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title = {Scenario Dependence of Future Precipitation Changes across Japan in CMIP6},
author = {
Hayashi, Michiya
and Shiogama, Hideo
and Ishizaki, Noriko N.
and Wakazuki, Yasutaka
},
url = {https://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/sola/20/0/20_2024-028/_article/-char/ja/},
journal = {SOLA},
volume = {20},
pages = {207-216},
}
,@article{Lavoie
title = {An ensemble of bias-adjusted CMIP6 climate simulations based on a high-resolution North American reanalysis},
author = {
Lavoie, Juliette
and Bourgault, Pascal
and Smith, Trevor James
and Logan, Travis
and Leduc, Martin
and Caron, Louis-Philippe
and Gammon, Sarah
and Braun, Marco
},
url = {https://www.nature.com/articles/s41597-023-02855-z},
journal = {Scientific Data},
volume = {11},
}
,@article{Michaelides
title = {Modes of Atmospheric Energetics Based on HadGEM3-GC3.1-LL Simulations in the Framework of CMIP6},
author = {
Michaelides, Silas
},
url = {https://www.hindawi.com/journals/amete/2023/3956086/},
journal = {Advances in Meteorology},
volume = {2023},
pages = {1-23},
}
,@article{Strack
title = {Predicted changes to the rate of human decomposition due to climate change during the 21st century},
author = {
Strack, Julius
and Smith, Martin J.
},
url = {https://linkinghub.elsevier.com/retrieve/pii/S2665910723000166},
journal = {Other},
volume = {7},
pages = {100321},
}
,@article{Anne L. Morée
title = {Impact of deoxygenation and warming on global marine species in the 21st century},
author = {
Anne L. Morée
and Thomas L. Frölicher
and Tayler M. Clarke
and William W. L. Cheung
},
journal = {Biogeosciences},
}
,@article{Zhou
title = {Projection of China’s future runoff based on the CMIP6 mid-high warming scenarios},
author = {
Zhou, Jiayue
and Lu, Hui
and Yang, Kun
and Jiang, Ruijie
and Yang, Yuan
and Wang, Wei
and Zhang, Xuejun
},
url = {https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11430-022-1055-5},
journal = {Other},
volume = {66},
pages = {528-546},
}
,@article{Hayashi
title = {The contribution of climate change to increasing extreme ocean warming around Japan},
author = {
Hayashi, Michiya
and Shiogama H.
and Ogura T.
},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {49},
pages = {e2022GL100785},
}
,@article{Holtanová
title = {Projected changes in mean annual cycle of temperature and precipitation over the Czech Republic: Comparison of CMIP5 and CMIP6},
author = {
Holtanová, Eva
and Belda, Michal
and Halenka, Tomáš
},
url = {https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/feart.2022.1018661/full},
journal = {Frontiers in Earth Science},
volume = {10},
}
,@article{Chan
title = {Heatwave–blocking relation change likely dominates over decrease in blocking frequency under global warming},
author = {
Chan, Pak Wah
and Catto, Jennifer L.
and Collins, Matthew
},
url = {https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-022-00290-2},
journal = {npj Climate and Atmospheric Science},
volume = {5},
}
,@article{Mackallah
title = {ACCESS datasets for CMIP6: methodology and idealised experiments},
author = {
Mackallah, C.
and Chamberlain, M. A.
and Law, R. M.
and Dix, M.
and Ziehn, T.
and Bi, D.
and Bodman, R.
and Brown, J. R.
and Dobrohotoff, P.
and Druken, K.
and Evans, B.
and Harman, I. N.
and Hayashida, H.
and Holmes, R.
and Kiss, A. E.
and Lenton, A.
and Liu, Y.
and Marsland, S.
and Meissner, K.
and Menviel, L.
and O’Farrell, S.
and Rashid, H. A.
and Ridzwan, S.
and Savita, A.
and Srbinovsky, J.
and Sullivan, A.
and Trenham, C.
and Vohralik, P. F.
and Wang, Y.-P.
and Williams, G.
and Woodhouse, M. T.
and Yeung, N.
