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title = {Spatiotemporal Causal Effect Estimation},
author = {
Herman, Rebecca Jean
and Runge, Jakob
},
year = {2024},
}
,@article{Herman
title = {Drivers of low-frequency Sahel precipitation variability: comparing CMIP5 and CMIP6 ensemble means with observations},
author = {
Herman, Rebecca Jean
and Biasutti, Michela
and Kushnir, Yochanan
},
url = {https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-023-06755-1},
journal = {Climate Dynamics},
volume = {61},
pages = {4449-4470},
}
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title = {Predicted changes to the rate of human decomposition due to climate change during the 21st century},
author = {
Strack, Julius
and Smith, Martin J.
},
url = {https://linkinghub.elsevier.com/retrieve/pii/S2665910723000166},
journal = {Other},
volume = {7},
pages = {100321},
}
,@article{Anne L. Morée
title = {Impact of deoxygenation and warming on global marine species in the 21st century},
author = {
Anne L. Morée
and Thomas L. Frölicher
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},
journal = {Biogeosciences},
}
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title = {The contribution of climate change to increasing extreme ocean warming around Japan},
author = {
Hayashi, Michiya
and Shiogama H.
and Ogura T.
},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {49},
pages = {e2022GL100785},
}
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title = {Projected changes in mean annual cycle of temperature and precipitation over the Czech Republic: Comparison of CMIP5 and CMIP6},
author = {
Holtanová, Eva
and Belda, Michal
and Halenka, Tomáš
},
url = {https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/feart.2022.1018661/full},
journal = {Frontiers in Earth Science},
volume = {10},
}
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title = {Estimating the Likelihood of GHG Concentration Scenarios From Probabilistic Integrated Assessment Model Simulations},
author = {
Huard, David
and Fyke, Jeremy
and Capellán‐Pérez, Iñigo
and Matthews, H. Damon
and Partanen, Antti‐Ilari
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2022EF002715},
journal = {Earth's Future},
volume = {10},
}
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title = {Evaluation of climate variability and change in ACCESS historical simulations for CMIP6},
author = {
Rashid, Harun A.
and Sullivan, Arnold
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and Bi, Daohua
and Mackallah, Chloe
and Ziehn, Tilo
and Dobrohotoff, Peter
and O’Farrell, Siobhan
and Harman, Ian N.
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and Marsland, Simon
},
url = {https://www.publish.csiro.au/?paper=ES21028},
journal = {Journal of Southern Hemisphere Earth Systems Science},
}
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title = {ACCESS datasets for CMIP6: methodology and idealised experiments},
author = {
Mackallah, C.
and Chamberlain, M. A.
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and Ziehn, T.
and Bi, D.
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and Savita, A.
and Srbinovsky, J.
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and Trenham, C.
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and Wang, Y.-P.
and Williams, G.
and Woodhouse, M. T.
and Yeung, N.
},
url = {https://www.publish.csiro.au/?paper=ES21031},
journal = {Journal of Southern Hemisphere Earth Systems Science},
}
,@article{Koshiro
title = {Estimated cloud-top entrainment index explains positive low-cloud-cover feedback},
author = {
Koshiro, Tsuyoshi
and Kawai, Hideaki
and Noda, Akira T.
},
url = {https://pnas.org/doi/full/10.1073/pnas.2200635119},
journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences},
volume = {119},
}
,@article{Farquharson
title = {Volcanic hazard exacerbated by future global warming-driven increase in heavy rainfall},
author = {
Farquharson, Jamie I.
and Amelung, Falk
},
url = {https://royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/10.1098/rsos.220275},
journal = {Royal Society Open Science},
volume = {9},
}
,@article{Hayashi
title = {Assessment of CMIP6-based future climate projections selected for impact studies in Japan},
author = {
Hayashi, Michiya
and Shiogama, Hideo
},
url = {https://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/sola/18/0/18_2022-016/_article/-char/en},
journal = {SOLA},
volume = {18},
pages = {96-103},
}
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title = {Reconciling Roles of External Forcing and Internal Variability in Indian Ocean Decadal Variability Since 1920},
author = {
Hua, Wenjian
and Dai, Aiguo
and Qin, Minhua
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2021GL097198},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {49},
}
,@article{Hua
title = {Little Influence of Asian Anthropogenic Aerosols on Summer Temperature in Central East Asia Since 1960},
author = {
Hua, Wenjian
and Dai, Aiguo
and Chen, Haishan
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2022GL097946},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {49},
}
,@article{Kadkhodazadeh
title = {A New Methodology for Reference Evapotranspiration Prediction and Uncertainty Analysis under Climate Change Conditions Based on Machine Learning, Multi Criteria Decision Making and Monte Carlo Methods},
author = {
Kadkhodazadeh, Mojtaba
and Valikhan Anaraki, Mahdi
and Morshed-Bozorgdel, Amirreza
and Farzin, Saeed
},
url = {https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/14/5/2601},
journal = {Sustainability},
volume = {14},
pages = {2601},
}
,@article{Worou
title = {Weakened impact of the Atlantic Niño on the future equatorial Atlantic and Guinea Coast rainfall},
author = {
Worou, Koffi
and Goosse, Hugues
and Fichefet, Thierry
and Kucharski, Fred
},
url = {https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/13/231/2022/},
journal = {Earth System Dynamics},
volume = {13},
pages = {231-249},
}
,@article{Qin
title = {On the Correspondence Between Atmosphere‐Only and Coupled Simulations for Radiative Feedbacks and Forcing From CO 2},
author = {
Qin, Yi
and Zelinka, Mark D.
and Klein, Stephen A.
