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title = {Drivers of low-frequency Sahel precipitation variability: comparing CMIP5 and CMIP6 ensemble means with observations},
author = {
Herman, Rebecca Jean
and Biasutti, Michela
and Kushnir, Yochanan
},
url = {https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-023-06755-1},
journal = {Climate Dynamics},
volume = {61},
pages = {4449-4470},
}
,@article{Ombadi
title = {A warming-induced reduction in snow fraction amplifies rainfall extremes},
author = {
Ombadi, Mohammed
and Risser, Mark D.
and Rhoades, Alan M.
and Varadharajan, Charuleka
},
url = {https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-023-06092-7},
journal = {Nature},
}
,@article{Anne L. Morée
title = {Impact of deoxygenation and warming on global marine species in the 21st century},
author = {
Anne L. Morée
and Thomas L. Frölicher
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},
journal = {Biogeosciences},
}
,@article{Roemer
title = {Direct observation of Earth’s spectral long-wave feedback parameter},
author = {
Roemer, Florian E.
and Buehler, Stefan A.
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and Kluft, Lukas
and John, Viju O.
},
url = {https://www.nature.com/articles/s41561-023-01175-6},
journal = {Nature Geoscience},
volume = {16},
pages = {416-421},
}
,@article{von der Gathen
title = {Reply to: No evidence of worsening Arctic springtime ozone losses over the 21st century},
author = {
von der Gathen, Peter
and Kivi, Rigel
and Wohltmann, Ingo
and Salawitch, Ross J.
and Rex, Markus
},
journal = {Nature Communications},
volume = {14},
}
,@article{Zhou
title = {Projection of China’s future runoff based on the CMIP6 mid-high warming scenarios},
author = {
Zhou, Jiayue
and Lu, Hui
and Yang, Kun
and Jiang, Ruijie
and Yang, Yuan
and Wang, Wei
and Zhang, Xuejun
},
url = {https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11430-022-1055-5},
journal = {Other},
volume = {66},
pages = {528-546},
}
,@article{Hayashi
title = {The contribution of climate change to increasing extreme ocean warming around Japan},
author = {
Hayashi, Michiya
and Shiogama H.
and Ogura T.
},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {49},
pages = {e2022GL100785},
}
,@article{Holtanová
title = {Projected changes in mean annual cycle of temperature and precipitation over the Czech Republic: Comparison of CMIP5 and CMIP6},
author = {
Holtanová, Eva
and Belda, Michal
and Halenka, Tomáš
},
url = {https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/feart.2022.1018661/full},
journal = {Frontiers in Earth Science},
volume = {10},
}
,@article{Huard
title = {Estimating the Likelihood of GHG Concentration Scenarios From Probabilistic Integrated Assessment Model Simulations},
author = {
Huard, David
and Fyke, Jeremy
and Capellán‐Pérez, Iñigo
and Matthews, H. Damon
and Partanen, Antti‐Ilari
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2022EF002715},
journal = {Earth's Future},
volume = {10},
}
,@article{Chan
title = {Heatwave–blocking relation change likely dominates over decrease in blocking frequency under global warming},
author = {
Chan, Pak Wah
and Catto, Jennifer L.
and Collins, Matthew
},
url = {https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-022-00290-2},
journal = {npj Climate and Atmospheric Science},
volume = {5},
}
,@article{Rashid
title = {Evaluation of climate variability and change in ACCESS historical simulations for CMIP6},
author = {
Rashid, Harun A.
and Sullivan, Arnold
and Dix, Martin
and Bi, Daohua
and Mackallah, Chloe
and Ziehn, Tilo
and Dobrohotoff, Peter
and O’Farrell, Siobhan
and Harman, Ian N.
and Bodman, Roger
and Marsland, Simon
},
url = {https://www.publish.csiro.au/?paper=ES21028},
journal = {Journal of Southern Hemisphere Earth Systems Science},
}
,@article{Mackallah
title = {ACCESS datasets for CMIP6: methodology and idealised experiments},
author = {
Mackallah, C.
and Chamberlain, M. A.
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and Dix, M.
and Ziehn, T.
and Bi, D.
and Bodman, R.
and Brown, J. R.
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and Druken, K.
and Evans, B.
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and Holmes, R.
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and Meissner, K.
and Menviel, L.
and O’Farrell, S.
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and Ridzwan, S.
and Savita, A.
and Srbinovsky, J.
and Sullivan, A.
and Trenham, C.
and Vohralik, P. F.
and Wang, Y.-P.
and Williams, G.
and Woodhouse, M. T.
and Yeung, N.
},
url = {https://www.publish.csiro.au/?paper=ES21031},
journal = {Journal of Southern Hemisphere Earth Systems Science},
}
,@article{Jansen
title = {Global increase in methane production under future warming of lake bottom waters},
author = {
Jansen, Joachim
and Woolway, Richard Iestyn
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and Albergel, Clément
and Bastviken, David
and Weyhenmeyer, Gesa A.
and Marcé, Rafael
and Sharma, Sapna
and Sobek, Sebastian
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and Perroud, Marjorie
and Golub, Malgorzata
and Moore, Tadhg N.
and Råman Vinnå, Love
and La Fuente, Sofia
and Grant, Luke
and Pierson, Don C.
