@article{Hayashi
  title = {Dynamics for El Niño-La Niña asymmetry constrain equatorial-Pacific warming pattern},
  author = { Hayashi, Michiya and Jin, Fei-Fei and Stuecker, Malte F. },
  url = {https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-020-17983-y},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {11},
  pages = {4230},
},
@article{Irving
  title = {A Mass and Energy Conservation Analysis of Drift in the CMIP6 Ensemble},
  author = { Irving, Damien and Hobbs, Will and Church, John and Zika, Jan },
  url = {https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0281.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  pages = {1-43},
},
@article{Phoebe A. Woodworth-Jefcoats
  title = {Climate change is projected to reduce carrying capacity and redistribute species richness in North Pacific pelagic marine ecosystems},
  author = { Phoebe A. Woodworth-Jefcoats and Jeffrey J. Polovina and Jeffrey C. Drazen },
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com.eres.library.manoa.hawaii.edu/doi/10.1111/gcb.13471/full},
  journal = {Global Change Biology},
  volume = {23},
  pages = {1000-1008},
},
@article{Medhaug
  title = {Global and regional surface cooling in a warming climate: a multi-model analysis},
  author = { Medhaug, Iselin and Drange, Helge },
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-015-2811-y},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {46},
  pages = {3899-3920},
},
@article{Grieve
  title = {Range expansion of the invasive lionfish in the Northwest Atlantic with climate change},
  author = { Grieve, BD and Curchitser, EN and Rykaczewski, RR },
  url = {http://www.int-res.com/abstracts/meps/v546/p225-237/},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {546},
  pages = {225-237},
},
@article{Durack P. J.
  title = {Long-term sea-level change revisited: the role of salinity},
  author = { Durack P. J. and Wijffels S. E. and Gleckler P. J. },
  url = {http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/9/11/114017/},
  journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
  volume = {9},
  pages = {---},
},
@article{Melet A. V.
  title = {Explaining the Spread in Global Mean Thermosteric Sea Level Rise in CMIP5 Climate Models},
  author = { Melet A. V. and Meyssignac B. },
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
},
@article{Melet A. V.
  title = {Explaining the Spread in Global Mean Thermosteric Sea Level Rise in CMIP5 Climate Models},
  author = { Melet A. V. and Meyssignac B. },
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
},
@article{Roberts C. D.
  title = {Quantifying the likelihood of a continued hiatus in global warming},
  author = { Roberts C. D. and Palmer M. D. and McNeall D. and Collins M. },
  url = {http://http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/v5/n4/full/nclimate2531.html},
  journal = {Nature Climate Change},
  volume = {5},
  pages = {337-342},
},
@article{Menary M. B.
  title = {Exploring the impact of CMIP5 model biases on the simulation of North Atlantic decadal variability},
  author = { Menary M. B. and Hodson D. L. and Robson J. I. and Sutton R. T. and Wood R. A. and Hunt J. A. },
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL064360/full},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
},
@article{Durack P. J.
  title = {Ocean salinity and the global water cycle},
  author = { Durack P. J. },
  url = {http://www.tos.org/oceanography/archive/28-1_durack.html},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {28},
  pages = {20-31},
},
@article{Heuz C.
  title = {Changes in global ocean bottom properties and volume transports in CMIP5 models under climate change scenarios},
  author = { Heuz C. and Heywood K. J. and Stevens D. P. and Ridley J. K. },
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/full/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00381.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {28},
  pages = {2917-2944},
},
@article{Melet A. V.
  title = {Explaining the Spread in Global Mean Thermosteric Sea Level Rise in CMIP5 Climate Models},
  author = { Melet A. V. and Meyssignac B. },
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
},
@article{Cowan T.
  title = {The Response of the Indian Ocean Dipole Asymmetry to Anthropogenic Aerosols and Greenhouse Gases},
  author = { Cowan T. and Cai W. and Ng B. and England M. },
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {28},
  pages = {2564-2583},
},
@article{MacMartin D. G.
  title = {Using transfer functions to quantify ENSO dynamics in data and models},
  author = { MacMartin D. G. and Tziperman E. },
  journal = {Other},
},
@article{Lima N. E.