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2021JD035460},
journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
volume = {127},
}
,@article{Zhang
title = {The role of anthropogenic aerosols in the anomalous cooling from 1960 to 1990 in the CMIP6 Earth system models},
author = {
Zhang, Jie
and Furtado, Kalli
and Turnock, Steven T.
and Mulcahy, Jane P.
and Wilcox, Laura J.
and Booth, Ben B.
and Sexton, David
and Wu, Tongwen
and Zhang, Fang
and Liu, Qianxia
},
url = {https://acp.copernicus.org/articles/21/18609/2021/},
journal = {Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics},
volume = {21},
pages = {18609-18627},
}
,@article{T.H.J. Hermans
title = {The Effect of Wind Stress on Seasonal Sea-Level Change on the Northwestern European Shelf},
author = {
T.H.J. Hermans
and C.A. Katsman
and C.M.L. Camargo
and G.G. Garner
and R.E. Kopp
and A.B.A. Slangen
},
url = {https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/clim/35/6/JCLI-D-21-0636.1.xml?tab_body=supplementary-materials},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
volume = {35},
pages = {1745-1759},
}
,@article{Lalande
title = {Climate change in the High Mountain Asia in CMIP6},
author = {
Lalande, Mickaël
and Ménégoz, Martin
and Krinner, Gerhard
and Naegeli, Kathrin
and Wunderle, Stefan
},
url = {https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/12/1061/2021/},
journal = {Earth System Dynamics},
volume = {12},
pages = {1061-1098},
}
,@article{Lyu
title = {Projected ocean warming constrained by the ocean observational record},
author = {
Lyu, Kewei
and Zhang, Xuebin
and Church, John A.
},
url = {https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-021-01151-1},
journal = {Nature Climate Change},
volume = {11},
pages = {834-839},
}
,@article{Lee
title = {Robust Evaluation of ENSO in Climate Models: How Many Ensemble Members Are Needed?},
author = {
Lee, Jiwoo
and Planton, Yann Y.
and Gleckler, Peter J.
and Sperber, Kenneth R.
and Guilyardi, Eric
and Wittenberg, Andrew T.
and McPhaden, Michael J.
and Pallotta, Giuliana
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2021GL095041},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {48},
}
,@article{Martin Mohrmann
title = {Southern Ocean polynyas in CMIP6 models},
author = {
Martin Mohrmann
and Céline Heuzé
and Sebastiaan Swart
},
journal = {The Cryosphere},
}
,@article{Palmer
title = {How does the CMIP6 ensemble change the picture for European climate projections?},
author = {
Palmer, T E
and Booth, B B B
and McSweeney, C F
},
url = {https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/ac1ed9},
journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
volume = {16},
pages = {094042},
}
,@article{Anstey
title = {Prospect of Increased Disruption to the QBO in a Changing Climate},
author = {
Anstey, James A.
and Banyard, Timothy P.
and Butchart, Neal
and Coy, Lawrence
and Newman, Paul A.
and Osprey, Scott
and Wright, Corwin J.
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2021GL093058},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {48},
}
,@article{Alaminie
title = {Evaluation of Past and Future Climate Trends under CMIP6 Scenarios for the UBNB (Abay), Ethiopia},
author = {
Alaminie, Addis A.
and Tilahun, Seifu A.
and Legesse, Solomon A.
and Zimale, Fasikaw A.
and Tarkegn, Gashaw Bimrew
and Jury, Mark R.
},
url = {https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4441/13/15/2110},
journal = {Other},
volume = {13},
pages = {2110},
}
,@article{Hua
title = {Reconciling Human and Natural Drivers of the Tripole Pattern of Multidecadal Summer Temperature Variations Over Eurasia},
author = {
Hua, Wenjian
and Qin, Minhua
and Dai, Aiguo
and Zhou, Liming
and Chen, Haishan
and Zhang, Wanxin
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2021GL093971},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {48},
}
,@article{Jayasankar
title = {Does increasing the spatial resolution in dynamical downscaling impact climate change projection of Indian summer monsoon, population and GDP?},
author = {
Jayasankar, C. B.
and Rajendran, K.
and Sajani, Surendran
},
url = {https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00704-021-03633-w},
journal = {Theoretical and Applied Climatology},
volume = {145},
pages = {441-453},
}
,@article{Xin
title = {Impact of Higher Resolution on Precipitation over China in CMIP6 HighResMIP Models},
author = {
Xin, Xiaoge
and Wu, Tongwen
and Jie, Weihua
and Zhang, Jie
},
url = {https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/12/6/762},
journal = {Atmosphere},
volume = {12},
pages = {762},
}
,@article{Li
title = {Evaluation of CMIP6 Global Climate Models for Simulating Land Surface Energy and Water Fluxes During 1979–2014},
author = {
Li, Jianduo
and Miao, Chiyuan
and Wei, Wei
and Zhang, Guo
and Hua, Lijuan
and Chen, Yueli
and Wang, Xiaoxiao
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2021MS002515},
journal = {Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems},
volume = {13},
}
,@article{Kajtar
title = {CMIP5 Intermodel Relationships in the Baseline Southern Ocean Climate System and With Future Projections},
author = {
Kajtar, Jules B.
and Santoso, Agus
and Collins, Matthew
and Taschetto, Andréa S.
and England, Matthew H.
and Frankcombe, Leela M.
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2020EF001873},
journal = {Earth's Future},
volume = {9},
}
,@article{Purich
title = {Historical and Future Projected Warming of Antarctic Shelf Bottom Water in CMIP6 Models},
author = {
Purich, Ariaan
and England, Matthew H.
