@article{Herman
  title = {Drivers of low-frequency Sahel precipitation variability: comparing CMIP5 and CMIP6 ensemble means with observations},
  author = {
Herman, Rebecca Jean
and Biasutti, Michela
and Kushnir, Yochanan
},
  url = {https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-023-06755-1},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {61},
  pages = {4449-4470},
}
,
@article{Koshiro
  title = {Estimated cloud-top entrainment index explains positive low-cloud-cover feedback},
  author = {
Koshiro, Tsuyoshi
and Kawai, Hideaki
and Noda, Akira T.
},
  url = {https://pnas.org/doi/full/10.1073/pnas.2200635119},
  journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences},
  volume = {119},
}
,
@article{Jayasankar
  title = {Does increasing the spatial resolution in dynamical downscaling impact climate change projection of Indian summer monsoon, population and GDP?},
  author = {
Jayasankar, C. B.
and Rajendran, K.
and Sajani, Surendran
},
  url = {https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00704-021-03633-w},
  journal = {Theoretical and Applied Climatology},
  volume = {145},
  pages = {441-453},
}
,
@article{von der Gathen
  title = {Climate change favours large seasonal loss of Arctic ozone},
  author = {
von der Gathen, Peter
and Kivi, Rigel
and Wohltmann, Ingo
and Salawitch, Ross J.
and Rex, Markus
},
  url = {https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-021-24089-6},
  journal = {Nature Communications},
  volume = {12},
}
,
@article{Kajtar
  title = {CMIP5 Intermodel Relationships in the Baseline Southern Ocean Climate System and With Future Projections},
  author = {
Kajtar, Jules B.
and Santoso, Agus
and Collins, Matthew
and Taschetto, Andréa S.
and England, Matthew H.
and Frankcombe, Leela M.
},
  url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2020EF001873},
  journal = {Earth's Future},
  volume = {9},
}
,
@article{Nicholls
  title = {Regionally aggregated, stitched and de‐drifted CMIP‐climate data, processed with netCDF‐SCM v2.0.0},
  author = {
Nicholls, Zebedee
and Lewis, Jared
and Makin, Melissa
and Nattala, Usha
and Zhang, Geordie Z.
and Mutch, Simon J.
and Tescari, Edoardo
and Meinshausen, Malte
},
  url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/gdj3.113},
  journal = {Geoscience Data Journal},
}
,
@article{Shrestha
  title = {Assessment of climate change impact on high flows in a watershed characterized by flood regulating reservoirs},
  author = {
Shrestha, Sabin
and Sharma, Suresh
},
  journal = {Other},
}
,
@article{Tang
  title = {Evaluating Diurnal and Semi-Diurnal Cycle of Precipitation in CMIP6 Models Using Satellite- and Ground-Based Observations},
  author = {
Tang, Shuaiqi
and Gleckler, Peter
and Xie, Shaocheng
and Lee, Jiwoo
and Ahn, Min-Seop
and Covey, Curt
and Zhang, Chengzhu
},
  url = {https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/clim/aop/JCLI-D-20-0639.1/JCLI-D-20-0639.1.xml},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  pages = {1-56},
}
,
@article{Hobbs
  title = {Anthropogenic Temperature and Salinity Changes in the Southern Ocean},
  author = {
Hobbs, William R.
and Roach, Christopher
and Roy, Tilla
and Sallée, Jean-Baptiste
and Bindoff, Nathaniel
},
  url = {https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/clim/34/1/jcliD200454.xml},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {34},
  pages = {215-228},
}
,
@article{Ribes
  title = {Making climate projections conditional on historical observations},
  author = {
Ribes, Aurélien
and Qasmi, Saïd
and Gillett, Nathan P.
},
  url = {https://advances.sciencemag.org/content/7/4/eabc0671},
  journal = {Science Advances},
  volume = {7},
  pages = {eabc0671},
}
,
@article{Zhang
  title = {The ARM Data-Oriented Metrics and Diagnostics Package for Climate Models: A New Tool for Evaluating Climate Models with Field Data},
  author = {
Zhang, C.
and Xie, S.
and Tao, C.
and Tang, S.
and Emmenegger, T.
and Neelin, J. D.
and Schiro, K. A.
and Lin, W.
and Shaheen, Z.
},
  url = {https://journals.ametsoc.org/bams/article/101/10/E1619/348634/The-ARM-DataOriented-Metrics-and-Diagnostics},
  journal = {Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society},
  volume = {101},
  pages = {E1619-E1627},
}
,
@article{Hayashi
  title = {Dynamics for El Niño-La Niña asymmetry constrain equatorial-Pacific warming pattern},
  author = {
Hayashi, Michiya
and Jin, Fei-Fei
and Stuecker, Malte F.
},
  url = {https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-020-17983-y},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {11},
  pages = {4230},
}
,
@article{Grise
  title = {Hadley cell expansion in CMIP6 models},
  author = {
Grise, Kevin M.
and Davis, Sean M.
},
  url = {https://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/20/5249/2020/},
  journal = {Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics},
  volume = {20},
  pages = {5249-5268},
}
,
@article{Tian
  title = {The Double‐ITCZ Bias in CMIP3, CMIP5, and CMIP6 Models Based on Annual Mean Precipitation},
  author = {
Tian, Baijun
and Dong, Xinyu
},
  url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1029/2020GL087232},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {47},
}
,
@article{Tsutsui
  title = {Diagnosing Transient Response to CO 2 Forcing in Coupled Atmosphere‐Ocean Model Experiments Using a Climate Model Emulator},
  author = {
Tsutsui, Junichi
},
  url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2019GL085844},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {47},
}
,
@article{Po‐Chedley
  title = {Climatology Explains Intermodel Spread in Tropical Upper Tropospheric Cloud and Relative Humidity Response to Greenhouse Warming},
  author = {
Po‐Chedley, Stephen
and Zelinka, Mark D.
and Jeevanjee, Nadir
and Thorsen, Tyler J.
and Santer, Benjamin D.
},
  url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1029/2019GL084786},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {46},
  pages = {13399-13409},
}
,
@article{Irving
  title = {Anthropogenic Aerosols, Greenhouse Gases, and the Uptake, Transport, and Storage of Excess Heat in the Climate System},
  author = {
Irving, Damien. B.
and Wijffels, Susan.
and Church, John. A.
},
  url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1029/2019GL082015},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {46},
  pages = {4894-4903},
}
,
@article{Shrestha
  title = {Impact of global climate change on stream low flows: A case study of the great Miami river watershed, Ohio, USA},
  author = {
Shrestha, Sabin
and Sharma, Suresh
and Gupta, Rishabh
and Bhattarai, Rabin
},
  url = {https://ijabe.org/index.php/ijabe/article/view/4486},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {12},
  pages = {84-95},
}
,
@article{Giannini
  title = {The role of aerosols and greenhouse gases in Sahel drought and recovery},
  author = {
Giannini, Alessandra
and Kaplan, Alexey
},
  journal = {Climatic Change},
  volume = {152},
  pages = {449},
}
,
@article{Po-Chedley
  title = {Climate constraint reflects forced signal},
  author = {
Po-Chedley, Stephen
and Proistosescu, Cristian
and Armour, Kyle C.
and Santer, Benjamin D.
},
  url = {https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-018-0640-y},
  journal = {Nature},
  volume = {563},
  pages = {E6-E9},
}
,
@article{Ferguson
  title = {The Effect of Global Warming on Future Water Availability: CMIP5 Synthesis},
  author = {
Ferguson, C. R.
and Pan, M.
and Oki, Taikan
},
  url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1029/2018WR022792},
  journal = {Water Resources Research},
  volume = {54},
  pages = {7791-7819},
}
,
@article{Jayasankar
  title = {Monsoon Climate Change Projection for the Orographic West Coast of India Using High-Resolution Nested Dynamical Downscaling Model},
  author = {
Jayasankar, C. B.
and Rajendran, Kavirajan
and Surendran, Sajani
},
  url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/resolve/doi?DOI=10.1029/2018JD028677},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
}
,
@article{Po-Chedley
  title = {Sources of Intermodel Spread in the Lapse Rate and Water Vapor Feedbacks},
  author = {
Po-Chedley, Stephen
and Armour, Kyle C.
and Bitz, Cecilia M.
and Zelinka, Mark D.
and Santer, Benjamin D.
and Fu, Qiang
},
  url = {https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0674.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {31},
  pages = {3187-3206},
}
,
@article{Koshiro
  title = {Evaluation of Relationships between Subtropical Marine Low Stratiform Cloudiness and Estimated Inversion Strength in CMIP5 Models Using the Satellite Simulator Package COSP},
  author = {
Koshiro, Tsuyoshi
and Shiotani, Masato
and Kawai, Hideaki
and Yukimoto, Seiji
},
  url = {https://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/sola/14/0/14_2018-005/_article},
  journal = {SOLA},
  volume = {14},
  pages = {25-32},
}
,
@article{Esteban Abellán
  title = {Analysis of the southward wind shift of ENSO in CMIP5 models},
  author = {
Esteban Abellán
and Shayne McGregor
and Matthew H. England
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {30},
  pages = {2415-2435},
}
,
@article{Zazulie
  title = {Regional climate of the subtropical central Andes using high-resolution CMIP5 models—part I: past performance (1980–2005)},
  author = {
Zazulie, N
and Rusticucci, M
and Raga, G. B.
},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,
@article{DeAngelis
  title = {Importance of vegetation processes for model spread in the fast precipitation response to CO2 forcing},
  author = {
DeAngelis, Anthony M.
and Qu, Xin
and Hall, Alex
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL071392/abstract},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {43},
  pages = {12,550-12,559},
}
,
@article{Belda
  title = {Global warming-induced changes in climate zones based on CMIP5 projections},
  author = {
Belda, M
and Holtanová, E
and Kalvová, J
and Halenka, T
},
  url = {http://www.int-res.com/abstracts/cr/v71/n1/p17-31/},
  journal = {Climate Research},
  volume = {71},
  pages = {17-31},
}
,
@article{Pendergrass
  title = {The Rain Is Askew: Two Idealized Models Relating Vertical Velocity and Precipitation Distributions in a Warming World},
  author = {
Pendergrass, Angeline G.
and Gerber, Edwin P.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0097.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {29},
  pages = {6445-6462},
}
,
@article{Danco
  title = {Effects of a Warming Climate on Daily Snowfall Events in the Northern Hemisphere},
  author = {
Danco, James F.
and DeAngelis, Anthony M.
and Raney, Bryan K.
and Broccoli, Anthony J.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0687.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {29},
  pages = {6295-6318},
}
,
@article{Terai
  title = {Constraining the low-cloud optical depth feedback at middle and high latitudes using satellite observations},
  author = {
Terai, C. R.
and Klein, S. A.
and Zelinka, M. D.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016JD025233/abstract},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
}
,
@book{Salzmann
  title = {Global warming without global mean precipitation increase?},
  author = {
Salzmann, M.
},
  url = {http://advances.sciencemag.org/content/2/6/e1501572},
  url = {Science Advances},
  pages = {e1501572-e1501572}},
  year = {2016},
  publisher = {American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)},
}
,
@article{Medhaug
  title = {Global and regional surface cooling in a warming climate: a multi-model analysis},
  author = {
Medhaug, Iselin
and Drange, Helge
},
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-015-2811-y},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {46},
  pages = {3899-3920},
}
,
@article{Wills
  title = {Thermodynamic and dynamic controls on changes in the zonally anomalous hydrological cycle},
  author = {
Wills, Robert C.
and Byrne, Michael P.
and Schneider, Tapio
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL068418/abstract},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {43},
  pages = {4640-4649},
}
,
@article{King
  title = {Emergence of heat extremes attributable to anthropogenic influences},
  author = {
King, Andrew D.
and Black, Mitchell T.
and Min, Seung-Ki
and Fischer, Erich M.
and Mitchell, Daniel M.
and Harrington, Luke J.
and Perkins-Kirkpatrick, Sarah E.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL067448/abstract},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {43},
  pages = {3438-3443},
}
,
@article{Le
  title = {The influence of external forcing on subdecadal variability of regional surface temperature in CMIP5 simulations of the last millennium},
  author = {
Le, Thanh
and Sjolte, Jesper
and Muscheler, Raimund
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JD024423/abstract},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {121},
  pages = {1671-1682},
}
,
@article{Zelinka
  title = {Insights from a refined decomposition of cloud feedbacks},
  author = {
Zelinka, Mark D.
and Zhou, Chen
and Klein, Stephen A.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL069917/abstract},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
}
,
@article{Pendergrass
  title = {Does extreme precipitation intensity depend on the emissions scenario?},
  author = {
Pendergrass, Angeline G.
and Lehner, Flavio
and Sanderson, Benjamin M.
and Xu, Yangyang
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL065854/abstract},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {42},
  pages = {8767-8774},
}
,
@article{Marvel
  title = {External Influences on Modeled and Observed Cloud Trends},
  author = {
Marvel, Kate
and Zelinka, Mark
and Klein, Stephen A.
and Bonfils, Céline
and Caldwell, Peter
and Doutriaux, Charles
and Santer, Benjamin D.
and Taylor, Karl E.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00734.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {28},
  pages = {4820-4840},
}
,
@article{Rotstayn
  title = {Effects of declining aerosols on projections of zonally averaged tropical precipitation},
  author = {
Rotstayn, L D
and Collier, M A
and Luo, J-J
},
  url = {http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/10/4/044018/meta},
  journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
  volume = {10},
  pages = {044018-044018},
}
,
@article{Flamant C.
  title = {An analysis of aeolian dust in climate models},
  author = {
Flamant C.
and Fiedler S.
and Doherty O.