  title = {Phylogeography and ecological niche modelling, coupled with the fossil pollen record, unravel the demographic history of a Neotropical swamp palm through the Quaternary},
  author = { Lima N. E. and Lima-Ribeiro M. S. and Tinoco C. F. and Terribile L. C. and Collevatti R. G. },
  journal = {Journal of Biogeography},
  volume = {41},
  pages = {673-686},
},
@article{de Lavergne C.
  title = {Cessation of deep convection in the open Southern Ocean under anthropogenic climate change},
  author = { de Lavergne C. and Palter J. B. and Galbraith E. D. and Bernardello R. and Marinov I. },
  url = {http://http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/v4/n4/full/nclimate2132.html},
  journal = {Nature Climate Change},
  volume = {4},
  pages = {278-282},
},
@article{Dongliang Y.
  title = {Climate variability and predictability associated with the Indo-Pacific Oceanic Channel Dynamics in the CCSM4 Coupled System Model},
  author = { Dongliang Y. and Peng X. and Tengfei X. },
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
},
@article{Durack P. J.
  title = {Quantifying underestimates of long-term upper-ocean warming},
  author = { Durack P. J. and Gleckler P. J. and Landerer F. W. and Taylor K. E. },
  url = {http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/v4/n11/abs/nclimate2389.html},
  journal = {Nature Climate Change},
  volume = {4},
  pages = {999-1005},
},
@article{Roberts C. D.
  title = {Is the 2004-2012 reduction of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation significant?},
  author = { Roberts C. D. and Jackson L. J. and McNeall D. },
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {41},
  pages = {3204-3210},
},
@article{Linz M.
  title = {Process-based analysis of climate model ENSO simulations: Intermodel consistency and compensating errors},
  author = { Linz M. and Tziperman E. and MacMartin D. G. },
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
},
@article{Steiner N. S.
  title = {Future ocean acidification in the Canada Basin and surrounding Arctic Ocean from CMIP5 earth system models},
  author = { Steiner N. S. and Christian J. R. and Six K. D. and Yamamoto A. and Yamamoto-Kawai M. },
  url = {http://http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013JC009069/abstract},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research},
  volume = {119},
  pages = {332-347},
},
@article{Zhang T.
  title = {ENSO Asymmetry in CMIP5 Models},
  author = { Zhang T. and Sun D. },
  url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00454.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
  pages = {4070-4093},
},
@article{Ohba M.
  title = {Statistical parameterization expressing ENSO variability and reversibility in response to CO2 concentration changes},
  author = { Ohba M. and Tsutsui J. and Nohara D. },
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00279.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
  pages = {398-410},
},
@article{Jiang C.
  title = {Southern Ocean pCO2: Evaluating CMIP5 Coupled Carbon/Climate Models using in-situ observations},
  author = { Jiang C. and Gille S. T. and Sprintall J. and Sweeney C. },
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00571.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
  pages = {76-100},
},
@article{Kostov Y.
  title = {Impact of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation on ocean heat storage and transient climate change},
  author = { Kostov Y. and Armour K. C. and Marshall J. },
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013GL058998/abstract},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {41},
  pages = {2108-2116},
},
@article{Heywood K. J.
  title = {Ocean processes at the Antarctic continental slope},
  author = { Heywood K. J. and Schmidtko S. and Heuzé C. and Kaiser J. and Jickells T. D. and Queste B. Y. and Stevens D. P. and Wadley M. and Thompson A. F. and Fielding S. and Guihen D. and Creed E. and Ridley J. K. and Smith W. },
  url = {http://rsta.royalsocietypublishing.org/content/372/2019/20130047.abstract},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {372},
  pages = {20130047},
},
@article{Marcos M.
  title = {Quantifying anthropogenic and natural contributions to thermosteric sea level rise},
  author = { Marcos M. and Amores A. },
  url = {http://http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014GL059766/abstract},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {41},
  pages = {2502-2507},
},
@article{Schwinger J.