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2021GL092752},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {48},
}
,@article{Lee
title = {Benchmarking performance changes in the simulation of extratropical modes of variability across CMIP generations},
author = {
Lee, Jiwoo
and Sperber, Kenneth R.
and Gleckler, Peter J.
and Taylor, Karl E.
and Bonfils, Céline J. W.
},
url = {https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/clim/aop/JCLI-D-20-0832.1/JCLI-D-20-0832.1.xml},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
pages = {1-70},
}
,@article{Wu
title = {BCC-CSM2-HR: a high-resolution version of the Beijing Climate Center Climate System Model},
author = {
Wu, Tongwen
and Yu, Rucong
and Lu, Yixiong
and Jie, Weihua
and Fang, Yongjie
and Zhang, Jie
and Zhang, Li
and Xin, Xiaoge
and Li, Laurent
and Wang, Zaizhi
and Liu, Yiming
and Zhang, Fang
and Wu, Fanghua
and Chu, Min
and Li, Jianglong
and Li, Weiping
and Zhang, Yanwu
and Shi, Xueli
and Zhou, Wenyan
and Yao, Junchen
and Liu, Xiangwen
and Zhao, He
and Yan, Jinghui
and Wei, Min
and Xue, Wei
and Huang, Anning
and Zhang, Yaocun
and Zhang, Yu
and Shu, Qi
and Hu, Aixue
},
url = {https://gmd.copernicus.org/articles/14/2977/2021/},
journal = {Geoscientific Model Development},
volume = {14},
pages = {2977-3006},
}
,@article{Beverley
title = {Future Changes to El Niño Teleconnections over the North Pacific and North America},
author = {
Beverley, Jonathan D.
and Collins, Matthew
and Lambert, F. Hugo
and Chadwick, Robin
},
url = {https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/clim/aop/JCLI-D-20-0877.1/JCLI-D-20-0877.1.xml},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
pages = {1-43},
}
,@article{Watts
title = {A spatial evaluation of Arctic sea ice and regional limitations in CMIP6 historical simulations},
author = {
Watts, Matthew
and Maslowski, Wieslaw
and Lee, Younjoo J.
and Kinney, Jaclyn Clement
and Osinski, Robert
},
url = {https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/clim/aop/JCLI-D-20-0491.1/JCLI-D-20-0491.1.xml},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
pages = {1-54},
}
,@article{McBride
title = {Comparison of CMIP6 historical climate simulations and future projected warming to an empirical model of global climate},
author = {
McBride, Laura A.
and Hope, Austin P.
and Canty, Timothy P.
and Bennett, Brian F.
and Tribett, Walter R.
and Salawitch, Ross J.
},
url = {https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/12/545/2021/},
journal = {Earth System Dynamics},
volume = {12},
pages = {545-579},
}
,@article{Koch
title = {Earth System Models Are Not Capturing Present‐Day Tropical Forest Carbon Dynamics},
author = {
Koch, Alexander
and Hubau, Wannes
and Lewis, Simon L.
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2020EF001874},
journal = {Other},
volume = {9},
}
,@article{Jones
title = {The Climate Response to Emissions Reductions Due to COVID‐19: Initial Results From CovidMIP},
author = {
Jones, Chris D.
and Hickman, Jonathan E.
and Rumbold, Steven T.
and Walton, Jeremy
and Lamboll, Robin D.
and Skeie, Ragnhild B.
and Fiedler, Stephanie
and Forster, Piers M.
and Rogelj, Joeri
and Abe, Manabu
and Botzet, Michael
and Calvin, Katherine
and Cassou, Christophe
and Cole, Jason N.S.
and Davini, Paolo
and Deushi, Makoto
and Dix, Martin
and Fyfe, John C.
and Gillett, Nathan P.
and Ilyina, Tatiana
and Kawamiya, Michio
and Kelley, Maxwell
and Kharin, Slava
and Koshiro, Tsuyoshi
and Li, Hongmei
and Mackallah, Chloe
and Müller, Wolfgang A.
and Nabat, Pierre
and van Noije, Twan
and Nolan, Paul
and Ohgaito, Rumi
and Olivié, Dirk
and Oshima, Naga
and Parodi, Jose
and Reerink, Thomas J.
and Ren, Lili
and Romanou, Anastasia
and Séférian, Roland
and Tang, Yongming
and Timmreck, Claudia
and Tjiputra, Jerry
and Tourigny, Etienne
and Tsigaridis, Kostas
and Wang, Hailong
and Wu, Mingxuan
and Wyser, Klaus
and Yang, Shuting
and Yang, Yang
and Ziehn, Tilo
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2020GL091883},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {48},
}
,@article{Sohail
title = {Fifty Year Trends in Global Ocean Heat Content Traced to Surface Heat Fluxes in the Sub‐Polar Ocean},
author = {
Sohail, Taimoor
and Irving, Damien B.
and Zika, Jan D.
and Holmes, Ryan M.
and Church, John A.
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2020GL091439},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {48},
}
,@article{Melnikova
title = {Carbon Cycle Response to Temperature Overshoot Beyond 2°C: An Analysis of CMIP6 Models},
author = {
Melnikova, I.
and Boucher, O.
and Cadule, P.
and Ciais, P.
and Gasser, T.
and Quilcaille, Y.
and Shiogama, H.
and Tachiiri, K.
and Yokohata, T.
and Tanaka, K.
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2020EF001967},
journal = {Other},
volume = {9},
}
,@article{Revell
title = {Atmosphere‐Ocean Feedback From Wind‐Driven Sea Spray Aerosol Production},
author = {
Revell, L. E.
and Wotherspoon, N. E.
and Jones, O. J.
and Bhatti, Y. A.
and Williams, J. H. T.
and Mackie, S. L.
and Mulcahy, J. P.