},
url = {https://www.publish.csiro.au/?paper=ES21031},
journal = {Journal of Southern Hemisphere Earth Systems Science},
}
,@article{Hayashi
title = {Assessment of CMIP6-based future climate projections selected for impact studies in Japan},
author = {
Hayashi, Michiya
and Shiogama, Hideo
},
url = {https://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/sola/18/0/18_2022-016/_article/-char/en},
journal = {SOLA},
volume = {18},
pages = {96-103},
}
,@article{Kadkhodazadeh
title = {A New Methodology for Reference Evapotranspiration Prediction and Uncertainty Analysis under Climate Change Conditions Based on Machine Learning, Multi Criteria Decision Making and Monte Carlo Methods},
author = {
Kadkhodazadeh, Mojtaba
and Valikhan Anaraki, Mahdi
and Morshed-Bozorgdel, Amirreza
and Farzin, Saeed
},
url = {https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/14/5/2601},
journal = {Sustainability},
volume = {14},
pages = {2601},
}
,@article{Kajtar
title = {Tropical western and central Pacific marine heatwave data calculated from gridded sea surface temperature observations and CMIP6},
author = {
Kajtar, Jules B.
and Hernaman, Vanessa
and Holbrook, Neil J.
and Petrelli, Paola
},
url = {https://linkinghub.elsevier.com/retrieve/pii/S2352340921009690},
journal = {Data in Brief},
volume = {40},
pages = {107694},
}
,@article{Holbrook
title = {Impacts of marine heatwaves on tropical western and central Pacific Island nations and their communities},
author = {
Holbrook, Neil J.
and Hernaman, Vanessa
and Koshiba, Shirley
and Lako, Jimaima
and Kajtar, Jules B.
and Amosa, Patila
and Singh, Awnesh
},
url = {https://linkinghub.elsevier.com/retrieve/pii/S0921818121002654},
journal = {Global and Planetary Change},
volume = {208},
pages = {103680},
}
,@article{T.H.J. Hermans
title = {The Effect of Wind Stress on Seasonal Sea-Level Change on the Northwestern European Shelf},
author = {
T.H.J. Hermans
and C.A. Katsman
and C.M.L. Camargo
and G.G. Garner
and R.E. Kopp
and A.B.A. Slangen
},
url = {https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/clim/35/6/JCLI-D-21-0636.1.xml?tab_body=supplementary-materials},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
volume = {35},
pages = {1745-1759},
}
,@article{Lalande
title = {Climate change in the High Mountain Asia in CMIP6},
author = {
Lalande, Mickaël
and Ménégoz, Martin
and Krinner, Gerhard
and Naegeli, Kathrin
and Wunderle, Stefan
},
url = {https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/12/1061/2021/},
journal = {Earth System Dynamics},
volume = {12},
pages = {1061-1098},
}
,@misc{Kajtar
title = {Tasmanian region daily sea surface temperature from observations and CMIP6 models},
author = {
Kajtar, Jules B.
},
year = {2021},
}
,@article{Lyu
title = {Projected ocean warming constrained by the ocean observational record},
author = {
Lyu, Kewei
and Zhang, Xuebin
and Church, John A.
},
url = {https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-021-01151-1},
journal = {Nature Climate Change},
volume = {11},
pages = {834-839},
}
,@article{Anstey
title = {Prospect of Increased Disruption to the QBO in a Changing Climate},
author = {
Anstey, James A.
and Banyard, Timothy P.
and Butchart, Neal
and Coy, Lawrence
and Newman, Paul A.
and Osprey, Scott
and Wright, Corwin J.
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2021GL093058},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {48},
}
,@article{Kajtar
title = {CMIP5 Intermodel Relationships in the Baseline Southern Ocean Climate System and With Future Projections},
author = {
Kajtar, Jules B.
and Santoso, Agus
and Collins, Matthew
and Taschetto, Andréa S.
and England, Matthew H.
and Frankcombe, Leela M.
