and König-Langlo G.
},
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-014-2430-z},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {44},
  pages = {3393-3429},
}
,
@article{Qu X.
  title = { The strength of the tropical inversion and its response to climate change in 18 CMIP5 models},
  author = {
Qu X.
and Hall A.
and Klein S. A.
and Caldwell P. M.
},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {45},
  pages = {375-396},
}
,
@article{Gong H.
  title = {Diverse Influences of ENSO on the East Asian%u2013Western Pacific Winter Climate Tied to Different ENSO Properties in CMIP5 Models},
  author = {
Gong H.
and Wang L.
and Chen W.
and Nath D.
and Huang G.
and Tao W.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00405.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {28},
  pages = {2187-2202},
}
,
@article{Sui Y.
  title = {Temperature and precipitation signals over China with a 2°C global warming},
  author = {
Sui Y.
and Lang X.
and Jiang D.
},
  journal = {Climate Research},
  volume = {64},
  pages = {227-242},
}
,
@article{Jiang D.
  title = {The concept of global monsoon applied to the last glacial maximum: A multi-model analysis},
  author = {
Jiang D.
and Tian Z.
and Lang X.
and KAGEYAMA M.
and Ramstein G.
},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {126},
  pages = {129-139},
}
,
@article{Jiang D.
  title = {Reliability of climate models for China through the IPCC Third to Fifth Assessment Reports},
  author = {
Jiang D.
and Tian Z.
and Lang X.
},
  journal = {International Journal of Climatology},
  volume = {36},
  pages = {1114-1133},
}
,
@article{Jiang D.
  title = {Mid-Holocene global monsoon area and precipitation from PMIP simulations},
  author = {
Jiang D.
and Tian Z.
and Lang X.
},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {44},
  pages = {2493-2512},
}
,
@article{Liu Y.
  title = {Mid-Holocene permafrost: Results from CMIP5 simulations},
  author = {
Liu Y.
and Jiang D.
},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {121},
  pages = {221-240},
}
,
@article{Liu Y.
  title = {Last glacial maximum permafrost in China from CMIP5 simulations},
  author = {
Liu Y.
and Jiang D.
},
  journal = {Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology},
  volume = {447},
  pages = {12-21},
}
,
@article{da Silva G. A.
  title = {Refinement of the daily precipitation simulated by the CMIP5 models over the north of the Northeast of Brazil},
  author = {
da Silva G. A.
and Mendes D.
},
  url = { http://journal.frontiersin.org/article/10.3389/fenvs.2015.00029/pdf},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {3},
  pages = {1-16},
}
,
@article{Toreti A.
  title = {On the evaluation of climate model simulated precipitation extremes},
  author = {
Toreti A.
and Naveau P.
},
  url = {http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/10/1/014012},
  journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
  volume = {10},
}
,
@article{Steiner N. S.
  title = {The Future of the Subsurface Chlorophyll-a Maximum in the Canada Basin - A Model Intercomparison},
  author = {
Steiner N. S.
and Sou T.
and Deal C.
and Jackson J. M.
and Jin M.
and Popova E.
and Williams W.
},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research},
  volume = {121},
  pages = {387-409},
}
,
@article{Hewitt A. J.
  title = {Sources of uncertainty in future projections of the carbon cycle},
  author = {
Hewitt A. J.
and Booth B. B.
and Jones C. D.
and Robertson E. S.
and Wiltshire A. J.
and Sansom P. G.
and Stephenson D. B.
and Yip S.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,
@article{Hobbs W. R.
  title = {New Perspectives on Observed and Simulated Antarctic Sea Ice Extent Trends Using Optimal Fingerprinting Techniques},
  author = {
Hobbs W. R.
and Bindoff N.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {28},
  pages = {1543-1560},
}
,
@article{Dowdy A. J.
  title = {Rainfall in Australia%u2019s eastern seaboard: a review of confidence in projections based on observations and physical processes},
  author = {
Dowdy A. J.
and Grose M. R.
and Timbal B.
and Moise A.
and Ekström M.
and Bhend J.
and Wilson L.
},
  journal = {Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Journal},
  volume = {65},
  pages = {107-126},
}
,
@article{Muglia J.
  title = {Glacial Atlantic overturning increased by wind stress in climate models},
  author = {
Muglia J.
and Schmittner A.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL064583/abstract},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {42},
  pages = {9862-9868},
}
,
@article{Muglia J.
  title = {Glacial Atlantic overturning increased by wind stress in climate models},
  author = {
Muglia J.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL064583/full},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
}
,
@article{DeAngelis A. M.
  title = {An observational radiative constraint on hydrologic cycle intensification},
  author = {
DeAngelis A. M.
and Qu X.
and Zelinka M. D.
and Hall A.
},
  url = {http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v528/n7581/full/nature15770.html},
  journal = {Nature},
  volume = {528},
  pages = {249-253},
}
,
@article{Fläschner D.
  title = {Understanding the inter-model spread in global-mean hydrological sensitivity},
  author = {
Fläschner D.
and Mauritsen T.
and Stevens B.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,
@article{Fläschner D.
  title = {Understanding the inter-model spread in global-mean hydrological sensitivity},
  author = {
Fläschner D.
and Mauritsen T.
and Stevens B.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,
@article{Sylla M. B.
  title = {Projected robust shift of climate zones over West Africa in response to anthropogenic climate change for the late 21st century},
  author = {
Sylla M. B.
and Elguindi N.
and Giorgi F.
and Wisser D.
},
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-015-1522-z},
  journal = {Climatic Change},
}
,
@article{Sylla M. B.
  title = {Projected Changes in the Annual Cycle of High-Intensity Precipitation Events over West Africa for the Late Twenty-First Century},
  author = {
Sylla M. B.
and Giorgi F.
and Pal J. S.
and Gibba P.
and Kebe I.
and Nikiema M.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00854.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {28},
  pages = {6475-6488},
}
,
@article{Roberts C. D.
  title = {Quantifying the likelihood of a continued hiatus in global warming},
  author = {
Roberts C. D.
and Palmer M. D.
and McNeall D.
and Collins M.
},
  url = {http://http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/v5/n4/full/nclimate2531.html},
  journal = {Nature Climate Change},
  volume = {5},
  pages = {337-342},
}
,
@article{Loder J. W.
  title = {Climate comparisons and change projections for the Northwest Atlantic from six CMIP5 models},
  author = {
Loder J. W.
and van der Baaren A.
and Yashayaev I.
},
  url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/07055900.2015.1087836},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {53},
}
,
@article{Melet A. V.
  title = {Explaining the Spread in Global Mean Thermosteric Sea Level Rise in CMIP5 Climate Models},
  author = {
Melet A. V.
and Meyssignac B.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,
@article{Melet A. V.
  title = {Explaining the Spread in Global Mean Thermosteric Sea Level Rise in CMIP5 Climate Models},
  author = {
Melet A. V.
and Meyssignac B.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,
@article{Melet A. V.
  title = {Explaining the Spread in Global Mean Thermosteric Sea Level Rise in CMIP5 Climate Models},
  author = {
Melet A. V.
and Meyssignac B.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,
@article{Kam J.
  title = {Record annual mean warmth over Europe, the northeast Pacific, and the northwest Atlantic during 2014: Assessment of anthropogenic influence},
  author = {
Kam J.
and Knutson T. R.
and Zeng F.
and Wittenberg A. T.
},
  journal = {Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society},
}
,
@article{Hauck J.
  title = {On the Southern Ocean CO2 uptake and the role of the biological carbon pump in the 21st century},
  author = {
Hauck J.
and Völker C.
and Wolf-Gladrow D. A.
and Laufkötter C.
and Vogt M.
and Aumont O.
and Bopp L.
and Buitenhuis E. T.
and Doney S. C.
and Dunne J.
and Gruber N.
and Hashioka T.
and John J.
and Le Quéré C.
and Lima I. D.
and Nakano H.
and Séférian R.
and Totterdell I.
},
  journal = {Global Biogeochemical Cycles},
  volume = {29},
}
,
@article{Ferraro A. J.
  title = {Physical Mechanisms of Tropical Climate Feedbacks Investigated using Temperature and Moisture Trends},
  author = {
Ferraro A. J.
and Lambert F. H.
and Collins M.
and Miles G. M.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,
@article{Boisier J.
  title = {Anthropogenic and natural contributions to the Southeast Pacific precipitation decline and recent megadrought in central Chile},
  author = {
Boisier J.
and Rondanelli R.
and Garreaud R.
and Muñoz F.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL067265/full},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
}
,
@article{Boisier J.
  title = {Projected strengthening of Amazonian dry season by constrained climate model simulations},
  author = {
Boisier J.
and Ciais P.
and Ducharne A.
and Guimberteau M.
},
  url = {http://http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/v5/n7/full/nclimate2658.html},
  journal = {Nature Climate Change},
  volume = {5},
  pages = {656-660},
}
,
@article{Ji Z.
  title = {Potential climate effect of mineral aerosols over West Africa: Part II%u2014contribution of dust and land cover to future climate change},
  author = {
Ji Z.
and Wang G.
and Yu M.
and Pal J. S.
},
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-015-2792-x#page-1},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,
@article{Ji Z.
  title = {Potential climate effect of mineral aerosols over West Africa: Part II%u2014contribution of dust and land cover to future climate change},
  author = {
Ji Z.
and Wang G.
and Yu M.
and Pal J. S.
},
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-015-2792-x#page-1},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,
@article{Ji Z.
  title = {Potential climate effect of mineral aerosols over West Africa. Part I: model validation and contemporary climate evaluation},
  author = {
Ji Z.
and Wang G.
and Pal J. S.
and Yu M.
},
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-015-2641-y},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,
@article{Ji Z.
  title = {Evaluation of extreme climate events using a regional climate model for China},
  author = {
Ji Z.
and Kang S.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/joc.4024/epdf},
  journal = {International Journal of Climatology},
  volume = {35},
  pages = {888-902},
}
,
@article{Fueglistaler S.
  title = {The distribution of precipitation and the spread in tropical upper tropospheric temperature trends in CMIP5/AMIP simulations},
  author = {
Fueglistaler S.
and Radley C.
and Held I. M.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL064966/full},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {42},
  pages = {6000-6007},
}
,
@article{Fueglistaler S.
  title = {The distribution of precipitation and the spread in tropical upper tropospheric temperature trends in CMIP5/AMIP simulations},
  author = {
Fueglistaler S.
and Radley C.
and Held I. M.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL064966/full},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {42},
  pages = {6000-6007},
}
,
@article{English J. M.
  title = {Arctic Radiative Fluxes: Present-Day Biases and Future Projections in CMIP5 Models},
  author = {
English J. M.
and Gettelman A.
and Henderson G. R.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00801.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {28},
  pages = {6019-6038},
}
,
@article{Strobach E.
  title = {Improvement of climate predictions and reduction of their uncertainties using learning algorithms },
  author = {
Strobach E.
and Bel G.
},
  url = {http://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/15/8631/2015/acp-15-8631-2015.html},
  journal = {Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics},
  volume = {15},
  pages = {8631-8641},
}
,
@article{Vano J. A.
  title = {Selecting climate change scenarios using impact-relevant sensitivities},
  author = {
Vano J. A.
and Kim J. B.
and Rupp D. E.
and Mote P. W.
},
  url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2015GL063208},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
}
,
@article{Melia N.
  title = {Improved Arctic sea ice thickness projections using bias-corrected CMIP5 simulations },
  author = {
Melia N.
and Haines K.
and Hawkins E.
},
  url = {http://www.the-cryosphere.net/9/2237/2015/tc-9-2237-2015.html},
  journal = {The Cryosphere},
  volume = {9},
  pages = {2237-2251},
}
,
@article{Melia N.
  title = {Improved Arctic sea ice thickness projections using bias corrected CMIP5 simulations},
  author = {
Melia N.
and Haines K.
and Hawkins E.
},
  url = {http://www.the-cryosphere-discuss.net/9/3821/2015/},
  journal = {The Cryosphere Discussions},
  volume = {9},
  pages = {3821-3857},
}
,
@article{Hu W.
  title = {Relationship between South China Sea Precipitation Variability and Tropical Indo-Pacific SST Anomalies in IPCC CMIP5 Models during Spring-to-Summer Transition},
  author = {
Hu W.
and Wu R.
},
  journal = {Advances in Atmospheric Sciences},
  volume = {32},
  pages = {1303-1318},
}
,
@article{Rykaczewski R. R.
  title = {Poleward displacement of coastal upwelling-favorable winds in the ocean's eastern boundary currents through the 21st century},
  author = {
Rykaczewski R. R.
and Dunne J. P.
and Sydeman W. J.
and GarcÃa-Reyes M.
and Black B. A.
and Bograd S. J.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL064694/full},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {42},
}
,
@article{Hopcroft P. O.
  title = {How well do simulated last glacial maximum tropical temperatures constrain equilibrium climate sensitivity?},
  author = {
Hopcroft P. O.
and Valdes P. J.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL064903/abstract},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
}
,
@article{Magi B. I.
  title = {Global Lightning Paramterization from CMIP5 Climate Model Output},
  author = {
Magi B. I.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JTECH-D-13-00261.1},
  journal = {Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology},
}
,
@article{Swart N. C.
  title = {Influence of internal variability on Arctic sea-ice trends},
  author = {
Swart N. C.
and Fyfe J. C.
and Hawkins E.
and Kay J. E.
and Jahn A.
},
  url = {http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/v5/n2/full/nclimate2483.html},
  journal = {Nature Climate Change},
  volume = {5},
  pages = {86-89},
}
,
@article{Tian D.
  title = {Future Changes and Uncertainties in Temperature and Precipitation over China based on CMIP5 models},
  author = {
Tian D.
and Guo Y.
and Dong W.
},
  journal = {Advances in Atmospheric Sciences},
  volume = {32},
  pages = {487-496},
}
,
@article{Guo Y.
  title = {Two dominant modes of winter temperature variations over China and their relationships with large-scale circulations in CMIP5 models},
  author = {
Guo Y.
and Zhao Z.
and Dong W.
},
  journal = {Theoretical and Applied Climatology},
}
,
@article{Wang G.
  title = {Unambiguous warming in the western tropical Pacific primarily caused by anthropogenic forcing},
  author = {
Wang G.
and Power S. S.
and McGree S.
},
  journal = {International Journal of Climatology},
}
,
@article{Kumar D.
  title = {Evaluating wind extremes in CMIP5 climate models},
  author = {
Kumar D.
and Mishra V.
and Ganguly A. R.
},
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-014-2070-3},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {45},
  pages = {441-453},
}
,
@article{Evan A. T.
  title = {Water Vapor%u2013Forced Greenhouse Warming over the Sahara Desert and the Recent Recovery from the Sahelian Drought},
  author = {
Evan A. T.
and Flamant C.
and Lavaysse C.
and Kocha C.
and Saci A.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {28},
}
,
@article{Flamant C.
  title = {An analysis of aeolian dust in climate models},
  author = {
Flamant C.
and Fiedler S.
and Doherty O.
},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {41},
}
,
@article{Flamant C.
  title = {An analysis of aeolian dust in climate models},
  author = {
Flamant C.
and Fiedler S.
and Doherty O.
},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {41},
}
,
@article{Xiao C.
  title = {Projected changes of wintertime synoptic-scale transient eddy activities in the East Asian eddy-driven jet from CMIP5 experiments},
  author = {
Xiao C.
and Zhang Y.
},
  url = {http://www-personal.umich.edu/~cxiao/pubs/2015_GRL_Xiao&Zhang.pdf},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {42},
  pages = {6008-6013},
}
,
@article{Belda M.
  title = {Evaluation of CMIP5 present climate simulations using the Köppen-Trewartha climate classification},
  author = {
Belda M.
and Holtanová E.
and Halenka T.
and Kalvová J.
and Hlávka Z.
},
  url = {http://www.int-res.com/abstracts/cr/v64/n3/p201-212/},
  journal = {Climate Research},
  volume = {64},
  pages = {201-212},
}
,
@article{Chang E. K.
  title = {Significant Modulation of Variability and Projected Change in California Winter Precipitation by Extratropical Cyclone Acitivity},
  author = {
Chang E. K.
and Zheng C.
and Lanigan P.
and Yau A. M.
and Neelin J. D.
},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
}
,
@article{Jiang L.
  title = {Scale-Dependent Performance of CMIP5 Earth System Models in Simulating Terrestrial Vegetation Carbon},
  author = {
Jiang L.
and Yan Y.
and Hararuk O.
and Mikle N.
and Xia J.
and Shi Z.
and Tjiputra J.
and Wu T.
and Luo Y.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {28},
  pages = {5217-5231},
}
,
@article{Willison J.
  title = {North Atlantic Storm-Track Sensitivity to Warming Increases with Model Resolution},
  author = {
Willison J.
and Robinson W. A.
and Lackmann G. M.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00715.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {28},
  pages = {4513-4524},
}
,
@article{Phillips T. J.
  title = {Koppen bioclimatic evaluation of CMIP historical climate simulations},
  author = {
Phillips T. J.
and Bonfils C. J.
},
  url = {http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/10/6/064005/article },
  journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
  volume = {10},
}
,
@article{Yang Y.
  title = {Attributing Analysis on the Model Bias in Surface Temperature in the Climate System Model FGOALS-s2 through a Process-Based Decomposition Method},
  author = {
Yang Y.
and Ren R.
and Cai M.
and Rao J.
},
  journal = {Advances in Atmospheric Sciences},
  volume = {32},
  pages = {457-469},
}
,
@article{Ren R.
  title = {Understanding the systematic air temperature biases in a coupled climate system model through a process%u2010based decomposition method},
  author = {
Ren R.
and Yang Y.
and Cai M.
and Rao J.
},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,
@article{Rao J.
  title = {Parallel Comparison of the Northern Winter Stratospheric Circulation in Reanalysis and in CMIP5 Models},
  author = {
Rao J.
and Ren R.
and Yang Y.
},
  journal = {Advances in Atmospheric Sciences},
  volume = {32},
}
,
@article{Lixia Z.
  title = {An Assessment of Improvements in Global Monsoon Precipitation Simulation in FGOALS-s2?},
  author = {
Lixia Z.
and Tianjun Z.
},
  journal = {Advances in Atmospheric Sciences},
}
,
@article{Bo W.
  title = {Decadal predictions by a coupled global climate model FGOALS-s2},
  author = {
Bo W.
and Xiaolong C.
and Fengfei S.
and Yong S.
and Tianjun Z.
},
  journal = {Advances in Meteorology},
}
,
@article{Wright D. B.
  title = {Regional climate model projections of rainfall from U.S. landfalling tropical cyclones},
  author = {
Wright D. B.
and Knutson T. R.
and Smith J. A.
},
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-015-2544-y},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  pages = {1-15},
}
,
@article{Shuangmei M.
  title = {Precipitation changes in wet and dry seasons over the 20th century simulated by two versions of the FGOALS model},
  author = {
Shuangmei M.
and Tianjun Z.
},
  journal = {Advances in Atmospheric Sciences},
}
,
@article{Renping L.
  title = {Reproducibility and Future Projections of the Precipitation Structure in East Asia in Four Chines e GCMs That Participated in the CMIP5 Experiments },
  author = {
Renping L.
and Tianjun Z.
},
  journal = {Journal of Atmopspheric Sciences},
}
,
@article{Chao H.
  title = {Responses of the Western North Pacific Subtropical High to Global Warming under RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 Scenarios Projected by 33 CMIP5 Models: The Dominance of Tropical Indian Ocean%u2013Tropical Western Pacific SST Gradient},
  author = {
Chao H.
and Tianjun Z.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,
@article{Liwei Z.
  title = {Asian summer monsoon onset in simulations and CMIP5 projections using four Chinese climate models},
  author = {
Liwei Z.
and Tianjun Z.
},
  journal = {Advances in Atmospheric Sciences},
}
,
@article{Bo W.
  title = {Relationships between ENSO and the East Asian%u2013western North Pacific monsoon: observations versus 18 CMIP5 models},
  author = {
Bo W.
and Tianjun Z.
},
  url = {http://http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-015-2609-y/fulltext.html},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,
@article{Menary M. B.
  title = {Exploring the impact of CMIP5 model biases on the simulation of North Atlantic decadal variability},
  author = {
Menary M. B.
and Hodson D. L.
and Robson J. I.
and Sutton R. T.
and Wood R. A.
and Hunt J. A.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL064360/full},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
}
,
@article{Chan D.
  title = {Attributing Observed SST Trends and Sub-Continental Land Warming to Anthropogenic Forcing during 1979-2005},
  author = {
Chan D.
and Wu Q.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/pdf/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00253.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {28},
  pages = {3152-3170},
}
,
@article{Perez J.
  title = {Statistical multi-model climate projections of surface ocean waves in Europe},
  author = {
Perez J.
and Menendez M.
and Camus P.
and Mendez F. J.
and Losada I. J.
},
  journal = {Ocean Modelling},
}
,
@article{Notaro M.
  title = {Dynamically downscaled projections of lake-effect snow in the Great Lakes Basin},
  author = {
Notaro M.
and Bennington V.
and Vavrus S.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00467.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {28},
  pages = {1661-1684},
}
,
@article{Durack P. J.
  title = {Ocean salinity and the global water cycle},
  author = {
Durack P. J.
},
  url = {http://www.tos.org/oceanography/archive/28-1_durack.html},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {28},
  pages = {20-31},
}
,
@article{Durack P. J.
  title = {Long-term sea-level change revisited: the role of salinity},
  author = {
Durack P. J.
and Wijffels S. E.
and Gleckler P. J.
},
  url = {http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/9/11/114017/},
  journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
  volume = {9},
  pages = {---},
}
,
@article{Belda M.
  title = {Evaluation of CMIP5 present climate simulations using the Köppen-Trewartha climate classification},
  author = {
Belda M.
and Holtanová E.
and Halenka T.
and Kalvová J.
and Hlávka Z.
},
  url = {http://www.int-res.com/abstracts/cr/v64/n3/p201-212/},
  journal = {Climate Research},
  volume = {64},
  pages = {201-212},
}
,
@article{Fountalis I.
  title = {ENSO in CMIP5 simulations: network connectivity from the recent past to the twenty%u2011third century},
  author = {
Fountalis I.
and Bracco A.
and Dovrolis C.
},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {45},
  pages = {511-538},
}
,
@article{Lau W. K.
  title = {Robust responses of the Hadley circulation and global dryness form CMIP5 model CO2 warming projections},
  author = {
Lau W. K.
and Kim K.
},
  url = {http://www.pnas.org/cgi/doi/10.1073/pnas.1418682112},
  journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences},
}
,
@article{Murari K. K.
  title = {Intensification of future severe heat waves in India and their effect on heat stress and mortality },
  author = {
Murari K. K.
and Ghosh S.
and Patwardhan A.
and Daly E.
and Salvi K.
},
  url = {http://http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10113-014-0660-6},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {15},
  pages = {569-579},
}
,
@article{Nasrollahi N.
  title = {How Well Do CMIP5 Climate Simulations Replicate Historical Trends and Patterns of Meteorological Droughts?},
  author = {
Nasrollahi N.
and AghaKouchak A.
and Cheng L.
and Damberg L.
and Phillips T.
and Miao C.
and Hsu K.
and Sorooshian S.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014WR016318/full},
  journal = {Water Resources Research},
  volume = { 51},
  pages = {2847-2864},
}
,
@article{Cheng L.
  title = {Non-stationary Return Levels of CMIP5 Multi-Model Temperature Extremes},
  author = {
Cheng L.
and AghaKouchak A.
and Phillips T.