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2020GL091900},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {48},
}
,@article{Watson-Parris
title = {Machine learning for weather and climate are worlds apart},
author = {
Watson-Parris, D.
},
url = {https://royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/10.1098/rsta.2020.0098},
journal = {Other},
volume = {379},
pages = {20200098},
}
,@article{Zanowski
title = {Arctic Ocean freshwater in CMIP6 Ensembles: Declining Sea Ice, Increasing Ocean Storage and Export},
author = {
Zanowski, Hannah
and Jahn, Alexandra
and Holland, Marika M.
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2020JC016930},
journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans},
}
,@article{Griffiths
title = {Tropospheric ozone in CMIP6 simulations},
author = {
Griffiths, Paul T.
and Murray, Lee T.
and Zeng, Guang
and Shin, Youngsub Matthew
and Abraham, N. Luke
and Archibald, Alexander T.
and Deushi, Makoto
and Emmons, Louisa K.
and Galbally, Ian E.
and Hassler, Birgit
and Horowitz, Larry W.
and Keeble, James
and Liu, Jane
and Moeini, Omid
and Naik, Vaishali
and O'Connor, Fiona M.
and Oshima, Naga
and Tarasick, David
and Tilmes, Simone
and Turnock, Steven T.
and Wild, Oliver
and Young, Paul J.
and Zanis, Prodromos
},
url = {https://acp.copernicus.org/articles/21/4187/2021/},
journal = {Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics},
volume = {21},
pages = {4187-4218},
}
,@article{Gillett
title = {Constraining human contributions to observed warming since the pre-industrial period},
author = {
Gillett, Nathan P.
and Kirchmeier-Young, Megan
and Ribes, Aurélien
and Shiogama, Hideo
and Hegerl, Gabriele C.
and Knutti, Reto
and Gastineau, Guillaume
and John, Jasmin G.
and Li, Lijuan
and Nazarenko, Larissa
and Rosenbloom, Nan
and Seland, Øyvind
and Wu, Tongwen
and Yukimoto, Seiji
and Ziehn, Tilo
},
url = {https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-020-00965-9},
journal = {Nature Climate Change},
volume = {11},
pages = {207-212},
}
,@article{Pak
title = {Korea Institute of Ocean Science and Technology Earth System Model and Its Simulation Characteristics},
author = {
Pak, Gyundo
and Noh, Yign
and Lee, Myong-In
and Yeh, Sang-Wook
and Kim, Daehyun
and Kim, Sang-Yeob
and Lee, Joon-Lee
and Lee, Ho Jin
and Hyun, Seung-Hwon
and Lee, Kwang-Yeon
and Lee, Jae-Hak
and Park, Young-Gyu
and Jin, Hyunkeun
and Park, Hyukmin
and Kim, Young Ho
},
url = {https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s12601-021-00001-7},
journal = {Ocean Science Journal},
volume = {56},
pages = {18-45},
}
,@article{Goyal
title = {Historical and Projected Changes in the Southern Hemisphere Surface Westerlies},
author = {
Goyal, Rishav
and Sen Gupta, Alex
and Jucker, Martin
and England, Matthew H.
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2020GL090849},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {48},
}
,@article{Nicholls
title = {Regionally aggregated, stitched and de‐drifted CMIP‐climate data, processed with netCDF‐SCM v2.0.0},
author = {
Nicholls, Zebedee
and Lewis, Jared
and Makin, Melissa
and Nattala, Usha
and Zhang, Geordie Z.
and Mutch, Simon J.
and Tescari, Edoardo
and Meinshausen, Malte
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/gdj3.113},
journal = {Geoscience Data Journal},
}
,@article{Kodama
title = {The Nonhydrostatic ICosahedral Atmospheric Model for CMIP6 HighResMIP simulations (NICAM16-S): experimental design, model description, and impacts of model updates},
author = {
Kodama, Chihiro
and Ohno, Tomoki
and Seiki, Tatsuya
and Yashiro, Hisashi
and Noda, Akira T.
and Nakano, Masuo
and Yamada, Yohei
and Roh, Woosub
and Satoh, Masaki
and Nitta, Tomoko
and Goto, Daisuke
and Miura, Hiroaki
and Nasuno, Tomoe
and Miyakawa, Tomoki
and Chen, Ying-Wen
and Sugi, Masato
},
url = {https://gmd.copernicus.org/articles/14/795/2021/},
journal = {Geoscientific Model Development},
volume = {14},
pages = {795-820},
}
,@article{Zhang
title = {BCC-ESM1 Model Datasets for the CMIP6 Aerosol Chemistry Model Intercomparison Project (AerChemMIP)},
author = {
Zhang, Jie
and Wu, Tongwen
and Zhang, Fang
and Furtado, Kalli
and Xin, Xiaoge
and Shi, Xueli
and Li, Jianglong
and Chu, Min
and Zhang, Li
and Liu, Qianxia
and Yan, Jinghui
and Wei, Min
and Ma, Qiang
},
url = {https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00376-020-0151-2},
journal = {Advances in Atmospheric Sciences},
volume = {38},
pages = {317-328},
}
,@article{Sang
title = {Improvement of Soil Moisture Simulation in Eurasia by the Beijing Climate Center Climate System Model from CMIP5 to CMIP6},
author = {
Sang, Yinghan
and Ren, Hong-Li
and Shi, Xueli
and Xu, Xiaofeng
and Chen, Haishan
},
url = {https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00376-020-0167-7},
journal = {Advances in Atmospheric Sciences},
volume = {38},
pages = {237-252},
}
,@article{Sledd
title = {Uncertainty in Forced and Natural Arctic Solar Absorption Variations in CMIP6 Models},
author = {
Sledd, Anne
and L’Ecuyer, Tristan
},
url = {https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/clim/34/3/JCLI-D-20-0244.1.xml},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
volume = {34},
pages = {931-948},
}
,@article{Thornhill
title = {Climate-driven chemistry and aerosol feedbacks in CMIP6 Earth system models},
author = {
Thornhill, Gillian
and Collins, William
and Olivié, Dirk
and Skeie, Ragnhild B.
