@article{von der Gathen
  title = {Climate change favours large seasonal loss of Arctic ozone},
  author = { von der Gathen, Peter and Kivi, Rigel and Wohltmann, Ingo and Salawitch, Ross J. and Rex, Markus },
  url = {https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-021-24089-6},
  journal = {Nature Communications},
  volume = {12},
},
@article{Kajtar
  title = {CMIP5 Intermodel Relationships in the Baseline Southern Ocean Climate System and With Future Projections},
  author = { Kajtar, Jules B. and Santoso, Agus and Collins, Matthew and Taschetto, Andréa S. and England, Matthew H. and Frankcombe, Leela M. },
  url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2020EF001873},
  journal = {Earth's Future},
  volume = {9},
},
@article{Nicholls
  title = {Regionally aggregated, stitched and de‐drifted CMIP‐climate data, processed with netCDF‐SCM v2.0.0},
  author = { Nicholls, Zebedee and Lewis, Jared and Makin, Melissa and Nattala, Usha and Zhang, Geordie Z. and Mutch, Simon J. and Tescari, Edoardo and Meinshausen, Malte },
  url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/gdj3.113},
  journal = {Geoscience Data Journal},
},
@article{Zhang
  title = {The ARM Data-Oriented Metrics and Diagnostics Package for Climate Models: A New Tool for Evaluating Climate Models with Field Data},
  author = { Zhang, C. and Xie, S. and Tao, C. and Tang, S. and Emmenegger, T. and Neelin, J. D. and Schiro, K. A. and Lin, W. and Shaheen, Z. },
  url = {https://journals.ametsoc.org/bams/article/101/10/E1619/348634/The-ARM-DataOriented-Metrics-and-Diagnostics},
  journal = {Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society},
  volume = {101},
  pages = {E1619-E1627},
},
@article{Hayashi
  title = {Dynamics for El Niño-La Niña asymmetry constrain equatorial-Pacific warming pattern},
  author = { Hayashi, Michiya and Jin, Fei-Fei and Stuecker, Malte F. },
  url = {https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-020-17983-y},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {11},
  pages = {4230},
},
@article{Irving
  title = {A Mass and Energy Conservation Analysis of Drift in the CMIP6 Ensemble},
  author = { Irving, Damien and Hobbs, Will and Church, John and Zika, Jan },
  url = {https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0281.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  pages = {1-43},
},
@article{Grise
  title = {Hadley cell expansion in CMIP6 models},
  author = { Grise, Kevin M. and Davis, Sean M. },
  url = {https://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/20/5249/2020/},
  journal = {Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics},
  volume = {20},
  pages = {5249-5268},
},
@article{Lu
  title = {Uncertainty and hotspots in 21st century projections of agricultural drought from CMIP5 models},
  author = { Lu, Junyu and Carbone, Gregory J. and Grego, John M. },
  url = {https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-019-41196-z},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {9},
},
@article{Po‐Chedley
  title = {Climatology Explains Intermodel Spread in Tropical Upper Tropospheric Cloud and Relative Humidity Response to Greenhouse Warming},
  author = { Po‐Chedley, Stephen and Zelinka, Mark D. and Jeevanjee, Nadir and Thorsen, Tyler J. and Santer, Benjamin D. },
  url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1029/2019GL084786},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {46},
  pages = {13399-13409},
},
@article{Giannini
  title = {The role of aerosols and greenhouse gases in Sahel drought and recovery},
  author = { Giannini, Alessandra and Kaplan, Alexey },
  journal = {Climatic Change},
  volume = {152},
  pages = {449},
},
@article{Po-Chedley
  title = {Climate constraint reflects forced signal},
  author = { Po-Chedley, Stephen and Proistosescu, Cristian and Armour, Kyle C. and Santer, Benjamin D. },
  url = {https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-018-0640-y},
  journal = {Nature},
  volume = {563},
  pages = {E6-E9},
},
@article{Ferguson
  title = {The Effect of Global Warming on Future Water Availability: CMIP5 Synthesis},
  author = { Ferguson, C. R. and Pan, M. and Oki, Taikan },
  url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1029/2018WR022792},
  journal = {Water Resources Research},
  volume = {54},
  pages = {7791-7819},
},
@article{Po-Chedley
  title = {Sources of Intermodel Spread in the Lapse Rate and Water Vapor Feedbacks},
  author = { Po-Chedley, Stephen and Armour, Kyle C. and Bitz, Cecilia M. and Zelinka, Mark D. and Santer, Benjamin D. and Fu, Qiang },
  url = {https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0674.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {31},
  pages = {3187-3206},
},
@article{Watanabe
  title = {Remote effects of mixed layer development on ocean acidification in the subsurface layers of the North Pacific},
  author = { Watanabe, Michio and Kawamiya, Michio },
  url = {https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10872-017-0431-3},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {73},
  pages = {771-784},
},
@article{Esteban Abellán
  title = {Analysis of the southward wind shift of ENSO in CMIP5 models},
  author = { Esteban Abellán and Shayne McGregor and Matthew H. England },
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {30},
  pages = {2415-2435},
},
@article{DeAngelis
  title = {Importance of vegetation processes for model spread in the fast precipitation response to CO2 forcing},
  author = { DeAngelis, Anthony M. and Qu, Xin and Hall, Alex },
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL071392/abstract},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {43},
  pages = {12,550-12,559},
},
@article{Belda
  title = {Global warming-induced changes in climate zones based on CMIP5 projections},
  author = { Belda, M and Holtanová, E and Kalvová, J and Halenka, T },
  url = {http://www.int-res.com/abstracts/cr/v71/n1/p17-31/},
  journal = {Climate Research},
  volume = {71},
  pages = {17-31},
},
@article{Phoebe A. Woodworth-Jefcoats
  title = {Climate change is projected to reduce carrying capacity and redistribute species richness in North Pacific pelagic marine ecosystems},
  author = { Phoebe A. Woodworth-Jefcoats and Jeffrey J. Polovina and Jeffrey C. Drazen },
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com.eres.library.manoa.hawaii.edu/doi/10.1111/gcb.13471/full},
  journal = {Global Change Biology},
  volume = {23},
  pages = {1000-1008},
},
@article{Pendergrass
  title = {The Rain Is Askew: Two Idealized Models Relating Vertical Velocity and Precipitation Distributions in a Warming World},
  author = { Pendergrass, Angeline G. and Gerber, Edwin P. },
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0097.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {29},
  pages = {6445-6462},
},
@article{Danco
  title = {Effects of a Warming Climate on Daily Snowfall Events in the Northern Hemisphere},
  author = { Danco, James F. and DeAngelis, Anthony M. and Raney, Bryan K. and Broccoli, Anthony J. },
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0687.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {29},
  pages = {6295-6318},
},
@article{Medhaug
  title = {Global and regional surface cooling in a warming climate: a multi-model analysis},
  author = { Medhaug, Iselin and Drange, Helge },
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-015-2811-y},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {46},
  pages = {3899-3920},
},
@article{Wills
  title = {Thermodynamic and dynamic controls on changes in the zonally anomalous hydrological cycle},
  author = { Wills, Robert C. and Byrne, Michael P. and Schneider, Tapio },
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL068418/abstract},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {43},
  pages = {4640-4649},
},
@article{King
  title = {Emergence of heat extremes attributable to anthropogenic influences},
  author = { King, Andrew D. and Black, Mitchell T. and Min, Seung-Ki and Fischer, Erich M. and Mitchell, Daniel M. and Harrington, Luke J. and Perkins-Kirkpatrick, Sarah E. },
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL067448/abstract},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {43},
  pages = {3438-3443},
},
@article{Grieve
  title = {Range expansion of the invasive lionfish in the Northwest Atlantic with climate change},
  author = { Grieve, BD and Curchitser, EN and Rykaczewski, RR },
  url = {http://www.int-res.com/abstracts/meps/v546/p225-237/},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {546},
  pages = {225-237},
},
@article{Mahowald
  title = {Projections of leaf area index in earth system models},
  author = { Mahowald, Natalie and Lo, Fiona and Zheng, Yun and Harrison, Laura and Funk, Chris and Lombardozzi, Danica and Goodale, Christine },
  url = {http://www.earth-syst-dynam.net/7/211/2016/},
  journal = {Earth System Dynamics},
  volume = {7},
  pages = {211-229},
},
@article{Pendergrass
  title = {Does extreme precipitation intensity depend on the emissions scenario?},
  author = { Pendergrass, Angeline G. and Lehner, Flavio and Sanderson, Benjamin M. and Xu, Yangyang },
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL065854/abstract},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {42},
  pages = {8767-8774},
},
@article{Marvel
  title = {External Influences on Modeled and Observed Cloud Trends},
  author = { Marvel, Kate and Zelinka, Mark and Klein, Stephen A. and Bonfils, Céline and Caldwell, Peter and Doutriaux, Charles and Santer, Benjamin D. and Taylor, Karl E. },
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00734.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {28},
  pages = {4820-4840},
},
@article{Wieder
  title = {Future productivity and carbon storage limited by terrestrial nutrient availability},
  author = { Wieder, William R. and Cleveland, Cory C. and Smith, W. Kolby and Todd-Brown, Katherine },
  url = {http://www.nature.com/ngeo/journal/v8/n6/full/ngeo2413.html},
  journal = {Nature Geoscience},
  volume = {8},
  pages = {441-444},
},
@article{Rykaczewski R. R.
  title = {Poleward displacement of coastal upwelling-favorable winds in the ocean's eastern boundary currents through the 21st century},
  author = { Rykaczewski R. R. and Dunne J. P. and Sydeman W. J. and García-Reyes M. and Black B. A. and Bograd S. J. },
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL064694/full},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {42},
},
@article{Swart N. C.
  title = {Influence of internal variability on Arctic sea-ice trends},
  author = { Swart N. C. and Fyfe J. C. and Hawkins E. and Kay J. E. and Jahn A. },
  url = {http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/v5/n2/full/nclimate2483.html},
  journal = {Nature Climate Change},
  volume = {5},
  pages = {86-89},
},
@article{Tian D.
  title = {Future Changes and Uncertainties in Temperature and Precipitation over China based on CMIP5 models},
  author = { Tian D. and Guo Y. and Dong W. },
  journal = {Advances in Atmospheric Sciences},
  volume = {32},
  pages = {487-496},
},
@article{Guo Y.
  title = {Two dominant modes of winter temperature variations over China and their relationships with large-scale circulations in CMIP5 models},
  author = { Guo Y. and Zhao Z. and Dong W. },
  journal = {Theoretical and Applied Climatology},
},
@article{Kumar D.
  title = {Evaluating wind extremes in CMIP5 climate models},
  author = { Kumar D. and Mishra V. and Ganguly A. R. },
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-014-2070-3},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {45},
  pages = {441-453},
},
@article{Evan A. T.
  title = {Water Vapor%u2013Forced Greenhouse Warming over the Sahara Desert and the Recent Recovery from the Sahelian Drought},
  author = { Evan A. T. and Flamant C. and Lavaysse C. and Kocha C. and Saci A. },
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {28},
},
@article{Flamant C.
  title = {An analysis of aeolian dust in climate models},
  author = { Flamant C. and Fiedler S. and Doherty O. },
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {41},
},
@article{Flamant C.
  title = {An analysis of aeolian dust in climate models},
  author = { Flamant C. and Fiedler S. and Doherty O. },
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {41},
},
@article{Jiang L.
  title = {Scale-Dependent Performance of CMIP5 Earth System Models in Simulating Terrestrial Vegetation Carbon},
  author = { Jiang L. and Yan Y. and Hararuk O. and Mikle N. and Xia J. and Shi Z. and Tjiputra J. and Wu T. and Luo Y. },
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {28},
  pages = {5217-5231},
},
@article{Phillips T. J.
  title = {Koppen bioclimatic evaluation of CMIP historical climate simulations},
  author = { Phillips T. J. and Bonfils C. J. },
  url = {http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/10/6/064005/article },
  journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
  volume = {10},
},
@article{Wright D. B.
  title = {Regional climate model projections of rainfall from U.S. landfalling tropical cyclones},
  author = { Wright D. B. and Knutson T. R. and Smith J. A. },
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-015-2544-y},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  pages = {1-15},
},
@article{Menary M. B.
  title = {Exploring the impact of CMIP5 model biases on the simulation of North Atlantic decadal variability},
  author = { Menary M. B. and Hodson D. L. and Robson J. I. and Sutton R. T. and Wood R. A. and Hunt J. A. },
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL064360/full},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
},
@article{Chan D.
  title = {Attributing Observed SST Trends and Sub-Continental Land Warming to Anthropogenic Forcing during 1979-2005},
  author = { Chan D. and Wu Q. },
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/pdf/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00253.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {28},
  pages = {3152-3170},
},
@article{Durack P. J.
  title = {Ocean salinity and the global water cycle},
  author = { Durack P. J. },
  url = {http://www.tos.org/oceanography/archive/28-1_durack.html},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {28},
  pages = {20-31},
},
@article{Fountoulakis I.
  title = {Projected changes in erythemal and vitamin D effective irradiance over northern-hemisphere high latitudes},
  author = { Fountoulakis I. and Bais A. F. },
  url = {http://http://pubs.rsc.org/en/content/articlelanding/2015/pp/c5pp00093a/unauth#!divAbstract},
  journal = {Other},
},
@article{Kamae Y.
  title = {Recent slowdown of tropical upper tropospheric warming associated with Pacific climate variability},
  author = { Kamae Y. and Shiogama H. and Watanabe M. and Ishii M. and Ueda H. and Kimoto M. },
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/wol1/doi/10.1002/2015GL063608/abstract},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {42},
  pages = {2995-3003},
},
@article{King A. D.
  title = {Attribution of the record high Central England temperature of 2014 to anthropogenic influences},
  author = { King A. D. and van Oldenborgh G. J. and Karoly D. J. and Lewis S. C. and Cullen H. M. },
  url = {http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/10/5/054002},
  journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
  volume = {10},
},
@article{Salzmann M.
  title = {On the enhancement of the Indian summer monsoon drying by Pacific multidecadal variability during the latter half of the 20th century},
  author = { Salzmann M. and Cherian R. },
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JD023313/pdf},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
},
@article{Drijfhout S.