},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {41},
}
,
@article{Flamant C.
  title = {An analysis of aeolian dust in climate models},
  author = {
Flamant C.
and Fiedler S.
and Doherty O.
},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {41},
}
,
@article{Willison J.
  title = {North Atlantic Storm-Track Sensitivity to Warming Increases with Model Resolution},
  author = {
Willison J.
and Robinson W. A.
and Lackmann G. M.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00715.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {28},
  pages = {4513-4524},
}
,
@article{Phillips T. J.
  title = {Koppen bioclimatic evaluation of CMIP historical climate simulations},
  author = {
Phillips T. J.
and Bonfils C. J.
},
  url = {http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/10/6/064005/article },
  journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
  volume = {10},
}
,
@article{Wright D. B.
  title = {Regional climate model projections of rainfall from U.S. landfalling tropical cyclones},
  author = {
Wright D. B.
and Knutson T. R.
and Smith J. A.
},
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-015-2544-y},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  pages = {1-15},
}
,
@article{Menary M. B.
  title = {Exploring the impact of CMIP5 model biases on the simulation of North Atlantic decadal variability},
  author = {
Menary M. B.
and Hodson D. L.
and Robson J. I.
and Sutton R. T.
and Wood R. A.
and Hunt J. A.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL064360/full},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
}
,
@article{Chan D.
  title = {Attributing Observed SST Trends and Sub-Continental Land Warming to Anthropogenic Forcing during 1979-2005},
  author = {
Chan D.
and Wu Q.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/pdf/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00253.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {28},
  pages = {3152-3170},
}
,
@article{Durack P. J.
  title = {Ocean salinity and the global water cycle},
  author = {
Durack P. J.
},
  url = {http://www.tos.org/oceanography/archive/28-1_durack.html},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {28},
  pages = {20-31},
}
,
@article{Chang E. K.
  title = {Significant Modulation of Variability and Projected Change in California Winter Precipitation by Extratropical Cyclone Acitivity},
  author = {
Chang E. K.
and Zheng C.
and Lanigan P.
and Yau A. M.
and Neelin J. D.
},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
}
,
@article{Durack P. J.
  title = {Long-term sea-level change revisited: the role of salinity},
  author = {
Durack P. J.
and Wijffels S. E.
and Gleckler P. J.
},
  url = {http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/9/11/114017/},
  journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
  volume = {9},
  pages = {---},
}
,
@article{Nasrollahi N.
  title = {How Well Do CMIP5 Climate Simulations Replicate Historical Trends and Patterns of Meteorological Droughts?},
  author = {
Nasrollahi N.
and AghaKouchak A.
and Cheng L.
and Damberg L.
and Phillips T.
and Miao C.
and Hsu K.
and Sorooshian S.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014WR016318/full},
  journal = {Water Resources Research},
  volume = { 51},
  pages = {2847-2864},
}
,
@article{Cheng L.
  title = {Non-stationary Return Levels of CMIP5 Multi-Model Temperature Extremes},
  author = {
Cheng L.
and AghaKouchak A.
and Phillips T.
},
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-015-2625-y},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {44},
  pages = {2947-2963},
}
,
@article{Shuai-Lei Y.
  title = {INHOMOGENEOUS warming of the Tropical Indian Ocean in the CMIP5 model simulations during 1900-2005 and associated mechanisms},
  author = {
Shuai-Lei Y.
and Gang H.
and Renguang W.
and Xia Q.
and Dong C.
},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,
@article{Guo F.
  title = {Three types of Indian Ocean Dipoles},
  author = {
Guo F.
and Liu Q.
and Sun S.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {28},
  pages = {3073-3092},
}
,
@article{Takao S.
  title = {Projecting the impacts of rising seawater temperatures on the distribution of seaweeds around Japan under multiple climate change scenarios},
  author = {
Takao S.
and Kumagai N. H.
and Yamano H.
and Fujii M.
and Yamanaka Y.
},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {5},
  pages = {213-223},
}
,
@article{Liu C.
  title = {Preparing suitable climate scenario data to assess impacts on local food safety},
  author = {
Liu C.
and Hofstra N.
and Leemans R.
},
  url = {http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0963996914005559},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {68},
  pages = {31-40},
}
,
@article{Wang W.
  title = {Statistical modeling and CMIP5 simulations of hot spell changes in China},
  author = {
Wang W.
and Zhou W.
and Li Y.
and Wang X.
and Wang D.
},
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-014-2287-1},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {44},
  pages = {2859-2872},
}
,
@article{Loik M. E.
  title = {Impact of intra- vs. inter-annual snow depth variation on water relations and photosynthesis for two Great Basin Desert shrubs},
  author = {
Loik M. E.
and Griffith A. B.
and Alpert H.
and Concilio A. L.
and Wade C. E.
and Martinson S. J.
},
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00442-015-3224-7?},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {178},
  pages = {403-414},
}
,
@article{Bezeau P.
  title = {Variability in summer anticyclonic circulation over the Canadian Arctic Archipelago and west Greenland in the late 20th/early 21st centuries and its effect on glacier mass balance},
  author = {
Bezeau P.
and Sharp M.
and Gascon G.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/joc.4000/abstract},
  journal = {International Journal of Climatology},
  volume = {35},
  pages = {540-557},
}
,
@article{Smith S. J.
  title = {Near-term acceleration in the rate of temperature change},
  author = {
Smith S. J.
and Edmonds J. A.
and Hartin C. A.
and Mundra A.
and Calvin K.
},
  url = {http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/v5/n4/full/nclimate2552.html},
  journal = {Nature Climate Change},
  volume = {5},
  pages = {333-336},
}
,
@article{Frölicher T. L.
  title = {Dominance of the Southern Ocean in Anthropogenic Carbon and Heat Uptake in CMIP5 Models},
  author = {
Frölicher T. L.
and Sarmiento J. L.
and Paynter D. J.
and Dunne J. P.
and Krasting J. P.
and Winton M.
},
  url = {http://http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00117.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {28},
  pages = {862-886},
}
,
@article{Lin J.
  title = {Is the tropical atmosphere in convective quasi-equilibrium?},
  author = {
Lin J.
and Qian T.
and Shinoda T.
and Li S.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00681.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {28},
  pages = {4357-4372},
}
,
@article{Belda M.
  title = {Evaluation of CMIP5 present climate simulations using the Köppen-Trewartha climate classification},
  author = {
Belda M.
and Holtanová E.
and Halenka T.
and Kalvová J.
and Hlávka Z.
},
  url = {http://www.int-res.com/abstracts/cr/v64/n3/p201-212/},
  journal = {Climate Research},
  volume = {64},
  pages = {201-212},
}
,
@article{Belda M.
  title = {Evaluation of CMIP5 present climate simulations using the Köppen-Trewartha climate classification},
  author = {
Belda M.
and Holtanová E.
and Halenka T.
and Kalvová J.
and Hlávka Z.
},
  url = {http://www.int-res.com/abstracts/cr/v64/n3/p201-212/},
  journal = {Climate Research},
  volume = {64},
  pages = {201-212},
}
,
@article{Roberts C. D.
  title = {Quantifying the likelihood of a continued hiatus in global warming},
  author = {
Roberts C. D.
and Palmer M. D.
and McNeall D.
and Collins M.
},
  url = {http://http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/v5/n4/full/nclimate2531.html},
  journal = {Nature Climate Change},
  volume = {5},
  pages = {337-342},
}
,
@article{da Silva G. A.
  title = {Refinement of the daily precipitation simulated by the CMIP5 models over the north of the Northeast of Brazil},
  author = {
da Silva G. A.
and Mendes D.
},
  url = { http://journal.frontiersin.org/article/10.3389/fenvs.2015.00029/pdf},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {3},
  pages = {1-16},
}
,
@article{Liu Y.
  title = {Mid-Holocene permafrost: Results from CMIP5 simulations},
  author = {
Liu Y.
and Jiang D.
},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {121},
  pages = {221-240},
}
,
@article{Jiang D.
  title = {Mid-Holocene global monsoon area and precipitation from PMIP simulations},
  author = {
Jiang D.
and Tian Z.
and Lang X.
},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {44},
  pages = {2493-2512},
}
,
@article{Jiang D.
  title = {Reliability of climate models for China through the IPCC Third to Fifth Assessment Reports},
  author = {
Jiang D.
and Tian Z.
and Lang X.
},
  journal = {International Journal of Climatology},
  volume = {36},
  pages = {1114-1133},
}
,
@article{Jiang D.
  title = {The concept of global monsoon applied to the last glacial maximum: A multi-model analysis},
  author = {
Jiang D.
and Tian Z.
and Lang X.
and KAGEYAMA M.
and Ramstein G.
},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {126},
  pages = {129-139},
}
,
@article{Sui Y.
  title = {Temperature and precipitation signals over China with a 2°C global warming},
  author = {
Sui Y.
and Lang X.
and Jiang D.
},
  journal = {Climate Research},
  volume = {64},
  pages = {227-242},
}
,
@article{Gong H.
  title = {Diverse Influences of ENSO on the East Asian%u2013Western Pacific Winter Climate Tied to Different ENSO Properties in CMIP5 Models},
  author = {
Gong H.
and Wang L.
and Chen W.
and Nath D.
and Huang G.
and Tao W.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00405.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {28},
  pages = {2187-2202},
}
,
@article{Qu X.
  title = { The strength of the tropical inversion and its response to climate change in 18 CMIP5 models},
  author = {
Qu X.
and Hall A.
and Klein S. A.
and Caldwell P. M.
},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {45},
  pages = {375-396},
}
,
@article{Wild M.
  title = {The energy balance over land and oceans: An assessment based on direct observations and CMIP5 climate models},
  author = {
Wild M.
and Folini D.
and Hakuba M.
and Schär C.
and Seneviratne S.
and Kato S.
and Rutan D.
and Ammann C.
and Wood E.
and König-Langlo G.
},
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-014-2430-z},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {44},
  pages = {3393-3429},
}
,
@article{Zappa G.
  title = {The dependence of wintertime Mediterranean precipitation on the atmospheric circulation response to climate change},
  author = {
Zappa G.
and Hoskins B. J.
and Shepherd T. G.
},
  journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
  volume = {10},
}
,
@article{Zhang R.
  title = {Mechanisms for low-frequency variability of summer Arctic sea ice extent},
  author = {
Zhang R.
},
  url = {http://www.pnas.org/content/112/15/4570},
  journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences},
  volume = {112},
  pages = {4570-4575},
}
,
@article{Lindvall J.
  title = {The diurnal temperature range in the CMIP5 models},
  author = {
Lindvall J.
and Svensson G.
},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {44},
  pages = {405-421},
}
,
@article{Dowdy A. J.
  title = {Rainfall in Australia%u2019s eastern seaboard: a review of confidence in projections based on observations and physical processes},
  author = {
Dowdy A. J.
and Grose M. R.
and Timbal B.
and Moise A.
and Ekström M.
and Bhend J.
and Wilson L.
},
  journal = {Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Journal},
  volume = {65},
  pages = {107-126},
}
,
@article{Muglia J.
  title = {Glacial Atlantic overturning increased by wind stress in climate models},
  author = {
Muglia J.
and Schmittner A.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL064583/abstract},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {42},
  pages = {9862-9868},
}
,
@article{DeAngelis A. M.
  title = {An observational radiative constraint on hydrologic cycle intensification},
  author = {
DeAngelis A. M.
and Qu X.
and Zelinka M. D.
and Hall A.
