@article{Kajtar
  title = {CMIP5 Intermodel Relationships in the Baseline Southern Ocean Climate System and With Future Projections},
  author = { Kajtar, Jules B. and Santoso, Agus and Collins, Matthew and Taschetto, Andréa S. and England, Matthew H. and Frankcombe, Leela M. },
  url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2020EF001873},
  journal = {Earth's Future},
  volume = {9},
},
@article{Nicholls
  title = {Regionally aggregated, stitched and de‐drifted CMIP‐climate data, processed with netCDF‐SCM v2.0.0},
  author = { Nicholls, Zebedee and Lewis, Jared and Makin, Melissa and Nattala, Usha and Zhang, Geordie Z. and Mutch, Simon J. and Tescari, Edoardo and Meinshausen, Malte },
  url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/gdj3.113},
  journal = {Geoscience Data Journal},
},
@article{Ribes
  title = {Making climate projections conditional on historical observations},
  author = { Ribes, Aurélien and Qasmi, Saïd and Gillett, Nathan P. },
  url = {https://advances.sciencemag.org/content/7/4/eabc0671},
  journal = {Science Advances},
  volume = {7},
  pages = {eabc0671},
},
@article{Zhang
  title = {The ARM Data-Oriented Metrics and Diagnostics Package for Climate Models: A New Tool for Evaluating Climate Models with Field Data},
  author = { Zhang, C. and Xie, S. and Tao, C. and Tang, S. and Emmenegger, T. and Neelin, J. D. and Schiro, K. A. and Lin, W. and Shaheen, Z. },
  url = {https://journals.ametsoc.org/bams/article/101/10/E1619/348634/The-ARM-DataOriented-Metrics-and-Diagnostics},
  journal = {Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society},
  volume = {101},
  pages = {E1619-E1627},
},
@article{Hayashi
  title = {Dynamics for El Niño-La Niña asymmetry constrain equatorial-Pacific warming pattern},
  author = { Hayashi, Michiya and Jin, Fei-Fei and Stuecker, Malte F. },
  url = {https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-020-17983-y},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {11},
  pages = {4230},
},
@article{DeRepentigny
  title = {Arctic Sea Ice in Two Configurations of the CESM2 During the 20th and 21st Centuries},
  author = { DeRepentigny, Patricia and Jahn, Alexandra and Holland, Marika M. and Smith, Abigail },
  url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2020JC016133},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans},
  volume = {125},
  pages = {e2020JC016133},
},
@article{Cannon
  title = {Reductions in daily continental-scale atmospheric circulation biases between generations of global climate models: CMIP5 to CMIP6},
  author = { Cannon, Alex J },
  url = {https://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab7e4f},
  journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
  volume = {15},
  pages = {064006},
},
@article{Lu
  title = {Uncertainty and hotspots in 21st century projections of agricultural drought from CMIP5 models},
  author = { Lu, Junyu and Carbone, Gregory J. and Grego, John M. },
  url = {https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-019-41196-z},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {9},
},
@article{Po‐Chedley
  title = {Climatology Explains Intermodel Spread in Tropical Upper Tropospheric Cloud and Relative Humidity Response to Greenhouse Warming},
  author = { Po‐Chedley, Stephen and Zelinka, Mark D. and Jeevanjee, Nadir and Thorsen, Tyler J. and Santer, Benjamin D. },
  url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1029/2019GL084786},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {46},
  pages = {13399-13409},
},
@article{Giannini
  title = {The role of aerosols and greenhouse gases in Sahel drought and recovery},
  author = { Giannini, Alessandra and Kaplan, Alexey },
  journal = {Climatic Change},
  volume = {152},
  pages = {449},
},
@article{Ferguson
  title = {The Effect of Global Warming on Future Water Availability: CMIP5 Synthesis},
  author = { Ferguson, C. R. and Pan, M. and Oki, Taikan },
  url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1029/2018WR022792},
  journal = {Water Resources Research},
  volume = {54},
  pages = {7791-7819},
},
@article{Esteban Abellán
  title = {Analysis of the southward wind shift of ENSO in CMIP5 models},
  author = { Esteban Abellán and Shayne McGregor and Matthew H. England },
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {30},
  pages = {2415-2435},
},
@article{Zazulie
  title = {Regional climate of the subtropical central Andes using high-resolution CMIP5 models—part I: past performance (1980–2005)},
  author = { Zazulie, N and Rusticucci, M and Raga, G. B. },
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
},
@article{Belda
  title = {Global warming-induced changes in climate zones based on CMIP5 projections},
  author = { Belda, M and Holtanová, E and Kalvová, J and Halenka, T },
  url = {http://www.int-res.com/abstracts/cr/v71/n1/p17-31/},
  journal = {Climate Research},
  volume = {71},
  pages = {17-31},
},
@article{Wills
  title = {Thermodynamic and dynamic controls on changes in the zonally anomalous hydrological cycle},
  author = { Wills, Robert C. and Byrne, Michael P. and Schneider, Tapio },
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL068418/abstract},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {43},
  pages = {4640-4649},
},
@article{King
  title = {Emergence of heat extremes attributable to anthropogenic influences},
  author = { King, Andrew D. and Black, Mitchell T. and Min, Seung-Ki and Fischer, Erich M. and Mitchell, Daniel M. and Harrington, Luke J. and Perkins-Kirkpatrick, Sarah E. },
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL067448/abstract},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {43},
  pages = {3438-3443},
},
@article{Pendergrass
  title = {Does extreme precipitation intensity depend on the emissions scenario?},
  author = { Pendergrass, Angeline G. and Lehner, Flavio and Sanderson, Benjamin M. and Xu, Yangyang },
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL065854/abstract},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {42},
  pages = {8767-8774},
},
@article{Fueglistaler S.
  title = {The distribution of precipitation and the spread in tropical upper tropospheric temperature trends in CMIP5/AMIP simulations},
  author = { Fueglistaler S. and Radley C. and Held I. M. },
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL064966/full},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {42},
  pages = {6000-6007},
},
@article{English J. M.
  title = {Arctic Radiative Fluxes: Present-Day Biases and Future Projections in CMIP5 Models},
  author = { English J. M. and Gettelman A. and Henderson G. R. },
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00801.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {28},
  pages = {6019-6038},
},
@article{Yi S.
  title = { Impacts of External Forcing on the Decadal Climate Variability in CMIP5 Simulations},
  author = { Yi S. and Yongqiang Y. },
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
},
@article{Melia N.
  title = {Improved Arctic sea ice thickness projections using bias-corrected CMIP5 simulations },
  author = { Melia N. and Haines K. and Hawkins E. },
  url = {http://www.the-cryosphere.net/9/2237/2015/tc-9-2237-2015.html},
  journal = {The Cryosphere},
  volume = {9},
  pages = {2237-2251},
},
@article{Bolin D.
  title = {Statistical prediction of global sea level from global temperature},
  author = { Bolin D. and Guttorp P. and Januzzi A. and Jones D. and Nowak M. and Podschwit H. and Richardson L. and Särkkä A. and Sowder C. and Zimmerman A. },
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {25},
  pages = {351-357},
},
@article{Melia N.
  title = {Improved Arctic sea ice thickness projections using bias corrected CMIP5 simulations},
  author = { Melia N. and Haines K. and Hawkins E. },
  url = {http://www.the-cryosphere-discuss.net/9/3821/2015/},
  journal = {The Cryosphere Discussions},
  volume = {9},
  pages = {3821-3857},
},
@article{Plotka H.
  title = {Physics of changes in synoptic midlatitude temperature variability},
  author = { Plotka H. },
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00632.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {28},
  pages = {2312-2331},
},
@article{Drijfhout S.