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2020EF001873},
journal = {Earth's Future},
volume = {9},
}
,@article{Shiogama
title = {How many hot days and heavy precipitation days will grandchildren experience that break the records set in their grandparents’ lives?},
author = {
Shiogama, Hideo
and Fujimori, Shinichiro
and Hasegawa, Tomoko
and Takahashi, Kiyoshi
and Kameyama, Yasuko
and Emori, Seita
},
url = {https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/2515-7620/ac0395},
journal = {Other},
volume = {3},
pages = {061002},
}
,@article{Purich
title = {Historical and Future Projected Warming of Antarctic Shelf Bottom Water in CMIP6 Models},
author = {
Purich, Ariaan
and England, Matthew H.
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2021GL092752},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {48},
}
,@article{McBride
title = {Comparison of CMIP6 historical climate simulations and future projected warming to an empirical model of global climate},
author = {
McBride, Laura A.
and Hope, Austin P.
and Canty, Timothy P.
and Bennett, Brian F.
and Tribett, Walter R.
and Salawitch, Ross J.
},
url = {https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/12/545/2021/},
journal = {Earth System Dynamics},
volume = {12},
pages = {545-579},
}
,@article{Koch
title = {Earth System Models Are Not Capturing Present‐Day Tropical Forest Carbon Dynamics},
author = {
Koch, Alexander
and Hubau, Wannes
and Lewis, Simon L.
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2020EF001874},
journal = {Other},
volume = {9},
}
,@article{Melnikova
title = {Carbon Cycle Response to Temperature Overshoot Beyond 2°C: An Analysis of CMIP6 Models},
author = {
Melnikova, I.
and Boucher, O.
and Cadule, P.
and Ciais, P.
and Gasser, T.
and Quilcaille, Y.
and Shiogama, H.
and Tachiiri, K.
and Yokohata, T.
and Tanaka, K.
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2020EF001967},
journal = {Other},
volume = {9},
}
,@article{Watson-Parris
title = {Machine learning for weather and climate are worlds apart},
author = {
Watson-Parris, D.
},
url = {https://royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/10.1098/rsta.2020.0098},
journal = {Other},
volume = {379},
pages = {20200098},
}
,@article{Zanowski
title = {Arctic Ocean freshwater in CMIP6 Ensembles: Declining Sea Ice, Increasing Ocean Storage and Export},
author = {
Zanowski, Hannah
and Jahn, Alexandra
and Holland, Marika M.
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2020JC016930},
journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans},
}
,@article{Tebaldi
title = {Climate model projections from the Scenario Model Intercomparison Project (ScenarioMIP) of CMIP6},
author = {
Tebaldi, Claudia
and Debeire, Kevin
and Eyring, Veronika
and Fischer, Erich
and Fyfe, John
and Friedlingstein, Pierre
and Knutti, Reto
and Lowe, Jason
and O'Neill, Brian
and Sanderson, Benjamin
and van Vuuren, Detlef
and Riahi, Keywan
and Meinshausen, Malte
and Nicholls, Zebedee
and Tokarska, Katarzyna B.
and Hurtt, George
and Kriegler, Elmar
and Lamarque, Jean-Francois
and Meehl, Gerald
and Moss, Richard
and Bauer, Susanne E.
and Boucher, Olivier
and Brovkin, Victor
and Byun, Young-Hwa
and Dix, Martin
and Gualdi, Silvio
and Guo, Huan
and John, Jasmin G.
and Kharin, Slava
and Kim, YoungHo
and Koshiro, Tsuyoshi
and Ma, Libin
and Olivié, Dirk
and Panickal, Swapna
and Qiao, Fangli
and Rong, Xinyao
and Rosenbloom, Nan
and Schupfner, Martin
and Séférian, Roland
and Sellar, Alistair
and Semmler, Tido
and Shi, Xiaoying
and Song, Zhenya
and Steger, Christian
and Stouffer, Ronald
and Swart, Neil
and Tachiiri, Kaoru
and Tang, Qi
and Tatebe, Hiroaki
and Voldoire, Aurore
and Volodin, Evgeny
and Wyser, Klaus
and Xin, Xiaoge
and Yang, Shuting
and Yu, Yongqiang
and Ziehn, Tilo
},
url = {https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/12/253/2021/},
journal = {Earth System Dynamics},
volume = {12},
pages = {253-293},
}
,@article{Gillett
title = {Constraining human contributions to observed warming since the pre-industrial period},
author = {
Gillett, Nathan P.
