@article{Herman
title = {Drivers of low-frequency Sahel precipitation variability: comparing CMIP5 and CMIP6 ensemble means with observations},
author = {
Herman, Rebecca Jean
and Biasutti, Michela
and Kushnir, Yochanan
},
url = {https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-023-06755-1},
journal = {Climate Dynamics},
volume = {61},
pages = {4449-4470},
}
,@article{Nicholls
title = {Regionally aggregated, stitched and de‐drifted CMIP‐climate data, processed with netCDF‐SCM v2.0.0},
author = {
Nicholls, Zebedee
and Lewis, Jared
and Makin, Melissa
and Nattala, Usha
and Zhang, Geordie Z.
and Mutch, Simon J.
and Tescari, Edoardo
and Meinshausen, Malte
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/gdj3.113},
journal = {Geoscience Data Journal},
}
,@article{Hobbs
title = {Anthropogenic Temperature and Salinity Changes in the Southern Ocean},
author = {
Hobbs, William R.
and Roach, Christopher
and Roy, Tilla
and Sallée, Jean-Baptiste
and Bindoff, Nathaniel
},
url = {https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/clim/34/1/jcliD200454.xml},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
volume = {34},
pages = {215-228},
}
,@article{Qin
title = {Quantifying Contributions of Internal Variability and External Forcing to Atlantic Multidecadal Variability Since 1870},
author = {
Qin, Minhua
and Dai, Aiguo
and Hua, Wenjian
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2020GL089504},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {47},
}
,@article{Qin
title = {Aerosol-forced multidecadal variations across all ocean basins in models and observations since 1920},
author = {
Qin, Minhua
and Dai, Aiguo
and Hua, Wenjian
},
url = {https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/sciadv.abb0425},
journal = {Science Advances},
volume = {6},
}
,@article{Grise
title = {Hadley cell expansion in CMIP6 models},
author = {
Grise, Kevin M.
and Davis, Sean M.
},
url = {https://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/20/5249/2020/},
journal = {Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics},
volume = {20},
pages = {5249-5268},
}
,@article{Hua
title = {An Externally Forced Decadal Rainfall Seesaw Pattern Over the Sahel and Southeast Amazon},
author = {
Hua, Wenjian
and Dai, Aiguo
and Zhou, Liming
and Qin, Minhua
and Chen, Haishan
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2018GL081406},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {46},
pages = {923-932},
}
,@article{Hua
title = {Contributions of Internal Variability and External Forcing to the Recent Pacific Decadal Variations},
author = {
Hua, Wenjian
and Dai, Aiguo
and Qin, Minhua
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2018GL079033},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {45},
pages = {7084-7092},
}
,@article{King
title = {Emergence of heat extremes attributable to anthropogenic influences},
author = {
King, Andrew D.
and Black, Mitchell T.
and Min, Seung-Ki
and Fischer, Erich M.
and Mitchell, Daniel M.
and Harrington, Luke J.
and Perkins-Kirkpatrick, Sarah E.
},
url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL067448/abstract},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {43},
pages = {3438-3443},
}
,@article{King A. D.
title = {Attribution of the record high Central England temperature of 2014 to anthropogenic influences},
author = {
King A. D.
and van Oldenborgh G. J.
and Karoly D. J.
and Lewis S. C.
and Cullen H. M.
},
url = {http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/10/5/054002},
journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
volume = {10},
}
,@article{Kam J.
title = {Record annual mean warmth over Europe, the northeast Pacific, and the northwest Atlantic during 2014: Assessment of anthropogenic influence},
author = {
Kam J.
and Knutson T. R.
and Zeng F.
and Wittenberg A. T.
},
journal = {Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society},
}
,@article{Wang G.
title = {Unambiguous warming in the western tropical Pacific primarily caused by anthropogenic forcing},
author = {
Wang G.
and Power S. S.
and McGree S.
},
journal = {International Journal of Climatology},
}
,@article{Chan D.
title = {Attributing Observed SST Trends and Sub-Continental Land Warming to Anthropogenic Forcing during 1979-2005},
author = {
Chan D.
and Wu Q.
