@article{Herman
title = {Drivers of low-frequency Sahel precipitation variability: comparing CMIP5 and CMIP6 ensemble means with observations},
author = {
Herman, Rebecca Jean
and Biasutti, Michela
and Kushnir, Yochanan
},
url = {https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-023-06755-1},
journal = {Climate Dynamics},
volume = {61},
pages = {4449-4470},
}
,@article{von der Gathen
title = {Climate change favours large seasonal loss of Arctic ozone},
author = {
von der Gathen, Peter
and Kivi, Rigel
and Wohltmann, Ingo
and Salawitch, Ross J.
and Rex, Markus
},
url = {https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-021-24089-6},
journal = {Nature Communications},
volume = {12},
}
,@article{Kajtar
title = {CMIP5 Intermodel Relationships in the Baseline Southern Ocean Climate System and With Future Projections},
author = {
Kajtar, Jules B.
and Santoso, Agus
and Collins, Matthew
and Taschetto, Andréa S.
and England, Matthew H.
and Frankcombe, Leela M.
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2020EF001873},
journal = {Earth's Future},
volume = {9},
}
,@article{Nicholls
title = {Regionally aggregated, stitched and de‐drifted CMIP‐climate data, processed with netCDF‐SCM v2.0.0},
author = {
Nicholls, Zebedee
and Lewis, Jared
and Makin, Melissa
and Nattala, Usha
and Zhang, Geordie Z.
and Mutch, Simon J.
and Tescari, Edoardo
and Meinshausen, Malte
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/gdj3.113},
journal = {Geoscience Data Journal},
}
,@article{Tang
title = {Evaluating Diurnal and Semi-Diurnal Cycle of Precipitation in CMIP6 Models Using Satellite- and Ground-Based Observations},
author = {
Tang, Shuaiqi
and Gleckler, Peter
and Xie, Shaocheng
and Lee, Jiwoo
and Ahn, Min-Seop
and Covey, Curt
and Zhang, Chengzhu
},
url = {https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/clim/aop/JCLI-D-20-0639.1/JCLI-D-20-0639.1.xml},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
pages = {1-56},
}
,@article{Hobbs
title = {Anthropogenic Temperature and Salinity Changes in the Southern Ocean},
author = {
Hobbs, William R.
and Roach, Christopher
and Roy, Tilla
and Sallée, Jean-Baptiste
and Bindoff, Nathaniel
},
url = {https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/clim/34/1/jcliD200454.xml},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
volume = {34},
pages = {215-228},
}
,@article{Zhang
title = {The ARM Data-Oriented Metrics and Diagnostics Package for Climate Models: A New Tool for Evaluating Climate Models with Field Data},
author = {
Zhang, C.
and Xie, S.
and Tao, C.
and Tang, S.
and Emmenegger, T.
and Neelin, J. D.
and Schiro, K. A.
and Lin, W.
and Shaheen, Z.
},
url = {https://journals.ametsoc.org/bams/article/101/10/E1619/348634/The-ARM-DataOriented-Metrics-and-Diagnostics},
journal = {Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society},
volume = {101},
pages = {E1619-E1627},
}
,@article{Irving
title = {A Mass and Energy Conservation Analysis of Drift in the CMIP6 Ensemble},
author = {
Irving, Damien
and Hobbs, Will
and Church, John
and Zika, Jan
},
url = {https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0281.1},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
pages = {1-43},
}
,@article{Cannon
title = {Reductions in daily continental-scale atmospheric circulation biases between generations of global climate models: CMIP5 to CMIP6},
author = {
Cannon, Alex J
},
url = {https://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab7e4f},
journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
volume = {15},
pages = {064006},
}
,@article{Grise
title = {Hadley cell expansion in CMIP6 models},
author = {
Grise, Kevin M.
and Davis, Sean M.
},
url = {https://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/20/5249/2020/},
journal = {Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics},
volume = {20},
pages = {5249-5268},
}
,@article{Lu
title = {Uncertainty and hotspots in 21st century projections of agricultural drought from CMIP5 models},
author = {
Lu, Junyu
and Carbone, Gregory J.
and Grego, John M.
},
url = {https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-019-41196-z},
journal = {Other},
volume = {9},
}
,@article{Po-Chedley
title = {Climate constraint reflects forced signal},
author = {
Po-Chedley, Stephen
and Proistosescu, Cristian
and Armour, Kyle C.
and Santer, Benjamin D.
},
url = {https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-018-0640-y},
journal = {Nature},
volume = {563},
pages = {E6-E9},
}
,@article{Ferguson
title = {The Effect of Global Warming on Future Water Availability: CMIP5 Synthesis},
author = {
Ferguson, C. R.
and Pan, M.
and Oki, Taikan
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1029/2018WR022792},
journal = {Water Resources Research},
volume = {54},
pages = {7791-7819},
}
,@article{Po-Chedley
title = {Sources of Intermodel Spread in the Lapse Rate and Water Vapor Feedbacks},
author = {
Po-Chedley, Stephen
and Armour, Kyle C.
and Bitz, Cecilia M.
and Zelinka, Mark D.
and Santer, Benjamin D.
and Fu, Qiang
},
url = {https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0674.1},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
volume = {31},
pages = {3187-3206},
}
,@article{Koshiro
title = {Evaluation of Relationships between Subtropical Marine Low Stratiform Cloudiness and Estimated Inversion Strength in CMIP5 Models Using the Satellite Simulator Package COSP},
author = {
Koshiro, Tsuyoshi
and Shiotani, Masato
and Kawai, Hideaki
and Yukimoto, Seiji
},
url = {https://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/sola/14/0/14_2018-005/_article},
journal = {SOLA},
volume = {14},
pages = {25-32},
}
,@article{Esteban Abellán
title = {Analysis of the southward wind shift of ENSO in CMIP5 models},
author = {
Esteban Abellán
and Shayne McGregor
and Matthew H. England
},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
volume = {30},
pages = {2415-2435},
}
,@article{Zazulie
title = {Regional climate of the subtropical central Andes using high-resolution CMIP5 models—part I: past performance (1980–2005)},
author = {
Zazulie, N
and Rusticucci, M
and Raga, G. B.
},
journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,@article{DeAngelis
title = {Importance of vegetation processes for model spread in the fast precipitation response to CO2 forcing},
author = {
DeAngelis, Anthony M.
and Qu, Xin
and Hall, Alex
},
url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL071392/abstract},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {43},
pages = {12,550-12,559},
}
,@article{Wills
title = {Thermodynamic and dynamic controls on changes in the zonally anomalous hydrological cycle},
author = {
Wills, Robert C.
and Byrne, Michael P.
and Schneider, Tapio
},
url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL068418/abstract},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {43},
pages = {4640-4649},
}
,@article{Mahowald
title = {Projections of leaf area index in earth system models},
author = {
Mahowald, Natalie
and Lo, Fiona
and Zheng, Yun
and Harrison, Laura
and Funk, Chris
and Lombardozzi, Danica
and Goodale, Christine
},
url = {http://www.earth-syst-dynam.net/7/211/2016/},
journal = {Earth System Dynamics},
volume = {7},
pages = {211-229},
}
,@article{Pendergrass
title = {Does extreme precipitation intensity depend on the emissions scenario?},
author = {
Pendergrass, Angeline G.
and Lehner, Flavio
and Sanderson, Benjamin M.
and Xu, Yangyang
},
url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL065854/abstract},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {42},
pages = {8767-8774},
}
,@article{Marvel
title = {External Influences on Modeled and Observed Cloud Trends},
author = {
Marvel, Kate
and Zelinka, Mark
and Klein, Stephen A.
and Bonfils, Céline
and Caldwell, Peter
and Doutriaux, Charles
and Santer, Benjamin D.
and Taylor, Karl E.