  title = {Catalogue of abrupt shifts in Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change climate models},
  author = { Drijfhout S. and Bathiany S. and Beaulieu C. and Brovkin V. and Claussen M. and Huntingford C. and Scheffer M. and Sgubin G. and Swingedouw D. },
  url = {http://www.pnas.org/content/early/2015/10/07/1511451112},
  journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences},
},
@article{Drijfhout S.
  title = {Catalogue of abrupt shifts in Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change climate models},
  author = { Drijfhout S. and Bathiany S. and Beaulieu C. and Brovkin V. and Claussen M. and Huntingford C. and Scheffer M. and Sgubin G. and Swingedouw D. },
  url = {http://www.pnas.org/content/early/2015/10/07/1511451112},
  journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences},
},
@article{Lin J.
  title = {Is the tropical atmosphere in convective quasi-equilibrium?},
  author = { Lin J. and Qian T. and Shinoda T. and Li S. },
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00681.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {28},
  pages = {4357-4372},
},
@article{Belda M.
  title = {Evaluation of CMIP5 present climate simulations using the Köppen-Trewartha climate classification},
  author = { Belda M. and Holtanová E. and Halenka T. and Kalvová J. and Hlávka Z. },
  url = {http://www.int-res.com/abstracts/cr/v64/n3/p201-212/},
  journal = {Climate Research},
  volume = {64},
  pages = {201-212},
},
@article{Belda M.
  title = {Evaluation of CMIP5 present climate simulations using the Köppen-Trewartha climate classification},
  author = { Belda M. and Holtanová E. and Halenka T. and Kalvová J. and Hlávka Z. },
  url = {http://www.int-res.com/abstracts/cr/v64/n3/p201-212/},
  journal = {Climate Research},
  volume = {64},
  pages = {201-212},
},
@article{Roberts C. D.
  title = {Quantifying the likelihood of a continued hiatus in global warming},
  author = { Roberts C. D. and Palmer M. D. and McNeall D. and Collins M. },
  url = {http://http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/v5/n4/full/nclimate2531.html},
  journal = {Nature Climate Change},
  volume = {5},
  pages = {337-342},
},
@article{Jiang D.
  title = {Reliability of climate models for China through the IPCC Third to Fifth Assessment Reports},
  author = { Jiang D. and Tian Z. and Lang X. },
  journal = {International Journal of Climatology},
  volume = {36},
  pages = {1114-1133},
},
@article{Sui Y.
  title = {Temperature and precipitation signals over China with a 2°C global warming},
  author = { Sui Y. and Lang X. and Jiang D. },
  journal = {Climate Research},
  volume = {64},
  pages = {227-242},
},
@article{Gong H.
  title = {Diverse Influences of ENSO on the East Asian%u2013Western Pacific Winter Climate Tied to Different ENSO Properties in CMIP5 Models},
  author = { Gong H. and Wang L. and Chen W. and Nath D. and Huang G. and Tao W. },
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00405.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {28},
  pages = {2187-2202},
},
@article{Wild M.
  title = {The energy balance over land and oceans: An assessment based on direct observations and CMIP5 climate models},
  author = { Wild M. and Folini D. and Hakuba M. and Schär C. and Seneviratne S. and Kato S. and Rutan D. and Ammann C. and Wood E. and König-Langlo G. },
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-014-2430-z},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {44},
  pages = {3393-3429},
},
@article{Belleflamme A.
  title = {Do global warming-induced circulation pattern changes affect temperature and precipitation over Europe during summer?},
  author = { Belleflamme A. and Fettweis X. and Erpicum M. },
  journal = {International Journal of Climatology},
  volume = {35},
  pages = {1484-1499},
},
@article{Zappa G.
  title = {The dependence of wintertime Mediterranean precipitation on the atmospheric circulation response to climate change},
  author = { Zappa G. and Hoskins B. J. and Shepherd T. G. },
  journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
  volume = {10},
},
@article{Dowdy A. J.
  title = {Rainfall in Australia%u2019s eastern seaboard: a review of confidence in projections based on observations and physical processes},
  author = { Dowdy A. J. and Grose M. R. and Timbal B. and Moise A. and Ekström M. and Bhend J. and Wilson L. },
  journal = {Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Journal},
  volume = {65},
  pages = {107-126},
},
@article{DeAngelis A. M.
  title = {An observational radiative constraint on hydrologic cycle intensification},
  author = { DeAngelis A. M. and Qu X. and Zelinka M. D. and Hall A. },
  url = {http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v528/n7581/full/nature15770.html},
  journal = {Nature},
  volume = {528},
  pages = {249-253},
},
@article{Fläschner D.
  title = {Understanding the inter-model spread in global-mean hydrological sensitivity},
  author = { Fläschner D. and Mauritsen T. and Stevens B. },
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
},
@article{Fläschner D.
  title = {Understanding the inter-model spread in global-mean hydrological sensitivity},
  author = { Fläschner D. and Mauritsen T. and Stevens B. },
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
},
@article{Sylla M. B.
  title = {Projected robust shift of climate zones over West Africa in response to anthropogenic climate change for the late 21st century},
  author = { Sylla M. B. and Elguindi N. and Giorgi F. and Wisser D. },
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-015-1522-z},
  journal = {Climatic Change},
},
@article{Melet A. V.
  title = {Explaining the Spread in Global Mean Thermosteric Sea Level Rise in CMIP5 Climate Models},
  author = { Melet A. V. and Meyssignac B. },
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
},
@article{Melet A. V.
  title = {Explaining the Spread in Global Mean Thermosteric Sea Level Rise in CMIP5 Climate Models},
  author = { Melet A. V. and Meyssignac B. },
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
},
@article{Melet A. V.
  title = {Explaining the Spread in Global Mean Thermosteric Sea Level Rise in CMIP5 Climate Models},
  author = { Melet A. V. and Meyssignac B. },
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
},
@article{Boisier J.
  title = {Anthropogenic and natural contributions to the Southeast Pacific precipitation decline and recent megadrought in central Chile},
  author = { Boisier J. and Rondanelli R. and Garreaud R. and Muñoz F. },
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL067265/full},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
},
@article{Boisier J.
  title = {Projected strengthening of Amazonian dry season by constrained climate model simulations},
  author = { Boisier J. and Ciais P. and Ducharne A. and Guimberteau M. },
  url = {http://http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/v5/n7/full/nclimate2658.html},
  journal = {Nature Climate Change},
  volume = {5},
  pages = {656-660},
},
@article{Fueglistaler S.
  title = {The distribution of precipitation and the spread in tropical upper tropospheric temperature trends in CMIP5/AMIP simulations},
  author = { Fueglistaler S. and Radley C. and Held I. M. },
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL064966/full},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {42},
  pages = {6000-6007},
},
@article{Fueglistaler S.
  title = {The distribution of precipitation and the spread in tropical upper tropospheric temperature trends in CMIP5/AMIP simulations},
  author = { Fueglistaler S. and Radley C. and Held I. M. },
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL064966/full},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {42},
  pages = {6000-6007},
},
@article{Abramowitz G.
  title = {Climate Model Dependence and the Ensemble Dependence Transformation of CMIP Projections},
  author = { Abramowitz G. and Bishop C. H. },
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00364.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {28},
  pages = {2332-2348},
},
@article{Agosta C.
  title = {Evaluation of the CMIP5 models in the aim of regional modelling of the Antarctic surface mass balance},
  author = { Agosta C. and Fettweis X. and Datta R. },
  url = {http://www.the-cryosphere-discuss.net/9/3113/2015/},
  journal = {The Cryosphere Discussions},
  volume = {9},
  pages = {3113-3136},
},
@article{Reyers M.
  title = {Future changes of wind energy potentials over Europe in a large CMIP5 multi-model ensemble},
  author = { Reyers M. and Moemken J. and Pinto J. G. },
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/joc.4382/abstract},
  journal = {International Journal of Climatology},
},
@article{C B J.
  title = {Robust signals of future projections of Indian summer monsoon rainfall by IPCC AR5 climate models: Role of seasonal cycle and interannual variability},
  author = { C B J. and Surendran S. and Rajendran K. },
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL063659/full},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {42},
  pages = {3513-3520},
},
@article{Zappa G.
  title = {Improving climate change detection through optimal seasonal averaging: the case of the North Atlantic jet and European precipitation},
  author = { Zappa G. and Hoskins B. J. and Shepherd T. G. },
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
},
@article{Chang E. K.
  title = {Significant Modulation of Variability and Projected Change in California Winter Precipitation by Extratropical Cyclone Acitivity},
  author = { Chang E. K. and Zheng C. and Lanigan P. and Yau A. M. and Neelin J. D. },
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
},
@article{Durack P. J.
  title = {Long-term sea-level change revisited: the role of salinity},
  author = { Durack P. J. and Wijffels S. E. and Gleckler P. J. },
  url = {http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/9/11/114017/},
  journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
  volume = {9},
  pages = {---},
},
@article{Nasrollahi N.
  title = {How Well Do CMIP5 Climate Simulations Replicate Historical Trends and Patterns of Meteorological Droughts?},
  author = { Nasrollahi N. and AghaKouchak A. and Cheng L. and Damberg L. and Phillips T. and Miao C. and Hsu K. and Sorooshian S. },
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014WR016318/full},
  journal = {Water Resources Research},
  volume = { 51},
  pages = {2847-2864},
},
@article{Cheng L.
  title = {Non-stationary Return Levels of CMIP5 Multi-Model Temperature Extremes},
  author = { Cheng L. and AghaKouchak A. and Phillips T. },
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-015-2625-y},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {44},
  pages = {2947-2963},
},
@article{Lee Y.
  title = {The Structure and Dynamics of the Stratospheric Northern Annular Mode in CMIP5 Simulations},
  author = { Lee Y. and Black R. X. },
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
},
@article{Shuai-Lei Y.
  title = {INHOMOGENEOUS warming of the Tropical Indian Ocean in the CMIP5 model simulations during 1900-2005 and associated mechanisms},
  author = { Shuai-Lei Y. and Gang H. and Renguang W. and Xia Q. and Dong C. },
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
},
@article{Zaehle S.
  title = {Nitrogen availability reduces CMIP5 projections of 21st century land carbon uptake},
  author = { Zaehle S. and Jones C. D. and Houlton B. Z. and Lamarque J. and Robertson E. },
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {28},
  pages = {2494-2511},
},
@article{Economou T.
  title = {Serial clustering of extratropical cyclones in a multi-model ensemble of historical and future simulations},
  author = { Economou T. and Stephenson D. B. and Pinto J. G. and Shaffrey L. C. and Zappa G. },
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/qj.2591/abstract;jsessionid=EAFF0F98AAC6DD4B995F78DF54810F32.f01t01},
  journal = {Quarterly Journal Royal Meteorological Society},
},
@article{Guo F.
  title = {Three types of Indian Ocean Dipoles},
  author = { Guo F. and Liu Q. and Sun S. },
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {28},
  pages = {3073-3092},
},
@article{Asadieh B.
  title = {Global trends in extreme precipitation: climate models versus observations },
  author = { Asadieh B. and Krakauer N. Y. },
  url = {http://http://www.hydrol-earth-syst-sci.net/19/877/2015/hess-19-877-2015.html},
  journal = {Hydrology and Earth System Sciences},
  volume = {19},
  pages = {877-891},
},
@article{Scheff J.
  title = {Terrestrial aridity and its response to greenhouse warming across CMIP5 climate models},
  author = { Scheff J. and Frierson D. M. },
  url = {http://www.ldeo.columbia.edu/~jscheff/SF2014Aridity_EOR.pdf},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
},
@article{Cabre A.
  title = {Oxygen minimum zones in the tropical Pacific across CMIP5 models: mean state differences and climate change trends},
  author = { Cabre A. and Marinov I. and Bernardello R. },
  url = {http://www.biogeosciences-discuss.net/12/8157/2015/bgd-12-8157-2015.html},
  journal = {Biogeosciences Discussions},
  volume = {12},
  pages = {6525-6587},
},
@article{Leung S.
  title = {A latitudinally-banded phytoplankton response to 21st century climate change in the Southern Ocean across the CMIP5 model suite},
  author = { Leung S. and Cabre A. and Marinov I. },
  url = {http://www.biogeosciences-discuss.net/12/8157/2015/bgd-12-8157-2015.html},
  journal = {Biogeosciences Discussions},
  volume = {12},
  pages = {8157-8197},
},
@article{Tabari H.
  title = {Water availability change in central Belgium for the late 21st century},
  author = { Tabari H. and Teferi Taye M. and Willems P. },
  url = {http://ac.els-cdn.com/S0921818115001095/1-s2.0-S0921818115001095-main.pdf?_tid=8870216a-1985-11e5-97db-00000aab0f02&acdnat=1435049881_8afe47599c8ba7bdae2dbf1bd6600e52},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {131},
},
@article{Wang W.
  title = {Statistical modeling and CMIP5 simulations of hot spell changes in China},
  author = { Wang W. and Zhou W. and Li Y. and Wang X. and Wang D. },
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-014-2287-1},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {44},
  pages = {2859-2872},
},
@article{Paek H.
  title = {A Source of AGCM Bias in Simulating the Western Pacific Subtropical High: Different Sensitivities to the Two Types of ENSO},
  author = { Paek H. and Yu J. and Hwu J. and Lu M. and Gao T. },
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/MWR-D-14-00401.1},
  journal = {Monthly Weather Review},
  volume = {143},
  pages = {2348-2362},
},
@article{Smith S. J.
  title = {Near-term acceleration in the rate of temperature change},
  author = { Smith S. J. and Edmonds J. A. and Hartin C. A. and Mundra A. and Calvin K. },
  url = {http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/v5/n4/full/nclimate2552.html},
  journal = {Nature Climate Change},
  volume = {5},
  pages = {333-336},
},
@article{Schwalm C. R.
  title = {Reduction in carbon uptake during turn of the century drought in western North America},
  author = { Schwalm C. R. and Williams C. A. and Schaefer K. and Baldocchi D. and Black T. and Goldstein A. H. and Beverly L. E. and Oechel W. C. and Paw U K. and Scott R. L. },
  journal = {Nature Geoscience},
},
@article{Schnorbus M. A.
  title = {Statistical emulation of streamflow projections from a distributed hydrological model: Application to CMIP3 and CMIP5 climate projections for British Columbia, Canada},
  author = { Schnorbus M. A. and Cannon A. J. },
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014WR015279/abstract},
  journal = {Water Resources Research},
  volume = {50},
  pages = {8907-8926},
},
@article{Lute A. C.