},
url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/pdf/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00253.1},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
volume = {28},
pages = {3152-3170},
}
,@article{Shuai-Lei Y.
title = {INHOMOGENEOUS warming of the Tropical Indian Ocean in the CMIP5 model simulations during 1900-2005 and associated mechanisms},
author = {
Shuai-Lei Y.
and Gang H.
and Renguang W.
and Xia Q.
and Dong C.
},
journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,@article{Schwalm C. R.
title = {Reduction in carbon uptake during turn of the century drought in western North America},
author = {
Schwalm C. R.
and Williams C. A.
and Schaefer K.
and Baldocchi D.
and Black T.
and Goldstein A. H.
and Beverly L. E.
and Oechel W. C.
and Paw U K.
and Scott R. L.
},
journal = {Nature Geoscience},
}
,@article{Yi S.
title = { Impacts of External Forcing on the Decadal Climate Variability in CMIP5 Simulations},
author = {
Yi S.
and Yongqiang Y.
},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,@article{Salzmann M.
title = {On the enhancement of the Indian summer monsoon drying by Pacific multidecadal variability during the latter half of the 20th century},
author = {
Salzmann M.
and Cherian R.
},
url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JD023313/pdf},
journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
}
,@article{Harada M.
title = {Impacts of Slowed Tropical Circulation on Winter Stationary Waves in East Asia and the North Pacific},
author = {
Harada M.
and Wakamatsu S.
and Hirahara S.
and Murai H.
and Oikawa Y.
and Maeda S.
},
url = {http://doi.org/10.2151/sola.2014-038},
journal = {SOLA},
volume = {10},
pages = {180-184},
}
,@article{Cherian R.
title = {Pollution trends over Europe constrain global aerosol forcing as simulated by climate models},
author = {
Cherian R.
and Quaas J.
and Salzmann M.
and Wild M.
},
url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013GL058715/abstract},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {41},
pages = {2176-2181},
}
,@article{Marzeion B.
title = {Attribution of global glacier mass loss to anthropogenic and natural causes},
author = {
Marzeion B.
and Cogley J. G.
and Richter K.
and Parkes D.
},
journal = {Science},
volume = {345},
pages = {919-921},
}
,@article{Polson D.
title = {Decreased monsoon precipitation in the Northern Hemisphere due to anthropogenic aerosols},
author = {
Polson D.
and Bollasina M.
and Hegerl G. C.
and Wilcox L. J.
},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {41},
pages = {6023-6029},
}
,@article{Marcos M.
title = {Quantifying anthropogenic and natural contributions to thermosteric sea level rise},
author = {
Marcos M.
and Amores A.
},
url = {http://http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014GL059766/abstract},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {41},
pages = {2502-2507},
}
,@article{Salzmann M.
title = {Robust response of Asian summer monsoon to anthropogenic aerosols in CMIP5 models},
author = {
Salzmann M.
and Weser H.
and Cherian R.
},
url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014JD021783/abstract},
journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
}
,@article{Chung E.
title = {Upper-tropospheric moistening in response to anthropogenic warming},
author = {
Chung E.
and Soden B. J.
and Sohn B.
and Shi L.
},
url = {http://www.pnas.org/content/111/32/11636},
journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences},
volume = {111},
pages = {11636-11641},
}
,@article{Vera C. S.
title = {Anthropogenic influence on summer precipitation trends over South America in CMIP5 models},
author = {
Vera C. S.
and Diaz L.
},
journal = {International Journal of Climatology},
}
,@article{Swain D. L.
title = {The extraordinary California drought of 2013-2014: character, context, and the role of climate change [in %u201CExplaining Extremes of 2013 from a Climate Perspective%u201D]},
author = {
Swain D. L.
and Tsiang M.
and Haugen M.
and Singh D.
and Charland A.
and Rajaratnam B.
and Diffenbaugh N. S.
},
url = {http://www2.ametsoc.org/ams/assets/File/publications/BAMS_EEE_2013_Full_Report.pdf},
journal = {Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society},
volume = {95},
pages = {S3-S7},
}
,@article{Wan H.
title = {Attributing northern high-latitude precipitation change over the period 1966%u20132005 to human influence},
author = {
Wan H.
and Zhang X.
and Zwiers F.
and Min S.