},
  url = {http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v528/n7581/full/nature15770.html},
  journal = {Nature},
  volume = {528},
  pages = {249-253},
}
,
@article{Fläschner D.
  title = {Understanding the inter-model spread in global-mean hydrological sensitivity},
  author = {
Fläschner D.
and Mauritsen T.
and Stevens B.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,
@article{Fläschner D.
  title = {Understanding the inter-model spread in global-mean hydrological sensitivity},
  author = {
Fläschner D.
and Mauritsen T.
and Stevens B.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,
@article{Melet A. V.
  title = {Explaining the Spread in Global Mean Thermosteric Sea Level Rise in CMIP5 Climate Models},
  author = {
Melet A. V.
and Meyssignac B.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,
@article{Melet A. V.
  title = {Explaining the Spread in Global Mean Thermosteric Sea Level Rise in CMIP5 Climate Models},
  author = {
Melet A. V.
and Meyssignac B.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,
@article{Melet A. V.
  title = {Explaining the Spread in Global Mean Thermosteric Sea Level Rise in CMIP5 Climate Models},
  author = {
Melet A. V.
and Meyssignac B.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,
@article{Ferraro A. J.
  title = {Physical Mechanisms of Tropical Climate Feedbacks Investigated using Temperature and Moisture Trends},
  author = {
Ferraro A. J.
and Lambert F. H.
and Collins M.
and Miles G. M.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,
@article{Boisier J.
  title = {Anthropogenic and natural contributions to the Southeast Pacific precipitation decline and recent megadrought in central Chile},
  author = {
Boisier J.
and Rondanelli R.
and Garreaud R.
and Muñoz F.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL067265/full},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
}
,
@article{Boisier J.
  title = {Projected strengthening of Amazonian dry season by constrained climate model simulations},
  author = {
Boisier J.
and Ciais P.
and Ducharne A.
and Guimberteau M.
},
  url = {http://http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/v5/n7/full/nclimate2658.html},
  journal = {Nature Climate Change},
  volume = {5},
  pages = {656-660},
}
,
@article{Fueglistaler S.
  title = {The distribution of precipitation and the spread in tropical upper tropospheric temperature trends in CMIP5/AMIP simulations},
  author = {
Fueglistaler S.
and Radley C.
and Held I. M.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL064966/full},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {42},
  pages = {6000-6007},
}
,
@article{Fueglistaler S.
  title = {The distribution of precipitation and the spread in tropical upper tropospheric temperature trends in CMIP5/AMIP simulations},
  author = {
Fueglistaler S.
and Radley C.
and Held I. M.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL064966/full},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {42},
  pages = {6000-6007},
}
,
@article{Strobach E.
  title = {Improvement of climate predictions and reduction of their uncertainties using learning algorithms },
  author = {
Strobach E.
and Bel G.
},
  url = {http://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/15/8631/2015/acp-15-8631-2015.html},
  journal = {Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics},
  volume = {15},
  pages = {8631-8641},
}
,
@article{Melia N.
  title = {Improved Arctic sea ice thickness projections using bias-corrected CMIP5 simulations },
  author = {
Melia N.
and Haines K.
and Hawkins E.
},
  url = {http://www.the-cryosphere.net/9/2237/2015/tc-9-2237-2015.html},
  journal = {The Cryosphere},
  volume = {9},
  pages = {2237-2251},
}
,
@article{Melia N.
  title = {Improved Arctic sea ice thickness projections using bias corrected CMIP5 simulations},
  author = {
Melia N.
and Haines K.
and Hawkins E.
},
  url = {http://www.the-cryosphere-discuss.net/9/3821/2015/},
  journal = {The Cryosphere Discussions},
  volume = {9},
  pages = {3821-3857},
}
,
@article{Hopcroft P. O.
  title = {How well do simulated last glacial maximum tropical temperatures constrain equilibrium climate sensitivity?},
  author = {
Hopcroft P. O.
and Valdes P. J.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL064903/abstract},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
}
,
@article{Magi B. I.
  title = {Global Lightning Paramterization from CMIP5 Climate Model Output},
  author = {
Magi B. I.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JTECH-D-13-00261.1},
  journal = {Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology},
}
,
@article{Swart N. C.
  title = {Influence of internal variability on Arctic sea-ice trends},
  author = {
Swart N. C.
and Fyfe J. C.
and Hawkins E.
and Kay J. E.
and Jahn A.
},
  url = {http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/v5/n2/full/nclimate2483.html},
  journal = {Nature Climate Change},
  volume = {5},
  pages = {86-89},
}
,
@article{Tian D.
  title = {Future Changes and Uncertainties in Temperature and Precipitation over China based on CMIP5 models},
  author = {
Tian D.
and Guo Y.
and Dong W.
},
  journal = {Advances in Atmospheric Sciences},
  volume = {32},
  pages = {487-496},
}
,
@article{Guo Y.
  title = {Two dominant modes of winter temperature variations over China and their relationships with large-scale circulations in CMIP5 models},
  author = {
Guo Y.
and Zhao Z.
and Dong W.
},
  journal = {Theoretical and Applied Climatology},
}
,
@article{Wang G.
  title = {Unambiguous warming in the western tropical Pacific primarily caused by anthropogenic forcing},
  author = {
Wang G.
and Power S. S.
and McGree S.
},
  journal = {International Journal of Climatology},
}
,
@article{Evan A. T.
  title = {Water Vapor%u2013Forced Greenhouse Warming over the Sahara Desert and the Recent Recovery from the Sahelian Drought},
  author = {
Evan A. T.
and Flamant C.
and Lavaysse C.
and Kocha C.
and Saci A.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {28},
}
,
@article{Salzmann M.
  title = {On the enhancement of the Indian summer monsoon drying by Pacific multidecadal variability during the latter half of the 20th century},
  author = {
Salzmann M.
and Cherian R.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JD023313/pdf},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
}
,
@article{Praveen V.
  title = {On the relationship between mean monsoon precipitation and low pressure systems in climate model simulations},
  author = {
Praveen V.
and Sandeep S.
and Ajayamohan R. S.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00415.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,
@article{Drijfhout S.
  title = {Catalogue of abrupt shifts in Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change climate models},
  author = {
Drijfhout S.
and Bathiany S.
and Beaulieu C.
and Brovkin V.
and Claussen M.
and Huntingford C.
and Scheffer M.
and Sgubin G.
and Swingedouw D.
},
  url = {http://www.pnas.org/content/early/2015/10/07/1511451112},
  journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences},
}
,
@article{Drijfhout S.
  title = {Catalogue of abrupt shifts in Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change climate models},
  author = {
Drijfhout S.
and Bathiany S.
and Beaulieu C.
and Brovkin V.
and Claussen M.
and Huntingford C.
and Scheffer M.
and Sgubin G.
and Swingedouw D.
},
  url = {http://www.pnas.org/content/early/2015/10/07/1511451112},
  journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences},
}
,
@article{Schwalm C. R.
  title = {Reduction in carbon uptake during turn of the century drought in western North America},
  author = {
Schwalm C. R.
and Williams C. A.
and Schaefer K.
and Baldocchi D.
and Black T.
and Goldstein A. H.
and Beverly L. E.
and Oechel W. C.
and Paw U K.
and Scott R. L.
},
  journal = {Nature Geoscience},
}
,
@article{Jiang J. H.
  title = {Evaluating the diurnal cycle of upper tropospheric ice clouds in climate models using SMILES observations},
  author = {
Jiang J. H.
and Su H.
and Zhai C.
and Shen J.
and Wu T.
and Cole J.
and Salzen K.
and Donner L.
and Del Genio A.
and Nazarenko L.
and Dufresne J.
and Watanabe M.
and Morcrette C.
and Koshiro T.
and Kawai H.
and Gettelman A.
and Millán L.
and Read W.
and Livesey N.
and Kasai Y.
and Shiotani M.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JAS-D-14-0124.1},
  journal = {Journal of Atmopspheric Sciences},
  volume = {72},
}
,
@article{Tian B.
  title = {Spread of model climate sensitivity linked to double-intertropical convergence zone bias},
  author = {
Tian B.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL064119/abstract},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {42},
  pages = {4133-4141},
}
,
@article{Schnorbus M. A.
  title = {Statistical emulation of streamflow projections from a distributed hydrological model: Application to CMIP3 and CMIP5 climate projections for British Columbia, Canada},
  author = {
Schnorbus M. A.
and Cannon A. J.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014WR015279/abstract},
  journal = {Water Resources Research},
  volume = {50},
  pages = {8907-8926},
}
,
@article{Cannon A. J.
  title = {Selecting GCM Scenarios that Span the Range of Changes in a Multimodel Ensemble: Application to CMIP5 Climate Extremes Indices},
  author = {
Cannon A. J.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00636.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {28},
  pages = {1260-1267},
}
,
@article{Sierra J. P.
  title = {Precipitation over Northern South America and Its Seasonal Variability as Simulated by the CMIP5 Models},
  author = {
Sierra J. P.
and Arias P. A.
and Vieira S. C.
},
  url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2015/634720},
  journal = {Advances in Meteorology},
  volume = {2015},
}
,
@article{Lute A. C.
  title = {Projected changes in snowfall extremes and interannual variability of snowfall in the western United States},
  author = {
Lute A. C.
and Abatzoglou J. T.
and Hegewisch K. C.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014WR016267/epdf},
  journal = {Water Resources Research},
  volume = {51},
  pages = {960-972},
}
,
@article{Niznik M. J.
  title = {The Role of Tropical-Extratropical Interaction and Synoptic Variability in Maintaining the South Pacific Convergence Zone in CMIP5 Models},
  author = {
Niznik M. J.
and Lintner B. R.
and Matthews A. J.
and Widlansky M. J.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {28},
  pages = {3353-3374},
}
,
@article{Steinman B. A.
  title = {Atlantic and Pacific multidecadal oscillations and Northern Hemisphere temperatures},
  author = {
Steinman B. A.
and Mann M. E.
and Miller S. K.
},
  journal = {Science},
  volume = {347},
  pages = {988-991},
}
,
@article{Fountalis I.
  title = {ENSO in CMIP5 simulations: network connectivity from the recent past to the twenty%u2011third century},
  author = {
Fountalis I.
and Bracco A.
and Dovrolis C.
},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {45},
  pages = {511-538},
}
,
@article{Wang X. L.
  title = {Climate change signal and uncertainty in CMIP5-based projections of global ocean surface wave heights},
  author = {
Wang X. L.
and Feng Y.
and Swail V. R.
},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research},
  volume = {120},
  pages = {3859-3871},
}
,
@article{Grenier P.
  title = {Chances of Short-Term Cooling Estimated from a Selection of CMIP5-Based Climate Scenarios during 2006%u201335 over Canada},
  author = {
Grenier P.
and de Elía R.
and Chaumont D.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00224.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {20},
  pages = {3232-3249},
}
,
@article{Villamayor J.
  title = {Robust Sahel drought due to the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation in CMIP5 simulations},
  author = {
Villamayor J.
and Mohino E.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014GL062473/full},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {42},
  pages = {1214-1222},
}
,
@article{Srivastava A. K.
  title = {Robust Forced Response in South Asian Summer Monsoon in a Future Climate},
  author = {
Srivastava A. K.
and DelSole T.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00599.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
  pages = {7849-7860},
}
,
@article{Iles C. E.
  title = {Systematic change in global patterns of streamflow following volcanic eruptions},
  author = {
Iles C. E.
and Hegerl G. C.
},
  journal = {Nature Geoscience},
}
,
@article{Gerber E. P.
  title = {Quantifying the Summertime Response of the Austral Jet Stream and Hadley Cell to Stratospheric Ozone and Greenhouse Gases},
  author = {
Gerber E. P.
and Son S. W.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00539.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
  pages = {5538-5559},
}
,
@article{Goll D. S.
  title = {Climate-driven changes in chemical weathering and associated phosphorus release since 1850: Implications for the land carbon balance},
  author = {
Goll D. S.
and Moosdorf N.
and Hartmann J.
and Brovkin V.
},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {41},
}
,
@article{van Oldenborgh G.
  title = {Cold extremes in North America vs. mild weather in Europe: the winter 2013/2014 in the context of a warming world},
  author = {
van Oldenborgh G.
and Haarsma R. J.
and De Vries H.
and Allen M. R.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/BAMS-D-14-00036.1},
  journal = {Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society},
}
,
@article{Palazzi E.
  title = {Precipitation in the Karakoram-Himalaya: a CMIP5 view},
  author = {
Palazzi E.
and von Hardenberg J.
and Terzago S.
and Provenzale A.
},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {45},
  pages = {21-45},
}
,
@article{Cowan T.
  title = {The Response of the Indian Ocean Dipole Asymmetry to Anthropogenic Aerosols and Greenhouse Gases},
  author = {
Cowan T.
and Cai W.
and Ng B.
and England M.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {28},
  pages = {2564-2583},
}
,
@article{Fountoulakis I.
  title = {Projected changes in erythemal and vitamin D effective irradiance over northern-hemisphere high latitudes},
  author = {
Fountoulakis I.
and Bais A. F.