},
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-015-2625-y},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {44},
  pages = {2947-2963},
}
,
@article{Lee Y.
  title = {The Structure and Dynamics of the Stratospheric Northern Annular Mode in CMIP5 Simulations},
  author = {
Lee Y.
and Black R. X.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,
@article{Shuai-Lei Y.
  title = {INHOMOGENEOUS warming of the Tropical Indian Ocean in the CMIP5 model simulations during 1900-2005 and associated mechanisms},
  author = {
Shuai-Lei Y.
and Gang H.
and Renguang W.
and Xia Q.
and Dong C.
},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,
@article{Zaehle S.
  title = {Nitrogen availability reduces CMIP5 projections of 21st century land carbon uptake},
  author = {
Zaehle S.
and Jones C. D.
and Houlton B. Z.
and Lamarque J.
and Robertson E.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {28},
  pages = {2494-2511},
}
,
@article{Jones R. G.
  title = {Sub-selecting CMIP5 GCMs for downscaling over multiple regions },
  author = {
Jones R. G.
and Rowell D. P.
and Lee R.
},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {44},
  pages = {3237-3260},
}
,
@article{Saini R.
  title = {Comparison of RCM and GCM projections of boreal summer precipitation over Africa},
  author = {
Saini R.
and Wang G.
and Yu M.
and Kim J.
},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {120},
  pages = {3679-3699},
}
,
@article{Schindler A.
  title = {On the internal variability of simulated daily precipitation},
  author = {
Schindler A.
and Toreti A.
and Zampieri M.
and Scoccimarro E.
and Gualdi S.
and Fukutome S.
and Xoplaki E.
and Luterbacher J.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00745.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {28},
  pages = {3624-3630},
}
,
@article{Economou T.
  title = {Serial clustering of extratropical cyclones in a multi-model ensemble of historical and future simulations},
  author = {
Economou T.
and Stephenson D. B.
and Pinto J. G.
and Shaffrey L. C.
and Zappa G.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/qj.2591/abstract;jsessionid=EAFF0F98AAC6DD4B995F78DF54810F32.f01t01},
  journal = {Quarterly Journal Royal Meteorological Society},
}
,
@article{Guo F.
  title = {Three types of Indian Ocean Dipoles},
  author = {
Guo F.
and Liu Q.
and Sun S.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {28},
  pages = {3073-3092},
}
,
@article{Takao S.
  title = {Projecting the impacts of rising seawater temperatures on the distribution of seaweeds around Japan under multiple climate change scenarios},
  author = {
Takao S.
and Kumagai N. H.
and Yamano H.
and Fujii M.
and Yamanaka Y.
},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {5},
  pages = {213-223},
}
,
@article{Kim D.
  title = {Role of longwave cloud-radiation feedback in the simulation of the Madden-Julian oscillation.},
  author = {
Kim D.
and Ahn M.
and Kang I.
and Del Genio A.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,
@article{Asadieh B.
  title = {Global trends in extreme precipitation: climate models versus observations },
  author = {
Asadieh B.
and Krakauer N. Y.
},
  url = {http://http://www.hydrol-earth-syst-sci.net/19/877/2015/hess-19-877-2015.html},
  journal = {Hydrology and Earth System Sciences},
  volume = {19},
  pages = {877-891},
}
,
@article{Sun F.
  title = {A Hybrid Dynamical%u2013Statistical Downscaling Technique. Part II: End-of-Century Warming Projections Predict a New Climate State in the Los Angeles Region },
  author = {
Sun F.
and Walton D. B.
and Alex H.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00197.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {28},
  pages = {4618-4636},
}
,
@article{Scheff J.
  title = {Terrestrial aridity and its response to greenhouse warming across CMIP5 climate models},
  author = {
Scheff J.
and Frierson D. M.
},
  url = {http://www.ldeo.columbia.edu/~jscheff/SF2014Aridity_EOR.pdf},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,
@article{Hood L. L.
  title = {Solar signals in CMIP-5 simulations: The ozone response},
  author = {
Hood L. L.
and Misios S.
and Mitchell D. M.
and Rozanov E.
and Gray L. J.
and Tourpali K.
and Matthes K.
and Schmidt H.
and Chiodo G.
and Thieblemont R.
and Shindell D.
and Krivolutsky A.
},
  journal = {Quarterly Journal Royal Meteorological Society},
}
,
@article{Schoof J. T.
  title = {High-resolution projections of 21st century daily precipitation for the contiguous U.S.},
  author = {
Schoof J. T.
},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {120},
}
,
@article{Cabre A.
  title = {Oxygen minimum zones in the tropical Pacific across CMIP5 models: mean state differences and climate change trends},
  author = {
Cabre A.
and Marinov I.
and Bernardello R.
},
  url = {http://www.biogeosciences-discuss.net/12/8157/2015/bgd-12-8157-2015.html},
  journal = {Biogeosciences Discussions},
  volume = {12},
  pages = {6525-6587},
}
,
@article{Tabari H.
  title = {Water availability change in central Belgium for the late 21st century},
  author = {
Tabari H.
and Teferi Taye M.
and Willems P.
},
  url = {http://ac.els-cdn.com/S0921818115001095/1-s2.0-S0921818115001095-main.pdf?_tid=8870216a-1985-11e5-97db-00000aab0f02&acdnat=1435049881_8afe47599c8ba7bdae2dbf1bd6600e52},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {131},
}
,
@article{Van de Perre E.
  title = {Climate impact on Alternaria moulds and their mycotoxins in fresh produce: The case of the tomato chain},
  author = {
Van de Perre E.
and Jacxsens L.
and Liu C.
and Devlieghere F.
and Meulenaer B. d.
},
  url = {http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0963996914006607},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {68},
  pages = {41-46},
}
,
@article{Caron L.
  title = {Multiannual forecasts of Atlantic U.S. tropical cyclone wind damage potential},
  author = {
Caron L.
and Hermanson L.
and Doblas-Reyes F. J.
},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {42},
  pages = {2417-2425},
}
,
@article{Liu C.
  title = {Preparing suitable climate scenario data to assess impacts on local food safety},
  author = {
Liu C.
and Hofstra N.
and Leemans R.
},
  url = {http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0963996914005559},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {68},
  pages = {31-40},
}
,
@article{Liu W.
  title = {Projecting streamflow in Tangwang River basin (China) using a rainfall generatore and two hydrological models},
  author = {
Liu W.
and Zhang A.
and Wang L.
and Fu G.
and Chen D.
and Liu C.
and Cai T.
},
  journal = {Climate Research},
  volume = {62},
  pages = {79-97},
}
,
@article{Wang W.
  title = {Statistical modeling and CMIP5 simulations of hot spell changes in China},
  author = {
Wang W.
and Zhou W.
and Li Y.
and Wang X.
and Wang D.
},
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-014-2287-1},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {44},
  pages = {2859-2872},
}
,
@article{Loik M. E.
  title = {Impact of intra- vs. inter-annual snow depth variation on water relations and photosynthesis for two Great Basin Desert shrubs},
  author = {
Loik M. E.
and Griffith A. B.
and Alpert H.
and Concilio A. L.
and Wade C. E.
and Martinson S. J.
},
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00442-015-3224-7?},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {178},
  pages = {403-414},
}
,
@article{Paek H.
  title = {A Source of AGCM Bias in Simulating the Western Pacific Subtropical High: Different Sensitivities to the Two Types of ENSO},
  author = {
Paek H.
and Yu J.
and Hwu J.
and Lu M.
and Gao T.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/MWR-D-14-00401.1},
  journal = {Monthly Weather Review},
  volume = {143},
  pages = {2348-2362},
}
,
@article{Varela S.
  title = {Differential effects of temperature change and human impact on European Late Quaternary mammalian extinctions},
  author = {
Varela S.
and Lima-Ribeiro M.
and et al ..
},
  journal = {Global Change Biology},
}
,
@article{Varela S.
  title = {A Short Guide to the Climatic Variables of the Last Glacial Maximum for Biogeographers},
  author = {
Varela S.
and Lima-Ribeiro M.
and Terribile L. C.
},
  journal = {Other},
}
,
@article{Oliveira G.
  title = {CONSERVATION BIOGEOGRAPHY OF THE CERRADO%u2019S WILD EDIBLE PLANTS UNDER CLIMATE CHANGE: LINKING BIOTIC STABILITY WITH AGRICULTURAL EXPANSION},
  author = {
Oliveira G.
and Lima-Ribeiro M.
and et al ..
},
  journal = {Other},
}
,
@article{Bezeau P.
  title = {Variability in summer anticyclonic circulation over the Canadian Arctic Archipelago and west Greenland in the late 20th/early 21st centuries and its effect on glacier mass balance},
  author = {
Bezeau P.
and Sharp M.
and Gascon G.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/joc.4000/abstract},
  journal = {International Journal of Climatology},
  volume = {35},
  pages = {540-557},
}
,
@article{Leung S.
  title = {A latitudinally-banded phytoplankton response to 21st century climate change in the Southern Ocean across the CMIP5 model suite},
  author = {
Leung S.
and Cabre A.
and Marinov I.
},
  url = {http://www.biogeosciences-discuss.net/12/8157/2015/bgd-12-8157-2015.html},
  journal = {Biogeosciences Discussions},
  volume = {12},
  pages = {8157-8197},
}
,
@article{Smith S. J.
  title = {Near-term acceleration in the rate of temperature change},
  author = {
Smith S. J.
and Edmonds J. A.
and Hartin C. A.
and Mundra A.
and Calvin K.
},
  url = {http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/v5/n4/full/nclimate2552.html},
  journal = {Nature Climate Change},
  volume = {5},
  pages = {333-336},
}
,
@article{Schwalm C. R.
  title = {Reduction in carbon uptake during turn of the century drought in western North America},
  author = {
Schwalm C. R.
and Williams C. A.
and Schaefer K.
and Baldocchi D.
and Black T.
and Goldstein A. H.
and Beverly L. E.
and Oechel W. C.
and Paw U K.
and Scott R. L.
},
  journal = {Nature Geoscience},
}
,
@article{Ao C.
  title = {Evaluation of CMIP5 upper troposphere geopotential height with GPS radio occultation observations},
  author = {
Ao C.
and Jiang J. H.
and Mannucci A.
and Verkhoglyadova O.
and Zhai C.
and Cole J.
and Donner L.
and Inversen T.
and Morcrette C.
and Rotstayn L.
and Watanabe M.
and Yukimoto S.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014JD022239/full},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {120},
}
,
@article{Jiang J. H.
  title = {Evaluating the diurnal cycle of upper tropospheric ice clouds in climate models using SMILES observations},
  author = {
Jiang J. H.
and Su H.
and Zhai C.
and Shen J.
and Wu T.
and Cole J.
and Salzen K.
and Donner L.
and Del Genio A.
and Nazarenko L.
and Dufresne J.
and Watanabe M.
and Morcrette C.
and Koshiro T.
and Kawai H.
and Gettelman A.
and Millán L.
and Read W.
and Livesey N.
and Kasai Y.
and Shiotani M.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JAS-D-14-0124.1},
  journal = {Journal of Atmopspheric Sciences},
  volume = {72},
}
,
@article{Knutson T. R.
  title = {Global Projections of Intense Tropical Cyclone Activity for the Late Twenty-First Century from Dynamical Downscaling of CMIP5/RCP4.5 Scenarios},
  author = {
Knutson T. R.
and Sirutis J. J.
and Zhao M.
and Tuleya R. E.
and Bender M.
and Vecchi G. A.
and Villarini G.
and Chavas D.
},
  url = {http://http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0129.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {28},
  pages = {7203-7224},
}
,
@article{Tian B.
  title = {Spread of model climate sensitivity linked to double-intertropical convergence zone bias},
  author = {
Tian B.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL064119/abstract},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {42},
  pages = {4133-4141},
}
,
@article{Wang H.
  title = {The ENSO Effects on Tropical Clouds and Top-of-Atmosphere Cloud Radiative Effects in CMIP5 Models},
  author = {
Wang H.
and Su W.
},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {120},
}
,
@article{Cavaleri M. A.
  title = {Urgent need for warming experiments in tropical forests},
  author = {
Cavaleri M. A.
and Reed S. C.
and Smith W. K.
and Wood T. E.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.12860/epdf},
  journal = {Global Change Biology},
  volume = {21},
  pages = {2111-2121},
}
,
@article{Schnorbus M. A.
  title = {Statistical emulation of streamflow projections from a distributed hydrological model: Application to CMIP3 and CMIP5 climate projections for British Columbia, Canada},
  author = {
Schnorbus M. A.
and Cannon A. J.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014WR015279/abstract},
  journal = {Water Resources Research},
  volume = {50},
  pages = {8907-8926},
}
,
@article{Cannon A. J.
  title = {Selecting GCM Scenarios that Span the Range of Changes in a Multimodel Ensemble: Application to CMIP5 Climate Extremes Indices},
  author = {
Cannon A. J.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00636.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {28},
  pages = {1260-1267},
}
,
@article{Sierra J. P.
  title = {Precipitation over Northern South America and Its Seasonal Variability as Simulated by the CMIP5 Models},
  author = {
Sierra J. P.
and Arias P. A.
and Vieira S. C.
},
  url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2015/634720},
  journal = {Advances in Meteorology},
  volume = {2015},
}
,
@article{Lute A. C.
  title = {Projected changes in snowfall extremes and interannual variability of snowfall in the western United States},
  author = {
Lute A. C.
and Abatzoglou J. T.
and Hegewisch K. C.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014WR016267/epdf},
  journal = {Water Resources Research},
  volume = {51},
  pages = {960-972},
}
,
@article{Niznik M. J.
  title = {The Role of Tropical-Extratropical Interaction and Synoptic Variability in Maintaining the South Pacific Convergence Zone in CMIP5 Models},
  author = {
Niznik M. J.
and Lintner B. R.
and Matthews A. J.
and Widlansky M. J.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {28},
  pages = {3353-3374},
}
,
@article{Cheung H.
  title = {Implications of Ural blocking for East Asian Winter Climate in CMIP5 GCMs. Part II: Projection and Uncertainty in Future Climate Conditions},
  author = {
Cheung H.
and Zhou W.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/pdf/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00309.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {28},
  pages = {2217-2233},
}
,
@article{Ito T.
  title = {Sustained growth of the Southern Ocean carbon storage in a warming climate},
  author = {
Ito T.
and Bracco A.
and Deutsch C.
and Frenzel H.
and Long M.
and Takano Y.
},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
}
,
@article{Cheung H.
  title = {Implications of Ural blocking for East Asian Winter Climate in CMIP5 GCMs. Part I: Biases in the Historical Scenario},
  author = {
Cheung H.
and Zhou W.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/pdf/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00308.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {28},
  pages = {2203-2216},
}
,
@article{Steinman B. A.
  title = {Atlantic and Pacific multidecadal oscillations and Northern Hemisphere temperatures},
  author = {
Steinman B. A.
and Mann M. E.
and Miller S. K.
},
  journal = {Science},
  volume = {347},
  pages = {988-991},
}
,
@article{Gulizia C.
  title = {Comparative analysis of the ability of a set of CMIP3 and CMIP5 global climate models to represent precipitation in South America},
  author = {
Gulizia C.
and Camilloni I.
},
  journal = {International Journal of Climatology},
  volume = {35},
  pages = {583-595},
}
,
@article{Wang X. L.
  title = {Climate change signal and uncertainty in CMIP5-based projections of global ocean surface wave heights},
  author = {
Wang X. L.
and Feng Y.
and Swail V. R.
},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research},
  volume = {120},
  pages = {3859-3871},
}
,
@article{Grenier P.
  title = {Chances of Short-Term Cooling Estimated from a Selection of CMIP5-Based Climate Scenarios during 2006%u201335 over Canada},
  author = {
Grenier P.
and de Elía R.
and Chaumont D.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00224.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {20},
  pages = {3232-3249},
}
,
@article{Villamayor J.
  title = {Robust Sahel drought due to the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation in CMIP5 simulations},
  author = {
Villamayor J.
and Mohino E.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014GL062473/full},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {42},
  pages = {1214-1222},
}
,
@article{Wang D.
  title = {Intensification and spatial homogenization of coastal upwelling under climate change},
  author = {
Wang D.
and Gouhier T. C.
and Menge B. A.
and Ganguly A. R.
},
  url = {http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v518/n7539/full/nature14235.html},
  journal = {Nature},
}
,
@article{Lin J.
  title = {Is the tropical atmosphere in convective quasi-equilibrium?},
  author = {
Lin J.
and Qian T.
and Shinoda T.
and Li S.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00681.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {28},
  pages = {4357-4372},
}
,
@article{Srivastava A. K.
  title = {Robust Forced Response in South Asian Summer Monsoon in a Future Climate},
  author = {
Srivastava A. K.
and DelSole T.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00599.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
  pages = {7849-7860},
}
,
@article{Iles C. E.
  title = {Systematic change in global patterns of streamflow following volcanic eruptions},
  author = {
Iles C. E.
and Hegerl G. C.
},
  journal = {Nature Geoscience},
}
,
@article{Gerber E. P.
  title = {Quantifying the Summertime Response of the Austral Jet Stream and Hadley Cell to Stratospheric Ozone and Greenhouse Gases},
  author = {
Gerber E. P.
and Son S. W.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00539.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
  pages = {5538-5559},
}
,
@article{Rose H.
  title = {GLOWORM-FL: A simulation model of the effects of climate and climate change on the free-living stages of gastro-intestinal nematode parasites of ruminants},
  author = {
Rose H.
and Wang T.
and van Dijk J.
and Morgan E. R.
},
  url = {http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0304380014006073},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {297},
  pages = {232-245},
}
,
@article{Goll D. S.
  title = {Climate-driven changes in chemical weathering and associated phosphorus release since 1850: Implications for the land carbon balance},
  author = {
Goll D. S.
and Moosdorf N.
and Hartmann J.
and Brovkin V.
},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {41},
}
,
@article{Köhl A.
  title = {The impact of regional multidecadal and century-scale internal variability on sea level trends in CMIP5 models},
  author = {
Köhl A.
and Stammer D.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {28},
}
,
@article{Muri H.
  title = {Tropical rainforest response to marine sky brightening climate engineering},
  author = {
Muri H.
and Niemeier U.
and Kristjánsson J.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL063363/abstract},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {42},
  pages = {2951-2960},
}
,
@article{van Oldenborgh G.
  title = {Cold extremes in North America vs. mild weather in Europe: the winter 2013/2014 in the context of a warming world},
  author = {
van Oldenborgh G.
and Haarsma R. J.
and De Vries H.
and Allen M. R.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/BAMS-D-14-00036.1},
  journal = {Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society},
}
,
@article{Palazzi E.
  title = {Precipitation in the Karakoram-Himalaya: a CMIP5 view},
  author = {
Palazzi E.
and von Hardenberg J.
and Terzago S.
and Provenzale A.
},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {45},
  pages = {21-45},
}
,
@article{DeCarlo T. M.
  title = {Climate modulates internal wave activity in the Northern South China Sea},
  author = {
DeCarlo T. M.
and Karnauskas K. B.
and Davis K. A.
and Wong G. T.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014GL062522/full},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {42},
  pages = {831-838},
}
,
@article{Cowan T.
  title = {The Response of the Indian Ocean Dipole Asymmetry to Anthropogenic Aerosols and Greenhouse Gases},
  author = {
Cowan T.
and Cai W.
and Ng B.
and England M.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {28},
  pages = {2564-2583},
}
,
@article{Fountoulakis I.
  title = {Projected changes in erythemal and vitamin D effective irradiance over northern-hemisphere high latitudes},
  author = {
Fountoulakis I.
and Bais A. F.
},
  url = {http://http://pubs.rsc.org/en/content/articlelanding/2015/pp/c5pp00093a/unauth#!divAbstract},
  journal = {Other},
}
,
@article{Yi S.
  title = { Impacts of External Forcing on the Decadal Climate Variability in CMIP5 Simulations},
  author = {
Yi S.
and Yongqiang Y.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,
@article{Kent C.
  title = {Understanding uncertainties in future projections of seasonal tropical precipitation},
  author = {
Kent C.
and Chadwick R.
and Rowell D. P.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00613.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {28},
  pages = {4390-4413},
}
,
@article{Beaugrand G.
  title = {Future vulnerability of marine biodiversity compared with contemporary and past changes},
  author = {
Beaugrand G.
and Edwards M.
and Raybaud V.
and Goberville E.
and Kirby R. R.
},
  url = {http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/vaop/ncurrent/full/nclimate2650.html},
  journal = {Nature Climate Change},
}
,
@article{Drijfhout S.
  title = {Catalogue of abrupt shifts in Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change climate models},
  author = {
Drijfhout S.
and Bathiany S.
and Beaulieu C.
and Brovkin V.
and Claussen M.
and Huntingford C.
and Scheffer M.
and Sgubin G.
and Swingedouw D.
},
  url = {http://www.pnas.org/content/early/2015/10/07/1511451112},
  journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences},
}
,
@article{Heuz C.
  title = {Changes in global ocean bottom properties and volume transports in CMIP5 models under climate change scenarios},
  author = {
Heuz C.
and Heywood K. J.
and Stevens D. P.
and Ridley J. K.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/full/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00381.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {28},
  pages = {2917-2944},
}
,
@article{Huang P.
  title = {Seasonal changes in tropical SST and the surface energy budget under global warming projected by CMIP5 models},
  author = {
Huang P.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,
@article{Huang P.
  title = { multimodel ensemble pattern regression method to correct the tropical Pacific SST change pattern under global warming},
  author = {
Huang P.
and Ying J.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {28},
  pages = {4706-4723},
}
,
@article{Huang P.
  title = {Change in ocean subsurface environment to suppress tropical cyclone intensification under global warming},
  author = {
Huang P.
and Lin I.
and Chou C.
and HUANG R.
},
  journal = {Other},
}
,
@article{Nishii K.
  title = {Arctic summer storm track in CMIP3/5 climate models},
  author = {
Nishii K.
and Nakamura H.
and Orsolini Y. J.
},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {44},
  pages = {1311-1327},
}
,
@article{Nishii K.
  title = {Arctic summer storm track in CMIP3/5 climate models},
  author = {
Nishii K.
and Nakamura H.
and Orsolini Y. J.
},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {44},
  pages = {1311-1327},
}
,
@article{Bais A. F.
  title = {Ozone depletion and climate change: impacts on UV radiation},
  author = {
Bais A. F.
and McKenzie R. L.
and Bernhard G.
and Aucamp P. J.
and Ilyas M.
and Madronich S.
and Tourpali K.
},
  url = {http://pubs.rsc.org/en/content/articlepdf/2015/pp/c4pp90032d},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {14},
  pages = {19-52},
}
,
@article{Sanap S. D.
  title = {On the response of Indian summer monsoon to aerosol forcing in CMIP5 model simulations},
  author = {
Sanap S. D.
and Pandithurai G.
and MG M.