},
journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,@article{Sun Y.
title = {Rapid increase in the risk of extreme summer heat in Eastern China},
author = {
Sun Y.
and Zhang X.
and Zwiers F.
and Song L.
and Wan H.
and Hu T.
and Yin H.
and Ren G.
},
journal = {Nature Climate Change},
volume = {4},
pages = {1082-1085},
}
,@article{Knutson T. R.
title = {Multimodel Assessment of Extreme Annual-Mean Warm Anomalies During 2013 over Regions of Australia and the Western Tropical Pacific [in "Explaining Extremes of 2013 from a Climate Perspective"]},
author = {
Knutson T. R.
and Zeng F.
and Wittenberg A. T.
},
url = {http://www2.ametsoc.org/ams/assets/File/publications/BAMS_EEE_2013_Full_Report_high_res.pdf},
journal = {Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society},
volume = {95},
pages = {S26-S30},
}
,@article{Knutson T. R.
title = {Seasonal and Annual Mean Precipitation Extremes Occurring During 2013: A U.S. Focused Analysis [in "Explaining Extremes of 2013 from a Climate Perspective"]},
author = {
Knutson T. R.
and Zeng F.
and Wittenberg A. T.
},
url = {http://www2.ametsoc.org/ams/assets/File/publications/BAMS_EEE_2013_Full_Report_high_res.pdf},
journal = {Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society},
volume = {95},
pages = {S19-S23},
}
,@article{Ding Y.
title = {Ocean response to volcanic eruptions in Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 5 (CMIP5) simulations},
author = {
Ding Y.
and Carton J. A.
and Chepurin G. A.
and Stenchikov G.
and Robock A.
and Sentman L. T.
},
journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research},
volume = { 119},
pages = {5622-5637},
}
,@article{Slangen A.
title = {Detection and attribution of global mean thermosteric sea-level change},
author = {
Slangen A.
and et al. .
},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {41},
pages = {5951-5959},
}
,@article{Wu Q.
title = {Interannual Variability and Long-Term Changes of Atmospheric Circulation over the Chukchi and Beaufort Seas },
author = {
Wu Q.
and Zhang J.
and Zhang X.
and Tao W.
},
url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/pdf/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00610.1},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
volume = {27},
pages = {4871-4889},
}
,@article{Swain D. L.
title = {The extraordinary California drought of 2013-2014: character, context, and the role of climate change},
author = {
Swain D. L.
and Tsiang M.
and Haugen M.
and Singh D.
and Charland A.
and Rajaratnam B.
and Diffenbaugh N. S.
},
url = {http://www2.ametsoc.org/ams/assets/File/publications/BAMS_EEE_2013_Full_Report.pdf},
journal = {Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society},
volume = {95},
pages = {S3-S7},
}
,@article{Santer
title = {Human and natural influences on the changing thermal structure of the atmosphere},
author = {
Santer, B. D.
and Painter, J. F.
and Bonfils, C.
and Mears, C. A.
and Solomon, S.
and Wigley, T. M. L.
and Gleckler, P. J.
and Schmidt, G. A.
and Doutriaux, C.
and Gillett, N. P.
and Taylor, K. E.
and Thorne, P. W.
and Wentz, F. J.
},
url = {http://www.pnas.org/content/110/43/17235},
journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences},
volume = {110},
pages = {17235-17240},
}
,@article{Chiang J. C.
title = {Long-Term Behavior of the Atlantic Interhemispheric SST Gradient in the CMIP5 Historical Simulations},
author = {
Chiang J. C.
and Chang C.
and Michael W. F.
},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,@article{Hu y.
title = {Poleward Expansion of the Hadley Circulation in CMIP5 Simulations},
author = {
Hu y.
and Tao L.
},
journal = {Advances in Atmospheric Sciences},
volume = {30},
pages = {790-795},
}
,@article{Ribes A.
title = {Application of regularised optimal fingerprinting to attribution. Part I: method, properties, and idealised analysis},
author = {
Ribes A.
and Planton S.
and Terray L.
},
url = {http://http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-013-1735-7},
journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,@article{Ribes A.
title = {Application of regularised optimal fingerprinting to attribution. Part II: application to global near-surface temperature based on CMIP5 simulations},
author = {
Ribes A.
and Terray L.