  title = {Nonlinearity of Ocean Carbon Cycle Feedbacks in CMIP5 Earth System Models},
  author = { Schwinger J. and Tjiputra J. F. and Heinze C. and Bopp L. and Christian J. R. and Gehlen M. and Ilyina T. and Jones C. D. and Salas-Mlia D. and Segschneider J. and Sfrian R. and Totterdell I. },
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00452.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
  pages = {3869-3888},
},
@article{Palmer M. D.
  title = {Internal variability of Earth's energy budget simulated by CMIP5 climate models },
  author = { Palmer M. D. and McNeall D. J. },
  url = {http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/9/3/034016/article},
  journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
  volume = {9},
},
@article{Koenigk T.
  title = {Arctic climate change in 21st century CMIP5 simulations with EC-Earth},
  author = { Koenigk T. and Brodeau L. and Graversen R. G. and Karlsson J. and Svensson G. and Tjernström M. and Willen U. and Wyser K. },
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {40},
  pages = {2719-2743},
},
@article{Zhang R.
  title = {Have Aerosols Caused the Observed Atlantic Multidecadal Variability?},
  author = { Zhang R. and Delworth T. L. and Sutton R. and Hodson D. L. and Dixon K. W. and Held I. M. and Kushnir Y. and Msrshall J. and Ming Y. and Msadek R. and Robson J. and Rosati A. J. and Ting M. and Vecchi G. A. },
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JAS-D-12-0331.1},
  journal = {Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences},
  volume = {70},
  pages = {1135-1144},
},
@article{Cheng W.
  title = {Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) in CMIP5 Models: RCP and Historical Simulations},
  author = { Cheng W. and Chiang J. C. and Zhang D. },
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
},
@article{Wang Z.
  title = {On the responses of the Southern Hemisphere subpolar gyres to climate change in coupled climate models},
  author = { Wang Z. },
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research},
},
@article{Merryfield W. J.
  title = {The Canadian Seasonal to Interannual 1 Prediction System. Part I: Models and Initialization},
  author = { Merryfield W. J. and Lee W. and Boer G. J. and Kharin V. V. and Scinocca J. F. and Flato G. F. and Ajayamohan R. S. and Tang Y. and Polavarapu S. },
  journal = {Monthly Weather Review},
},
@article{Zheng X.
  title = {Indian Ocean Dipole response to global warming in the CMIP5 multi-model ensemble},
  author = { Zheng X. and Xie S. and Du Y. and Liu L. and Huang G. and Liu Q. },
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
},
@article{Resplandy L.
  title = {Role of mode and intermediate waters in future ocean acidification: analysis of CMIP5 models},
  author = { Resplandy L. and Bopp L. and Orr J. C. and Dunne J. P. },
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
},
@article{Heuzé C.
  title = {Southern Ocean Bottom Water Characteristics in CMIP5 Models},
  author = { Heuzé C. and Heywood K. J. and Stevens D. P. and Ridley J. K. },
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
},
@article{MacMartin D. G.
  title = {Frequency-domain multi-model analysis of the response of Atlantic meridional overturning circulation to surface forcing},
  author = { MacMartin D. G. and Tziperman E. and Zanna L. },
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00717.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {26},
  pages = {8323-8340},
},
@article{Qiao F.
  title = {Development and evaluation of an Earth System Model with surface gravity waves},
  author = { Qiao F. and Song Z. and Bao Y. and Song Y. and Shu Q. and Huang C. and Zhao W. },
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/jgrc.20327/abstract},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research},
},
@article{Guemas V.
  title = {Retrospective prediction of the global warming slowdown in the past decade},
  author = { Guemas V. and Doblas-Reyes F. J. and Andreu-Burillo I. and Asif M. },
  journal = {Nature},
  volume = {3},
  pages = {649-653},
},
@article{Koenigk T.
  title = {Ocean heat transport into the Arctic in the twentieth and twenty-first century in EC-Earth},
  author = { Koenigk T. },
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
},
@article{Collevatti R. G.
  title = {Demographic history and the low genetic diversity in Dipteryx alata (Fabaceae) from Brazilian Neotropical savannas},
  author = { Collevatti R. G. and Telles M. P. and Nabout J. C. and Chaves L. J. and Soares T. N. },
  journal = {Other},
  pages = {1-9},
},
@article{Hobbs W. R.