},
  url = {http://http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-015-2516-2#page-1},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,
@article{Bolin D.
  title = {Statistical prediction of global sea level from global temperature},
  author = {
Bolin D.
and Guttorp P.
and Januzzi A.
and Jones D.
and Nowak M.
and Podschwit H.
and Richardson L.
and Särkkä A.
and Sowder C.
and Zimmerman A.
},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {25},
  pages = {351-357},
}
,
@article{Plotka H.
  title = {Physics of changes in synoptic midlatitude temperature variability},
  author = {
Plotka H.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00632.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {28},
  pages = {2312-2331},
}
,
@article{Masood M.
  title = {Model study of the impacts of future climate change on the hydrology of Ganges-Brahmaputra-Meghna basin},
  author = {
Masood M.
and Yeh P. J.
and Hanasaki N.
and Takeuchi K.
},
  url = {http://www.hydrol-earth-syst-sci.net/19/747/2015/hess-19-747-2015.html},
  journal = {Hydrology and Earth System Sciences},
  volume = {19},
  pages = {747-770},
}
,
@article{Morrison A.
  title = {Upwelling in the Southern Ocean},
  author = {
Morrison A.
and Frölicher T. L.
and Sarmiento J. L.
},
  url = {http://http://scitation.aip.org/content/aip/magazine/physicstoday/article/68/1/10.1063/PT.3.2654},
  journal = {Physics Today},
  volume = {68},
  pages = {27-32},
}
,
@article{Frölicher T. L.
  title = { Extending the relationship between global warming and cumulative carbon emissions to multi-millennial timescales},
  author = {
Frölicher T. L.
and Paynter D. J.
},
  journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
}
,
@article{Frölicher T. L.
  title = {Dominance of the Southern Ocean in Anthropogenic Carbon and Heat Uptake in CMIP5 Models},
  author = {
Frölicher T. L.
and Sarmiento J. L.
and Paynter D. J.
and Dunne J. P.
and Krasting J. P.
and Winton M.
},
  url = {http://http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00117.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {28},
  pages = {862-886},
}
,
@article{Haughton N.
  title = {Weighting climate model ensembles for mean and variance estimates},
  author = {
Haughton N.
and Abramowitz G.
and Pitman A. J.
and Phipps S. J.
},
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-015-2531-3},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,
@article{Abramowitz G.
  title = {Climate Model Dependence and the Ensemble Dependence Transformation of CMIP Projections},
  author = {
Abramowitz G.
and Bishop C. H.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00364.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {28},
  pages = {2332-2348},
}
,
@article{Drijfhout S.
  title = {Catalogue of abrupt shifts in Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change climate models},
  author = {
Drijfhout S.
and Bathiany S.
and Beaulieu C.
and Brovkin V.
and Claussen M.
and Huntingford C.
and Scheffer M.
and Sgubin G.
and Swingedouw D.
},
  url = {http://www.pnas.org/content/early/2015/10/07/1511451112},
  journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences},
}
,
@article{Praveen V.
  title = {On the relationship between mean monsoon precipitation and low pressure systems in climate model simulations},
  author = {
Praveen V.
and Sandeep S.
and Ajayamohan R. S.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00415.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,
@article{Salzmann M.
  title = {On the enhancement of the Indian summer monsoon drying by Pacific multidecadal variability during the latter half of the 20th century},
  author = {
Salzmann M.
and Cherian R.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JD023313/pdf},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
}
,
@article{Agosta C.
  title = {Evaluation of the CMIP5 models in the aim of regional modelling of the Antarctic surface mass balance},
  author = {
Agosta C.
and Fettweis X.
and Datta R.
},
  url = {http://www.the-cryosphere-discuss.net/9/3113/2015/},
  journal = {The Cryosphere Discussions},
  volume = {9},
  pages = {3113-3136},
}
,
@article{Reyers M.
  title = {Future changes of wind energy potentials over Europe in a large CMIP5 multi-model ensemble},
  author = {
Reyers M.
and Moemken J.
and Pinto J. G.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/joc.4382/abstract},
  journal = {International Journal of Climatology},
}
,
@article{C B J.
  title = {Robust signals of future projections of Indian summer monsoon rainfall by IPCC AR5 climate models: Role of seasonal cycle and interannual variability},
  author = {
C B J.
and Surendran S.
and Rajendran K.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL063659/full},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {42},
  pages = {3513-3520},
}
,
@article{Chung E.
  title = {An Assessment of Direct Radiative Forcing, Radiative Adjustments, and Radiative Feedbacks in Coupled Ocean%u2013Atmosphere Models},
  author = {
Chung E.
and Soden B. J.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00436.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {28},
  pages = {4152-4170},
}
,
@article{Ylhäisi J. S.
  title = {How does model development affect climate projections?},
  author = {
Ylhäisi J. S.
and Räisänen J.
and Masson D.
and Räty O.
and Järvinen H.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/asl2.577/abstract},
  journal = {Atmospheric Science Letters},
}
,
@article{Zappa G.
  title = {Improving climate change detection through optimal seasonal averaging: the case of the North Atlantic jet and European precipitation},
  author = {
Zappa G.
and Hoskins B. J.
and Shepherd T. G.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,
@article{Kamae Y.
  title = {Robust cloud feedback over tropical land in a warming climate},
  author = {
Kamae Y.
and Ogura T.
and Watanabe M.
and Xie S.
and Ueda H.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JD024525/abstract},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
}
,
@article{Donohoe
  title = {Shortwave and longwave radiative contributions to global warming under increasing CO 2},
  author = {
Donohoe, Aaron
and Armour, Kyle C.
and Pendergrass, Angeline G.
and Battisti, David S.
},
  url = {http://www.pnas.org/content/111/47/16700},
  journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences},
  volume = {111},
  pages = {16700-16705},
}
,
@article{Pendergrass
  title = {Two Modes of Change of the Distribution of Rain},
  author = {
Pendergrass, Angeline G.
and Hartmann, Dennis L.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00182.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
  pages = {8357-8371},
}
,
@article{Pendergrass
  title = {Changes in the Distribution of Rain Frequency and Intensity in Response to Global Warming*},
  author = {
Pendergrass, Angeline G.
and Hartmann, Dennis L.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00183.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
  pages = {8372-8383},
}
,
@article{Grose
  title = {Assessment of the CMIP5 global climate model simulations of the western tropical Pacific climate system and comparison to CMIP3},
  author = {
Grose, Michael R.
and Brown, Jaclyn N.
and Narsey, Sugata
and Brown, Josephine R.
and Murphy, Bradley F.
and Langlais, Clothilde
and Gupta, Alex Sen
and Moise, Aurel F.
and Irving, Damien B.
},
  url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/resolve/doi?DOI=10.1002/joc.3916},
  journal = {International Journal of Climatology},
  volume = {34},
  pages = {3382-3399},
}
,
@article{Lee
  title = {Potential for added value to downscaled climate extremes over Korea by increased resolution of a regional climate model},
  author = {
Lee, Ji-Woo
and Hong, Song-You
},
  url = {https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00704-013-1034-6},
  journal = {Theoretical and Applied Climatology},
  volume = {117},
  pages = {667-677},
}
,
@article{Todd-Brown
  title = {Changes in soil organic carbon storage predicted by Earth system models during the 21st century},
  author = {
Todd-Brown, K. E. O.
and Randerson, J. T.
and Hopkins, F.
and Arora, V.
and Hajima, T.
and Jones, C.
and Shevliakova, E.
and Tjiputra, J.
and Volodin, E.
and Wu, T.
and Zhang, Q.
and Allison, S. D.
},
  url = {http://www.biogeosciences.net/11/2341/2014/},
  journal = {Biogeosciences},
  volume = {11},
  pages = {2341-2356},
}
,
@article{Luomaranta
  title = {Multimodel estimates of the changes in the Baltic Sea ice cover during the present century},
  author = {
Luomaranta, Anna
and Ruosteenoja, Kimmo
and Jylhä, Kirsti
and Gregow, Hilppa
and Haapala, Jari
and Laaksonen, Ari
},
  url = {http://www.tellusa.net/index.php/tellusa/article/view/22617},
  journal = {Tellus},
  volume = {66},
}
,
@article{Santer
  title = {Volcanic contribution to decadal changes in tropospheric temperature},
  author = {
Santer, Benjamin D.
and Bonfils, Céline
and Painter, Jeffrey F.
and Zelinka, Mark D.
and Mears, Carl
and Solomon, Susan
and Schmidt, Gavin A.
and Fyfe, John C.
and Cole, Jason N. S.
and Nazarenko, Larissa
and Taylor, Karl E.
and Wentz, Frank J.
},
  url = {http://www.nature.com/ngeo/journal/v7/n3/full/ngeo2098.html},
  journal = {Nature Geoscience},
  volume = {7},
  pages = {185-189},
}
,
@article{Lee
  title = {Assessment of future climate change over East Asia due to the RCP scenarios downscaled by GRIMs-RMP},
  author = {
Lee, Ji-Woo
and Hong, Song-You
and Chang, Eun-Chul
and Suh, Myoung-Seok
and Kang, Hyun-Suk
},
  url = {https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-013-1841-6},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {42},
  pages = {733-747},
}
,
@article{Marzeion B.
  title = { Feedbacks and mechanisms affecting the global sensitivity of glaciers to climate change },
  author = {
Marzeion B.
and Jarosch A. H.
and Gregory J. M.
},
  journal = {The Cryosphere},
  volume = {8},
  pages = {59-71},
}
,
@article{Qu X.
  title = {Consistent responses of East Asian summermean rainfall to global warming in CMIP5 simulations},
  author = {
Qu X.
and Huang G.
and Zhou W.
},
  journal = {Theoretical and Applied Climatology},
  volume = {117},
  pages = {123-131},
}
,
@article{Qu X.
  title = {Equatorward shift of the South Asian high in response to anthropogenic forcing},
  author = {
Qu X.
and Huang G.
and Hu K.
and Xie S.
and Du Y.
and Zheng X.
and Liu L.
},
  journal = {Theoretical and Applied Climatology},
}
,
@article{Cattiaux J.
  title = {Projected increase in diurnal and inter-diurnal variations of European summer temperatures},
  author = {
Cattiaux J.
and Douville H.
and Schoetter R.
and Parey S.
and Yiou P.
},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
}
,
@article{Ma Q.
  title = {Evaluations of Atmospheric Downward Longwave Radiation from 44 Coupled General Circulation Models of CMIP5},
  author = {
Ma Q.
and Wang K.
and Wild M.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013JD021427/abstract},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {119},
  pages = {4486-4497},
}
,
@article{Wang K.
  title = {Measurement Biases Explain Discrepancies between the Observed and Simulated Decadal Variability of Surface Incident Solar Radiation},
  author = {
Wang K.
},
  url = {http://www.nature.com/srep/2014/140821/srep06144/full/srep06144.html},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {4},
}
,
@article{Allan R. P.
  title = {Physically consistent responses of the global atmospheric hydrological cycle in models and observations},
  author = {
Allan R. P.
and Liu C.
and Zahn M.
and Lavers D. A.
and Koukouvagias E.
and Bodas-Salcedo A.
},
  journal = {Other},
}
,
@article{Chadwick R. S.
  title = {Surface warming patterns drive tropical rainfall pattern responses to CO2 forcing on all timescales},
  author = {
Chadwick R. S.
and Good P.
and Andrews T.
and Martin G.
},
  url = {http://http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013GL058504/abstract},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {41},
}
,
@article{Zappa G.
  title = {Linking Northern Hemisphere blocking and storm track biases in the CMIP5 climate models},
  author = {
Zappa G.
and Masato G.
and Shaffrey L.
and Woollings T.
and Hodges K.
},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
}
,
@article{Ceppi P.
  title = {The response of the Southern Hemispheric eddy-driven jet to future changes in shortwave radiation in CMIP5},
  author = {
Ceppi P.
and Zelinka M. D.
and Hartmann D. L.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014GL060043/abstract},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {41},
  pages = {3244-3250},
}
,
@article{Zelinka M. D.
  title = {Quantifying components of aerosol-cloud-radiation interactions in climate models},
  author = {
Zelinka M. D.
and Andews T.
and Forster P. M.
and Taylor K. E.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014JD021710/abstract},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {119},
}
,
@article{Bathols J.
  title = {What influences the skill of climate models over the continents?},
  author = {
Bathols J.
and Heady C.
and Watterson I. G.
},
  journal = {Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society},
  volume = {95},
  pages = {689-700},
}
,
@article{Rotstayn L. D.
  title = {Declining aerosols in CMIP5 projections: effects on atmospheric temperature structure and midlatitude jets},
  author = {
Rotstayn L. D.
and Plymin E. L.
and Collier M. A.
and Boucher O.
and Dufresne J.
and Luo J.
and von Salzen K.
and Jeffrey S. J.
and Foujols M.
and Ming Y.
and Horowitz L. W.
},
  url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00258.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,
@article{Taschetto A. S.
  title = {Cold tongue and warm pool ENSO events in CMIP5: mean state and future projections},
  author = {
Taschetto A. S.
and Sen Gupta A.
and Jourdain N. C.
and Santoso A.
and Ummenhofer C. C.
and England M. H.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
  pages = {2861-2885},
}
,
@article{Chang E. K.
  title = {Impacts of background field removal on CMIP5 projected changes in Pacific winter cyclone activity},
  author = {
Chang E. K.
},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {119},
  pages = {4626-4639},
}
,
@article{Douville H.
  title = {The recent global warming hiatus: What is the role of Pacific variability? },
  author = {
Douville H.
and Voldoire A.
and Geoffroy O.
},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {42},
}
,
@article{Schoetter R.
  title = {Changes of western European heat wave characteristics projected by the CMIP5 ensemble. },
  author = {
Schoetter R.
and Cattiaux J.
and Douville H.
},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,
@article{Chaturvedi R. K.
  title = {Glacial mass balance changes in the Karakoram and Himalaya based on CMIP5 multi-model climate projections},
  author = {
Chaturvedi R. K.
and Kulkarni A.
and Karyakarte Y.
and Joshi J.
and G B.
},
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10584-013-1052-5},
  journal = {Climatic Change},
  volume = {123},
  pages = {315-328},
}
,
@article{Sperber K. R.
  title = {The Use of Fractional Accumulated Precipitation for the Evaluation of the Annual Cycle of Monsoons},
  author = {
Sperber K. R.
and Annamalai H.
},
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-014-2099-3},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,
@article{Mortin J.
  title = {Evaluation of pan-Arctic melt-freeze onset in CMIP5 climate models and reanalyses using surface observations},
  author = {
Mortin J.
and Graversen R. G.
and Svensson G.
},
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-013-1811-z},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {42},
  pages = {2239-2257},
}
,
@article{Heywood K. J.
  title = {Ocean processes at the Antarctic continental slope},
  author = {
Heywood K. J.
and Schmidtko S.
and Heuzé C.
and Kaiser J.
and Jickells T. D.
and Queste B. Y.
and Stevens D. P.
and Wadley M.
and Thompson A. F.
and Fielding S.
and Guihen D.
and Creed E.
and Ridley J. K.
and Smith W.
},
  url = {http://rsta.royalsocietypublishing.org/content/372/2019/20130047.abstract},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {372},
  pages = {20130047},
}
,
@article{Kamae Y.
  title = {Summertime land-sea thermal contrast and atmospheric circulation over East Asia in a warming climate. Part I: Past changes and future projections},
  author = {
Kamae Y.
and Watanabe M.
and Kimoto M.
and Shiogama H.
},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {43},
  pages = {2553-2568},
}
,
@article{Kamae Y.
  title = {Summertime land-sea thermal contrast and atmospheric circulation over East Asia in a warming climate-Part II: Importance of CO2-induced continental warming},
  author = {
Kamae Y.
and Watanabe M.
and Kimoto M.
and Hideo S.
},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {43},
  pages = {2569-2583},
}
,
@article{Kamae Y.
  title = {Attributing the increase in Northern Hemisphere hot summers since the late 20th century},
  author = {
Kamae Y.
and Shiogama H.
and Watanabe M.
and Kimoto M.
},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {41},
  pages = {5192-5199},
}
,
@article{MacMartin D. G.
  title = {Using transfer functions to quantify ENSO dynamics in data and models},
  author = {
MacMartin D. G.
and Tziperman E.
},
  journal = {Other},
}
,
@article{Guemas V.
  title = {Prospects for decadal climate prediction in the Mediterranean region.},
  author = {
Guemas V.
and Garcia-Serrano J.
and Mariotti A.
and Doblas-Reyes F. J.
and Caron L.
},
  url = {http://http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/qj.2379/abstract},
  journal = {Quarterly Journal Royal Meteorological Society},
}
,
@article{Mitchell D. M.
  title = {Solar Signals in CMIP-5 Simulations: The Stratospheric Pathway},
  author = {
Mitchell D. M.
and Misios S.
and Gray L.
and Tourpali K.
and Matthes K.
and Hood L.
and Schmidt H.
and Chiodo G.
and Thieblemont R.
and Rozanov E.
and Shindell D.
and Krivolutsky A.
},
  journal = {Quarterly Journal Royal Meteorological Society},
}
,
@article{Wjcik R.
  title = {Reliability of the CMIP5 GCM simulations in reproducing atmospheric circulation over Europe and the North Atlantic: a statistical downscaling perspective},
  author = {
Wjcik R.
},
  journal = {International Journal of Climatology},
}
,
@article{Gong H.
  title = {The climatology and interannual variability of the East Asian winter monsoon in CMIP5 models},
  author = {
Gong H.
and Wang L.
and Chen W.
and Wu R.
and Wei K.
and Cui X.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00039.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
  pages = {1659-1678},
}
,
@article{Bracegirdle T. J.
  title = {Sources of uncertainty in projections of twenty-first century westerly wind changes over the Amundsen Sea, West Antarctica, in CMIP5 climate models},
  author = {
Bracegirdle T. J.
and Turner J.
and Hosking J. S.
and Phillips T.
},
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-013-2032-1},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,
@article{Hajima T.
  title = {Uncertainty of Concentration - Terrestrial Carbon Feedback in Earth System Models},
  author = {
Hajima T.
and Tachiiri K.
and Ito A.
and Kawamiya M.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,
@article{Krasting J. P.
  title = {Future changes in northern hemisphere snowfall},
  author = {
Krasting J. P.
and Broccoli A. J.
and Dixon K. W.
and Lanzante J. R.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00832.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {26},
  pages = {7813-7828},
}
,
@article{Silva G. A.
  title = {Preliminary Analysis on the Global Features of the NCEP CFSv2 Seasonal Hindcasts},
  author = {
Silva G. A.
and Dutra L. M.
and da Rocha R. P.
and Ambrizzi T.
and Leiva É.
},
  url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2014/695067},
  journal = {Advances in Meteorology},
  volume = {2014},
}
,
@article{Slangen A. B.
  title = {Projecting twenty-first century regional sea-level changes},
  author = {
Slangen A. B.
and Katsman C. A.
and Carson M.
and van de Wal R. S.
and Köhl A.
and Vermeersen L. L.
and Stammer D.
},
  url = {http://http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-014-1080-9},
  journal = {Climatic Change},
  volume = {124},
  pages = {317-332},
}
,
@article{Perez A. S.
  title = {Evaluation of seasonal climates of northern Africa and the Mediterranean in the CMIP5 simulations.},
  author = {
Perez A. S.
and Li G.
and Gonzalez, P.
and Harrison S. P.
},
  url = {http://http://www.clim-past.net/10/551/2014/cp-10-551-2014.pdf},
  journal = {Climate of the Past},
  volume = {10},
  pages = {551-568},
}
,
@article{Chen L.
  title = {Surface Air Temperature Changes over the Twentieth and Twenty-First Centuries in China Simulated by 20 CMIP5 Models},
  author = {
Chen L.
and Frauenfeld O. W.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00465.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
  pages = {3920-3937},
}
,
@article{Chen L.
  title = {A comprehensive evaluation of precipitation simulations over China based on CMIP5 multimodel ensemble projections},
  author = {
Chen L.
and Frauenfeld O. W.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013JD021190/abstract},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {119},
}
,
@article{Naveau P.
  title = {Projections of global changes in precipitation extremes from Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 models},
  author = {
Naveau P.
and Zampieri M.
and Schindler A.
and Scoccimarro E.
and Xoplaki E.
and Dijkstra H. A.
and Gualdi S.
and Luterbacher J.
},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {40},
  pages = {4887-4892},
}
,
@article{Bellomo K.
  title = {Observational and Model Estimates of Cloud Amount Feedback over the Indian and Pacific Oceans},
  author = {
Bellomo K.
and Clement A. C.
and Norris J. R.
and Soden B. J.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
  pages = {925-940},
}
,
@article{Arnell N. W.
  title = {The global-scale impacts of climate change on water resources and flooding under new climate and socio-economic scenarios},
  author = {
Arnell N. W.
and Lloyd-Hughes B.
},
  journal = {Climatic Change},
  volume = {122},
  pages = {127-140},
}
,
@article{Sherwood S. C.
  title = {Spread in model climate sensitivity traced to atmospheric convective mixing},
  author = {
Sherwood S. C.
and Bony S.
and Dufresne J.
},
  journal = {Nature},
  volume = {505},
  pages = {37-42},
}
,
@article{Zou Y.
  title = {CMIP5 model simulations of the impacts of the two types of El Niño on the U.S. winter temperature},
  author = {
Zou Y.
and Yu J.
and Lee T.
and Lu M.
and Kim S.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013JD021064/abstract},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {119},
  pages = {3076-3092},
}
,
@article{Ma J.
  title = {Linking Centennial Surface Warming Patterns in the Equatorial Pacific to the Relative Strengths of the Walker and Hadley Circulations},
  author = {
Ma J.
and Yu J.
},
  journal = {Journal of Atmopspheric Sciences},
}
,
@article{Ma J.
  title = {Lower tropospheric strengthening and upper tropospheric weakening},
  author = {
Ma J.
and Yu J.
},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
}
,
@article{Liu Z.
  title = {Seasonal and regional biases in CMIP5 precipitation simulations},
  author = {
Liu Z.
and Mehran A.
and Phillips T. J.
and AghaKouchak A.
},
  url = {http://amir.eng.uci.edu/publications/14_CMIP5_CR.pdf},
  journal = {Climate Research},
  volume = {60},
  pages = {35-50},
}
,
@article{Mehran A.
  title = {Evaluation of CMIP5 continental precipitation simulations relative to satellite-based gauge-adjusted observations},
  author = {
Mehran A.
and AghaKouchak A.
and Phillips T. J.
},
  url = {http://amir.eng.uci.edu/publications/14_CMIP5_Eval_JGR.pdf},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research},
  volume = {119},
  pages = {1695-1707},
}
,
@article{Poulter B.
  title = {Contribution of semi-arid ecosystems to interannual variability of the global carbon cycle},
  author = {
Poulter B.
and Frank D.
and Ciais P.
and Myneni R. B.
and Andela N.
and Bi J.
and Broquet G.
and Canadell J. G.
and Chevallier F.
and Liu Y. Y.
and Running S. W.
and SItch S.
and van der Werf G. R.
},
  url = {http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v509/n7502/full/nature13376.html},
  journal = {Nature},
  volume = {509},
  pages = {600-603},
}
,
@article{Chen J.
  title = {Inter-model spread of East Asian Summer monsoon simulations in CMIP5},
  author = {
Chen J.
and Bordoni S.