  title = {Catalogue of abrupt shifts in Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change climate models},
  author = { Drijfhout S. and Bathiany S. and Beaulieu C. and Brovkin V. and Claussen M. and Huntingford C. and Scheffer M. and Sgubin G. and Swingedouw D. },
  url = {http://www.pnas.org/content/early/2015/10/07/1511451112},
  journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences},
},
@article{Drijfhout S.
  title = {Catalogue of abrupt shifts in Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change climate models},
  author = { Drijfhout S. and Bathiany S. and Beaulieu C. and Brovkin V. and Claussen M. and Huntingford C. and Scheffer M. and Sgubin G. and Swingedouw D. },
  url = {http://www.pnas.org/content/early/2015/10/07/1511451112},
  journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences},
},
@article{Rykaczewski R. R.
  title = {Poleward displacement of coastal upwelling-favorable winds in the ocean's eastern boundary currents through the 21st century},
  author = { Rykaczewski R. R. and Dunne J. P. and Sydeman W. J. and García-Reyes M. and Black B. A. and Bograd S. J. },
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL064694/full},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {42},
},
@article{Swart N. C.
  title = {Influence of internal variability on Arctic sea-ice trends},
  author = { Swart N. C. and Fyfe J. C. and Hawkins E. and Kay J. E. and Jahn A. },
  url = {http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/v5/n2/full/nclimate2483.html},
  journal = {Nature Climate Change},
  volume = {5},
  pages = {86-89},
},
@article{Evan A. T.
  title = {Water Vapor%u2013Forced Greenhouse Warming over the Sahara Desert and the Recent Recovery from the Sahelian Drought},
  author = { Evan A. T. and Flamant C. and Lavaysse C. and Kocha C. and Saci A. },
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {28},
},
@article{Wild M.
  title = {The energy balance over land and oceans: An assessment based on direct observations and CMIP5 climate models},
  author = { Wild M. and Folini D. and Hakuba M. and Schär C. and Seneviratne S. and Kato S. and Rutan D. and Ammann C. and Wood E. and König-Langlo G. },
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-014-2430-z},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {44},
  pages = {3393-3429},
},
@article{King A. D.
  title = {Attribution of the record high Central England temperature of 2014 to anthropogenic influences},
  author = { King A. D. and van Oldenborgh G. J. and Karoly D. J. and Lewis S. C. and Cullen H. M. },
  url = {http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/10/5/054002},
  journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
  volume = {10},
},
@article{Kamae Y.
  title = {Recent slowdown of tropical upper tropospheric warming associated with Pacific climate variability},
  author = { Kamae Y. and Shiogama H. and Watanabe M. and Ishii M. and Ueda H. and Kimoto M. },
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/wol1/doi/10.1002/2015GL063608/abstract},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {42},
  pages = {2995-3003},
},
@article{Zappa G.
  title = {Improving climate change detection through optimal seasonal averaging: the case of the North Atlantic jet and European precipitation},
  author = { Zappa G. and Hoskins B. J. and Shepherd T. G. },
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
},
@article{Ylhäisi J. S.
  title = {How does model development affect climate projections?},
  author = { Ylhäisi J. S. and Räisänen J. and Masson D. and Räty O. and Järvinen H. },
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/asl2.577/abstract},
  journal = {Atmospheric Science Letters},
},
@article{C B J.
  title = {Robust signals of future projections of Indian summer monsoon rainfall by IPCC AR5 climate models: Role of seasonal cycle and interannual variability},
  author = { C B J. and Surendran S. and Rajendran K. },
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL063659/full},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {42},
  pages = {3513-3520},
},
@article{Agosta C.
  title = {Evaluation of the CMIP5 models in the aim of regional modelling of the Antarctic surface mass balance},
  author = { Agosta C. and Fettweis X. and Datta R. },
  url = {http://www.the-cryosphere-discuss.net/9/3113/2015/},
  journal = {The Cryosphere Discussions},
  volume = {9},
  pages = {3113-3136},
},
@article{Abramowitz G.
  title = {Climate Model Dependence and the Ensemble Dependence Transformation of CMIP Projections},
  author = { Abramowitz G. and Bishop C. H. },
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00364.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {28},
  pages = {2332-2348},
},
@article{Haughton N.
  title = {Weighting climate model ensembles for mean and variance estimates},
  author = { Haughton N. and Abramowitz G. and Pitman A. J. and Phipps S. J. },
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-015-2531-3},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
},
@article{Flamant C.
  title = {An analysis of aeolian dust in climate models},
  author = { Flamant C. and Fiedler S. and Doherty O. },
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {41},
},
@article{Flamant C.
  title = {An analysis of aeolian dust in climate models},
  author = { Flamant C. and Fiedler S. and Doherty O. },
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {41},
},
@article{Gong H.
  title = {Diverse Influences of ENSO on the East Asian%u2013Western Pacific Winter Climate Tied to Different ENSO Properties in CMIP5 Models},
  author = { Gong H. and Wang L. and Chen W. and Nath D. and Huang G. and Tao W. },
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00405.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {28},
  pages = {2187-2202},
},
@article{Sui Y.
  title = {Temperature and precipitation signals over China with a 2°C global warming},
  author = { Sui Y. and Lang X. and Jiang D. },
  journal = {Climate Research},
  volume = {64},
  pages = {227-242},
},
@article{Jiang D.
  title = {Reliability of climate models for China through the IPCC Third to Fifth Assessment Reports},
  author = { Jiang D. and Tian Z. and Lang X. },
  journal = {International Journal of Climatology},
  volume = {36},
  pages = {1114-1133},
},
@article{Jiang L.
  title = {Scale-Dependent Performance of CMIP5 Earth System Models in Simulating Terrestrial Vegetation Carbon},
  author = { Jiang L. and Yan Y. and Hararuk O. and Mikle N. and Xia J. and Shi Z. and Tjiputra J. and Wu T. and Luo Y. },
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {28},
  pages = {5217-5231},
},
@article{Wright D. B.
  title = {Regional climate model projections of rainfall from U.S. landfalling tropical cyclones},
  author = { Wright D. B. and Knutson T. R. and Smith J. A. },
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-015-2544-y},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  pages = {1-15},
},
@article{Zappa G.
  title = {The dependence of wintertime Mediterranean precipitation on the atmospheric circulation response to climate change},
  author = { Zappa G. and Hoskins B. J. and Shepherd T. G. },
  journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
  volume = {10},
},
@article{Menary M. B.
  title = {Exploring the impact of CMIP5 model biases on the simulation of North Atlantic decadal variability},
  author = { Menary M. B. and Hodson D. L. and Robson J. I. and Sutton R. T. and Wood R. A. and Hunt J. A. },
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL064360/full},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
},
@article{Chan D.
  title = {Attributing Observed SST Trends and Sub-Continental Land Warming to Anthropogenic Forcing during 1979-2005},
  author = { Chan D. and Wu Q. },
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/pdf/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00253.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {28},
  pages = {3152-3170},
},
@article{Durack P. J.
  title = {Ocean salinity and the global water cycle},
  author = { Durack P. J. },
  url = {http://www.tos.org/oceanography/archive/28-1_durack.html},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {28},
  pages = {20-31},
},
@article{Durack P. J.
  title = {Long-term sea-level change revisited: the role of salinity},
  author = { Durack P. J. and Wijffels S. E. and Gleckler P. J. },
  url = {http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/9/11/114017/},
  journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
  volume = {9},
  pages = {---},
},
@article{Nasrollahi N.
  title = {How Well Do CMIP5 Climate Simulations Replicate Historical Trends and Patterns of Meteorological Droughts?},
  author = { Nasrollahi N. and AghaKouchak A. and Cheng L. and Damberg L. and Phillips T. and Miao C. and Hsu K. and Sorooshian S. },
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014WR016318/full},
  journal = {Water Resources Research},
  volume = { 51},
  pages = {2847-2864},
},
@article{Cheng L.