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and Jennings, Eleanor
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.16298},
journal = {Global Change Biology},
}
,@article{Kurniadi
title = {Evaluation of Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 model‐simulated extreme precipitation over Indonesia},
author = {
Kurniadi, Ari
and Weller, Evan
and Kim, Yeon‐Hee
and Min, Seung‐Ki
},
url = {https://rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/joc.7744},
journal = {International Journal of Climatology},
volume = {43},
pages = {174-196},
}
,@article{Hayashi
title = {Assessment of CMIP6-based future climate projections selected for impact studies in Japan},
author = {
Hayashi, Michiya
and Shiogama, Hideo
},
url = {https://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/sola/18/0/18_2022-016/_article/-char/en},
journal = {SOLA},
volume = {18},
pages = {96-103},
}
,@article{Hua
title = {Reconciling Roles of External Forcing and Internal Variability in Indian Ocean Decadal Variability Since 1920},
author = {
Hua, Wenjian
and Dai, Aiguo
and Qin, Minhua
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2021GL097198},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {49},
}
,@article{Hua
title = {Little Influence of Asian Anthropogenic Aerosols on Summer Temperature in Central East Asia Since 1960},
author = {
Hua, Wenjian
and Dai, Aiguo
and Chen, Haishan
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2022GL097946},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {49},
}
,@article{Kadkhodazadeh
title = {A New Methodology for Reference Evapotranspiration Prediction and Uncertainty Analysis under Climate Change Conditions Based on Machine Learning, Multi Criteria Decision Making and Monte Carlo Methods},
author = {
Kadkhodazadeh, Mojtaba
and Valikhan Anaraki, Mahdi
and Morshed-Bozorgdel, Amirreza
and Farzin, Saeed
},
url = {https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/14/5/2601},
journal = {Sustainability},
volume = {14},
pages = {2601},
}
,@article{Kajtar
title = {Tropical western and central Pacific marine heatwave data calculated from gridded sea surface temperature observations and CMIP6},
author = {
Kajtar, Jules B.
and Hernaman, Vanessa
and Holbrook, Neil J.
and Petrelli, Paola
},
url = {https://linkinghub.elsevier.com/retrieve/pii/S2352340921009690},
journal = {Data in Brief},
volume = {40},
pages = {107694},
}
,@article{Worou
title = {Weakened impact of the Atlantic Niño on the future equatorial Atlantic and Guinea Coast rainfall},
author = {
Worou, Koffi
and Goosse, Hugues
and Fichefet, Thierry
and Kucharski, Fred
},
url = {https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/13/231/2022/},
journal = {Earth System Dynamics},
volume = {13},
pages = {231-249},
}
,@article{Holbrook
title = {Impacts of marine heatwaves on tropical western and central Pacific Island nations and their communities},
author = {
Holbrook, Neil J.
and Hernaman, Vanessa
and Koshiba, Shirley
and Lako, Jimaima
and Kajtar, Jules B.
and Amosa, Patila
and Singh, Awnesh
},
url = {https://linkinghub.elsevier.com/retrieve/pii/S0921818121002654},
journal = {Global and Planetary Change},
volume = {208},
pages = {103680},
}
,@article{Zhang
title = {The role of anthropogenic aerosols in the anomalous cooling from 1960 to 1990 in the CMIP6 Earth system models},
author = {
Zhang, Jie
and Furtado, Kalli
and Turnock, Steven T.
and Mulcahy, Jane P.
and Wilcox, Laura J.
and Booth, Ben B.
and Sexton, David
and Wu, Tongwen
and Zhang, Fang
and Liu, Qianxia
},
url = {https://acp.copernicus.org/articles/21/18609/2021/},
journal = {Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics},
volume = {21},
pages = {18609-18627},
}
,@article{Hirabayashi
title = {Global exposure to flooding from the new CMIP6 climate model projections},
author = {
Hirabayashi, Yukiko
and Tanoue, Masahiro
and Sasaki, Orie
and Zhou, Xudong
and Yamazaki, Dai
},
url = {https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-021-83279-w},
journal = {Scientific Reports},
volume = {11},
}
,@article{Rajendran
title = {Simulation of Indian summer monsoon rainfall, interannual variability and teleconnections: Evaluation of CMIP6 models},
author = {
Rajendran, Kavirajan
and Surendran, Sajani
and Varghese, Stella Jes
and Sathyanath, Anjali
},
url = {https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-021-06027-w},
journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,@article{Lalande
title = {Climate change in the High Mountain Asia in CMIP6},
author = {
Lalande, Mickaël
and Ménégoz, Martin
and Krinner, Gerhard
and Naegeli, Kathrin
and Wunderle, Stefan
},
url = {https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/12/1061/2021/},
journal = {Earth System Dynamics},
volume = {12},
pages = {1061-1098},
}
,@misc{Kajtar
title = {Tasmanian region daily sea surface temperature from observations and CMIP6 models},
author = {
Kajtar, Jules B.
},
year = {2021},
}
,@article{Lee
title = {Robust Evaluation of ENSO in Climate Models: How Many Ensemble Members Are Needed?},
author = {
Lee, Jiwoo
and Planton, Yann Y.
and Gleckler, Peter J.
and Sperber, Kenneth R.
and Guilyardi, Eric
and Wittenberg, Andrew T.
and McPhaden, Michael J.
and Pallotta, Giuliana
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2021GL095041},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {48},
}
,@article{Thiery
title = {Intergenerational inequities in exposure to climate extremes},
author = {
Thiery, By Wim
and Lange, Stefan
and Rogelj, Joeri
and Schleussner, Carl-Friedrich
and Gudmundsson, Lukas
and Seneviratne, Sonia I.
and Andrijevic, Marina
and Frieler, Katja
and Emanuel, Kerry
and Geiger, Tobias
and Bresch, David N.
and Zhao, Fang
and Willner, Sven N.