and Archibald, Alex
and Bauer, Susanne
and Checa-Garcia, Ramiro
and Fiedler, Stephanie
and Folberth, Gerd
and Gjermundsen, Ada
and Horowitz, Larry
and Lamarque, Jean-Francois
and Michou, Martine
and Mulcahy, Jane
and Nabat, Pierre
and Naik, Vaishali
and O'Connor, Fiona M.
and Paulot, Fabien
and Schulz, Michael
and Scott, Catherine E.
and Séférian, Roland
and Smith, Chris
and Takemura, Toshihiko
and Tilmes, Simone
and Tsigaridis, Kostas
and Weber, James
},
url = {https://acp.copernicus.org/articles/21/1105/2021/},
journal = {Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics},
volume = {21},
pages = {1105-1126},
}
,@article{Allen
title = {Significant climate benefits from near-term climate forcer mitigation in spite of aerosol reductions},
author = {
Allen, Robert J.
and Horowitz, Larry W
and Naik, Vaishali
and Oshima, Naga
and O'Connor, Fiona M.
and Turnock, Steven
and Shim, Sungbo
and Le Sager, Philippe
and van Noije, Twan
and Tsigaridis, Kostas
and Bauer, Susanne E
and Sentman, Lori T.
and John, Jasmin G
and Broderick, Conor
and Deushi, Makoto
and Folberth, Gerd A.
and Fujimori, Shinichiro
and Collins, William J
},
url = {https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/abe06b},
journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
}
,@article{Thornhill
title = {Effective radiative forcing from emissions of reactive gases and aerosols – a multi-model comparison},
author = {
Thornhill, Gillian D.
and Collins, William J.
and Kramer, Ryan J.
and Olivié, Dirk
and Skeie, Ragnhild B.
and O'Connor, Fiona M.
and Abraham, Nathan Luke
and Checa-Garcia, Ramiro
and Bauer, Susanne E.
and Deushi, Makoto
and Emmons, Louisa K.
and Forster, Piers M.
and Horowitz, Larry W.
and Johnson, Ben
and Keeble, James
and Lamarque, Jean-Francois
and Michou, Martine
and Mills, Michael J.
and Mulcahy, Jane P.
and Myhre, Gunnar
and Nabat, Pierre
and Naik, Vaishali
and Oshima, Naga
and Schulz, Michael
and Smith, Christopher J.
and Takemura, Toshihiko
and Tilmes, Simone
and Wu, Tongwen
and Zeng, Guang
and Zhang, Jie
},
url = {https://acp.copernicus.org/articles/21/853/2021/},
journal = {Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics},
volume = {21},
pages = {853-874},
}
,@article{Hayashi
title = {The northwestern Pacific warming record in August 2020 occurred under anthropogenic forcing},
author = {
Hayashi, Michiya
and Shiogama H.
and Emori S.
and Ogura T.
and Hirota N.
},
url = {https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1029/2020GL090956},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {48},
pages = {e2020GL090956},
}
,@article{Bock
title = {Evaluation of ocean dimethylsulfide concentration and emission in CMIP6 models},
author = {
Bock, Josué
and Michou, Martine
and Nabat, Pierre
and Abe, Manabu
and Mulcahy, Jane P.
and Olivié, Dirk J. L.
and Schwinger, Jörg
and Suntharalingam, Parvadha
and Tjiputra, Jerry
and van Hulten, Marco
and Watanabe, Michio
and Yool, Andrew
and Séférian, Roland
},
url = {https://bg.copernicus.org/preprints/bg-2020-463/},
journal = {Other},
}
,@article{Ribes
title = {Making climate projections conditional on historical observations},
author = {
Ribes, Aurélien
and Qasmi, Saïd
and Gillett, Nathan P.
},
url = {https://advances.sciencemag.org/content/7/4/eabc0671},
journal = {Science Advances},
volume = {7},
pages = {eabc0671},
}
,@article{Ombadi
title = {Retrospective Analysis and Bayesian Model Averaging of CMIP6 Precipitation in the Nile River Basin},
author = {
Ombadi, Mohammed
and Nguyen, Phu
and Sorooshian, Soroosh
and Hsu, Kuo-lin
},
url = {https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/hydr/22/1/jhm-d-20-0157.1.xml},
journal = {Journal of Hydrometeorology},
volume = {22},
pages = {217-229},
}
,@article{Kam
title = {CMIP6 Model-Based Assessment of Anthropogenic Influence on the Long Sustained Western Cape Drought over 2015–19},
author = {
Kam, Jonghun
and Min, Seung-Ki
and Wolski, Piotr
and Kug, Jong-Seong
},
url = {https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/bams/102/1/BAMS-D-20-0159.1.xml},
journal = {Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society},
volume = {102},
pages = {S45-S50},
}
,@article{Hobbs
title = {Anthropogenic Temperature and Salinity Changes in the Southern Ocean},
author = {
Hobbs, William R.
and Roach, Christopher
and Roy, Tilla
and Sallée, Jean-Baptiste
and Bindoff, Nathaniel
},
url = {https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/clim/34/1/jcliD200454.xml},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
volume = {34},
pages = {215-228},
}
,@article{Halder
title = {Assessment of CMIP6 models' skill for tropical Indian Ocean sea surface temperature variability},
author = {
Halder, Subrota
and Parekh, Anant
and Chowdary, Jasti S.
