@article{Hayashi
title = {Scenario Dependence of Future Precipitation Changes across Japan in CMIP6},
author = {
Hayashi, Michiya
and Shiogama, Hideo
and Ishizaki, Noriko N.
and Wakazuki, Yasutaka
},
url = {https://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/sola/20/0/20_2024-028/_article/-char/ja/},
journal = {SOLA},
volume = {20},
pages = {207-216},
}
,@article{Jahn
title = {Projections of an ice-free Arctic Ocean},
author = {
Jahn, Alexandra
and Holland, Marika M.
and Kay, Jennifer E.
},
url = {https://www.nature.com/articles/s43017-023-00515-9},
journal = {Other},
volume = {5},
pages = {164-176},
}
,@article{Michaelides
title = {Modes of Atmospheric Energetics Based on HadGEM3-GC3.1-LL Simulations in the Framework of CMIP6},
author = {
Michaelides, Silas
},
url = {https://www.hindawi.com/journals/amete/2023/3956086/},
journal = {Advances in Meteorology},
volume = {2023},
pages = {1-23},
}
,@article{Strack
title = {Predicted changes to the rate of human decomposition due to climate change during the 21st century},
author = {
Strack, Julius
and Smith, Martin J.
},
url = {https://linkinghub.elsevier.com/retrieve/pii/S2665910723000166},
journal = {Other},
volume = {7},
pages = {100321},
}
,@article{Ombadi
title = {A warming-induced reduction in snow fraction amplifies rainfall extremes},
author = {
Ombadi, Mohammed
and Risser, Mark D.
and Rhoades, Alan M.
and Varadharajan, Charuleka
},
url = {https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-023-06092-7},
journal = {Nature},
}
,@article{Anne L. Morée
title = {Impact of deoxygenation and warming on global marine species in the 21st century},
author = {
Anne L. Morée
and Thomas L. Frölicher
and Tayler M. Clarke
and William W. L. Cheung
},
journal = {Biogeosciences},
}
,@article{von der Gathen
title = {Reply to: No evidence of worsening Arctic springtime ozone losses over the 21st century},
author = {
von der Gathen, Peter
and Kivi, Rigel
and Wohltmann, Ingo
and Salawitch, Ross J.
and Rex, Markus
},
journal = {Nature Communications},
volume = {14},
}
,@article{Verniest
title = {Anticipating the effects of climate warming and natural habitat conversion on waterbird communities to address protection gaps},
author = {
Verniest, Fabien
and Le Viol, Isabelle
and Julliard, Romain
and Dami, Laura
and Guelmami, Anis
and Suet, Marie
and Abdou, Wed
and Azafzaf, Hichem
and Bendjedda, Nadjiba
and Bino, Taulant
and Borg, John J.
and Božič, Luka
and Dakki, Mohamed
and El Hamoumi, Rhimou
and Encarnação, Vitor
and Erciyas-Yavuz, Kiraz
and Etayeb, Khaled
and Georgiev, Valeri
and Hamada, Ayman
and Hatzofe, Ohad
and Ieronymidou, Christina
and Langendoen, Tom
and Mikuska, Tibor
and Molina, Blas
and Moniz, Filipe
and Moussy, Caroline
and Ouassou, Asmaâ
and Petkov, Nicky
and Portolou, Danae
and Qaneer, Tareq
and Sayoud, Samir
and Šćiban, Marko
and Topić, Goran
and Uzunova, Danka
and Vine, Gal
and Vizi, Andrej
and Xeka, Erald
and Zenatello, Marco
and Gaget, Elie
and Galewski, Thomas
},
url = {https://linkinghub.elsevier.com/retrieve/pii/S0006320723000393},
journal = {Biological Conservation},
volume = {279},
pages = {109939},
}
,@article{Zhou
title = {Projection of China’s future runoff based on the CMIP6 mid-high warming scenarios},
author = {
Zhou, Jiayue
and Lu, Hui
and Yang, Kun
and Jiang, Ruijie
and Yang, Yuan
and Wang, Wei
and Zhang, Xuejun
},
url = {https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11430-022-1055-5},
journal = {Other},
volume = {66},
pages = {528-546},
}
,@article{Verniest
title = {Coupling future climate and land‐use projections reveals where to strengthen the protection of Mediterranean Key Biodiversity Areas},
author = {