  title = {Non-stationary Return Levels of CMIP5 Multi-Model Temperature Extremes},
  author = { Cheng L. and AghaKouchak A. and Phillips T. },
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-015-2625-y},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {44},
  pages = {2947-2963},
},
@article{Belda M.
  title = {Evaluation of CMIP5 present climate simulations using the Köppen-Trewartha climate classification},
  author = { Belda M. and Holtanová E. and Halenka T. and Kalvová J. and Hlávka Z. },
  url = {http://www.int-res.com/abstracts/cr/v64/n3/p201-212/},
  journal = {Climate Research},
  volume = {64},
  pages = {201-212},
},
@article{Jiang J. H.
  title = {Evaluating the diurnal cycle of upper tropospheric ice clouds in climate models using SMILES observations},
  author = { Jiang J. H. and Su H. and Zhai C. and Shen J. and Wu T. and Cole J. and Salzen K. and Donner L. and Del Genio A. and Nazarenko L. and Dufresne J. and Watanabe M. and Morcrette C. and Koshiro T. and Kawai H. and Gettelman A. and Millán L. and Read W. and Livesey N. and Kasai Y. and Shiotani M. },
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JAS-D-14-0124.1},
  journal = {Journal of Atmopspheric Sciences},
  volume = {72},
},
@article{Steinman B. A.
  title = {Atlantic and Pacific multidecadal oscillations and Northern Hemisphere temperatures},
  author = { Steinman B. A. and Mann M. E. and Miller S. K. },
  journal = {Science},
  volume = {347},
  pages = {988-991},
},
@article{Dowdy A. J.
  title = {Rainfall in Australia%u2019s eastern seaboard: a review of confidence in projections based on observations and physical processes},
  author = { Dowdy A. J. and Grose M. R. and Timbal B. and Moise A. and Ekström M. and Bhend J. and Wilson L. },
  journal = {Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Journal},
  volume = {65},
  pages = {107-126},
},
@article{Sylla M. B.
  title = {Projected robust shift of climate zones over West Africa in response to anthropogenic climate change for the late 21st century},
  author = { Sylla M. B. and Elguindi N. and Giorgi F. and Wisser D. },
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-015-1522-z},
  journal = {Climatic Change},
},
@article{Melet A. V.
  title = {Explaining the Spread in Global Mean Thermosteric Sea Level Rise in CMIP5 Climate Models},
  author = { Melet A. V. and Meyssignac B. },
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
},
@article{Melet A. V.
  title = {Explaining the Spread in Global Mean Thermosteric Sea Level Rise in CMIP5 Climate Models},
  author = { Melet A. V. and Meyssignac B. },
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
},
@article{Melet A. V.
  title = {Explaining the Spread in Global Mean Thermosteric Sea Level Rise in CMIP5 Climate Models},
  author = { Melet A. V. and Meyssignac B. },
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
},
@article{van Oldenborgh G.
  title = {Cold extremes in North America vs. mild weather in Europe: the winter 2013/2014 in the context of a warming world},
  author = { van Oldenborgh G. and Haarsma R. J. and De Vries H. and Allen M. R. },
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/BAMS-D-14-00036.1},
  journal = {Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society},
},
@article{Boisier J.
  title = {Projected strengthening of Amazonian dry season by constrained climate model simulations},
  author = { Boisier J. and Ciais P. and Ducharne A. and Guimberteau M. },
  url = {http://http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/v5/n7/full/nclimate2658.html},
  journal = {Nature Climate Change},
  volume = {5},
  pages = {656-660},
},
@article{Heuz C.
  title = {Changes in global ocean bottom properties and volume transports in CMIP5 models under climate change scenarios},
  author = { Heuz C. and Heywood K. J. and Stevens D. P. and Ridley J. K. },
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/full/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00381.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {28},
  pages = {2917-2944},
},
@article{Ji Z.
  title = {Potential climate effect of mineral aerosols over West Africa: Part II%u2014contribution of dust and land cover to future climate change},
  author = { Ji Z. and Wang G. and Yu M. and Pal J. S. },
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-015-2792-x#page-1},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
},
@article{Palazzi E.
  title = {Precipitation in the Karakoram-Himalaya: a CMIP5 view},
  author = { Palazzi E. and von Hardenberg J. and Terzago S. and Provenzale A. },
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {45},
  pages = {21-45},
},
@article{Ji Z.
  title = {Potential climate effect of mineral aerosols over West Africa: Part II%u2014contribution of dust and land cover to future climate change},
  author = { Ji Z. and Wang G. and Yu M. and Pal J. S. },
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-015-2792-x#page-1},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
},
@article{Lin J.
  title = {Is the tropical atmosphere in convective quasi-equilibrium?},
  author = { Lin J. and Qian T. and Shinoda T. and Li S. },
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00681.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {28},
  pages = {4357-4372},
},
@article{Fueglistaler S.
  title = {The distribution of precipitation and the spread in tropical upper tropospheric temperature trends in CMIP5/AMIP simulations},
  author = { Fueglistaler S. and Radley C. and Held I. M. },
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL064966/full},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {42},
  pages = {6000-6007},
},
@article{Fountoulakis I.
  title = {Projected changes in erythemal and vitamin D effective irradiance over northern-hemisphere high latitudes},
  author = { Fountoulakis I. and Bais A. F. },
  url = {http://http://pubs.rsc.org/en/content/articlelanding/2015/pp/c5pp00093a/unauth#!divAbstract},
  journal = {Other},
},
@article{Schwalm C. R.
  title = {Reduction in carbon uptake during turn of the century drought in western North America},
  author = { Schwalm C. R. and Williams C. A. and Schaefer K. and Baldocchi D. and Black T. and Goldstein A. H. and Beverly L. E. and Oechel W. C. and Paw U K. and Scott R. L. },
  journal = {Nature Geoscience},
},
@article{Belda M.
  title = {Evaluation of CMIP5 present climate simulations using the Köppen-Trewartha climate classification},
  author = { Belda M. and Holtanová E. and Halenka T. and Kalvová J. and Hlávka Z. },
  url = {http://www.int-res.com/abstracts/cr/v64/n3/p201-212/},
  journal = {Climate Research},
  volume = {64},
  pages = {201-212},
},
@article{Saini R.
  title = {Comparison of RCM and GCM projections of boreal summer precipitation over Africa},
  author = { Saini R. and Wang G. and Yu M. and Kim J. },
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {120},
  pages = {3679-3699},
},
@article{Zhang R.
  title = {Mechanisms for low-frequency variability of summer Arctic sea ice extent},
  author = { Zhang R. },
  url = {http://www.pnas.org/content/112/15/4570},
  journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences},
  volume = {112},
  pages = {4570-4575},
},
@article{Takao S.
  title = {Projecting the impacts of rising seawater temperatures on the distribution of seaweeds around Japan under multiple climate change scenarios},
  author = { Takao S. and Kumagai N. H. and Yamano H. and Fujii M. and Yamanaka Y. },
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {5},
  pages = {213-223},
},
@article{Wang W.
  title = {Statistical modeling and CMIP5 simulations of hot spell changes in China},
  author = { Wang W. and Zhou W. and Li Y. and Wang X. and Wang D. },
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-014-2287-1},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {44},
  pages = {2859-2872},
},
@article{Lindvall J.
  title = {The diurnal temperature range in the CMIP5 models},
  author = { Lindvall J. and Svensson G. },
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {44},
  pages = {405-421},
},
@article{Smith S. J.