},
url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00734.1},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
volume = {28},
pages = {4820-4840},
}
,@article{Wieder
title = {Future productivity and carbon storage limited by terrestrial nutrient availability},
author = {
Wieder, William R.
and Cleveland, Cory C.
and Smith, W. Kolby
and Todd-Brown, Katherine
},
url = {http://www.nature.com/ngeo/journal/v8/n6/full/ngeo2413.html},
journal = {Nature Geoscience},
volume = {8},
pages = {441-444},
}
,@article{Rotstayn
title = {Effects of declining aerosols on projections of zonally averaged tropical precipitation},
author = {
Rotstayn, L D
and Collier, M A
and Luo, J-J
},
url = {http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/10/4/044018/meta},
journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
volume = {10},
pages = {044018-044018},
}
,@article{Plotka H.
title = {Physics of changes in synoptic midlatitude temperature variability},
author = {
Plotka H.
},
url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00632.1},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
volume = {28},
pages = {2312-2331},
}
,@article{Bolin D.
title = {Statistical prediction of global sea level from global temperature},
author = {
Bolin D.
and Guttorp P.
and Januzzi A.
and Jones D.
and Nowak M.
and Podschwit H.
and Richardson L.
and Särkkä A.
and Sowder C.
and Zimmerman A.
},
journal = {Other},
volume = {25},
pages = {351-357},
}
,@article{Boisier J.
title = {Projected strengthening of Amazonian dry season by constrained climate model simulations},
author = {
Boisier J.
and Ciais P.
and Ducharne A.
and Guimberteau M.
},
url = {http://http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/v5/n7/full/nclimate2658.html},
journal = {Nature Climate Change},
volume = {5},
pages = {656-660},
}
,@article{Gong H.
title = {Diverse Influences of ENSO on the East Asian%u2013Western Pacific Winter Climate Tied to Different ENSO Properties in CMIP5 Models},
author = {
Gong H.
and Wang L.
and Chen W.
and Nath D.
and Huang G.
and Tao W.
},
url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00405.1},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
volume = {28},
pages = {2187-2202},
}
,@article{Sui Y.
title = {Temperature and precipitation signals over China with a 2°C global warming},
author = {
Sui Y.
and Lang X.
and Jiang D.
},
journal = {Climate Research},
volume = {64},
pages = {227-242},
}
,@article{Yi S.
title = { Impacts of External Forcing on the Decadal Climate Variability in CMIP5 Simulations},
author = {
Yi S.
and Yongqiang Y.
},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,@article{Fountoulakis I.
title = {Projected changes in erythemal and vitamin D effective irradiance over northern-hemisphere high latitudes},
author = {
Fountoulakis I.
and Bais A. F.
},
url = {http://http://pubs.rsc.org/en/content/articlelanding/2015/pp/c5pp00093a/unauth#!divAbstract},
journal = {Other},
}
,@article{Jiang D.
title = {Reliability of climate models for China through the IPCC Third to Fifth Assessment Reports},
author = {
Jiang D.
and Tian Z.
and Lang X.
},
journal = {International Journal of Climatology},
volume = {36},
pages = {1114-1133},
}
,@article{Palazzi E.
title = {Precipitation in the Karakoram-Himalaya: a CMIP5 view},
author = {
Palazzi E.
and von Hardenberg J.
and Terzago S.
and Provenzale A.
},
journal = {Climate Dynamics},
volume = {45},
pages = {21-45},
}
,@article{van Oldenborgh G.
title = {Cold extremes in North America vs. mild weather in Europe: the winter 2013/2014 in the context of a warming world},
author = {
van Oldenborgh G.
and Haarsma R. J.
and De Vries H.
and Allen M. R.
},
url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/BAMS-D-14-00036.1},
journal = {Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society},
}
,@article{Ji Z.
title = {Evaluation of extreme climate events using a regional climate model for China},
author = {
Ji Z.
and Kang S.
},
url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/joc.4024/epdf},
journal = {International Journal of Climatology},
volume = {35},
pages = {888-902},
}
,@article{Lute A. C.
title = {Projected changes in snowfall extremes and interannual variability of snowfall in the western United States},
author = {
Lute A. C.
and Abatzoglou J. T.
and Hegewisch K. C.
},
url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014WR016267/epdf},
journal = {Water Resources Research},
volume = {51},
pages = {960-972},
}
,@article{Wang X. L.
title = {Climate change signal and uncertainty in CMIP5-based projections of global ocean surface wave heights},
author = {
Wang X. L.
and Feng Y.
and Swail V. R.
},
journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research},
volume = {120},
pages = {3859-3871},
}
,@article{Steinman B. A.
title = {Atlantic and Pacific multidecadal oscillations and Northern Hemisphere temperatures},
author = {
Steinman B. A.
and Mann M. E.
and Miller S. K.
},
journal = {Science},
volume = {347},
pages = {988-991},
}
,@article{Fueglistaler S.
title = {The distribution of precipitation and the spread in tropical upper tropospheric temperature trends in CMIP5/AMIP simulations},
author = {
Fueglistaler S.
and Radley C.
and Held I. M.
},
url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL064966/full},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {42},
pages = {6000-6007},
}
,@article{Fueglistaler S.
title = {The distribution of precipitation and the spread in tropical upper tropospheric temperature trends in CMIP5/AMIP simulations},
author = {
Fueglistaler S.
and Radley C.
and Held I. M.
},
url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL064966/full},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {42},
pages = {6000-6007},
}
,@article{Magi B. I.
title = {Global Lightning Paramterization from CMIP5 Climate Model Output},
author = {
Magi B. I.
},
url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JTECH-D-13-00261.1},
journal = {Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology},
}
,@article{Xiao C.
title = {Projected changes of wintertime synoptic-scale transient eddy activities in the East Asian eddy-driven jet from CMIP5 experiments},
author = {
Xiao C.
and Zhang Y.
},
url = {http://www-personal.umich.edu/~cxiao/pubs/2015_GRL_Xiao&Zhang.pdf},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {42},
pages = {6008-6013},
}
,@article{Wright D. B.
title = {Regional climate model projections of rainfall from U.S. landfalling tropical cyclones},
author = {
Wright D. B.
and Knutson T. R.
and Smith J. A.
},
url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-015-2544-y},
journal = {Climate Dynamics},
pages = {1-15},
}
,@article{Menary M. B.
title = {Exploring the impact of CMIP5 model biases on the simulation of North Atlantic decadal variability},
author = {
Menary M. B.
and Hodson D. L.
and Robson J. I.
and Sutton R. T.
and Wood R. A.
and Hunt J. A.
},
url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL064360/full},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
}
,@article{Chan D.
title = {Attributing Observed SST Trends and Sub-Continental Land Warming to Anthropogenic Forcing during 1979-2005},
author = {
Chan D.
and Wu Q.
},
url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/pdf/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00253.1},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
volume = {28},
pages = {3152-3170},
}
,@article{Durack P. J.
title = {Ocean salinity and the global water cycle},
author = {
Durack P. J.
},
url = {http://www.tos.org/oceanography/archive/28-1_durack.html},
journal = {Other},
volume = {28},
pages = {20-31},
}
,@article{Durack P. J.
title = {Long-term sea-level change revisited: the role of salinity},
author = {
Durack P. J.
and Wijffels S. E.
and Gleckler P. J.
},
url = {http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/9/11/114017/},
journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
volume = {9},
pages = {---},
}
,@article{Roberts C. D.
title = {Quantifying the likelihood of a continued hiatus in global warming},
author = {
Roberts C. D.
and Palmer M. D.
and McNeall D.
and Collins M.
},
url = {http://http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/v5/n4/full/nclimate2531.html},
journal = {Nature Climate Change},
volume = {5},
pages = {337-342},
}
,@article{Zappa G.
title = {The dependence of wintertime Mediterranean precipitation on the atmospheric circulation response to climate change},
author = {
Zappa G.
and Hoskins B. J.
and Shepherd T. G.
},
journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
volume = {10},
}
,@article{Chang E. K.
title = {Significant Modulation of Variability and Projected Change in California Winter Precipitation by Extratropical Cyclone Acitivity},
author = {
Chang E. K.
and Zheng C.
and Lanigan P.
and Yau A. M.
and Neelin J. D.
},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
}
,@article{Tabari H.
title = {Water availability change in central Belgium for the late 21st century},
author = {
Tabari H.
and Teferi Taye M.
and Willems P.