and Gnanaseelan, Chellappan
and Kulkarni, Ashwini
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/joc.6975},
journal = {International Journal of Climatology},
}
,@article{van Noije
title = {EC-Earth3-AerChem, a global climate model with interactive aerosolsand atmospheric chemistry participating in CMIP6},
author = {
van Noije, Twan
and Bergman, Tommi
and Le Sager, Philippe
and O'Donnell, Declan
and Makkonen, Risto
and Gonçalves-Ageitos, María
and Döscher, Ralf
and Fladrich, Uwe
and von Hardenberg, Jost
and Keskinen, Jukka-Pekka
and Korhonen, Hannele
and Laakso, Anton
and Myriokefalitakis, Stelios
and Ollinaho, Pirkka
and Pérez García-Pando, Carlos
and Reerink, Thomas
and Schrödner, Roland
and Wyser, Klaus
and Yang, Shuting
},
url = {https://gmd.copernicus.org/preprints/gmd-2020-413/},
journal = {Geoscientific Model Development},
}
,@article{Ito
title = {Soil carbon sequestration simulated in CMIP6-LUMIP models: implications for climatic mitigation},
author = {
Ito, Akihiko
and Hajima, Tomohiro
and Lawrence, David M
and Brovkin, Victor
and Delire, Christine
and Guenet, Bertrand
and Jones, Chris D
and Malyshev, Sergey
and Materia, Stefano
and McDermid, Sonali P
and Peano, Daniele
and Pongratz, Julia
and Robertson, Eddy
and Shevliakova, Elena
and Vuichard, Nicolas
and Wårlind, David
and Wiltshire, Andy
and Ziehn, Tilo
},
journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
volume = {15},
pages = {124061},
}
,@article{McKenna
title = {Stringent mitigation substantially reduces risk of unprecedented near-term warming rates},
author = {
McKenna, C. M.
and Maycock, A. C.
and Forster, P. M.
and Smith, C. J.
and Tokarska, K. B.
},
url = {https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-020-00957-9},
journal = {Nature Climate Change},
volume = {11},
pages = {126-131},
}
,@article{Kim
title = {Performance Evaluation of CMIP5 and CMIP6 Models on Heatwaves in Korea and Associated Teleconnection Patterns},
author = {
Kim, Maeng‐Ki
and Yu, Dae‐Geun
and Oh, Ji‐Seon
and Byun, Young‐Hwa
and Boo, Kyung‐On
and Chung, Il‐Ung
and Park, Jeong‐Soo
and Park, Doo‐Sun R.
and Min, Seung‐Ki
and Sung, Hyun Min
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2020JD032583},
journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
volume = {125},
}
,@article{Xin
title = {Comparison of CMIP6 and CMIP5 simulations of precipitation in China and the East Asian summer monsoon},
author = {
Xin, Xiaoge
and Wu, Tongwen
and Zhang, Jie
and Yao, Junchen
and Fang, Yongjie
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/joc.6590},
journal = {International Journal of Climatology},
volume = {40},
pages = {6423-6440},
}
,@article{Qin
title = {Quantifying Contributions of Internal Variability and External Forcing to Atlantic Multidecadal Variability Since 1870},
author = {
Qin, Minhua
and Dai, Aiguo
and Hua, Wenjian
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2020GL089504},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {47},
}
,@article{Dunne
title = {The GFDL Earth System Model Version 4.1 (GFDL‐ESM 4.1): Overall Coupled Model Description and Simulation Characteristics},
author = {
Dunne, J. P.
and Horowitz, L. W.
and Adcroft, A. J.
and Ginoux, P.
and Held, I. M.
and John, J. G.
and Krasting, J. P.
and Malyshev, S.
and Naik, V.
and Paulot, F.
and Shevliakova, E.
and Stock, C. A.
and Zadeh, N.
and Balaji, V.
and Blanton, C.
and Dunne, K. A.
and Dupuis, C.
and Durachta, J.
and Dussin, R.
and Gauthier, P. P. G.
and Griffies, S. M.
and Guo, H.
and Hallberg, R. W.
and Harrison, M.
and He, J.
and Hurlin, W.
and McHugh, C.
and Menzel, R.
and Milly, P. C. D.
and Nikonov, S.
and Paynter, D. J.
and Ploshay, J.
and Radhakrishnan, A.
and Rand, K.
and Reichl, B. G.
and Robinson, T.
and Schwarzkopf, D. M.
and Sentman, L. T.
and Underwood, S.
and Vahlenkamp, H.
and Winton, M.
and Wittenberg, A. T.
and Wyman, B.
and Zeng, Y.
and Zhao, M.
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2019MS002015},
journal = {Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems},
volume = {12},
}
,@article{Szuwalski
title = {Climate change and the future productivity and distribution of crab in the Bering Sea},
author = {
Szuwalski, Cody
and Cheng, Wei
and Foy, Robert
and Hermann, Albert J
and Hollowed, Anne
and Holsman, Kirstin
and Lee, Jiwoo
and Stockhausen, William
and Zheng, Jie
},
journal = {Other},
}
,@article{Horowitz
title = {The GFDL Global Atmospheric Chemistry‐Climate Model AM4.1: Model Description and Simulation Characteristics},
author = {
Horowitz, Larry W.
and Naik, Vaishali
and Paulot, Fabien
and Ginoux, Paul A.
and Dunne, John P.
and Mao, Jingqiu
and Schnell, Jordan
and Chen, Xi
and He, Jian
and John, Jasmin G.
and Lin, Meiyun
and Lin, Pu
and Malyshev, Sergey
and Paynter, David
and Shevliakova, Elena
and Zhao, Ming
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2019MS002032},
journal = {Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems},
volume = {12},
}
,@article{Zhang
title = {The ARM Data-Oriented Metrics and Diagnostics Package for Climate Models: A New Tool for Evaluating Climate Models with Field Data},
author = {
Zhang, C.
and Xie, S.
and Tao, C.
and Tang, S.
and Emmenegger, T.
and Neelin, J. D.
and Schiro, K. A.
and Lin, W.
and Shaheen, Z.