and Büchner, Matthias
and Volkholz, Jan
and Bauer, Nico
and Chang, Jinfeng
and Ciais, Philippe
and Dury, Marie
and François, Louis
and Grillakis, Manolis
and Gosling, Simon N.
and Hanasaki, Naota
and Hickler, Thomas
and Huber, Veronika
and Ito, Akihiko
and Jägermeyr, Jonas
and Khabarov, Nikolay
and Koutroulis, Aristeidis
and Liu, Wenfeng
and Lutz, Wolfgang
and Mengel, Matthias
and Müller, Christoph
and Ostberg, Sebastian
and Reyer, Christopher P. O.
and Stacke, Tobias
and Wada, Yoshihide
},
url = {https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.abi7339},
journal = {Science},
}
,@article{Martin Mohrmann
title = {Southern Ocean polynyas in CMIP6 models},
author = {
Martin Mohrmann
and Céline Heuzé
and Sebastiaan Swart
},
journal = {The Cryosphere},
}
,@article{Palmer
title = {How does the CMIP6 ensemble change the picture for European climate projections?},
author = {
Palmer, T E
and Booth, B B B
and McSweeney, C F
},
url = {https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/ac1ed9},
journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
volume = {16},
pages = {094042},
}
,@article{Anstey
title = {Prospect of Increased Disruption to the QBO in a Changing Climate},
author = {
Anstey, James A.
and Banyard, Timothy P.
and Butchart, Neal
and Coy, Lawrence
and Newman, Paul A.
and Osprey, Scott
and Wright, Corwin J.
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2021GL093058},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {48},
}
,@article{Balaguru
title = {Subtropical Eastern North Pacific SST Bias in Earth System Models},
author = {
Balaguru, Karthik
and Van Roekel, Luke P.
and Leung, L. Ruby
and Veneziani, Milena
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2021JC017359},
journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans},
volume = {126},
}
,@article{Ahmed
title = {A Process‐Oriented Diagnostic to Assess Precipitation‐Thermodynamic Relations and Application to CMIP6 Models},
author = {
Ahmed, Fiaz
and Neelin, J. David
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2021GL094108},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {48},
}
,@article{Hua
title = {Reconciling Human and Natural Drivers of the Tripole Pattern of Multidecadal Summer Temperature Variations Over Eurasia},
author = {
Hua, Wenjian
and Qin, Minhua
and Dai, Aiguo
and Zhou, Liming
and Chen, Haishan
and Zhang, Wanxin
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2021GL093971},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {48},
}
,@article{Rashid
title = {Diverse Responses of Global‐Mean Surface Temperature to External Forcings and Internal Climate Variability in Observations and CMIP6 Models},
author = {
Rashid, Harun A.
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2021GL093194},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {48},
}
,@article{Jayasankar
title = {Does increasing the spatial resolution in dynamical downscaling impact climate change projection of Indian summer monsoon, population and GDP?},
author = {
Jayasankar, C. B.
and Rajendran, K.
and Sajani, Surendran
},
url = {https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00704-021-03633-w},
journal = {Theoretical and Applied Climatology},
volume = {145},
pages = {441-453},
}
,@article{von der Gathen
title = {Climate change favours large seasonal loss of Arctic ozone},
author = {
von der Gathen, Peter
and Kivi, Rigel
and Wohltmann, Ingo
and Salawitch, Ross J.
and Rex, Markus
},
url = {https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-021-24089-6},
journal = {Nature Communications},
volume = {12},
}
,@article{Lim Kam Sian
title = {Multi-Decadal Variability and Future Changes in Precipitation over Southern Africa},
author = {
Lim Kam Sian, Kenny Thiam Choy
and Wang, Jianhong
and Ayugi, Brian Odhiambo
and Nooni, Isaac Kwesi
and Ongoma, Victor
},
url = {https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/12/6/742},
journal = {Atmosphere},
volume = {12},
pages = {742},
}
,@article{Crawford
title = {Arctic open-water periods are projected to lengthen dramatically by 2100},
author = {
Crawford, Alex
and Stroeve, Julienne
and Smith, Abigail
and Jahn, Alexandra
},
url = {https://www.nature.com/articles/s43247-021-00183-x},
journal = {Other},
volume = {2},
}
,@article{Li
title = {Evaluation of CMIP6 Global Climate Models for Simulating Land Surface Energy and Water Fluxes During 1979–2014},
author = {
Li, Jianduo
and Miao, Chiyuan
and Wei, Wei
and Zhang, Guo
and Hua, Lijuan
and Chen, Yueli
and Wang, Xiaoxiao
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2021MS002515},
journal = {Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems},
volume = {13},
}
,@article{Kajtar
title = {CMIP5 Intermodel Relationships in the Baseline Southern Ocean Climate System and With Future Projections},
author = {
Kajtar, Jules B.
and Santoso, Agus
and Collins, Matthew
and Taschetto, Andréa S.
and England, Matthew H.
and Frankcombe, Leela M.
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2020EF001873},
journal = {Earth's Future},
volume = {9},
}
,@article{Shiogama
title = {How many hot days and heavy precipitation days will grandchildren experience that break the records set in their grandparents’ lives?},
author = {
Shiogama, Hideo
and Fujimori, Shinichiro
and Hasegawa, Tomoko
and Takahashi, Kiyoshi
and Kameyama, Yasuko
and Emori, Seita
},
url = {https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/2515-7620/ac0395},
journal = {Other},
volume = {3},
pages = {061002},
}
,@article{Purich
title = {Historical and Future Projected Warming of Antarctic Shelf Bottom Water in CMIP6 Models},
author = {
Purich, Ariaan
and England, Matthew H.
