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title = {Drivers of low-frequency Sahel precipitation variability: comparing CMIP5 and CMIP6 ensemble means with observations},
author = {
Herman, Rebecca Jean
and Biasutti, Michela
and Kushnir, Yochanan
},
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journal = {Climate Dynamics},
volume = {61},
pages = {4449-4470},
}
,@article{Wyburn-Powell
title = {Modeled Interannual Variability of Arctic Sea Ice Cover is within Observational Uncertainty},
author = {
Wyburn-Powell, Christopher
and Jahn, Alexandra
and R. England, Mark
},
url = {https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/clim/35/20/JCLI-D-21-0958.1.xml},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
volume = {35},
pages = {3227-3242},
}
,@article{Holtanová
title = {Projected changes in mean annual cycle of temperature and precipitation over the Czech Republic: Comparison of CMIP5 and CMIP6},
author = {
Holtanová, Eva
and Belda, Michal
and Halenka, Tomáš
},
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journal = {Frontiers in Earth Science},
volume = {10},
}
,@article{Huard
title = {Estimating the Likelihood of GHG Concentration Scenarios From Probabilistic Integrated Assessment Model Simulations},
author = {
Huard, David
and Fyke, Jeremy
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and Matthews, H. Damon
and Partanen, Antti‐Ilari
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2022EF002715},
journal = {Earth's Future},
volume = {10},
}
,@article{Jansen
title = {Global increase in methane production under future warming of lake bottom waters},
author = {
Jansen, Joachim
and Woolway, Richard Iestyn
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and Weyhenmeyer, Gesa A.
and Marcé, Rafael
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and Sobek, Sebastian
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and Perroud, Marjorie
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and Moore, Tadhg N.
and Råman Vinnå, Love
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and Pierson, Don C.
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},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.16298},
journal = {Global Change Biology},
}
,@article{Thiery
title = {Intergenerational inequities in exposure to climate extremes},
author = {
Thiery, By Wim
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and Emanuel, Kerry
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and Hanasaki, Naota
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and Ito, Akihiko
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and Khabarov, Nikolay
and Koutroulis, Aristeidis
and Liu, Wenfeng
and Lutz, Wolfgang
and Mengel, Matthias
and Müller, Christoph
and Ostberg, Sebastian
and Reyer, Christopher P. O.
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and Wada, Yoshihide
},
url = {https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.abi7339},
journal = {Science},
}
,@article{Palmer
title = {How does the CMIP6 ensemble change the picture for European climate projections?},
author = {
Palmer, T E
and Booth, B B B
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},
url = {https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/ac1ed9},
journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
volume = {16},
pages = {094042},
}
,@article{Jayasankar
title = {Does increasing the spatial resolution in dynamical downscaling impact climate change projection of Indian summer monsoon, population and GDP?},
author = {
Jayasankar, C. B.
and Rajendran, K.
and Sajani, Surendran
},
url = {https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00704-021-03633-w},
journal = {Theoretical and Applied Climatology},
volume = {145},
pages = {441-453},
}
,@article{von der Gathen
title = {Climate change favours large seasonal loss of Arctic ozone},
author = {
von der Gathen, Peter
and Kivi, Rigel
and Wohltmann, Ingo
and Salawitch, Ross J.
and Rex, Markus
},
url = {https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-021-24089-6},
journal = {Nature Communications},
volume = {12},
}
,@article{Kajtar
title = {CMIP5 Intermodel Relationships in the Baseline Southern Ocean Climate System and With Future Projections},
author = {
Kajtar, Jules B.
and Santoso, Agus
and Collins, Matthew
and Taschetto, Andréa S.
and England, Matthew H.
and Frankcombe, Leela M.
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2020EF001873},
journal = {Earth's Future},
volume = {9},
}
,@article{Lee
title = {Benchmarking performance changes in the simulation of extratropical modes of variability across CMIP generations},
author = {
Lee, Jiwoo
and Sperber, Kenneth R.
and Gleckler, Peter J.
and Taylor, Karl E.
and Bonfils, Céline J. W.