},
url = {http://ac.els-cdn.com/S0921818115001095/1-s2.0-S0921818115001095-main.pdf?_tid=8870216a-1985-11e5-97db-00000aab0f02&acdnat=1435049881_8afe47599c8ba7bdae2dbf1bd6600e52},
journal = {Other},
volume = {131},
}
,@article{Wang W.
title = {Statistical modeling and CMIP5 simulations of hot spell changes in China},
author = {
Wang W.
and Zhou W.
and Li Y.
and Wang X.
and Wang D.
},
url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-014-2287-1},
journal = {Climate Dynamics},
volume = {44},
pages = {2859-2872},
}
,@article{Lin J.
title = {Is the tropical atmosphere in convective quasi-equilibrium?},
author = {
Lin J.
and Qian T.
and Shinoda T.
and Li S.
},
url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00681.1},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
volume = {28},
pages = {4357-4372},
}
,@article{Schwalm C. R.
title = {Reduction in carbon uptake during turn of the century drought in western North America},
author = {
Schwalm C. R.
and Williams C. A.
and Schaefer K.
and Baldocchi D.
and Black T.
and Goldstein A. H.
and Beverly L. E.
and Oechel W. C.
and Paw U K.
and Scott R. L.
},
journal = {Nature Geoscience},
}
,@article{Dowdy A. J.
title = {Rainfall in Australia%u2019s eastern seaboard: a review of confidence in projections based on observations and physical processes},
author = {
Dowdy A. J.
and Grose M. R.
and Timbal B.
and Moise A.
and Ekström M.
and Bhend J.
and Wilson L.
},
journal = {Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Journal},
volume = {65},
pages = {107-126},
}
,@article{Jiang J. H.
title = {Evaluating the diurnal cycle of upper tropospheric ice clouds in climate models using SMILES observations},
author = {
Jiang J. H.
and Su H.
and Zhai C.
and Shen J.
and Wu T.
and Cole J.
and Salzen K.
and Donner L.
and Del Genio A.
and Nazarenko L.
and Dufresne J.
and Watanabe M.
and Morcrette C.
and Koshiro T.
and Kawai H.
and Gettelman A.
and Millán L.
and Read W.
and Livesey N.
and Kasai Y.
and Shiotani M.
},
url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JAS-D-14-0124.1},
journal = {Journal of Atmopspheric Sciences},
volume = {72},
}
,@article{DeAngelis A. M.
title = {An observational radiative constraint on hydrologic cycle intensification},
author = {
DeAngelis A. M.
and Qu X.
and Zelinka M. D.
and Hall A.
},
url = {http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v528/n7581/full/nature15770.html},
journal = {Nature},
volume = {528},
pages = {249-253},
}
,@article{Cannon A. J.
title = {Selecting GCM Scenarios that Span the Range of Changes in a Multimodel Ensemble: Application to CMIP5 Climate Extremes Indices},
author = {
Cannon A. J.
},
url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00636.1},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
volume = {28},
pages = {1260-1267},
}
,@article{Drijfhout S.
title = {Catalogue of abrupt shifts in Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change climate models},
author = {
Drijfhout S.
and Bathiany S.
and Beaulieu C.
and Brovkin V.
and Claussen M.
and Huntingford C.
and Scheffer M.
and Sgubin G.
and Swingedouw D.
},
url = {http://www.pnas.org/content/early/2015/10/07/1511451112},
journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences},
}
,@article{Drijfhout S.
title = {Catalogue of abrupt shifts in Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change climate models},
author = {
Drijfhout S.
and Bathiany S.
and Beaulieu C.
and Brovkin V.
and Claussen M.
and Huntingford C.
and Scheffer M.
and Sgubin G.
and Swingedouw D.
},
url = {http://www.pnas.org/content/early/2015/10/07/1511451112},
journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences},
}
,@article{Fläschner D.
title = {Understanding the inter-model spread in global-mean hydrological sensitivity},
author = {
Fläschner D.
and Mauritsen T.
and Stevens B.
},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,@article{Fläschner D.
title = {Understanding the inter-model spread in global-mean hydrological sensitivity},
author = {
Fläschner D.
and Mauritsen T.
and Stevens B.
},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,@article{Melet A. V.
title = {Explaining the Spread in Global Mean Thermosteric Sea Level Rise in CMIP5 Climate Models},
author = {
Melet A. V.
and Meyssignac B.
},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,@article{Melet A. V.
title = {Explaining the Spread in Global Mean Thermosteric Sea Level Rise in CMIP5 Climate Models},
author = {
Melet A. V.
and Meyssignac B.
},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,@article{Melet A. V.
title = {Explaining the Spread in Global Mean Thermosteric Sea Level Rise in CMIP5 Climate Models},
author = {
Melet A. V.
and Meyssignac B.
},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,@article{Boisier J.
title = {Anthropogenic and natural contributions to the Southeast Pacific precipitation decline and recent megadrought in central Chile},
author = {
Boisier J.
and Rondanelli R.
and Garreaud R.
and Muñoz F.
},
url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL067265/full},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
}
,@article{Wild M.
title = {The energy balance over land and oceans: An assessment based on direct observations and CMIP5 climate models},
author = {
Wild M.
and Folini D.
and Hakuba M.
and Schär C.
and Seneviratne S.
and Kato S.
and Rutan D.
and Ammann C.
and Wood E.
and König-Langlo G.
},
url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-014-2430-z},
journal = {Climate Dynamics},
volume = {44},
pages = {3393-3429},
}
,@article{Zappa G.
title = {Improving climate change detection through optimal seasonal averaging: the case of the North Atlantic jet and European precipitation},
author = {
Zappa G.
and Hoskins B. J.
and Shepherd T. G.
},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,@article{C B J.
title = {Robust signals of future projections of Indian summer monsoon rainfall by IPCC AR5 climate models: Role of seasonal cycle and interannual variability},
author = {
C B J.
and Surendran S.
and Rajendran K.
},
url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL063659/full},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {42},
pages = {3513-3520},
}
,@article{Agosta C.
title = {Evaluation of the CMIP5 models in the aim of regional modelling of the Antarctic surface mass balance},
author = {
Agosta C.
and Fettweis X.
and Datta R.
},
url = {http://www.the-cryosphere-discuss.net/9/3113/2015/},
journal = {The Cryosphere Discussions},
volume = {9},
pages = {3113-3136},
}
,@article{Abramowitz G.
title = {Climate Model Dependence and the Ensemble Dependence Transformation of CMIP Projections},
author = {
Abramowitz G.
and Bishop C. H.
},
url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00364.1},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
volume = {28},
pages = {2332-2348},
}
,@article{Haughton N.
title = {Weighting climate model ensembles for mean and variance estimates},
author = {
Haughton N.
and Abramowitz G.
and Pitman A. J.
and Phipps S. J.
},
url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-015-2531-3},
journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,@article{Takao S.
title = {Projecting the impacts of rising seawater temperatures on the distribution of seaweeds around Japan under multiple climate change scenarios},
author = {
Takao S.
and Kumagai N. H.
and Yamano H.
and Fujii M.
and Yamanaka Y.
},
journal = {Other},
volume = {5},
pages = {213-223},
}
,@article{Scheff J.
title = {Terrestrial aridity and its response to greenhouse warming across CMIP5 climate models},
author = {
Scheff J.
and Frierson D. M.
},
url = {http://www.ldeo.columbia.edu/~jscheff/SF2014Aridity_EOR.pdf},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,@article{Nasrollahi N.
title = {How Well Do CMIP5 Climate Simulations Replicate Historical Trends and Patterns of Meteorological Droughts?},
author = {
Nasrollahi N.
and AghaKouchak A.
and Cheng L.
and Damberg L.
and Phillips T.
and Miao C.
and Hsu K.
and Sorooshian S.
},
url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014WR016318/full},
journal = {Water Resources Research},
volume = { 51},
pages = {2847-2864},
}
,@article{Cheng L.
title = {Non-stationary Return Levels of CMIP5 Multi-Model Temperature Extremes},
author = {
Cheng L.
and AghaKouchak A.
and Phillips T.