},
  url = {http://http://pubs.rsc.org/en/content/articlelanding/2015/pp/c5pp00093a/unauth#!divAbstract},
  journal = {Other},
}
,
@article{Yi S.
  title = { Impacts of External Forcing on the Decadal Climate Variability in CMIP5 Simulations},
  author = {
Yi S.
and Yongqiang Y.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,
@article{Bolin D.
  title = {Statistical prediction of global sea level from global temperature},
  author = {
Bolin D.
and Guttorp P.
and Januzzi A.
and Jones D.
and Nowak M.
and Podschwit H.
and Richardson L.
and Särkkä A.
and Sowder C.
and Zimmerman A.
},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {25},
  pages = {351-357},
}
,
@article{Plotka H.
  title = {Physics of changes in synoptic midlatitude temperature variability},
  author = {
Plotka H.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00632.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {28},
  pages = {2312-2331},
}
,
@article{Haughton N.
  title = {Weighting climate model ensembles for mean and variance estimates},
  author = {
Haughton N.
and Abramowitz G.
and Pitman A. J.
and Phipps S. J.
},
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-015-2531-3},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,
@article{Abramowitz G.
  title = {Climate Model Dependence and the Ensemble Dependence Transformation of CMIP Projections},
  author = {
Abramowitz G.
and Bishop C. H.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00364.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {28},
  pages = {2332-2348},
}
,
@article{Agosta C.
  title = {Evaluation of the CMIP5 models in the aim of regional modelling of the Antarctic surface mass balance},
  author = {
Agosta C.
and Fettweis X.
and Datta R.
},
  url = {http://www.the-cryosphere-discuss.net/9/3113/2015/},
  journal = {The Cryosphere Discussions},
  volume = {9},
  pages = {3113-3136},
}
,
@article{Reyers M.
  title = {Future changes of wind energy potentials over Europe in a large CMIP5 multi-model ensemble},
  author = {
Reyers M.
and Moemken J.
and Pinto J. G.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/joc.4382/abstract},
  journal = {International Journal of Climatology},
}
,
@article{C B J.
  title = {Robust signals of future projections of Indian summer monsoon rainfall by IPCC AR5 climate models: Role of seasonal cycle and interannual variability},
  author = {
C B J.
and Surendran S.
and Rajendran K.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL063659/full},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {42},
  pages = {3513-3520},
}
,
@article{Zappa G.
  title = {Improving climate change detection through optimal seasonal averaging: the case of the North Atlantic jet and European precipitation},
  author = {
Zappa G.
and Hoskins B. J.
and Shepherd T. G.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,
@article{Kamae Y.
  title = {Robust cloud feedback over tropical land in a warming climate},
  author = {
Kamae Y.
and Ogura T.
and Watanabe M.
and Xie S.
and Ueda H.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JD024525/abstract},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
}
,
@article{Kamae Y.
  title = {Robust cloud feedback over tropical land in a warming climate},
  author = {
Kamae Y.
and Ogura T.
and Watanabe M.
and Xie S.
and Ueda H.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JD024525/abstract},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
}
,
@article{Heuz C.
  title = {Changes in global ocean bottom properties and volume transports in CMIP5 models under climate change scenarios},
  author = {
Heuz C.
and Heywood K. J.
and Stevens D. P.
and Ridley J. K.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/full/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00381.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {28},
  pages = {2917-2944},
}
,
@article{Kamae Y.
  title = {Recent slowdown of tropical upper tropospheric warming associated with Pacific climate variability},
  author = {
Kamae Y.
and Shiogama H.
and Watanabe M.
and Ishii M.
and Ueda H.
and Kimoto M.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/wol1/doi/10.1002/2015GL063608/abstract},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {42},
  pages = {2995-3003},
}
,
@article{Chavaillaz Y.
  title = {Investigating the pace of temperature change and its implications over the twenty-first century},
  author = {
Chavaillaz Y.
and Joussaume S.
and Dehecq A.
and Braconnot P.
and Vautard R.
},
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10584-016-1659-4},
  journal = {Climatic Change},
  pages = {1-14},
}
,
@article{Chavaillaz Y.
  title = {Spatial stabilization and intensification of moistening and drying rate patterns under future climate change},
  author = {
Chavaillaz Y.
and Joussaume S.
and Bony S.
and Braconnot P.
},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  pages = {1-15},
}
,
@article{King A. D.
  title = {Attribution of the record high Central England temperature of 2014 to anthropogenic influences},
  author = {
King A. D.
and van Oldenborgh G. J.
and Karoly D. J.
and Lewis S. C.
and Cullen H. M.
},
  url = {http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/10/5/054002},
  journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
  volume = {10},
}
,
@article{Donohoe
  title = {Shortwave and longwave radiative contributions to global warming under increasing CO 2},
  author = {
Donohoe, Aaron
and Armour, Kyle C.
and Pendergrass, Angeline G.
and Battisti, David S.
},
  url = {http://www.pnas.org/content/111/47/16700},
  journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences},
  volume = {111},
  pages = {16700-16705},
}
,
@article{Pendergrass
  title = {Two Modes of Change of the Distribution of Rain},
  author = {
Pendergrass, Angeline G.
and Hartmann, Dennis L.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00182.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
  pages = {8357-8371},
}
,
@article{Luomaranta
  title = {Multimodel estimates of the changes in the Baltic Sea ice cover during the present century},
  author = {
Luomaranta, Anna
and Ruosteenoja, Kimmo
and Jylhä, Kirsti
and Gregow, Hilppa
and Haapala, Jari
and Laaksonen, Ari
},
  url = {http://www.tellusa.net/index.php/tellusa/article/view/22617},
  journal = {Tellus},
  volume = {66},
}
,
@article{Santer
  title = {Volcanic contribution to decadal changes in tropospheric temperature},
  author = {
Santer, Benjamin D.
and Bonfils, Céline
and Painter, Jeffrey F.
and Zelinka, Mark D.
and Mears, Carl
and Solomon, Susan
and Schmidt, Gavin A.
and Fyfe, John C.
and Cole, Jason N. S.
and Nazarenko, Larissa
and Taylor, Karl E.
and Wentz, Frank J.
},
  url = {http://www.nature.com/ngeo/journal/v7/n3/full/ngeo2098.html},
  journal = {Nature Geoscience},
  volume = {7},
  pages = {185-189},
}
,
@article{Sandeep S.
  title = {Pacific Walker Circulation variability in coupled and uncoupled climate models},
  author = {
Sandeep S.
and Stordal F.
and Sardeshmukh P.
and Compo G.
},
  url = {http://http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-014-2135-3},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {43},
  pages = {103-117},
}
,
@article{Cattiaux J.
  title = {Projected increase in diurnal and inter-diurnal variations of European summer temperatures},
  author = {
Cattiaux J.
and Douville H.
and Schoetter R.
and Parey S.
and Yiou P.
},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
}
,
@article{Zappa G.
  title = {Linking Northern Hemisphere blocking and storm track biases in the CMIP5 climate models},
  author = {
Zappa G.
and Masato G.
and Shaffrey L.
and Woollings T.
and Hodges K.
},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
}
,
@article{Ceppi P.
  title = {The response of the Southern Hemispheric eddy-driven jet to future changes in shortwave radiation in CMIP5},
  author = {
Ceppi P.
and Zelinka M. D.
and Hartmann D. L.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014GL060043/abstract},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {41},
  pages = {3244-3250},
}
,
@article{Ma Q.
  title = {Evaluations of Atmospheric Downward Longwave Radiation from 44 Coupled General Circulation Models of CMIP5},
  author = {
Ma Q.
and Wang K.
and Wild M.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013JD021427/abstract},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {119},
  pages = {4486-4497},
}
,
@article{Wang K.
  title = {Measurement Biases Explain Discrepancies between the Observed and Simulated Decadal Variability of Surface Incident Solar Radiation},
  author = {
Wang K.
},
  url = {http://www.nature.com/srep/2014/140821/srep06144/full/srep06144.html},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {4},
}
,
@article{Chadwick R. S.
  title = {Surface warming patterns drive tropical rainfall pattern responses to CO2 forcing on all timescales},
  author = {
Chadwick R. S.
and Good P.
and Andrews T.
and Martin G.
},
  url = {http://http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013GL058504/abstract},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {41},
}
,
@article{Bathols J.
  title = {What influences the skill of climate models over the continents?},
  author = {
Bathols J.
and Heady C.
and Watterson I. G.
},
  journal = {Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society},
  volume = {95},
  pages = {689-700},
}
,
@article{Taschetto A. S.
  title = {Cold tongue and warm pool ENSO events in CMIP5: mean state and future projections},
  author = {
Taschetto A. S.
and Sen Gupta A.
and Jourdain N. C.
and Santoso A.
and Ummenhofer C. C.
and England M. H.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
  pages = {2861-2885},
}
,
@article{Chang E. K.
  title = {Impacts of background field removal on CMIP5 projected changes in Pacific winter cyclone activity},
  author = {
Chang E. K.
},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {119},
  pages = {4626-4639},
}
,
@article{Douville H.
  title = {The recent global warming hiatus: What is the role of Pacific variability? },
  author = {
Douville H.
and Voldoire A.
and Geoffroy O.
},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {42},
}
,
@article{Sperber K. R.
  title = {The Use of Fractional Accumulated Precipitation for the Evaluation of the Annual Cycle of Monsoons},
  author = {
Sperber K. R.
and Annamalai H.
},
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-014-2099-3},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,
@article{Kamae Y.
  title = {Summertime land-sea thermal contrast and atmospheric circulation over East Asia in a warming climate. Part I: Past changes and future projections},
  author = {
Kamae Y.
and Watanabe M.
and Kimoto M.
and Shiogama H.
},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {43},
  pages = {2553-2568},
}
,
@article{Kamae Y.
  title = {Attributing the increase in Northern Hemisphere hot summers since the late 20th century},
  author = {
Kamae Y.
and Shiogama H.
and Watanabe M.
and Kimoto M.
},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {41},
  pages = {5192-5199},
}
,
@article{MacMartin D. G.
  title = {Using transfer functions to quantify ENSO dynamics in data and models},
  author = {
MacMartin D. G.
and Tziperman E.
},
  journal = {Other},
}
,
@article{Wjcik R.
  title = {Reliability of the CMIP5 GCM simulations in reproducing atmospheric circulation over Europe and the North Atlantic: a statistical downscaling perspective},
  author = {
Wjcik R.
},
  journal = {International Journal of Climatology},
}
,
@article{Gong H.
  title = {The climatology and interannual variability of the East Asian winter monsoon in CMIP5 models},
  author = {
Gong H.
and Wang L.
and Chen W.
and Wu R.
and Wei K.
and Cui X.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00039.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
  pages = {1659-1678},
}
,
@article{Krasting J. P.
  title = {Future changes in northern hemisphere snowfall},
  author = {
Krasting J. P.
and Broccoli A. J.
and Dixon K. W.
and Lanzante J. R.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00832.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {26},
  pages = {7813-7828},
}
,
@article{Chen L.
  title = {Surface Air Temperature Changes over the Twentieth and Twenty-First Centuries in China Simulated by 20 CMIP5 Models},
  author = {
Chen L.
and Frauenfeld O. W.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00465.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
  pages = {3920-3937},
}
,
@article{Chen L.
  title = {A comprehensive evaluation of precipitation simulations over China based on CMIP5 multimodel ensemble projections},
  author = {
Chen L.
and Frauenfeld O. W.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013JD021190/abstract},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {119},
}
,
@article{Sherwood S. C.
  title = {Spread in model climate sensitivity traced to atmospheric convective mixing},
  author = {
Sherwood S. C.
and Bony S.
and Dufresne J.
},
  journal = {Nature},
  volume = {505},
  pages = {37-42},
}
,
@article{Zou Y.
  title = {CMIP5 model simulations of the impacts of the two types of El Niño on the U.S. winter temperature},
  author = {
Zou Y.
and Yu J.
and Lee T.
and Lu M.
and Kim S.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013JD021064/abstract},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {119},
  pages = {3076-3092},
}
,
@article{Poulter B.
  title = {Contribution of semi-arid ecosystems to interannual variability of the global carbon cycle},
  author = {
Poulter B.
and Frank D.
and Ciais P.
and Myneni R. B.
and Andela N.
and Bi J.
and Broquet G.
and Canadell J. G.
and Chevallier F.
and Liu Y. Y.
and Running S. W.
and SItch S.
and van der Werf G. R.
},
  url = {http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v509/n7502/full/nature13376.html},
  journal = {Nature},
  volume = {509},
  pages = {600-603},
}
,
@article{Kim S.
  title = {ENSO Stability in Coupled Climate Models and its Association with Mean State},
  author = {
Kim S.
and Cai W.
and Jin F.
and Yu J.
},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {42},
  pages = {3313-3321},
}
,
@article{Lima N. E.
  title = {Phylogeography and ecological niche modelling, coupled with the fossil pollen record, unravel the demographic history of a Neotropical swamp palm through the Quaternary},
  author = {
Lima N. E.
and Lima-Ribeiro M. S.
and Tinoco C. F.
and Terribile L. C.
and Collevatti R. G.