  title = {Projected changes in snowfall extremes and interannual variability of snowfall in the western United States},
  author = { Lute A. C. and Abatzoglou J. T. and Hegewisch K. C. },
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014WR016267/epdf},
  journal = {Water Resources Research},
  volume = {51},
  pages = {960-972},
},
@article{Niznik M. J.
  title = {The Role of Tropical-Extratropical Interaction and Synoptic Variability in Maintaining the South Pacific Convergence Zone in CMIP5 Models},
  author = { Niznik M. J. and Lintner B. R. and Matthews A. J. and Widlansky M. J. },
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {28},
  pages = {3353-3374},
},
@article{Steinman B. A.
  title = {Atlantic and Pacific multidecadal oscillations and Northern Hemisphere temperatures},
  author = { Steinman B. A. and Mann M. E. and Miller S. K. },
  journal = {Science},
  volume = {347},
  pages = {988-991},
},
@article{Gulizia C.
  title = {Comparative analysis of the ability of a set of CMIP3 and CMIP5 global climate models to represent precipitation in South America},
  author = { Gulizia C. and Camilloni I. },
  journal = {International Journal of Climatology},
  volume = {35},
  pages = {583-595},
},
@article{Ito T.
  title = {Sustained growth of the Southern Ocean carbon storage in a warming climate},
  author = { Ito T. and Bracco A. and Deutsch C. and Frenzel H. and Long M. and Takano Y. },
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
},
@article{Wang X. L.
  title = {Climate change signal and uncertainty in CMIP5-based projections of global ocean surface wave heights},
  author = { Wang X. L. and Feng Y. and Swail V. R. },
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research},
  volume = {120},
  pages = {3859-3871},
},
@article{Wang D.
  title = {Intensification and spatial homogenization of coastal upwelling under climate change},
  author = { Wang D. and Gouhier T. C. and Menge B. A. and Ganguly A. R. },
  url = {http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v518/n7539/full/nature14235.html},
  journal = {Nature},
},
@article{Srivastava A. K.
  title = {Robust Forced Response in South Asian Summer Monsoon in a Future Climate},
  author = { Srivastava A. K. and DelSole T. },
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00599.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
  pages = {7849-7860},
},
@article{Gerber E. P.
  title = {Quantifying the Summertime Response of the Austral Jet Stream and Hadley Cell to Stratospheric Ozone and Greenhouse Gases},
  author = { Gerber E. P. and Son S. W. },
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00539.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
  pages = {5538-5559},
},
@article{Köhl A.
  title = {The impact of regional multidecadal and century-scale internal variability on sea level trends in CMIP5 models},
  author = { Köhl A. and Stammer D. },
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {28},
},
@article{van Oldenborgh G.
  title = {Cold extremes in North America vs. mild weather in Europe: the winter 2013/2014 in the context of a warming world},
  author = { van Oldenborgh G. and Haarsma R. J. and De Vries H. and Allen M. R. },
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/BAMS-D-14-00036.1},
  journal = {Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society},
},
@article{Palazzi E.
  title = {Precipitation in the Karakoram-Himalaya: a CMIP5 view},
  author = { Palazzi E. and von Hardenberg J. and Terzago S. and Provenzale A. },
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {45},
  pages = {21-45},
},
@article{Yi S.
  title = { Impacts of External Forcing on the Decadal Climate Variability in CMIP5 Simulations},
  author = { Yi S. and Yongqiang Y. },
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
},
@article{Beaugrand G.
  title = {Future vulnerability of marine biodiversity compared with contemporary and past changes},
  author = { Beaugrand G. and Edwards M. and Raybaud V. and Goberville E. and Kirby R. R. },
  url = {http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/vaop/ncurrent/full/nclimate2650.html},
  journal = {Nature Climate Change},
},
@article{Bolin D.
  title = {Statistical prediction of global sea level from global temperature},
  author = { Bolin D. and Guttorp P. and Januzzi A. and Jones D. and Nowak M. and Podschwit H. and Richardson L. and Särkkä A. and Sowder C. and Zimmerman A. },
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {25},
  pages = {351-357},
},
@article{Plotka H.
  title = {Physics of changes in synoptic midlatitude temperature variability},
  author = { Plotka H. },
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00632.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {28},
  pages = {2312-2331},
},
@article{Frölicher T. L.
  title = {Dominance of the Southern Ocean in Anthropogenic Carbon and Heat Uptake in CMIP5 Models},
  author = { Frölicher T. L. and Sarmiento J. L. and Paynter D. J. and Dunne J. P. and Krasting J. P. and Winton M. },
  url = {http://http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00117.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {28},
  pages = {862-886},
},
@article{Haughton N.
  title = {Weighting climate model ensembles for mean and variance estimates},
  author = { Haughton N. and Abramowitz G. and Pitman A. J. and Phipps S. J. },
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-015-2531-3},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
},
@article{Heuz C.
  title = {Changes in global ocean bottom properties and volume transports in CMIP5 models under climate change scenarios},
  author = { Heuz C. and Heywood K. J. and Stevens D. P. and Ridley J. K. },
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/full/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00381.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {28},
  pages = {2917-2944},
},
@article{Donohoe
  title = {Shortwave and longwave radiative contributions to global warming under increasing CO 2},
  author = { Donohoe, Aaron and Armour, Kyle C. and Pendergrass, Angeline G. and Battisti, David S. },
  url = {http://www.pnas.org/content/111/47/16700},
  journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences},
  volume = {111},
  pages = {16700-16705},
},
@article{Pendergrass
  title = {Changes in the Distribution of Rain Frequency and Intensity in Response to Global Warming*},
  author = { Pendergrass, Angeline G. and Hartmann, Dennis L. },
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00183.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
  pages = {8372-8383},
},
@article{Pendergrass
  title = {Two Modes of Change of the Distribution of Rain},
  author = { Pendergrass, Angeline G. and Hartmann, Dennis L. },
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00182.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
  pages = {8357-8371},
},
@article{Todd-Brown
  title = {Changes in soil organic carbon storage predicted by Earth system models during the 21st century},
  author = { Todd-Brown, K. E. O. and Randerson, J. T. and Hopkins, F. and Arora, V. and Hajima, T. and Jones, C. and Shevliakova, E. and Tjiputra, J. and Volodin, E. and Wu, T. and Zhang, Q. and Allison, S. D. },
  url = {http://www.biogeosciences.net/11/2341/2014/},
  journal = {Biogeosciences},
  volume = {11},
  pages = {2341-2356},
},
@article{Luomaranta
  title = {Multimodel estimates of the changes in the Baltic Sea ice cover during the present century},
  author = { Luomaranta, Anna and Ruosteenoja, Kimmo and Jylhä, Kirsti and Gregow, Hilppa and Haapala, Jari and Laaksonen, Ari },
  url = {http://www.tellusa.net/index.php/tellusa/article/view/22617},
  journal = {Tellus},
  volume = {66},
},
@article{Bracegirdle T. J.
  title = {Sources of uncertainty in projections of twenty-first century westerly wind changes over the Amundsen Sea, West Antarctica, in CMIP5 climate models},
  author = { Bracegirdle T. J. and Turner J. and Hosking J. S. and Phillips T. },
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-013-2032-1},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
},
@article{Cattiaux J.
  title = {Projected increase in diurnal and inter-diurnal variations of European summer temperatures},
  author = { Cattiaux J. and Douville H. and Schoetter R. and Parey S. and Yiou P. },
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
},
@article{Zappa G.
  title = {Linking Northern Hemisphere blocking and storm track biases in the CMIP5 climate models},
  author = { Zappa G. and Masato G. and Shaffrey L. and Woollings T. and Hodges K. },
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
},
@article{Ceppi P.
  title = {The response of the Southern Hemispheric eddy-driven jet to future changes in shortwave radiation in CMIP5},
  author = { Ceppi P. and Zelinka M. D. and Hartmann D. L. },
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014GL060043/abstract},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {41},
  pages = {3244-3250},
},
@article{Ma Q.
  title = {Evaluations of Atmospheric Downward Longwave Radiation from 44 Coupled General Circulation Models of CMIP5},
  author = { Ma Q. and Wang K. and Wild M. },
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013JD021427/abstract},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {119},
  pages = {4486-4497},
},
@article{Wang K.
  title = {Measurement Biases Explain Discrepancies between the Observed and Simulated Decadal Variability of Surface Incident Solar Radiation},
  author = { Wang K. },
  url = {http://www.nature.com/srep/2014/140821/srep06144/full/srep06144.html},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {4},
},
@article{Chadwick R. S.
  title = {Surface warming patterns drive tropical rainfall pattern responses to CO2 forcing on all timescales},
  author = { Chadwick R. S. and Good P. and Andrews T. and Martin G. },
  url = {http://http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013GL058504/abstract},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {41},
},
@article{Bathols J.
  title = {What influences the skill of climate models over the continents?},
  author = { Bathols J. and Heady C. and Watterson I. G. },
  journal = {Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society},
  volume = {95},
  pages = {689-700},
},
@article{Taschetto A. S.
  title = {Cold tongue and warm pool ENSO events in CMIP5: mean state and future projections},
  author = { Taschetto A. S. and Sen Gupta A. and Jourdain N. C. and Santoso A. and Ummenhofer C. C. and England M. H. },
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
  pages = {2861-2885},
},
@article{Chang E. K.
  title = {Impacts of background field removal on CMIP5 projected changes in Pacific winter cyclone activity},
  author = { Chang E. K. },
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {119},
  pages = {4626-4639},
},
@article{Sperber K. R.
  title = {The Use of Fractional Accumulated Precipitation for the Evaluation of the Annual Cycle of Monsoons},
  author = { Sperber K. R. and Annamalai H. },
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-014-2099-3},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
},
@article{Mortin J.
  title = {Evaluation of pan-Arctic melt-freeze onset in CMIP5 climate models and reanalyses using surface observations},
  author = { Mortin J. and Graversen R. G. and Svensson G. },
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-013-1811-z},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {42},
  pages = {2239-2257},
},
@article{Kamae Y.
  title = {Summertime land-sea thermal contrast and atmospheric circulation over East Asia in a warming climate. Part I: Past changes and future projections},
  author = { Kamae Y. and Watanabe M. and Kimoto M. and Shiogama H. },
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {43},
  pages = {2553-2568},
},
@article{Kamae Y.
  title = {Attributing the increase in Northern Hemisphere hot summers since the late 20th century},
  author = { Kamae Y. and Shiogama H. and Watanabe M. and Kimoto M. },
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {41},
  pages = {5192-5199},
},
@article{Wjcik R.
  title = {Reliability of the CMIP5 GCM simulations in reproducing atmospheric circulation over Europe and the North Atlantic: a statistical downscaling perspective},
  author = { Wjcik R. },
  journal = {International Journal of Climatology},
},
@article{Slangen A. B.
  title = {Projecting twenty-first century regional sea-level changes},
  author = { Slangen A. B. and Katsman C. A. and Carson M. and van de Wal R. S. and Köhl A. and Vermeersen L. L. and Stammer D. },
  url = {http://http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-014-1080-9},
  journal = {Climatic Change},
  volume = {124},
  pages = {317-332},
},
@article{Naveau P.
  title = {Projections of global changes in precipitation extremes from Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 models},
  author = { Naveau P. and Zampieri M. and Schindler A. and Scoccimarro E. and Xoplaki E. and Dijkstra H. A. and Gualdi S. and Luterbacher J. },
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {40},
  pages = {4887-4892},
},
@article{Arnell N. W.
  title = {The global-scale impacts of climate change on water resources and flooding under new climate and socio-economic scenarios},
  author = { Arnell N. W. and Lloyd-Hughes B. },
  journal = {Climatic Change},
  volume = {122},
  pages = {127-140},
},
@article{Sherwood S. C.
  title = {Spread in model climate sensitivity traced to atmospheric convective mixing},
  author = { Sherwood S. C. and Bony S. and Dufresne J. },
  journal = {Nature},
  volume = {505},
  pages = {37-42},
},
@article{Zou Y.
  title = {CMIP5 model simulations of the impacts of the two types of El Niño on the U.S. winter temperature},
  author = { Zou Y. and Yu J. and Lee T. and Lu M. and Kim S. },
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013JD021064/abstract},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {119},
  pages = {3076-3092},
},
@article{Poulter B.
  title = {Contribution of semi-arid ecosystems to interannual variability of the global carbon cycle},
  author = { Poulter B. and Frank D. and Ciais P. and Myneni R. B. and Andela N. and Bi J. and Broquet G. and Canadell J. G. and Chevallier F. and Liu Y. Y. and Running S. W. and SItch S. and van der Werf G. R. },
  url = {http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v509/n7502/full/nature13376.html},
  journal = {Nature},
  volume = {509},
  pages = {600-603},
},
@article{Dowdy A. J.
  title = {Fewer large waves projected for eastern Australia due to decreasing storminess},
  author = { Dowdy A. J. and Mills G. A. and Timbal B. and Wang Y. },
  url = {http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/v4/n4/full/nclimate2142.html},
  journal = {Nature Climate Change},
  volume = {4},
  pages = {283-286},
},
@article{Kim S.
  title = {ENSO Stability in Coupled Climate Models and its Association with Mean State},
  author = { Kim S. and Cai W. and Jin F. and Yu J. },
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {42},
  pages = {3313-3321},
},
@article{King A. D.
  title = {The ENSO-Australian rainfall teleconnection in reanalysis and CMIP5},
  author = { King A. D. and Donat M. G. and Alexander L. V. and Karoly D. J. },
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-014-2159-8},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
},
@article{Haughton N.
  title = {On the generation of climate model ensembles},
  author = { Haughton N. and Abramowitz G. and Pitman A. and Phipps S. J. },
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-014-2054-3},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
},
@article{Wang F.
  title = {Radiation budget biases in AMIP5 models over the East Asian monsoon region},
  author = { Wang F. and Yang S. and Wu T. },
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
},
@article{Gao Y.
  title = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  author = { Gao Y. and Leung L. and Lu J. and Liu Y. and Huang M. and Qian Y. },
  url = {http://http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014GL059562/abstract},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {41},
  pages = {1745-1751},
},
@article{Cai W.