  title = {Near-term acceleration in the rate of temperature change},
  author = { Smith S. J. and Edmonds J. A. and Hartin C. A. and Mundra A. and Calvin K. },
  url = {http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/v5/n4/full/nclimate2552.html},
  journal = {Nature Climate Change},
  volume = {5},
  pages = {333-336},
},
@article{Luomaranta
  title = {Multimodel estimates of the changes in the Baltic Sea ice cover during the present century},
  author = { Luomaranta, Anna and Ruosteenoja, Kimmo and Jylhä, Kirsti and Gregow, Hilppa and Haapala, Jari and Laaksonen, Ari },
  url = {http://www.tellusa.net/index.php/tellusa/article/view/22617},
  journal = {Tellus},
  volume = {66},
},
@article{Santer
  title = {Volcanic contribution to decadal changes in tropospheric temperature},
  author = { Santer, Benjamin D. and Bonfils, Céline and Painter, Jeffrey F. and Zelinka, Mark D. and Mears, Carl and Solomon, Susan and Schmidt, Gavin A. and Fyfe, John C. and Cole, Jason N. S. and Nazarenko, Larissa and Taylor, Karl E. and Wentz, Frank J. },
  url = {http://www.nature.com/ngeo/journal/v7/n3/full/ngeo2098.html},
  journal = {Nature Geoscience},
  volume = {7},
  pages = {185-189},
},
@article{Manda A.
  title = {Impacts of a warming marginal sea on torrential rainfall organized under the Asian summer monsoon},
  author = { Manda A. and Nakamura H. and Asano N. and Iizuka S. and Miyama T. and Moteki Q. and Yoshioka M. K. and Nishii K. },
  url = {http://www.nature.com/srep/2014/140718/srep05741/full/srep05741.html},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {4},
},
@article{Ceppi P.
  title = {The response of the Southern Hemispheric eddy-driven jet to future changes in shortwave radiation in CMIP5},
  author = { Ceppi P. and Zelinka M. D. and Hartmann D. L. },
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014GL060043/abstract},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {41},
  pages = {3244-3250},
},
@article{Ma Q.
  title = {Evaluations of Atmospheric Downward Longwave Radiation from 44 Coupled General Circulation Models of CMIP5},
  author = { Ma Q. and Wang K. and Wild M. },
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013JD021427/abstract},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {119},
  pages = {4486-4497},
},
@article{Wang K.
  title = {Measurement Biases Explain Discrepancies between the Observed and Simulated Decadal Variability of Surface Incident Solar Radiation},
  author = { Wang K. },
  url = {http://www.nature.com/srep/2014/140821/srep06144/full/srep06144.html},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {4},
},
@article{Chadwick R. S.
  title = {Surface warming patterns drive tropical rainfall pattern responses to CO2 forcing on all timescales},
  author = { Chadwick R. S. and Good P. and Andrews T. and Martin G. },
  url = {http://http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013GL058504/abstract},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {41},
},
@article{Zelinka M. D.
  title = {Quantifying components of aerosol-cloud-radiation interactions in climate models},
  author = { Zelinka M. D. and Andews T. and Forster P. M. and Taylor K. E. },
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014JD021710/abstract},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {119},
},
@article{Wjcik R.
  title = {Reliability of the CMIP5 GCM simulations in reproducing atmospheric circulation over Europe and the North Atlantic: a statistical downscaling perspective},
  author = { Wjcik R. },
  journal = {International Journal of Climatology},
},
@article{Chen L.
  title = {Surface Air Temperature Changes over the Twentieth and Twenty-First Centuries in China Simulated by 20 CMIP5 Models},
  author = { Chen L. and Frauenfeld O. W. },
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00465.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
  pages = {3920-3937},
},
@article{Chen L.
  title = {A comprehensive evaluation of precipitation simulations over China based on CMIP5 multimodel ensemble projections},
  author = { Chen L. and Frauenfeld O. W. },
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013JD021190/abstract},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {119},
},
@article{Sherwood S. C.
  title = {Spread in model climate sensitivity traced to atmospheric convective mixing},
  author = { Sherwood S. C. and Bony S. and Dufresne J. },
  journal = {Nature},
  volume = {505},
  pages = {37-42},
},
@article{Zou Y.
  title = {CMIP5 model simulations of the impacts of the two types of El Niño on the U.S. winter temperature},
  author = { Zou Y. and Yu J. and Lee T. and Lu M. and Kim S. },
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013JD021064/abstract},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {119},
  pages = {3076-3092},
},
@article{King A. D.
  title = {The ENSO-Australian rainfall teleconnection in reanalysis and CMIP5},
  author = { King A. D. and Donat M. G. and Alexander L. V. and Karoly D. J. },
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-014-2159-8},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
},
@article{Haughton N.
  title = {On the generation of climate model ensembles},
  author = { Haughton N. and Abramowitz G. and Pitman A. and Phipps S. J. },
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-014-2054-3},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
},
@article{Wang F.
  title = {Radiation budget biases in AMIP5 models over the East Asian monsoon region},
  author = { Wang F. and Yang S. and Wu T. },
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
},
@article{Gao Y.
  title = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  author = { Gao Y. and Leung L. and Lu J. and Liu Y. and Huang M. and Qian Y. },
  url = {http://http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014GL059562/abstract},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {41},
  pages = {1745-1751},
},
@article{Cai W.
  title = {Did Climate Change%u2013Induced Rainfall Trends Contribute to the Australian Millennium Drought?},
  author = { Cai W. and Purich A. and Cowan T. and van Rensch P. and Weller E. },
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
  pages = {3145-3168},
},
@article{Ramesh K. V.
  title = {Assessing reliability of regional climate projections: the case of Indian monsoon},
  author = { Ramesh K. V. },
  url = {http://www.nature.com/srep/2014/140212/srep04071/full/srep04071.html},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {4},
  pages = {1-9},
},
@article{Lutz A. F.
  title = {Consistent increase in High Asia%u2019s runoff due to increasing glacier melt and precipitation},
  author = { Lutz A. F. and Immerzeel W. W. and Shrestha A. B. and Bierkens M. F. },
  url = {http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/v4/n7/full/nclimate2237.html},
  journal = {Nature Climate Change},
  volume = {4},
  pages = {587-592},
},
@article{Feng X.
  title = {Changes in significant and maximum wave heights in the Norwegian Sea},
  author = { Feng X. and Tsimplis M. N. and Yelland M. J. and Quartly G. D. },
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {113},
  pages = {58-76},
},
@article{Mitchell D. M.
  title = {Solar Signals in CMIP-5 Simulations: The Stratospheric Pathway},
  author = { Mitchell D. M. and Misios S. and Gray L. and Tourpali K. and Matthes K. and Hood L. and Schmidt H. and Chiodo G. and Thieblemont R. and Rozanov E. and Shindell D. and Krivolutsky A. },
  journal = {Quarterly Journal Royal Meteorological Society},
},
@article{Dirmeyer P. A.
  title = {Intensified land surface control on boundary layer growth in a changing climate},
  author = { Dirmeyer P. A. and Wang Z. and Mbuh M. J. and Norton H. E. },
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {41},
  pages = {1290-1294},
},
@article{Dirmeyer P. A.
  title = {Climate change and sectors of the surface water cycle In CMIP5 projections. },
  author = { Dirmeyer P. A. and Fang G. and Wang Z. and Yadav P. },
  journal = {Hydrology and Earth System Sciences},
  volume = {11},
  pages = {8537-8569},
},
@article{Laeppe T.
  title = {Global and regional variability in marine surface temperatures},
  author = { Laeppe T. },
  url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2014GL059345},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
},
@article{Hartmann D. L.
  title = {Trends in the CERES data set 2000-2013: The effects of ice melt and jet shifts and comparison to climate models},
  author = { Hartmann D. L. and Ceppi P. },
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00411.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
  pages = {2444-2456},
},
@article{Meehl G. A.