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2021GL092752},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {48},
}
,@article{Lee
title = {Benchmarking performance changes in the simulation of extratropical modes of variability across CMIP generations},
author = {
Lee, Jiwoo
and Sperber, Kenneth R.
and Gleckler, Peter J.
and Taylor, Karl E.
and Bonfils, Céline J. W.
},
url = {https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/clim/aop/JCLI-D-20-0832.1/JCLI-D-20-0832.1.xml},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
pages = {1-70},
}
,@article{McBride
title = {Comparison of CMIP6 historical climate simulations and future projected warming to an empirical model of global climate},
author = {
McBride, Laura A.
and Hope, Austin P.
and Canty, Timothy P.
and Bennett, Brian F.
and Tribett, Walter R.
and Salawitch, Ross J.
},
url = {https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/12/545/2021/},
journal = {Earth System Dynamics},
volume = {12},
pages = {545-579},
}
,@article{Koch
title = {Earth System Models Are Not Capturing Present‐Day Tropical Forest Carbon Dynamics},
author = {
Koch, Alexander
and Hubau, Wannes
and Lewis, Simon L.
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2020EF001874},
journal = {Other},
volume = {9},
}
,@article{Sohail
title = {Fifty Year Trends in Global Ocean Heat Content Traced to Surface Heat Fluxes in the Sub‐Polar Ocean},
author = {
Sohail, Taimoor
and Irving, Damien B.
and Zika, Jan D.
and Holmes, Ryan M.
and Church, John A.
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2020GL091439},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {48},
}
,@article{Melnikova
title = {Carbon Cycle Response to Temperature Overshoot Beyond 2°C: An Analysis of CMIP6 Models},
author = {
Melnikova, I.
and Boucher, O.
and Cadule, P.
and Ciais, P.
and Gasser, T.
and Quilcaille, Y.
and Shiogama, H.
and Tachiiri, K.
and Yokohata, T.
and Tanaka, K.
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2020EF001967},
journal = {Other},
volume = {9},
}
,@article{Liddicoat
title = {Compatible Fossil Fuel CO2 Emissions in the CMIP6 Earth System Models’ Historical and Shared Socioeconomic Pathway Experiments of the Twenty-First Century},
author = {
Liddicoat, Spencer K.
and Wiltshire, Andy J.
and Jones, Chris D.
and Arora, Vivek K.
and Brovkin, Victor
and Cadule, Patricia
and Hajima, Tomohiro
and Lawrence, David M.
and Pongratz, Julia
and Schwinger, Jörg
and Séférian, Roland
and Tjiputra, Jerry F.
and Ziehn, Tilo
},
url = {https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/clim/34/8/JCLI-D-19-0991.1.xml},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
volume = {34},
pages = {2853-2875},
}
,@article{Watters
title = {The Diurnal Cycle of Precipitation According to Multiple Decades of Global Satellite Observations, Three CMIP6 Models, and the ECMWF Reanalysis},
author = {
Watters, Daniel
and Battaglia, Alessandro
and Allan, Richard P.
},
url = {https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/clim/aop/JCLI-D-20-0966.1/JCLI-D-20-0966.1.xml},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
pages = {1-58},
}
,@article{Zanowski
title = {Arctic Ocean freshwater in CMIP6 Ensembles: Declining Sea Ice, Increasing Ocean Storage and Export},
author = {
Zanowski, Hannah
and Jahn, Alexandra
and Holland, Marika M.
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2020JC016930},
journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans},
}
,@article{Griffiths
title = {Tropospheric ozone in CMIP6 simulations},
author = {
Griffiths, Paul T.
and Murray, Lee T.
and Zeng, Guang
and Shin, Youngsub Matthew
and Abraham, N. Luke
and Archibald, Alexander T.
and Deushi, Makoto
and Emmons, Louisa K.
and Galbally, Ian E.
and Hassler, Birgit
and Horowitz, Larry W.
and Keeble, James
and Liu, Jane
and Moeini, Omid
and Naik, Vaishali
and O'Connor, Fiona M.
and Oshima, Naga
and Tarasick, David
and Tilmes, Simone
and Turnock, Steven T.
and Wild, Oliver
and Young, Paul J.
and Zanis, Prodromos
},
url = {https://acp.copernicus.org/articles/21/4187/2021/},
journal = {Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics},
volume = {21},
pages = {4187-4218},
}
,@article{Gillett
title = {Constraining human contributions to observed warming since the pre-industrial period},
author = {
Gillett, Nathan P.
and Kirchmeier-Young, Megan
and Ribes, Aurélien
and Shiogama, Hideo
and Hegerl, Gabriele C.
and Knutti, Reto
and Gastineau, Guillaume
and John, Jasmin G.
and Li, Lijuan
and Nazarenko, Larissa
and Rosenbloom, Nan
and Seland, Øyvind
and Wu, Tongwen
and Yukimoto, Seiji
and Ziehn, Tilo
},
url = {https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-020-00965-9},
journal = {Nature Climate Change},
volume = {11},
pages = {207-212},
}
,@article{Goyal
title = {Historical and Projected Changes in the Southern Hemisphere Surface Westerlies},
author = {
Goyal, Rishav
and Sen Gupta, Alex
and Jucker, Martin
and England, Matthew H.