},
url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-015-2625-y},
journal = {Climate Dynamics},
volume = {44},
pages = {2947-2963},
}
,@article{Belda M.
title = {Evaluation of CMIP5 present climate simulations using the Köppen-Trewartha climate classification},
author = {
Belda M.
and Holtanová E.
and Halenka T.
and Kalvová J.
and Hlávka Z.
},
url = {http://www.int-res.com/abstracts/cr/v64/n3/p201-212/},
journal = {Climate Research},
volume = {64},
pages = {201-212},
}
,@article{Belda M.
title = {Evaluation of CMIP5 present climate simulations using the Köppen-Trewartha climate classification},
author = {
Belda M.
and Holtanová E.
and Halenka T.
and Kalvová J.
and Hlávka Z.
},
url = {http://www.int-res.com/abstracts/cr/v64/n3/p201-212/},
journal = {Climate Research},
volume = {64},
pages = {201-212},
}
,@article{Todd-Brown
title = {Changes in soil organic carbon storage predicted by Earth system models during the 21st century},
author = {
Todd-Brown, K. E. O.
and Randerson, J. T.
and Hopkins, F.
and Arora, V.
and Hajima, T.
and Jones, C.
and Shevliakova, E.
and Tjiputra, J.
and Volodin, E.
and Wu, T.
and Zhang, Q.
and Allison, S. D.
},
url = {http://www.biogeosciences.net/11/2341/2014/},
journal = {Biogeosciences},
volume = {11},
pages = {2341-2356},
}
,@article{Santer
title = {Volcanic contribution to decadal changes in tropospheric temperature},
author = {
Santer, Benjamin D.
and Bonfils, Céline
and Painter, Jeffrey F.
and Zelinka, Mark D.
and Mears, Carl
and Solomon, Susan
and Schmidt, Gavin A.
and Fyfe, John C.
and Cole, Jason N. S.
and Nazarenko, Larissa
and Taylor, Karl E.
and Wentz, Frank J.
},
url = {http://www.nature.com/ngeo/journal/v7/n3/full/ngeo2098.html},
journal = {Nature Geoscience},
volume = {7},
pages = {185-189},
}
,@article{Bracegirdle T. J.
title = {Sources of uncertainty in projections of twenty-first century westerly wind changes over the Amundsen Sea, West Antarctica, in CMIP5 climate models},
author = {
Bracegirdle T. J.
and Turner J.
and Hosking J. S.
and Phillips T.
},
url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-013-2032-1},
journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,@article{Cattiaux J.
title = {Projected increase in diurnal and inter-diurnal variations of European summer temperatures},
author = {
Cattiaux J.
and Douville H.
and Schoetter R.
and Parey S.
and Yiou P.
},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
}
,@article{Zappa G.
title = {Linking Northern Hemisphere blocking and storm track biases in the CMIP5 climate models},
author = {
Zappa G.
and Masato G.
and Shaffrey L.
and Woollings T.
and Hodges K.
},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
}
,@article{Ceppi P.
title = {The response of the Southern Hemispheric eddy-driven jet to future changes in shortwave radiation in CMIP5},
author = {
Ceppi P.
and Zelinka M. D.
and Hartmann D. L.
},
url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014GL060043/abstract},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {41},
pages = {3244-3250},
}
,@article{Ma Q.
title = {Evaluations of Atmospheric Downward Longwave Radiation from 44 Coupled General Circulation Models of CMIP5},
author = {
Ma Q.
and Wang K.
and Wild M.
},
url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013JD021427/abstract},
journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
volume = {119},
pages = {4486-4497},
}
,@article{Wang K.
title = {Measurement Biases Explain Discrepancies between the Observed and Simulated Decadal Variability of Surface Incident Solar Radiation},
author = {
Wang K.
},
url = {http://www.nature.com/srep/2014/140821/srep06144/full/srep06144.html},
journal = {Other},
volume = {4},
}
,@article{Chadwick R. S.
title = {Surface warming patterns drive tropical rainfall pattern responses to CO2 forcing on all timescales},
author = {
Chadwick R. S.
and Good P.
and Andrews T.
and Martin G.
},
url = {http://http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013GL058504/abstract},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {41},
}
,@article{Kamae Y.
title = {Attributing the increase in Northern Hemisphere hot summers since the late 20th century},
author = {
Kamae Y.
and Shiogama H.
and Watanabe M.
and Kimoto M.
},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {41},
pages = {5192-5199},
}
,@article{Wjcik R.
title = {Reliability of the CMIP5 GCM simulations in reproducing atmospheric circulation over Europe and the North Atlantic: a statistical downscaling perspective},
author = {
Wjcik R.
},
journal = {International Journal of Climatology},
}
,@article{Arnell N. W.
title = {The global-scale impacts of climate change on water resources and flooding under new climate and socio-economic scenarios},
author = {
Arnell N. W.
and Lloyd-Hughes B.
},
journal = {Climatic Change},
volume = {122},
pages = {127-140},
}
,@article{Sherwood S. C.
title = {Spread in model climate sensitivity traced to atmospheric convective mixing},
author = {
Sherwood S. C.
and Bony S.
and Dufresne J.
},
journal = {Nature},
volume = {505},
pages = {37-42},
}
,@article{Zou Y.
title = {CMIP5 model simulations of the impacts of the two types of El Niño on the U.S. winter temperature},
author = {
Zou Y.
and Yu J.
and Lee T.
and Lu M.
and Kim S.
},
url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013JD021064/abstract},
journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
volume = {119},
pages = {3076-3092},
}
,@article{Dowdy A. J.
title = {Fewer large waves projected for eastern Australia due to decreasing storminess},
author = {
Dowdy A. J.
and Mills G. A.
and Timbal B.
and Wang Y.
},
url = {http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/v4/n4/full/nclimate2142.html},
journal = {Nature Climate Change},
volume = {4},
pages = {283-286},
}
,@article{King A. D.
title = {The ENSO-Australian rainfall teleconnection in reanalysis and CMIP5},
author = {
King A. D.
and Donat M. G.
and Alexander L. V.
and Karoly D. J.
},
url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-014-2159-8},
journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,@article{Wang F.
title = {Evaluation of cloud vertical structure simulated by recent BCC AGCM versions through comparison with CALIPSO-GOCCP data},
author = {
Wang F.
and Xin X.
and Wang Z.
and Cheng Y.
and Zhang J.
and Yang S.
},
journal = {Advances in Atmospheric Sciences},
volume = {31},
pages = {721-733},
}
,@article{Wang F.
title = {Radiation budget biases in AMIP5 models over the East Asian monsoon region},
author = {
Wang F.
and Yang S.
and Wu T.
},
journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
}
,@article{Cai W.
title = {Did Climate Change%u2013Induced Rainfall Trends Contribute to the Australian Millennium Drought?},
author = {
Cai W.
and Purich A.
and Cowan T.
and van Rensch P.
and Weller E.
},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
volume = {27},
pages = {3145-3168},
}
,@article{Ramesh K. V.
title = {Assessing reliability of regional climate projections: the case of Indian monsoon},
author = {
Ramesh K. V.
},
url = {http://www.nature.com/srep/2014/140212/srep04071/full/srep04071.html},
journal = {Other},
volume = {4},
pages = {1-9},
}
,@article{Lutz A. F.
title = {Consistent increase in High Asia%u2019s runoff due to increasing glacier melt and precipitation},
author = {
Lutz A. F.
and Immerzeel W. W.
and Shrestha A. B.
and Bierkens M. F.
},
url = {http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/v4/n7/full/nclimate2237.html},
journal = {Nature Climate Change},
volume = {4},
pages = {587-592},
}
,@article{Feng X.
title = {Changes in significant and maximum wave heights in the Norwegian Sea},
author = {
Feng X.
and Tsimplis M. N.
and Yelland M. J.
and Quartly G. D.