  title = {Did Climate Change%u2013Induced Rainfall Trends Contribute to the Australian Millennium Drought?},
  author = { Cai W. and Purich A. and Cowan T. and van Rensch P. and Weller E. },
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
  pages = {3145-3168},
},
@article{Xu K.
  title = {The natural oscillation of two types of ENSO events based on analyses of CMIP5 model control runs},
  author = { Xu K. and Su J. and Zhu C. },
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00376-013-3153-5},
  journal = {Advances in Atmospheric Sciences},
  volume = {31},
  pages = {801-813},
},
@article{Ramesh K. V.
  title = {Assessing reliability of regional climate projections: the case of Indian monsoon},
  author = { Ramesh K. V. },
  url = {http://www.nature.com/srep/2014/140212/srep04071/full/srep04071.html},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {4},
  pages = {1-9},
},
@article{Lutz A. F.
  title = {Consistent increase in High Asia%u2019s runoff due to increasing glacier melt and precipitation},
  author = { Lutz A. F. and Immerzeel W. W. and Shrestha A. B. and Bierkens M. F. },
  url = {http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/v4/n7/full/nclimate2237.html},
  journal = {Nature Climate Change},
  volume = {4},
  pages = {587-592},
},
@article{Long S.
  title = {Fast and Slow Responses to Global Warming: Sea Surface Temperature and Precipitation Patterns},
  author = { Long S. and Xie S. and Zheng X. and Liu Q. },
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
  pages = {285-299},
},
@article{Feng X.
  title = {Changes in significant and maximum wave heights in the Norwegian Sea},
  author = { Feng X. and Tsimplis M. N. and Yelland M. J. and Quartly G. D. },
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {113},
  pages = {58-76},
},
@article{Mitchell D. M.
  title = {Solar Signals in CMIP-5 Simulations: The Stratospheric Pathway},
  author = { Mitchell D. M. and Misios S. and Gray L. and Tourpali K. and Matthes K. and Hood L. and Schmidt H. and Chiodo G. and Thieblemont R. and Rozanov E. and Shindell D. and Krivolutsky A. },
  journal = {Quarterly Journal Royal Meteorological Society},
},
@conference{Belda M.
  title = {On the integrated climate assessment using climate classification},
  author = { Belda M. and Halenka T. and Kalvova J. and Holtanova E. },
  year = {2014},
},
@article{Laeppe T.
  title = {Global and regional variability in marine surface temperatures},
  author = { Laeppe T. },
  url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2014GL059345},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
},
@article{Hartmann D. L.
  title = {Trends in the CERES data set 2000-2013: The effects of ice melt and jet shifts and comparison to climate models},
  author = { Hartmann D. L. and Ceppi P. },
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00411.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
  pages = {2444-2456},
},
@article{Meehl G. A.
  title = {Decadal Climate Prediction: An Update from the Trenches},
  author = { Meehl G. A. and co-authors a. },
  journal = {Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society},
  volume = {95},
  pages = {243-267},
},
@article{England M. H.
  title = {Recent intensification of wind-driven circulation in the Pacific and the ongoing warming hiatus},
  author = { England M. H. and co-authors a. },
  journal = {Nature Climate Change},
  volume = {4},
  pages = {222-227},
},
@article{Wuebbles D.
  title = {CMIP5 climate model analyses: Climate extremes in the United States},
  author = { Wuebbles D. and co-authors a. },
  journal = {Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society},
  volume = {95},
  pages = {571-583},
},
@article{Meehl G. A.
  title = {CMIP5 multi-model initialized decadal hindcasts for the mid-1970s shift and early-2000s hiatus and predictions for 2016-2035},
  author = { Meehl G. A. and Teng H. },
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
},
@article{Li G.
  title = {Tropical Biases in CMIP5 Multimodel Ensemble: The Excessive Equatorial Pacific Cold Tongue and Double ITCZ Problems},
  author = { Li G. and Xie S. },
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
  pages = {1765-1780},
},
@article{Richter I.
  title = {Equatorial Atlantic variability and its relation to mean state biases in CMIP5},
  author = { Richter I. and Xie S. and Behera S. K. and Doi T. and Masumoto Y. },
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {42},
  pages = {171-188},
},
@article{Elguindi N.
  title = {Assessment of CMIP5 global model simulations and climate change projections for the 21 st century using a modified Thornthwaite climate classification},
  author = { Elguindi N. and Grundstein A. and Bernardes S. and Turuncoglu U. and Feddema J. },
  journal = {Climatic Change},
  volume = {122},
  pages = {523-538},
},
@article{de Lavergne C.
  title = {Cessation of deep convection in the open Southern Ocean under anthropogenic climate change},
  author = { de Lavergne C. and Palter J. B. and Galbraith E. D. and Bernardello R. and Marinov I. },
  url = {http://http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/v4/n4/full/nclimate2132.html},
  journal = {Nature Climate Change},
  volume = {4},
  pages = {278-282},
},
@article{Stroeve J. C.
  title = {Using Combined Records of IceBridge and Satellite-Derived Thickness and Extent to Constrain Future Projections of Arctic Sea Ice},
  author = { Stroeve J. C. and Barrett A. and Schweiger A. and Serreze M. },
  url = {http://www.the-cryosphere-discuss.net/8/2179/2014/tcd-8-2179-2014-discussion.html},
  journal = {The Cryosphere Discussions},
},
@article{Petkova E. P.
  title = {Projected Heat-Related Mortality in the U.S. Urban Northeast},
  author = { Petkova E. P. and Horton R. M. and Bader D. A. },
  url = {http://www.mdpi.com/1660-4601/10/12/6734},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {10},
  pages = {6734-6747},
},
@article{Bodas-Salcedo A.
  title = {Origins of the solar radiation biases over the Southern Ocean in CFMIP2 models},
  author = { Bodas-Salcedo A. and Williams K. D. and Ringer M. A. and Beau I. and Cole J. N. and Dufresne J. L. and Koshiro T. and Stevens B. and Wang Z. and Yokohata T. },
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
  pages = {41-56},
},
@article{Dolinar E. K.
  title = {Evaluation of CMIP5 Simulated Clouds and TOA Radiation Budgets Using NASA Satellite Observations},
  author = { Dolinar E. K. and Dong X. and Xi B. and Jiang J. H. and Su H. },
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
},
@article{Baker N. C.
  title = {A Comparative Study of Precipitation and Evaporation between CMIP3 and CMIP5 Climate Model Ensembles in Semiarid Regions},
  author = { Baker N. C. and Huang H. },
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/pdf/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00398.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
  pages = {3731-3749},
},
@article{Lin J.
  title = {Stratocumulus clouds in southeastern Pacific simulated by eight CMIP5/CFMIP global climate models},
  author = { Lin J. and Qian T. and Shinoda T. },
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
  pages = {3000-3022},
},
@article{Maloney E. D.
  title = {North American climate in CMIP5 experiments: Part III: Assessment of 21st century projections. },
  author = { Maloney E. D. and Camargo S. J. and Chang E. and Colle B. and Fu R. and Geil K. and Hu Q. and Jiang X. and Johnson N. and Karnauskas K. B. and Kinter J. and Kirtman B. and Kumar S. and Langenbrunner B. and Lombardo K. and Long L. and Mariotti A. and Meyerson J. and Mo K. and Neelin J. D. and Pan Z. and Seager R. and Serra Y. and Seth A. and Sheffield J. and Stroeve J. and Thibeault J. and Xie S. and Wang C. and Wyman B. and Zhao M. },
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
  pages = {2230-2270},
},
@article{Marcos M.
  title = {Quantifying anthropogenic and natural contributions to thermosteric sea level rise},
  author = { Marcos M. and Amores A. },
  url = {http://http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014GL059766/abstract},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {41},
  pages = {2502-2507},
},
@article{Wang X. L.
  title = {Changes in global ocean wave heights as projected using multimodel CMIP5 simulations},
  author = { Wang X. L. and Feng Y. and Swail V. R. },
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {41},
  pages = {1026-1034},
},
@article{Van den Hurk B. J.
  title = { Drivers of mean climate change around the Netherlands derived from CMIP5},
  author = { Van den Hurk B. J. and Van Oldenborgh G. J. and Lenderink G. and Hazeleger W. and Haarsma R. J. and De Vries H. },
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {42},
  pages = {1683-1697},
},
@article{Hao Z.
  title = {Changes in Concurrent Monthly Precipitation and Temperature Extremes},
  author = { Hao Z. and AghaKouchak A. and Phillips T. J. },
  url = {http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/8/3/034014/},
  journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
  volume = {8},
},
@article{Sabeerali C. T.
  title = {Why ensemble mean projection of South Asian Monsoon rainfall by CMIP5 models is not reliable?},
  author = { Sabeerali C. T. and Rao S. A. and Dhakate A. R. and Salunke K. and Goswami B. N. },
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-014-2269-3},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
},
@article{Sandeep S.
  title = {Poleward shift in Indian summer monsoon low level jetstream under global warming},
  author = { Sandeep S. and Ajayamohan R. },
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-014-2261-y},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
},
@article{Manzini E.
  title = {Northern winter climate change: Assessment of uncertainty in CMIP5 projections related to stratosphere-troposphere coupling},
  author = { Manzini E. and Karpechko A. Y. and Anstey J. and Baldwin M. P. and Black R. X. and Cagnazzo C. and Calvo N. and Charlton-Perez A. and Christiansen B. and Davini P. and Gerber E. and Giorgetta M. and Gray L. and Hardiman S. C. and Lee Y. Y. and Marsh D. R. and McDaniel B. A. and Purich A. and Scaife A. A. and Shindell D. and Son S. W. and Watanabe S. and Zappa G. },
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013JD021403/abstract},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {119},
  pages = {7979-7998},
},
@article{Akurut M.
  title = {Potential Impacts of Climate Change on Precipitation over Lake Victoria, East Africa, in the 21st Century},
  author = { Akurut M. and Wilems P. and Niwagaba C. B. },
  url = {http://www.mdpi.com/2073-4441/6/9/2634},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {6},
  pages = {2634-2659},
},
@article{Sandeep S.
  title = {Origin of cold bias over the Arabian Sea in Climate Models},
  author = { Sandeep S. and Ajayamohan R. },
  url = {http://www.nature.com/srep/2014/140917/srep06403/full/srep06403.html},
  journal = {Other},
},
@article{Dwyer J. G.
  title = {The Effect of greenhouse gas-induced changes in SST on the annual cycle of zonal mean tropical precipitation},
  author = { Dwyer J. G. and Biasutti M. and Sobel A. H. },
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
},
@article{Rana A.
  title = {Impact of climate change on rainfall over Mumbai using Distribution-based Scaling of Global Climate Model projections},
  author = { Rana A. and Foster K. and Bosshard T. and Olsson J. and Bengtsson L. },
  url = {http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214581814000081},
  journal = {Other},
},
@article{Scoccimarro E.
  title = {Heavy precipitation events over the Euro-Mediterranean region in a warmer climate: results from CMIP5 models},
  author = { Scoccimarro E. and Gualdi S. and Bellucci A. and Zampieri M. },
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10113-014-0712-y },
  journal = {Other},
},
@article{Cheruy f.
  title = {Role of clouds and land-atmosphere coupling in midlatitude continental summer warm biases and climate change amplification in CMIP5 simulations},
  author = { Cheruy f. and Dufresne J. and Hourdin F. },
  url = {http://http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014GL061145/abstract},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {48},
  pages = {6493-6500},
},
@article{King A. D.
  title = {Climate Change turns Australia's 2013 Big Dry into a year of record-breaking heat},
  author = { King A. D. and Karoly D. J. and Donat M. G. and Alexander L. V. },
  url = {http://www.journals.ametsoc.org/doi/pdf/10.1175/1520-0477-95.9.S1.1},
  journal = {Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society},
  volume = {95},
  pages = {S41-S45},
},
@article{Hourdin F.
  title = {LMDZ5B: the atmospheric component of the IPSL climate model with revisited parameterizations for clouds and convection},
  author = { Hourdin F. and Grandpeix J. and Rio C. and Bony S. and Jam A. and Cheruy f. and Rochetin N. and Fairhead L. and Idelkadi A. and Musat I. and Dufresne J. and lahellec a. and Lefebvre M. and Roehrig R. },
  url = {http://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007%2Fs00382-012-1343-y.pdf},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {40},
  pages = {2193-2222},
},
@article{Guttorp P.
  title = {Assessing the uncertainty in projecting local mean sea level from global temperature},
  author = { Guttorp P. and Bolin D. and Januzzi A. and Novak M. and Podschwit H. and Richardson L. and Särkkä A. and Sowder C. and Zimmerman A. },
  journal = {Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology},
  volume = {53},
  pages = {2163-2170},
},
@article{Zscheischler J.
  title = {Carbon cycle extremes during the 21st century in CMIP5 models: Future evolution and attribution to climatic drivers},
  author = { Zscheischler J. and Reichstein M. and von Buttlar J. and Mu M. and Randerson J. T. and Mahecha M. D. },
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/wol1/doi/10.1002/2014GL062409/full},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {41},
  pages = {8853-8861},
},
@article{Sanap S. D.
  title = {Assessment of the aerosol distribution over Indian subcontinent in CMIP5 models},
  author = { Sanap S. D. and Pandithurai G. and Chaudhury A. D. and Niranjan K. },
  url = {http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1352231014000260?np=y},
  journal = {Atmospheric Environment},
  volume = {87},
  pages = {123-127},
},
@article{Manda A.
  title = {Impacts of a warming marginal sea on torrential rainfall organized under the Asian summer monsoon},
  author = { Manda A. and Nakamura H. and Asano N. and Iizuka S. and Miyama T. and Moteki Q. and Yoshioka M. K. and Nishii K. },
  url = {http://www.nature.com/srep/2014/140718/srep05741/full/srep05741.html},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {4},
},
@article{Laine A.
  title = {A diagnostic study of future evaporation changes projected in CMIP5 climate models},
  author = { Laine A. and Nakamura H. and Kazuaki N. and Takafumi M. },
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-014-2087-7#page-1},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {42},
  pages = {2745-2761},
},
@article{Noda A. T.
  title = {Intermodel variances of subtropical stratocumulus environments simulated in CMIP5 models},
  author = { Noda A. T. and Satoh M. },
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014GL061812/abstract},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {41},
},
@article{Keller K. M.