},
url = {https://journals.ametsoc.org/bams/article/101/10/E1619/348634/The-ARM-DataOriented-Metrics-and-Diagnostics},
journal = {Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society},
volume = {101},
pages = {E1619-E1627},
}
,@article{Dunne
title = {Simple Global Ocean Biogeochemistry With Light, Iron, Nutrients and Gas Version 2 (BLINGv2): Model Description and Simulation Characteristics in GFDL's CM4.0},
author = {
Dunne, J. P.
and Bociu, I.
and Bronselaer, B.
and Guo, H.
and John, J. G.
and Krasting, J. P.
and Stock, C. A.
and Winton, M.
and Zadeh, N.
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2019MS002008},
journal = {Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems},
volume = {12},
}
,@article{Stock
title = {Ocean Biogeochemistry in GFDL's Earth System Model 4.1 and Its Response to Increasing Atmospheric CO 2},
author = {
Stock, Charles A.
and Dunne, John P.
and Fan, Songmiao
and Ginoux, Paul
and John, Jasmin
and Krasting, John P.
and Laufkötter, Charlotte
and Paulot, Fabien
and Zadeh, Niki
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2019MS002043},
journal = {Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems},
volume = {12},
}
,@article{Burke
title = {Evaluating permafrost physics in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 6 (CMIP6) models and their sensitivity to climate change},
author = {
Burke, Eleanor
and Krinner G.
and Yu Zhang
},
journal = {The Cryosphere},
}
,@article{Planton
title = {Evaluating climate models with the CLIVAR 2020 ENSO metrics package},
author = {
Planton, Yann Y.
and Guilyardi, Eric
and Wittenberg, Andrew T.
and Lee, Jiwoo
and Gleckler, Peter J.
and Bayr, Tobias
and McGregor, Shayne
and McPhaden, Michael J.
and Power, Scott
and Roehrig, Romain
and Vialard, Jérôme
and Voldoire, Aurore
},
url = {https://journals.ametsoc.org/bams/article/354641/Evaluating-climate-models-with-the-CLIVAR-2020},
journal = {Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society},
pages = {1-57},
}
,@article{Douville
title = {Drivers of the enhanced decline of land near-surface relative humidity to abrupt 4xCO2 in CNRM-CM6-1},
author = {
Douville, Hervé
and Decharme, B.
and Delire, C.
and Colin, J.
and Joetzjer, E.
and Roehrig, R.
and Saint-Martin, D.
and Oudar, T.
and Stchepounoff, R.
and Voldoire, A.
},
url = {https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-020-05351-x},
journal = {Climate Dynamics},
volume = {55},
pages = {1613-1629},
}
,@article{Li
title = {The Flexible Global Ocean‐Atmosphere‐Land System Model Grid‐Point Version 3 (FGOALS‐g3): Description and Evaluation},
author = {
Li, Lijuan
and Yu, Yongqiang
and Tang, Yanli
and Lin, Pengfei
and Xie, Jinbo
and Song, Mirong
and Dong, Li
and Zhou, Tianjun
and Liu, Li
and Wang, Lu
and Pu, Ye
and Chen, Xiaolong
and Chen, Lin
and Xie, Zhenghui
and Liu, Hongbo
and Zhang, Lixia
and Huang, Xin
and Feng, Tao
and Zheng, Weipeng
and Xia, Kun
and Liu, Hailong
and Liu, Jiping
and Wang, Yan
and Wang, Longhuan
and Jia, Binghao
and Xie, Feng
and Wang, Bin
and Zhao, Shuwen
and Yu, Zipeng
and Zhao, Bowen
and Wei, Jilin
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2019MS002012},
journal = {Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems},
volume = {12},
}
,@article{Hayashi
title = {Dynamics for El Niño-La Niña asymmetry constrain equatorial-Pacific warming pattern},
author = {
Hayashi, Michiya
and Jin, Fei-Fei
and Stuecker, Malte F.
},
url = {https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-020-17983-y},
journal = {Other},
volume = {11},
pages = {4230},
}
,@article{Irving
title = {A Mass and Energy Conservation Analysis of Drift in the CMIP6 Ensemble},
author = {
Irving, Damien
and Hobbs, Will
and Church, John
and Zika, Jan
},
url = {https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0281.1},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
pages = {1-43},
}
,@article{Arora
title = {Carbon–concentration and carbon–climate feedbacks in CMIP6 models and their comparison to CMIP5 models},
author = {
Arora, Vivek K.
and Katavouta, Anna
and Williams, Richard G.
and Jones, Chris D.
and Brovkin, Victor
and Friedlingstein, Pierre
and Schwinger, Jörg
and Bopp, Laurent
and Boucher, Olivier
and Cadule, Patricia
and Chamberlain, Matthew A.
and Christian, James R.
and Delire, Christine
and Fisher, Rosie A.
and Hajima, Tomohiro
and Ilyina, Tatiana
and Joetzjer, Emilie
and Kawamiya, Michio
and Koven, Charles D.
and Krasting, John P.
and Law, Rachel M.
and Lawrence, David M.