},
journal = {Other},
volume = {113},
pages = {58-76},
}
,@article{Mitchell D. M.
title = {Solar Signals in CMIP-5 Simulations: The Stratospheric Pathway},
author = {
Mitchell D. M.
and Misios S.
and Gray L.
and Tourpali K.
and Matthes K.
and Hood L.
and Schmidt H.
and Chiodo G.
and Thieblemont R.
and Rozanov E.
and Shindell D.
and Krivolutsky A.
},
journal = {Quarterly Journal Royal Meteorological Society},
}
,@article{Laeppe T.
title = {Global and regional variability in marine surface temperatures},
author = {
Laeppe T.
},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2014GL059345},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
}
,@article{Grise K. M.
title = {Is climate sensitivity related to dynamical sensitivity? A Southern Hemisphere perspective},
author = {
Grise K. M.
and Polvani L. M.
},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {41},
pages = {534-540},
}
,@article{Hartmann D. L.
title = {Trends in the CERES data set 2000-2013: The effects of ice melt and jet shifts and comparison to climate models},
author = {
Hartmann D. L.
and Ceppi P.
},
url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00411.1},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
volume = {27},
pages = {2444-2456},
}
,@article{Meehl G. A.
title = {Decadal Climate Prediction: An Update from the Trenches},
author = {
Meehl G. A.
and co-authors a.
},
journal = {Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society},
volume = {95},
pages = {243-267},
}
,@article{England M. H.
title = {Recent intensification of wind-driven circulation in the Pacific and the ongoing warming hiatus},
author = {
England M. H.
and co-authors a.
},
journal = {Nature Climate Change},
volume = {4},
pages = {222-227},
}
,@article{Wuebbles D.
title = {CMIP5 climate model analyses: Climate extremes in the United States},
author = {
Wuebbles D.
and co-authors a.
},
journal = {Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society},
volume = {95},
pages = {571-583},
}
,@article{Meehl G. A.
title = {CMIP5 multi-model initialized decadal hindcasts for the mid-1970s shift and early-2000s hiatus and predictions for 2016-2035},
author = {
Meehl G. A.
and Teng H.
},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
}
,@article{Elguindi N.
title = {Assessment of CMIP5 global model simulations and climate change projections for the 21 st century using a modified Thornthwaite climate classification},
author = {
Elguindi N.
and Grundstein A.
and Bernardes S.
and Turuncoglu U.
and Feddema J.
},
journal = {Climatic Change},
volume = {122},
pages = {523-538},
}
,@article{de Lavergne C.
title = {Cessation of deep convection in the open Southern Ocean under anthropogenic climate change},
author = {
de Lavergne C.
and Palter J. B.
and Galbraith E. D.
and Bernardello R.
and Marinov I.
},
url = {http://http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/v4/n4/full/nclimate2132.html},
journal = {Nature Climate Change},
volume = {4},
pages = {278-282},
}
,@article{Petkova E. P.
title = {Projected Heat-Related Mortality in the U.S. Urban Northeast},
author = {
Petkova E. P.
and Horton R. M.
and Bader D. A.
},
url = {http://www.mdpi.com/1660-4601/10/12/6734},
journal = {Other},
volume = {10},
pages = {6734-6747},
}
,@article{Thorpe L.
title = {The physical drivers of historical and 21st century global precipitation changes},
author = {
Thorpe L.
and Andrews T.
},
url = {http://stacks.iop.org/1748-9326/9/064024},
journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
volume = {9},
}
,@article{Bodas-Salcedo A.
title = {Origins of the solar radiation biases over the Southern Ocean in CFMIP2 models},
author = {
Bodas-Salcedo A.
and Williams K. D.
and Ringer M. A.
and Beau I.
and Cole J. N.
and Dufresne J. L.
and Koshiro T.
and Stevens B.
and Wang Z.
and Yokohata T.
},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
volume = {27},
pages = {41-56},
}
,@article{Dolinar E. K.
title = {Evaluation of CMIP5 Simulated Clouds and TOA Radiation Budgets Using NASA Satellite Observations},
author = {
Dolinar E. K.
and Dong X.
and Xi B.
and Jiang J. H.
and Su H.
},
journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,@article{Baker N. C.
title = {A Comparative Study of Precipitation and Evaporation between CMIP3 and CMIP5 Climate Model Ensembles in Semiarid Regions},
author = {
Baker N. C.
and Huang H.
},
url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/pdf/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00398.1},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
volume = {27},
pages = {3731-3749},
}
,@article{Marcos M.
title = {Quantifying anthropogenic and natural contributions to thermosteric sea level rise},
author = {
Marcos M.
and Amores A.
},
url = {http://http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014GL059766/abstract},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {41},
pages = {2502-2507},
}
,@article{Wang X. L.
title = {Changes in global ocean wave heights as projected using multimodel CMIP5 simulations},
author = {
Wang X. L.
and Feng Y.
and Swail V. R.
},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {41},
pages = {1026-1034},
}
,@article{Van den Hurk B. J.
title = { Drivers of mean climate change around the Netherlands derived from CMIP5},
author = {
Van den Hurk B. J.
and Van Oldenborgh G. J.
and Lenderink G.
and Hazeleger W.
and Haarsma R. J.
and De Vries H.
},
journal = {Climate Dynamics},
volume = {42},
pages = {1683-1697},
}
,@article{Hao Z.
title = {Changes in Concurrent Monthly Precipitation and Temperature Extremes},
author = {
Hao Z.
and AghaKouchak A.
and Phillips T. J.
},
url = {http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/8/3/034014/},
journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
volume = {8},
}
,@article{Sandeep S.
title = {Poleward shift in Indian summer monsoon low level jetstream under global warming},
author = {
Sandeep S.
and Ajayamohan R.
},
url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-014-2261-y},
journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,@article{Palmer M. D.
title = {Internal variability of Earth's energy budget simulated by CMIP5 climate models },
author = {
Palmer M. D.
and McNeall D. J.
},
url = {http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/9/3/034016/article},
journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
volume = {9},
}
,@article{Akurut M.
title = {Potential Impacts of Climate Change on Precipitation over Lake Victoria, East Africa, in the 21st Century},
author = {
Akurut M.
and Wilems P.
and Niwagaba C. B.
},
url = {http://www.mdpi.com/2073-4441/6/9/2634},
journal = {Other},
volume = {6},
pages = {2634-2659},
}
,@article{Sandeep S.
title = {Origin of cold bias over the Arabian Sea in Climate Models},
author = {
Sandeep S.
and Ajayamohan R.
},
url = {http://www.nature.com/srep/2014/140917/srep06403/full/srep06403.html},
journal = {Other},
}
,@article{Dwyer J. G.
title = {The Effect of greenhouse gas-induced changes in SST on the annual cycle of zonal mean tropical precipitation},
author = {
Dwyer J. G.
and Biasutti M.
and Sobel A. H.
},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
volume = {27},
}
,@article{King A. D.
title = {Climate Change turns Australia's 2013 Big Dry into a year of record-breaking heat},
author = {
King A. D.
and Karoly D. J.
and Donat M. G.
and Alexander L. V.
},
url = {http://www.journals.ametsoc.org/doi/pdf/10.1175/1520-0477-95.9.S1.1},
journal = {Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society},
volume = {95},
pages = {S41-S45},
}
,@article{Guttorp P.
title = {Assessing the uncertainty in projecting local mean sea level from global temperature},
author = {
Guttorp P.
and Bolin D.
and Januzzi A.
and Novak M.
and Podschwit H.
and Richardson L.
and Särkkä A.
and Sowder C.
and Zimmerman A.
},
journal = {Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology},
volume = {53},
pages = {2163-2170},
}
,@article{Manda A.
title = {Impacts of a warming marginal sea on torrential rainfall organized under the Asian summer monsoon},
author = {
Manda A.
and Nakamura H.
and Asano N.
and Iizuka S.
and Miyama T.
and Moteki Q.
and Yoshioka M. K.
and Nishii K.
},
url = {http://www.nature.com/srep/2014/140718/srep05741/full/srep05741.html},
journal = {Other},
volume = {4},
}
,@article{Laine A.
title = {A diagnostic study of future evaporation changes projected in CMIP5 climate models},
author = {
Laine A.
and Nakamura H.
and Kazuaki N.
and Takafumi M.