  title = {Time of emergence of trends in ocean biogeochemistry},
  author = { Keller K. M. and Joos F. and Raible C. C. },
  url = {http://www.biogeosciences.net/11/3647/2014/bg-11-3647-2014.pdf},
  journal = {Biogeosciences},
  volume = {11},
  pages = {3647-3659},
},
@article{Young P. J.
  title = {Modeling the climate impact of Southern Hemisphere ozone depletion: The importance of the ozone dataset},
  author = { Young P. J. and Davis S. M. and Hassler B. and Solomon S. and Rosenlof K. H. },
  url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2014GL061738},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {41},
  pages = {9033-9039},
},
@article{Smith R. S.
  title = {The impact of salinity perturbations on the future uptake of heat by the Atlantic Ocean},
  author = { Smith R. S. and Sutton R. and Gregory J. M. },
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014GL062169/abstract},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {41},
  pages = {9072-9079},
},
@article{Jones D. O.
  title = {Global reductions in seafloor biomass in response to climate change},
  author = { Jones D. O. and Yool A. and Wei C. and Henson S. A. and Ruhl H. A. and Watson R. A. and Gehlen M. },
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.12480/full},
  journal = {Global Change Biology},
  volume = {20},
  pages = {1861-1872},
},
@article{Wan H.
  title = {Attributing northern high-latitude precipitation change over the period 1966%u20132005 to human influence},
  author = { Wan H. and Zhang X. and Zwiers F. and Min S. },
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
},
@article{Sun Y.
  title = {Rapid increase in the risk of extreme summer heat in Eastern China},
  author = { Sun Y. and Zhang X. and Zwiers F. and Song L. and Wan H. and Hu T. and Yin H. and Ren G. },
  journal = {Nature Climate Change},
  volume = {4},
  pages = {1082-1085},
},
@article{Wang C.
  title = {A global perspective on CMIP5 climate model biases},
  author = { Wang C. and Zhang L. and Lee S. and Wu L. and Mechoso C. },
  journal = {Nature Climate Change},
  volume = {4},
  pages = {201-205},
},
@article{Wang C.
  title = {A global perspective on CMIP5 climate model biases},
  author = { Wang C. and Zhang L. and Lee S. and Wu L. and Mechoso C. },
  journal = {Nature Climate Change},
  volume = {4},
  pages = {201-205},
},
@article{Lebsock M. D.
  title = {Application of Active Spaceborne Remote Sensing for Understanding Biases Between Passive Cloud Water Path Retrievals},
  author = { Lebsock M. D. and Su H. },
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {119},
  pages = {8962-8979},
},
@article{Endo H.
  title = {Thermodynamic and dynamic effects on regional monsoon rainfall changes in a warmer climate},
  author = { Endo H. and Kitoh A. },
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013GL059158/abstract},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {41},
  pages = {1704-1710},
},
@article{Grise K. M.
  title = {The response of midlatitude jets to increased CO2: Distinguishing the roles of sea surface temperature and direct radiative forcing},
  author = { Grise K. M. and Polvani L. M. },
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {41},
  pages = {6863-6871},
},
@article{Mori M.
  title = {Robust Arctic sea-ice influence on the frequent Eurasian cold winters in past decades},
  author = { Mori M. and Watanabe M. and Shiogama H. and Inoue J. and Kimoto M. },
  url = {http://www.nature.com/ngeo/journal/v7/n12/full/ngeo2277.html},
  journal = {Nature Geoscience},
  volume = {7},
  pages = {869-873},
},
@article{Bintanja R.
  title = {Future increases in Arctic precipitation linked to local evaporation and sea ice retreat},
  author = { Bintanja R. and Selten F. },
  url = {http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v509/n7501/full/nature13259.html},
  journal = {Nature},
  volume = {509},
  pages = {479-482},
},
@article{Cabre A.
  title = {Consistent global responses of marine ecosystems to future climate change across the IPCC AR5 earth system models},
  author = { Cabre A. and Marinov I. and Leung S. },
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-014-2374-3},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
},
@article{Scheff J.
  title = {Scaling Potential Evapotranspiration with Greenhouse Warming},
  author = { Scheff J. and Frierson D. M. },
  url = {http://www.ldeo.columbia.edu/~jscheff/SF2013ScalingPotEvap.pdf},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
  pages = {1539-1558},
},
@article{Saha A.
  title = {Failure of CMIP5 climate models in simulating post-1950 decreasing trend of Indian monsoon},
  author = { Saha A. and Ghosh S. and A.S. S. and Rao E. },
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014GL061573/pdf},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {41},
  pages = {7323-7330},
},
@article{Shashikanth K.
  title = {Comparing statistically downscaled simulations of Indian monsoon at different spatial resolutions},
  author = { Shashikanth K. },
  url = {http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0022169414008373#},
  journal = {Other},
  pages = {3163-3177},
},
@article{Yu M.
  title = {Future changes of the terrestrial ecosystem based on a dynamic vegetation model driven with RCP8.5 climate projections from 19 GCMs},
  author = { Yu M. and Wang G. and Parr D. and Ahmed K. F. },
  journal = {Climatic Change},
  volume = {127},
  pages = {257-271},
},
@article{zhao l.
  title = {Uncertainties of the global-to-regional temperature and precipitation simulations in CMIP5 models for past and future 100 years},
  author = { zhao l. and xu j. and M. Powell Jr. A. },
  journal = {Theoretical and Applied Climatology},
},
@article{Harada M.
  title = {Impacts of Slowed Tropical Circulation on Winter Stationary Waves in East Asia and the North Pacific},
  author = { Harada M. and Wakamatsu S. and Hirahara S. and Murai H. and Oikawa Y. and Maeda S. },
  url = {http://doi.org/10.2151/sola.2014-038},
  journal = {SOLA},
  volume = {10},
  pages = {180-184},
},
@article{Durack P. J.
  title = {Quantifying underestimates of long-term upper-ocean warming},
  author = { Durack P. J. and Gleckler P. J. and Landerer F. W. and Taylor K. E. },
  url = {http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/v4/n11/abs/nclimate2389.html},
  journal = {Nature Climate Change},
  volume = {4},
  pages = {999-1005},
},
@article{Wu Q.
  title = {Interannual Variability and Long-Term Changes of Atmospheric Circulation over the Chukchi and Beaufort Seas },
  author = { Wu Q. and Zhang J. and Zhang X. and Tao W. },
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/pdf/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00610.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
  pages = {4871-4889},
},
@article{Ohba M.
  title = {Statistical parameterization expressing ENSO variability and reversibility in response to CO2 concentration changes},
  author = { Ohba M. and Tsutsui J. and Nohara D. },
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
  pages = {398-410},
},
@article{Westby R. M.
  title = {Anomalous Temperature Regimes during the Cool Season: Long-Term Trends, Low-Frequency Mode Modulation, and Representation in CMIP5 Simulations},
  author = { Westby R. M. and Lee Y. and Black R. X. },
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
},
@article{Anav A.
  title = {EVALUATING THE LAND AND OCEAN COMPONENTS OF THE GLOBAL CARBON CYCLE IN THE CMIP5 EARTH SYSTEM MODELS},
  author = { Anav A. and Friedlingstein P. and Kidston M. and Bopp L. and Ciais P. and Cox P. and Jones C. and Jung M. and Myneni R. and Zhu Z. },
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
},
@article{Paek H.
  title = {Centennial trend and decadal-to-interdecadal variability of atmospheric angular momentum in CMIP3 and CMIP5 simulations},
  author = { Paek H. and Huang H. },
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00515.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {26},
  pages = {3846-3864},
},
@article{Wilcox L. J.
  title = {The influence of anthropogenic aerosol on multi-decadal variations of historical global climate},
  author = { Wilcox L. J. and Highwood E. J. and Dunstone N. J. },
  url = {http://stacks.iop.org/1748-9326/8/024033},
  journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
  volume = {8},
},
@article{He Z.
  title = {Seasonality of interannual atmosphere%u2013ocean interaction in the South China Sea},
  author = { He Z. and Wu R. },
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {69},
  pages = {699-712},
},
@article{Cattiaux J.
  title = {European temperatures in CMIP5: origins of present-day biases and future uncertainties},
  author = { Cattiaux J. and Douville H. and Peings Y. },
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
},
@article{Brown J. N.
  title = {Zonal Structure and Variability of the western Pacific Warm Pool edge in CMIP5},
  author = { Brown J. N. and Langlais C. and Maes C. },
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
},
@article{Chavaillaz Y.
  title = {Southern westerlies in LGM and future (RCP4.5) climates},
  author = { Chavaillaz Y. and Codron F. and KAGEYAMA M. },
  url = {http://www.clim-past.net/9/517/2013/cp-9-517-2013.pdf},
  journal = {Climate of the Past},
  volume = {9},
  pages = {517-524},
},
@article{Wild M.
  title = {The global energy balance from a surface perspective},
  author = { Wild M. and Folini D. and Schär C. and Loeb N. and Dutton E. G. and König-Langlo G. },
  url = {http://www.iac.ethz.ch/people/wild/Wild_et_al_ClimDyn_2013.pdf},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {40},
  pages = {3107-3134},
},
@article{Song Y.
  title = {Water vapor transport and cross-equatorial flow over the Asian-Australia monsoon region simulated by CMIP5 climate models},
  author = { Song Y. and Qiao F. and Song Z. and Jiang C. },
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00376-012-2148-y},
  journal = {Advances in Atmospheric Sciences},
  volume = {30},
  pages = {726-738},
},
@article{Ribes A.
  title = {Application of regularised optimal fingerprinting to attribution. Part I: method, properties, and idealised analysis},
  author = { Ribes A. and Planton S. and Terray L. },
  url = {http://http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-013-1735-7},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
},
@article{Ribes A.
  title = {Application of regularised optimal fingerprinting to attribution. Part II: application to global near-surface temperature based on CMIP5 simulations},
  author = { Ribes A. and Terray L. },
  url = {http://http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-013-1736-6},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
},
@article{Loranty M. M.
  title = {Vegetation controls on northern high latitude snow%u2010albedo feedback: observations and CMIP5 model predictions},
  author = { Loranty M. M. and Berner L. T. and Goetz S. J. and Jin Y. and Randerson J. T. },
  journal = {Global Change Biology},
},
@article{Feng S.
  title = {Expansion of global drylands under a warming climate},
  author = { Feng S. and Fu Q. },
  url = {http://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/13/10081/2013/},
  journal = {Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics},
  volume = {13},
  pages = {10081-10094},
},
@article{Pendergrass A. G.
  title = {The atmospheric energy constraint on global-mean precipitation change},
  author = { Pendergrass A. G. and Hartmann D. L. },
  url = {http://http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/pdf/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00163.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
},
@article{Qu X.
  title = {On the presistent spread in snow-albedo feedback},
  author = { Qu X. and Hall A. },
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
},
@article{Torres R. R.
  title = {Climate change hotspots over South America: from CMIP3 to CMIP5 multi-model datasets},
  author = { Torres R. R. and Marengo J. A. },
  journal = {Theoretical and Applied Climatology},
},
@article{Jiang D.
  title = {East Asian monsoon change for the 21st century: Results of CMIP3 and CMIP5 models},
  author = { Jiang D. and Tian Z. },
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {58},
  pages = {1427-1435},
},
@article{Perez J.
  title = {Evaluating the performance of CMIP3 and CMIP5 global climate models over the north-east Atlantic region},
  author = { Perez J. and Menendez M. and Mendez F. J. and Losada I. J. },
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-014-2078-8},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
},
@article{Eyring V.
  title = {Long-term ozone changes and associated climate impacts in CMIP5 simulations},
  author = { Eyring V. and Arblaster J. M. and Cionni I. and SedláÄ?ek J. and Perlwitz J. and Young P. J. and Bekki S. and Bergmann D. and Cameron-Smith P. and Collins W. J. and Faluvegi G. and Gottschaldt K. and Horowitz L. W. and Kinnison D. E. and Lamarque J. and Marsh D. R. and Saint-Martin D. and Shindell D. T. and Sudo K. and Szopa S. and Watanabe S. },
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/jgrd.50316/abstract},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research},
  volume = {118},
  pages = {5029-5060},
},
@article{Ou T.
  title = {Evaluation of global climate models in simulating extreme precipitation in China},
  author = { Ou T. and Chen D. and Linderholm H. W. and Jeong J. },
  url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.3402/tellusa.v65i0.19799},
  journal = {Tellus},
  volume = {65},
},
@article{Vancoppenolle M.
  title = {Future Arctic Ocean primary productivity from CMIP5 simulations: Uncertain outcome, but consistent mechanisms},
  author = { Vancoppenolle M. and Bopp L. and Madec G. and Dunne J. and Ilyina T. and Halloran P. and Steijner N. },
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/GB20055/full},
  journal = {Global Biogeochemical Cycles},
  volume = {27},
  pages = {1-15},
},
@article{Brands S.
  title = {How well do CMIP5 Earth System Models simulate present climate conditions in Europe and Africa? A performance comparison for the downscaling community},
  author = { Brands S. and Herrera S. and Fernández J. and Gutiérrez J. M. },
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
},
@article{Anstey J. A.
  title = {Multi-model analysis of Northern Hemisphere winter blocking: Model biases and the role of resolution},
  author = { Anstey J. A. and Davini P. and Gray L. J. and Woollings T. J. and Butchart N. and Cagnazzo C. and Christiansen B. and Hardiman S. C. and Osprey S. M. and Yang S. },
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/jgrd.50231/abstract},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {118},
  pages = {3956-3971},
},
@conference{Zou Y.
  title = {CMIP5 Simulations of US Winter Responses to El Niño Diversity},
  author = { Zou Y. and Yu J. and Lee T. },
  year = {2013},
},
@article{Purich A.
  title = {Autumn Precipitation Trends over Southern Hemisphere Midlatitudes as Simulated by CMIP5 Models},
  author = { Purich A. and Cowan T. and Min S. and Cai W. },
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/pdf/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00007.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {26},
  pages = {8341-8356},
},
@article{Barnes E. A.
  title = {Model projections of atmospheric steering of Sandy-like superstorms},
  author = { Barnes E. A. and Polvani L. M. and Sobel A. H. },
  url = {http://http://www.pnas.org/content/early/2013/08/28/1308732110.abstract},
  journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences},
  volume = {110},
  pages = {15211-15215},
},
@article{Gillett N. P.