},
  journal = {Journal of Biogeography},
  volume = {41},
  pages = {673-686},
}
,
@article{Skinner C. B.
  title = {Projected changes in African easterly wave intensity and track in response to greenhouse forcing},
  author = {
Skinner C. B.
and Diffenbaugh N. S.
},
  url = {http://www.pnas.org/content/early/2014/04/23/1319597111.abstract},
  journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences},
}
,
@article{King A. D.
  title = {The ENSO-Australian rainfall teleconnection in reanalysis and CMIP5},
  author = {
King A. D.
and Donat M. G.
and Alexander L. V.
and Karoly D. J.
},
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-014-2159-8},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,
@article{Haughton N.
  title = {On the generation of climate model ensembles},
  author = {
Haughton N.
and Abramowitz G.
and Pitman A.
and Phipps S. J.
},
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-014-2054-3},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,
@article{Gao Y.
  title = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  author = {
Gao Y.
and Leung L.
and Lu J.
and Liu Y.
and Huang M.
and Qian Y.
},
  url = {http://http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014GL059562/abstract},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {41},
  pages = {1745-1751},
}
,
@article{Li Y.
  title = {Interdecadal Connection Between Arctic Temperature and Summer Precipitation Over the Yangtze River Valley in the CMIP5 Historical Simulations},
  author = {
Li Y.
and Leung L.
and Xiao X.
and Wei M.
and Li Q.
},
  url = {http://http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00776.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {26},
  pages = {7464-7488},
}
,
@article{Cai W.
  title = {Did Climate Change%u2013Induced Rainfall Trends Contribute to the Australian Millennium Drought?},
  author = {
Cai W.
and Purich A.
and Cowan T.
and van Rensch P.
and Weller E.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
  pages = {3145-3168},
}
,
@article{Xu K.
  title = {The natural oscillation of two types of ENSO events based on analyses of CMIP5 model control runs},
  author = {
Xu K.
and Su J.
and Zhu C.
},
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00376-013-3153-5},
  journal = {Advances in Atmospheric Sciences},
  volume = {31},
  pages = {801-813},
}
,
@article{Ramesh K. V.
  title = {Assessing reliability of regional climate projections: the case of Indian monsoon},
  author = {
Ramesh K. V.
},
  url = {http://www.nature.com/srep/2014/140212/srep04071/full/srep04071.html},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {4},
  pages = {1-9},
}
,
@article{Dongliang Y.
  title = {Climate variability and predictability associated with the Indo-Pacific Oceanic Channel Dynamics in the CCSM4 Coupled System Model},
  author = {
Dongliang Y.
and Peng X.
and Tengfei X.
},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,
@article{Lutz A. F.
  title = {Consistent increase in High Asia%u2019s runoff due to increasing glacier melt and precipitation},
  author = {
Lutz A. F.
and Immerzeel W. W.
and Shrestha A. B.
and Bierkens M. F.
},
  url = {http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/v4/n7/full/nclimate2237.html},
  journal = {Nature Climate Change},
  volume = {4},
  pages = {587-592},
}
,
@article{Zomer R. J.
  title = {Environmental stratification to model climate change impacts on biodiversity and rubber production in Xishuangbanna, Yunnan, China.},
  author = {
Zomer R. J.
and Trabucco A.
and Wang M.
and Lang R.
and Chen H.
and Metzger M. J.
and Smajgl A.
and Beckschäfer P.
and Xu J.
},
  url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.biocon.2013.11.028},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {170},
  pages = {264-273},
}
,
@article{Feng X.
  title = {Changes in significant and maximum wave heights in the Norwegian Sea},
  author = {
Feng X.
and Tsimplis M. N.
and Yelland M. J.
and Quartly G. D.
},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {113},
  pages = {58-76},
}
,
@article{Roberts C. D.
  title = {Is the 2004-2012 reduction of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation significant?},
  author = {
Roberts C. D.
and Jackson L. J.
and McNeall D.
},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {41},
  pages = {3204-3210},
}
,
@article{Mitchell D. M.
  title = {Solar Signals in CMIP-5 Simulations: The Stratospheric Pathway},
  author = {
Mitchell D. M.
and Misios S.
and Gray L.
and Tourpali K.
and Matthes K.
and Hood L.
and Schmidt H.
and Chiodo G.
and Thieblemont R.
and Rozanov E.
and Shindell D.
and Krivolutsky A.
},
  journal = {Quarterly Journal Royal Meteorological Society},
}
,
@article{Laeppe T.
  title = {Global and regional variability in marine surface temperatures},
  author = {
Laeppe T.
},
  url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2014GL059345},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
}
,
@article{Klein F.
  title = {Model%u2013data comparison and data assimilation of mid-Holocene Arctic sea ice concentration},
  author = {
Klein F.
and Goosse H.
and Mairesse A.
and de Vernal A.
},
  url = {http://www.clim-past.net/10/1145/2014/},
  journal = {Climate of the Past},
  volume = {10},
  pages = {1145-1163},
}
,
@article{Exbrayat J.
  title = {Response of microbial decomposition to spin-up explains CMIP5 soil carbon range until 2100},
  author = {
Exbrayat J.
and Pitman A.
and Abaramowitz G.
},
  url = {http://www.geosci-model-dev-discuss.net/7/3481/2014/gmdd-7-3481-2014.html},
  journal = {Geoscientific Model Development Discussions},
  volume = {7},
  pages = {3481-3504},
}
,
@article{Exbrayat J. -.
  title = {Response of microbial decomposition to spin-up explains CMIP5 soil carbon range until 2100},
  author = {
Exbrayat J. -.
and Pitman A. J.
and Abramowitz G.
},
  url = {http://www.geosci-model-dev.net/7/2683/2014/gmd-7-2683-2014.htmlhttp://},
  journal = {Geoscientific Model Development},
  volume = {7},
  pages = {2683-2692},
}
,
@article{Exbrayat J. F.
  title = {Disentangling residence time and temperature sensitivity of microbial decomposition in a global soil carbon model},
  author = {
Exbrayat J. F.
and Pitman A. J.
and Abramowitz G.
},
  url = {http://www.biogeosciences.net/11/6999/2014/},
  journal = {Biogeosciences},
  volume = {11},
  pages = {6999-7008},
}
,
@article{Linz M.
  title = {Process-based analysis of climate model ENSO simulations: Intermodel consistency and compensating errors},
  author = {
Linz M.
and Tziperman E.
and MacMartin D. G.
},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
}
,
@article{Grise K. M.
  title = {Is climate sensitivity related to dynamical sensitivity? A Southern Hemisphere perspective},
  author = {
Grise K. M.
and Polvani L. M.
},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {41},
  pages = {534-540},
}
,
@article{Hartmann D. L.
  title = {Trends in the CERES data set 2000-2013: The effects of ice melt and jet shifts and comparison to climate models},
  author = {
Hartmann D. L.
and Ceppi P.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00411.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
  pages = {2444-2456},
}
,
@article{Sigmond M.
  title = {The Antarctic sea ice response to the ozone hole in climate models},
  author = {
Sigmond M.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00590.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
  pages = {1336-1342},
}
,
@article{Zhang M.
  title = {Radiative forcing of quadrupling CO2},
  author = {
Zhang M.
and Huang Y.
},
  url = {https://www.dropbox.com/s/77j802xzohv5o3x/2014JCLI1300535_ZhangHuang.pdf},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
  pages = {2496-2508},
}
,
@article{Meehl G. A.
  title = {Decadal Climate Prediction: An Update from the Trenches},
  author = {
Meehl G. A.
and co-authors a.
},
  journal = {Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society},
  volume = {95},
  pages = {243-267},
}
,
@article{England M. H.
  title = {Recent intensification of wind-driven circulation in the Pacific and the ongoing warming hiatus},
  author = {
England M. H.
and co-authors a.
},
  journal = {Nature Climate Change},
  volume = {4},
  pages = {222-227},
}
,
@article{Wuebbles D.
  title = {CMIP5 climate model analyses: Climate extremes in the United States},
  author = {
Wuebbles D.
and co-authors a.
},
  journal = {Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society},
  volume = {95},
  pages = {571-583},
}
,
@article{Meehl G. A.
  title = {CMIP5 multi-model initialized decadal hindcasts for the mid-1970s shift and early-2000s hiatus and predictions for 2016-2035},
  author = {
Meehl G. A.
and Teng H.
},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
}
,
@article{Li G.
  title = {Tropical Biases in CMIP5 Multimodel Ensemble: The Excessive Equatorial Pacific Cold Tongue and Double ITCZ Problems},
  author = {
Li G.
and Xie S.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
  pages = {1765-1780},
}
,
@article{Richter I.
  title = {Equatorial Atlantic variability and its relation to mean state biases in CMIP5},
  author = {
Richter I.
and Xie S.
and Behera S. K.
and Doi T.
and Masumoto Y.
},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {42},
  pages = {171-188},
}
,
@article{Elguindi N.
  title = {Assessment of CMIP5 global model simulations and climate change projections for the 21 st century using a modified Thornthwaite climate classification},
  author = {
Elguindi N.
and Grundstein A.
and Bernardes S.
and Turuncoglu U.
and Feddema J.
},
  journal = {Climatic Change},
  volume = {122},
  pages = {523-538},
}
,
@article{de Lavergne C.
  title = {Cessation of deep convection in the open Southern Ocean under anthropogenic climate change},
  author = {
de Lavergne C.
and Palter J. B.
and Galbraith E. D.
and Bernardello R.
and Marinov I.
},
  url = {http://http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/v4/n4/full/nclimate2132.html},
  journal = {Nature Climate Change},
  volume = {4},
  pages = {278-282},
}
,
@article{Kay J. E.
  title = {Processes controlling Southern Ocean shortwave climate feedbacks in CESM},
  author = {
Kay J. E.
and Medeiros B.
and Hwang Y.
and Gettelman A.
and Perket J.
and Flanner M.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013GL058315/full},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {41},
}
,
@article{Burls N. J.
  title = {What controls the mean east-west sea surface temperature gradient in the equatorial Pacific: the role of cloud albedo},
  author = {
Burls N. J.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
  pages = { 2757-2778},
}
,
@article{Tripati A. K.
  title = {Modern and glacial tropical snowlines controlled by sea surface temperature and atmospheric mixing},
  author = {
Tripati A. K.
and Sahany S.
and Pittman D.
and Eagle R. A.
and J. David N.
and Mitchell J. L.
and Beaufort L.
},
  url = {http://http://www.nature.com/ngeo/journal/v7/n3/full/ngeo2082.html},
  journal = {Nature Geoscience},
  volume = {7},
  pages = {205-209},
}
,
@article{Stroeve J. C.
  title = {Using Combined Records of IceBridge and Satellite-Derived Thickness and Extent to Constrain Future Projections of Arctic Sea Ice},
  author = {
Stroeve J. C.
and Barrett A.
and Schweiger A.
and Serreze M.
},
  url = {http://www.the-cryosphere-discuss.net/8/2179/2014/tcd-8-2179-2014-discussion.html},
  journal = {The Cryosphere Discussions},
}
,
@article{Izumi K.
  title = {Energy-balance mechanisms underlying consistent large-scale temperature responses in warm and cold climates },
  author = {
Izumi K.
and Bartlein P. J.
and Harrison S. P.
},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,
@article{Petkova E. P.
  title = {Projected Heat-Related Mortality in the U.S. Urban Northeast},
  author = {
Petkova E. P.
and Horton R. M.
and Bader D. A.
},
  url = {http://www.mdpi.com/1660-4601/10/12/6734},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {10},
  pages = {6734-6747},
}
,
@article{Thorpe L.
  title = {The physical drivers of historical and 21st century global precipitation changes},
  author = {
Thorpe L.
and Andrews T.
},
  url = {http://stacks.iop.org/1748-9326/9/064024},
  journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
  volume = {9},
}
,
@article{Bodas-Salcedo A.
  title = {Origins of the solar radiation biases over the Southern Ocean in CFMIP2 models},
  author = {
Bodas-Salcedo A.
and Williams K. D.
and Ringer M. A.
and Beau I.
and Cole J. N.
and Dufresne J. L.
and Koshiro T.
and Stevens B.
and Wang Z.
and Yokohata T.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
  pages = {41-56},
}
,
@article{Dolinar E. K.
  title = {Evaluation of CMIP5 Simulated Clouds and TOA Radiation Budgets Using NASA Satellite Observations},
  author = {
Dolinar E. K.
and Dong X.
and Xi B.
and Jiang J. H.
and Su H.
