@article{Hayashi
title = {Scenario Dependence of Future Precipitation Changes across Japan in CMIP6},
author = {
Hayashi, Michiya
and Shiogama, Hideo
and Ishizaki, Noriko N.
and Wakazuki, Yasutaka
},
url = {https://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/sola/20/0/20_2024-028/_article/-char/ja/},
journal = {SOLA},
volume = {20},
pages = {207-216},
}
,@article{Strack
title = {Predicted changes to the rate of human decomposition due to climate change during the 21st century},
author = {
Strack, Julius
and Smith, Martin J.
},
url = {https://linkinghub.elsevier.com/retrieve/pii/S2665910723000166},
journal = {Other},
volume = {7},
pages = {100321},
}
,@article{Anne L. Morée
title = {Impact of deoxygenation and warming on global marine species in the 21st century},
author = {
Anne L. Morée
and Thomas L. Frölicher
and Tayler M. Clarke
and William W. L. Cheung
},
journal = {Biogeosciences},
}
,@article{Verniest
title = {Anticipating the effects of climate warming and natural habitat conversion on waterbird communities to address protection gaps},
author = {
Verniest, Fabien
and Le Viol, Isabelle
and Julliard, Romain
and Dami, Laura
and Guelmami, Anis
and Suet, Marie
and Abdou, Wed
and Azafzaf, Hichem
and Bendjedda, Nadjiba
and Bino, Taulant
and Borg, John J.
and Božič, Luka
and Dakki, Mohamed
and El Hamoumi, Rhimou
and Encarnação, Vitor
and Erciyas-Yavuz, Kiraz
and Etayeb, Khaled
and Georgiev, Valeri
and Hamada, Ayman
and Hatzofe, Ohad
and Ieronymidou, Christina
and Langendoen, Tom
and Mikuska, Tibor
and Molina, Blas
and Moniz, Filipe
and Moussy, Caroline
and Ouassou, Asmaâ
and Petkov, Nicky
and Portolou, Danae
and Qaneer, Tareq
and Sayoud, Samir
and Šćiban, Marko
and Topić, Goran
and Uzunova, Danka
and Vine, Gal
and Vizi, Andrej
and Xeka, Erald
and Zenatello, Marco
and Gaget, Elie
and Galewski, Thomas
},
url = {https://linkinghub.elsevier.com/retrieve/pii/S0006320723000393},
journal = {Biological Conservation},
volume = {279},
pages = {109939},
}
,@article{Zhou
title = {Projection of China’s future runoff based on the CMIP6 mid-high warming scenarios},
author = {
Zhou, Jiayue
and Lu, Hui
and Yang, Kun
and Jiang, Ruijie
and Yang, Yuan
and Wang, Wei
and Zhang, Xuejun
},
url = {https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11430-022-1055-5},
journal = {Other},
volume = {66},
pages = {528-546},
}
,@article{Verniest
title = {Coupling future climate and land‐use projections reveals where to strengthen the protection of Mediterranean Key Biodiversity Areas},
author = {
Verniest, Fabien
and Galewski, Thomas
and Julliard, Romain
and Guelmami, Anis
and Le Viol, Isabelle
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/csp2.12807},
journal = {Conservation Science and Practice},
}
,@article{Hayashi
title = {The contribution of climate change to increasing extreme ocean warming around Japan},
author = {
Hayashi, Michiya
and Shiogama H.
and Ogura T.
},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {49},
pages = {e2022GL100785},
}
,@article{Huard
title = {Estimating the Likelihood of GHG Concentration Scenarios From Probabilistic Integrated Assessment Model Simulations},
author = {
Huard, David
and Fyke, Jeremy
and Capellán‐Pérez, Iñigo
and Matthews, H. Damon
and Partanen, Antti‐Ilari
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2022EF002715},
journal = {Earth's Future},
volume = {10},
}
,@article{Chan
title = {Heatwave–blocking relation change likely dominates over decrease in blocking frequency under global warming},
author = {
Chan, Pak Wah
and Catto, Jennifer L.
and Collins, Matthew
},
url = {https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-022-00290-2},
journal = {npj Climate and Atmospheric Science},
volume = {5},
}
,@article{Koshiro
title = {Estimated cloud-top entrainment index explains positive low-cloud-cover feedback},
author = {
Koshiro, Tsuyoshi
and Kawai, Hideaki
and Noda, Akira T.