  title = {Constraining the Ratio of Global Warming to Cumulative CO2 Emissions Using CMIP5 Simulations},
  author = { Gillett N. P. and Arora V. K. and Matthews D. and Allen M. R. },
  url = {http://http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00476.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {26},
  pages = {6844-6858},
},
@article{Gillett N. P.
  title = {Annular mode changes in the CMIP5 simulations},
  author = { Gillett N. P. and Fyfe J. C. },
  url = {http://http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/grl.50249/abstract},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {40},
  pages = {1189-1193},
},
@article{Marvel K.
  title = {Identifying external influences on global precipitation},
  author = { Marvel K. and Bonfils C. },
  journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences},
  volume = {110},
  pages = {19301-19306},
},
@article{Niznik M. J.
  title = {Circulation, moisture, and precipitation relationships along the South Pacific Convergence Zone in reanalyses and CMIP5 models},
  author = { Niznik M. J. and Lintner B. R. },
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {26},
  pages = {10174-10192},
},
@article{Kitoh A.
  title = {Monsoons in a changing world: a regional perspective in a global context.},
  author = { Kitoh A. and Endo H. and Krishna Kumar K. and Cavalcanti I. F. and Goswami P. },
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {118},
  pages = {3053-3065},
},
@article{Harvey B.
  title = {Equator-to-pole temperature differences and the extra-tropical storm track responses of the CMIP5 climate models},
  author = { Harvey B. and Shaffrey L. and Woollings T. },
  url = {http://http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-013-1883-9},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
},
@article{Santoso A.
  title = {Late-twentieth-century emergence of the El Nino propagation asymmetry and future projections},
  author = { Santoso A. and McGregor S. and Jin F. and Cai W. and England M. H. and An S. and McPhaden M. J. and Guilyardi E. },
  url = {http://http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v504/n7478/full/nature12683.html},
  journal = {Nature},
  volume = {504},
  pages = {126-130},
},
@article{Lee Y.
  title = {Boreal winter low-frequency variability in CMIP5 models},
  author = { Lee Y. and Black R. X. },
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
},
@article{Cai W.
  title = {Why is the amplitude of the Indian Ocean Dipole overly large in CMIP3 and CMIP5 climate models?},
  author = { Cai W. and Cowan T. },
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {40},
  pages = {1200-1205},
},
@article{Cowan T.
  title = {Forcing of anthropogenic aerosols on temperature trends of the sub-thermocline southern Indian Ocean},
  author = { Cowan T. and Cai W. and Purich A. and Rotstayn L. and Matthew E. H. },
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {3},
},
@article{Kumar S.
  title = {Land Use/Cover Change Impacts in CMIP5 Climate Simulations %u2013A New Methodology and 21st Century Challenges},
  author = { Kumar S. and Dirmeyer P. and Merwade V. and DelSole T. and Niyogi D. },
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
},
@article{Kumar S.
  title = {Evaluation of Temperature and Precipitation Trends and long-term Persistence in CMIP5 20th Century Climate Simulations},
  author = { Kumar S. and Merwade V. and Niyogi D. and Kinter III J. },
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
},
@article{Harada M.
  title = {Intensification of the South Side of the Asian Jet Stream during the Northern Winter in CMIP5 models},
  author = { Harada M. and Hirahara S. and Hagiya S. and Murai H. and Oikawa Y. and Maeda S. },
  url = {http://doi.org/10.2151/sola.2013-021},
  journal = {SOLA},
  volume = {9},
  pages = {94-97},
},
@article{Lutz A. F.
  title = {Comparison of climate change signals in CMIP3 and CMIP5 multi-model ensembles and implications for Central Asian glaciers},
  author = { Lutz A. F. and Immerzeel W. W. and Gobiet A. and Pellicciotti F. and Bierkens M. F. },
  url = {http://www.hydrol-earth-syst-sci.net/17/3661/2013/hess-17-3661-2013.html},
  journal = {Hydrology and Earth System Sciences},
  volume = {17},
  pages = {3661-3677},
},
@article{Henson S. A.
  title = {The impact of global warming on seasonality of ocean primary production},
  author = { Henson S. A. and Cole H. S. and Beaulieu C. },
  url = {http://www.biogeosciences.net/10/4357/2013/bg-10-4357-2013.html},
  journal = {Biogeosciences},
  volume = {10},
  pages = {4357-4369},
},
@article{Young P. J.
  title = {Agreement in late twentieth century Southern Hemisphere stratospheric temperature trends in observations and CCMVal-2, CMIP3, and CMIP5 models},
  author = { Young P. J. and Bulter A. H. and Calvo N. and Haimberger L. and Kushner P. J. and Marsh D. R. and Randell W. J. and Rosenlof K. H. },
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {113},
  pages = {605-613},
},
@article{Raybaud V.
  title = {Decline in kelp in west Europe and climate},
  author = { Raybaud V. and Beaugrand G. and Goberville E. and Delebecq G. and Destombe C. and Valero M. and Davoult D. and Morin P. and Gevaert F. },
  url = {http://www.plosone.org/article/info%3Adoi%2F10.1371%2Fjournal.pone.0066044},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {8},
},
@article{Dunstone N. J.
  title = {Anthropogenic aerosol forcing of Atlantic tropical storms},
  author = { Dunstone N. J. and Smith D. M. and Booth B. B. and Hermanson L. H. and Eade R. },
  url = {http://www.nature.com/ngeo/journal/v6/n7/full/ngeo1854.html},
  journal = {Nature Geoscience},
  volume = {6},
  pages = {534-539},
},
@article{Lambert F. H.
  title = {An explanation for the difference between twentieth and twenty-first century land%u2013sea warming ratio in climate models},
  author = { Lambert F. H. and Webb M. J. },
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-013-1664-5/fulltext.html},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {41},
  pages = {1853-1869},
},
@article{Kumar S.
  title = {Multi-decadal Climate Variability and the %u201CWarming Hole%u201D in North America %u2013 results from CMIP5 20th and 21st Century Climate Simulations},
  author = { Kumar S. and Kinter III J. and Dirmeyer P. and Pan Z. and Adams J. },
  url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00535.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {26},
  pages = {3511-3527},
},
@article{Zunz V.
  title = {How does internal variability influence the ability of CMIP5 models to reproduce the recent trend in Southern Ocean sea ice extent?},
  author = { Zunz V. and Goosse H. and Massonnet F. },
  url = {http://www.the-cryosphere.net/7/451/2013/tc-7-451-2013.pdf},
  journal = {The Cryosphere},
  volume = {7},
  pages = {451-468},
},
@article{Hu y.
  title = {Poleward Expansion of the Hadley Circulation in CMIP5 Simulations},
  author = { Hu y. and Tao L. },
  journal = {Advances in Atmospheric Sciences},
  volume = {30},
  pages = {790-795},
},
@article{Chang E. K.
  title = {CMIP5 projection of significant reduction in extratropical cyclone activity over North America},
  author = { Chang E. K. },
  url = {10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00209.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {26},
  pages = {9903-9922},
},
@article{Mitchell D. M.
  title = {Revisiting the controversial issue of tropical tropospheric temperature trends},
  author = { Mitchell D. M. and Thorne P. W. and Stott P. A. and Gray L. J. },
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {40},
},
@article{van Oldenborgh G.
  title = {Reliability of regional climate model trends},
  author = { van Oldenborgh G. and Doblas-Reyes F. R. and Drijfhout S. S. and Hawkins E. },
  url = {http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/8/1/014055/},
  journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
  volume = {8},
},
@conference{Halenka T.
  title = {Climate classi%uFB01cation revisited: From Köppen to Trewartha for models evaluation},
  author = { Halenka T. and Belda M. and Kalvova J. and Holtanova E. },
  year = {2013},
},
@article{Dufresne J.
  title = {Climate change projections using the IPSL-CM5 Earth System Model: from CMIP3 to CMIP5},
  author = { Dufresne J. and Foujols M. and Denvil S. and Caubel A. and Marti O. and et a. },
  url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-012-1636-1},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {40},
  pages = { 2123-2165},
},
@article{Ramirez-Villegas J.
  title = { Implications of regional improvement in global climate models for agricultural impact research },
  author = { Ramirez-Villegas J. and Challinor A. J. and Thornton P. K. and Jarvis A. },
  url = {http://stacks.iop.org/ERL/8/024018},
  journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
  volume = {8},
  pages = {1-12},
},
@article{Huntingford C.
  title = {No increase in global temperature variability despite changing regional patterns},
  author = { Huntingford C. and Jones P. D. and Livina V. N. and Lenton T. M. },
  url = {http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v500/n7462/full/nature12310.html},
  journal = {Nature},
  volume = {500},
  pages = {327-330},
},
@article{Vermeulen S. J.
  title = {Addressing uncertainty in adaptation planning for agriculture},
  author = { Vermeulen S. J. and Challinor A. J. and Thornton P. K. and Campbell B. M. and Eriyagama N. and Vervoort J. M. and Kinyangi J. and Jarvis A. and Laderach P. and Ramirez-Villegas J. and Nicklin K. J. and Hawkins E. and Smith D. R. },
  url = {http://www.pnas.org/content/110/21/8357.full},
  journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences},
  volume = {110},
  pages = {8357-8362},
},
@article{Sengupta A.
  title = {Uncertainty quantification and reliability analysis of CMIP5 projections for the Indian summer monsoon},
  author = { Sengupta A. and Rajeevan M. },
  url = {http://www.currentscience.ac.in/Volumes/105/12/1692.pdf},
  journal = {Current Science},
  volume = {105},
  pages = {1692-1703},
},
@article{Charlton-Perez A. J.
  title = {On the lack of stratospheric dynamical variability in low-top versions of the CMIP5 models},
  author = { Charlton-Perez A. J. and Baldwin M. P. and Birner T. and Black R. X. and Butler A. H. and Calvo N. and Davis N. A. and Gerber E. P. and Gillett N. and Hardiman S. and Kim J. and Krueger K. and Lee Y. Y. and Manzini E. and McDaniel B. A. and Polvani L. and Reichler T. and Shaw T. A. and Sigmond M. and Son S. W. and Toohey M. and Wilcox L. and Yoden S. and Cristiansen B. and Lott F. and Shindell D. and Yukimoto S. and Watanabe S. },
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
},
@article{Tory K. J.
  title = {Projected changes in late-twenty-first-century tropical cyclone frequency in 13 coupled climate models from Phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project},
  author = { Tory K. J. and Chand S. S. and McBride J. L. and Ye H. },
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00010.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {26},
  pages = {9946-9959},
},
@article{Sillmann J.
  title = {Climate extreme indices in the CMIP5 multi-model ensemble. Part 1: Model evaluation in the present climate},
  author = { Sillmann J. and Kharin V. V. and Zwiers F. W. and Zhang X. and Bronaugh D. R. },
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/jgrd.50203/abstract},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {118},
  pages = {1716-1733},
},
@article{Sillmann J.
  title = {Climate extreme indices in the CMIP5 multi-model ensemble. Part 2: Future climate projections},
  author = { Sillmann J. and Kharin V. V. and Zwiers F. W. and Zhang X. and Bronaugh D. R. },
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/jgrd.50188/abstract},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {118},
  pages = {2473-2493},
},
@article{Chang E. K.
  title = {Storm Track Activity in IPCC AR4/CMIP3 Model Simulations},
  author = { Chang E. K. and Guo Y. and Xia X. and Zheng M. },
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {26},
  pages = {246-260},
},
@article{Huang P.
  title = {Patterns of the seasonal response of tropical rainfall to global warming},
  author = { Huang P. and Xie S. and Huang G. and HUANG R. },
  journal = {Nature Geoscience},
},
@article{Orlowsky B.
  title = {Elusive drought: uncertainty in observed trends and short- and long-term CMIP5 projections},
  author = { Orlowsky B. and Seneviratne S. I. },
  url = {http://www.hydrol-earth-syst-sci.net/17/1765/2013/hess-17-1765-2013.html},
  journal = {Hydrology and Earth System Sciences},
  volume = {17},
  pages = {1765-1781},
},
@article{Bopp L.
  title = {Multiple stressors of ocean ecosystems in the 21st century: projections with CMIP5 models},
  author = { Bopp L. and Resplandy L. and Orr J. C. and Doney S. C. and Dunne J. P. and Gehlen M. and Halloran P. and Heinze C. and Ilyina T. and Seferian R. and Tjiputra J. and Vicchi M. },
  url = {http://www.biogeosciences.net/10/6225/2013/bg-10-6225-2013.html},
  journal = {Biogeosciences},
  volume = {10},
  pages = {6225-6245},
},
@article{Friedman A. R.
  title = {Interhemispheric temperature asymmetry over the 20th century and in future projections},
  author = { Friedman A. R. and Hwang Y. and Chiang J. C. and Frierson D. M. },
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/full/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00525.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {26},
  pages = {5419-5433},
},
@article{Bracegirdle T. J.
  title = {On the robustness of emergent constraints used in multi-model climate change projections of Arctic warming},
  author = { Bracegirdle T. J. and Stephenson D. B. },
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {26},
  pages = {669-678},
},
@article{Power S. B.
  title = {Robust twenty-first-century projections of El%u2009Niño and related precipitation variability},
  author = { Power S. B. and Delage F. P. and Chung C. and Kociuba G. and Keay K. },
  url = {http://http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v502/n7472/full/nature12580.html},
  journal = {Nature},
  volume = {502},
  pages = {541-545},
},
@article{Watterson I. G.
  title = {A skill-score based evaluation of simulated Australian climate},
  author = { Watterson I. G. and Hirst A. C. and Rotstayn L. D. },
  journal = {Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Journal},
  volume = {63},
  pages = {181-190},
},
@article{Smith I. N.
  title = {Squeezing information from regional climate change projections - results from a synthesis of CMIP5 results for south-east Queensland, Australia.},
  author = { Smith I. N. and Syktus J. and McAlpine C. },
  journal = {Climatic Change},
},
@article{Lohmann G.
  title = {A model-data comparison of the Holocene global sea surface temperature evolution},
  author = { Lohmann G. and Pfeiffer M. and Laepple T. and Leduc G. and Kim J. },
  url = {http://www.clim-past.net/9/1807/2013/cp-9-1807-2013.html},
  journal = {Climate of the Past},
  volume = {9},
  pages = {1807-1839},
},
@article{Brown J. R.