},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  pages = {1314-1321},
}
,
@article{Veiga J. A.
  title = {A global and hemispherical analysis of the Lorenz energetics based on the Representative Concentration Pathways},
  author = {
Veiga J. A.
and Ambrizzi T.
},
  url = {http://www.hindawi.com/journals/amete/2013/697105/},
  journal = {Advances in Meteorology},
  volume = {2013},
  pages = {1-13},
}
,
@article{Dowdy A. J.
  title = {Fewer large waves projected for eastern Australia due to decreasing storminess},
  author = {
Dowdy A. J.
and Mills G. A.
and Timbal B.
and Wang Y.
},
  url = {http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/v4/n4/full/nclimate2142.html},
  journal = {Nature Climate Change},
  volume = {4},
  pages = {283-286},
}
,
@article{Kim S.
  title = {ENSO Stability in Coupled Climate Models and its Association with Mean State},
  author = {
Kim S.
and Cai W.
and Jin F.
and Yu J.
},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {42},
  pages = {3313-3321},
}
,
@article{Lima N. E.
  title = {Phylogeography and ecological niche modelling, coupled with the fossil pollen record, unravel the demographic history of a Neotropical swamp palm through the Quaternary},
  author = {
Lima N. E.
and Lima-Ribeiro M. S.
and Tinoco C. F.
and Terribile L. C.
and Collevatti R. G.
},
  journal = {Journal of Biogeography},
  volume = {41},
  pages = {673-686},
}
,
@article{Skinner C. B.
  title = {Projected changes in African easterly wave intensity and track in response to greenhouse forcing},
  author = {
Skinner C. B.
and Diffenbaugh N. S.
},
  url = {http://www.pnas.org/content/early/2014/04/23/1319597111.abstract},
  journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences},
}
,
@article{King A. D.
  title = {The ENSO-Australian rainfall teleconnection in reanalysis and CMIP5},
  author = {
King A. D.
and Donat M. G.
and Alexander L. V.
and Karoly D. J.
},
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-014-2159-8},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,
@article{Haughton N.
  title = {On the generation of climate model ensembles},
  author = {
Haughton N.
and Abramowitz G.
and Pitman A.
and Phipps S. J.
},
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-014-2054-3},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,
@article{Wang F.
  title = {Evaluation of cloud vertical structure simulated by recent BCC AGCM versions through comparison with CALIPSO-GOCCP data},
  author = {
Wang F.
and Xin X.
and Wang Z.
and Cheng Y.
and Zhang J.
and Yang S.
},
  journal = {Advances in Atmospheric Sciences},
  volume = {31},
  pages = {721-733},
}
,
@article{Wang F.
  title = {Radiation budget biases in AMIP5 models over the East Asian monsoon region},
  author = {
Wang F.
and Yang S.
and Wu T.
},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
}
,
@article{Cai W.
  title = {Increasing frequency of extreme El Niño events due to greenhouse warming},
  author = {
Cai W.
and Borlace S.
and Lengaigne M.
and Rensch P. v.
and Collins M.
and Vecchi G.
and Timmermann A.
and Santoso A.
and McPhaden M. J.
and Wu L.
and England M. H.
and Wang G.
and Guilyardi E.
and Jin F.
},
  journal = {Nature Climate Change},
}
,
@article{Cai W.
  title = {Increased frequency of extreme Indian Ocean Dipole events due to greenhouse warming},
  author = {
Cai W.
and Santoso A.
and Wang G.
and Weller E.
and Wu L.
and Ashok K.
and Masumoto Y.
and Yamagata T.
},
  journal = {Nature},
}
,
@article{Wang G.
  title = {Trends in Southern Hemisphere wind-driven circulation in CMIP5 models over the 21st century: Ozone recovery versus greenhouse forcing},
  author = {
Wang G.
and Cai W.
and Purich A.
},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research},
}
,
@article{Gao Y.
  title = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  author = {
Gao Y.
and Leung L.
and Lu J.
and Liu Y.
and Huang M.
and Qian Y.
},
  url = {http://http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014GL059562/abstract},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {41},
  pages = {1745-1751},
}
,
@article{Li Y.
  title = {Interdecadal Connection Between Arctic Temperature and Summer Precipitation Over the Yangtze River Valley in the CMIP5 Historical Simulations},
  author = {
Li Y.
and Leung L.
and Xiao X.
and Wei M.
and Li Q.
},
  url = {http://http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00776.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {26},
  pages = {7464-7488},
}
,
@article{Cowan T.
  title = {More Frequent, Longer, and Hotter Heat Waves for Australia in the Twenty-First Century},
  author = {
Cowan T.
and Purich A.
and Perkins S.
and Pezza A.
and Boschat G.
and Sadler K.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,
@article{Cai W.
  title = {Did Climate Change%u2013Induced Rainfall Trends Contribute to the Australian Millennium Drought?},
  author = {
Cai W.
and Purich A.
and Cowan T.
and van Rensch P.
and Weller E.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
  pages = {3145-3168},
}
,
@article{Lewis S. C.
  title = {Assessment of forced responses of the Australian Community Climate and Earth System Simulator (ACCESS) version 1.3 in CMIP5 historical detection and attribution experiments},
  author = {
Lewis S. C.
and Karoly D. J.
},
  journal = {Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Journal},
}
,
@article{Lewis S. C.
  title = {Quantitative estimates of anthropogenic contributions to extreme Australia- and state -wide monthly, seasonal and annual average temperatures},
  author = {
Lewis S. C.
and Karoly D. J.
and Yu M.
},
  journal = {Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Journal},
}
,
@article{Lewis S. C.
  title = {Are estimates of anthropogenic and natural influences on Australia's extreme 2010-2012 rainfall model-dependent?},
  author = {
Lewis S. C.
and Karoly D. J.
},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,
@article{Lewis S. C.
  title = {The role of anthropogenic forcing in the record 2013 Australia-wide annual and spring temperatures},
  author = {
Lewis S. C.
and Karoly D. J.
},
  journal = {Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society},
}
,
@article{Xu K.
  title = {The natural oscillation of two types of ENSO events based on analyses of CMIP5 model control runs},
  author = {
Xu K.
and Su J.
and Zhu C.
},
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00376-013-3153-5},
  journal = {Advances in Atmospheric Sciences},
  volume = {31},
  pages = {801-813},
}
,
@article{Ramesh K. V.
  title = {Assessing reliability of regional climate projections: the case of Indian monsoon},
  author = {
Ramesh K. V.
},
  url = {http://www.nature.com/srep/2014/140212/srep04071/full/srep04071.html},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {4},
  pages = {1-9},
}
,
@article{Dongliang Y.
  title = {Climate variability and predictability associated with the Indo-Pacific Oceanic Channel Dynamics in the CCSM4 Coupled System Model},
  author = {
Dongliang Y.
and Peng X.
and Tengfei X.
},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,
@article{Uotila P.
  title = {Is realistic Antarctic sea ice extent in climate models the result of excessive ice drift?},
  author = {
Uotila P.
and Holland P. R.
and Marsland S. J.
and Vihma T.
},
  journal = {Ocean Modelling},
}
,
@article{Lutz A. F.
  title = {Consistent increase in High Asia%u2019s runoff due to increasing glacier melt and precipitation},
  author = {
Lutz A. F.
and Immerzeel W. W.
and Shrestha A. B.
and Bierkens M. F.
},
  url = {http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/v4/n7/full/nclimate2237.html},
  journal = {Nature Climate Change},
  volume = {4},
  pages = {587-592},
}
,
@article{Long S.
  title = {Fast and Slow Responses to Global Warming: Sea Surface Temperature and Precipitation Patterns},
  author = {
Long S.
and Xie S.
and Zheng X.
and Liu Q.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
  pages = {285-299},
}
,
@article{Hong L.
  title = {A Southern Hemisphere booster of super El Nino},
  author = {
Hong L.
and Lin H.
and Jin F.
},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
}
,
@article{Tjiputra J. F.
  title = {Long-term surface pCO2 trends from observations and models},
  author = {
Tjiputra J. F.
and Olsen A.
and Bopp L.
and Lenton A.
and Pfeil B.
and Roy T.
and Segschneider J.
and Totterdell I.
and Heinze C.
},
  journal = {Tellus},
  volume = {66},
}
,
@article{Elliott J.
  title = { Constraints and potentials of future irrigation water availability on agricultural production under climate change},
  author = {
Elliott J.
and Deryng D.
and Müller C.
and Frieler K.
and Konzmann M.
and Gerten D.
and Glotter M.
and Flörke M.
and Wada Y.
and Best N.
and Eisner S.
and Fekete B.
and Folberth C.
and Foster I.
and Gosling S. N.
and Haddeland I.
and Khabarov N.
and Ludwig F.
and Masaki Y.
and Olin S.
and Rosenzweig C.
and Ruane A. C.
and Satoh Y.
and Schmid E.
and Stacke T.
and Tang Q.
and Wisser D.
},
  journal = {Acta Meteorologica Sinica},
  volume = {111},
  pages = {3239-3244},
}
,
@article{Müller C.
  title = {Projecting future crop productivity for global economic modeling},
  author = {
Müller C.
and Robertson R.
},
  url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/agec.12088},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {45},
  pages = {37-50},
}
,
@article{Piontek F.
  title = {Multisectoral climate impact hotspots in a warming world},
  author = {
Piontek F.
and Müller C.
and Pugh T.
and Clark D.
and Deryng D.
and Elliott J.
and Colón-González F.
and Flörke M.
and Folberth C.
and Fransseni w.
and Frieler K.
and Friend A. D.
and Gosling S. N.
and Hemming D.
and Khabarov N.
and Kim H.
and Lomas M.
and Masaki Y.
and Mengel M.
and Morse A.
and Neumann K.
and Nishina K.
and Ostberg S.
and Pavlick R.
and Ruane A. C.
and Schewe J.
and Schmid E.
and Stacke T.
and Tang Q.
and Tessler Z.
and Tompkins A.
and Warszawski L.
and Wisser D.
and Schellnhuber H.
},
  url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1222471110},
  journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences},
  volume = {111},
  pages = {3233-3238},
}
,
@article{Rosenzweig C.
  title = {Assessing agricultural risks of climate change in the 21st century in a global gridded crop model intercomparison},
  author = {
Rosenzweig C.
and Elliott J.
and Deryng D.
and Ruane A. C.
and Müller C.
and Arneth A.
and Boote K. J.
and Folberth C.
and Glotter M.
and Khabarov N.
and Neumann K.
and Piontek F.
and Pugh T.
and Schmid E.
and Stehfest E.
and Yang H.
and Jones J. W.
},
  url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1222463110},
  journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences},
  volume = {111},
  pages = {3268-3273},
}
,
@article{Kyle P.
  title = {Meeting the Radiative Forcing Targets of the Representative Concentration Pathways with Agricultural Climate Impacts},
  author = {
Kyle P.
and Müller C.
and Calvin K.
and Thompson A.
},
  url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2013EF000199},
  journal = {Other},
}
,
@article{Kamae Y.
  title = {Robust increase of the equatorial Pacific rainfall and its variability in a warmed climate},
  author = {
Kamae Y.
and Kimoto M.
},
  journal = {Acta Meteorologica Sinica},
  volume = {41},
}
,
@article{Cherian R.
  title = {Pollution trends over Europe constrain global aerosol forcing as simulated by climate models},
  author = {
Cherian R.
and Quaas J.
and Salzmann M.
and Wild M.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013GL058715/abstract},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {41},
  pages = {2176-2181},
}
,
@article{Zomer R. J.
  title = {Environmental stratification to model climate change impacts on biodiversity and rubber production in Xishuangbanna, Yunnan, China.},
  author = {
Zomer R. J.
and Trabucco A.
and Wang M.
and Lang R.
and Chen H.
and Metzger M. J.
and Smajgl A.
and Beckschäfer P.
and Xu J.
},
  url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.biocon.2013.11.028},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {170},
  pages = {264-273},
}
,
@article{Zomer R. J.
  title = {Projected climate change impacts on spatial distribution of bioclimatic zones and ecoregions within the Kailash Sacred Landscape of China, India, Nepal},
  author = {
Zomer R. J.
and Trabucco A.
and Metzger M. J.
and Wang M.
and Oli K. P.
and XU J.
},
  journal = {Climatic Change},
}
,
@article{Schewe J.
  title = {Multi-model assessment of water scarcity under climate change },
  author = {
Schewe J.
and author team I.
},
  url = {http://www.pnas.org/content/111/9/3245.abstract},
  journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences},
}
,
@article{Koirala S.
  title = {Global assessment of agreement among streamflow projections using CMIP5 model outputs},
  author = {
Koirala S.
and Hirabayashi Y.
and Roobavannan M.
and Kanae S.
},
  url = {http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/9/6/064017},
  journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
  volume = {9},
}
,
@article{Feng X.
  title = {Changes in significant and maximum wave heights in the Norwegian Sea},
  author = {
Feng X.
and Tsimplis M. N.
and Yelland M. J.
and Quartly G. D.
},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {113},
  pages = {58-76},
}
,
@article{Krause A.
  title = {The sensitivity of global wildfires to simulated past, present, and future lightning frequency},
  author = {
Krause A.
and Kloster S.
and Wilkenskjeld S.
and Paeth H.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013JG002502/abstract},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research},
  volume = {119},
  pages = {312-322},
}
,
@article{Roberts C. D.
  title = {Is the 2004-2012 reduction of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation significant?},
  author = {
Roberts C. D.
and Jackson L. J.
and McNeall D.
},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {41},
  pages = {3204-3210},
}
,
@article{Kruschke T.
  title = {Evaluating decadal predictions of northern hemispheric cyclone frequencies},
  author = {
Kruschke T.
and Rust H. W.
and Kadow C.
and Leckebusch G. C.
and Ulbrich U.
},
  url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.3402/tellusa.v66.22830},
  journal = {Tellus},
  volume = {66},
}
,
@article{Caminade C.
  title = {Impact of climate change on global malaria distribution},
  author = {
Caminade C.
and Kovatz S.
and Rocklov J.
and Tompkins A. M.
and Morse A. P.
and Colón-González F. J.
and Stenlund H.
and Martens P.
and Lloyd S. J.
},
  url = {http://www.pnas.org/content/early/2014/01/30/1302089111.abstract},
  journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences},
}
,
@article{Krismer T. R.
  title = {Wave Forcing of the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation in the Max Planck Institute Earth System Model},
  author = {
Krismer T. R.
and Giorgetta M. A.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JAS-D-13-0310.1},
  journal = {Journal of Atmopspheric Sciences},
  volume = {71},
}
,
@article{Yu B.
  title = {Decadal covariability of the northern wintertime land surface temperature and atmospheric circulation},
  author = {
Yu B.
and Wang X.
and Zhang X.
and Cole J.
and Feng Y.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
  pages = {633-651},
}
,
@article{Mueller B.
  title = {Systematic land climate and evapotranspiration biases in CMIP5 simulations},
  author = {
Mueller B.
and Seneviratne S. I.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013GL058055/abstract},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {41},
  pages = {128-134},
}
,
@article{Dirmeyer P. A.
  title = {Intensified land surface control on boundary layer growth in a changing climate},
  author = {
Dirmeyer P. A.
and Wang Z.
and Mbuh M. J.
and Norton H. E.
},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {41},
  pages = {1290-1294},
}
,
@article{Dirmeyer P. A.
  title = {Climate change and sectors of the surface water cycle In CMIP5 projections. },
  author = {
Dirmeyer P. A.
and Fang G.
and Wang Z.
and Yadav P.
},
  journal = {Hydrology and Earth System Sciences},
  volume = {11},
  pages = {8537-8569},
}
,
@article{Barnes E. A.
  title = {Delayed Southern Hemisphere Climate Change Induced by Stratospheric Ozone Recovery, as Projected by the CMIP5 Models},
  author = {
Barnes E. A.
and Barnes N. W.
and Polvani L. M.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
}
,
@article{Laeppe T.
  title = {Global and regional variability in marine surface temperatures},
  author = {
Laeppe T.
},
  url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2014GL059345},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
}
,
@article{Klein F.
  title = {Model%u2013data comparison and data assimilation of mid-Holocene Arctic sea ice concentration},
  author = {
Klein F.
and Goosse H.
and Mairesse A.
and de Vernal A.
},
  url = {http://www.clim-past.net/10/1145/2014/},
  journal = {Climate of the Past},
  volume = {10},
  pages = {1145-1163},
}
,
@article{Exbrayat J.
  title = {Response of microbial decomposition to spin-up explains CMIP5 soil carbon range until 2100},
  author = {
Exbrayat J.
and Pitman A.
and Abaramowitz G.
},
  url = {http://www.geosci-model-dev-discuss.net/7/3481/2014/gmdd-7-3481-2014.html},
  journal = {Geoscientific Model Development Discussions},
  volume = {7},
  pages = {3481-3504},
}
,
@article{Exbrayat J. -.
  title = {Response of microbial decomposition to spin-up explains CMIP5 soil carbon range until 2100},
  author = {
Exbrayat J. -.
and Pitman A. J.
and Abramowitz G.
},
  url = {http://www.geosci-model-dev.net/7/2683/2014/gmd-7-2683-2014.htmlhttp://},
  journal = {Geoscientific Model Development},
  volume = {7},
  pages = {2683-2692},
}
,
@article{Exbrayat J. F.
  title = {Disentangling residence time and temperature sensitivity of microbial decomposition in a global soil carbon model},
  author = {
Exbrayat J. F.
and Pitman A. J.
and Abramowitz G.
},
  url = {http://www.biogeosciences.net/11/6999/2014/},
  journal = {Biogeosciences},
  volume = {11},
  pages = {6999-7008},
}
,
@article{Linz M.
  title = {Process-based analysis of climate model ENSO simulations: Intermodel consistency and compensating errors},
  author = {
Linz M.
and Tziperman E.
and MacMartin D. G.
},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
}
,
@article{Vavrus S.
  title = {Extreme Arctic cyclones in CMIP5 historical simulations},
  author = {
Vavrus S.
},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {40},
  pages = {6208-6212},
}
,
@article{Grise K. M.
  title = {Is climate sensitivity related to dynamical sensitivity? A Southern Hemisphere perspective},
  author = {
Grise K. M.
and Polvani L. M.
},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {41},
  pages = {534-540},
}
,
@article{Sillmann J.
  title = {Observed and simulated temperature extremes during the recent warming hiatus},
  author = {
Sillmann J.
and Donat M. G.
and Fyfe J. C.
and Zwiers F. W.
},
  url = {http://http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/9/6/064023},
  journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
  volume = {9},
}
,
@article{Hartmann D. L.
  title = {Trends in the CERES data set 2000-2013: The effects of ice melt and jet shifts and comparison to climate models},
  author = {
Hartmann D. L.
and Ceppi P.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00411.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
  pages = {2444-2456},
}
,
@article{Sigmond M.
  title = {The Antarctic sea ice response to the ozone hole in climate models},
  author = {
Sigmond M.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00590.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
  pages = {1336-1342},
}
,
@article{Steiner N. S.
  title = {Future ocean acidification in the Canada Basin and surrounding Arctic Ocean from CMIP5 earth system models},
  author = {
Steiner N. S.
and Christian J. R.
and Six K. D.
and Yamamoto A.
and Yamamoto-Kawai M.
},
  url = {http://http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013JC009069/abstract},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research},
  volume = {119},
  pages = {332-347},
}
,
@article{Stanfield R. E.
  title = {Assessment of NASA GISS CMIP5 and Post-CMIP5 Simulated Clouds and TOA Radiation Budgets Using Satellite Observations. Part I: Cloud Fraction and Properties},
  author = {
Stanfield R. E.
and Dong X.
and Xi B.
and Kennedy A.
and Del Genio A. D.
and Minnis P.
and Jiang J. H.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00558.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
  pages = {4189-4208},
}
,
@article{Zhang M.
  title = {Radiative forcing of quadrupling CO2},
  author = {
Zhang M.
and Huang Y.
},
  url = {https://www.dropbox.com/s/77j802xzohv5o3x/2014JCLI1300535_ZhangHuang.pdf},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
  pages = {2496-2508},
}
,
@article{Huang Y.
  title = {The implication of radiative forcing and feedback for meridional energy transport},
  author = {
Huang Y.
and Zhang M.
},
  url = {https://www.dropbox.com/s/13ktsqljvfr6bx1/2014GRL059079_HuangZhang.pdf},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
}
,
@article{Meehl G. A.
  title = {Decadal Climate Prediction: An Update from the Trenches},
  author = {
Meehl G. A.
and co-authors a.
},
  journal = {Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society},
  volume = {95},
  pages = {243-267},
}
,
@article{England M. H.
  title = {Recent intensification of wind-driven circulation in the Pacific and the ongoing warming hiatus},
  author = {
England M. H.
and co-authors a.
},
  journal = {Nature Climate Change},
  volume = {4},
  pages = {222-227},
}
,
@article{Wuebbles D.
  title = {CMIP5 climate model analyses: Climate extremes in the United States},
  author = {
Wuebbles D.
and co-authors a.
},
  journal = {Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society},
  volume = {95},
  pages = {571-583},
}
,
@article{Meehl G. A.
  title = {CMIP5 multi-model initialized decadal hindcasts for the mid-1970s shift and early-2000s hiatus and predictions for 2016-2035},
  author = {
Meehl G. A.
and Teng H.
},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
}
,
@article{Li G.
  title = {Tropical Biases in CMIP5 Multimodel Ensemble: The Excessive Equatorial Pacific Cold Tongue and Double ITCZ Problems},
  author = {
Li G.
and Xie S.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
  pages = {1765-1780},
}
,
@article{Richter I.
  title = {Equatorial Atlantic variability and its relation to mean state biases in CMIP5},
  author = {
Richter I.
and Xie S.
and Behera S. K.
and Doi T.
and Masumoto Y.
},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {42},
  pages = {171-188},
}
,
@article{Ohba M.
  title = {Statistical parameterization expressing ENSO variability and reversibility in response to CO2 concentration changes},
  author = {
Ohba M.
and Tsutsui J.
and Nohara D.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00279.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
  pages = {398-410},
}
,
@article{Elguindi N.
  title = {Assessment of CMIP5 global model simulations and climate change projections for the 21 st century using a modified Thornthwaite climate classification},
  author = {
Elguindi N.
and Grundstein A.
and Bernardes S.
and Turuncoglu U.
and Feddema J.
},
  journal = {Climatic Change},
  volume = {122},
  pages = {523-538},
}
,
@article{Willeit M.
  title = {Time-scale and state dependence of the carbon-cycle feedback to climate},
  author = {
Willeit M.
and Ganopolski A.
and Dalmonech D.
and Foley A. M.
and Feulner G.
},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,
@article{de Lavergne C.
  title = {Cessation of deep convection in the open Southern Ocean under anthropogenic climate change},
  author = {
de Lavergne C.
and Palter J. B.
and Galbraith E. D.
and Bernardello R.
and Marinov I.