  title = {Detection of an observed 135 year ocean temperature change from limited data},
  author = { Hobbs W. R. and Willis J. K. },
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {40},
  pages = {1-7},
},
@article{Marsland S. J.
  title = {Evaluation of ACCESS Climate Model ocean diagnostics in CMIP5 simulations},
  author = { Marsland S. J. and Bi D. and Uotila P. and Fiedler R. and Griffies S. M. and Lorbacher K. and O’Farrell S. and Sullivan A. and Uhe P. and Zhou X. and Hirst A. C. },
  url = {http://www.bom.gov.au/amoj/docs/2013/marsland_hres.pdf},
  journal = {Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Journal},
  volume = {63},
  pages = {101-119},
},
@article{Cowan T.
  title = {The response of the large-scale ocean circulation to 20th century Asian and non-Asian aerosols},
  author = { Cowan T. and Cai W. },
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {40},
  pages = {2761-2767},
},
@article{Cowan T.
  title = {Forcing of anthropogenic aerosols on temperature trends of the sub-thermocline southern Indian Ocean},
  author = { Cowan T. and Cai W. and Purich A. and Rotstayn L. and Matthew E. H. },
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {3},
},
@article{Close S. E.
  title = {Entrainment-driven modulation of Southern Ocean mixed layer properties and sea ice variability in CMIP5 models},
  author = { Close S. E. and Goosse H. },
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/jgrc.20226/abstract},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research},
  volume = {118},
  pages = {2811-2827},
},
@article{Xu T.
  title = {An Assessment of Indo-Paci¯c Oceanic Channel Dynamics in the FGOALS-g2 Coupled Climate System Model},
  author = { Xu T. and Yuan D. and Yu Y. and Zhao X. },
  url = {http://159.226.119.58/aas/EN/10.1007/s00376-013-2131-2},
  journal = {Advances in Atmospheric Sciences},
  volume = {30},
  pages = {997-1016},
},
@article{Roberts C. D.
  title = {A multi-model study of sea surface temperature and sub-surface density fingerprints of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation},
  author = { Roberts C. D. and Garry F. and Jackson L. J. },
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {26},
  pages = { 9155-9174},
},
@article{Lohmann G.
  title = {A model-data comparison of the Holocene global sea surface temperature evolution},
  author = { Lohmann G. and Pfeiffer M. and Laepple T. and Leduc G. and Kim J. },
  url = {http://www.clim-past.net/9/1807/2013/cp-9-1807-2013.html},
  journal = {Climate of the Past},
  volume = {9},
  pages = {1807-1839},
},
@article{Yang C.
  title = {El Niño Southern Oscillation in an ensemble ocean reanalysis and coupled climate models},
  author = { Yang C. and Giese B. S. },
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/store/10.1002/jgrc.20284/asset/jgrc20284.pdf?v=1&t=hy5o6a5k&s=05e2f39aec65fe2e06f999b2c7fe840042665589},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research},
  volume = {118},
  pages = {4052-4071},
},
@article{Andrews O. D.
  title = {Detecting an external influence on recent changes in oceanic oxygen using an optimal fingerprinting method},
  author = { Andrews O. D. and Bindoff N. L. and Halloran P. R. and Ilyina T. and Le Quéré C. },
  url = {http://www.biogeosciences.net/10/1799/2013/bg-10-1799-2013.html},
  journal = {Biogeosciences},
  volume = {10},
  pages = {1799-1813},
},
@article{Perrette M.
  title = {A scaling approach to project regional sea level rise and its uncertainties},
  author = { Perrette M. and Landerer F. W. and Riva R. E. and Frieler K. and Meinshausen M. },
  url = {http://www.earth-syst-dynam.net/4/11/2013/},
  journal = {Earth System Dynamics},
  volume = {4},
  pages = {11-29},
},
@article{Meehl G.
  title = {Will there be a significant change to El Nino in the 21st century?},
  author = { Meehl G. and Deser C. and Neale R. and Jochum M. and Fox-Kemper B. and Stevenson S. L. },
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00252.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {25},
  pages = {2129-2145},
},
@article{Li G.