},
url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-014-2087-7#page-1},
journal = {Climate Dynamics},
volume = {42},
pages = {2745-2761},
}
,@article{Noda A. T.
title = {Intermodel variances of subtropical stratocumulus environments simulated in CMIP5 models},
author = {
Noda A. T.
and Satoh M.
},
url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014GL061812/abstract},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {41},
}
,@article{Young P. J.
title = {Modeling the climate impact of Southern Hemisphere ozone depletion: The importance of the ozone dataset},
author = {
Young P. J.
and Davis S. M.
and Hassler B.
and Solomon S.
and Rosenlof K. H.
},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2014GL061738},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {41},
pages = {9033-9039},
}
,@article{Terzago S.
title = {Snowpack Changes in the Hindu Kush%u2013Karakoram%u2013Himalaya from CMIP5 Global Climate Models},
author = {
Terzago S.
and von Hardenberg J.
and Palazzi E.
and Provenzale A.
},
journal = {Journal of Hydrometeorology},
volume = {15},
pages = {2293-2313},
}
,@article{Wan H.
title = {Attributing northern high-latitude precipitation change over the period 1966%u20132005 to human influence},
author = {
Wan H.
and Zhang X.
and Zwiers F.
and Min S.
},
journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,@article{Sun Y.
title = {Rapid increase in the risk of extreme summer heat in Eastern China},
author = {
Sun Y.
and Zhang X.
and Zwiers F.
and Song L.
and Wan H.
and Hu T.
and Yin H.
and Ren G.
},
journal = {Nature Climate Change},
volume = {4},
pages = {1082-1085},
}
,@article{Hoffman F. M.
title = {Causes and Implications of Persistent Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide Biases in Earth System Models},
author = {
Hoffman F. M.
and Randerson J. T.
and Arora V. K.
and Bao Q.
and Cadule P.
and Ji D.
and Jones C. D.
and Kawamiya M.
and Khatiwala S.
and Lindsay K.
and Obata A.
and Shevliakova E.
and Six K. D.
and Tjiputra J. F.
and Volodin E. M.
and Wu T.
},
url = {http://www.climatemodeling.org/~forrest/pubs/papers/Hoffman_JGRB_20140201.pdf},
journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research},
volume = {119},
pages = {141-162},
}
,@article{Wang C.
title = {A global perspective on CMIP5 climate model biases},
author = {
Wang C.
and Zhang L.
and Lee S.
and Wu L.
and Mechoso C.
},
journal = {Nature Climate Change},
volume = {4},
pages = {201-205},
}
,@article{Lebsock M. D.
title = {Application of Active Spaceborne Remote Sensing for Understanding Biases Between Passive Cloud Water Path Retrievals},
author = {
Lebsock M. D.
and Su H.
},
journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
volume = {119},
pages = {8962-8979},
}
,@article{Endo H.
title = {Thermodynamic and dynamic effects on regional monsoon rainfall changes in a warmer climate},
author = {
Endo H.
and Kitoh A.
},
url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013GL059158/abstract},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {41},
pages = {1704-1710},
}
,@article{Grise K. M.
title = {Southern Hemisphere cloud-dynamics biases in CMIP5 models and their implications for climate projections},
author = {
Grise K. M.
and Polvani L. M.
},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
volume = {27},
pages = {6074-6092},
}
,@article{Grise K. M.
title = {The response of midlatitude jets to increased CO2: Distinguishing the roles of sea surface temperature and direct radiative forcing},
author = {
Grise K. M.
and Polvani L. M.
},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {41},
pages = {6863-6871},
}
,@article{Bintanja R.
title = {Future increases in Arctic precipitation linked to local evaporation and sea ice retreat},
author = {
Bintanja R.
and Selten F.
},
url = {http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v509/n7501/full/nature13259.html},
journal = {Nature},
volume = {509},
pages = {479-482},
}
,@article{Scheff J.
title = {Scaling Potential Evapotranspiration with Greenhouse Warming},
author = {
Scheff J.
and Frierson D. M.
},
url = {http://www.ldeo.columbia.edu/~jscheff/SF2013ScalingPotEvap.pdf},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
volume = {27},
pages = {1539-1558},
}
,@article{Saha A.
title = {Failure of CMIP5 climate models in simulating post-1950 decreasing trend of Indian monsoon},
author = {
Saha A.
and Ghosh S.
and A.S. S.
and Rao E.
},
url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014GL061573/pdf},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {41},
pages = {7323-7330},
}
,@article{Yu M.
title = {Future changes of the terrestrial ecosystem based on a dynamic vegetation model driven with RCP8.5 climate projections from 19 GCMs},
author = {
Yu M.
and Wang G.
and Parr D.
and Ahmed K. F.
},
journal = {Climatic Change},
volume = {127},
pages = {257-271},
}
,@article{Harada M.
title = {Impacts of Slowed Tropical Circulation on Winter Stationary Waves in East Asia and the North Pacific},
author = {
Harada M.
and Wakamatsu S.
and Hirahara S.
and Murai H.
and Oikawa Y.
and Maeda S.
},
url = {http://doi.org/10.2151/sola.2014-038},
journal = {SOLA},
volume = {10},
pages = {180-184},
}
,@article{Durack P. J.
title = {Quantifying underestimates of long-term upper-ocean warming},
author = {
Durack P. J.
and Gleckler P. J.
and Landerer F. W.
and Taylor K. E.
},
url = {http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/v4/n11/abs/nclimate2389.html},
journal = {Nature Climate Change},
volume = {4},
pages = {999-1005},
}
,@article{Wu Q.
title = {Interannual Variability and Long-Term Changes of Atmospheric Circulation over the Chukchi and Beaufort Seas },
author = {
Wu Q.
and Zhang J.
and Zhang X.
and Tao W.
},
url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/pdf/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00610.1},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
volume = {27},
pages = {4871-4889},
}
,@article{Ohba M.
title = {Statistical parameterization expressing ENSO variability and reversibility in response to CO2 concentration changes},
author = {
Ohba M.
and Tsutsui J.
and Nohara D.
},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
volume = {27},
pages = {398-410},
}
,@article{Lutz A. F.
title = {Comparison of climate change signals in CMIP3 and CMIP5 multi-model ensembles and implications for Central Asian glaciers},
author = {
Lutz A. F.
and Immerzeel W. W.
and Gobiet A.
and Pellicciotti F.
and Bierkens M. F.
},
url = {http://www.hydrol-earth-syst-sci.net/17/3661/2013/hess-17-3661-2013.html},
journal = {Hydrology and Earth System Sciences},
volume = {17},
pages = {3661-3677},
}
,@article{Ceppi P.
title = {The relationship between the ITCZ and the Southern Hemisphere eddy-driven jet},
author = {
Ceppi P.
and Hwang Y.
and Liu X.
and Frierson D. M.
and Hartmann D. L.
},
url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/jgrd.50461/abstract},
journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
volume = {118},
pages = {5136-5146},
}
,@article{Tory K. J.
title = {Projected changes in late-twenty-first-century tropical cyclone frequency in 13 coupled climate models from Phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project},
author = {
Tory K. J.
and Chand S. S.
and McBride J. L.
and Ye H.
},
url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00010.1},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
volume = {26},
pages = {9946-9959},
}
,@article{Huntingford C.
title = {No increase in global temperature variability despite changing regional patterns},
author = {
Huntingford C.
and Jones P. D.
and Livina V. N.
and Lenton T. M.
},
url = {http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v500/n7462/full/nature12310.html},
journal = {Nature},
volume = {500},
pages = {327-330},
}
,@article{Zappa G.
title = {The ability of CMIP5 models to simulate North Atlantic extratropical cyclones},
author = {
Zappa G.
and Shaffrey L. C.
and Hodges K. I.
},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,@article{Perez J.
title = {Evaluating the performance of CMIP3 and CMIP5 global climate models over the north-east Atlantic region},
author = {
Perez J.
and Menendez M.
and Mendez F. J.
and Losada I. J.