and Lenton, Andrew
and Lindsay, Keith
and Pongratz, Julia
and Raddatz, Thomas
and Séférian, Roland
and Tachiiri, Kaoru
and Tjiputra, Jerry F.
and Wiltshire, Andy
and Wu, Tongwen
and Ziehn, Tilo
},
url = {https://bg.copernicus.org/articles/17/4173/2020/},
journal = {Biogeosciences},
volume = {17},
pages = {4173-4222},
}
,@article{Séférian
title = {Tracking Improvement in Simulated Marine Biogeochemistry Between CMIP5 and CMIP6},
author = {
Séférian, Roland
and Berthet, Sarah
and Yool, Andrew
and Palmiéri, Julien
and Bopp, Laurent
and Tagliabue, Alessandro
and Kwiatkowski, Lester
and Aumont, Olivier
and Christian, James
and Dunne, John
and Gehlen, Marion
and Ilyina, Tatiana
and John, Jasmin G.
and Li, Hongmei
and Long, Matthew C.
and Luo, Jessica Y.
and Nakano, Hideyuki
and Romanou, Anastasia
and Schwinger, Jörg
and Stock, Charles
and Santana-Falcón, Yeray
and Takano, Yohei
and Tjiputra, Jerry
and Tsujino, Hiroyuki
and Watanabe, Michio
and Wu, Tongwen
and Wu, Fanghua
and Yamamoto, Akitomo
},
url = {https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s40641-020-00160-0},
journal = {Other},
}
,@article{Mudryk
title = {Historical Northern Hemisphere snow cover trends and projected changes in the CMIP6 multi-model ensemble},
author = {
Mudryk, Lawrence
and Santolaria-Otín, María
and Krinner, Gerhard
and Ménégoz, Martin
and Derksen, Chris
and Brutel-Vuilmet, Claire
and Brady, Mike
and Essery, Richard
},
url = {https://tc.copernicus.org/articles/14/2495/2020/},
journal = {The Cryosphere},
volume = {14},
pages = {2495-2514},
}
,@article{DeRepentigny
title = {Arctic Sea Ice in Two Configurations of the CESM2 During the 20th and 21st Centuries},
author = {
DeRepentigny, Patricia
and Jahn, Alexandra
and Holland, Marika M.
and Smith, Abigail
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2020JC016133},
journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans},
volume = {125},
pages = {e2020JC016133},
}
,@article{Qin
title = {Aerosol-forced multidecadal variations across all ocean basins in models and observations since 1920},
author = {
Qin, Minhua
and Dai, Aiguo
and Hua, Wenjian
},
url = {https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/sciadv.abb0425},
journal = {Science Advances},
volume = {6},
}
,@article{Jones
title = {Quantifying process-level uncertainty contributions to TCRE and carbon budgets for meeting Paris Agreement climate targets},
author = {
Jones, Chris D
and Friedlingstein, Pierre
},
url = {https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/ab858a},
journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
volume = {15},
pages = {074019},
}
,@article{Andrews
title = {Historical Simulations With HadGEM3‐GC3.1 for CMIP6},
author = {
Andrews, Martin B.
and Ridley, Jeff K.
and Wood, Richard A.
and Andrews, Timothy
and Blockley, Edward W.
and Booth, Ben
and Burke, Eleanor
and Dittus, Andrea J.
and Florek, Piotr
and Gray, Lesley J.
and Haddad, Stephen
and Hardiman, Steven C.
and Hermanson, Leon
and Hodson, Dan
and Hogan, Emma
and Jones, Gareth S.
and Knight, Jeff R.
and Kuhlbrodt, Till
and Misios, Stergios
and Mizielinski, Matthew S.
and Ringer, Mark A.
and Robson, Jon
and Sutton, Rowan T.
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1029/2019MS001995},
journal = {Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems},
volume = {12},
}
,@article{SIMIP Community
title = {Arctic Sea Ice in CMIP6},
author = {
SIMIP Community
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2019GL086749},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {47},
}
,@article{Roach
title = {Antarctic Sea Ice Area in CMIP6},
author = {
Roach, Lettie A.
and Dörr, Jakob
and Holmes, Caroline R.
and Massonnet, François
and Blockley, Edward W.
and Notz, Dirk
and Rackow, Thomas
and Raphael, Marilyn N.
and O'Farrell, Siobhan P.
and Bailey, David A.
and Bitz, Cecilia M.
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2019GL086729},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {47},
}
,@article{Watson‐Parris
title = {Constraining Uncertainty in Aerosol Direct Forcing},
author = {
Watson‐Parris, D.
and Bellouin, N.
and Deaconu, L. T.
and Schutgens, N. A. J.
and Yoshioka, M.
and Regayre, L. A.
and Pringle, K. J.
and Johnson, J. S.
and Smith, C. J.
and Carslaw, K. S.
and Stier, P.
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2020GL087141},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {47},
}
,@article{Lyu
title = {Regional dynamic sea level simulated in the CMIP5 and CMIP6 models: mean biases, future projections, and their linkages},
author = {
Lyu, Kewei
and Zhang, Xuebin
and Church, John A.
},
url = {https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-1029.1},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,@article{Grise
title = {Hadley cell expansion in CMIP6 models},
author = {
Grise, Kevin M.
and Davis, Sean M.
},
url = {https://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/20/5249/2020/},
journal = {Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics},
volume = {20},
pages = {5249-5268},
}
,@article{Oudar
title = {Drivers of the Northern Extratropical Eddy‐Driven Jet Change in CMIP5 and CMIP6 Models},
author = {
Oudar, Thomas
and Cattiaux, Julien
and Douville, Hervé
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1029/2019GL086695},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {47},
}
,@article{Tian
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