},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,
@article{Baker N. C.
  title = {A Comparative Study of Precipitation and Evaporation between CMIP3 and CMIP5 Climate Model Ensembles in Semiarid Regions},
  author = {
Baker N. C.
and Huang H.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/pdf/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00398.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
  pages = {3731-3749},
}
,
@article{Xia L.
  title = {Solar Radiation Management impacts on agriculture in China: A case study in the Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project (GeoMIP)},
  author = {
Xia L.
and Robock A.
and Cole J. N.
and Curry C. L.
and Ji D.
and Jones A.
and Kravitz B.
and Moore J. C.
and Muri H.
and Niemeier U.
and Singh B.
and Tilmes S.
and Watanabe S.
and Yoon J.
},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
}
,
@article{Irvine P. J.
  title = {Key factors governing uncertainty in the response to sunshade geoengineering from a comparison of the GeoMIP ensemble and a perturbed parameter ensemble},
  author = {
Irvine P. J.
and Boucher O.
and Kravitz B.
and Alterskjær K.
and Cole J. N.
and Ji D.
and Jones A.
and Lunt D. J.
and Moore J. C.
and Muri H.
and Niemeier U.
and Robock A.
and Singh B.
and Tilmes S.
and Watanabe S.
and Yoon J.
},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
}
,
@article{Huneeus N.
  title = {Forcings and feedbacks in the GeoMIP ensemble for a reduction in solar irradiance and increase in CO2},
  author = {
Huneeus N.
and Boucher O.
and Alterskjær K.
and Cole J. N.
and Curry C. L.
and Ji D.
and Jones A.
and Kravitz B.
and Kristjánsson J.
and Moore J. C.
and Muri H.
and Niemeier U.
and Rasch P. J.
and Robock A.
and Singh B.
and Schmidt H.
and SChulz M.
and Tilmes S.
and Watanabe S.
and Yoon J.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013JD021110/full},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {119},
  pages = {5226-5239},
}
,
@article{Curry C. L.
  title = {A multi-model examination of climate extremes in an idealized geoengineering experiment},
  author = {
Curry C. L.
and Sillmann J.
and Bronaugh D.
and Alterskjær K.
and Cole J. N.
and Ji D.
and Kravitz B.
and Kristjánsson J.
and Moore J. C.
and Muri H.
and Niemeier U.
and Robock A.
and Tilmes S.
and Yang S.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013JD020648/full},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {119},
  pages = {3900-3923},
}
,
@article{Pitari G.
  title = {Stratospheric ozone response to sulfate geoengineering: Results from the Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project (GeoMIP)},
  author = {
Pitari G.
and Aquila V.
and Kravitz B.
and Robock A.
and Watanabe S.
and Cionni I.
and De Luca N.
and Di Genova G.
and Mancini E.
and Tilmes S.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013JD020566/abstract},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {119},
  pages = {2629-2653},
}
,
@article{Moore J. C.
  title = {Arctic sea ice and atmospheric circulation under the GeoMIP G1 scenario},
  author = {
Moore J. C.
and Rinke A.
and Yu X.
and Ji D.
and Cui X.
and Li Y.
and Alterskjær K.
and Kristjánsson J.
and Muri H.
and Boucher O.
and Huneeus N.
and Kravitz B.
and Robock A.
and Niemeier U.
and SChulz M.
and Tilmes S.
and Watanabe S.
and Yang S.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013JD021060/abstract},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {119},
  pages = {567-583},
}
,
@article{Kravitz B.
  title = {A multi-model assessment of regional climate disparities caused by solar geoengineering},
  author = {
Kravitz B.
and MacMartin D. G.
and Robock A.
and Rasch P. J.
and Ricke K. L.
and Cole J. N.
and Curry C. L.
and Irvine P. J.
and Ji D.
and Keith D. W.
and Kristjánsson J.
and Moore J. C.
and Muri H.
and Singh B.
and Tilmes S.
and Watanabe S.
and Yang S.
and Yoon J.
},
  url = {http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/9/7/074013/},
  journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
  volume = {9},
}
,
@article{Kostov Y.
  title = {Impact of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation on ocean heat storage and transient climate change},
  author = {
Kostov Y.
and Armour K. C.
and Marshall J.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013GL058998/abstract},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {41},
  pages = {2108-2116},
}
,
@article{Tan M.
  title = {Impacts and uncertainties of climate change on streamflow of the Johor River Basin, Malaysia using a CMIP5 General Circulation Model ensemble},
  author = {
Tan M.
and Ficklin D.
and Ibrahim A.
and Yusop Z.
},
  url = {http://www.iwaponline.com/jwc/up/jwc2014020.htm},
  journal = {Other},
}
,
@article{Medeiros B.
  title = {Using aquaplanets to understand the robust responses of comprehensive climate models to forcing},
  author = {
Medeiros B.
and Stevens B.
and Bony S.
},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,
@article{Pithan F.
  title = {Arctic amplification dominated by temperature feedbacks in contemporary climate models},
  author = {
Pithan F.
and Mauritsen T.
},
  journal = {Nature Geoscience},
}
,
@article{Maloney E. D.
  title = {North American climate in CMIP5 experiments: Part III: Assessment of 21st century projections. },
  author = {
Maloney E. D.
and Camargo S. J.
and Chang E.
and Colle B.
and Fu R.
and Geil K.
and Hu Q.
and Jiang X.
and Johnson N.
and Karnauskas K. B.
and Kinter J.
and Kirtman B.
and Kumar S.
and Langenbrunner B.
and Lombardo K.
and Long L.
and Mariotti A.
and Meyerson J.
and Mo K.
and Neelin J. D.
and Pan Z.
and Seager R.
and Serra Y.
and Seth A.
and Sheffield J.
and Stroeve J.
and Thibeault J.
and Xie S.
and Wang C.
and Wyman B.
and Zhao M.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
  pages = {2230-2270},
}
,
@article{Marcos M.
  title = {Quantifying anthropogenic and natural contributions to thermosteric sea level rise},
  author = {
Marcos M.
and Amores A.
},
  url = {http://http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014GL059766/abstract},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {41},
  pages = {2502-2507},
}
,
@article{Wang X. L.
  title = {Changes in global ocean wave heights as projected using multimodel CMIP5 simulations},
  author = {
Wang X. L.
and Feng Y.
and Swail V. R.
},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {41},
  pages = {1026-1034},
}
,
@article{Martin E. R.
  title = {The Multidecadal Atlantic SST%u2014Sahel Rainfall Teleconnection in CMIP5 Simulations},
  author = {
Martin E. R.
and Thorncroft C.
and Booth B. B.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
  pages = {784-806},
}
,
@article{Martin E. R.
  title = {Sahel rainfall in multimodel CMIP5 decadal hindcasts},
  author = {
Martin E. R.
and Thorncroft C.
},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {41},
}
,
@article{Neil B. P.
  title = {On the Contribution of Longwave Radiation to Global Climate Model Biases in Arctic Lower Tropospheric Stability},
  author = {
Neil B. P.
and Stephen K. A.
and Boyle J. S.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,
@article{Van den Hurk B. J.
  title = { Drivers of mean climate change around the Netherlands derived from CMIP5},
  author = {
Van den Hurk B. J.
and Van Oldenborgh G. J.
and Lenderink G.
and Hazeleger W.
and Haarsma R. J.
and De Vries H.
},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {42},
  pages = {1683-1697},
}
,
@article{Murakami H.
  title = {Influence of model biases on projected future changes in tropical cyclone frequency of occurrence.},
  author = {
Murakami H.
and Hsu P.
and Arakawa O.
and Li T.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/pdf/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00436.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
  pages = {2159-2181},
}
,
@article{Hao Z.
  title = {Changes in Concurrent Monthly Precipitation and Temperature Extremes},
  author = {
Hao Z.
and AghaKouchak A.
and Phillips T. J.
},
  url = {http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/8/3/034014/},
  journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
  volume = {8},
}
,
@article{Sandeep S.
  title = {Poleward shift in Indian summer monsoon low level jetstream under global warming},
  author = {
Sandeep S.
and Ajayamohan R.
},
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-014-2261-y},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,
@article{Manzini E.
  title = {Northern winter climate change: Assessment of uncertainty in CMIP5 projections related to stratosphere-troposphere coupling},
  author = {
Manzini E.
and Karpechko A. Y.
and Anstey J.
and Baldwin M. P.
and Black R. X.
and Cagnazzo C.
and Calvo N.
and Charlton-Perez A.
and Christiansen B.
and Davini P.
and Gerber E.
and Giorgetta M.
and Gray L.
and Hardiman S. C.
and Lee Y. Y.
and Marsh D. R.
and McDaniel B. A.
and Purich A.
and Scaife A. A.
and Shindell D.
and Son S. W.
and Watanabe S.
and Zappa G.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013JD021403/abstract},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {119},
  pages = {7979-7998},
}
,
@article{Palmer M. D.
  title = {Internal variability of Earth's energy budget simulated by CMIP5 climate models },
  author = {
Palmer M. D.
and McNeall D. J.
},
  url = {http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/9/3/034016/article},
  journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
  volume = {9},
}
,
@article{Sandeep S.
  title = {Origin of cold bias over the Arabian Sea in Climate Models},
  author = {
Sandeep S.
and Ajayamohan R.
},
  url = {http://www.nature.com/srep/2014/140917/srep06403/full/srep06403.html},
  journal = {Other},
}
,
@article{Dwyer J. G.
  title = {The Effect of greenhouse gas-induced changes in SST on the annual cycle of zonal mean tropical precipitation},
  author = {
Dwyer J. G.
and Biasutti M.
and Sobel A. H.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
}
,
@article{Ott I.
  title = {Teleconnections of the tropical Atlantic and Pacific Oceans in a CMIP5 model ensemble},
  author = {
Ott I.
and Romberg K.
and Jacobeit J.
},
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-014-2394-z},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,
@article{Rana A.
  title = {Impact of climate change on rainfall over Mumbai using Distribution-based Scaling of Global Climate Model projections},
  author = {
Rana A.
and Foster K.
and Bosshard T.
and Olsson J.
and Bengtsson L.
},
  url = {http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214581814000081},
  journal = {Other},
}
,
@article{Vera C. S.
  title = {Anthropogenic influence on summer precipitation trends over South America in CMIP5 models},
  author = {
Vera C. S.
and Diaz L.
},
  journal = {International Journal of Climatology},
}
,
@article{Scoccimarro E.
  title = {Heavy precipitation events over the Euro-Mediterranean region in a warmer climate: results from CMIP5 models},
  author = {
Scoccimarro E.
and Gualdi S.
and Bellucci A.
and Zampieri M.
},
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10113-014-0712-y },
  journal = {Other},
}
,
@article{Le T.
  title = {Solar forcing of Earth's surface temperature in PMIP3 simulations of the last millennium},
  author = {
Le T.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/asl2.555/abstract},
  journal = {Atmospheric Science Letters},
}
,
@article{Cheruy f.
  title = {Role of clouds and land-atmosphere coupling in midlatitude continental summer warm biases and climate change amplification in CMIP5 simulations},
  author = {
Cheruy f.
and Dufresne J.
and Hourdin F.
},
  url = {http://http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014GL061145/abstract},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {48},
  pages = {6493-6500},
}
,
@article{King A. D.
  title = {Climate Change turns Australia's 2013 Big Dry into a year of record-breaking heat},
  author = {
King A. D.
and Karoly D. J.
and Donat M. G.
and Alexander L. V.
},
  url = {http://www.journals.ametsoc.org/doi/pdf/10.1175/1520-0477-95.9.S1.1},
  journal = {Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society},
  volume = {95},
  pages = {S41-S45},
}
,
@article{Guttorp P.
  title = {Assessing the uncertainty in projecting local mean sea level from global temperature},
  author = {
Guttorp P.
and Bolin D.
and Januzzi A.
and Novak M.
and Podschwit H.
and Richardson L.
and Särkkä A.
and Sowder C.
and Zimmerman A.
},
  journal = {Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology},
  volume = {53},
  pages = {2163-2170},
}
,
@article{Zscheischler J.
  title = {Carbon cycle extremes during the 21st century in CMIP5 models: Future evolution and attribution to climatic drivers},
  author = {
Zscheischler J.
and Reichstein M.
and von Buttlar J.
and Mu M.
and Randerson J. T.
and Mahecha M. D.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/wol1/doi/10.1002/2014GL062409/full},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {41},
  pages = {8853-8861},
}
,
@article{Manda A.
  title = {Impacts of a warming marginal sea on torrential rainfall organized under the Asian summer monsoon},
  author = {
Manda A.
and Nakamura H.
and Asano N.
and Iizuka S.
and Miyama T.
and Moteki Q.
and Yoshioka M. K.
and Nishii K.