  title = {Origins of tropical-wide SST biases in CMIP multi-model ensembles},
  author = { Li G. and Xie S. },
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {39},
},
@article{Swingedouw D.
  title = {Initialisation and predictability of the AMOC over the last 50 years in a climate model. },
  author = { Swingedouw D. and Mignot J. and Labetoulle S. and Guilyardi E. and Madec G. },
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
},
@article{Telford R. J.
  title = {Mismatch between the depth habitat of planktonic foraminifera and the calibration depth of SST transfer functions may bias reconstructions},
  author = { Telford R. J. and Li C. and Kucera M. },
  url = {http://www.clim-past-discuss.net/8/4075/2012/cpd-8-4075-2012.html},
  journal = {Climate of the Past Discussions},
  volume = {8},
  pages = {4075-4013},
},
@article{Tjiputra J. F.
  title = {Interactions between ENSO and tropical ocean carbon cycle as simulated by CMIP5 models},
  author = { Tjiputra J. F. and Segschneider J. and Lindsay K. and Orr J. and Totterdell I. and Bentsen M. and Heinze C. },
  journal = {Global Biogeochemical Cycles},
},
@article{Tjiputra J. F.
  title = {Evaluation of the carbon cycle components in the Norwegian Earth System Model (NorESM)},
  author = { Tjiputra J. F. and Roelandt C. and Bentsen M. and Lawrence D. M. and Lorentzen T. and Schwinger J. and Seland Ø. and Heinze C. },
  journal = {Geoscientific Model Development},
},
@article{Bentsen M.
  title = {The Norwegian Earth System Model, NorESM1-M. Part 1: Description and basic evaluation},
  author = { Bentsen M. and Bethke I. and Debernard J. B. and Iversen T. and Kirkevåg A. and Seland Ø. and Drange H. and Roelandt C. and Seierstad I. A. and Hoose C. and Kristjansson J. E. },
  journal = {Geoscientific Model Development},
},
@article{Xu L.
  title = {Mode Water Ventilation and Subtropical Countercurrent over the North Pacific in CMIP5 Simulations and Future Projections},
  author = { Xu L. and Xie S. and Liu Q. },
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {117},
},
@article{Kavvada A.
  title = {AMO's Structure and Climate Footprint in Observations and IPCC AR5 Climate Simulations},
  author = { Kavvada A. and Ruiz-Barradas A. and Nigam S. },
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
},
@article{Meijers A. J.
  title = {Representation of the Antarctic Circumpolar Current in the CMIP5 climate models and future changes under warming scenarios},
  author = { Meijers A. J. and Shuckburgh E. and Bruneau N. and Sallee J. and Bracegirdle T. and Zhaomin W. },
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research},
},
@article{Hunter S. J.
  title = {Sensitivity of the global submarine hydrate inventory to scenarios of future climate change},
  author = { Hunter S. J. and Goldobin D. S. and Haywood A. M. and Ridgwell A. and Rees J. G. },
  journal = {Earth and Planetary Science Letters},
},
@article{Jungclaus J. H.
  title = {Characteristics of the ocean simulations in MPIOM, the ocean component of the MPI-Earth System Model},
  author = { Jungclaus J. H. and Fischer N. and Lohmann K. and Marotzke J. and Matei D. and Mikolajewicz U. and Notz D. and von Storch J. },
  journal = {Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems},
},
@article{Xu L.
  title = {Mode Water Ventilation and Subtropical Countercurrent over the North Pacific in CMIP5 Simulations and Future Projections},
  author = { Xu L. and Xie S. and Liu Q. },
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research},
},
@article{Stevenson S. L.
  title = {Significant Changes to ENSO Strength and Impacts in the Twenty-First Century: Results from CMIP5},
  author = { Stevenson S. L. },
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
},
@article{Polyakov I. V.
  title = { North Atlantic warming: Patterns of long-term trend and multidecadal variability},
  author = { Polyakov I. V. and Alexeev V. and Bhatt U. S. and Polyakova E. and Zhang X. },
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {34},
  pages = {439-457},
},