},
url = {https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/clim/aop/JCLI-D-20-0832.1/JCLI-D-20-0832.1.xml},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
pages = {1-70},
}
,@article{Koch
title = {Earth System Models Are Not Capturing Present‐Day Tropical Forest Carbon Dynamics},
author = {
Koch, Alexander
and Hubau, Wannes
and Lewis, Simon L.
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2020EF001874},
journal = {Other},
volume = {9},
}
,@article{Goyal
title = {Historical and Projected Changes in the Southern Hemisphere Surface Westerlies},
author = {
Goyal, Rishav
and Sen Gupta, Alex
and Jucker, Martin
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},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2020GL090849},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {48},
}
,@article{Nicholls
title = {Regionally aggregated, stitched and de‐drifted CMIP‐climate data, processed with netCDF‐SCM v2.0.0},
author = {
Nicholls, Zebedee
and Lewis, Jared
and Makin, Melissa
and Nattala, Usha
and Zhang, Geordie Z.
and Mutch, Simon J.
and Tescari, Edoardo
and Meinshausen, Malte
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/gdj3.113},
journal = {Geoscience Data Journal},
}
,@article{Hobbs
title = {Anthropogenic Temperature and Salinity Changes in the Southern Ocean},
author = {
Hobbs, William R.
and Roach, Christopher
and Roy, Tilla
and Sallée, Jean-Baptiste
and Bindoff, Nathaniel
},
url = {https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/clim/34/1/jcliD200454.xml},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
volume = {34},
pages = {215-228},
}
,@article{Ribes
title = {Making climate projections conditional on historical observations},
author = {
Ribes, Aurélien
and Qasmi, Saïd
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},
url = {https://advances.sciencemag.org/content/7/4/eabc0671},
journal = {Science Advances},
volume = {7},
pages = {eabc0671},
}
,@article{Kim
title = {Performance Evaluation of CMIP5 and CMIP6 Models on Heatwaves in Korea and Associated Teleconnection Patterns},
author = {
Kim, Maeng‐Ki
and Yu, Dae‐Geun
and Oh, Ji‐Seon
and Byun, Young‐Hwa
and Boo, Kyung‐On
and Chung, Il‐Ung
and Park, Jeong‐Soo
and Park, Doo‐Sun R.
and Min, Seung‐Ki
and Sung, Hyun Min
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2020JD032583},
journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
volume = {125},
}
,@article{Wehner
title = {Characterization of long period return values of extreme daily temperature and precipitation in the CMIP6 models: Part 2, projections of future change},
author = {
Wehner, Michael F.
},
url = {https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2212094719302452},
journal = {Other},
volume = {30},
pages = {100284-100284},
}
,@article{Wehner
title = {Characterization of long period return values of extreme daily temperature and precipitation in the CMIP6 models: Part 1, model evaluation},
author = {
Wehner, Michael
and Gleckler, Peter
and Lee, Jiwoo
},
url = {https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2212094719302440},
journal = {Other},
volume = {30},
pages = {100283-100283},
}
,@article{Qin
title = {Quantifying Contributions of Internal Variability and External Forcing to Atlantic Multidecadal Variability Since 1870},
author = {
Qin, Minhua
and Dai, Aiguo
and Hua, Wenjian
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2020GL089504},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {47},
}
,@article{Szuwalski
title = {Climate change and the future productivity and distribution of crab in the Bering Sea},
author = {
Szuwalski, Cody
and Cheng, Wei
and Foy, Robert
and Hermann, Albert J
and Hollowed, Anne
and Holsman, Kirstin
and Lee, Jiwoo
and Stockhausen, William
and Zheng, Jie
},
journal = {Other},
}
,@article{Planton
title = {Evaluating climate models with the CLIVAR 2020 ENSO metrics package},
author = {
Planton, Yann Y.
and Guilyardi, Eric
and Wittenberg, Andrew T.
and Lee, Jiwoo
and Gleckler, Peter J.
and Bayr, Tobias
and McGregor, Shayne
and McPhaden, Michael J.
and Power, Scott
and Roehrig, Romain
and Vialard, Jérôme
and Voldoire, Aurore
},
url = {https://journals.ametsoc.org/bams/article/354641/Evaluating-climate-models-with-the-CLIVAR-2020},
journal = {Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society},
pages = {1-57},
}
,@article{Burke
title = {Evaluating permafrost physics in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 6 (CMIP6) models and their sensitivity to climate change},
author = {
Burke, Eleanor
and Krinner G.
and Yu Zhang
},
journal = {The Cryosphere},
}
,@article{Hayashi
title = {Dynamics for El Niño-La Niña asymmetry constrain equatorial-Pacific warming pattern},
author = {
Hayashi, Michiya
and Jin, Fei-Fei
and Stuecker, Malte F.