  title = {Decadal Climate Prediction: An Update from the Trenches},
  author = { Meehl G. A. and co-authors a. },
  journal = {Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society},
  volume = {95},
  pages = {243-267},
},
@article{England M. H.
  title = {Recent intensification of wind-driven circulation in the Pacific and the ongoing warming hiatus},
  author = { England M. H. and co-authors a. },
  journal = {Nature Climate Change},
  volume = {4},
  pages = {222-227},
},
@article{Wuebbles D.
  title = {CMIP5 climate model analyses: Climate extremes in the United States},
  author = { Wuebbles D. and co-authors a. },
  journal = {Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society},
  volume = {95},
  pages = {571-583},
},
@article{Meehl G. A.
  title = {CMIP5 multi-model initialized decadal hindcasts for the mid-1970s shift and early-2000s hiatus and predictions for 2016-2035},
  author = { Meehl G. A. and Teng H. },
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
},
@article{Elguindi N.
  title = {Assessment of CMIP5 global model simulations and climate change projections for the 21 st century using a modified Thornthwaite climate classification},
  author = { Elguindi N. and Grundstein A. and Bernardes S. and Turuncoglu U. and Feddema J. },
  journal = {Climatic Change},
  volume = {122},
  pages = {523-538},
},
@article{de Lavergne C.
  title = {Cessation of deep convection in the open Southern Ocean under anthropogenic climate change},
  author = { de Lavergne C. and Palter J. B. and Galbraith E. D. and Bernardello R. and Marinov I. },
  url = {http://http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/v4/n4/full/nclimate2132.html},
  journal = {Nature Climate Change},
  volume = {4},
  pages = {278-282},
},
@article{Kay J. E.
  title = {Processes controlling Southern Ocean shortwave climate feedbacks in CESM},
  author = { Kay J. E. and Medeiros B. and Hwang Y. and Gettelman A. and Perket J. and Flanner M. },
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013GL058315/full},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {41},
},
@article{Su H.
  title = {Weakening and strengthening structures in the Hadley Circulation change under global warming and implications for cloud response and climate sensitivity},
  author = { Su H. and Jiang J. H. and Zhai C. and Shen T. J. and J. David N. and Stephens G. L. and Yung Y. L. },
  url = {http://http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014JD021642/abstract},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {119},
  pages = {5787-5805},
},
@article{Stroeve J. C.
  title = {Using Combined Records of IceBridge and Satellite-Derived Thickness and Extent to Constrain Future Projections of Arctic Sea Ice},
  author = { Stroeve J. C. and Barrett A. and Schweiger A. and Serreze M. },
  url = {http://www.the-cryosphere-discuss.net/8/2179/2014/tcd-8-2179-2014-discussion.html},
  journal = {The Cryosphere Discussions},
},
@article{Petkova E. P.
  title = {Projected Heat-Related Mortality in the U.S. Urban Northeast},
  author = { Petkova E. P. and Horton R. M. and Bader D. A. },
  url = {http://www.mdpi.com/1660-4601/10/12/6734},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {10},
  pages = {6734-6747},
},
@article{Dolinar E. K.
  title = {Evaluation of CMIP5 Simulated Clouds and TOA Radiation Budgets Using NASA Satellite Observations},
  author = { Dolinar E. K. and Dong X. and Xi B. and Jiang J. H. and Su H. },
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
},
@article{Baker N. C.
  title = {A Comparative Study of Precipitation and Evaporation between CMIP3 and CMIP5 Climate Model Ensembles in Semiarid Regions},
  author = { Baker N. C. and Huang H. },
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/pdf/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00398.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
  pages = {3731-3749},
},
@article{Lin J.
  title = {Stratocumulus clouds in southeastern Pacific simulated by eight CMIP5/CFMIP global climate models},
  author = { Lin J. and Qian T. and Shinoda T. },
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
  pages = {3000-3022},
},
@article{Tan M.
  title = {Impacts and uncertainties of climate change on streamflow of the Johor River Basin, Malaysia using a CMIP5 General Circulation Model ensemble},
  author = { Tan M. and Ficklin D. and Ibrahim A. and Yusop Z. },
  url = {http://www.iwaponline.com/jwc/up/jwc2014020.htm},
  journal = {Other},
},
@article{Marcos M.
  title = {Quantifying anthropogenic and natural contributions to thermosteric sea level rise},
  author = { Marcos M. and Amores A. },
  url = {http://http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014GL059766/abstract},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {41},
  pages = {2502-2507},
},
@article{Kren A. C.
  title = {Examining the stratospheric response to the solar cycle in a coupled WACCM simulation with an internally generated QBO},
  author = { Kren A. C. and Marsh D. R. and Smith A. K. and Pilewskie P. },
  url = {http://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/14/4843/2014/acp-14-4843-2014.html},
  journal = {Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics},
  volume = {14},
  pages = {4843-4856},
},
@article{Neil B. P.
  title = {On the Contribution of Longwave Radiation to Global Climate Model Biases in Arctic Lower Tropospheric Stability},
  author = { Neil B. P. and Stephen K. A. and Boyle J. S. },
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
},
@article{Van den Hurk B. J.
  title = { Drivers of mean climate change around the Netherlands derived from CMIP5},
  author = { Van den Hurk B. J. and Van Oldenborgh G. J. and Lenderink G. and Hazeleger W. and Haarsma R. J. and De Vries H. },
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {42},
  pages = {1683-1697},
},
@article{Hao Z.
  title = {Changes in Concurrent Monthly Precipitation and Temperature Extremes},
  author = { Hao Z. and AghaKouchak A. and Phillips T. J. },
  url = {http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/8/3/034014/},
  journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
  volume = {8},
},
@article{Sandeep S.
  title = {Poleward shift in Indian summer monsoon low level jetstream under global warming},
  author = { Sandeep S. and Ajayamohan R. },
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-014-2261-y},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
},
@article{Sandeep S.
  title = {Origin of cold bias over the Arabian Sea in Climate Models},
  author = { Sandeep S. and Ajayamohan R. },
  url = {http://www.nature.com/srep/2014/140917/srep06403/full/srep06403.html},
  journal = {Other},
},
@article{Dwyer J. G.
  title = {The Effect of greenhouse gas-induced changes in SST on the annual cycle of zonal mean tropical precipitation},
  author = { Dwyer J. G. and Biasutti M. and Sobel A. H. },
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
},
@article{King A. D.
  title = {Climate Change turns Australia's 2013 Big Dry into a year of record-breaking heat},
  author = { King A. D. and Karoly D. J. and Donat M. G. and Alexander L. V. },
  url = {http://www.journals.ametsoc.org/doi/pdf/10.1175/1520-0477-95.9.S1.1},
  journal = {Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society},
  volume = {95},
  pages = {S41-S45},
},
@article{Guttorp P.
  title = {Assessing the uncertainty in projecting local mean sea level from global temperature},
  author = { Guttorp P. and Bolin D. and Januzzi A. and Novak M. and Podschwit H. and Richardson L. and Särkkä A. and Sowder C. and Zimmerman A. },
  journal = {Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology},
  volume = {53},
  pages = {2163-2170},
},
@article{Sanap S. D.
  title = {Assessment of the aerosol distribution over Indian subcontinent in CMIP5 models},
  author = { Sanap S. D. and Pandithurai G. and Chaudhury A. D. and Niranjan K. },
  url = {http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1352231014000260?np=y},
  journal = {Atmospheric Environment},
  volume = {87},
  pages = {123-127},
},
@article{Noda A. T.
  title = {Intermodel variances of subtropical stratocumulus environments simulated in CMIP5 models},
  author = { Noda A. T. and Satoh M. },
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014GL061812/abstract},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {41},
},
@article{Young P. J.