},
url = {https://pnas.org/doi/full/10.1073/pnas.2200635119},
journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences},
volume = {119},
}
,@article{Nanditha
title = {Multiday Precipitation Is a Prominent Driver of Floods in Indian River Basins},
author = {
Nanditha, J. S.
and Mishra, Vimal
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2022WR032723},
journal = {Water Resources Research},
volume = {58},
}
,@article{Hayashi
title = {Assessment of CMIP6-based future climate projections selected for impact studies in Japan},
author = {
Hayashi, Michiya
and Shiogama, Hideo
},
url = {https://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/sola/18/0/18_2022-016/_article/-char/en},
journal = {SOLA},
volume = {18},
pages = {96-103},
}
,@article{Kadkhodazadeh
title = {A New Methodology for Reference Evapotranspiration Prediction and Uncertainty Analysis under Climate Change Conditions Based on Machine Learning, Multi Criteria Decision Making and Monte Carlo Methods},
author = {
Kadkhodazadeh, Mojtaba
and Valikhan Anaraki, Mahdi
and Morshed-Bozorgdel, Amirreza
and Farzin, Saeed
},
url = {https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/14/5/2601},
journal = {Sustainability},
volume = {14},
pages = {2601},
}
,@article{Kajtar
title = {Tropical western and central Pacific marine heatwave data calculated from gridded sea surface temperature observations and CMIP6},
author = {
Kajtar, Jules B.
and Hernaman, Vanessa
and Holbrook, Neil J.
and Petrelli, Paola
},
url = {https://linkinghub.elsevier.com/retrieve/pii/S2352340921009690},
journal = {Data in Brief},
volume = {40},
pages = {107694},
}
,@article{Worou
title = {Weakened impact of the Atlantic Niño on the future equatorial Atlantic and Guinea Coast rainfall},
author = {
Worou, Koffi
and Goosse, Hugues
and Fichefet, Thierry
and Kucharski, Fred
},
url = {https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/13/231/2022/},
journal = {Earth System Dynamics},
volume = {13},
pages = {231-249},
}
,@article{Holbrook
title = {Impacts of marine heatwaves on tropical western and central Pacific Island nations and their communities},
author = {
Holbrook, Neil J.
and Hernaman, Vanessa
and Koshiba, Shirley
and Lako, Jimaima
and Kajtar, Jules B.
and Amosa, Patila
and Singh, Awnesh
},
url = {https://linkinghub.elsevier.com/retrieve/pii/S0921818121002654},
journal = {Global and Planetary Change},
volume = {208},
pages = {103680},
}
,@article{Huang
title = {Nonlinear interactions of land carbon cycle feedbacks in Earth System Models},
author = {
Huang, Yuanyuan
and Wang, Ying‐Ping
and Ziehn, Tilo
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.15953},
journal = {Global Change Biology},
volume = {28},
pages = {296-306},
}
,@article{T.H.J. Hermans
title = {The Effect of Wind Stress on Seasonal Sea-Level Change on the Northwestern European Shelf},
author = {
T.H.J. Hermans
and C.A. Katsman
and C.M.L. Camargo
and G.G. Garner
and R.E. Kopp
and A.B.A. Slangen
},
url = {https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/clim/35/6/JCLI-D-21-0636.1.xml?tab_body=supplementary-materials},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
volume = {35},
pages = {1745-1759},
}
,@article{Lalande
title = {Climate change in the High Mountain Asia in CMIP6},
author = {
Lalande, Mickaël
and Ménégoz, Martin
and Krinner, Gerhard
and Naegeli, Kathrin
and Wunderle, Stefan
},
url = {https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/12/1061/2021/},
journal = {Earth System Dynamics},
volume = {12},
pages = {1061-1098},
}
,@misc{Kajtar
title = {Tasmanian region daily sea surface temperature from observations and CMIP6 models},
author = {
Kajtar, Jules B.