},
url = {https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-020-17983-y},
journal = {Other},
volume = {11},
pages = {4230},
}
,@article{Séférian
title = {Tracking Improvement in Simulated Marine Biogeochemistry Between CMIP5 and CMIP6},
author = {
Séférian, Roland
and Berthet, Sarah
and Yool, Andrew
and Palmiéri, Julien
and Bopp, Laurent
and Tagliabue, Alessandro
and Kwiatkowski, Lester
and Aumont, Olivier
and Christian, James
and Dunne, John
and Gehlen, Marion
and Ilyina, Tatiana
and John, Jasmin G.
and Li, Hongmei
and Long, Matthew C.
and Luo, Jessica Y.
and Nakano, Hideyuki
and Romanou, Anastasia
and Schwinger, Jörg
and Stock, Charles
and Santana-Falcón, Yeray
and Takano, Yohei
and Tjiputra, Jerry
and Tsujino, Hiroyuki
and Watanabe, Michio
and Wu, Tongwen
and Wu, Fanghua
and Yamamoto, Akitomo
},
url = {https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s40641-020-00160-0},
journal = {Other},
}
,@article{Priestley
title = {An Overview of the Extratropical Storm Tracks in CMIP6 Historical Simulations},
author = {
Priestley, Matthew D. K.
and Ackerley, Duncan
and Catto, Jennifer L.
and Hodges, Kevin I.
and McDonald, Ruth E.
and Lee, Robert W.
},
url = {https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0928.1},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
volume = {33},
pages = {6315-6343},
}
,@article{Menary
title = {Aerosol‐Forced AMOC Changes in CMIP6 Historical Simulations},
author = {
Menary, Matthew B.
and Robson, Jon
and Allan, Richard P.
and Booth, Ben B. B.
and Cassou, Christophe
and Gastineau, Guillaume
and Gregory, Jonathan
and Hodson, Dan
and Jones, Colin
and Mignot, Juliette
and Ringer, Mark
and Sutton, Rowan
and Wilcox, Laura
and Zhang, Rong
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2020GL088166},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {47},
}
,@article{Di Luca
title = {Decomposing Temperature Extremes Errors in CMIP5 and CMIP6 Models},
author = {
Di Luca, Alejandro
and Pitman, Andrew J.
and de Elía, Ramón
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1029/2020GL088031},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {47},
}
,@article{Qin
title = {Aerosol-forced multidecadal variations across all ocean basins in models and observations since 1920},
author = {
Qin, Minhua
and Dai, Aiguo
and Hua, Wenjian
},
url = {https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/sciadv.abb0425},
journal = {Science Advances},
volume = {6},
}
,@article{DeRepentigny
title = {Arctic Sea Ice in Two Configurations of the CESM2 During the 20th and 21st Centuries},
author = {
DeRepentigny, Patricia
and Jahn, Alexandra
and Holland, Marika M.
and Smith, Abigail
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2020JC016133},
journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans},
volume = {125},
pages = {e2020JC016133},
}
,@article{Cannon
title = {Reductions in daily continental-scale atmospheric circulation biases between generations of global climate models: CMIP5 to CMIP6},
author = {
Cannon, Alex J
},
url = {https://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab7e4f},
journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
volume = {15},
pages = {064006},
}
,@article{SIMIP Community
title = {Arctic Sea Ice in CMIP6},
author = {
SIMIP Community
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2019GL086749},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {47},
}
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title = {Constraining Uncertainty in Aerosol Direct Forcing},
author = {
Watson‐Parris, D.
and Bellouin, N.
and Deaconu, L. T.
and Schutgens, N. A. J.
and Yoshioka, M.
and Regayre, L. A.
and Pringle, K. J.
and Johnson, J. S.
and Smith, C. J.
and Carslaw, K. S.
and Stier, P.