Verniest, Fabien
and Galewski, Thomas
and Julliard, Romain
and Guelmami, Anis
and Le Viol, Isabelle
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/csp2.12807},
journal = {Conservation Science and Practice},
}
,@article{Jaradat
title = {Current and Future Distribution Modeling of Socotra Cormorants Using MaxEnt},
author = {
Jaradat, Areej
and Ksiksi, Taoufik
and Muzaffar, Sabir Bin
},
url = {https://www.mdpi.com/1424-2818/14/10/840},
journal = {Other},
volume = {14},
pages = {840},
}
,@article{Holtanová
title = {Projected changes in mean annual cycle of temperature and precipitation over the Czech Republic: Comparison of CMIP5 and CMIP6},
author = {
Holtanová, Eva
and Belda, Michal
and Halenka, Tomáš
},
url = {https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/feart.2022.1018661/full},
journal = {Frontiers in Earth Science},
volume = {10},
}
,@article{Huard
title = {Estimating the Likelihood of GHG Concentration Scenarios From Probabilistic Integrated Assessment Model Simulations},
author = {
Huard, David
and Fyke, Jeremy
and Capellán‐Pérez, Iñigo
and Matthews, H. Damon
and Partanen, Antti‐Ilari
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2022EF002715},
journal = {Earth's Future},
volume = {10},
}
,@article{Chan
title = {Heatwave–blocking relation change likely dominates over decrease in blocking frequency under global warming},
author = {
Chan, Pak Wah
and Catto, Jennifer L.
and Collins, Matthew
},
url = {https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-022-00290-2},
journal = {npj Climate and Atmospheric Science},
volume = {5},
}
,@article{Mackallah
title = {ACCESS datasets for CMIP6: methodology and idealised experiments},
author = {
Mackallah, C.
and Chamberlain, M. A.
and Law, R. M.
and Dix, M.
and Ziehn, T.
and Bi, D.
and Bodman, R.
and Brown, J. R.
and Dobrohotoff, P.
and Druken, K.
and Evans, B.
and Harman, I. N.
and Hayashida, H.
and Holmes, R.
and Kiss, A. E.
and Lenton, A.
and Liu, Y.
and Marsland, S.
and Meissner, K.
and Menviel, L.
and O’Farrell, S.
and Rashid, H. A.
and Ridzwan, S.
and Savita, A.
and Srbinovsky, J.
and Sullivan, A.
and Trenham, C.
and Vohralik, P. F.
and Wang, Y.-P.
and Williams, G.
and Woodhouse, M. T.
and Yeung, N.
},
url = {https://www.publish.csiro.au/?paper=ES21031},
journal = {Journal of Southern Hemisphere Earth Systems Science},
}
,@article{Hayashi
title = {Assessment of CMIP6-based future climate projections selected for impact studies in Japan},
author = {
Hayashi, Michiya
and Shiogama, Hideo
},
url = {https://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/sola/18/0/18_2022-016/_article/-char/en},
journal = {SOLA},
volume = {18},
pages = {96-103},
}
,@article{Kajtar
title = {Tropical western and central Pacific marine heatwave data calculated from gridded sea surface temperature observations and CMIP6},
author = {
Kajtar, Jules B.
and Hernaman, Vanessa
and Holbrook, Neil J.
and Petrelli, Paola
},
url = {https://linkinghub.elsevier.com/retrieve/pii/S2352340921009690},
journal = {Data in Brief},
volume = {40},
pages = {107694},
}
,@article{Worou
title = {Weakened impact of the Atlantic Niño on the future equatorial Atlantic and Guinea Coast rainfall},
author = {
Worou, Koffi
and Goosse, Hugues
and Fichefet, Thierry
and Kucharski, Fred
},
url = {https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/13/231/2022/},
journal = {Earth System Dynamics},
volume = {13},
pages = {231-249},
}
,@article{Holbrook
title = {Impacts of marine heatwaves on tropical western and central Pacific Island nations and their communities},
author = {
Holbrook, Neil J.
and Hernaman, Vanessa
and Koshiba, Shirley
and Lako, Jimaima
and Kajtar, Jules B.