},
year = {2021},
}
,@article{Martin Mohrmann
title = {Southern Ocean polynyas in CMIP6 models},
author = {
Martin Mohrmann
and Céline Heuzé
and Sebastiaan Swart
},
journal = {The Cryosphere},
}
,@article{Palmer
title = {How does the CMIP6 ensemble change the picture for European climate projections?},
author = {
Palmer, T E
and Booth, B B B
and McSweeney, C F
},
url = {https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/ac1ed9},
journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
volume = {16},
pages = {094042},
}
,@article{Anstey
title = {Prospect of Increased Disruption to the QBO in a Changing Climate},
author = {
Anstey, James A.
and Banyard, Timothy P.
and Butchart, Neal
and Coy, Lawrence
and Newman, Paul A.
and Osprey, Scott
and Wright, Corwin J.
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2021GL093058},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {48},
}
,@article{Alaminie
title = {Evaluation of Past and Future Climate Trends under CMIP6 Scenarios for the UBNB (Abay), Ethiopia},
author = {
Alaminie, Addis A.
and Tilahun, Seifu A.
and Legesse, Solomon A.
and Zimale, Fasikaw A.
and Tarkegn, Gashaw Bimrew
and Jury, Mark R.
},
url = {https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4441/13/15/2110},
journal = {Other},
volume = {13},
pages = {2110},
}
,@article{Ahmed
title = {A Process‐Oriented Diagnostic to Assess Precipitation‐Thermodynamic Relations and Application to CMIP6 Models},
author = {
Ahmed, Fiaz
and Neelin, J. David
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2021GL094108},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {48},
}
,@article{Rashid
title = {Diverse Responses of Global‐Mean Surface Temperature to External Forcings and Internal Climate Variability in Observations and CMIP6 Models},
author = {
Rashid, Harun A.
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2021GL093194},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {48},
}
,@article{von der Gathen
title = {Climate change favours large seasonal loss of Arctic ozone},
author = {
von der Gathen, Peter
and Kivi, Rigel
and Wohltmann, Ingo
and Salawitch, Ross J.
and Rex, Markus
},
url = {https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-021-24089-6},
journal = {Nature Communications},
volume = {12},
}
,@article{Lim Kam Sian
title = {Multi-Decadal Variability and Future Changes in Precipitation over Southern Africa},
author = {
Lim Kam Sian, Kenny Thiam Choy
and Wang, Jianhong
and Ayugi, Brian Odhiambo
and Nooni, Isaac Kwesi
and Ongoma, Victor
},
url = {https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/12/6/742},
journal = {Atmosphere},
volume = {12},
pages = {742},
}
,@article{Crawford
title = {Arctic open-water periods are projected to lengthen dramatically by 2100},
author = {
Crawford, Alex
and Stroeve, Julienne
and Smith, Abigail
and Jahn, Alexandra
},
url = {https://www.nature.com/articles/s43247-021-00183-x},
journal = {Other},
volume = {2},
}
,@article{Li
title = {Evaluation of CMIP6 Global Climate Models for Simulating Land Surface Energy and Water Fluxes During 1979–2014},
author = {
Li, Jianduo
and Miao, Chiyuan
and Wei, Wei
and Zhang, Guo
and Hua, Lijuan
and Chen, Yueli
and Wang, Xiaoxiao
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2021MS002515},
journal = {Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems},
volume = {13},
}
,@article{Kajtar
title = {CMIP5 Intermodel Relationships in the Baseline Southern Ocean Climate System and With Future Projections},
author = {
Kajtar, Jules B.
and Santoso, Agus
and Collins, Matthew
and Taschetto, Andréa S.
and England, Matthew H.
and Frankcombe, Leela M.
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2020EF001873},
journal = {Earth's Future},
volume = {9},
}
,@article{Purich
title = {Historical and Future Projected Warming of Antarctic Shelf Bottom Water in CMIP6 Models},
author = {
Purich, Ariaan
and England, Matthew H.