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2020GL087141},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {47},
}
,@article{Roach
title = {Antarctic Sea Ice Area in CMIP6},
author = {
Roach, Lettie A.
and Dörr, Jakob
and Holmes, Caroline R.
and Massonnet, François
and Blockley, Edward W.
and Notz, Dirk
and Rackow, Thomas
and Raphael, Marilyn N.
and O'Farrell, Siobhan P.
and Bailey, David A.
and Bitz, Cecilia M.
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2019GL086729},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {47},
}
,@article{Lyu
title = {Regional dynamic sea level simulated in the CMIP5 and CMIP6 models: mean biases, future projections, and their linkages},
author = {
Lyu, Kewei
and Zhang, Xuebin
and Church, John A.
},
url = {https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-1029.1},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,@article{Grise
title = {Hadley cell expansion in CMIP6 models},
author = {
Grise, Kevin M.
and Davis, Sean M.
},
url = {https://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/20/5249/2020/},
journal = {Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics},
volume = {20},
pages = {5249-5268},
}
,@article{Oudar
title = {Drivers of the Northern Extratropical Eddy‐Driven Jet Change in CMIP5 and CMIP6 Models},
author = {
Oudar, Thomas
and Cattiaux, Julien
and Douville, Hervé
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1029/2019GL086695},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {47},
}
,@article{Tian
title = {The Double‐ITCZ Bias in CMIP3, CMIP5, and CMIP6 Models Based on Annual Mean Precipitation},
author = {
Tian, Baijun
and Dong, Xinyu
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1029/2020GL087232},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {47},
}
,@article{Shiogama
title = {Selecting Future Climate Projections of Surface Solar Radiation in Japan},
author = {
Shiogama, Hideo
and Ito, Rui
and Imada, Yukiko
and Nakaegawa, Toshiyuki
and Hirota, Nagio
and Ishizaki, Noriko N.
and Takahashi, Kiyoshi
and Takayabu, Izuru
and Emori, Seita
},
url = {https://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/sola/16/0/16_2020-013/_article},
journal = {SOLA},
volume = {16},
pages = {75-79},
}
,@article{Po‐Chedley
title = {Climatology Explains Intermodel Spread in Tropical Upper Tropospheric Cloud and Relative Humidity Response to Greenhouse Warming},
author = {
Po‐Chedley, Stephen
and Zelinka, Mark D.
and Jeevanjee, Nadir
and Thorsen, Tyler J.
and Santer, Benjamin D.
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1029/2019GL084786},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {46},
pages = {13399-13409},
}
,@article{Irving
title = {Anthropogenic Aerosols, Greenhouse Gases, and the Uptake, Transport, and Storage of Excess Heat in the Climate System},
author = {
Irving, Damien. B.
and Wijffels, Susan.
and Church, John. A.
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1029/2019GL082015},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {46},
pages = {4894-4903},
}
,@article{Hua
title = {An Externally Forced Decadal Rainfall Seesaw Pattern Over the Sahel and Southeast Amazon},
author = {
Hua, Wenjian
and Dai, Aiguo
and Zhou, Liming
and Qin, Minhua
and Chen, Haishan
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2018GL081406},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {46},
pages = {923-932},
}
,@article{Giannini
title = {The role of aerosols and greenhouse gases in Sahel drought and recovery},
author = {
Giannini, Alessandra
and Kaplan, Alexey
},
journal = {Climatic Change},
volume = {152},
pages = {449},
}
,@article{Po-Chedley
title = {Climate constraint reflects forced signal},
author = {
Po-Chedley, Stephen
and Proistosescu, Cristian
and Armour, Kyle C.
and Santer, Benjamin D.