},
url = {http://http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-013-1736-6},
journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,@article{Gillett N. P.
title = {Constraining the Ratio of Global Warming to Cumulative CO2 Emissions Using CMIP5 Simulations},
author = {
Gillett N. P.
and Arora V. K.
and Matthews D.
and Allen M. R.
},
url = {http://http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00476.1},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
volume = {26},
pages = {6844-6858},
}
,@article{Gillett N. P.
title = {Attribution of observed sea level pressure trends to greenhouse gas, aerosol, and ozone changes},
author = {
Gillett N. P.
and Fyfe J. C.
and Parker D. E.
},
url = {http://http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/grl.50500/abstract},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {40},
pages = {2302-2306},
}
,@article{Hobbs W. R.
title = {Detection of an observed 135 year ocean temperature change from limited data},
author = {
Hobbs W. R.
and Willis J. K.
},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {40},
pages = {1-7},
}
,@article{Cowan T.
title = {Forcing of anthropogenic aerosols on temperature trends of the sub-thermocline southern Indian Ocean},
author = {
Cowan T.
and Cai W.
and Purich A.
and Rotstayn L.
and Matthew E. H.
},
journal = {Other},
volume = {3},
}
,@article{Friedman A. R.
title = {Interhemispheric temperature asymmetry over the 20th century and in future projections},
author = {
Friedman A. R.
and Hwang Y.
and Chiang J. C.
and Frierson D. M.
},
url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/full/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00525.1},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
volume = {26},
pages = {5419-5433},
}
,@article{Mitchell D. M.
title = {The impact of stratospheric resolution on the detectability of climate change signals in the free atmosphere},
author = {
Mitchell D. M.
and Stott P. A.
and Gray L. J.
and Allen M. R.
and Lott F. C.
and Butchart N.
and Hardiman S.
and Osprey S. M.
},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {40},
}
,@article{Zhang X.
title = {Attributing intensification of precipitation extremes to human influence},
author = {
Zhang X.
and Wan H.
and Zwiers F. W.
and Hegerl G.
and Min S.
},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {40},
pages = {5252-5257},
}
,@article{Wilcox L. J.
title = {The influence of anthropogenic aerosol on multi-decadal variations of historical global climate},
author = {
Wilcox L. J.
and Highwood E. J.
and Dunstone N. J.
},
url = {http://stacks.iop.org/1748-9326/8/024033},
journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
volume = {8},
}
,@article{Wen Q.
title = {Detection human influence on extreme temperatures in China},
author = {
Wen Q.
and Zhang X.
and Xu Y.
and Wang B.
},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {40},
pages = {1171-1176},
}
,@article{Knutson T. R.
title = {Multimodel assessment of regional surface temperature trends: CMIP3 and CMIP5 Twentieth Century simulations},
author = {
Knutson T. R.
and Zeng F.
and Wittenberg A. T.
},
url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00567.1},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
volume = {26},
pages = {8709-8743},
}
,@article{Knutson T. R.
title = {The Extreme March-2012 Warm Anomaly over the Eastern United States: Global Context and Multimodel Trend Analysis [in %u201CExplaining Extreme Events of 2012 from a Climate Perspective%u201D]},
author = {
Knutson T. R.
and Zeng F.
and Wittenberg A. T.
},
url = {http://www.ametsoc.org/2012extremeeventsclimate.pdf},
journal = {Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society},
volume = {94},
pages = {S13-S17},
}
,@article{Lott F. C.
title = {Models versus radiosondes in the free atmosphere: A new detection and attribution analysis of temperature},
author = {
Lott F. C.
and Stott P. A.
and Mitchell D. M.
and Christidis N.
and Gillett N. P.
and Haimberger L.
and Perlwitz J.
and Thorne P. W.
},
url = {http://doi.org/10.1002/jgrd.50255},
journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
volume = {118},
pages = {1-11},
}
,@article{Marvel K.
title = {Identifying external influences on global precipitation},
author = {
Marvel K.
and Bonfils C.
},
journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences},
volume = {110},
pages = {19301-19306},
}
,@article{Rupp D. E.
title = {Detection and attribution of observed changes in Northern Hemisphere spring snow cover},
author = {
Rupp D. E.
and Mote P. W.
and Bindoff N. L.
and Stott P. A.
and Robinson D. A.