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2020GL090849},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {48},
}
,@article{Nicholls
title = {Regionally aggregated, stitched and de‐drifted CMIP‐climate data, processed with netCDF‐SCM v2.0.0},
author = {
Nicholls, Zebedee
and Lewis, Jared
and Makin, Melissa
and Nattala, Usha
and Zhang, Geordie Z.
and Mutch, Simon J.
and Tescari, Edoardo
and Meinshausen, Malte
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/gdj3.113},
journal = {Geoscience Data Journal},
}
,@article{Sledd
title = {Uncertainty in Forced and Natural Arctic Solar Absorption Variations in CMIP6 Models},
author = {
Sledd, Anne
and L’Ecuyer, Tristan
},
url = {https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/clim/34/3/JCLI-D-20-0244.1.xml},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
volume = {34},
pages = {931-948},
}
,@article{Sang
title = {Improvement of Soil Moisture Simulation in Eurasia by the Beijing Climate Center Climate System Model from CMIP5 to CMIP6},
author = {
Sang, Yinghan
and Ren, Hong-Li
and Shi, Xueli
and Xu, Xiaofeng
and Chen, Haishan
},
url = {https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00376-020-0167-7},
journal = {Advances in Atmospheric Sciences},
volume = {38},
pages = {237-252},
}
,@article{Zhang
title = {BCC-ESM1 Model Datasets for the CMIP6 Aerosol Chemistry Model Intercomparison Project (AerChemMIP)},
author = {
Zhang, Jie
and Wu, Tongwen
and Zhang, Fang
and Furtado, Kalli
and Xin, Xiaoge
and Shi, Xueli
and Li, Jianglong
and Chu, Min
and Zhang, Li
and Liu, Qianxia
and Yan, Jinghui
and Wei, Min
and Ma, Qiang
},
url = {https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00376-020-0151-2},
journal = {Advances in Atmospheric Sciences},
volume = {38},
pages = {317-328},
}
,@article{Hayashi
title = {The northwestern Pacific warming record in August 2020 occurred under anthropogenic forcing},
author = {
Hayashi, Michiya
and Shiogama H.
and Emori S.
and Ogura T.
and Hirota N.
},
url = {https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1029/2020GL090956},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {48},
pages = {e2020GL090956},
}
,@article{Bock
title = {Evaluation of ocean dimethylsulfide concentration and emission in CMIP6 models},
author = {
Bock, Josué
and Michou, Martine
and Nabat, Pierre
and Abe, Manabu
and Mulcahy, Jane P.
and Olivié, Dirk J. L.
and Schwinger, Jörg
and Suntharalingam, Parvadha
and Tjiputra, Jerry
and van Hulten, Marco
and Watanabe, Michio
and Yool, Andrew
and Séférian, Roland
},
url = {https://bg.copernicus.org/preprints/bg-2020-463/},
journal = {Other},
}
,@article{Shiogama
title = {Selecting CMIP6-Based Future Climate Scenarios for Impact and Adaptation Studies},
author = {
Shiogama, Hideo
and Ishizaki, Noriko N.
and Hanasaki, Naota
and Takahashi, Kiyoshi
and Emori, Seita
and Ito, Rui
and Nakaegawa, Toshiyuki
and Takayabu, Izuru
and Hijioka, Yasuaki
and Takayabu, Yukari N.
and Shibuya, Ryosuke
},
url = {https://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/sola/17/0/17_2021-009/_article},
journal = {SOLA},
volume = {17},
pages = {57-62},
}
,@article{Ribes
title = {Making climate projections conditional on historical observations},
author = {
Ribes, Aurélien
and Qasmi, Saïd
and Gillett, Nathan P.
},
url = {https://advances.sciencemag.org/content/7/4/eabc0671},
journal = {Science Advances},
volume = {7},
pages = {eabc0671},
}
,@article{Hobbs
title = {Anthropogenic Temperature and Salinity Changes in the Southern Ocean},
author = {
Hobbs, William R.
and Roach, Christopher
and Roy, Tilla
and Sallée, Jean-Baptiste
and Bindoff, Nathaniel
},
url = {https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/clim/34/1/jcliD200454.xml},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
volume = {34},
pages = {215-228},
}
,@article{Kam
title = {CMIP6 Model-Based Assessment of Anthropogenic Influence on the Long Sustained Western Cape Drought over 2015–19},
author = {
Kam, Jonghun
and Min, Seung-Ki
and Wolski, Piotr
and Kug, Jong-Seong
},
url = {https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/bams/102/1/BAMS-D-20-0159.1.xml},
journal = {Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society},
volume = {102},
pages = {S45-S50},
}
,@article{Ombadi
title = {Retrospective Analysis and Bayesian Model Averaging of CMIP6 Precipitation in the Nile River Basin},
author = {
Ombadi, Mohammed
and Nguyen, Phu
and Sorooshian, Soroosh
and Hsu, Kuo-lin
},
url = {https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/hydr/22/1/jhm-d-20-0157.1.xml},
journal = {Journal of Hydrometeorology},
volume = {22},
pages = {217-229},
}
,@article{Halder
title = {Assessment of CMIP6 models' skill for tropical Indian Ocean sea surface temperature variability},
author = {
Halder, Subrota
and Parekh, Anant
and Chowdary, Jasti S.