and Kirchmeier-Young, Megan
and Ribes, Aurélien
and Shiogama, Hideo
and Hegerl, Gabriele C.
and Knutti, Reto
and Gastineau, Guillaume
and John, Jasmin G.
and Li, Lijuan
and Nazarenko, Larissa
and Rosenbloom, Nan
and Seland, Øyvind
and Wu, Tongwen
and Yukimoto, Seiji
and Ziehn, Tilo
},
url = {https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-020-00965-9},
journal = {Nature Climate Change},
volume = {11},
pages = {207-212},
}
,@article{Pak
title = {Korea Institute of Ocean Science and Technology Earth System Model and Its Simulation Characteristics},
author = {
Pak, Gyundo
and Noh, Yign
and Lee, Myong-In
and Yeh, Sang-Wook
and Kim, Daehyun
and Kim, Sang-Yeob
and Lee, Joon-Lee
and Lee, Ho Jin
and Hyun, Seung-Hwon
and Lee, Kwang-Yeon
and Lee, Jae-Hak
and Park, Young-Gyu
and Jin, Hyunkeun
and Park, Hyukmin
and Kim, Young Ho
},
url = {https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s12601-021-00001-7},
journal = {Ocean Science Journal},
volume = {56},
pages = {18-45},
}
,@article{Goyal
title = {Historical and Projected Changes in the Southern Hemisphere Surface Westerlies},
author = {
Goyal, Rishav
and Sen Gupta, Alex
and Jucker, Martin
and England, Matthew H.
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2020GL090849},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {48},
}
,@article{Nicholls
title = {Regionally aggregated, stitched and de‐drifted CMIP‐climate data, processed with netCDF‐SCM v2.0.0},
author = {
Nicholls, Zebedee
and Lewis, Jared
and Makin, Melissa
and Nattala, Usha
and Zhang, Geordie Z.
and Mutch, Simon J.
and Tescari, Edoardo
and Meinshausen, Malte
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/gdj3.113},
journal = {Geoscience Data Journal},
}
,@article{Bock
title = {Evaluation of ocean dimethylsulfide concentration and emission in CMIP6 models},
author = {
Bock, Josué
and Michou, Martine
and Nabat, Pierre
and Abe, Manabu
and Mulcahy, Jane P.
and Olivié, Dirk J. L.
and Schwinger, Jörg
and Suntharalingam, Parvadha
and Tjiputra, Jerry
and van Hulten, Marco
and Watanabe, Michio
and Yool, Andrew
and Séférian, Roland
},
url = {https://bg.copernicus.org/preprints/bg-2020-463/},
journal = {Other},
}
,@article{Hayashi
title = {The northwestern Pacific warming record in August 2020 occurred under anthropogenic forcing},
author = {
Hayashi, Michiya
and Shiogama H.
and Emori S.
and Ogura T.
and Hirota N.
},
url = {https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1029/2020GL090956},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {48},
pages = {e2020GL090956},
}
,@article{Ribes
title = {Making climate projections conditional on historical observations},
author = {
Ribes, Aurélien
and Qasmi, Saïd
and Gillett, Nathan P.
},
url = {https://advances.sciencemag.org/content/7/4/eabc0671},
journal = {Science Advances},
volume = {7},
pages = {eabc0671},
}
,@article{Shiogama
title = {Selecting CMIP6-Based Future Climate Scenarios for Impact and Adaptation Studies},
author = {
Shiogama, Hideo
and Ishizaki, Noriko N.
and Hanasaki, Naota
and Takahashi, Kiyoshi
and Emori, Seita
and Ito, Rui
and Nakaegawa, Toshiyuki
and Takayabu, Izuru
and Hijioka, Yasuaki
and Takayabu, Yukari N.