},
  url = {http://http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/v4/n4/full/nclimate2132.html},
  journal = {Nature Climate Change},
  volume = {4},
  pages = {278-282},
}
,
@article{Kay J. E.
  title = {Processes controlling Southern Ocean shortwave climate feedbacks in CESM},
  author = {
Kay J. E.
and Medeiros B.
and Hwang Y.
and Gettelman A.
and Perket J.
and Flanner M.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013GL058315/full},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {41},
}
,
@article{Kyle P.
  title = {Meeting the radiative forcing targets of the representative concentration pathways in a world with agricultural climate impacts},
  author = {
Kyle P.
and Müller C.
and Calvin K.
and Thomson A.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013EF000199/abstract},
  journal = {Other},
}
,
@article{Burls N. J.
  title = {What controls the mean east-west sea surface temperature gradient in the equatorial Pacific: the role of cloud albedo},
  author = {
Burls N. J.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
  pages = { 2757-2778},
}
,
@article{Su H.
  title = {Weakening and strengthening structures in the Hadley Circulation change under global warming and implications for cloud response and climate sensitivity},
  author = {
Su H.
and Jiang J. H.
and Zhai C.
and Shen T. J.
and J. David N.
and Stephens G. L.
and Yung Y. L.
},
  url = {http://http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014JD021642/abstract},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {119},
  pages = {5787-5805},
}
,
@article{Tripati A. K.
  title = {Modern and glacial tropical snowlines controlled by sea surface temperature and atmospheric mixing},
  author = {
Tripati A. K.
and Sahany S.
and Pittman D.
and Eagle R. A.
and J. David N.
and Mitchell J. L.
and Beaufort L.
},
  url = {http://http://www.nature.com/ngeo/journal/v7/n3/full/ngeo2082.html},
  journal = {Nature Geoscience},
  volume = {7},
  pages = {205-209},
}
,
@article{Stroeve J. C.
  title = {Using Combined Records of IceBridge and Satellite-Derived Thickness and Extent to Constrain Future Projections of Arctic Sea Ice},
  author = {
Stroeve J. C.
and Barrett A.
and Schweiger A.
and Serreze M.
},
  url = {http://www.the-cryosphere-discuss.net/8/2179/2014/tcd-8-2179-2014-discussion.html},
  journal = {The Cryosphere Discussions},
}
,
@article{Marzeion B.
  title = {Attribution of global glacier mass loss to anthropogenic and natural causes},
  author = {
Marzeion B.
and Cogley J. G.
and Richter K.
and Parkes D.
},
  journal = {Science},
  volume = {345},
  pages = {919-921},
}
,
@article{Izumi K.
  title = {Energy-balance mechanisms underlying consistent large-scale temperature responses in warm and cold climates },
  author = {
Izumi K.
and Bartlein P. J.
and Harrison S. P.
},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,
@article{Li J. F.
  title = {Cloud-Precipitation-Radiation-Dynamics Interaction in Global Climate Models: A Snow and Radiation Interaction Sensitivity Experiment},
  author = {
Li J. F.
and Lee W.
and Waliser D. E.
and Neelin D.
and Stachnik J. P.
and Lee T.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013JD021038/abstract},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {119},
  pages = {3809-3824},
}
,
@article{Li J. F.
  title = {Characterizing Tropical Pacific Water Vapor and Radiative Biases in CMIP5 GCMs: Observation-Based Analyses and a Snow and Radiation Interaction Sensitivity Experiment },
  author = {
Li J. F.
and Lee W.
and Waliser D. E.
and Stachnik J. P.
and Fetzer E.
and Wong S.
and Yue Q.
},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
}
,
@article{Petkova E. P.
  title = {Projected Heat-Related Mortality in the U.S. Urban Northeast},
  author = {
Petkova E. P.
and Horton R. M.
and Bader D. A.
},
  url = {http://www.mdpi.com/1660-4601/10/12/6734},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {10},
  pages = {6734-6747},
}
,
@article{Thorpe L.
  title = {The physical drivers of historical and 21st century global precipitation changes},
  author = {
Thorpe L.
and Andrews T.
},
  url = {http://stacks.iop.org/1748-9326/9/064024},
  journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
  volume = {9},
}
,
@article{Bodas-Salcedo A.
  title = {Origins of the solar radiation biases over the Southern Ocean in CFMIP2 models},
  author = {
Bodas-Salcedo A.
and Williams K. D.
and Ringer M. A.
and Beau I.
and Cole J. N.
and Dufresne J. L.
and Koshiro T.
and Stevens B.
and Wang Z.
and Yokohata T.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
  pages = {41-56},
}
,
@article{PENG J.
  title = {Sensitivity of global and regional terrestrial carbon storage to the direct CO2 effect and climate change based on the CMIP5 model Intercomparison},
  author = {
PENG J.
and DAN L.
and HUANG M.
},
  journal = {Other},
}
,
@article{Dolinar E. K.
  title = {Evaluation of CMIP5 Simulated Clouds and TOA Radiation Budgets Using NASA Satellite Observations},
  author = {
Dolinar E. K.
and Dong X.
and Xi B.
and Jiang J. H.
and Su H.
},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,
@article{Baker N. C.
  title = {A Comparative Study of Precipitation and Evaporation between CMIP3 and CMIP5 Climate Model Ensembles in Semiarid Regions},
  author = {
Baker N. C.
and Huang H.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/pdf/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00398.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
  pages = {3731-3749},
}
,
@article{Polson D.
  title = {Decreased monsoon precipitation in the Northern Hemisphere due to anthropogenic aerosols},
  author = {
Polson D.
and Bollasina M.
and Hegerl G. C.
and Wilcox L. J.
},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {41},
  pages = {6023-6029},
}
,
@article{Xia L.
  title = {Solar Radiation Management impacts on agriculture in China: A case study in the Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project (GeoMIP)},
  author = {
Xia L.
and Robock A.
and Cole J. N.
and Curry C. L.
and Ji D.
and Jones A.
and Kravitz B.
and Moore J. C.
and Muri H.
and Niemeier U.
and Singh B.
and Tilmes S.
and Watanabe S.
and Yoon J.
},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
}
,
@article{Lin J.
  title = {Stratocumulus clouds in southeastern Pacific simulated by eight CMIP5/CFMIP global climate models},
  author = {
Lin J.
and Qian T.
and Shinoda T.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
  pages = {3000-3022},
}
,
@article{Irvine P. J.
  title = {Key factors governing uncertainty in the response to sunshade geoengineering from a comparison of the GeoMIP ensemble and a perturbed parameter ensemble},
  author = {
Irvine P. J.
and Boucher O.
and Kravitz B.
and Alterskjær K.
and Cole J. N.
and Ji D.
and Jones A.
and Lunt D. J.
and Moore J. C.
and Muri H.
and Niemeier U.
and Robock A.
and Singh B.
and Tilmes S.
and Watanabe S.
and Yoon J.
},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
}
,
@article{Huneeus N.
  title = {Forcings and feedbacks in the GeoMIP ensemble for a reduction in solar irradiance and increase in CO2},
  author = {
Huneeus N.
and Boucher O.
and Alterskjær K.
and Cole J. N.
and Curry C. L.
and Ji D.
and Jones A.
and Kravitz B.
and Kristjánsson J.
and Moore J. C.
and Muri H.
and Niemeier U.
and Rasch P. J.
and Robock A.
and Singh B.
and Schmidt H.
and SChulz M.
and Tilmes S.
and Watanabe S.
and Yoon J.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013JD021110/full},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {119},
  pages = {5226-5239},
}
,
@article{Curry C. L.
  title = {A multi-model examination of climate extremes in an idealized geoengineering experiment},
  author = {
Curry C. L.
and Sillmann J.
and Bronaugh D.
and Alterskjær K.
and Cole J. N.
and Ji D.
and Kravitz B.
and Kristjánsson J.
and Moore J. C.
and Muri H.
and Niemeier U.
and Robock A.
and Tilmes S.
and Yang S.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013JD020648/full},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {119},
  pages = {3900-3923},
}
,
@article{Pitari G.
  title = {Stratospheric ozone response to sulfate geoengineering: Results from the Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project (GeoMIP)},
  author = {
Pitari G.
and Aquila V.
and Kravitz B.
and Robock A.
and Watanabe S.
and Cionni I.
and De Luca N.
and Di Genova G.
and Mancini E.
and Tilmes S.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013JD020566/abstract},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {119},
  pages = {2629-2653},
}
,
@article{Berdahl M.
  title = {Arctic cryosphere response in the Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project (GeoMIP) G3 and G4 scenarios},
  author = {
Berdahl M.
and Robock A.
and Ji D.
and Kravitz B.
and Moore J. C.
and Watanabe S.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013JD020627/abstract},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {119},
  pages = {1308-1321},
}
,
@article{Moore J. C.
  title = {Arctic sea ice and atmospheric circulation under the GeoMIP G1 scenario},
  author = {
Moore J. C.
and Rinke A.
and Yu X.
and Ji D.
and Cui X.
and Li Y.
and Alterskjær K.
and Kristjánsson J.
and Muri H.
and Boucher O.
and Huneeus N.
and Kravitz B.
and Robock A.
and Niemeier U.
and SChulz M.
and Tilmes S.
and Watanabe S.
and Yang S.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013JD021060/abstract},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {119},
  pages = {567-583},
}
,
@article{Kravitz B.
  title = {A multi-model assessment of regional climate disparities caused by solar geoengineering},
  author = {
Kravitz B.
and MacMartin D. G.
and Robock A.
and Rasch P. J.
and Ricke K. L.
and Cole J. N.
and Curry C. L.
and Irvine P. J.
and Ji D.
and Keith D. W.
and Kristjánsson J.
and Moore J. C.
and Muri H.
and Singh B.
and Tilmes S.
and Watanabe S.
and Yang S.
and Yoon J.
},
  url = {http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/9/7/074013/},
  journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
  volume = {9},
}
,
@article{Kostov Y.
  title = {Impact of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation on ocean heat storage and transient climate change},
  author = {
Kostov Y.
and Armour K. C.
and Marshall J.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013GL058998/abstract},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {41},
  pages = {2108-2116},
}
,
@article{Tan M.
  title = {Impacts and uncertainties of climate change on streamflow of the Johor River Basin, Malaysia using a CMIP5 General Circulation Model ensemble},
  author = {
Tan M.
and Ficklin D.
and Ibrahim A.
and Yusop Z.
},
  url = {http://www.iwaponline.com/jwc/up/jwc2014020.htm},
  journal = {Other},
}
,
@article{Medeiros B.
  title = {Using aquaplanets to understand the robust responses of comprehensive climate models to forcing},
  author = {
Medeiros B.
and Stevens B.
and Bony S.
},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,
@article{Pithan F.
  title = {Arctic amplification dominated by temperature feedbacks in contemporary climate models},
  author = {
Pithan F.
and Mauritsen T.
},
  journal = {Nature Geoscience},
}
,
@article{Maloney E. D.
  title = {North American climate in CMIP5 experiments: Part III: Assessment of 21st century projections. },
  author = {
Maloney E. D.
and Camargo S. J.
and Chang E.
and Colle B.
and Fu R.
and Geil K.
and Hu Q.
and Jiang X.
and Johnson N.
and Karnauskas K. B.
and Kinter J.
and Kirtman B.
and Kumar S.
and Langenbrunner B.
and Lombardo K.
and Long L.
and Mariotti A.
and Meyerson J.
and Mo K.
and Neelin J. D.
and Pan Z.
and Seager R.
and Serra Y.
and Seth A.
and Sheffield J.
and Stroeve J.
and Thibeault J.
and Xie S.
and Wang C.
and Wyman B.
and Zhao M.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
  pages = {2230-2270},
}
,
@article{Marcos M.
  title = {Quantifying anthropogenic and natural contributions to thermosteric sea level rise},
  author = {
Marcos M.
and Amores A.
},
  url = {http://http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014GL059766/abstract},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {41},
  pages = {2502-2507},
}
,
@article{Schwinger J.
  title = {Nonlinearity of Ocean Carbon Cycle Feedbacks in CMIP5 Earth System Models},
  author = {
Schwinger J.
and Tjiputra J. F.
and Heinze C.
and Bopp L.
and Christian J. R.
and Gehlen M.
and Ilyina T.
and Jones C. D.
and Salas-Mlia D.
and Segschneider J.
and Sfrian R.
and Totterdell I.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00452.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
  pages = {3869-3888},
}
,
@article{Thibeault J. M.
  title = {A framework for evaluating model credibility for warm-season precipitation in Northeastern North America: A case study of CMIP5 simulations and projections},
  author = {
Thibeault J. M.
and Seth A.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
}
,
@article{Horton D. E.
  title = {Occurrence and persistence of future atmospheric stagnation events},
  author = {
Horton D. E.
and Skinner C. B.
and Singh D.
and Diffenbaugh N. S.
},
  url = {http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/vaop/ncurrent/full/nclimate2272.html},
  journal = {Nature Climate Change},
}
,
@article{Diffenbaugh N. S.
  title = {Likelihood of July 2012 U.S. temperatures in pre-industrial and current forcing regimes [in %u201CExplaining Extreme Events of 2012 from a Climate Perspective%u201D]},
  author = {
Diffenbaugh N. S.
and Scherer M.
},
  url = {ftp://205.167.25.101/pub/data/cmb/bams-sotc/extreme-events/2012/BAMS-Extremes-of-2012-Section-03.pdf},
  journal = {Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society},
  volume = {94},
  pages = {S6-S9},
}
,
@article{Kren A. C.
  title = {Examining the stratospheric response to the solar cycle in a coupled WACCM simulation with an internally generated QBO},
  author = {
Kren A. C.
and Marsh D. R.
and Smith A. K.
and Pilewskie P.
},
  url = {http://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/14/4843/2014/acp-14-4843-2014.html},
  journal = {Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics},
  volume = {14},
  pages = {4843-4856},
}
,
@article{Allan R. P.
  title = {Changes in global net radiative imbalance 1985-2012},
  author = {
Allan R. P.
and Liu C.
and Loeb N. G.
and Palmer M. D.
and Roberts M.
and Smith D.
and Vidale P.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014GL060962/abstract},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
}
,
@article{Wang X. L.
  title = {Changes in global ocean wave heights as projected using multimodel CMIP5 simulations},
  author = {
Wang X. L.
and Feng Y.
and Swail V. R.
},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {41},
  pages = {1026-1034},
}
,
@article{Martin E. R.
  title = {The Multidecadal Atlantic SST%u2014Sahel Rainfall Teleconnection in CMIP5 Simulations},
  author = {
Martin E. R.
and Thorncroft C.
and Booth B. B.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
  pages = {784-806},
}
,
@article{Martin E. R.
  title = {Sahel rainfall in multimodel CMIP5 decadal hindcasts},
  author = {
Martin E. R.
and Thorncroft C.
},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {41},
}
,
@article{James R.
  title = {African climate change uncertainty in perturbed physics ensembles: Implications of global warming to 4°C and beyond},
  author = {
James R.
and Washington R.
and Rowell D. P.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00612.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
  pages = {4677-4692},
}
,
@article{Neil B. P.
  title = {On the Contribution of Longwave Radiation to Global Climate Model Biases in Arctic Lower Tropospheric Stability},
  author = {
Neil B. P.
and Stephen K. A.
and Boyle J. S.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,
@article{Woollings T.
  title = {Arctic warming, atmospheric blocking and cold European winters in CMIP5 models},
  author = {
Woollings T.
and Harvey B.
and Masato G.
},
  journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
}
,
@article{Yang C.
  title = {Ocean Dynamics and Tropical Pacific Climate Change in Ocean Reanalyses and Coupled Climate Models},
  author = {
Yang C.
and Giese B. S.
and Wu L.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014JC009979/epdf},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research},
  volume = {119},
  pages = {7066-7077},
}
,
@article{Van den Hurk B. J.
  title = { Drivers of mean climate change around the Netherlands derived from CMIP5},
  author = {
Van den Hurk B. J.
and Van Oldenborgh G. J.
and Lenderink G.
and Hazeleger W.
and Haarsma R. J.
and De Vries H.
},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {42},
  pages = {1683-1697},
}
,
@article{Sandø A.
  title = {Poleward ocean heat transports, sea ice processes, and Arctic sea ice variability in NorESM1-M simulations},
  author = {
Sandø A.
and Gao Y.
and Langehaug H. R.
},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research},
  pages = {2095-2108},
}
,
@article{Murakami H.
  title = {Future changes in tropical cyclone activity in the North Indian Ocean projected by high-resolution MRI-AGCMs.},
  author = {
Murakami H.
and Sugi M.
and Kitoh A.
},
  url = {http://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007%2Fs00382-012-1407-z.pdf},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {40},
  pages = {1949-1968},
}
,
@article{Murakami H.
  title = {Influence of model biases on projected future changes in tropical cyclone frequency of occurrence.},
  author = {
Murakami H.
and Hsu P.
and Arakawa O.
and Li T.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/pdf/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00436.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
  pages = {2159-2181},
}
,
@article{Hao Z.
  title = {Changes in Concurrent Monthly Precipitation and Temperature Extremes},
  author = {
Hao Z.
and AghaKouchak A.
and Phillips T. J.
},
  url = {http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/8/3/034014/},
  journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
  volume = {8},
}
,
@article{Sabeerali C. T.
  title = {Why ensemble mean projection of South Asian Monsoon rainfall by CMIP5 models is not reliable?},
  author = {
Sabeerali C. T.
and Rao S. A.
and Dhakate A. R.
and Salunke K.
and Goswami B. N.
},
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-014-2269-3},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,
@article{Sandeep S.
  title = {Poleward shift in Indian summer monsoon low level jetstream under global warming},
  author = {
Sandeep S.
and Ajayamohan R.
},
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-014-2261-y},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,
@article{Sandeep S.
  title = {Pacific Walker Circulation variability in coupled and uncoupled climate models},
  author = {
Sandeep S.
and Stordal F.
and Sardeshmukh P.
and Compo G.
},
  url = {http://http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-014-2135-3},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {43},
  pages = {103-117},
}
,
@article{Salzmann M.
  title = {Robust response of Asian summer monsoon to anthropogenic aerosols in CMIP5 models},
  author = {
Salzmann M.
and Weser H.
and Cherian R.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014JD021783/abstract},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
}
,
@article{Manzini E.
  title = {Northern winter climate change: Assessment of uncertainty in CMIP5 projections related to stratosphere-troposphere coupling},
  author = {
Manzini E.
and Karpechko A. Y.
and Anstey J.
and Baldwin M. P.
and Black R. X.
and Cagnazzo C.
and Calvo N.
and Charlton-Perez A.
and Christiansen B.
and Davini P.
and Gerber E.
and Giorgetta M.
and Gray L.
and Hardiman S. C.
and Lee Y. Y.
and Marsh D. R.
and McDaniel B. A.
and Purich A.
and Scaife A. A.
and Shindell D.
and Son S. W.
and Watanabe S.
and Zappa G.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013JD021403/abstract},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {119},
  pages = {7979-7998},
}
,
@article{Palmer M. D.
  title = {Internal variability of Earth's energy budget simulated by CMIP5 climate models },
  author = {
Palmer M. D.
and McNeall D. J.
},
  url = {http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/9/3/034016/article},
  journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
  volume = {9},
}
,
@article{Akurut M.
  title = {Potential Impacts of Climate Change on Precipitation over Lake Victoria, East Africa, in the 21st Century},
  author = {
Akurut M.
and Wilems P.
and Niwagaba C. B.
},
  url = {http://www.mdpi.com/2073-4441/6/9/2634},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {6},
  pages = {2634-2659},
}
,
@article{Sandeep S.
  title = {Origin of cold bias over the Arabian Sea in Climate Models},
  author = {
Sandeep S.
and Ajayamohan R.
},
  url = {http://www.nature.com/srep/2014/140917/srep06403/full/srep06403.html},
  journal = {Other},
}
,
@article{Huang W.
  title = {Variability of Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation in FGOALS-g2},
  author = {
Huang W.
},
  url = {http://159.226.119.58/aas/EN/abstract/abstract2339.shtml},
  journal = {Advances in Atmospheric Sciences},
  volume = {31},
  pages = {95-109},
}
,
@article{Dwyer J. G.
  title = {The Effect of greenhouse gas-induced changes in SST on the annual cycle of zonal mean tropical precipitation},
  author = {
Dwyer J. G.
and Biasutti M.
and Sobel A. H.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
}
,
@article{Fountalis I.
  title = {Spatio-temporal network analysis for studying climate patterns},
  author = {
Fountalis I.
and Bracco A.
and Dovrolis C.
},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {42},
  pages = {879-899},
}
,
@article{Garcia-Serrano J.
  title = {Added-value from initialization in predictions of Atlantic multi-decadal variability},
  author = {
Garcia-Serrano J.
and Guemas V.
and Doblas-Reyes F. J.
},
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-014-2370-7},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,
@article{Hawkins E.
  title = {Uncertainties in the timing of unprecedented climates},
  author = {
Hawkins E.
and Anderson B.
},
  url = {http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v511/n7507/full/nature13523.html},
  journal = {Nature},
  volume = {511},
  pages = {E3-E5},
}
,
@article{Ott I.
  title = {Teleconnections of the tropical Atlantic and Pacific Oceans in a CMIP5 model ensemble},
  author = {
Ott I.
and Romberg K.
and Jacobeit J.
},
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-014-2394-z},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,
@article{Chung E.
  title = {Upper-tropospheric moistening in response to anthropogenic warming},
  author = {
Chung E.
and Soden B. J.
and Sohn B.
and Shi L.
},
  url = {http://www.pnas.org/content/111/32/11636},
  journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences},
  volume = {111},
  pages = {11636-11641},
}
,
@article{Rana A.
  title = {Impact of climate change on rainfall over Mumbai using Distribution-based Scaling of Global Climate Model projections},
  author = {
Rana A.
and Foster K.
and Bosshard T.
and Olsson J.
and Bengtsson L.
},
  url = {http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214581814000081},
  journal = {Other},
}
,
@article{Vera C. S.
  title = {Anthropogenic influence on summer precipitation trends over South America in CMIP5 models},
  author = {
Vera C. S.
and Diaz L.
},
  journal = {International Journal of Climatology},
}
,
@article{Scoccimarro E.
  title = {Heavy precipitation events over the Euro-Mediterranean region in a warmer climate: results from CMIP5 models},
  author = {
Scoccimarro E.
and Gualdi S.
and Bellucci A.
and Zampieri M.
},
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10113-014-0712-y },
  journal = {Other},
}
,
@article{Sedlacek J.
  title = {Half of the world's population experience robust changes in the water cycle for a 2C warmer world },
  author = {
Sedlacek J.
and Knutti R.
},
  url = {http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/9/4/044008},
  journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
  volume = {9},
}
,
@article{Fischer E. M.
  title = {Detection of spatially aggregated changes in temperature and precipitation extremes },
  author = {
Fischer E. M.
and Knutti R.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013GL058499/abstract},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {41},
  pages = {547-554},
}
,
@article{Huber M.
  title = {Estimating climate sensitivity and future temperature in the presence of natural variability},
  author = {
Huber M.
and Beyerle U.
and Knutti R.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013GL058532/abstract},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {41},
  pages = {2086-2092},
}
,
@article{Huber M.
  title = {Natural variability, radiative forcing and climate response in the recent hiatus reconciled },
  author = {
Huber M.
and Knutti R.