and Gnanaseelan, Chellappan
and Kulkarni, Ashwini
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/joc.6975},
journal = {International Journal of Climatology},
}
,@article{van Noije
title = {EC-Earth3-AerChem, a global climate model with interactive aerosolsand atmospheric chemistry participating in CMIP6},
author = {
van Noije, Twan
and Bergman, Tommi
and Le Sager, Philippe
and O'Donnell, Declan
and Makkonen, Risto
and Gonçalves-Ageitos, María
and Döscher, Ralf
and Fladrich, Uwe
and von Hardenberg, Jost
and Keskinen, Jukka-Pekka
and Korhonen, Hannele
and Laakso, Anton
and Myriokefalitakis, Stelios
and Ollinaho, Pirkka
and Pérez García-Pando, Carlos
and Reerink, Thomas
and Schrödner, Roland
and Wyser, Klaus
and Yang, Shuting
},
url = {https://gmd.copernicus.org/preprints/gmd-2020-413/},
journal = {Geoscientific Model Development},
}
,@article{Ito
title = {Soil carbon sequestration simulated in CMIP6-LUMIP models: implications for climatic mitigation},
author = {
Ito, Akihiko
and Hajima, Tomohiro
and Lawrence, David M
and Brovkin, Victor
and Delire, Christine
and Guenet, Bertrand
and Jones, Chris D
and Malyshev, Sergey
and Materia, Stefano
and McDermid, Sonali P
and Peano, Daniele
and Pongratz, Julia
and Robertson, Eddy
and Shevliakova, Elena
and Vuichard, Nicolas
and Wårlind, David
and Wiltshire, Andy
and Ziehn, Tilo
},
journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
volume = {15},
pages = {124061},
}
,@article{McKenna
title = {Stringent mitigation substantially reduces risk of unprecedented near-term warming rates},
author = {
McKenna, C. M.
and Maycock, A. C.
and Forster, P. M.
and Smith, C. J.
and Tokarska, K. B.
},
url = {https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-020-00957-9},
journal = {Nature Climate Change},
volume = {11},
pages = {126-131},
}
,@article{Wehner
title = {Characterization of long period return values of extreme daily temperature and precipitation in the CMIP6 models: Part 2, projections of future change},
author = {
Wehner, Michael F.
},
url = {https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2212094719302452},
journal = {Other},
volume = {30},
pages = {100284-100284},
}
,@article{Kim
title = {Performance Evaluation of CMIP5 and CMIP6 Models on Heatwaves in Korea and Associated Teleconnection Patterns},
author = {
Kim, Maeng‐Ki
and Yu, Dae‐Geun
and Oh, Ji‐Seon
and Byun, Young‐Hwa
and Boo, Kyung‐On
and Chung, Il‐Ung
and Park, Jeong‐Soo
and Park, Doo‐Sun R.
and Min, Seung‐Ki
and Sung, Hyun Min
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2020JD032583},
journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
volume = {125},
}
,@article{Xin
title = {Comparison of CMIP6 and CMIP5 simulations of precipitation in China and the East Asian summer monsoon},
author = {
Xin, Xiaoge
and Wu, Tongwen
and Zhang, Jie
and Yao, Junchen
and Fang, Yongjie
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/joc.6590},
journal = {International Journal of Climatology},
volume = {40},
pages = {6423-6440},
}
,@article{Wehner
title = {Characterization of long period return values of extreme daily temperature and precipitation in the CMIP6 models: Part 1, model evaluation},
author = {
Wehner, Michael
and Gleckler, Peter
and Lee, Jiwoo
},
url = {https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2212094719302440},
journal = {Other},
volume = {30},
pages = {100283-100283},
}
,@article{Qin
title = {Quantifying Contributions of Internal Variability and External Forcing to Atlantic Multidecadal Variability Since 1870},
author = {
Qin, Minhua
and Dai, Aiguo
and Hua, Wenjian
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2020GL089504},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {47},
}
,@article{Dunne
title = {The GFDL Earth System Model Version 4.1 (GFDL‐ESM 4.1): Overall Coupled Model Description and Simulation Characteristics},
author = {
Dunne, J. P.
and Horowitz, L. W.
and Adcroft, A. J.
and Ginoux, P.
and Held, I. M.
and John, J. G.
and Krasting, J. P.
and Malyshev, S.
and Naik, V.
and Paulot, F.
and Shevliakova, E.
and Stock, C. A.
and Zadeh, N.
and Balaji, V.
and Blanton, C.
and Dunne, K. A.
and Dupuis, C.
and Durachta, J.
and Dussin, R.
and Gauthier, P. P. G.
and Griffies, S. M.
and Guo, H.
and Hallberg, R. W.
and Harrison, M.
and He, J.
and Hurlin, W.
and McHugh, C.
and Menzel, R.
and Milly, P. C. D.
and Nikonov, S.
and Paynter, D. J.
and Ploshay, J.
and Radhakrishnan, A.
and Rand, K.
and Reichl, B. G.
and Robinson, T.
and Schwarzkopf, D. M.
and Sentman, L. T.
and Underwood, S.
and Vahlenkamp, H.
and Winton, M.
and Wittenberg, A. T.
and Wyman, B.
and Zeng, Y.
and Zhao, M.
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2019MS002015},
journal = {Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems},
volume = {12},
}
,@article{Szuwalski
title = {Climate change and the future productivity and distribution of crab in the Bering Sea},
author = {
Szuwalski, Cody
and Cheng, Wei
and Foy, Robert
and Hermann, Albert J
and Hollowed, Anne
and Holsman, Kirstin
and Lee, Jiwoo
and Stockhausen, William
and Zheng, Jie
},
journal = {Other},
}
,@article{Dunne
title = {Simple Global Ocean Biogeochemistry With Light, Iron, Nutrients and Gas Version 2 (BLINGv2): Model Description and Simulation Characteristics in GFDL's CM4.0},
author = {
Dunne, J. P.
and Bociu, I.
and Bronselaer, B.
and Guo, H.
and John, J. G.
and Krasting, J. P.
and Stock, C. A.
and Winton, M.
and Zadeh, N.