  title = {Modeling the climate impact of Southern Hemisphere ozone depletion: The importance of the ozone dataset},
  author = { Young P. J. and Davis S. M. and Hassler B. and Solomon S. and Rosenlof K. H. },
  url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2014GL061738},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {41},
  pages = {9033-9039},
},
@article{Terzago S.
  title = {Snowpack Changes in the Hindu Kush%u2013Karakoram%u2013Himalaya from CMIP5 Global Climate Models},
  author = { Terzago S. and von Hardenberg J. and Palazzi E. and Provenzale A. },
  journal = {Journal of Hydrometeorology},
  volume = {15},
  pages = {2293-2313},
},
@article{Wan H.
  title = {Attributing northern high-latitude precipitation change over the period 1966%u20132005 to human influence},
  author = { Wan H. and Zhang X. and Zwiers F. and Min S. },
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
},
@article{Sun Y.
  title = {Rapid increase in the risk of extreme summer heat in Eastern China},
  author = { Sun Y. and Zhang X. and Zwiers F. and Song L. and Wan H. and Hu T. and Yin H. and Ren G. },
  journal = {Nature Climate Change},
  volume = {4},
  pages = {1082-1085},
},
@article{Barton N. P.
  title = {On the Contribution of Longwave Radiation to Global Climate Model Biases in Arctic Lower Tropospheric Stability},
  author = { Barton N. P. and Klein S. A. and Boyle J. S. },
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00126.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
  pages = {7250-7269},
},
@article{Wang C.
  title = {A global perspective on CMIP5 climate model biases},
  author = { Wang C. and Zhang L. and Lee S. and Wu L. and Mechoso C. },
  journal = {Nature Climate Change},
  volume = {4},
  pages = {201-205},
},
@article{Lebsock M. D.
  title = {Application of Active Spaceborne Remote Sensing for Understanding Biases Between Passive Cloud Water Path Retrievals},
  author = { Lebsock M. D. and Su H. },
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {119},
  pages = {8962-8979},
},
@article{Bintanja R.
  title = {Future increases in Arctic precipitation linked to local evaporation and sea ice retreat},
  author = { Bintanja R. and Selten F. },
  url = {http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v509/n7501/full/nature13259.html},
  journal = {Nature},
  volume = {509},
  pages = {479-482},
},
@article{Saha A.
  title = {Failure of CMIP5 climate models in simulating post-1950 decreasing trend of Indian monsoon},
  author = { Saha A. and Ghosh S. and A.S. S. and Rao E. },
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014GL061573/pdf},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {41},
  pages = {7323-7330},
},
@article{Yu M.
  title = {Impact of bias correction of lateral boundary conditions on regional climate projections in West Africa},
  author = { Yu M. and Wang G. },
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {42},
  pages = {2521-2538},
},
@article{zhao l.
  title = {Uncertainties of the global-to-regional temperature and precipitation simulations in CMIP5 models for past and future 100 years},
  author = { zhao l. and xu j. and M. Powell Jr. A. },
  journal = {Theoretical and Applied Climatology},
},
@article{Harada M.
  title = {Impacts of Slowed Tropical Circulation on Winter Stationary Waves in East Asia and the North Pacific},
  author = { Harada M. and Wakamatsu S. and Hirahara S. and Murai H. and Oikawa Y. and Maeda S. },
  url = {http://doi.org/10.2151/sola.2014-038},
  journal = {SOLA},
  volume = {10},
  pages = {180-184},
},
@article{Durack P. J.
  title = {Quantifying underestimates of long-term upper-ocean warming},
  author = { Durack P. J. and Gleckler P. J. and Landerer F. W. and Taylor K. E. },
  url = {http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/v4/n11/abs/nclimate2389.html},
  journal = {Nature Climate Change},
  volume = {4},
  pages = {999-1005},
},
@article{Wu Q.
  title = {Interannual Variability and Long-Term Changes of Atmospheric Circulation over the Chukchi and Beaufort Seas },
  author = { Wu Q. and Zhang J. and Zhang X. and Tao W. },
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/pdf/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00610.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
  pages = {4871-4889},
},
@article{Ohba M.
  title = {Statistical parameterization expressing ENSO variability and reversibility in response to CO2 concentration changes},
  author = { Ohba M. and Tsutsui J. and Nohara D. },
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
  pages = {398-410},
},
@article{Harada M.
  title = {Intensification of the South Side of the Asian Jet Stream during the Northern Winter in CMIP5 models},
  author = { Harada M. and Hirahara S. and Hagiya S. and Murai H. and Oikawa Y. and Maeda S. },
  url = {http://doi.org/10.2151/sola.2013-021},
  journal = {SOLA},
  volume = {9},
  pages = {94-97},
},
@article{van Oldenborgh G.
  title = {Reliability of regional climate model trends},
  author = { van Oldenborgh G. and Doblas-Reyes F. R. and Drijfhout S. S. and Hawkins E. },
  url = {http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/8/1/014055/},
  journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
  volume = {8},
},
@article{Ceppi P.
  title = {The relationship between the ITCZ and the Southern Hemisphere eddy-driven jet},
  author = { Ceppi P. and Hwang Y. and Liu X. and Frierson D. M. and Hartmann D. L. },
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/jgrd.50461/abstract},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {118},
  pages = {5136-5146},
},
@article{Mitchell D. M.
  title = {Revisiting the controversial issue of tropical tropospheric temperature trends},
  author = { Mitchell D. M. and Thorne P. W. and Stott P. A. and Gray L. J. },
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {40},
},
@article{Ylh?isi J. S.
  title = {Quantifying sources of climate uncertainty to inform risk analysis for climate change decision-making},
  author = { Ylh?isi J. S. and Garr? L. and Daron J. and R?is?nen J. },
  url = {http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/13549839.2013.874987#.Uuubr_iflwY},
  journal = {Local Environment},
},
@article{Torres R. R.
  title = {Climate change hotspots over South America: from CMIP3 to CMIP5 multi-model datasets},
  author = { Torres R. R. and Marengo J. A. },
  journal = {Theoretical and Applied Climatology},
},
@article{Feng S.
  title = {Expansion of global drylands under a warming climate},
  author = { Feng S. and Fu Q. },
  url = {http://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/13/10081/2013/},
  journal = {Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics},
  volume = {13},
  pages = {10081-10094},
},
@article{Wild M.
  title = {The global energy balance from a surface perspective},
  author = { Wild M. and Folini D. and Schär C. and Loeb N. and Dutton E. G. and König-Langlo G. },
  url = {http://www.iac.ethz.ch/people/wild/Wild_et_al_ClimDyn_2013.pdf},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {40},
  pages = {3107-3134},
},
@article{Perez J.
  title = {Evaluating the performance of CMIP3 and CMIP5 global climate models over the north-east Atlantic region},
  author = { Perez J. and Menendez M. and Mendez F. J. and Losada I. J. },
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-014-2078-8},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
},
@article{Eyring V.
  title = {Long-term ozone changes and associated climate impacts in CMIP5 simulations},
  author = { Eyring V. and Arblaster J. M. and Cionni I. and SedláÄ?ek J. and Perlwitz J. and Young P. J. and Bekki S. and Bergmann D. and Cameron-Smith P. and Collins W. J. and Faluvegi G. and Gottschaldt K. and Horowitz L. W. and Kinnison D. E. and Lamarque J. and Marsh D. R. and Saint-Martin D. and Shindell D. T. and Sudo K. and Szopa S. and Watanabe S. },
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/jgrd.50316/abstract},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research},
  volume = {118},
  pages = {5029-5060},
},
@article{Hu y.
  title = {Poleward Expansion of the Hadley Circulation in CMIP5 Simulations},
  author = { Hu y. and Tao L. },
  journal = {Advances in Atmospheric Sciences},
  volume = {30},
  pages = {790-795},
},
@article{Smith I. N.