},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
volume = {26},
pages = {6904-6914},
}
,@article{Jones G. S.
title = {Attribution of observed historical near surface temperature variations to anthropogenic and natural causes using CMIP5 simulations},
author = {
Jones G. S.
and Stott P. A.
and Christidis N.
},
url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/jgrd.50239/abstract},
journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research},
volume = {118},
pages = {4001-4024},
}
,@article{Drost F.
title = {Evaluating global climate responses to different forcings using simple indices},
author = {
Drost F.
and Karoly D. J.
},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
}
,@article{Shindell D. T.
title = {Radiative forcing in the ACCMIP historical and future climate simulations},
author = {
Shindell D. T.
and al e.
},
journal = {Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics},
}
,@article{Balan Sarojini B.
title = {Fingerprints of Changes in Annual and Seasonal Precipitation from CMIP5 Models over Land and Ocean},
author = {
Balan Sarojini B.
and Stott P.
and Stott P. A.
and Black E.
and Polson D.
},
url = {http://www.agu.org/pubs/crossref/2012/2012GL053373.shtml},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {39},
pages = {L21706},
}
,@article{Rotstayn L. D.
title = {Aerosol- and greenhouse gas-induced changes in summer rainfall and circulation in the Australasian region: a study using single-forcing climate simulations},
author = {
Rotstayn L. D.
and Jeffrey S. J.
and Collier M. A.
and Dravitzki S. M.
and Hirst A. C.
and Syktus J. I.
and Wong K. K.
},
url = {http://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/12/6377/2012/acp-12-6377-2012.html},
journal = {Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics},
volume = {12},
pages = {6377-6404},
}
,@article{Iversen T.
title = {The Norwegian Earth System Model, NorESM1-M. Part 2: Climate Response and Scenario Projections},
author = {
Iversen T.
and Bentsen M.
and Bethke I.
and Debernard J. B.
and Kirkevåg A.
and Seland Ø.
and Drange H.
and Kristjansson J. E.
and Medhaug I.
and Sand M.
and Seierstad I. A.
},
journal = {Geoscientific Model Development},
}
,@article{Jeffrey S. J.
title = {Australia's CMIP5 submission using the CSIRO Mk3.6 model},
author = {
Jeffrey S. J.
and Rotstayn L. D.
and Collier M. A.
and Dravitzki S. M.
and Hamalainen C.
and Moeseneder C. H.
and Wong K. K.
and Syktus J. I.
},
journal = {Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Journal},
}
,@article{Terray L.
title = {Evidence for multiple drivers of North Atlantic multi-decadal climate variability},
author = {
Terray L.
},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {39},
}
,@article{Drost F.
title = {Evaluating global climate responses to different forcings using simple indices},
author = {
Drost F.
and Karoly D.
},
url = {http://http://www.agu.org/pubs/crossref/2012/2012GL052667.shtml},
journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research},
volume = {39},
}
,@article{Swingedouw D.
title = {Initialisation and predictability of the AMOC over the last 50 years in a climate model. },
author = {
Swingedouw D.
and Mignot J.
and Labetoulle S.
and Guilyardi E.
and Madec G.
},
journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,@article{Douville H.
title = {Anthropogenic influence on multi-decadal changes in reconstructed global evapotranspiration},
author = {
Douville H.
and Ribes A.
and Decharme B.
and Alkama R.
and Sheffield J.
},
journal = {Nature},
}
,@article{Barkhordarian A.
title = {Anthropogenic forcing is a plausible explanation for the observed surface specific humidity trends over the Mediterranean area},
author = {
Barkhordarian A.
and von Storch H.
and Zorita E.
},
journal = {Aerosol Science and Technology},
}
,@conference{Syktus J.
title = {The CSIRO-QCCCE contribution to CMIP5 using the CSIRO Mk3.6 climate model},
author = {
Syktus J.
and Jeffrey S.
and Rotstayn L.
and Wong K.
and Toombs N.
and Dravitzki S.
and Collier M.
and Hamalainen C.
and Moesender C.
},
year = {2011},
}
,