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2019MS002008},
journal = {Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems},
volume = {12},
}
,@article{Stock
title = {Ocean Biogeochemistry in GFDL's Earth System Model 4.1 and Its Response to Increasing Atmospheric CO 2},
author = {
Stock, Charles A.
and Dunne, John P.
and Fan, Songmiao
and Ginoux, Paul
and John, Jasmin
and Krasting, John P.
and Laufkötter, Charlotte
and Paulot, Fabien
and Zadeh, Niki
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2019MS002043},
journal = {Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems},
volume = {12},
}
,@article{Planton
title = {Evaluating climate models with the CLIVAR 2020 ENSO metrics package},
author = {
Planton, Yann Y.
and Guilyardi, Eric
and Wittenberg, Andrew T.
and Lee, Jiwoo
and Gleckler, Peter J.
and Bayr, Tobias
and McGregor, Shayne
and McPhaden, Michael J.
and Power, Scott
and Roehrig, Romain
and Vialard, Jérôme
and Voldoire, Aurore
},
url = {https://journals.ametsoc.org/bams/article/354641/Evaluating-climate-models-with-the-CLIVAR-2020},
journal = {Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society},
pages = {1-57},
}
,@article{Burke
title = {Evaluating permafrost physics in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 6 (CMIP6) models and their sensitivity to climate change},
author = {
Burke, Eleanor
and Krinner G.
and Yu Zhang
},
journal = {The Cryosphere},
}
,@article{Burrows
title = {The DOE E3SM v1.1 Biogeochemistry Configuration: Description and Simulated Ecosystem‐Climate Responses to Historical Changes in Forcing},
author = {
Burrows, S. M.
and Maltrud, M.
and Yang, X.
and Zhu, Q.
and Jeffery, N.
and Shi, X.
and Ricciuto, D.
and Wang, S.
and Bisht, G.
and Tang, J.
and Wolfe, J.
and Harrop, B. E.
and Singh, B.
and Brent, L.
and Baldwin, S.
and Zhou, T.
and Cameron‐Smith, P.
and Keen, N.
and Collier, N.
and Xu, M.
and Hunke, E. C.
and Elliott, S. M.
and Turner, A. K.
and Li, H.
and Wang, H.
and Golaz, J.‐C.
and Bond‐Lamberty, B.
and Hoffman, F. M.
and Riley, W. J.
and Thornton, P. E.
and Calvin, K.
and Leung, L. R.
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2019MS001766},
journal = {Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems},
volume = {12},
}
,@article{Douville
title = {Drivers of the enhanced decline of land near-surface relative humidity to abrupt 4xCO2 in CNRM-CM6-1},
author = {
Douville, Hervé
and Decharme, B.
and Delire, C.
and Colin, J.
and Joetzjer, E.
and Roehrig, R.
and Saint-Martin, D.
and Oudar, T.
and Stchepounoff, R.
and Voldoire, A.
},
url = {https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-020-05351-x},
journal = {Climate Dynamics},
volume = {55},
pages = {1613-1629},
}
,@article{Robson
title = {The Evaluation of the North Atlantic Climate System in UKESM1 Historical Simulations for CMIP6},
author = {
Robson, Jon
and Aksenov, Yevgeny
and Bracegirdle, Thomas J.
and Dimdore‐Miles, Oscar
and Griffiths, Paul T.
and Grosvenor, Daniel P.
and Hodson, Daniel L. R.
and Keeble, James
and MacIntosh, Claire
and Megann, Alex
and Osprey, Scott
and Povey, Adam C.
and Schröder, David
and Yang, Mingxi
and Archibald, Alexander T.
and Carslaw, Ken S.
and Gray, Lesley
and Jones, Colin
and Kerridge, Brian
and Knappett, Diane
and Kuhlbrodt, Till
and Russo, Maria
and Sellar, Alistair
and Siddans, Richard
and Sinha, Bablu
and Sutton, Rowan
and Walton, Jeremy
and Wilcox, Laura J.
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2020MS002126},
journal = {Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems},
volume = {12},
}
,@article{Hayashi
title = {Dynamics for El Niño-La Niña asymmetry constrain equatorial-Pacific warming pattern},
author = {
Hayashi, Michiya
and Jin, Fei-Fei
and Stuecker, Malte F.
},
url = {https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-020-17983-y},
journal = {Other},
volume = {11},
pages = {4230},
}
,@article{Séférian
title = {Tracking Improvement in Simulated Marine Biogeochemistry Between CMIP5 and CMIP6},
author = {
Séférian, Roland
and Berthet, Sarah
and Yool, Andrew
and Palmiéri, Julien
and Bopp, Laurent
and Tagliabue, Alessandro
and Kwiatkowski, Lester
and Aumont, Olivier
and Christian, James
and Dunne, John
and Gehlen, Marion
and Ilyina, Tatiana
and John, Jasmin G.
and Li, Hongmei
and Long, Matthew C.
and Luo, Jessica Y.
and Nakano, Hideyuki
and Romanou, Anastasia
and Schwinger, Jörg
and Stock, Charles
and Santana-Falcón, Yeray
and Takano, Yohei
and Tjiputra, Jerry
and Tsujino, Hiroyuki
and Watanabe, Michio
and Wu, Tongwen
and Wu, Fanghua
and Yamamoto, Akitomo
},
url = {https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s40641-020-00160-0},
journal = {Other},
}
,@article{Priestley
title = {An Overview of the Extratropical Storm Tracks in CMIP6 Historical Simulations},
author = {
Priestley, Matthew D. K.
and Ackerley, Duncan
and Catto, Jennifer L.
and Hodges, Kevin I.
and McDonald, Ruth E.
and Lee, Robert W.