  title = {Squeezing information from regional climate change projections - results from a synthesis of CMIP5 results for south-east Queensland, Australia.},
  author = { Smith I. N. and Syktus J. and McAlpine C. },
  journal = {Climatic Change},
},
@article{Smith I. N.
  title = {The relative performance of Australian CMIP5 models based on rainfall and ENSO metrics},
  author = { Smith I. N. and Syktus J. and Rotstayn L. and Jeffrey S. },
  journal = {Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Journal},
},
@article{Dwyer J. G.
  title = {The effect of greenhouse-gas-induced changes in SST on the seasonality of tropical precipitation},
  author = { Dwyer J. G. and Biasutti M. and Sobel A. H. },
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
},
@article{Chiang J. C.
  title = {Long-Term Behavior of the Atlantic Interhemispheric SST Gradient in the CMIP5 Historical Simulations},
  author = { Chiang J. C. and Chang C. and Michael W. F. },
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
},
@article{Weller E.
  title = {Asymmetry in the IOD and ENSO Teleconnection in a CMIP5 Model Ensemble and Its Relevance to Regional Rainfall},
  author = { Weller E. and Cai W. },
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {26},
  pages = {5139-5149},
},
@article{Chen L.
  title = {Assessing the performance of IPCC AR5 Climate Models in simulating and projecting wind speeds over China},
  author = { Chen L. and Pryor S. C. },
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {117},
},
@article{Collins M.
  title = {CORRESPONDENCE: Observational challenges in evaluating climate models},
  author = { Collins M. and AchutaRao K. and Ashok K. and Bhandari S. and Mitra A. K. and Srivastava R. and Turner A. },
  url = {http://http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/v3/n11/full/nclimate2012.html},
  journal = {Nature Climate Change},
  volume = {3},
  pages = {940-941},
},
@article{Brown J. R.
  title = {The western Pacific monsoon in CMIP5 models: Model evaluation and projections},
  author = { Brown J. R. and Colman R. A. and Moise A. F. and Smith I. N. },
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013JD020290/full},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {118},
  pages = {12,458-12,475},
},
@article{Gonzalez P. L.
  title = {Stratospheric ozone depletion: a key driver of recent precipitation trends in South Eastern South America},
  author = { Gonzalez P. L. and Polvani L. and Seager R. and Correa G. },
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-013-1777-x},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {42},
  pages = {1775-1792},
},
@article{Pithan F.
  title = {Mixed-phase clouds cause climate model biases in Arctic wintertime temperature inversions },
  author = { Pithan F. and Medeiros B. and Mauritsen T. },
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {43},
},
@article{Lohmann G.
  title = {A model-data comparison of the Holocene global sea surface temperature evolution},
  author = { Lohmann G. and Pfeiffer M. and Laepple T. and Leduc G. and Kim J. },
  url = {http://www.clim-past.net/9/1807/2013/cp-9-1807-2013.html},
  journal = {Climate of the Past},
  volume = {9},
  pages = {1807-1839},
},
@article{Power S. B.
  title = {Robust twenty-first-century projections of El%u2009Niño and related precipitation variability},
  author = { Power S. B. and Delage F. P. and Chung C. and Kociuba G. and Keay K. },
  url = {http://http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v502/n7472/full/nature12580.html},
  journal = {Nature},
  volume = {502},
  pages = {541-545},
},
@article{Friedman A. R.
  title = {Interhemispheric temperature asymmetry over the 20th century and in future projections},
  author = { Friedman A. R. and Hwang Y. and Chiang J. C. and Frierson D. M. },
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/full/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00525.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {26},
  pages = {5419-5433},
},
@article{Roehrig R.
  title = {The present and future of the West African monsoon: a process-oriented assessment of CMIP5 simulations along the AMMA transect.},
  author = { Roehrig R. and Bouniol D. and Guichard F. and Hourdin F. and Redelsperger J. },
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00505.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
},
@article{Zhang X.
  title = {Attributing intensification of precipitation extremes to human influence},
  author = { Zhang X. and Wan H. and Zwiers F. W. and Hegerl G. and Min S. },
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {40},
  pages = {5252-5257},
},
@article{Orlowsky B.
  title = {Elusive drought: uncertainty in observed trends and short- and long-term CMIP5 projections},
  author = { Orlowsky B. and Seneviratne S. I. },
  url = {http://www.hydrol-earth-syst-sci.net/17/1765/2013/hess-17-1765-2013.html},
  journal = {Hydrology and Earth System Sciences},
  volume = {17},
  pages = {1765-1781},
},
@article{Dunstone N. J.
  title = {Anthropogenic aerosol forcing of Atlantic tropical storms},
  author = { Dunstone N. J. and Smith D. M. and Booth B. B. and Hermanson L. H. and Eade R. },
  url = {http://www.nature.com/ngeo/journal/v6/n7/full/ngeo1854.html},
  journal = {Nature Geoscience},
  volume = {6},
  pages = {534-539},
},
@article{Young P. J.
  title = {Agreement in late twentieth century Southern Hemisphere stratospheric temperature trends in observations and CCMVal-2, CMIP3, and CMIP5 models},
  author = { Young P. J. and Bulter A. H. and Calvo N. and Haimberger L. and Kushner P. J. and Marsh D. R. and Randell W. J. and Rosenlof K. H. },
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {113},
  pages = {605-613},
},
@article{Lutz A. F.
  title = {Comparison of climate change signals in CMIP3 and CMIP5 multi-model ensembles and implications for Central Asian glaciers},
  author = { Lutz A. F. and Immerzeel W. W. and Gobiet A. and Pellicciotti F. and Bierkens M. F. },
  url = {http://www.hydrol-earth-syst-sci.net/17/3661/2013/hess-17-3661-2013.html},
  journal = {Hydrology and Earth System Sciences},
  volume = {17},
  pages = {3661-3677},
},
@article{Wilcox L. J.
  title = {The influence of anthropogenic aerosol on multi-decadal variations of historical global climate},
  author = { Wilcox L. J. and Highwood E. J. and Dunstone N. J. },
  url = {http://stacks.iop.org/1748-9326/8/024033},
  journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
  volume = {8},
},
@article{Marvel K.
  title = {Identifying external influences on global precipitation},
  author = { Marvel K. and Bonfils C. },
  journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences},
  volume = {110},
  pages = {19301-19306},
},
@article{Cowan T.
  title = {Forcing of anthropogenic aerosols on temperature trends of the sub-thermocline southern Indian Ocean},
  author = { Cowan T. and Cai W. and Purich A. and Rotstayn L. and Matthew E. H. },
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {3},
},
@article{Kitoh A.
  title = {Monsoons in a changing world: a regional perspective in a global context.},
  author = { Kitoh A. and Endo H. and Krishna Kumar K. and Cavalcanti I. F. and Goswami P. },
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {118},
  pages = {3053-3065},
},
@article{Huntingford C.
  title = {No increase in global temperature variability despite changing regional patterns},
  author = { Huntingford C. and Jones P. D. and Livina V. N. and Lenton T. M. },
  url = {http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v500/n7462/full/nature12310.html},
  journal = {Nature},
  volume = {500},
  pages = {327-330},
},
@article{Gillett N. P.
  title = {Annular mode changes in the CMIP5 simulations},
  author = { Gillett N. P. and Fyfe J. C. },
  url = {http://http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/grl.50249/abstract},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {40},
  pages = {1189-1193},
},
@article{Barnes E. A.
  title = {Model projections of atmospheric steering of Sandy-like superstorms},
  author = { Barnes E. A. and Polvani L. M. and Sobel A. H. },
  url = {http://http://www.pnas.org/content/early/2013/08/28/1308732110.abstract},
  journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences},
  volume = {110},
  pages = {15211-15215},
},
@article{Purich A.