},
  url = {http://www.nature.com/ngeo/journal/v7/n9/full/ngeo2228.html},
  journal = {Nature Geoscience},
  volume = {7},
  pages = {651-657},
}
,
@article{Sharmila S.
  title = {Future projection of Indian summer monsoon variability under climate change scenario: An assessment from CMIP5 climate models},
  author = {
Sharmila S.
and Joseph S.
and Sahai A.
and Abhilash S.
and Chattopadhyay R.
},
  url = {http://http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0921818114002239#},
  journal = {Other},
}
,
@article{Jha B.
  title = {SST and ENSO variability and change simulated in historical experiments of CMIP5 models},
  author = {
Jha B.
and Hu Z.
and Kumar A.
},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {42},
  pages = {2113-2124},
}
,
@article{Le T.
  title = {Solar forcing of Earth's surface temperature in PMIP3 simulations of the last millennium},
  author = {
Le T.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/asl2.555/abstract},
  journal = {Atmospheric Science Letters},
}
,
@article{Cheruy f.
  title = {Role of clouds and land-atmosphere coupling in midlatitude continental summer warm biases and climate change amplification in CMIP5 simulations},
  author = {
Cheruy f.
and Dufresne J.
and Hourdin F.
},
  url = {http://http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014GL061145/abstract},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {48},
  pages = {6493-6500},
}
,
@article{King A. D.
  title = {Climate Change turns Australia's 2013 Big Dry into a year of record-breaking heat},
  author = {
King A. D.
and Karoly D. J.
and Donat M. G.
and Alexander L. V.
},
  url = {http://www.journals.ametsoc.org/doi/pdf/10.1175/1520-0477-95.9.S1.1},
  journal = {Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society},
  volume = {95},
  pages = {S41-S45},
}
,
@article{Hourdin F.
  title = {LMDZ5B: the atmospheric component of the IPSL climate model with revisited parameterizations for clouds and convection},
  author = {
Hourdin F.
and Grandpeix J.
and Rio C.
and Bony S.
and Jam A.
and Cheruy f.
and Rochetin N.
and Fairhead L.
and Idelkadi A.
and Musat I.
and Dufresne J.
and lahellec a.
and Lefebvre M.
and Roehrig R.
},
  url = {http://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007%2Fs00382-012-1343-y.pdf},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {40},
  pages = {2193-2222},
}
,
@article{Li C.
  title = {Joint bias correction of temperature and precipitation in climate model simulations},
  author = {
Li C.
and Sinha E.
and Horton D. E.
and Diffenbaugh N. S.
and Michalak A. M.
},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {119},
  pages = {153-162},
}
,
@article{Swain D. L.
  title = {The extraordinary California drought of 2013-2014: character, context, and the role of climate change [in %u201CExplaining Extremes of 2013 from a Climate Perspective%u201D]},
  author = {
Swain D. L.
and Tsiang M.
and Haugen M.
and Singh D.
and Charland A.
and Rajaratnam B.
and Diffenbaugh N. S.
},
  url = {http://www2.ametsoc.org/ams/assets/File/publications/BAMS_EEE_2013_Full_Report.pdf},
  journal = {Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society},
  volume = {95},
  pages = {S3-S7},
}
,
@article{Singh D.
  title = {Severe precipitation in Northern India in June 2013: causes, historical context, and changes in probability [in %u201CExplaining Extremes of 2013 from a Climate Perspective%u201D]},
  author = {
Singh D.
and Horton D. E.
and Tsiang M.
and Haugen M.
and Ashfaq M.
and Mei R.
and Rastogi D.
and Johnson N. C.
and Charland A.
and Rajaratnam B.
and Diffenbaugh N. S.
},
  url = {http://www2.ametsoc.org/ams/assets/File/publications/BAMS_EEE_2013_Full_Report.pdf},
  journal = {Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society},
  volume = {95},
  pages = {S58-S61},
}
,
@article{Murphy B. F.
  title = {Impacts of variations in the strength and structure of El Niño events on Pacific rainfall in CMIP5 models},
  author = {
Murphy B. F.
and Ye H.
and Delage F.
},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {44},
  pages = {3171-3186},
}
,
@article{Majkut J. D.
  title = {An observing system simulation for Southern Ocean carbon dioxide uptake},
  author = {
Majkut J. D.
and Carter B. R.
and Fröilcher T. L.
and Durour C. O.
and Rodgers K. B.
and Sarmiento J. L.
},
  url = {http://http://rsta.royalsocietypublishing.org/content/372/2019/20130046},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {372},
}
,
@article{Guttorp P.
  title = {Assessing the uncertainty in projecting local mean sea level from global temperature},
  author = {
Guttorp P.
and Bolin D.
and Januzzi A.
and Novak M.
and Podschwit H.
and Richardson L.
and Särkkä A.
and Sowder C.
and Zimmerman A.
},
  journal = {Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology},
  volume = {53},
  pages = {2163-2170},
}
,
@article{Zscheischler J.
  title = {Carbon cycle extremes during the 21st century in CMIP5 models: Future evolution and attribution to climatic drivers},
  author = {
Zscheischler J.
and Reichstein M.
and von Buttlar J.
and Mu M.
and Randerson J. T.
and Mahecha M. D.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/wol1/doi/10.1002/2014GL062409/full},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {41},
  pages = {8853-8861},
}
,
@article{Sanap S. D.
  title = {Assessment of the aerosol distribution over Indian subcontinent in CMIP5 models},
  author = {
Sanap S. D.
and Pandithurai G.
and Chaudhury A. D.
and Niranjan K.
},
  url = {http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1352231014000260?np=y},
  journal = {Atmospheric Environment},
  volume = {87},
  pages = {123-127},
}
,
@article{Yu S.
  title = {Attribution of the United States %u2018%u2018warming hole%u2019%u2019: Aerosol indirect effect and precipitable water vapor},
  author = {
Yu S.
},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {4},
  pages = {6929},
}
,
@article{Manda A.
  title = {Impacts of a warming marginal sea on torrential rainfall organized under the Asian summer monsoon},
  author = {
Manda A.
and Nakamura H.
and Asano N.
and Iizuka S.
and Miyama T.
and Moteki Q.
and Yoshioka M. K.
and Nishii K.
},
  url = {http://www.nature.com/srep/2014/140718/srep05741/full/srep05741.html},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {4},
}
,
@article{Laine A.
  title = {A diagnostic study of future evaporation changes projected in CMIP5 climate models},
  author = {
Laine A.
and Nakamura H.
and Kazuaki N.
and Takafumi M.
},
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-014-2087-7#page-1},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {42},
  pages = {2745-2761},
}
,
@article{Adam O.
  title = {Role of changes in mean temperatures vs. temperature gradients in the recent widening of the Hadley circulation},
  author = {
Adam O.
and Schneider T.
and Harnik N.
},
  url = {http://http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00140.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
  pages = {7450-7461},
}
,
@article{Huang P.
  title = {Regional response of annual-mean tropical rainfall to global warming},
  author = {
Huang P.
},
  journal = {Atmospheric Science Letters},
}
,
@article{Noda A. T.
  title = {Intermodel variances of subtropical stratocumulus environments simulated in CMIP5 models},
  author = {
Noda A. T.
and Satoh M.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014GL061812/abstract},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {41},
}
,
@article{Boysen L. R.
  title = {Global and regional effects of land-use change on climate in 21st century simulations with interactive carbon cycle },
  author = {
Boysen L. R.
and Brovkin V.
and Arora V. K.
and Cadule P.
and de Noblet-Ducoudré N.
and Kato E.
and Pongratz J.
and Gayler V.
},
  url = {http://www.earth-syst-dynam-discuss.net/5/443/2014/esdd-5-443-2014.html},
  journal = {Earth System Dynamics},
  volume = {5},
  pages = {443-472},
}
,
@article{Yi S.
  title = {The Hiatus and Accelerated Warming Decades in CMIP5 Simulations},
  author = {
Yi S.
and Yongqiang Y.
and Pengfei L.
},
  journal = {Advances in Atmospheric Sciences},
  volume = {31},
  pages = {1316-1330},
}
,
@article{Keller K. M.
  title = {Time of emergence of trends in ocean biogeochemistry},
  author = {
Keller K. M.
and Joos F.
and Raible C. C.
},
  url = {http://www.biogeosciences.net/11/3647/2014/bg-11-3647-2014.pdf},
  journal = {Biogeosciences},
  volume = {11},
  pages = {3647-3659},
}
,
@article{Fountoulakis I.
  title = {Projected changes in solar UV radiation in the Arctic and sub-Arctic Oceans: Effects from changes in reflectivity, ice transmittance, clouds, and ozone},
  author = {
Fountoulakis I.
and Bais A. F.
and Tourpali K.
and Fragkos K.
and Misios S.
},
  url = {http://http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014JD021918/full},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
}
,
@article{Cowan T.
  title = {Future projections of Australian heat wave number and intensity based on CMIP5 models},
  author = {
Cowan T.
and Purich A.
and Boschat G.
and Perkins S.
},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {27},
  pages = {134-139},
}
,
@article{Young P. J.
  title = {Modeling the climate impact of Southern Hemisphere ozone depletion: The importance of the ozone dataset},
  author = {
Young P. J.
and Davis S. M.
and Hassler B.
and Solomon S.
and Rosenlof K. H.
},
  url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2014GL061738},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {41},
  pages = {9033-9039},
}
,
@article{Davini P.
  title = {On the misinterpretation of the North Atlantic Oscillation in CMIP5 models},
  author = {
Davini P.
and Cagnazzo C.
},
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-013-1970-y},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {45},
  pages = {1497-1511},
}
,
@article{Smith R. S.
  title = {The impact of salinity perturbations on the future uptake of heat by the Atlantic Ocean},
  author = {
Smith R. S.
and Sutton R.
and Gregory J. M.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014GL062169/abstract},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {41},
  pages = {9072-9079},
}
,
@article{Hardiman S. C.
  title = {The morphology of the Brewer%u2013Dobson circulation and its response to climate change in CMIP5 simulations},
  author = {
Hardiman S. C.
and Butchart N.
and Calvo N.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/qj.2258/full},
  journal = {Quarterly Journal Royal Meteorological Society},
  volume = {140},
  pages = {1958-1965},
}
,
@article{Terzago S.
  title = {Snowpack Changes in the Hindu Kush%u2013Karakoram%u2013Himalaya from CMIP5 Global Climate Models},
  author = {
Terzago S.
and von Hardenberg J.
and Palazzi E.
and Provenzale A.
},
  journal = {Journal of Hydrometeorology},
  volume = {15},
  pages = {2293-2313},
}
,
@article{Iles C. E.
  title = {The global precipitation response to volcanic eruptions in the CMIP5 models},
  author = {
Iles C. E.
and Hegerl G. C.
},
  url = {http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/9/10/104012/article},
  journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
  volume = {9},
}
,
@article{Bin W.
  title = {Understanding the Anthropogenically Forced Change of Equatorial Pacific Trade Winds in Coupled Climate Models},
  author = {
Bin W.
and Juan L.
and Ming Z.
and June-yi L.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
}
,
@article{Jones D. O.
  title = {Global reductions in seafloor biomass in response to climate change},
  author = {
Jones D. O.
and Yool A.
and Wei C.
and Henson S. A.
and Ruhl H. A.
and Watson R. A.
and Gehlen M.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.12480/full},
  journal = {Global Change Biology},
  volume = {20},
  pages = {1861-1872},
}
,
@article{Cherchi A.
  title = {South Asian summer monsoon and the eastern Mediterranean climate: the monsoon-desert mechanism in CMIP5 simulations},
  author = {
Cherchi A.
and Annamalai H.
and Masina S.
and Navarra A.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
}
,
@article{Cherchi A.
  title = {South Asian summer monsoon and the eastern Mediterranean climate: the monsoon-desert mechanism in CMIP5 simulations},
  author = {
Cherchi A.
and Annamalai H.
and Masina S.
and Navarra A.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
}
,
@article{Wan H.
  title = {Attributing northern high-latitude precipitation change over the period 1966%u20132005 to human influence},
  author = {
Wan H.
and Zhang X.
and Zwiers F.
and Min S.
},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,
@article{Sun Y.
  title = {Rapid increase in the risk of extreme summer heat in Eastern China},
  author = {
Sun Y.
and Zhang X.
and Zwiers F.
and Song L.
and Wan H.
and Hu T.
and Yin H.
and Ren G.
},
  journal = {Nature Climate Change},
  volume = {4},
  pages = {1082-1085},
}
,
@article{Hoffman F. M.
  title = {Causes and Implications of Persistent Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide Biases in Earth System Models},
  author = {
Hoffman F. M.
and Randerson J. T.
and Arora V. K.
and Bao Q.
and Cadule P.
and Ji D.
and Jones C. D.
and Kawamiya M.
and Khatiwala S.
and Lindsay K.
and Obata A.
and Shevliakova E.
and Six K. D.
and Tjiputra J. F.
and Volodin E. M.
and Wu T.
},
  url = {http://www.climatemodeling.org/~forrest/pubs/papers/Hoffman_JGRB_20140201.pdf},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research},
  volume = {119},
  pages = {141-162},
}
,
@article{Gordon N. D.
  title = {Low-cloud optical depth feedback in climate models},
  author = {
Gordon N. D.
and Klein S. A.
},
  url = {http://http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013JD021052/abstract},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {119},
  pages = {6052-6065},
}
,
@article{Barton N. P.
  title = {On the Contribution of Longwave Radiation to Global Climate Model Biases in Arctic Lower Tropospheric Stability},
  author = {
Barton N. P.
and Klein S. A.
and Boyle J. S.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00126.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
  pages = {7250-7269},
}
,
@article{Solomon A.
  title = {Using initialized hindcasts to assess simulations of 1970-2009 equatorial Pacific SST, zonal wind stress, and surface flux trends},
  author = {
Solomon A.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00709.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
  pages = {7385-7393},
}
,
@article{Zhang T.
  title = {ENSO Asymmetry in CMIP5 Models},
  author = {
Zhang T.
and Sun D.
},
  url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00454.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
  pages = {4070-4093},
}
,
@article{Knutson T. R.
  title = {Multimodel Assessment of Extreme Annual-Mean Warm Anomalies During 2013 over Regions of Australia and the Western Tropical Pacific [in "Explaining Extremes of 2013 from a Climate Perspective"]},
  author = {
Knutson T. R.
and Zeng F.
and Wittenberg A. T.
},
  url = {http://www2.ametsoc.org/ams/assets/File/publications/BAMS_EEE_2013_Full_Report_high_res.pdf},
  journal = {Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society},
  volume = {95},
  pages = {S26-S30},
}
,
@article{Knutson T. R.
  title = {Seasonal and Annual Mean Precipitation Extremes Occurring During 2013: A U.S. Focused Analysis [in "Explaining Extremes of 2013 from a Climate Perspective"]},
  author = {
Knutson T. R.
and Zeng F.
and Wittenberg A. T.
},
  url = {http://www2.ametsoc.org/ams/assets/File/publications/BAMS_EEE_2013_Full_Report_high_res.pdf},
  journal = {Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society},
  volume = {95},
  pages = {S19-S23},
}
,
@article{Hurwitz M. M.
  title = {Extra-tropical atmospheric response to ENSO in the CMIP5 models},
  author = {
Hurwitz M. M.
and Calvo N.
and Garfinkel C. I.
and Butler A. H.
and Ineson S.
and Cagnazzo C.
and Manzini E.
and Pena-Ortiz C.
},
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-014-2110-z},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {43},
  pages = {3367-3376},
}
,
@article{Wang C.
  title = {A global perspective on CMIP5 climate model biases},
  author = {
Wang C.
and Zhang L.
and Lee S.
and Wu L.
and Mechoso C.
},
  journal = {Nature Climate Change},
  volume = {4},
  pages = {201-205},
}
,
@article{Hodges M.
  title = {Delays reducing waterborne and water-related infectious diseases in China under climate change},
  author = {
Hodges M.
and Belle J.
and Carlton E.
and Liang S.
and Li H.
and Luo W.
and Freeman M. C.
and Liu Y.
and Gao Y.
and Hess J. J.
and Remais J. V.
},
  url = {http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/v4/n12/full/nclimate2428.html},
  journal = {Nature Climate Change},
  volume = {4},
  pages = {1109-1115},
}
,
@article{Lebsock M. D.
  title = {Application of Active Spaceborne Remote Sensing for Understanding Biases Between Passive Cloud Water Path Retrievals},
  author = {
Lebsock M. D.
and Su H.
},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {119},
  pages = {8962-8979},
}
,
@article{Endo H.
  title = {Thermodynamic and dynamic effects on regional monsoon rainfall changes in a warmer climate},
  author = {
Endo H.
and Kitoh A.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013GL059158/abstract},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {41},
  pages = {1704-1710},
}
,
@article{Ding Y.
  title = {Ocean response to volcanic eruptions in Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 5 (CMIP5) simulations},
  author = {
Ding Y.
and Carton J. A.
and Chepurin G. A.
and Stenchikov G.
and Robock A.
and Sentman L. T.
},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research},
  volume = { 119},
  pages = {5622-5637},
}
,
@article{Oliveira G.
  title = {Evaluating, partitioning, and mapping the spatial autocorrelation component in ecological niche modeling: a new approach based on environmentally equidistant records},
  author = {
Oliveira G.
and Lima-Ribeiro M.
and et al ..
},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {37},
  pages = {1-11},
}
,
@article{Collevatti R.
  title = {Recovering species demographic history from multi-model inference: the case of a Neotropical savanna tree species},
  author = {
Collevatti R.
and Lima-Ribeiro M.
and et al ..
},
  journal = {Other},
}
,
@article{Planas E.
  title = {Ecological niche and phylogeography elucidate complex biogeographic patterns in Loxosceles rufescens (Araneae, Sicariidae) in the Mediterranean Basin},
  author = {
Planas E.
and Lima-Ribeiro M.
and et al ..
},
  journal = {Other},
}
,
@article{Purich A.
  title = {Atmospheric and Oceanic Conditions Associated with Southern Australian Heat Waves: A CMIP5 Analysis},
  author = {
Purich A.
and Cowan T.
and Cai W.
and van Rensch P.
and Uotila P.
and Pezza A.
and Boschat G.
and Perkins S.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
  pages = {7807},
}
,
@article{He J.
  title = {The robustness of the atmospheric circulation and precipitation response to future anthropogenic surface warming},
  author = {
He J.
and Soden B.
and Kirtman B.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014GL059435/abstract},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {41},
}
,
@article{Grise K. M.
  title = {Southern Hemisphere cloud-dynamics biases in CMIP5 models and their implications for climate projections},
  author = {
Grise K. M.
and Polvani L. M.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
  pages = {6074-6092},
}
,
@article{Grise K. M.
  title = {The response of midlatitude jets to increased CO2: Distinguishing the roles of sea surface temperature and direct radiative forcing},
  author = {
Grise K. M.
and Polvani L. M.
},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {41},
  pages = {6863-6871},
}
,
@article{Mori M.
  title = {Robust Arctic sea-ice influence on the frequent Eurasian cold winters in past decades},
  author = {
Mori M.
and Watanabe M.
and Shiogama H.
and Inoue J.
and Kimoto M.
},
  url = {http://www.nature.com/ngeo/journal/v7/n12/full/ngeo2277.html},
  journal = {Nature Geoscience},
  volume = {7},
  pages = {869-873},
}
,
@article{Zhang X.
  title = {Runoff Sensitivity to Global Mean Temperature Change in the CMIP5 Models},
  author = {
Zhang X.
and Tang Q.
and Zhang X.
and Lettenmaier D. P.
},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {41},
  pages = {5492-5498},
}
,
@article{Carvalhais N.
  title = {Global covariation of carbon turnover times with climate in terrestrial ecosystems},
  author = {
Carvalhais N.
and Forkel M.
and Khomik M.
and Bellarby J.
and Jung M.
and Migliavacca M.
and Mu M.
and Saatchi S.
and Santoro M.
and Thurner M.
and Weber U.
and Ahrens B.
and Beer C.
and Cescatti A.
and Randerson J. T.
and Reichstein M.
},
  url = {http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v514/n7521/full/nature13731.html},
  journal = {Nature},
  volume = {514},
  pages = {213-217},
}
,
@article{Bintanja R.
  title = {Future increases in Arctic precipitation linked to local evaporation and sea ice retreat},
  author = {
Bintanja R.
and Selten F.
},
  url = {http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v509/n7501/full/nature13259.html},
  journal = {Nature},
  volume = {509},
  pages = {479-482},
}
,
@article{Cabre A.
  title = {Consistent global responses of marine ecosystems to future climate change across the IPCC AR5 earth system models},
  author = {
Cabre A.
and Marinov I.
and Leung S.
},
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-014-2374-3},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,
@article{Chongbo Z.
  title = {The Boreal Summer Intraseasonal Oscillation Simulated by 4 Chinese AGCMs Participated in CMIP5 Project},
  author = {
Chongbo Z.
and Tianjun Z.
and Lianchun S.
and Hongli R.
},
  journal = {Advances in Atmospheric Sciences},
}
,
@article{Schoof J. T.
  title = {Assessing the fidelity of AOGCM-simulated relationships between large-scale modes of climate variability and wind speeds},
  author = {
Schoof J. T.
and Pryor S. C.
},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {119},
}
,
@article{Scheff J.
  title = {Scaling Potential Evapotranspiration with Greenhouse Warming},
  author = {
Scheff J.
and Frierson D. M.
},
  url = {http://www.ldeo.columbia.edu/~jscheff/SF2013ScalingPotEvap.pdf},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
  pages = {1539-1558},
}
,
@article{Jiang C.
  title = {Southern Ocean pCO2: Evaluating CMIP5 coupled carbon/climate models using in-situ observations},
  author = {
Jiang C.
and Gille S. T.
and Sprintall J.
and Sweeney C.
},
  url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00571.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
  pages = {76-100},
}
,
@article{Kim D.
  title = {Process-oriented MJO simulation diagnostic: Moisture sensitivity of simulated convection.},
  author = {
Kim D.
and Xavier P.
and Maloney E.
and Wheeler M.
and Waliser D.
and Sperber K.
and Hendon H.
and Zhang C.
and Neale R.
and Hwang Y.
and Liu H.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00497.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
  pages = {5379-5395},
}
,
@article{Slangen A.
  title = {Detection and attribution of global mean thermosteric sea-level change},
  author = {
Slangen A.
and et al. .
},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {41},
  pages = {5951-5959},
}
,
@article{Saha A.
  title = {Failure of CMIP5 climate models in simulating post-1950 decreasing trend of Indian monsoon},
  author = {
Saha A.
and Ghosh S.
and A.S. S.
and Rao E.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014GL061573/pdf},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {41},
  pages = {7323-7330},
}
,
@article{Shashikanth K.
  title = {Comparing statistically downscaled simulations of Indian monsoon at different spatial resolutions},
  author = {
Shashikanth K.
},
  url = {http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0022169414008373#},
  journal = {Other},
  pages = {3163-3177},
}
,
@article{Yu M.
  title = {Impact of bias correction of lateral boundary conditions on regional climate projections in West Africa},
  author = {
Yu M.
and Wang G.
},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {42},
  pages = {2521-2538},
}
,
@article{Yu M.
  title = {Future changes of the terrestrial ecosystem based on a dynamic vegetation model driven with RCP8.5 climate projections from 19 GCMs},
  author = {
Yu M.
and Wang G.
and Parr D.
and Ahmed K. F.