},
url = {https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-018-0640-y},
journal = {Nature},
volume = {563},
pages = {E6-E9},
}
,@article{Ferguson
title = {The Effect of Global Warming on Future Water Availability: CMIP5 Synthesis},
author = {
Ferguson, C. R.
and Pan, M.
and Oki, Taikan
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1029/2018WR022792},
journal = {Water Resources Research},
volume = {54},
pages = {7791-7819},
}
,@article{Pu
title = {How reliable are CMIP5 models in simulating dust optical depth?},
author = {
Pu, Bing
and Ginoux, Paul
},
url = {https://acp.copernicus.org/articles/18/12491/2018/},
journal = {Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics},
volume = {18},
pages = {12491-12510},
}
,@article{Jayasankar
title = {Monsoon Climate Change Projection for the Orographic West Coast of India Using High-Resolution Nested Dynamical Downscaling Model},
author = {
Jayasankar, C. B.
and Rajendran, Kavirajan
and Surendran, Sajani
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/resolve/doi?DOI=10.1029/2018JD028677},
journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
}
,@article{Hua
title = {Contributions of Internal Variability and External Forcing to the Recent Pacific Decadal Variations},
author = {
Hua, Wenjian
and Dai, Aiguo
and Qin, Minhua
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2018GL079033},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {45},
pages = {7084-7092},
}
,@article{Jiwoo Lee
title = {Quantifying the agreement between observed and simulated extratropical modes of interannual variability},
author = {
Jiwoo Lee
and Kenneth R. Sperber
and Peter J. Gleckler
and Céline J. W. Bonfils
and Karl E. Taylor
},
url = {https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-018-4355-4},
journal = {Climate Dynamics},
volume = {52},
pages = {4057-4089},
}
,@article{Mori
title = {The value of knowledge accumulation on climate sensitivity uncertainty: comparison between perfect information, single stage and act then learn decisions},
author = {
Mori, Shunsuke
and Shiogama, Hideo
},
url = {https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11625-018-0528-7},
journal = {Other},
volume = {13},
pages = {351-368},
}
,@article{Pu
title = {Projection of American dustiness in the late 21st century due to climate change},
author = {
Pu, Bing
and Ginoux, Paul
},
url = {https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-017-05431-9},
journal = {Other},
volume = {7},
}
,@article{Lee
title = {Thermodynamic and dynamic contributions to future changes in summer precipitation over Northeast Asia and Korea: a multi-RCM study},
author = {
Lee, Donghyun
and Min, Seung-Ki
and Jin, Jonghun
and Lee, Ji-Woo
and Cha, Dong-Hyun
and Suh, Myoung-Seok
and Ahn, Joong-Bae
and Hong, Song-You
and Kang, Hyun-Suk
and Joh, Minsu
},
url = {https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-017-3566-4},
journal = {Climate Dynamics},
volume = {49},
pages = {4121-4139},
}
,@article{Watanabe
title = {Remote effects of mixed layer development on ocean acidification in the subsurface layers of the North Pacific},
author = {
Watanabe, Michio
and Kawamiya, Michio
},
url = {https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10872-017-0431-3},
journal = {Other},
volume = {73},
pages = {771-784},
}
,@article{Quesada Benjamin
title = {Atmospheric, radiative, and hydrologic effects of future land use and land cover changes: A global and multimodel climate picture},
author = {
Quesada Benjamin
and Arneth Almut
and de Noblet-Ducoudré Nathalie
},
url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016JD025448/full},
journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
volume = {Volume 122},
pages = {5113-5131},
}
,@article{Brady
title = {Emergent anthropogenic trends in California Current upwelling},
author = {
Brady, Riley X.
and Alexander, Michael A.
and Lovenduski, Nicole S.
and Rykaczewski, Ryan R.
},
url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2017GL072945/abstract},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
}
,@article{Esteban Abellán
title = {Analysis of the southward wind shift of ENSO in CMIP5 models},
author = {
Esteban Abellán
and Shayne McGregor
and Matthew H. England
},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
volume = {30},
pages = {2415-2435},
}
,@article{Zazulie
title = {Regional climate of the subtropical central Andes using high-resolution CMIP5 models—part I: past performance (1980–2005)},
author = {
Zazulie, N
and Rusticucci, M
and Raga, G. B.
},
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