},
url = {https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0928.1},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
volume = {33},
pages = {6315-6343},
}
,@article{Menary
title = {Aerosol‐Forced AMOC Changes in CMIP6 Historical Simulations},
author = {
Menary, Matthew B.
and Robson, Jon
and Allan, Richard P.
and Booth, Ben B. B.
and Cassou, Christophe
and Gastineau, Guillaume
and Gregory, Jonathan
and Hodson, Dan
and Jones, Colin
and Mignot, Juliette
and Ringer, Mark
and Sutton, Rowan
and Wilcox, Laura
and Zhang, Rong
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2020GL088166},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {47},
}
,@article{Di Luca
title = {Decomposing Temperature Extremes Errors in CMIP5 and CMIP6 Models},
author = {
Di Luca, Alejandro
and Pitman, Andrew J.
and de Elía, Ramón
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1029/2020GL088031},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {47},
}
,@article{DeRepentigny
title = {Arctic Sea Ice in Two Configurations of the CESM2 During the 20th and 21st Centuries},
author = {
DeRepentigny, Patricia
and Jahn, Alexandra
and Holland, Marika M.
and Smith, Abigail
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2020JC016133},
journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans},
volume = {125},
pages = {e2020JC016133},
}
,@article{Qin
title = {Aerosol-forced multidecadal variations across all ocean basins in models and observations since 1920},
author = {
Qin, Minhua
and Dai, Aiguo
and Hua, Wenjian
},
url = {https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/sciadv.abb0425},
journal = {Science Advances},
volume = {6},
}
,@article{Andrews
title = {Historical Simulations With HadGEM3‐GC3.1 for CMIP6},
author = {
Andrews, Martin B.
and Ridley, Jeff K.
and Wood, Richard A.
and Andrews, Timothy
and Blockley, Edward W.
and Booth, Ben
and Burke, Eleanor
and Dittus, Andrea J.
and Florek, Piotr
and Gray, Lesley J.
and Haddad, Stephen
and Hardiman, Steven C.
and Hermanson, Leon
and Hodson, Dan
and Hogan, Emma
and Jones, Gareth S.
and Knight, Jeff R.
and Kuhlbrodt, Till
and Misios, Stergios
and Mizielinski, Matthew S.
and Ringer, Mark A.
and Robson, Jon
and Sutton, Rowan T.
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1029/2019MS001995},
journal = {Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems},
volume = {12},
}
,@article{SIMIP Community
title = {Arctic Sea Ice in CMIP6},
author = {
SIMIP Community
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2019GL086749},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {47},
}
,@article{Cannon
title = {Reductions in daily continental-scale atmospheric circulation biases between generations of global climate models: CMIP5 to CMIP6},
author = {
Cannon, Alex J
},
url = {https://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab7e4f},
journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
volume = {15},
pages = {064006},
}
,@article{Watson‐Parris
title = {Constraining Uncertainty in Aerosol Direct Forcing},
author = {
Watson‐Parris, D.
and Bellouin, N.
and Deaconu, L. T.
and Schutgens, N. A. J.
and Yoshioka, M.
and Regayre, L. A.
and Pringle, K. J.
and Johnson, J. S.
and Smith, C. J.
and Carslaw, K. S.
and Stier, P.
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2020GL087141},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {47},
}
,@article{Roach
title = {Antarctic Sea Ice Area in CMIP6},
author = {
Roach, Lettie A.
and Dörr, Jakob
and Holmes, Caroline R.
and Massonnet, François
and Blockley, Edward W.
and Notz, Dirk
and Rackow, Thomas
and Raphael, Marilyn N.
and O'Farrell, Siobhan P.
and Bailey, David A.
and Bitz, Cecilia M.
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2019GL086729},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {47},
}
,@article{Lyu
title = {Regional dynamic sea level simulated in the CMIP5 and CMIP6 models: mean biases, future projections, and their linkages},
author = {
Lyu, Kewei
and Zhang, Xuebin
and Church, John A.
},
url = {https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-1029.1},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,@article{Grise
title = {Hadley cell expansion in CMIP6 models},
author = {
Grise, Kevin M.
and Davis, Sean M.
},
url = {https://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/20/5249/2020/},
journal = {Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics},
volume = {20},
pages = {5249-5268},
}
,@article{Tian
title = {The Double‐ITCZ Bias in CMIP3, CMIP5, and CMIP6 Models Based on Annual Mean Precipitation},
author = {
Tian, Baijun
and Dong, Xinyu
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1029/2020GL087232},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {47},
}
,@article{Oudar
title = {Drivers of the Northern Extratropical Eddy‐Driven Jet Change in CMIP5 and CMIP6 Models},
author = {
Oudar, Thomas
and Cattiaux, Julien
and Douville, Hervé
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1029/2019GL086695},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {47},
}
,@article{Parsons
title = {Magnitudes and Spatial Patterns of Interdecadal Temperature Variability in CMIP6},
author = {
Parsons, Luke A.
and Brennan, M. Kathleen
and Wills, Robert C.J.
and Proistosescu, Cristian
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1029/2019GL086588},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {47},
}
,@article{Nie
title = {Comparison of monthly air and land surface temperature extremes simulated using CMIP5 and CMIP6 versions of the Beijing Climate Center climate model},
author = {
Nie, Suping
and Fu, Shiwen
and Cao, Weihua
and Jia, Xiaolong
},
url = {https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00704-020-03090-x},
journal = {Theoretical and Applied Climatology},
volume = {140},
pages = {487-502},
}
,@article{Wu
title = {Beijing Climate Center Earth System Model version 1 (BCC-ESM1): model description and evaluation of aerosol simulations},
author = {
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,