},
  journal = {Climatic Change},
  volume = {127},
  pages = {257-271},
}
,
@article{zhao l.
  title = {Uncertainties of the global-to-regional temperature and precipitation simulations in CMIP5 models for past and future 100 years},
  author = {
zhao l.
and xu j.
and M. Powell Jr. A.
},
  journal = {Theoretical and Applied Climatology},
}
,
@article{Harada M.
  title = {Impacts of Slowed Tropical Circulation on Winter Stationary Waves in East Asia and the North Pacific},
  author = {
Harada M.
and Wakamatsu S.
and Hirahara S.
and Murai H.
and Oikawa Y.
and Maeda S.
},
  url = {http://doi.org/10.2151/sola.2014-038},
  journal = {SOLA},
  volume = {10},
  pages = {180-184},
}
,
@article{Durack P. J.
  title = {Quantifying underestimates of long-term upper-ocean warming},
  author = {
Durack P. J.
and Gleckler P. J.
and Landerer F. W.
and Taylor K. E.
},
  url = {http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/v4/n11/abs/nclimate2389.html},
  journal = {Nature Climate Change},
  volume = {4},
  pages = {999-1005},
}
,
@article{Wu Q.
  title = {Interannual Variability and Long-Term Changes of Atmospheric Circulation over the Chukchi and Beaufort Seas },
  author = {
Wu Q.
and Zhang J.
and Zhang X.
and Tao W.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/pdf/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00610.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
  pages = {4871-4889},
}
,
@article{Jiang C.
  title = {Southern Ocean pCO2: Evaluating CMIP5 Coupled Carbon/Climate Models using in-situ observations},
  author = {
Jiang C.
and Gille S. T.
and Sprintall J.
and Sweeney C.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00571.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
  pages = {76-100},
}
,
@article{Güttler I.
  title = {The impact of boundary forcing on RegCM4.2 surface energy budget},
  author = {
Güttler I.
and Brankovi? ?.
and Srnec L.
and Patar?i? M.
},
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10584-013-0995-x},
  journal = {Climatic Change},
  volume = {125},
  pages = {67-78},
}
,
@article{Fengfei S.
  title = {The climatology and interannual variability of East Asian summer monsoon in CMIP5 coupled models: Does air-sea coupling improve the simulations ?},
  author = {
Fengfei S.
and Tianjun Z.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,
@article{Lu D.
  title = {The Indian Ocean Sea Surface Temperature Warming Simulated by CMIP5 Models during the 20th Century: Competing Forcing Roles of GHGs and Anthropogenic Aerosols},
  author = {
Lu D.
and Tianjun Z.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,
@article{Fengfei S.
  title = {Responses of East Asian summer monsoon to natural and anthropogenic forcings in the 17 latest CMIP5 models},
  author = {
Fengfei S.
and Tianjun Z.
and Yun Q.
},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
}
,
@article{Wenmin M.
  title = {Regional-scale surface air temperature and East Asian summer monsoon changes during the last millennium simulated by the FGOALS-gl climate system model},
  author = {
Wenmin M.
and Tianjun Z.
},
  journal = {Advances in Atmospheric Sciences},
}
,
@article{Chao H.
  title = {The two interannual variability modes of the Western North Pacific Subtropical High simulated by 28 CMIP5-AMIP models},
  author = {
Chao H.
and Tianjun Z.
},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,
@article{Chenxi J.
  title = {nalysis of the Interannual Variations of the East Asian Winter Monsoon Simulation by Four CMIP5 GCMs },
  author = {
Chenxi J.
and Tianjun Z.
},
  journal = {Journal of Atmopspheric Sciences},
}
,
@article{Fengfei S.
  title = {Interannual Variability of East Asian Summer Monsoon Simulated by CMIP3 and CMIP5 AGCMs: Skill Dependence on Indian Ocean%u2013Western Pacific Anticyclone Teleconnection},
  author = {
Fengfei S.
and Tianjun Z.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,
@article{Lombardozzi D.
  title = {The emerging anthropogenic signal in land-atmosphere carbon-cycle coupling},
  author = {
Lombardozzi D.
and Bonan G.
and Nychka D.
},
  journal = {Nature Climate Change},
  volume = {4},
  pages = {796-800},
}
,
@article{Wenyu H.
  title = { Variability of Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation in FGOALS-g2},
  author = {
Wenyu H.
and Bin W.
and Lijuan L.
and Li D.
and Pengfei L.
and Yongqiang Y.
and Tianjun Z.
and Li L.
and Shiming X.
and Kun X.
and Ye P.
and Lu W.
and Mimi L.
and Si S.
and Ning H.
and Yong W.
and Wenqi S.
and Fang D.
},
  journal = {Advances in Atmospheric Sciences},
}
,
@article{Rao J.
  title = {Statistical Characteristics of ENSO Events in CMIP5 Models},
  author = {
Rao J.
and Ren R.
},
  url = {http://159.226.119.58/aosl/EN/10.3878/AOSL20140055},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {7},
  pages = {546-552},
}
,
@article{Ji D.
  title = {Description and basic evaluation of Beijing Normal University Earth System Model (BNU-ESM) version 1},
  author = {
Ji D.
and Wang L.
and Feng J.
and Wu Q.
and Cheng H.
and Zhang Q.
and Yang J.
and Dong W.
and Dai Y.
and Gong D.
and Zhang R.
and Wang X.
and Liu J.
and Moore J. C.
and Chen D.
and Zhou M.
},
  url = {http://www.geosci-model-dev.net/7/2039/2014/gmd-7-2039-2014.html},
  journal = {Geoscientific Model Development},
  volume = {7},
  pages = {2039-2064},
}
,
@article{Ohba M.
  title = {Statistical parameterization expressing ENSO variability and reversibility in response to CO2 concentration changes},
  author = {
Ohba M.
and Tsutsui J.
and Nohara D.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
  pages = {398-410},
}
,
@article{Kumar D.
  title = {Regional and seasonal intercomparison of CMIP3 and CMIP5 climate model ensembles for temperature and precipitation},
  author = {
Kumar D.
and Kodra E.
and Ganguly A. R.
},
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-014-2070-3#page-1},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {43},
  pages = {2491-2518},
}
,
@article{Torres-Alavez A.
  title = {Land-sea thermal contrast and intensity of the North American monsoon under climate change conditions. },
  author = {
Torres-Alavez A.
and Cavazos T.
and Turrent C.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00557.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
  pages = {4566-4580},
}
,
@article{Swain D. L.
  title = {The extraordinary California drought of 2013-2014: character, context, and the role of climate change},
  author = {
Swain D. L.
and Tsiang M.
and Haugen M.
and Singh D.
and Charland A.
and Rajaratnam B.
and Diffenbaugh N. S.
},
  url = {http://www2.ametsoc.org/ams/assets/File/publications/BAMS_EEE_2013_Full_Report.pdf},
  journal = {Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society},
  volume = {95},
  pages = {S3-S7},
}
,
@article{Freedman F. R.
  title = {Evaluation of CMIP climate model hydrological output for the Mississippi River Basin using GRACE satellite observations},
  author = {
Freedman F. R.
and Pitts K. L.
and Alison B. F.
},
  url = {http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0022169414008312},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {519},
  pages = {3566-3577},
}
,
@article{Moreno-Chamarro E.
  title = {Internally generated decadal cold events in the northern North Atlantic and their possible implications for the demise of the Norse settlements in Greenland},
  author = {
Moreno-Chamarro E.
and Zanchettin D.
and Lohmann K.
and Johann H. J.
},
  url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2014GL062741},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {42},
  pages = {908-915},
}
,
@article{Nelson G. C.
  title = {Climate change effects on agriculture: Economic responses to biophysical shocks},
  author = {
Nelson G. C.
and Valin H.
and Sands R.
and Havlik P.
and Ahammad H.
and Deryng D.
and Elliott J.
and Fujimori S.
and Heyhoe E.
and Kyle P.
and von Lampe M.
and Lotze-Campen H.
},
  url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1222465110},
  journal = {Other},
}
,
@article{Santer
  title = {Human and natural influences on the changing thermal structure of the atmosphere},
  author = {
Santer, B. D.
and Painter, J. F.
and Bonfils, C.
and Mears, C. A.
and Solomon, S.
and Wigley, T. M. L.
and Gleckler, P. J.
and Schmidt, G. A.
and Doutriaux, C.
and Gillett, N. P.
and Taylor, K. E.
and Thorne, P. W.
and Wentz, F. J.
},
  url = {http://www.pnas.org/content/110/43/17235},
  journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences},
  volume = {110},
  pages = {17235-17240},
}
,
@article{Burke
  title = {Estimating the Permafrost-Carbon Climate Response in the CMIP5 Climate Models Using a Simplified Approach},
  author = {
Burke, Eleanor J.
and Jones, Chris D.
and Koven, Charles D.
},
  url = {https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00550.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {26},
  pages = {4897-4909},
}
,
@article{Jones
  title = {Twenty-First-Century Compatible CO2 Emissions and Airborne Fraction Simulated by CMIP5 Earth System Models under Four Representative Concentration Pathways},
  author = {
Jones, Chris
and Robertson, Eddy
and Arora, Vivek
and Friedlingstein, Pierre
and Shevliakova, Elena
and Bopp, Laurent
and Brovkin, Victor
and Hajima, Tomohiro
and Kato, Etsushi
and Kawamiya, Michio
and Liddicoat, Spencer
and Lindsay, Keith
and Reick, Christian H.
and Roelandt, Caroline
and Segschneider, Joachim
and Tjiputra, Jerry
},
  url = {https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00554.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {26},
  pages = {4398-4413},
}
,
@article{Liddicoat
  title = {CO2 Emissions Determined by HadGEM2-ES to be Compatible with the Representative Concentration Pathway Scenarios and Their Extensions},
  author = {
Liddicoat, Spencer
and Jones, Chris
and Robertson, Eddy
},
  url = {https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00569.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {26},
  pages = {4381-4397},
}
,
@article{Kravitz B.
  title = {Climate model response from the Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project (GeoMIP)},
  author = {
Kravitz B.
and Caldeira K.
and Boucher O.
and Robock A.
and Rasch P. J.
and Alterskjær K.
and Bou Karam D.
and Cole J. N.
and Curry C. L.
and Haywood J. M.
and Irvine P. J.
and Ji D.
and Jones A.
and Kristjánsson J.
and Lunt D. J.
and Moore J. C.
and Niemeier U.
and Schmidt H.
and SChulz M.
and Singh B.
and Tilmes S.
and Watanabe S.
and Yang S.
and Yoon J.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/jgrd.50646/abstract},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {118},
  pages = {8320-8332},
}
,
@article{Lott F. C.
  title = {Models versus radiosondes in the free atmosphere: A new detection and attribution analysis of temperature},
  author = {
Lott F. C.
and Stott P. A.
and Mitchell D. M.
and Christidis N.
and Gillett N. P.
and Haimberger L.
and Perlwitz J.
and Thorne P. W.
},
  url = {http://doi.org/10.1002/jgrd.50255},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {118},
  pages = {1-11},
}
,
@article{Watterson I. G.
  title = {A skill-score based evaluation of simulated Australian climate},
  author = {
Watterson I. G.
and Hirst A. C.
and Rotstayn L. D.
},
  journal = {Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Journal},
  volume = {63},
  pages = {181-190},
}
,
@article{Liu C.
  title = {Observed and simulated precipitation responses in wet and dry regions 1850%u20132100},
  author = {
Liu C.
and Allan R. P.
},
  journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
  volume = {8},
}
,
@article{LEE Y.
  title = {Evaluation of preindustrial to present-day black carbon and its albedo forcing from Atmospheric Chemistry and Climate Model Intercomparison Project (ACCMIP)},
  author = {
LEE Y.
and Lamarque J.
and Flanner M. G.
and Jiao C.
and Shindell D. T.
and Berntsen T.
and Bisiaux M. M.
and Cao J.
and Collins W. J.
and Curran M.
and Edwards R.
and Faluvegi G.
and Ghan S.
and Horowitz L. W.
and McConnell J. R.
and Ming J.
and Myhre G.
and Nagashima T.
and Naik V.
and Rumbold S. T.
and Skeie R. B.
and Sudo K.
and Takemura T.
and Thevenon F.
and Xu .
and Yoon J.
},
  url = {http://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/13/2607/2013/acp-13-2607-2013.html},
  journal = {Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics},
  volume = {13},
  pages = {2607-2634},
}
,
@article{Stevens B.
  title = {Atmospheric component of the MPI-M Earth System Model: ECHAM6},
  author = {
Stevens B.
and Giorgetta M.
and Esch M.
and Mauritsen T.
and Crueger T.
and Rast S.
and Salzmann M.
and Schmidt H.
and Bader J.
and Block C.
and Brokopf R.
and Fast I.
and Kinne S.
and Kornblueh L.
and Lohmann U.
and Pincus R.
and Reichler T.
and Roeckner E.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/jame.20015/full},
  journal = {Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems},
  volume = {5},
  pages = {146-172},
}
,
@article{Lohmann G.
  title = {A model-data comparison of the Holocene global sea surface temperature evolution},
  author = {
Lohmann G.
and Pfeiffer M.
and Laepple T.
and Leduc G.
and Kim J.
},
  url = {http://www.clim-past.net/9/1807/2013/cp-9-1807-2013.html},
  journal = {Climate of the Past},
  volume = {9},
  pages = {1807-1839},
}
,
@article{Block K.
  title = {Forcing and Feedback in the MPI-ESM-LR coupled model under abruptly quadrupled CO2},
  author = {
Block K.
and Mauritsen T.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/jame.20041/full},
  journal = {Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems},
}
,
@article{Chadwick R. S.
  title = {Spatial Patterns of Precipitation Change in CMIP5: Why the Rich do not get Richer in the tropics},
  author = {
Chadwick R. S.
and Boutle I.
and Martin G.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {26},
  pages = {3803-3822},
}
,
@article{Kravitz B.
  title = {Sea spray geoengineering experiments in the Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project (GeoMIP): Experimental design and preliminary results},
  author = {
Kravitz B.
and Forster P. M.
and Jones A.
and Robock A.
and Alterskjær K.
and Boucher O.
and Jenkins A. K.
and Korhonen H.
and Kristjánsson J.
and Muri H.
and Niemeier U.
and Partanen A.
and Rasch P. J.
and Wang H.
and Watanabe S.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/jgrd.50856/abstract},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {118},
  pages = {11175-11186},
}
,
@article{Washington R.
  title = {Congo Basin rainfall climatology: Can we believe the climate models? },
  author = {
Washington R.
and James R.
and Pearce H.
and Pokam W. M.
and Moufouma-Okia W.
},
  url = {http://rstb.royalsocietypublishing.org/content/368/1625/20120296.abstract},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {368},
}
,
@article{Jones A.
  title = {The impact of abrupt suspension of solar radiation management (termination effect) in experiment G2 of the Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project (GeoMIP)},
  author = {
Jones A.
and Haywood J. M.
and Alterskjær K.
and Boucher O.
and Cole J. N.
and Curry C. L.
and Irvine P. J.
and Ji D.
and Kravitz B.
and Kristjánsson J.
and Moore J. C.
and Niemeier U.
and Robock A.
and Schmidt H.
and Singh B.
and Tilmes S.
and Watanabe S.
and Yoon J.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/jgrd.50762/abstract},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {118},
  pages = {9743-9752},
}
,
@article{De Vries H.
  title = {Atmospheric blocking and its relation to jet changes in a future climate},
  author = {
De Vries H.
and Woollings T. J.
and Anstey J.
and Haarsma R. J.
and Hazeleger W.
},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,
@article{Heuzé C.
  title = {Southern Ocean Bottom Water Characteristics in CMIP5 Models},
  author = {
Heuzé C.
and Heywood K. J.
and Stevens D. P.
and Ridley J. K.
},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
}
,
@article{Zahid M.
  title = {CMIP5 Projected Soil Moisture Changes over South Asia},
  author = {
Zahid M.
and Iqbal W.
and Park K.
and Yang H.
and Rasul G.
},
  journal = {Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics},
}
,
@article{Anav A. A.
  title = {Evaluation of Land Surface Models in Reproducing Satellite Derived Leaf Area Index over the High-Latitude Northern Hemisphere. Part II: Earth System Models},
  author = {
Anav A. A.
and Murray-Tortarolo G. M.
and Friedlingstein P. P.
and Sitch S. S.
and Piao S. S.
and Zhu Z. Z.
},
  url = {http://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/5/8/3637},
  journal = {Remote Sensing},
  volume = {5},
  pages = {3637-3661},
}
,
@article{Lauer A.
  title = {Simulating clouds with global climate models: A comparison of CMIP5 results with CMIP3 and satellite data},
  author = {
Lauer A.
and Hamilton K.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/full/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00451.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {26},
  pages = {3823-3845},
}
,
@article{Pithan F.
  title = {Mixed-phase clouds cause climate model biases in Arctic wintertime temperature inversions },
  author = {
Pithan F.
and Medeiros B.
and Mauritsen T.
},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {43},
}
,
@article{Anav A.
  title = {EVALUATING THE LAND AND OCEAN COMPONENTS OF THE GLOBAL CARBON CYCLE IN THE CMIP5 EARTH SYSTEM MODELS},
  author = {
Anav A.
and Friedlingstein P.
and Kidston M.
and Bopp L.
and Ciais P.
and Cox P.
and Jones C.
and Jung M.
and Myneni R.
and Zhu Z.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,
@article{Hill S. L.
  title = {Research article },
  author = {
Hill S. L.
and Phillips T.
and Atkinson A.
},
  url = {http://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0072246},
  journal = {Other},
}
,
@article{Long D. J.
  title = {Quantifying global climate feedbacks, responses and forcing under abrupt and gradual CO2 forcing},
  author = {
Long D. J.
and Collins M.
},
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-013-1677-0},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,
@article{Resplandy L.
  title = {Role of mode and intermediate waters in future ocean acidification: analysis of CMIP5 models},
  author = {
Resplandy L.
and Bopp L.
and Orr J. C.
and Dunne J. P.
},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
}
,
@article{Jones C.
  title = {Climate change in the South American Monsoon System: present climate and CMIP5 projections},
  author = {
Jones C.
and Carvalho L. L.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/pdf/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00412.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {26},
  pages = {6660-6678},
}
,
@article{Jiang D.
  title = {Mid-Holocene East Asian summer monsoon strengthening: Insights from Paleoclimate Modeling Intercomparison Project (PMIP) simulations},
  author = {
Jiang D.
and Lang X.
and Tian Z.
and Ju L.
},
  url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.palaeo.2012.11.007},
  journal = {Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology},
  volume = {369},
  pages = {422-429},
}
,
@article{Bothe O.
  title = {Consistency of the Multi-Model CMIP5/PMIP3-past1000 Ensemble},
  author = {
Bothe O.
and Jungclaus J. H.
and Zanchettin D.
},
  url = {http://www.clim-past-discuss.net/9/3789/2013/cpd-9-3789-2013.html},
  journal = {Climate of the Past Discussions},
  volume = {9},
  pages = {3789-3824},
}
,
@article{Chou C.
  title = {Increase in the range between wet and dry season precipitation},
  author = {
Chou C.
and Chiang J. C.
and Lan C.
and Chung C.
and Liao Y.
and Lee C.
},
  url = {http://www.nature.com/ngeo/journal/vaop/ncurrent/full/ngeo1744.html},
  journal = {Nature Geoscience},
}
,
@article{Cheng W.
  title = {Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) in CMIP5 Models: RCP and Historical Simulations},
  author = {
Cheng W.
and Chiang J. C.
and Zhang D.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,
@article{Chou C.
  title = {Changes in gross moist stability in the tropics under global warming},
  author = {
Chou C.
and Wu T.
and Tan P.
},
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-013-1703-2},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,
@article{Rojas M.
  title = {Sensitivity of Southern Hemisphere circulation to LGM and 4×CO2 climates},
  author = {
Rojas M.
},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
}
,
@article{Min S.
  title = {Multi-model attribution of the Southern Hemisphere Hadley cell widening: CMIP3 and CMIP5 models },
  author = {
Min S.
},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
}
,
@article{Chen L.
  title = {Assessing the performance of IPCC AR5 Climate Models in simulating and projecting wind speeds over China},
  author = {
Chen L.
and Pryor S. C.
},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {117},
}
,
@article{Dunn-Sigouin E.
  title = {Northern Hemisphere blocking frequency and duration in the CMIP5 models},
  author = {
Dunn-Sigouin E.
and Son S.
},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research},
}
,
@article{Perrette M.
  title = {A scaling approach to project regional sea level rise and its uncertainties},
  author = {
Perrette M.
and Landerer F. W.
and Riva R. E.
and Frieler K.
and Meinshausen M.
},
  url = {http://www.earth-syst-dynam.net/4/11/2013/},
  journal = {Earth System Dynamics},
  volume = {4},
  pages = {11-29},
}
,
@article{Zhang X.
  title = {Attributing intensification of precipitation extremes to human influence},
  author = {
Zhang X.
and Wan H.
and Zwiers F. W.
and Hegerl G.
and Min S.
},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {40},
  pages = {5252-5257},
}
,
@article{Wen Q.
  title = {Detection human influence on extreme temperatures in China},
  author = {
Wen Q.
and Zhang X.
and Xu Y.
and Wang B.
},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {40},
  pages = {1171-1176},
}
,
@article{Yan Q.
  title = {Greenland ice sheet contribution to future global sea-level rise based on CMIP5 models},
  author = {
Yan Q.
and Wang H.
and Johannessen O. M.
and Zhang Z.
},
  journal = {Advances in Atmospheric Sciences},
}
,
@article{Wan H.
  title = {Effect of data coverage on the estimation of mean and variability of precipitation at global and regional scales},
  author = {
Wan H.
and Zhang X.
and Zwiers F.
and Shiogama H.
},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {118},
  pages = {534-546},
}
,
@article{Williams K. D.
  title = {The Transpose-AMIP II experiment and its application to the understanding of Southern Ocean cloud biases in climate models},
  author = {
Williams K. D.
and Bodas-Salcedo A.
and Deque M.
and Fermepin S.
and Medeiros B.
and Watanabe M.
and Jakob C.
and Klein S. A.
and Senior C. A.
and Williamson D. L.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/pdf/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00429.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {26},
  pages = {3258-3274},
}
,
@article{Rowell D. P.
  title = {Simulating SST Teleconnections to Africa: What is the State of the Art?},
  author = {
Rowell D. P.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00761.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,
@article{Collier M. A.
  title = {Ocean circulation response to anthropogenic-aerosol and greenhouse-gas forcing in the CSIRO-Mk3.6.0 coupled climate model},
  author = {
Collier M. A.
and Rotstayn L. D.
and Kim K.
and Jeffrey S. J.
},
  journal = {Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Journal},
}
,
@article{Wang B.
  title = {Preliminary evaluations on skills of FGOALS-g2 in decadal predictions},
  author = {
Wang B.
},
  journal = {Advances in Atmospheric Sciences},
  volume = {30},
  pages = {674-683},
}
,
@article{Li L.
  title = {Development and Evaluation of Grid-point Atmospheric Model of IAP LASG, Version 2.0 (GAMIL 2.0)},
  author = {
Li L.
and Wang B.