  title = {Autumn Precipitation Trends over Southern Hemisphere Midlatitudes as Simulated by CMIP5 Models},
  author = { Purich A. and Cowan T. and Min S. and Cai W. },
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/pdf/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00007.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {26},
  pages = {8341-8356},
},
@conference{Zou Y.
  title = {CMIP5 Simulations of US Winter Responses to El Niño Diversity},
  author = { Zou Y. and Yu J. and Lee T. },
  year = {2013},
},
@article{Karlsson J.
  title = {Consequences of poor representation of Arctic sea-ice albedo and cloud-radiation interactions in the CMIP5 model ensemble},
  author = { Karlsson J. and Svensson G. },
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/grl.50768/abstract},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {40},
  pages = {4374-4379},
},
@article{Zhang R.
  title = {The role of global climate change in the extreme low summer Arctic sea ice extent in 2012 in %u201CExplaining Extreme Events of 2012 from a Climate Perspective},
  author = { Zhang R. and Knutson T. R. },
  url = {http://http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/BAMS-D-13-00085.1},
  journal = {Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society},
  volume = {94},
  pages = {S23-S26},
},
@article{Ceppi P.
  title = {Southern Hemisphere jet latitude biases in CMIP5 models linked to shortwave cloud forcing},
  author = { Ceppi P. and Hwang Y. and Frierson D. M. and Hartmann D. L. },
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
},
@article{DU Z.
  title = {How well can CMIP5 CGCMs simulate the Asian summer monsoon rainfall and its interannual variability and their future projections},
  author = { DU Z. and HUANG R. and Huang G. },
  journal = {Advances in Atmospheric Sciences},
},
@article{Jiang J. H.
  title = {Evaluation of Cloud and Water Vapor Simulations in CMIP5 Climate Models Using NASA A-Train Satellite Observations},
  author = { Jiang J. H. },
  url = {http://www.agu.org/pubs/crossref/2012/2011JD017237.shtml},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {117},
  pages = {1-24},
},
@article{Frierson D. M.
  title = {Robust future precipitation declines in CMIP5 largely reflect the poleward expansion of model subtropical dry zones},
  author = { Frierson D. M. and Scheff J. },
  url = {http://www.ldeo.columbia.edu/~jscheff/2012GL052910.pdf},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {39},
},
@article{Holmes C. D.
  title = {Future methane, hydroxyl, and their uncertainties: key climate and emission parameters for future predictions},
  author = { Holmes C. D. and Prather M. J. and Søvde O. A. and Myhre G. },
  url = {http://www.atmos-chem-phys-discuss.net/12/20931/2012/},
  journal = {Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics},
},
@article{Su F.
  title = {Evaluation of the Global Climate Models in the CMIP5 over the Tibetan Plateau},
  author = { Su F. and Duan X. and Hao Z. and Cuo L. and Chen D. },
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
},
@article{McSweeney C. F.
  title = {No consensus on consensus: The challenge of finding a universal approach to measuring and mapping ensemble consistency in GCM projections},
  author = { McSweeney C. F. and Jones R. G. },
  journal = {Climatic Change},
},
@article{Catto J. L.
  title = {North Australian sea surface temperatures and the El Nino Southern Oscillation in the CMIP5 models},
  author = { Catto J. L. and Nicholls N. and Jakob C. },
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {25},
  pages = {6375-6382},
},
@article{Fyfe J. C.
  title = {Human influence on extratropical Southern Hemisphere precipitation},
  author = { Fyfe J. C. and Gillett N. P. and Marshall G. G. },
  journal = {Aerosol Science and Technology},
},
@article{Kongola L.
  title = {Dependence of groundwater resources on extreme rainfall: evidence from East Africa. },
  author = { Kongola L. and Taylor R. G. and Todd M. C. },
  journal = {Nature},
},
@article{Tomassini L.
  title = {The respective roles of surface temperature driven feedbacks and tropospheric adjustment to CO2 in CMIP5 transient climate simulations},
  author = { Tomassini L. and Geoffroy O. and Dufresne J. and Idelkadi A. and Cagnazzo C. and Block K. and Mauritsen T. and Giorgetta M. and Quaas J. },
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
},
@article{Landerer F. W.
  title = {Evaluation of dynamic sea surface height in CMIP3 and CMIP5 models against satellite observations},
  author = { Landerer F. W. and Gleckler P. and Tong L. },
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research},
},
@article{Wang B.
  title = {Future change of Asian-Australian monsoon},
  author = { Wang B. and Yim S. and Lee J. and Liu J. and Ha K. },
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
},
@article{Mauritsen T.
  title = {Tuning the climate of a global model},
  author = { Mauritsen T. and Stevens B. and Roeckner E. and Crueger T. and Esch M. and Giorgetta M. and Haak H. and Jungclaus J. and Klocke D. and Matei D. and Mikolajewicz U. and Notz D. and Pincus R. and Schmidt H. and Tomassini L. },
  url = {http://www.agu.org/pubs/crossref/2012/2012MS000154.shtml},
  journal = {Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems},
  volume = {4},
},
@article{DU Z.
  title = {How Well can CMIP5 CGCMs Simulate the EAP/PJ Teleconnection Pattern and its Corresponding Summer Climate in the East Asian Monsoon Region},
  author = { DU Z. and HUANG R. and Huang G. },
  journal = {Advances in Atmospheric Sciences},
},
@article{Lee J.
  title = {Future change of global monsoon in the CMIP5},
  author = { Lee J. and Wang B. },
  url = {http://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007%2Fs00382-012-1564-0},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
},
@article{Koven C. D.
  title = {Analysis of permafrost thermal dynamics and response to climate change in the CMIP5 Earth System Models},
  author = { Koven C. D. and Riley W. J. },
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
},
@article{Jourdain N. C.
  title = {The Indo-Australian monsoon and its relationship to ENSO and IOD in reanalysis data and the CMIP3/CMIP5 simulations},
  author = { Jourdain N. C. and Sen Gupta A. and Taschetto A. S. and Ummenhofer C. C. and Moise A. F. and Ashok K. },
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
},
@article{Kim S.
  title = {The Two Types of ENSO in CMIP5 Models},
  author = { Kim S. and Yu J. },
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {39},
},
@article{Wang K.
  title = {A review of global terrestrial evapotranspiration: Observation, modeling, climatology, and climatic variability},
  author = { Wang K. and Dickinson R. },
  url = {http://www.agu.org/pubs/crossref/2012/2011RG000373.shtml},
  journal = {Reviews of Geophysics},
  volume = {50},
},
@article{Colle B. A.
  title = {Historical and future predictions of eastern North America and western Atlantic extratropical cyclones in CMIP5 during the cool season},
  author = { Colle B. A. and Zhang Z. and Lombardo K. A. and Chang E. and Liu P. and Zhang M. and Hameed S. },
  url = {http://blizzard.msrc.sunysb.edu/~colle/Colle_etalCMIP5.pdf},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
},
@article{Po-Chedley S.
  title = {Discrepancies in tropical upper tropospheric warming between atmospheric circulation models and satellites},
  author = { Po-Chedley S. and Fu Q. },
  url = {http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/7/4/044018/},
  journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
  volume = {7},
},
@article{Chaturvedi R. K.
  title = {Multi-model climate change projections for India under representative concentration pathways},
  author = { Chaturvedi R. K. and Joshi J. and Jayaraman M. and Bala G. and Ravindranath N. },
  url = {http://www.currentscience.ac.in/cs/Volumes/103/07/0791.pdf},
  journal = {Current Science},
  volume = {103},
  pages = {791-802},
},