and Shibuya, Ryosuke
},
url = {https://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/sola/17/0/17_2021-009/_article},
journal = {SOLA},
volume = {17},
pages = {57-62},
}
,@article{van Noije
title = {EC-Earth3-AerChem, a global climate model with interactive aerosolsand atmospheric chemistry participating in CMIP6},
author = {
van Noije, Twan
and Bergman, Tommi
and Le Sager, Philippe
and O'Donnell, Declan
and Makkonen, Risto
and Gonçalves-Ageitos, María
and Döscher, Ralf
and Fladrich, Uwe
and von Hardenberg, Jost
and Keskinen, Jukka-Pekka
and Korhonen, Hannele
and Laakso, Anton
and Myriokefalitakis, Stelios
and Ollinaho, Pirkka
and Pérez García-Pando, Carlos
and Reerink, Thomas
and Schrödner, Roland
and Wyser, Klaus
and Yang, Shuting
},
url = {https://gmd.copernicus.org/preprints/gmd-2020-413/},
journal = {Geoscientific Model Development},
}
,@article{McKenna
title = {Stringent mitigation substantially reduces risk of unprecedented near-term warming rates},
author = {
McKenna, C. M.
and Maycock, A. C.
and Forster, P. M.
and Smith, C. J.
and Tokarska, K. B.
},
url = {https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-020-00957-9},
journal = {Nature Climate Change},
volume = {11},
pages = {126-131},
}
,@article{Burke
title = {Evaluating permafrost physics in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 6 (CMIP6) models and their sensitivity to climate change},
author = {
Burke, Eleanor
and Krinner G.
and Yu Zhang
},
journal = {The Cryosphere},
}
,@article{Hayashi
title = {Dynamics for El Niño-La Niña asymmetry constrain equatorial-Pacific warming pattern},
author = {
Hayashi, Michiya
and Jin, Fei-Fei
and Stuecker, Malte F.
},
url = {https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-020-17983-y},
journal = {Other},
volume = {11},
pages = {4230},
}
,@article{DeRepentigny
title = {Arctic Sea Ice in Two Configurations of the CESM2 During the 20th and 21st Centuries},
author = {
DeRepentigny, Patricia
and Jahn, Alexandra
and Holland, Marika M.
and Smith, Abigail
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2020JC016133},
journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans},
volume = {125},
pages = {e2020JC016133},
}
,@article{Oudar
title = {Drivers of the Northern Extratropical Eddy‐Driven Jet Change in CMIP5 and CMIP6 Models},
author = {
Oudar, Thomas
and Cattiaux, Julien
and Douville, Hervé
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1029/2019GL086695},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {47},
}
,@article{Michou
title = {Present‐Day and Historical Aerosol and Ozone Characteristics in CNRM CMIP6 Simulations},
author = {
Michou, M.
and Nabat, P.
and Saint‐Martin, D.
and Bock, J.
and Decharme, B.
and Mallet, M.
and Roehrig, R.
and Séférian, R.
and Sénési, S.
and Voldoire, A.
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2019MS001816},
journal = {Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems},
volume = {12},
}
,@article{Séférian
title = {Evaluation of CNRM Earth System Model, CNRM‐ESM2‐1: Role of Earth System Processes in Present‐Day and Future Climate},
author = {
Séférian, Roland
and Nabat, Pierre
and Michou, Martine
and Saint‐Martin, David
and Voldoire, Aurore
and Colin, Jeanne
and Decharme, Bertrand
and Delire, Christine
and Berthet, Sarah
and Chevallier, Matthieu
and Sénési, Stephane
and Franchisteguy, Laurent
and Vial, Jessica
and Mallet, Marc
and Joetzjer, Emilie
and Geoffroy, Olivier
and Guérémy, Jean‐François
and Moine, Marie‐Pierre
and Msadek, Rym
and Ribes, Aurélien
and Rocher, Matthias
and Roehrig, Romain
and Salas‐y‐Mélia, David
and Sanchez, Emilia
and Terray, Laurent
and Valcke, Sophie
and Waldman, Robin
and Aumont, Olivier
and Bopp, Laurent
and Deshayes, Julie
and Éthé, Christian
and Madec, Gurvan
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1029/2019MS001791},
journal = {Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems},
volume = {11},
pages = {4182-4227},
}
,