},
url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-014-2078-8},
journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,@article{Eyring V.
title = {Long-term ozone changes and associated climate impacts in CMIP5 simulations},
author = {
Eyring V.
and Arblaster J. M.
and Cionni I.
and SedláÄ?ek J.
and Perlwitz J.
and Young P. J.
and Bekki S.
and Bergmann D.
and Cameron-Smith P.
and Collins W. J.
and Faluvegi G.
and Gottschaldt K.
and Horowitz L. W.
and Kinnison D. E.
and Lamarque J.
and Marsh D. R.
and Saint-Martin D.
and Shindell D. T.
and Sudo K.
and Szopa S.
and Watanabe S.
},
url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/jgrd.50316/abstract},
journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research},
volume = {118},
pages = {5029-5060},
}
,@article{Hu y.
title = {Poleward Expansion of the Hadley Circulation in CMIP5 Simulations},
author = {
Hu y.
and Tao L.
},
journal = {Advances in Atmospheric Sciences},
volume = {30},
pages = {790-795},
}
,@article{Smith I. N.
title = {Squeezing information from regional climate change projections - results from a synthesis of CMIP5 results for south-east Queensland, Australia.},
author = {
Smith I. N.
and Syktus J.
and McAlpine C.
},
journal = {Climatic Change},
}
,@article{Smith I. N.
title = {The relative performance of Australian CMIP5 models based on rainfall and ENSO metrics},
author = {
Smith I. N.
and Syktus J.
and Rotstayn L.
and Jeffrey S.
},
journal = {Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Journal},
}
,@article{Dwyer J. G.
title = {The effect of greenhouse-gas-induced changes in SST on the seasonality of tropical precipitation},
author = {
Dwyer J. G.
and Biasutti M.
and Sobel A. H.
},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,@article{Aloysius N. R.
title = {Global Bias-corrected and Downscaled Climate Grids for the 20th and 21st Centuries Based on CMIP5: Application to the Congo Basin},
author = {
Aloysius N. R.
and Sheffield J.
and Saiers J.
and Li H.
and Wood E.
},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,@article{Seo K.
title = {Assessing future changes in the East Asian summer monsoon using CMIP5 coupled models},
author = {
Seo K.
and Ok J.
and Son J.
and Cha D.
},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,@article{Chen L.
title = {Assessing the performance of IPCC AR5 Climate Models in simulating and projecting wind speeds over China},
author = {
Chen L.
and Pryor S. C.
},
journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
volume = {117},
}
,@article{Harvey B.
title = {Equator-to-pole temperature differences and the extra-tropical storm track responses of the CMIP5 climate models},
author = {
Harvey B.
and Shaffrey L.
and Woollings T.
},
url = {http://http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-013-1883-9},
journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,@article{Zhang X.
title = {Attributing intensification of precipitation extremes to human influence},
author = {
Zhang X.
and Wan H.
and Zwiers F. W.
and Hegerl G.
and Min S.
},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {40},
pages = {5252-5257},
}
,@article{Perrette M.
title = {A scaling approach to project regional sea level rise and its uncertainties},
author = {
Perrette M.
and Landerer F. W.
and Riva R. E.
and Frieler K.
and Meinshausen M.
},
url = {http://www.earth-syst-dynam.net/4/11/2013/},
journal = {Earth System Dynamics},
volume = {4},
pages = {11-29},
}
,@article{Collins M.
title = {CORRESPONDENCE: Observational challenges in evaluating climate models},
author = {
Collins M.
and AchutaRao K.
and Ashok K.
and Bhandari S.
and Mitra A. K.
and Srivastava R.
and Turner A.
},
url = {http://http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/v3/n11/full/nclimate2012.html},
journal = {Nature Climate Change},
volume = {3},
pages = {940-941},
}
,@article{Gonzalez P. L.
title = {Stratospheric ozone depletion: a key driver of recent precipitation trends in South Eastern South America},
author = {
Gonzalez P. L.
and Polvani L.
and Seager R.
and Correa G.
},
url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-013-1777-x},
journal = {Climate Dynamics},
volume = {42},
pages = {1775-1792},
}
,@article{Lohmann G.
title = {A model-data comparison of the Holocene global sea surface temperature evolution},
author = {
Lohmann G.
and Pfeiffer M.
and Laepple T.
and Leduc G.
and Kim J.
},
url = {http://www.clim-past.net/9/1807/2013/cp-9-1807-2013.html},
journal = {Climate of the Past},
volume = {9},
pages = {1807-1839},
}
,@article{Roehrig R.
title = {The present and future of the West African monsoon: a process-oriented assessment of CMIP5 simulations along the AMMA transect.},
author = {
Roehrig R.
and Bouniol D.
and Guichard F.
and Hourdin F.
and Redelsperger J.
},
url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00505.1},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,@article{Friedman A. R.
title = {Interhemispheric temperature asymmetry over the 20th century and in future projections},
author = {
Friedman A. R.
and Hwang Y.
and Chiang J. C.
and Frierson D. M.
},
url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/full/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00525.1},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
volume = {26},
pages = {5419-5433},
}
,@article{Orlowsky B.
title = {Elusive drought: uncertainty in observed trends and short- and long-term CMIP5 projections},
author = {
Orlowsky B.
and Seneviratne S. I.
},
url = {http://www.hydrol-earth-syst-sci.net/17/1765/2013/hess-17-1765-2013.html},
journal = {Hydrology and Earth System Sciences},
volume = {17},
pages = {1765-1781},
}
,@article{Bracegirdle T. J.
title = {Assessment of surface winds over the Atlantic, Indian and Pacific Ocean sectors of the Southern Ocean in CMIP5 models: historical bias, forcing response, and state dependence},
author = {
Bracegirdle T. J.
and Shuckburgh E.
and Sallee J.
and Wang Z.
and Meijers A. J.
and Bruneau N.
and Phillips T.
and Wilcox L. J.
},
journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
}
,@article{Marvel K.
title = {Identifying external influences on global precipitation},
author = {
Marvel K.
and Bonfils C.
},
journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences},
volume = {110},
pages = {19301-19306},
}
,@article{van Oldenborgh G.
title = {Reliability of regional climate model trends},
author = {
van Oldenborgh G.
and Doblas-Reyes F. R.
and Drijfhout S. S.
and Hawkins E.
},
url = {http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/8/1/014055/},
journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
volume = {8},
}
,@article{Mitchell D. M.
title = {Revisiting the controversial issue of tropical tropospheric temperature trends},
author = {
Mitchell D. M.
and Thorne P. W.
and Stott P. A.
and Gray L. J.
},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {40},
}
,@article{Harada M.
title = {Intensification of the South Side of the Asian Jet Stream during the Northern Winter in CMIP5 models},
author = {
Harada M.
and Hirahara S.
and Hagiya S.
and Murai H.
and Oikawa Y.
and Maeda S.
},
url = {http://doi.org/10.2151/sola.2013-021},
journal = {SOLA},
volume = {9},
pages = {94-97},
}
,@article{Anav A.
title = {EVALUATING THE LAND AND OCEAN COMPONENTS OF THE GLOBAL CARBON CYCLE IN THE CMIP5 EARTH SYSTEM MODELS},
author = {
Anav A.
and Friedlingstein P.
and Kidston M.
and Bopp L.
and Ciais P.
and Cox P.
and Jones C.
and Jung M.
and Myneni R.
and Zhu Z.
},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,@article{Cattiaux J.
title = {European temperatures in CMIP5: origins of present-day biases and future uncertainties},
author = {
Cattiaux J.
and Douville H.
and Peings Y.
},
journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,@article{Dunstone N. J.
title = {Anthropogenic aerosol forcing of Atlantic tropical storms},
author = {
Dunstone N. J.
and Smith D. M.
and Booth B. B.
and Hermanson L. H.
and Eade R.
},
url = {http://www.nature.com/ngeo/journal/v6/n7/full/ngeo1854.html},
journal = {Nature Geoscience},
volume = {6},
pages = {534-539},
}
,@article{Young P. J.
title = {Agreement in late twentieth century Southern Hemisphere stratospheric temperature trends in observations and CCMVal-2, CMIP3, and CMIP5 models},
author = {
Young P. J.
and Bulter A. H.
and Calvo N.
and Haimberger L.
and Kushner P. J.
and Marsh D. R.
and Randell W. J.
and Rosenlof K. H.