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2021GL092752},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {48},
}
,@article{Beverley
title = {Future Changes to El Niño Teleconnections over the North Pacific and North America},
author = {
Beverley, Jonathan D.
and Collins, Matthew
and Lambert, F. Hugo
and Chadwick, Robin
},
url = {https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/clim/aop/JCLI-D-20-0877.1/JCLI-D-20-0877.1.xml},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
pages = {1-43},
}
,@article{McBride
title = {Comparison of CMIP6 historical climate simulations and future projected warming to an empirical model of global climate},
author = {
McBride, Laura A.
and Hope, Austin P.
and Canty, Timothy P.
and Bennett, Brian F.
and Tribett, Walter R.
and Salawitch, Ross J.
},
url = {https://esd.copernicus.org/articles/12/545/2021/},
journal = {Earth System Dynamics},
volume = {12},
pages = {545-579},
}
,@article{Koch
title = {Earth System Models Are Not Capturing Present‐Day Tropical Forest Carbon Dynamics},
author = {
Koch, Alexander
and Hubau, Wannes
and Lewis, Simon L.
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2020EF001874},
journal = {Other},
volume = {9},
}
,@article{Sohail
title = {Fifty Year Trends in Global Ocean Heat Content Traced to Surface Heat Fluxes in the Sub‐Polar Ocean},
author = {
Sohail, Taimoor
and Irving, Damien B.
and Zika, Jan D.
and Holmes, Ryan M.
and Church, John A.
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2020GL091439},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {48},
}
,@article{Melnikova
title = {Carbon Cycle Response to Temperature Overshoot Beyond 2°C: An Analysis of CMIP6 Models},
author = {
Melnikova, I.
and Boucher, O.
and Cadule, P.
and Ciais, P.
and Gasser, T.
and Quilcaille, Y.
and Shiogama, H.
and Tachiiri, K.
and Yokohata, T.
and Tanaka, K.
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2020EF001967},
journal = {Other},
volume = {9},
}
,@article{Zanowski
title = {Arctic Ocean freshwater in CMIP6 Ensembles: Declining Sea Ice, Increasing Ocean Storage and Export},
author = {
Zanowski, Hannah
and Jahn, Alexandra
and Holland, Marika M.
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2020JC016930},
journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans},
}
,@article{Gillett
title = {Constraining human contributions to observed warming since the pre-industrial period},
author = {
Gillett, Nathan P.
and Kirchmeier-Young, Megan
and Ribes, Aurélien
and Shiogama, Hideo
and Hegerl, Gabriele C.
and Knutti, Reto
and Gastineau, Guillaume
and John, Jasmin G.
and Li, Lijuan
and Nazarenko, Larissa
and Rosenbloom, Nan
and Seland, Øyvind
and Wu, Tongwen
and Yukimoto, Seiji
and Ziehn, Tilo
},
url = {https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-020-00965-9},
journal = {Nature Climate Change},
volume = {11},
pages = {207-212},
}
,@article{Nicholls
title = {Regionally aggregated, stitched and de‐drifted CMIP‐climate data, processed with netCDF‐SCM v2.0.0},
author = {
Nicholls, Zebedee
and Lewis, Jared
and Makin, Melissa
and Nattala, Usha
and Zhang, Geordie Z.
and Mutch, Simon J.
and Tescari, Edoardo
and Meinshausen, Malte
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/gdj3.113},
journal = {Geoscience Data Journal},
}
,@article{Sang
title = {Improvement of Soil Moisture Simulation in Eurasia by the Beijing Climate Center Climate System Model from CMIP5 to CMIP6},
author = {
Sang, Yinghan
and Ren, Hong-Li
and Shi, Xueli
and Xu, Xiaofeng
and Chen, Haishan
},
url = {https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00376-020-0167-7},
journal = {Advances in Atmospheric Sciences},
volume = {38},
pages = {237-252},
}
,@article{Sledd
title = {Uncertainty in Forced and Natural Arctic Solar Absorption Variations in CMIP6 Models},
author = {
Sledd, Anne
and L’Ecuyer, Tristan
},
url = {https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/clim/34/3/JCLI-D-20-0244.1.xml},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
volume = {34},
pages = {931-948},
}
,@article{Hayashi
title = {The northwestern Pacific warming record in August 2020 occurred under anthropogenic forcing},
author = {
Hayashi, Michiya
and Shiogama H.
and Emori S.
and Ogura T.
and Hirota N.