and Amosa, Patila
and Singh, Awnesh
},
url = {https://linkinghub.elsevier.com/retrieve/pii/S0921818121002654},
journal = {Global and Planetary Change},
volume = {208},
pages = {103680},
}
,@article{T.H.J. Hermans
title = {The Effect of Wind Stress on Seasonal Sea-Level Change on the Northwestern European Shelf},
author = {
T.H.J. Hermans
and C.A. Katsman
and C.M.L. Camargo
and G.G. Garner
and R.E. Kopp
and A.B.A. Slangen
},
url = {https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/clim/35/6/JCLI-D-21-0636.1.xml?tab_body=supplementary-materials},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
volume = {35},
pages = {1745-1759},
}
,@article{Hirabayashi
title = {Global exposure to flooding from the new CMIP6 climate model projections},
author = {
Hirabayashi, Yukiko
and Tanoue, Masahiro
and Sasaki, Orie
and Zhou, Xudong
and Yamazaki, Dai
},
url = {https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-021-83279-w},
journal = {Scientific Reports},
volume = {11},
}
,@article{Lalande
title = {Climate change in the High Mountain Asia in CMIP6},
author = {
Lalande, Mickaël
and Ménégoz, Martin
and Krinner, Gerhard
and Naegeli, Kathrin
and Wunderle, Stefan
},
url = {https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/12/1061/2021/},
journal = {Earth System Dynamics},
volume = {12},
pages = {1061-1098},
}
,@misc{Kajtar
title = {Tasmanian region daily sea surface temperature from observations and CMIP6 models},
author = {
Kajtar, Jules B.
},
year = {2021},
}
,@article{Palmer
title = {How does the CMIP6 ensemble change the picture for European climate projections?},
author = {
Palmer, T E
and Booth, B B B
and McSweeney, C F
},
url = {https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/ac1ed9},
journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
volume = {16},
pages = {094042},
}
,@article{Anstey
title = {Prospect of Increased Disruption to the QBO in a Changing Climate},
author = {
Anstey, James A.
and Banyard, Timothy P.
and Butchart, Neal
and Coy, Lawrence
and Newman, Paul A.
and Osprey, Scott
and Wright, Corwin J.
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2021GL093058},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {48},
}
,@article{Alaminie
title = {Evaluation of Past and Future Climate Trends under CMIP6 Scenarios for the UBNB (Abay), Ethiopia},
author = {
Alaminie, Addis A.
and Tilahun, Seifu A.
and Legesse, Solomon A.
and Zimale, Fasikaw A.
and Tarkegn, Gashaw Bimrew
and Jury, Mark R.
},
url = {https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4441/13/15/2110},
journal = {Other},
volume = {13},
pages = {2110},
}
,@article{Ahmed
title = {A Process‐Oriented Diagnostic to Assess Precipitation‐Thermodynamic Relations and Application to CMIP6 Models},
author = {
Ahmed, Fiaz
and Neelin, J. David
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2021GL094108},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {48},
}
,@article{von der Gathen
title = {Climate change favours large seasonal loss of Arctic ozone},
author = {
von der Gathen, Peter
and Kivi, Rigel
and Wohltmann, Ingo
and Salawitch, Ross J.
and Rex, Markus
},
url = {https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-021-24089-6},
journal = {Nature Communications},
volume = {12},
}
,@article{Lim Kam Sian
title = {Multi-Decadal Variability and Future Changes in Precipitation over Southern Africa},
author = {
Lim Kam Sian, Kenny Thiam Choy
and Wang, Jianhong
and Ayugi, Brian Odhiambo
and Nooni, Isaac Kwesi
and Ongoma, Victor
},
url = {https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/12/6/742},
journal = {Atmosphere},
volume = {12},
pages = {742},
}
,@article{Crawford
title = {Arctic open-water periods are projected to lengthen dramatically by 2100},
author = {
Crawford, Alex
and Stroeve, Julienne
and Smith, Abigail
and Jahn, Alexandra
},
url = {https://www.nature.com/articles/s43247-021-00183-x},
journal = {Other},
volume = {2},
}
,@article{Kajtar
title = {CMIP5 Intermodel Relationships in the Baseline Southern Ocean Climate System and With Future Projections},
author = {
Kajtar, Jules B.
and Santoso, Agus
and Collins, Matthew
and Taschetto, Andréa S.
and England, Matthew H.
and Frankcombe, Leela M.