},
  url = {http://www.nature.com/srep/2014/140718/srep05741/full/srep05741.html},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {4},
}
,
@article{Noda A. T.
  title = {Intermodel variances of subtropical stratocumulus environments simulated in CMIP5 models},
  author = {
Noda A. T.
and Satoh M.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014GL061812/abstract},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {41},
}
,
@article{Yi S.
  title = {The Hiatus and Accelerated Warming Decades in CMIP5 Simulations},
  author = {
Yi S.
and Yongqiang Y.
and Pengfei L.
},
  journal = {Advances in Atmospheric Sciences},
  volume = {31},
  pages = {1316-1330},
}
,
@article{Young P. J.
  title = {Modeling the climate impact of Southern Hemisphere ozone depletion: The importance of the ozone dataset},
  author = {
Young P. J.
and Davis S. M.
and Hassler B.
and Solomon S.
and Rosenlof K. H.
},
  url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2014GL061738},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {41},
  pages = {9033-9039},
}
,
@article{Terzago S.
  title = {Snowpack Changes in the Hindu Kush%u2013Karakoram%u2013Himalaya from CMIP5 Global Climate Models},
  author = {
Terzago S.
and von Hardenberg J.
and Palazzi E.
and Provenzale A.
},
  journal = {Journal of Hydrometeorology},
  volume = {15},
  pages = {2293-2313},
}
,
@article{Iles C. E.
  title = {The global precipitation response to volcanic eruptions in the CMIP5 models},
  author = {
Iles C. E.
and Hegerl G. C.
},
  url = {http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/9/10/104012/article},
  journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
  volume = {9},
}
,
@article{Wan H.
  title = {Attributing northern high-latitude precipitation change over the period 1966%u20132005 to human influence},
  author = {
Wan H.
and Zhang X.
and Zwiers F.
and Min S.
},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,
@article{Sun Y.
  title = {Rapid increase in the risk of extreme summer heat in Eastern China},
  author = {
Sun Y.
and Zhang X.
and Zwiers F.
and Song L.
and Wan H.
and Hu T.
and Yin H.
and Ren G.
},
  journal = {Nature Climate Change},
  volume = {4},
  pages = {1082-1085},
}
,
@article{Barton N. P.
  title = {On the Contribution of Longwave Radiation to Global Climate Model Biases in Arctic Lower Tropospheric Stability},
  author = {
Barton N. P.
and Klein S. A.
and Boyle J. S.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00126.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
  pages = {7250-7269},
}
,
@article{Zhang T.
  title = {ENSO Asymmetry in CMIP5 Models},
  author = {
Zhang T.
and Sun D.
},
  url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00454.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
  pages = {4070-4093},
}
,
@article{Wang C.
  title = {A global perspective on CMIP5 climate model biases},
  author = {
Wang C.
and Zhang L.
and Lee S.
and Wu L.
and Mechoso C.
},
  journal = {Nature Climate Change},
  volume = {4},
  pages = {201-205},
}
,
@article{Lebsock M. D.
  title = {Application of Active Spaceborne Remote Sensing for Understanding Biases Between Passive Cloud Water Path Retrievals},
  author = {
Lebsock M. D.
and Su H.
},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {119},
  pages = {8962-8979},
}
,
@article{Ding Y.
  title = {Ocean response to volcanic eruptions in Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 5 (CMIP5) simulations},
  author = {
Ding Y.
and Carton J. A.
and Chepurin G. A.
and Stenchikov G.
and Robock A.
and Sentman L. T.
},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research},
  volume = { 119},
  pages = {5622-5637},
}
,
@article{Grise K. M.
  title = {Southern Hemisphere cloud-dynamics biases in CMIP5 models and their implications for climate projections},
  author = {
Grise K. M.
and Polvani L. M.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
  pages = {6074-6092},
}
,
@article{Grise K. M.
  title = {The response of midlatitude jets to increased CO2: Distinguishing the roles of sea surface temperature and direct radiative forcing},
  author = {
Grise K. M.
and Polvani L. M.
},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {41},
  pages = {6863-6871},
}
,
@article{Mori M.
  title = {Robust Arctic sea-ice influence on the frequent Eurasian cold winters in past decades},
  author = {
Mori M.
and Watanabe M.
and Shiogama H.
and Inoue J.
and Kimoto M.
},
  url = {http://www.nature.com/ngeo/journal/v7/n12/full/ngeo2277.html},
  journal = {Nature Geoscience},
  volume = {7},
  pages = {869-873},
}
,
@article{Bintanja R.
  title = {Future increases in Arctic precipitation linked to local evaporation and sea ice retreat},
  author = {
Bintanja R.
and Selten F.
},
  url = {http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v509/n7501/full/nature13259.html},
  journal = {Nature},
  volume = {509},
  pages = {479-482},
}
,
@article{Saha A.
  title = {Failure of CMIP5 climate models in simulating post-1950 decreasing trend of Indian monsoon},
  author = {
Saha A.
and Ghosh S.
and A.S. S.
and Rao E.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014GL061573/pdf},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {41},
  pages = {7323-7330},
}
,
@article{Yu M.
  title = {Future changes of the terrestrial ecosystem based on a dynamic vegetation model driven with RCP8.5 climate projections from 19 GCMs},
  author = {
Yu M.
and Wang G.
and Parr D.
and Ahmed K. F.
},
  journal = {Climatic Change},
  volume = {127},
  pages = {257-271},
}
,
@techreport{Ganguli P.
  title = {Water Stress on US Power Production at Decadal Time Horizons},
  author = {
Ganguli P.
and Kumar D.
and Ganguly A. R.
},
  number = {DE-AR0000482},
  year = {2014},
}
,
@article{zhao l.
  title = {Uncertainties of the global-to-regional temperature and precipitation simulations in CMIP5 models for past and future 100 years},
  author = {
zhao l.
and xu j.
and M. Powell Jr. A.
},
  journal = {Theoretical and Applied Climatology},
}
,
@article{Harada M.
  title = {Impacts of Slowed Tropical Circulation on Winter Stationary Waves in East Asia and the North Pacific},
  author = {
Harada M.
and Wakamatsu S.
and Hirahara S.
and Murai H.
and Oikawa Y.
and Maeda S.
},
  url = {http://doi.org/10.2151/sola.2014-038},
  journal = {SOLA},
  volume = {10},
  pages = {180-184},
}
,
@article{Durack P. J.
  title = {Quantifying underestimates of long-term upper-ocean warming},
  author = {
Durack P. J.
and Gleckler P. J.
and Landerer F. W.
and Taylor K. E.
},
  url = {http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/v4/n11/abs/nclimate2389.html},
  journal = {Nature Climate Change},
  volume = {4},
  pages = {999-1005},
}
,
@article{Wu Q.
  title = {Interannual Variability and Long-Term Changes of Atmospheric Circulation over the Chukchi and Beaufort Seas },
  author = {
Wu Q.
and Zhang J.
and Zhang X.
and Tao W.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/pdf/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00610.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
  pages = {4871-4889},
}
,
@article{Ohba M.
  title = {Statistical parameterization expressing ENSO variability and reversibility in response to CO2 concentration changes},
  author = {
Ohba M.
and Tsutsui J.
and Nohara D.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
  pages = {398-410},
}
,
@article{Kumar D.
  title = {Regional and seasonal intercomparison of CMIP3 and CMIP5 climate model ensembles for temperature and precipitation},
  author = {
Kumar D.
and Kodra E.
and Ganguly A. R.
},
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-014-2070-3#page-1},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {43},
  pages = {2491-2518},
}
,
@article{Freedman F. R.
  title = {Evaluation of CMIP climate model hydrological output for the Mississippi River Basin using GRACE satellite observations},
  author = {
Freedman F. R.
and Pitts K. L.
and Alison B. F.
},
  url = {http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0022169414008312},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {519},
  pages = {3566-3577},
}
,
@article{Santer
  title = {Human and natural influences on the changing thermal structure of the atmosphere},
  author = {
Santer, B. D.
and Painter, J. F.
and Bonfils, C.
and Mears, C. A.
and Solomon, S.
and Wigley, T. M. L.
and Gleckler, P. J.
and Schmidt, G. A.
and Doutriaux, C.
and Gillett, N. P.
and Taylor, K. E.
and Thorne, P. W.
and Wentz, F. J.
},
  url = {http://www.pnas.org/content/110/43/17235},
  journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences},
  volume = {110},
  pages = {17235-17240},
}
,
@article{King A. D.
  title = {Limited Evidence of Anthropogenic Influence on the 2011-12 Extreme Rainfall over Southeast Australia},
  author = {
King A. D.
and Lewis S. C.
and Perkins S. E.
and Alexander L. V.
and Donat M. G.
and Karoly D. J.
and Black M. T.
},
  url = {http://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/cmb/bams-sotc/extreme-events/2012/BAMS-Extremes-of-2012-Section-18.pdf},
  journal = {Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society},
  volume = {94},
  pages = {S55-S58},
}
,
@article{Williams K. D.
  title = {The Transpose-AMIP II experiment and its application to the understanding of Southern Ocean cloud biases in climate models},
  author = {
Williams K. D.
and Bodas-Salcedo A.
and Deque M.
and Fermepin S.
and Medeiros B.
and Watanabe M.
and Jakob C.
and Klein S. A.
and Senior C. A.
and Williamson D. L.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/pdf/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00429.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {26},
  pages = {3258-3274},
}
,
@article{Knutson T. R.
  title = {Multimodel assessment of regional surface temperature trends: CMIP3 and CMIP5 Twentieth Century simulations},
  author = {
Knutson T. R.
and Zeng F.
and Wittenberg A. T.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00567.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {26},
  pages = {8709-8743},
}
,
@article{Knutson T. R.
  title = {Dynamical downscaling projections of 21st century Atlantic hurricane activity: CMIP3 and CMIP5 model-based scenario. },
  author = {
Knutson T. R.
and Sirutis J. J.
and Vecchi G. A.
and Garner S. T.
and Zhao M.
and Kim H.
and Bender M. A.
and Tuleya R. E.
and Held I. M.
and Villarini G.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00539.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {26},
  pages = {6591-6617},
}
,
@article{Turner J.
  title = {An Initial Assessment of Antarctic Sea Ice Extent in the CMIP5 Models},
  author = {
Turner J.
and Bracegirdle T.
and Phillips T.
and Marshall G. J.
and Hosking S.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {26},
  pages = {1473-1484},
}
,
@article{Klein S. A.
  title = {Are climate model simulations of clouds improving? An evaluation using the ISCCP simulator},
  author = {
Klein S. A.
and Zhang Y.
and Zelinka M. D.
and Pincus R.
and Boyle J.
and Gleckler P. J.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/jgrd.50141/abstract},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {118},
  pages = {1329-1342},
}
,
@article{Berdahl M.
  title = {Cryospheric response to volcanic eruptions in the Paleoclimate Model Intercomparison Project 3 last millennium simulations. },
  author = {
Berdahl M.
and Robock A.
},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {118},
  pages = {12,359-12,370},
}
,
@article{Wilcox L. J.
  title = {The influence of anthropogenic aerosol on multi-decadal variations of historical global climate},
  author = {
Wilcox L. J.
and Highwood E. J.
and Dunstone N. J.
},
  url = {http://stacks.iop.org/1748-9326/8/024033},
  journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
  volume = {8},
}
,
@article{Collevati R. G.
  title = {Drawbacks to palaeodistribution modelling: the case of South American seasonally dry forests},
  author = {
Collevati R. G.
and Terribile L. C.
and Oliveira G.
and Lima-Ribeiro M. S.
and Nabout J.
and Rangel T. F.
and Diniz-Filho J. F.
},
  journal = {Journal of Biogeography},
}
,
@article{Song Y.
  title = {Water vapor transport and cross-equatorial flow over the Asian-Australia monsoon region simulated by CMIP5 climate models},
  author = {
Song Y.
and Qiao F.
and Song Z.
and Jiang C.
},
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00376-012-2148-y},
  journal = {Advances in Atmospheric Sciences},
  volume = {30},
  pages = {726-738},
}
,
@article{Brown J. N.
  title = {Zonal Structure and Variability of the western Pacific Warm Pool edge in CMIP5},
  author = {
Brown J. N.
and Langlais C.
and Maes C.
},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,
@article{Chavaillaz Y.
  title = {Southern westerlies in LGM and future (RCP4.5) climates},
  author = {
Chavaillaz Y.
and Codron F.
and KAGEYAMA M.
},
  url = {http://www.clim-past.net/9/517/2013/cp-9-517-2013.pdf},
  journal = {Climate of the Past},
  volume = {9},
  pages = {517-524},
}
,
@article{Wild M.
  title = {The global energy balance from a surface perspective},
  author = {
Wild M.
and Folini D.
and Schär C.
and Loeb N.
and Dutton E. G.
and König-Langlo G.
},
  url = {http://www.iac.ethz.ch/people/wild/Wild_et_al_ClimDyn_2013.pdf},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {40},
  pages = {3107-3134},
}
,
@article{Perez J.
  title = {Evaluating the performance of CMIP3 and CMIP5 global climate models over the north-east Atlantic region},
  author = {
Perez J.
and Menendez M.
and Mendez F. J.
and Losada I. J.