},
journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
volume = {113},
pages = {605-613},
}
,@article{Cowan T.
title = {Forcing of anthropogenic aerosols on temperature trends of the sub-thermocline southern Indian Ocean},
author = {
Cowan T.
and Cai W.
and Purich A.
and Rotstayn L.
and Matthew E. H.
},
journal = {Other},
volume = {3},
}
,@article{Wu R.
title = {Precipitation-Surface Temperature Relationship in the IPCC CMIP5 Models},
author = {
Wu R.
and Chen J.
and Wen Z.
},
journal = {Advances in Atmospheric Sciences},
volume = {30},
pages = {766-788},
}
,@article{Duan A.
title = {The Tibetan Plateau Summer Monsoon in the CMIP5 Simulations},
author = {
Duan A.
and Hu J.
and Xiao Z.
},
url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/pdf/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00685.1},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
volume = {26},
pages = {7747-7766},
}
,@article{Jian Z.
title = {Uncertainties on the simulated summer precipitation over Eastern China from the CMIP5 models},
author = {
Jian Z.
and Yaocun Z.
and Anning H.
},
url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/jgrd.50695/pdf},
journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
volume = {118},
pages = {9035-9047},
}
,@article{Gillett N. P.
title = {Annular mode changes in the CMIP5 simulations},
author = {
Gillett N. P.
and Fyfe J. C.
},
url = {http://http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/grl.50249/abstract},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {40},
pages = {1189-1193},
}
,@article{Barnes E. A.
title = {Model projections of atmospheric steering of Sandy-like superstorms},
author = {
Barnes E. A.
and Polvani L. M.
and Sobel A. H.
},
url = {http://http://www.pnas.org/content/early/2013/08/28/1308732110.abstract},
journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences},
volume = {110},
pages = {15211-15215},
}
,@conference{Zou Y.
title = {CMIP5 Simulations of US Winter Responses to El Niño Diversity},
author = {
Zou Y.
and Yu J.
and Lee T.
},
year = {2013},
}
,@article{Torres R. R.
title = {Climate change hotspots over South America: from CMIP3 to CMIP5 multi-model datasets},
author = {
Torres R. R.
and Marengo J. A.
},
journal = {Theoretical and Applied Climatology},
}
,@article{Wild M.
title = {The global energy balance from a surface perspective},
author = {
Wild M.
and Folini D.
and Schär C.
and Loeb N.
and Dutton E. G.
and König-Langlo G.
},
url = {http://www.iac.ethz.ch/people/wild/Wild_et_al_ClimDyn_2013.pdf},
journal = {Climate Dynamics},
volume = {40},
pages = {3107-3134},
}
,@article{Su F.
title = {Evaluation of the Global Climate Models in the CMIP5 over the Tibetan Plateau},
author = {
Su F.
and Duan X.
and Hao Z.
and Cuo L.
and Chen D.
},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,@article{Kim S.
title = {The Two Types of ENSO in CMIP5 Models},
author = {
Kim S.
and Yu J.
},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {39},
}
,@article{Holmes C. D.
title = {Future methane, hydroxyl, and their uncertainties: key climate and emission parameters for future predictions},
author = {
Holmes C. D.
and Prather M. J.
and Søvde O. A.
and Myhre G.
},
url = {http://www.atmos-chem-phys-discuss.net/12/20931/2012/},
journal = {Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics},
}
,@article{McSweeney C. F.
title = {No consensus on consensus: The challenge of finding a universal approach to measuring and mapping ensemble consistency in GCM projections},
author = {
McSweeney C. F.
and Jones R. G.
},
journal = {Climatic Change},
}
,@article{Kuhlbrodt T.
title = {Ocean heat uptake and its consequences for the magnitude of sea level rise and climate change},
author = {
Kuhlbrodt T.
and Gregory J. M.
},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {39},
}
,@article{Vautard R.
title = {The simulation of European heat waves from an ensemble of regional climate models within the EURO-CORDEX project},
author = {
Vautard R.
and Gobiet A.
and Jacob D.
and Belda M.
and colette a.
and Déqué M.
and Fernández J.
and GarcÃa-DÃez M.
and Goergen K.
and Güttler I.
and Halenka T.
and Keuler K.
and Kotlarski S.
and Nikulin G.
and PatarÄ?iÄ? M.
and Suklitsch M.
and Claas T.
and Warrach-Sagi K.
and Wulfmeyer V.
and Yiou P.
},
journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,@article{Fyfe J. C.
title = {Human influence on extratropical Southern Hemisphere precipitation},
author = {
Fyfe J. C.
and Gillett N. P.
and Marshall G. G.
},
journal = {Aerosol Science and Technology},
}
,@article{Wang B.
title = {Future change of Asian-Australian monsoon},
author = {
Wang B.
and Yim S.
and Lee J.
and Liu J.
and Ha K.
},
journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,@article{Lee J.
title = {Future change of global monsoon in the CMIP5},
author = {
Lee J.
and Wang B.
},
url = {http://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007%2Fs00382-012-1564-0},
journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,@article{Frierson D. M.
title = {Robust future precipitation declines in CMIP5 largely reflect the poleward expansion of model subtropical dry zones},
author = {
Frierson D. M.
and Scheff J.
},
url = {http://www.ldeo.columbia.edu/~jscheff/2012GL052910.pdf},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {39},
}
,@article{Kongola L.
title = {Dependence of groundwater resources on extreme rainfall: evidence from East Africa. },
author = {
Kongola L.
and Taylor R. G.
and Todd M. C.
},
journal = {Nature},
}
,@article{Wang K.
title = {A review of global terrestrial evapotranspiration: Observation, modeling, climatology, and climatic variability},
author = {
Wang K.
and Dickinson R.
},
url = {http://www.agu.org/pubs/crossref/2012/2011RG000373.shtml},
journal = {Reviews of Geophysics},
volume = {50},
}
,@article{Weare B. C.
title = {Late 21st Century ENSO Teleconnections in CMIP5 Models},
author = {
Weare B. C.
},
journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,@article{Landerer F. W.
title = {Evaluation of dynamic sea surface height in CMIP3 and CMIP5 models against satellite observations},
author = {
Landerer F. W.
and Gleckler P.
and Tong L.
},
journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research},
}
,@article{Mauritsen T.
title = {Tuning the climate of a global model},
author = {
Mauritsen T.
and Stevens B.
and Roeckner E.
and Crueger T.
and Esch M.
and Giorgetta M.
and Haak H.
and Jungclaus J.
and Klocke D.
and Matei D.
and Mikolajewicz U.
and Notz D.
and Pincus R.
and Schmidt H.
and Tomassini L.
},
url = {http://www.agu.org/pubs/crossref/2012/2012MS000154.shtml},
journal = {Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems},
volume = {4},
}
,@article{Meijers A. J.
title = {Representation of the Antarctic Circumpolar Current in the CMIP5 climate models and future changes under warming scenarios},
author = {
Meijers A. J.
and Shuckburgh E.
and Bruneau N.
and Sallee J.
and Bracegirdle T.
and Zhaomin W.
},
journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research},
}
,@article{Levine R. C.
title = {The role of northern Arabian Sea surface temperature biases in CMIP5 model simulations and future predictions of Indian summer monsoon rainfall},
author = {
Levine R. C.
and Turner A. G.
and Marathayil D.
and Martin G. M.
},
journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,@article{Po-Chedley S.
title = {Discrepancies in tropical upper tropospheric warming between atmospheric circulation models and satellites},
author = {
Po-Chedley S.
and Fu Q.
},
url = {http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/7/4/044018/},
journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
volume = {7},
}
,@article{Friedlingstein P.
title = {CMIP5 climate projections and uncertainties due to carbon cycle feedbacks},
author = {
Friedlingstein P.
and Meinshausen M.
and Arora V. K.
and Jones C. D.
and Liddicoat S. K.
and Knutti R.
},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,