},
  journal = {Advances in Atmospheric Sciences},
  volume = {30},
  pages = {855-867},
}
,
@article{Li L.
  title = {The Flexible Global Ocean-Atmosphere-Land System Model: Grid-point Version 2: FGOALS-g2},
  author = {
Li L.
and Lin P.
},
  journal = {Advances in Atmospheric Sciences},
  volume = {30},
  pages = {543-560},
}
,
@article{Knutson T. R.
  title = {Multimodel assessment of regional surface temperature trends: CMIP3 and CMIP5 Twentieth Century simulations},
  author = {
Knutson T. R.
and Zeng F.
and Wittenberg A. T.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00567.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {26},
  pages = {8709-8743},
}
,
@article{Knutson T. R.
  title = {Dynamical downscaling projections of 21st century Atlantic hurricane activity: CMIP3 and CMIP5 model-based scenario. },
  author = {
Knutson T. R.
and Sirutis J. J.
and Vecchi G. A.
and Garner S. T.
and Zhao M.
and Kim H.
and Bender M. A.
and Tuleya R. E.
and Held I. M.
and Villarini G.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00539.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {26},
  pages = {6591-6617},
}
,
@article{Knutson T. R.
  title = {The Extreme March-2012 Warm Anomaly over the Eastern United States: Global Context and Multimodel Trend Analysis [in %u201CExplaining Extreme Events of 2012 from a Climate Perspective%u201D]},
  author = {
Knutson T. R.
and Zeng F.
and Wittenberg A. T.
},
  url = {http://www.ametsoc.org/2012extremeeventsclimate.pdf},
  journal = {Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society},
  volume = {94},
  pages = {S13-S17},
}
,
@article{Zhang L.
  title = {Multidecadal North Atlantic sea surface temperature and Atlantic meridional overturning circulation variability in CMIP5 historical simulations},
  author = {
Zhang L.
and Wang C.
},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research},
  volume = {118},
  pages = {5772-5791},
}
,
@article{Wang C.
  title = {Multidecadal ocean temperature and salinity variability in the tropical North Atlantic: Linking with the AMO, AMOC and subtropical cell},
  author = {
Wang C.
and Zhang L.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {26},
  pages = {6137-6162},
}
,
@article{Wilcox L. J.
  title = {The influence of anthropogenic aerosol on multi-decadal variations of historical global climate},
  author = {
Wilcox L. J.
and Highwood E. J.
and Dunstone N. J.
},
  url = {http://stacks.iop.org/1748-9326/8/024033},
  journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
  volume = {8},
}
,
@article{Wilcox L. J.
  title = {Final warming of the Southern Hemisphere vortex in high- and low-top CMIP5 models},
  author = {
Wilcox L. J.
and Charlton-Perez A. J.
},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
}
,
@article{Berdahl M.
  title = {Cryospheric response to volcanic eruptions in the Paleoclimate Model Intercomparison Project 3 last millennium simulations. },
  author = {
Berdahl M.
and Robock A.
},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {118},
  pages = {12,359-12,370},
}
,
@article{Collevati R. G.
  title = {Drawbacks to palaeodistribution modelling: the case of South American seasonally dry forests},
  author = {
Collevati R. G.
and Terribile L. C.
and Oliveira G.
and Lima-Ribeiro M. S.
and Nabout J.
and Rangel T. F.
and Diniz-Filho J. F.
},
  journal = {Journal of Biogeography},
}
,
@article{Chen H.
  title = {Projected change in East Asian summer monsoon precipitation under RCP scenario},
  author = {
Chen H.
and Sun J.
},
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00703-013-0257-5},
  journal = {Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics},
}
,
@article{Chen H.
  title = {Projected change in East Asian summer monsoon precipitation under RCP scenario},
  author = {
Chen H.
and Sun J.
},
  journal = {Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics},
}
,
@article{Lima-Ribeiro M.
  title = {Climate and humans set the place and time of Proboscidean extinction in late Quaternary of South America},
  author = {
Lima-Ribeiro M.
and Nogues-Bravo D.
and Terribile L.
and Batra P.
and Diniz-Filho J.
},
  journal = {Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology},
}
,
@article{Paek H.
  title = {Centennial trend and decadal-to-interdecadal variability of atmospheric angular momentum in CMIP3 and CMIP5 simulations},
  author = {
Paek H.
and Huang H.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00515.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {26},
  pages = {3846-3864},
}
,
@article{Davie J. C.
  title = {Comparing projections of future changes in runoff from hydrological and biome models in ISI-MIP},
  author = {
Davie J. C.
and Falloon P. D.
and Kahana R.
and Dankers R.
and Betts R.
and Portmann F.
and Wisser D.
and Clark D. B.
and Ito A.
and Masaki Y.
and Nishina K.
and Fekete B.
and Tessler Z.
and Wada Y.
and Liu X.
and Tang Q.
and Hagemann S.
and Stacke T.
and Pavlick R.
and Schaphoff S.
and Gosling S. N.
and Franssen W.
and Arnell N.
},
  journal = {Earth System Dynamics},
  volume = {4},
  pages = {359-374},
}
,
@article{Cattiaux J.
  title = {Opposite CMIP3/5 trends in the Northern Annular Mode explained by combined local sea-ice and remote tropical influences},
  author = {
Cattiaux J.
and Cassou C.
},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {40},
  pages = {3682-3687},
}
,
@article{Cattiaux J.
  title = {European temperatures in CMIP5: origins of present-day biases and future uncertainties},
  author = {
Cattiaux J.
and Douville H.
and Peings Y.
},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,
@article{Brovkin V.
  title = {Effect of anthropogenic land-use and land cover changes on climate and land carbon storage in CMIP5 projections for the 21st century},
  author = {
Brovkin V.
and Boysen L.
and Arora V.
and Boisier J.
and Cadule P.
and Chini L.
and Claussen M.
and Friedlingstein P.
and Gayler V.
and van den Hurk B.
and Hurtt G.
and Jones C.
and Kato E.
and de Noblet-Ducoudr N.
and Pacifico F.
and Pongratz J.
and Weiss M.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {26},
  pages = {6859-6881},
}
,
@article{He Z.
  title = {Seasonality of interannual atmosphere%u2013ocean interaction in the South China Sea},
  author = {
He Z.
and Wu R.
},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {69},
  pages = {699-712},
}
,
@article{Brovkin V.
  title = {Evaluation of vegetation cover and land-surface albedo in MPI ESM CMIP5 simulations},
  author = {
Brovkin V.
and Boysen L.
and Raddatz T.
and Gayler V.
and Loew A.
and Claussen M.
},
  journal = {Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems},
  volume = {5},
  pages = {48-57},
}
,
@article{Brands S.
  title = {How well do CMIP5 Earth System Models simulate present climate conditions in Europe and Africa? A performance comparison for the downscaling community},
  author = {
Brands S.
and Herrera S.
and Fernández J.
and Gutiérrez J. M.
},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,
@article{Polvani L. M.
  title = {Can natural variability explain the observed Antarctic sea ice trends: New modeling evidence from CMIP5},
  author = {
Polvani L. M.
and Smith K. L.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/grl.50578/abstract},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {40},
  pages = {3195-3199},
}
,
@article{Xiao C.
  title = {Simulation of the Westerly Jet Axis in Boreal Winter by the Climate System Model FGOALS-g2},
  author = {
Xiao C.
and Zhang Y.
},
  url = {http://www.iapjournals.ac.cn/aas/ch/reader/create_pdf.aspx?file_no=AAS-2012-0167&year_id=&quarter_id=&journal_id=aas},
  journal = {Advances in Atmospheric Sciences},
  volume = {30},
  pages = {754-765},
}
,
@article{Yang X.
  title = {A predictable AMO-like pattern in GFDL's fully-coupled ensemble initialization and decadal forecasting system},
  author = {
Yang X.
and Rosati A.
and Zhang S.
and Delworth T. L.
and Gudgel R. G.
and Zhang R.
and Vecchi G. A.
and Anderson W.
and Chang Y.
and DelSole T.
and Dixon K.
and Msadek R.
and Stern W. F.
and Witternberg A.
and Zeng F.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00231.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {26},
  pages = {650-661},
}
,
@article{Blazquez J.
  title = {Analysis of uncertainties in future climate projections for South America: comparison of WCRP-CMIP3 and WCRP-CMIP5 models.},
  author = {
Blazquez J.
and Nu�ez M. N.
},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {41},
  pages = {1039-1056},
}
,
@article{Caldeira K.
  title = {Projections of the pace of warming following an abrupt increase in atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration.},
  author = {
Caldeira K.
and Myhrvold N.
},
  url = {//http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/8/3/034039/article},
  journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
  volume = {8},
}
,
@article{Sallee J.
  title = {Assessment of Southern Ocean mixed layer depths in CMIP5 models: historical bias and forcing response},
  author = {
Sallee J.
and Shuckburgh E.
and Bruneau N.
and Meijers A.
and Bracegirdle T. J.
and Wang Z.
},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research},
}
,
@article{Church J. A.
  title = {Evaluating the ability of process based models to project sea-level change},
  author = {
Church J. A.
and et al. .
},
  journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
  volume = {8},
}
,
@article{Zheng X.
  title = {Indian Ocean Dipole response to global warming in the CMIP5 multi-model ensemble},
  author = {
Zheng X.
and Xie S.
and Du Y.
and Liu L.
and Huang G.
and Liu Q.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,
@article{Vancoppenolle M.
  title = {Future Arctic Ocean primary productivity from CMIP5 simulations: Uncertain outcome, but consistent mechanisms},
  author = {
Vancoppenolle M.
and Bopp L.
and Madec G.
and Dunne J.
and Ilyina T.
and Halloran P.
and Steijner N.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/GB20055/full},
  journal = {Global Biogeochemical Cycles},
  volume = {27},
  pages = {1-15},
}
,
@article{Shashikanth K.
  title = {Do CMIP5 Simulations of Indian summer Monsoon Rainfall Differ from those of CMIP3?},
  author = {
Shashikanth K.
},
  journal = {Atmospheric Science Letters},
}
,
@article{Marvel K.
  title = {Identifying external influences on global precipitation},
  author = {
Marvel K.
and Bonfils C.
},
  journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences},
  volume = {110},
  pages = {19301-19306},
}
,
@article{Hagemann S.
  title = {Combined evaluation of MPI-ESM land surface water and energy fluxes},
  author = {
Hagemann S.
and Loew A.
and Andersson A.
},
  journal = {Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems},
  volume = {5},
  pages = {259-286},
}
,
@article{Lee Y.
  title = {Boreal winter low-frequency variability in CMIP5 models},
  author = {
Lee Y.
and Black R. X.
},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
}
,
@article{Westby R. M.
  title = {Anomalous Temperature Regimes during the Cool Season: Long-Term Trends, Low-Frequency Mode Modulation, and Representation in CMIP5 Simulations},
  author = {
Westby R. M.
and Lee Y.
and Black R. X.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,
@article{zhao l.
  title = {Discrepancies of surface temperature trends in the CMIP5 simulations and observations on the global and regional scales},
  author = {
zhao l.
and xu j.
and M. Powell Jr A.
},
  url = {http://www.clim-past-discuss.net/9/6161/2013/cpd-9-6161-2013.html},
  journal = {Climate of the Past Discussions},
}
,
@article{xu j.
  title = {Intercomparison of temperature trends in IPCC CMIP5 simulations with observations, reanalyses and CMIP3 models},
  author = {
xu j.
and M. Powell Jr A.
and zhao l.
},
  journal = {Geoscientific Model Development},
}
,
@article{Turner J.
  title = {An Initial Assessment of Antarctic Sea Ice Extent in the CMIP5 Models},
  author = {
Turner J.
and Bracegirdle T.
and Phillips T.
and Marshall G. J.
and Hosking S.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {26},
  pages = {1473-1484},
}
,
@article{Ishikawa H.
  title = {Estimation of a possible maximum flood event in the Tone River basin, Japan caused by a tropical cyclone},
  author = {
Ishikawa H.
and Oku Y.
and Kim S.
and Takemi T.
and Yoshino J.
},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {27},
  pages = {3292-3300},
}
,
@article{Koenigk T.
  title = {Arctic climate change in 21st century CMIP5 simulations with EC-Earth},
  author = {
Koenigk T.
and Brodeau L.
and Graversen R. G.
and Karlsson J.
and Svensson G.
and Tjernström M.
and Willen U.
and Wyser K.
},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {40},
  pages = {2719-2743},
}
,
@article{Koenigk T.
  title = {Ocean heat transport into the Arctic in the twentieth and twenty-first century in EC-Earth},
  author = {
Koenigk T.
},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,
@article{Koenigk T.
  title = {Summer Sea Ice Albedo in the Arctic in CMIP5 models},
  author = {
Koenigk T.
and Devasthale A.
},
  journal = {Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics},
}
,
@article{Ribes A.
  title = {Application of regularised optimal fingerprinting to attribution. Part I: method, properties, and idealised analysis},
  author = {
Ribes A.
and Planton S.
and Terray L.
},
  url = {http://http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-013-1735-7},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,
@article{Ribes A.
  title = {Application of regularised optimal fingerprinting to attribution. Part II: application to global near-surface temperature based on CMIP5 simulations},
  author = {
Ribes A.
and Terray L.
},
  url = {http://http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-013-1736-6},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,
@article{Loranty M. M.
  title = {Vegetation controls on northern high latitude snow%u2010albedo feedback: observations and CMIP5 model predictions},
  author = {
Loranty M. M.
and Berner L. T.
and Goetz S. J.
and Jin Y.
and Randerson J. T.
},
  journal = {Global Change Biology},
}
,
@article{Harada M.
  title = {Intensification of the South Side of the Asian Jet Stream during the Northern Winter in CMIP5 models},
  author = {
Harada M.
and Hirahara S.
and Hagiya S.
and Murai H.
and Oikawa Y.
and Maeda S.
},
  url = {http://doi.org/10.2151/sola.2013-021},
  journal = {SOLA},
  volume = {9},
  pages = {94-97},
}
,
@article{Feng S.
  title = {Expansion of global drylands under a warming climate},
  author = {
Feng S.
and Fu Q.
},
  url = {http://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/13/10081/2013/},
  journal = {Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics},
  volume = {13},
  pages = {10081-10094},
}
,
@article{Liu J.
  title = {Divergent global precipitation changes induced by natural versus anthropogenic forcing},
  author = {
Liu J.
and Wang B.
and Cane M. A.
and Yim S.
and Lee J.
},
  url = {http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v493/n7434/full/nature11784.html},
  journal = {Nature},
  volume = {493},
  pages = {656-659},
}
,
@article{Pendergrass A. G.
  title = {The atmospheric energy constraint on global-mean precipitation change},
  author = {
Pendergrass A. G.
and Hartmann D. L.
},
  url = {http://http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/pdf/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00163.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,
@article{Mao R.
  title = {Is there a linkage between the tropical cyclone activity in the southern Indian Ocean and the Antarctic Oscillation?},
  author = {
Mao R.
and Gong D.
and Yang J.
and Zhang Z.
and Kim S.
and He H.
},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
}
,
@article{Ma H.
  title = {On the correspondence between mean forecast errors and climate errors in CMIP5 models},
  author = {
Ma H.
and Xie S.
and Klein S. A.
and Williams K. D.
and Boyle J. S.
and Bony S.
and Douville H.
and Fermepin S.
and Medeiros B.
and Tytéca S.
and Watanabe M.
and Williamson D. L.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,
@article{Qu X.
  title = {On the presistent spread in snow-albedo feedback},
  author = {
Qu X.
and Hall A.
},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,
@article{Qu X.
  title = {On the spread of changes in marine low cloud cover in climate model simulations of the 21st century},
  author = {
Qu X.
and Hall A.
and Klein S. A.
and Caldwell P. M.
},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,
@article{Wild M.
  title = {The global energy balance from a surface perspective},
  author = {
Wild M.
and Folini D.
and Schär C.
and Loeb N.
and Dutton E. G.
and König-Langlo G.
},
  url = {http://www.iac.ethz.ch/people/wild/Wild_et_al_ClimDyn_2013.pdf},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {40},
  pages = {3107-3134},
}
,
@article{Hosking J.
  title = {The influence of the Amundsen-Bellingshausen Seas Low on the climate of West Antarctica and its representation in coupled climate model simulations},
  author = {
Hosking J.
and Orr A.
and Marshall G. J.
and Turner J.
and Phillips T.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/full/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00813.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {26},
  pages = {6633-6648},
}
,
@article{Torres R. R.
  title = {Climate change hotspots over South America: from CMIP3 to CMIP5 multi-model datasets},
  author = {
Torres R. R.
and Marengo J. A.
},
  journal = {Theoretical and Applied Climatology},
}
,
@article{Smith D.
  title = {Real-time multi-model decadal climate predictions, Climate Dynamics},
  author = {
Smith D.
and Scaife A.
and Boer G. J.
and Caian M.
and Doblas-Reyes F. J.
and Guemas V.
and Hawkins E.
and Hazeleger W.
and Hermanson L.
and Ho C. K.
and Ishii M.
and Kharin V.
and Kimoto M.
and Kirtman B.
and Lean J.
and Matei D.
and Merryfield W. J.
and Muller W.
and Pohlmann H.
and Rosati A.
and Wouters B.
and Wyser K.
},
  url = {http://http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-012-1600-0},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,
@article{Jiang D.
  title = {Mid-Holocene net precipitation changes over China: Model%u2013data comparison},
  author = {
Jiang D.
and Tian Z.
and Lang X.
},
  url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2013.10.017},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {82},
  pages = {104-120},
}
,
@article{Jiang D.
  title = {East Asian monsoon change for the 21st century: Results of CMIP3 and CMIP5 models},
  author = {
Jiang D.
and Tian Z.
},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {58},
  pages = {1427-1435},
}
,
@article{Tian Z.
  title = {Mid-Holocene ocean and vegetation feedbacks over East Asia},
  author = {
Tian Z.
and Jiang D.
},
  journal = {Climate of the Past},
  volume = {9},
  pages = {2153-2171},
}
,
@article{Hazeleger W.
  title = {Multiyear climate predictions using two initialisation strategies},
  author = {
Hazeleger W.
and Guemas V.
and Wouters B.
and Corti S.
and Andreu-Burillo I.
and Doblas-Reyes F. J.
and Wyser K.
and Caian M.
},
  url = {http://http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/grl.50355/abstract},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
}
,
@article{Doblas-Reyes F. J.
  title = {Initialized near-term regional climate change prediction},
  author = {
Doblas-Reyes F. J.
and Andreu-Burillo I.
and Chikamoto Y.
and Garcia-Serrano J.
and Guemas V.
and Kimoto M.
and Mochizuki T.
and Rodrigues L.
and van Olddenborgh G.
},
  url = {http://http://www.nature.com/ncomms/journal/v4/n4/full/ncomms2704.html},
  journal = {Nature},
}
,
@article{Wouters B.
  title = {Multiyear predictability of the North Atlantic subpolare gyre},
  author = {
Wouters B.
and Hazeleger W.
and Drijfhout S.
and van Oldenborgh G.
and Guemas V.
},
  url = {http://http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/grl.50585/abstract},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
}
,
@article{Guemas V.
  title = {The Indian Ocean : the region of highest skill worldwide in decadal climate prediction},
  author = {
Guemas V.
and Corti S.
and Garcia-Serrano J.
and Doblas-Reyes F. J.
and Balmaseda M.
and Magnusson L.
},
  url = {http://http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00049.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {26},
  pages = {726-739},
}
,
@article{Prado L. F.
  title = {Mid-Holocene PMIP3/CMIP5 model results: Intercomparison for the South American Monsoon System},
  author = {
Prado L. F.
and Wainer I.
and Chiessi C. M.
},
  journal = {The Holocene},
  volume = {23},
  pages = {1915-1920},
}
,
@article{Schurer A. P.
  title = {Separating Forced from Chaotic Climate Variability over the Past Millennium},
  author = {
Schurer A. P.
and Hegerl G. C.
and Mann M. E.
and Tett S. F.
and Phipps S. J.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00826.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {26},
  pages = {6954-6973},
}
,
@article{Ylh?isi J. S.
  title = {Quantifying sources of climate uncertainty to inform risk analysis for climate change decision-making},
  author = {
Ylh?isi J. S.
and Garr? L.
and Daron J.
and R?is?nen J.
},
  url = {http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/13549839.2013.874987#.Uuubr_iflwY},
  journal = {Local Environment},
}
,
@article{Lau W. K.
  title = {A canonical response in rainfall characteristics to global warming from CMIP5 model projections},
  author = {
Lau W. K.
and Wu H.
and Kim K.
},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {40},
  pages = {3163-3169},
}
,
@article{Silva G. A.
  title = {Comparison results for the CFSv2 hindcasts and statistical downscaling over the northeast of Brazil},
  author = {
Silva G. A.
and Mendes D.
},
  url = {http://www.adv-geosci.net/35/79/2013/},
  journal = {Advances in Geosciences},
  volume = {35},
  pages = {79-88},
}
,
@article{Mitchell D. M.
  title = {Revisiting the controversial issue of tropical tropospheric temperature trends},
  author = {
Mitchell D. M.
and Thorne P. W.
and Stott P. A.
and Gray L. J.
},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {40},
}
,
@article{Guemas V.
  title = {Retrospective prediction of the global warming slowdown in the past decade},
  author = {
Guemas V.
and Doblas-Reyes F. J.
and Andreu-Burillo I.
and Asif M.
},
  journal = {Nature},
  volume = {3},
  pages = {649-653},
}
,
@article{Karlsson J.
  title = {Consequences of poor representation of Arctic sea-ice albedo and cloud-radiation interactions in the CMIP5 model ensemble},
  author = {
Karlsson J.
and Svensson G.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/grl.50768/abstract},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {40},
  pages = {4374-4379},
}
,
@article{Izumi K.
  title = {Consistent behaviour of the climate system in response to past and future forcing.},
  author = {
Izumi K.
and Bartlein P. J.
and Harrison S. P.
},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {40},
  pages = {1-7},
}
,
@article{Li G.
  title = {Precipitation scaling with temperature in warm and cold climates: an analysis of CMIP5 simulations. },
  author = {
Li G.
and Harrison S. P.
and Bartlein P. J.
and Izumi K.
and Prentice I. C.
},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {40},
  pages = {4018-4024},
}
,
@article{Harrison S. P.
  title = {Model benchmarking with glacial and mid-Holocene climates.},
  author = {
Harrison S. P.
and Bartlein P. J.
and Brewer S.
and Prentice I. C.
and Boyd M.
and Hessler I.
and Holmgren K.
and Izumi K.
and Willis K.
},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,
@article{Ou T.
  title = {Evaluation of global climate models in simulating extreme precipitation in China},
  author = {
Ou T.
and Chen D.
and Linderholm H. W.
and Jeong J.
},
  url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.3402/tellusa.v65i0.19799},
  journal = {Tellus},
  volume = {65},
}
,
@article{Klein S. A.
  title = {Are climate model simulations of clouds improving? An evaluation using the ISCCP simulator},
  author = {
Klein S. A.
and Zhang Y.
and Zelinka M. D.
and Pincus R.
and Boyle J.
and Gleckler P. J.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/jgrd.50141/abstract},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {118},
  pages = {1329-1342},
}
,
@article{Joetzjer E.
  title = {Evaluation of drought indices at interannual to climate change timescales: A case study over the