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2020EF001873},
journal = {Earth's Future},
volume = {9},
}
,@article{Shiogama
title = {How many hot days and heavy precipitation days will grandchildren experience that break the records set in their grandparents’ lives?},
author = {
Shiogama, Hideo
and Fujimori, Shinichiro
and Hasegawa, Tomoko
and Takahashi, Kiyoshi
and Kameyama, Yasuko
and Emori, Seita
},
url = {https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/2515-7620/ac0395},
journal = {Other},
volume = {3},
pages = {061002},
}
,@article{Purich
title = {Historical and Future Projected Warming of Antarctic Shelf Bottom Water in CMIP6 Models},
author = {
Purich, Ariaan
and England, Matthew H.
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2021GL092752},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {48},
}
,@article{Koch
title = {Earth System Models Are Not Capturing Present‐Day Tropical Forest Carbon Dynamics},
author = {
Koch, Alexander
and Hubau, Wannes
and Lewis, Simon L.
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2020EF001874},
journal = {Other},
volume = {9},
}
,@article{Melnikova
title = {Carbon Cycle Response to Temperature Overshoot Beyond 2°C: An Analysis of CMIP6 Models},
author = {
Melnikova, I.
and Boucher, O.
and Cadule, P.
and Ciais, P.
and Gasser, T.
and Quilcaille, Y.
and Shiogama, H.
and Tachiiri, K.
and Yokohata, T.
and Tanaka, K.
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2020EF001967},
journal = {Other},
volume = {9},
}
,@article{Liddicoat
title = {Compatible Fossil Fuel CO2 Emissions in the CMIP6 Earth System Models’ Historical and Shared Socioeconomic Pathway Experiments of the Twenty-First Century},
author = {
Liddicoat, Spencer K.
and Wiltshire, Andy J.
and Jones, Chris D.
and Arora, Vivek K.
and Brovkin, Victor
and Cadule, Patricia
and Hajima, Tomohiro
and Lawrence, David M.
and Pongratz, Julia
and Schwinger, Jörg
and Séférian, Roland
and Tjiputra, Jerry F.
and Ziehn, Tilo
},
url = {https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/clim/34/8/JCLI-D-19-0991.1.xml},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
volume = {34},
pages = {2853-2875},
}
,@article{Zanowski
title = {Arctic Ocean freshwater in CMIP6 Ensembles: Declining Sea Ice, Increasing Ocean Storage and Export},
author = {
Zanowski, Hannah
and Jahn, Alexandra
and Holland, Marika M.
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2020JC016930},
journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans},
}
,@article{Goyal
title = {Historical and Projected Changes in the Southern Hemisphere Surface Westerlies},
author = {
Goyal, Rishav
and Sen Gupta, Alex
and Jucker, Martin
and England, Matthew H.
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2020GL090849},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {48},
}
,@article{Nicholls
title = {Regionally aggregated, stitched and de‐drifted CMIP‐climate data, processed with netCDF‐SCM v2.0.0},
author = {
Nicholls, Zebedee
and Lewis, Jared
and Makin, Melissa
and Nattala, Usha
and Zhang, Geordie Z.
and Mutch, Simon J.
and Tescari, Edoardo
and Meinshausen, Malte
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/gdj3.113},
journal = {Geoscience Data Journal},
}
,@article{Sledd
title = {Uncertainty in Forced and Natural Arctic Solar Absorption Variations in CMIP6 Models},
author = {
Sledd, Anne
and L’Ecuyer, Tristan
},
url = {https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/clim/34/3/JCLI-D-20-0244.1.xml},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
volume = {34},
pages = {931-948},
}
,@article{Bock
title = {Evaluation of ocean dimethylsulfide concentration and emission in CMIP6 models},
author = {
Bock, Josué
and Michou, Martine
and Nabat, Pierre
and Abe, Manabu
and Mulcahy, Jane P.
and Olivié, Dirk J. L.
and Schwinger, Jörg
and Suntharalingam, Parvadha
and Tjiputra, Jerry
and van Hulten, Marco
and Watanabe, Michio
and Yool, Andrew
and Séférian, Roland
},
url = {https://bg.copernicus.org/preprints/bg-2020-463/},
journal = {Other},
}
,@article{Shiogama
title = {Selecting CMIP6-Based Future Climate Scenarios for Impact and Adaptation Studies},
author = {
Shiogama, Hideo
and Ishizaki, Noriko N.
and Hanasaki, Naota
and Takahashi, Kiyoshi
and Emori, Seita
and Ito, Rui
and Nakaegawa, Toshiyuki
and Takayabu, Izuru
and Hijioka, Yasuaki
and Takayabu, Yukari N.
and Shibuya, Ryosuke
},
url = {https://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/sola/17/0/17_2021-009/_article},
journal = {SOLA},
volume = {17},
pages = {57-62},
}
,@article{Ribes
title = {Making climate projections conditional on historical observations},
author = {
Ribes, Aurélien
and Qasmi, Saïd
and Gillett, Nathan P.