  title = {The South Pacific Convergence Zone in CMIP5 simulations of historical and future climate},
  author = { Brown J. R. and Moise A. F. and Colman R. A. },
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
},
@article{Kim J.
  title = { Thermal characteristics of the cold-point tropopause region in CMIP5 models},
  author = { Kim J. and Grise K. M. and Son S. },
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/jgrd.50649/full},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {118},
},
@article{Gonzalez P. L.
  title = {Stratospheric ozone depletion: a key driver of recent precipitation trends in South Eastern South America},
  author = { Gonzalez P. L. and Polvani L. and Seager R. and Correa G. },
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-013-1777-x},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {42},
  pages = {1775-1792},
},
@article{Brown J. R.
  title = {The western Pacific monsoon in CMIP5 models: Model evaluation and projections},
  author = { Brown J. R. and Colman R. A. and Moise A. F. and Smith I. N. },
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013JD020290/full},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {118},
  pages = {12,458-12,475},
},
@article{Collins M.
  title = {CORRESPONDENCE: Observational challenges in evaluating climate models},
  author = { Collins M. and AchutaRao K. and Ashok K. and Bhandari S. and Mitra A. K. and Srivastava R. and Turner A. },
  url = {http://http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/v3/n11/full/nclimate2012.html},
  journal = {Nature Climate Change},
  volume = {3},
  pages = {940-941},
},
@article{Smith I. N.
  title = {The relative performance of Australian CMIP5 models based on rainfall and ENSO metrics},
  author = { Smith I. N. and Syktus J. and Rotstayn L. and Jeffrey S. },
  journal = {Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Journal},
},
@article{Bony S.
  title = {Robust direct effect of carbon dioxide on tropical circulation and regional precipitation},
  author = { Bony S. and Bellon G. and Klocke D. and Sherwood S. and Fermepin S. and Denvil S. },
  journal = {Nature Geoscience},
},
@article{Dwyer J. G.
  title = {The effect of greenhouse-gas-induced changes in SST on the seasonality of tropical precipitation},
  author = { Dwyer J. G. and Biasutti M. and Sobel A. H. },
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
},
@article{Roehrig R.
  title = {The present and future of the West African monsoon: a process-oriented assessment of CMIP5 simulations along the AMMA transect.},
  author = { Roehrig R. and Bouniol D. and Guichard F. and Hourdin F. and Redelsperger J. },
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00505.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
},
@article{Wang Z.
  title = {On the responses of the Southern Hemisphere subpolar gyres to climate change in coupled climate models},
  author = { Wang Z. },
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research},
},
@article{Chadwick R. S.
  title = {Spatial Patterns of Precipitation Change in CMIP5: Why the Rich do not get Richer in the tropics},
  author = { Chadwick R. S. and Boutle I. and Martin G. },
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {26},
  pages = {3803-3822},
},
@article{Sabeerali C. T.
  title = {Simulation of boreal summer intraseasonal oscillations in the latest CMIP5 coupled GCMs},
  author = { Sabeerali C. T. and Dandi R. A. and Dhakate A. R. and Salunke K. and Mahapatra S. and Rao S. A. },
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/jgrd.50403/pdf},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research},
  volume = {118},
  pages = {4401-4420},
},
@article{Bracegirdle T. J.
  title = {Assessment of surface winds over the Atlantic, Indian and Pacific Ocean sectors of the Southern Ocean in CMIP5 models: historical bias, forcing response, and state dependence},
  author = { Bracegirdle T. J. and Shuckburgh E. and Sallee J. and Wang Z. and Meijers A. J. and Bruneau N. and Phillips T. and Wilcox L. J. },
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
},
@article{Seo K.
  title = {Assessing future changes in the East Asian summer monsoon using CMIP5 coupled models},
  author = { Seo K. and Ok J. and Son J. and Cha D. },
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
},
@article{Villarini G.
  title = {Projections of heavy rainfall over the central United States based on CMIP5 models},
  author = { Villarini G. and Scoccimarro E. and Gualdi S. },
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/asl2.440/abstract},
  journal = {Atmospheric Science Letters},
  volume = {14},
  pages = {200-205},
},
@article{Scoccimarro E.
  title = {Heavy precipitation events in a warmer climate: results from CMIP5 models},
  author = { Scoccimarro E. and Gualdi S. and Bellucci A. and Zampieri M. and Navarra A. },
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
},
@article{Weller E.
  title = {Realism of the Indian Ocean Dipole in CMIP5 models: the implication for climate projections},
  author = { Weller E. and Cai W. },
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {26},
  pages = {6649-6659},
},
@article{Weller E.
  title = {Asymmetry in the IOD and ENSO Teleconnection in a CMIP5 Model Ensemble and Its Relevance to Regional Rainfall},
  author = { Weller E. and Cai W. },
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {26},
  pages = {5139-5149},
},
@article{De Vries H.
  title = {Atmospheric blocking and its relation to jet changes in a future climate},
  author = { De Vries H. and Woollings T. J. and Anstey J. and Haarsma R. J. and Hazeleger W. },
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
},
@article{Zahid M.
  title = {CMIP5 Projected Soil Moisture Changes over South Asia},
  author = { Zahid M. and Iqbal W. and Park K. and Yang H. and Rasul G. },
  journal = {Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics},
},
@article{Lauer A.
  title = {Simulating clouds with global climate models: A comparison of CMIP5 results with CMIP3 and satellite data},
  author = { Lauer A. and Hamilton K. },
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/full/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00451.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {26},
  pages = {3823-3845},
},
@article{Long D. J.
  title = {Quantifying global climate feedbacks, responses and forcing under abrupt and gradual CO2 forcing},
  author = { Long D. J. and Collins M. },
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-013-1677-0},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
},
@article{Resplandy L.
  title = {Role of mode and intermediate waters in future ocean acidification: analysis of CMIP5 models},
  author = { Resplandy L. and Bopp L. and Orr J. C. and Dunne J. P. },
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
},
@article{Ceppi P.
  title = {The relationship between the ITCZ and the Southern Hemisphere eddy-driven jet},
  author = { Ceppi P. and Hwang Y. and Liu X. and Frierson D. M. and Hartmann D. L. },
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/jgrd.50461/abstract},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {118},
  pages = {5136-5146},
},
@article{Dirmeyer P. A.
  title = {Trends in land-atmosphere interactions from CMIP5 simulations},
  author = { Dirmeyer P. A. and Jin Y. and Singh B. and Yan X. },
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JHM-D-12-0107.1},
  journal = {Journal of Hydrometeorology},
},
@article{Dirmeyer P. A.
  title = {Evolving land-atmosphere interactions over North America from CMIP5 simulations},
  author = { Dirmeyer P. A. and Jin Y. and Singh B. and Yan X. },
  url = {ftp://cola.gmu.edu/pub/dirmeyer/JCLI-S-12-00601_manuscript.pdf},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
},
@article{Chen L.
  title = {Assessing the performance of IPCC AR5 Climate Models in simulating and projecting wind speeds over China},
  author = { Chen L. and Pryor S. C. },
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {117},
},
@article{Hill S. L.
  title = {Research article },
  author = { Hill S. L. and Phillips T. and Atkinson A. },
  url = {http://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0072246},
  journal = {Other},
},
@article{Dunn-Sigouin E.
  title = {Northern Hemisphere blocking frequency and duration in the CMIP5 models},
  author = { Dunn-Sigouin E. and Son S. },
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research},
},
@article{Yan Q.
  title = {Greenland ice sheet contribution to future global sea-level rise based on CMIP5 models},
  author = { Yan Q. and Wang H. and Johannessen O. M. and Zhang Z. },
  journal = {Advances in Atmospheric Sciences},
},
@article{Zappa G.
  title = {A multi-model assessment of future projections of North Atlantic and European extratropical cyclones in the CMIP5 climate models},
  author = { Zappa G. and Shaffrey L. C. and Hodges K. I. and Sansom P. G. and Stephenson D. B. },
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
},
@article{Rowell D. P.
  title = {Simulating SST Teleconnections to Africa: What is the State of the Art?},
  author = { Rowell D. P. },
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00761.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
},
@article{Zappa G.
  title = {The ability of CMIP5 models to simulate North Atlantic extratropical cyclones},
  author = { Zappa G. and Shaffrey L. C. and Hodges K. I. },
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
},
@article{Perrette M.
  title = {A scaling approach to project regional sea level rise and its uncertainties},
  author = { Perrette M. and Landerer F. W. and Riva R. E. and Frieler K. and Meinshausen M. },
  url = {http://www.earth-syst-dynam.net/4/11/2013/},
  journal = {Earth System Dynamics},
  volume = {4},
  pages = {11-29},
},
@article{Su F.
  title = {Evaluation of the Global Climate Models in the CMIP5 over the Tibetan Plateau},
  author = { Su F. and Duan X. and Chen D. and Hao Z. and Lan C. },
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
},
@article{Zhang X.
  title = {Attributing intensification of precipitation extremes to human influence},
  author = { Zhang X. and Wan H. and Zwiers F. W. and Hegerl G. and Min S. },
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {40},
  pages = {5252-5257},
},
@article{Chen H.
  title = {Projected change in East Asian summer monsoon precipitation under RCP scenario},
  author = { Chen H. and Sun J. },
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00703-013-0257-5},
  journal = {Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics},
},
@article{Chen H.
  title = {Projected change in East Asian summer monsoon precipitation under RCP scenario},
  author = { Chen H. and Sun J. },
  journal = {Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics},
},
@article{Sallee J.
  title = {Assessment of Southern Ocean mixed layer depths in CMIP5 models: historical bias and forcing response},
  author = { Sallee J. and Shuckburgh E. and Bruneau N. and Meijers A. and Bracegirdle T. J. and Wang Z. },
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research},
},
@article{Knutson T. R.
  title = {Multimodel assessment of regional surface temperature trends: CMIP3 and CMIP5 Twentieth Century simulations},
  author = { Knutson T. R. and Zeng F. and Wittenberg A. T. },
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00567.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {26},
  pages = {8709-8743},
},
@article{Knutson T. R.
  title = {Dynamical downscaling projections of 21st century Atlantic hurricane activity: CMIP3 and CMIP5 model-based scenario. },
  author = { Knutson T. R. and Sirutis J. J. and Vecchi G. A. and Garner S. T. and Zhao M. and Kim H. and Bender M. A. and Tuleya R. E. and Held I. M. and Villarini G. },
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00539.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {26},
  pages = {6591-6617},
},
@article{Belleflamme A.
  title = {Current and future atmospheric circulation at 500 hPa over Greenland simulated by the CMIP3 and CMIP5 global models},
  author = { Belleflamme A. and Fettweis X. and Lang C. and Erpicum M. },
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {41},
  pages = {2061-2080},
},
@article{Anav A. A.
  title = {Evaluation of Land Surface Models in Reproducing Satellite Derived Leaf Area Index over the High-Latitude Northern Hemisphere. Part II: Earth System Models},
  author = { Anav A. A. and Murray-Tortarolo G. M. and Friedlingstein P. P. and Sitch S. S. and Piao S. S. and Zhu Z. Z. },
  url = {http://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/5/8/3637},
  journal = {Remote Sensing},
  volume = {5},
  pages = {3637-3661},
},
@article{Zheng X.
  title = {Indian Ocean Dipole response to global warming in the CMIP5 multi-model ensemble},
  author = { Zheng X. and Xie S. and Du Y. and Liu L. and Huang G. and Liu Q. },
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
},
@article{Jia L.
  title = {Multi-Year Predictability of Temperature and Precipitation Identified in Climate Models},
  author = { Jia L. and DelSole T. },
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {39},
},
@article{Ahlstrm A.
  title = {Robustness and uncertainty in terrestrial ecosystem carbon response to CMIP5 climate change projections},
  author = { Ahlstrm A. and Schurgers G. and Arneth A. and Smith B. },
  url = {http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/7/4/044008/},
  journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
  volume = {7},
},
@article{Shin S.
  title = {A novel method for selecting climate projections based on cloud variations: Results from CMIP5 multi-models},
  author = { Shin S. and Lee M. },
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
},
@article{Landerer F. W.
  title = {Evaluation of dynamic sea surface height in CMIP3 and CMIP5 models against satellite observations},
  author = { Landerer F. W. and Gleckler P. and Tong L. },
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research},
},
@article{Villarini G.
  title = {21st Century Projections of North Atlantic Tropical Storms from CMIP5 Models. },
  author = { Villarini G. and Vecchi G. A. },
  journal = {Nature},
  volume = {2},
  pages = {604-607},
},
@article{Meijers A. J.
  title = {Representation of the Antarctic Circumpolar Current in the CMIP5 climate models and future changes under warming scenarios},
  author = { Meijers A. J. and Shuckburgh E. and Bruneau N. and Sallee J. and Bracegirdle T. and Zhaomin W. },
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research},
},
@article{Lee J.
  title = {Future change of global monsoon in the CMIP5},
  author = { Lee J. and Wang B. },
  url = {http://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007%2Fs00382-012-1564-0},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
},
@article{Su F.
  title = {Evaluation of the Global Climate Models in the CMIP5 over the Tibetan Plateau},
  author = { Su F. and Duan X. and Hao Z. and Cuo L. and Chen D. },
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
},
@article{Jones C. D.
  title = {21st Century compatible CO2 emissions and airborne fraction simulated by CMIP5 Earth System models under 4 Representative Concentration Pathways.},
  author = { Jones C. D. and Robertson E. and Arora V. and Friedlingstein P. and Shevliakove E. and Bopp L. and Brovkin V. and Hajima T. and Kato E. and Kawamiya M. and Liddicoat S. and Lindsay K. and Reick C. and Roelandt C. and Segschneider J. and Tjiputra J. },
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
},
@article{Kim S.
  title = {The Two Types of ENSO in CMIP5 Models},
  author = { Kim S. and Yu J. },
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {39},
},
@article{Chen H.
  title = {Projected change in extreme rainfall events in China by the end of the 21st century using CMIP5 models},
  author = { Chen H. },
  journal = {Other},
},
@article{Kim O.
  title = {How do weather characteristics change in a warming climate?},
  author = { Kim O. and Wang B. },
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
},
@article{Sheffield J.