},
url = {https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1029/2020GL090956},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {48},
pages = {e2020GL090956},
}
,@article{Ribes
title = {Making climate projections conditional on historical observations},
author = {
Ribes, Aurélien
and Qasmi, Saïd
and Gillett, Nathan P.
},
url = {https://advances.sciencemag.org/content/7/4/eabc0671},
journal = {Science Advances},
volume = {7},
pages = {eabc0671},
}
,@article{Ombadi
title = {Retrospective Analysis and Bayesian Model Averaging of CMIP6 Precipitation in the Nile River Basin},
author = {
Ombadi, Mohammed
and Nguyen, Phu
and Sorooshian, Soroosh
and Hsu, Kuo-lin
},
url = {https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/hydr/22/1/jhm-d-20-0157.1.xml},
journal = {Journal of Hydrometeorology},
volume = {22},
pages = {217-229},
}
,@article{Halder
title = {Assessment of CMIP6 models' skill for tropical Indian Ocean sea surface temperature variability},
author = {
Halder, Subrota
and Parekh, Anant
and Chowdary, Jasti S.
and Gnanaseelan, Chellappan
and Kulkarni, Ashwini
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/joc.6975},
journal = {International Journal of Climatology},
}
,@article{McKenna
title = {Stringent mitigation substantially reduces risk of unprecedented near-term warming rates},
author = {
McKenna, C. M.
and Maycock, A. C.
and Forster, P. M.
and Smith, C. J.
and Tokarska, K. B.
},
url = {https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-020-00957-9},
journal = {Nature Climate Change},
volume = {11},
pages = {126-131},
}
,@article{Hayashi
title = {Dynamics for El Niño-La Niña asymmetry constrain equatorial-Pacific warming pattern},
author = {
Hayashi, Michiya
and Jin, Fei-Fei
and Stuecker, Malte F.
},
url = {https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-020-17983-y},
journal = {Other},
volume = {11},
pages = {4230},
}
,@article{Séférian
title = {Tracking Improvement in Simulated Marine Biogeochemistry Between CMIP5 and CMIP6},
author = {
Séférian, Roland
and Berthet, Sarah
and Yool, Andrew
and Palmiéri, Julien
and Bopp, Laurent
and Tagliabue, Alessandro
and Kwiatkowski, Lester
and Aumont, Olivier
and Christian, James
and Dunne, John
and Gehlen, Marion
and Ilyina, Tatiana
and John, Jasmin G.
and Li, Hongmei
and Long, Matthew C.
and Luo, Jessica Y.
and Nakano, Hideyuki
and Romanou, Anastasia
and Schwinger, Jörg
and Stock, Charles
and Santana-Falcón, Yeray
and Takano, Yohei
and Tjiputra, Jerry
and Tsujino, Hiroyuki
and Watanabe, Michio
and Wu, Tongwen
and Wu, Fanghua
and Yamamoto, Akitomo
},
url = {https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s40641-020-00160-0},
journal = {Other},
}
,@article{Cannon
title = {Reductions in daily continental-scale atmospheric circulation biases between generations of global climate models: CMIP5 to CMIP6},
author = {
Cannon, Alex J
},
url = {https://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab7e4f},
journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
volume = {15},
pages = {064006},
}
,@article{Tian
title = {The Double‐ITCZ Bias in CMIP3, CMIP5, and CMIP6 Models Based on Annual Mean Precipitation},
author = {
Tian, Baijun
and Dong, Xinyu
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1029/2020GL087232},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {47},
}
,@article{Tsutsui
title = {Diagnosing Transient Response to CO 2 Forcing in Coupled Atmosphere‐Ocean Model Experiments Using a Climate Model Emulator},
author = {
Tsutsui, Junichi
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2019GL085844},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {47},
}
,