},
url = {https://advances.sciencemag.org/content/7/4/eabc0671},
journal = {Science Advances},
volume = {7},
pages = {eabc0671},
}
,@article{Ombadi
title = {Retrospective Analysis and Bayesian Model Averaging of CMIP6 Precipitation in the Nile River Basin},
author = {
Ombadi, Mohammed
and Nguyen, Phu
and Sorooshian, Soroosh
and Hsu, Kuo-lin
},
url = {https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/hydr/22/1/jhm-d-20-0157.1.xml},
journal = {Journal of Hydrometeorology},
volume = {22},
pages = {217-229},
}
,@article{McKenna
title = {Stringent mitigation substantially reduces risk of unprecedented near-term warming rates},
author = {
McKenna, C. M.
and Maycock, A. C.
and Forster, P. M.
and Smith, C. J.
and Tokarska, K. B.
},
url = {https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-020-00957-9},
journal = {Nature Climate Change},
volume = {11},
pages = {126-131},
}
,@article{Burke
title = {Evaluating permafrost physics in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 6 (CMIP6) models and their sensitivity to climate change},
author = {
Burke, Eleanor
and Krinner G.
and Yu Zhang
},
journal = {The Cryosphere},
}
,@article{Hayashi
title = {Dynamics for El Niño-La Niña asymmetry constrain equatorial-Pacific warming pattern},
author = {
Hayashi, Michiya
and Jin, Fei-Fei
and Stuecker, Malte F.
},
url = {https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-020-17983-y},
journal = {Other},
volume = {11},
pages = {4230},
}
,@article{DeRepentigny
title = {Arctic Sea Ice in Two Configurations of the CESM2 During the 20th and 21st Centuries},
author = {
DeRepentigny, Patricia
and Jahn, Alexandra
and Holland, Marika M.
and Smith, Abigail
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2020JC016133},
journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans},
volume = {125},
pages = {e2020JC016133},
}
,@article{SIMIP Community
title = {Arctic Sea Ice in CMIP6},
author = {
SIMIP Community
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2019GL086749},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {47},
}
,@article{Roach
title = {Antarctic Sea Ice Area in CMIP6},
author = {
Roach, Lettie A.
and Dörr, Jakob
and Holmes, Caroline R.
and Massonnet, François
and Blockley, Edward W.
and Notz, Dirk
and Rackow, Thomas
and Raphael, Marilyn N.
and O'Farrell, Siobhan P.
and Bailey, David A.
and Bitz, Cecilia M.
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2019GL086729},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {47},
}
,@article{Oudar
title = {Drivers of the Northern Extratropical Eddy‐Driven Jet Change in CMIP5 and CMIP6 Models},
author = {
Oudar, Thomas
and Cattiaux, Julien
and Douville, Hervé
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1029/2019GL086695},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {47},
}
,@article{Séférian
title = {Evaluation of CNRM Earth System Model, CNRM‐ESM2‐1: Role of Earth System Processes in Present‐Day and Future Climate},
author = {
Séférian, Roland
and Nabat, Pierre
and Michou, Martine
and Saint‐Martin, David
and Voldoire, Aurore
and Colin, Jeanne
and Decharme, Bertrand
and Delire, Christine
and Berthet, Sarah
and Chevallier, Matthieu
and Sénési, Stephane
and Franchisteguy, Laurent
and Vial, Jessica
and Mallet, Marc
and Joetzjer, Emilie
and Geoffroy, Olivier
and Guérémy, Jean‐François
and Moine, Marie‐Pierre
and Msadek, Rym
and Ribes, Aurélien
and Rocher, Matthias
and Roehrig, Romain
and Salas‐y‐Mélia, David
and Sanchez, Emilia
and Terray, Laurent
and Valcke, Sophie
and Waldman, Robin
and Aumont, Olivier
and Bopp, Laurent
and Deshayes, Julie
and Éthé, Christian
and Madec, Gurvan
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1029/2019MS001791},
journal = {Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems},
volume = {11},
pages = {4182-4227},
}
,