  title = {North American Climate in CMIP5 Experiments. Part II: Evaluation of 20th Century Intra-Seasonal to Decadal Variability},
  author = { Sheffield J. and Camargo S. and Fu R. and Hu Q. and Jiang X. and Johnson N. and Karnauskas K. and Kinter J. and Kumar S. and Langenbrunner B. and Maloney E. and Mariotti A. and Meyerson J. and Neelin D. and Pan Z. and Ruiz-Barradas A. and Seager R. and Serra Y. and Sun D. and Wang C. and Xie S. and Yu J. and Zhang T. and Zhao M. },
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
},
@article{Du Y.
  title = {Indian Ocean variability in the CMIP5 multi-model ensemble: The basin mode},
  author = { Du Y. and Shang-Ping X. and Ya-Li Y. and Zheng X. and Liu L. and Huang G. },
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
},
@article{Zscheischler J.
  title = {Significant reduction of global carbon uptake by water-cycle driven extreme vegetation anomalies},
  author = { Zscheischler J. and Mahecha M. D. and von Buttlar J. and Harmeling S. and Jung M. and Randerson J. T. and Reichstein M. },
  journal = {Nature Geoscience},
},
@article{Stroeve J.
  title = {Trends in Arctic sea ice extent from CMIP5, CMIP3 and observations},
  author = { Stroeve J. and Kattsov V. and Barrett A. and Serreze M. and Pavlova T. and Holland M. and Meier W. },
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
},
@article{Sheffield J.
  title = {North American Climate in CMIP5 Experiments. Part I: Evaluation of 20th Century Continental and Regional Climatology},
  author = { Sheffield J. and Barrett A. and Colle B. and Fu R. and Geil K. and Hu Q. and Kinter J. and Kumar S. and Langenbrunner B. and Lombardo K. and Long L. and Maloney E. and Mariotti A. and Meyerson J. and Mo K. and Neelin D. and Pan Z. and Ruiz-Barradas A. and Serra Y. and Seth A. and Thibeault J. and Stroeve J. },
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
},
@article{Catto J. L.
  title = {North Australian sea surface temperatures and the El Nino Southern Oscillation in the CMIP5 models},
  author = { Catto J. L. and Nicholls N. and Jakob C. },
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {25},
  pages = {6375-6382},
},
@article{Swart N. C.
  title = {Observed and simulated changes in the Southern Hemisphere surface westerly wind-stress},
  author = { Swart N. C. and Fyfe J. C. },
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
},
@article{sallee J.
  title = {Assessment of Southern Ocean water mass circulation in CMIP5 models: historical bias and forcing response},
  author = { sallee J. and Shuckburgh E. and Bruneau N. and Meijers A. and Wang Z. and Bracegirdle T. },
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research},
},
@article{Sheffield J.
  title = {Global and regional drought from CMIP5: 20th Century evaluations, future projections and comparison with CMIP3},
  author = { Sheffield J. and Wood E. F. },
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
},
@article{Halloran P. R.
  title = {Assessing the vulnerability of the North Atlantic CO2 sink},
  author = { Halloran P. R. and Booth B. B. and Jones C. D. and Lambert F. H. and McNeall D. J. and Totterdell I. J. and Voelker C. },
  journal = {Global Biogeochemical Cycles},
},
@article{Notz D.
  title = {Sea-ice extent provides a limited metric of model performance},
  author = { Notz D. },
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research},
},
@article{Chang E. K.
  title = {CMIP5 Multi-Model Ensemble Projection of Storm Track Change Under Global Warming},
  author = { Chang E. K. and Guo Y. and Xia X. },
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {117},
  pages = {D23118},
},
@article{Yang S.
  title = {Arctic sea ice reduction and European cold winters in CMIP5 climate change experiments},
  author = { Yang S. and Christensen J. H. },
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2012GL053338/pdf},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {39},
},
@article{Liu H.
  title = {Atlantic Warm Pool Variability in the CMIP5 Simulations},
  author = { Liu H. and Wang C. and Lee S. and Enfield D. },
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {25},
  pages = {5612-5628},
},
@article{Keenlyside N. S.
  title = {Uncertainty in Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation Projections for the 21st Century and the North Atlantic/Ar},
  author = { Keenlyside N. S. and Latif M. and Martin T. and Reintges A. },
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
},
@article{Wang M.
  title = {Summer Arctic sea ice will be gone sooner or later %u2013 an update from CMIP5 models},
  author = { Wang M. and Overland J. E. },
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
},
@article{Quesada B.
  title = {Asymmetric European summer heat predictability from wet and dry southern winters and springs},
  author = { Quesada B. and Vautard R. and Yiou P. and Hirschi M. and Seneviratne S. I. },
  url = {http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/vaop/ncurrent/full/nclimate1536.html},
  journal = {Nature Climate Change},
},
@article{Wang K.
  title = {A review of global terrestrial evapotranspiration: Observation, modeling, climatology, and climatic variability},
  author = { Wang K. and Dickinson R. },
  url = {http://www.agu.org/pubs/crossref/2012/2011RG000373.shtml},
  journal = {Reviews of Geophysics},
  volume = {50},
},
@article{Colle B. A.
  title = {Historical and future predictions of eastern North America and western Atlantic extratropical cyclones in CMIP5 during the cool season},
  author = { Colle B. A. and Zhang Z. and Lombardo K. A. and Chang E. and Liu P. and Zhang M. and Hameed S. },
  url = {http://blizzard.msrc.sunysb.edu/~colle/Colle_etalCMIP5.pdf},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
},
@article{Fettweis X.
  title = {Estimating Greenland ice sheet surface mass balance contribution to future sea level rise using the regional atmospheric climate model MAR},
  author = { Fettweis X. and Franco B. and Tedesco M. and van Angelen J. and Lenaerts J. and van den Broeke M. and Gallée H. },
  journal = {The Cryosphere Discussions},
},
@article{Kuhlbrodt T.
  title = {Ocean heat uptake and its consequences for the magnitude of sea level rise and climate change},
  author = { Kuhlbrodt T. and Gregory J. M. },
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {39},
},
@article{Li G.
  title = {Origins of tropical-wide SST biases in CMIP multi-model ensembles},
  author = { Li G. and Xie S. },
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {39},
},
@article{DU Z.
  title = {How well can CMIP5 CGCMs simulate the Asian summer monsoon rainfall and its interannual variability and their future projections},
  author = { DU Z. and HUANG R. and Huang G. },
  journal = {Advances in Atmospheric Sciences},
},
@article{Jourdain N. C.
  title = {The Indo-Australian monsoon and its relationship to ENSO and IOD in reanalysis data and the CMIP3/CMIP5 simulations},
  author = { Jourdain N. C. and Sen Gupta A. and Taschetto A. S. and Ummenhofer C. C. and Moise A. F. and Ashok K. },
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
},
@article{Grose M. R.
  title = {Incremental improvements in the CMIP5 global climate model simulations for the western tropical Pacific},
  author = { Grose M. R. and Brown J. N. and Narsey S. Y. and Brown J. R. and Murphy B. F. and Langlais C. and Sen Gupta A. and Moise A. F. and Irving D. B. },
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
},
@article{Myhrvold N.
  title = {Time scale of thermal response of an abrupt change in atmospheric CO2 content in CMIP5 simulations },
  author = { Myhrvold N. and Caldeira K. },
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
},
@article{Huopo C.
  title = {Projected change of extreme precipitation events in China under global warming scenario},
  author = { Huopo C. },
  journal = {Other},
},
@article{Holmes C. D.
  title = {Future methane, hydroxyl, and their uncertainties: key climate and emission parameters for future predictions},
  author = { Holmes C. D. and Prather M. J. and Søvde O. A. and Myhre G. },
  url = {http://www.atmos-chem-phys-discuss.net/12/20931/2012/},
  journal = {Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics},
},
@article{Cattiaux J.
  title = {North-Atlantic dynamics and European temperature extremes in the IPSL model: sensitivity to atmospheric resolution},
  author = { Cattiaux J. and Quesada B. and Arak?lian A. and Codron F. and Vautard R. and Yiou P. },
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
},
@article{Mauritsen T.
  title = {Tuning the climate of a global model},
  author = { Mauritsen T. and Stevens B. and Roeckner E. and Crueger T. and Esch M. and Giorgetta M. and Haak H. and Jungclaus J. and Klocke D. and Matei D. and Mikolajewicz U. and Notz D. and Pincus R. and Schmidt H. and Tomassini L. },
  url = {http://www.agu.org/pubs/crossref/2012/2012MS000154.shtml},
  journal = {Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems},
  volume = {4},
},
@article{McSweeney C. F.
  title = {No consensus on consensus: The challenge of finding a universal approach to measuring and mapping ensemble consistency in GCM projections},
  author = { McSweeney C. F. and Jones R. G. },
  journal = {Climatic Change},
},
@article{lahellec a.
  title = {A Formal Analysis of the Feedback Concept in Climate Models: exclusive and inclusive feedback analyses},
  author = { lahellec a. and Dufresne J. },
  journal = {Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences},
},
@article{Frierson D. M.
  title = {Robust future precipitation declines in CMIP5 largely reflect the poleward expansion of model subtropical dry zones},
  author = { Frierson D. M. and Scheff J. },
  url = {http://www.ldeo.columbia.edu/~jscheff/2012GL052910.pdf},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {39},
},
@article{Li Y.
  title = {Evaluation of Monsoon Fidelity and the Tropospheric Biennial Oscillation Transitions in the CMIP Models},
  author = { Li Y. and Jourdain N. C. and Taschetto A. S. and Ummenhofer C. C. and Ashok K. and Sen Gupta A. },
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
},
@article{Jones G. S.
  title = {Attribution of observed historical near surface temperature variations to anthropogenic and natural causes using CMIP5 simulations},
  author = { Jones G. S. and Stott P. A. and Christidis N. },
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/jgrd.50239/abstract},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research},
  volume = {118},
  pages = {4001-4024},
},
@article{Ceppi P.
  title = {Southern Hemisphere jet latitude biases in CMIP5 models linked to shortwave cloud forcing},
  author = { Ceppi P. and Hwang Y. and Frierson D. M. and Hartmann D. L. },
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
},
@article{Balan Sarojini B.
  title = {Fingerprints of Changes in Annual and Seasonal Precipitation from CMIP5 Models over Land and Ocean},
  author = { Balan Sarojini B. and Stott P. and Stott P. A. and Black E. and Polson D. },
  url = {http://www.agu.org/pubs/crossref/2012/2012GL053373.shtml},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {39},
  pages = {L21706},
},
@article{Sansom P. G.
  title = {A simple framework for weighting climate change projections in multi-model ensembles },
  author = { Sansom P. G. and Stephenson D. B. and Ferro C. A. and Zappa G. and Shaffrey L. C. },
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
},
@article{Massonnet F.
  title = {Constraining projections of summer Arctic sea ice},
  author = { Massonnet F. and Fichefet T. and Goosse H. and Bitz C. M. and Philippon-Berthier G. and Holland M. M. and Barriat P. },
  url = {http://www.the-cryosphere.net/6/1383/2012/tc-6-1383-2012.html},
  journal = {The Cryosphere},
  volume = {6},
  pages = {1383-1394},
},
@article{Villarini G.
  title = {Projected Increases in North Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Intensity from CMIP5 Models.},
  author = { Villarini G. and Vecchi G. A. },
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
},
@article{Jiang J. H.
  title = {Evaluation of Cloud and Water Vapor Simulations in CMIP5 Climate Models Using NASA A-Train Satellite Observations},
  author = { Jiang J. H. },
  url = {http://www.agu.org/pubs/crossref/2012/2011JD017237.shtml},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {117},
  pages = {1-24},
},
@article{Kongola L.
  title = {Dependence of groundwater resources on extreme rainfall: evidence from East Africa. },
  author = { Kongola L. and Taylor R. G. and Todd M. C. },
  journal = {Nature},
},
@conference{Zou Y.
  title = {The Changing Impacts of El Niño on US Winter Climate},
  author = { Zou Y. and Yu J. and Kim S. and Lee T. },
  year = {2012},
},
@article{Xu L.
  title = {Mode Water Ventilation and Subtropical Countercurrent over the North Pacific in CMIP5 Simulations and Future Projections},
  author = { Xu L. and Xie S. and Liu Q. },
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research},
},
@article{Levine R. C.
  title = {The role of northern Arabian Sea surface temperature biases in CMIP5 model simulations and future predictions of Indian summer monsoon rainfall},
  author = { Levine R. C. and Turner A. G. and Marathayil D. and Martin G. M. },
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
},
@article{Valcke S.
  title = {The OASIS3 coupler: a European climate modelling community software},
  author = { Valcke S. },
  url = {http://www.geosci-model-dev-discuss.net/5/2139/2012/gmdd-5-2139-2012.pdf},
  journal = {Geoscientific Model Development Discussions},
  volume = {5},
  pages = {2139-2178},
},
@article{Koven C. D.
  title = {Analysis of permafrost thermal dynamics and response to climate change in the CMIP5 Earth System Models},
  author = { Koven C. D. and Riley W. J. },
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
},
@article{BELLENGER H.
  title = {ENSO representation in climate models: from CMIP3 to CMIP5},
  author = { BELLENGER H. and Guilyardi E. and Leloup J. and Lengaigne M. and Vialard J. },
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
},
@article{Fyfe J. C.
  title = {Human influence on extratropical Southern Hemisphere precipitation},
  author = { Fyfe J. C. and Gillett N. P. and Marshall G. G. },
  journal = {Aerosol Science and Technology},
},
@article{Po-Chedley S.
  title = {Discrepancies in tropical upper tropospheric warming between atmospheric circulation models and satellites},
  author = { Po-Chedley S. and Fu Q. },
  url = {http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/7/4/044018/},
  journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
  volume = {7},
},
@article{DU Z.
  title = {How Well can CMIP5 CGCMs Simulate the EAP/PJ Teleconnection Pattern and its Corresponding Summer Climate in the East Asian Monsoon Region},
  author = { DU Z. and HUANG R. and Huang G. },
  journal = {Advances in Atmospheric Sciences},
},
@article{Luo J.
  title = {Indian Ocean warming modulates Pacific climate change},
  author = { Luo J. and Sasaki W. and Masumoto Y. },
  journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences},
},
@article{Wang B.
  title = {Future change of Asian-Australian monsoon},
  author = { Wang B. and Yim S. and Lee J. and Liu J. and Ha K. },
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
},