},
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-014-2078-8},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,
@article{Ribes A.
  title = {Application of regularised optimal fingerprinting to attribution. Part I: method, properties, and idealised analysis},
  author = {
Ribes A.
and Planton S.
and Terray L.
},
  url = {http://http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-013-1735-7},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,
@article{Ribes A.
  title = {Application of regularised optimal fingerprinting to attribution. Part II: application to global near-surface temperature based on CMIP5 simulations},
  author = {
Ribes A.
and Terray L.
},
  url = {http://http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-013-1736-6},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,
@article{Feng S.
  title = {Expansion of global drylands under a warming climate},
  author = {
Feng S.
and Fu Q.
},
  url = {http://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/13/10081/2013/},
  journal = {Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics},
  volume = {13},
  pages = {10081-10094},
}
,
@article{Pendergrass A. G.
  title = {The atmospheric energy constraint on global-mean precipitation change},
  author = {
Pendergrass A. G.
and Hartmann D. L.
},
  url = {http://http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/pdf/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00163.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,
@article{Ma H.
  title = {On the correspondence between mean forecast errors and climate errors in CMIP5 models},
  author = {
Ma H.
and Xie S.
and Klein S. A.
and Williams K. D.
and Boyle J. S.
and Bony S.
and Douville H.
and Fermepin S.
and Medeiros B.
and Tytéca S.
and Watanabe M.
and Williamson D. L.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,
@article{Qu X.
  title = {On the presistent spread in snow-albedo feedback},
  author = {
Qu X.
and Hall A.
},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,
@article{Qu X.
  title = {On the spread of changes in marine low cloud cover in climate model simulations of the 21st century},
  author = {
Qu X.
and Hall A.
and Klein S. A.
and Caldwell P. M.
},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,
@article{Eyring V.
  title = {Long-term ozone changes and associated climate impacts in CMIP5 simulations},
  author = {
Eyring V.
and Arblaster J. M.
and Cionni I.
and SedláÄ?ek J.
and Perlwitz J.
and Young P. J.
and Bekki S.
and Bergmann D.
and Cameron-Smith P.
and Collins W. J.
and Faluvegi G.
and Gottschaldt K.
and Horowitz L. W.
and Kinnison D. E.
and Lamarque J.
and Marsh D. R.
and Saint-Martin D.
and Shindell D. T.
and Sudo K.
and Szopa S.
and Watanabe S.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/jgrd.50316/abstract},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research},
  volume = {118},
  pages = {5029-5060},
}
,
@article{Hosking J.
  title = {The influence of the Amundsen-Bellingshausen Seas Low on the climate of West Antarctica and its representation in coupled climate model simulations},
  author = {
Hosking J.
and Orr A.
and Marshall G. J.
and Turner J.
and Phillips T.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/full/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00813.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {26},
  pages = {6633-6648},
}
,
@article{Torres R. R.
  title = {Climate change hotspots over South America: from CMIP3 to CMIP5 multi-model datasets},
  author = {
Torres R. R.
and Marengo J. A.
},
  journal = {Theoretical and Applied Climatology},
}
,
@article{Hu y.
  title = {Poleward Expansion of the Hadley Circulation in CMIP5 Simulations},
  author = {
Hu y.
and Tao L.
},
  journal = {Advances in Atmospheric Sciences},
  volume = {30},
  pages = {790-795},
}
,
@article{Paek H.
  title = {Centennial trend and decadal-to-interdecadal variability of atmospheric angular momentum in CMIP3 and CMIP5 simulations},
  author = {
Paek H.
and Huang H.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00515.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {26},
  pages = {3846-3864},
}
,
@article{Jiang D.
  title = {Mid-Holocene net precipitation changes over China: Model%u2013data comparison},
  author = {
Jiang D.
and Tian Z.
and Lang X.
},
  url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2013.10.017},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {82},
  pages = {104-120},
}
,
@article{Jiang D.
  title = {East Asian monsoon change for the 21st century: Results of CMIP3 and CMIP5 models},
  author = {
Jiang D.
and Tian Z.
},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {58},
  pages = {1427-1435},
}
,
@article{Tian Z.
  title = {Mid-Holocene ocean and vegetation feedbacks over East Asia},
  author = {
Tian Z.
and Jiang D.
},
  journal = {Climate of the Past},
  volume = {9},
  pages = {2153-2171},
}
,
@article{vial j.
  title = {On the interpretation of inter-model spread in CMIP5 climate sensitivity estimates},
  author = {
vial j.
and Dufresne J.
and Bony S.
},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,
@article{Ramirez-Villegas J.
  title = { Implications of regional improvement in global climate models for agricultural impact research },
  author = {
Ramirez-Villegas J.
and Challinor A. J.
and Thornton P. K.
and Jarvis A.
},
  url = {http://stacks.iop.org/ERL/8/024018},
  journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
  volume = {8},
  pages = {1-12},
}
,
@article{Caron L.
  title = {Multi-year prediction skill of Atlantic hurricane activity in CMIP5 decadal hindcasts},
  author = {
Caron L.
and Jones C. G.
and Doblas-Reyes F.
},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,
@article{Smith I. N.
  title = {Squeezing information from regional climate change projections - results from a synthesis of CMIP5 results for south-east Queensland, Australia.},
  author = {
Smith I. N.
and Syktus J.
and McAlpine C.
},
  journal = {Climatic Change},
}
,
@article{Smith I. N.
  title = {The relative performance of Australian CMIP5 models based on rainfall and ENSO metrics},
  author = {
Smith I. N.
and Syktus J.
and Rotstayn L.
and Jeffrey S.
},
  journal = {Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Journal},
}
,
@article{Prado L. F.
  title = {Mid-Holocene PMIP3/CMIP5 model results: Intercomparison for the South American Monsoon System},
  author = {
Prado L. F.
and Wainer I.
and Chiessi C. M.
},
  journal = {The Holocene},
  volume = {23},
  pages = {1915-1920},
}
,
@article{Schurer A. P.
  title = {Separating Forced from Chaotic Climate Variability over the Past Millennium},
  author = {
Schurer A. P.
and Hegerl G. C.
and Mann M. E.
and Tett S. F.
and Phipps S. J.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00826.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {26},
  pages = {6954-6973},
}
,
@article{Ylh?isi J. S.
  title = {Quantifying sources of climate uncertainty to inform risk analysis for climate change decision-making},
  author = {
Ylh?isi J. S.
and Garr? L.
and Daron J.
and R?is?nen J.
},
  url = {http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/13549839.2013.874987#.Uuubr_iflwY},
  journal = {Local Environment},
}
,
@article{Dwyer J. G.
  title = {The effect of greenhouse-gas-induced changes in SST on the seasonality of tropical precipitation},
  author = {
Dwyer J. G.
and Biasutti M.
and Sobel A. H.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,
@article{Karlsson J.
  title = {Consequences of poor representation of Arctic sea-ice albedo and cloud-radiation interactions in the CMIP5 model ensemble},
  author = {
Karlsson J.
and Svensson G.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/grl.50768/abstract},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {40},
  pages = {4374-4379},
}
,
@article{Li G.
  title = {Precipitation scaling with temperature in warm and cold climates: an analysis of CMIP5 simulations. },
  author = {
Li G.
and Harrison S. P.
and Bartlein P. J.
and Izumi K.
and Prentice I. C.
},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {40},
  pages = {4018-4024},
}
,
@article{Ou T.
  title = {Evaluation of global climate models in simulating extreme precipitation in China},
  author = {
Ou T.
and Chen D.
and Linderholm H. W.
and Jeong J.
},
  url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.3402/tellusa.v65i0.19799},
  journal = {Tellus},
  volume = {65},
}
,
@article{Cattiaux J.
  title = {Opposite CMIP3/5 trends in the Northern Annular Mode explained by combined local sea-ice and remote tropical influences},
  author = {
Cattiaux J.
and Cassou C.
},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {40},
  pages = {3682-3687},
}
,
@article{Cattiaux J.
  title = {European temperatures in CMIP5: origins of present-day biases and future uncertainties},
  author = {
Cattiaux J.
and Douville H.
and Peings Y.
},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,
@conference{Zou Y.
  title = {CMIP5 Simulations of US Winter Responses to El Niño Diversity},
  author = {
Zou Y.
and Yu J.
and Lee T.
},
  year = {2013},
}
,
@article{Purich A.
  title = {Autumn Precipitation Trends over Southern Hemisphere Midlatitudes as Simulated by CMIP5 Models},
  author = {
Purich A.
and Cowan T.
and Min S.
and Cai W.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/pdf/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00007.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {26},
  pages = {8341-8356},
}
,
@article{Barnes E. A.
  title = {Model projections of atmospheric steering of Sandy-like superstorms},
  author = {
Barnes E. A.
and Polvani L. M.
and Sobel A. H.
},
  url = {http://http://www.pnas.org/content/early/2013/08/28/1308732110.abstract},
  journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences},
  volume = {110},
  pages = {15211-15215},
}
,
@article{He Z.
  title = {Seasonality of interannual atmosphere%u2013ocean interaction in the South China Sea},
  author = {
He Z.
and Wu R.
},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {69},
  pages = {699-712},
}
,
@article{Gillett N. P.
  title = {Constraining the Ratio of Global Warming to Cumulative CO2 Emissions Using CMIP5 Simulations},
  author = {
Gillett N. P.
and Arora V. K.
and Matthews D.
and Allen M. R.
},
  url = {http://http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00476.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {26},
  pages = {6844-6858},
}
,
@article{Gillett N. P.
  title = {Annular mode changes in the CMIP5 simulations},
  author = {
Gillett N. P.
and Fyfe J. C.
},
  url = {http://http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/grl.50249/abstract},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {40},
  pages = {1189-1193},
}
,
@article{Jian Z.
  title = {Uncertainties on the simulated summer precipitation over Eastern China from the CMIP5 models},
  author = {
Jian Z.
and Yaocun Z.
and Anning H.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/jgrd.50695/pdf},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {118},
  pages = {9035-9047},
}
,
@article{Anstey J. A.
  title = {Multi-model analysis of Northern Hemisphere winter blocking: Model biases and the role of resolution},
  author = {
Anstey J. A.
and Davini P.
and Gray L. J.
and Woollings T. J.
and Butchart N.
and Cagnazzo C.
and Christiansen B.
and Hardiman S. C.
and Osprey S. M.
and Yang S.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/jgrd.50231/abstract},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {118},
  pages = {3956-3971},
}
,
@article{Niznik M. J.
  title = {Circulation, moisture, and precipitation relationships along the South Pacific Convergence Zone in reanalyses and CMIP5 models},
  author = {
Niznik M. J.
and Lintner B. R.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {26},
  pages = {10174-10192},
}
,
@article{Collevatti R. G.
  title = {Demographic history and the low genetic diversity in Dipteryx alata (Fabaceae) from Brazilian Neotropical savannas},
  author = {
Collevatti R. G.
and Telles M. P.
and Nabout J. C.
and Chaves L. J.
and Soares T. N.
},
  journal = {Other},
  pages = {1-9},
}
,
@article{Polvani L. M.
  title = {Can natural variability explain the observed Antarctic sea ice trends: New modeling evidence from CMIP5},
  author = {
Polvani L. M.
and Smith K. L.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/grl.50578/abstract},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {40},
  pages = {3195-3199},
}
,
@article{Kitoh A.
  title = {Monsoons in a changing world: a regional perspective in a global context.},
  author = {
Kitoh A.
and Endo H.
and Krishna Kumar K.
and Cavalcanti I. F.
and Goswami P.
},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {118},
  pages = {3053-3065},
}
,
@article{DelSole T.
  title = {Decadal prediction of observed and simulated sea surface temperatures},
  author = {
DelSole T.
and Jia L.
and Tippett M.
},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {40},
}
,
@article{Santoso A.
  title = {Late-twentieth-century emergence of the El Nino propagation asymmetry and future projections},
  author = {
Santoso A.
and McGregor S.
and Jin F.
and Cai W.
and England M. H.
and An S.
and McPhaden M. J.
and Guilyardi E.
},
  url = {http://http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v504/n7478/full/nature12683.html},
  journal = {Nature},
  volume = {504},
  pages = {126-130},
}
,
@article{Harvey B.
  title = {Equator-to-pole temperature differences and the extra-tropical storm track responses of the CMIP5 climate models},
  author = {
Harvey B.
and Shaffrey L.
and Woollings T.
},
  url = {http://http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-013-1883-9},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,
@article{Hobbs W. R.
  title = {Detection of an observed 135 year ocean temperature change from limited data},
  author = {
Hobbs W. R.
and Willis J. K.
},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {40},
  pages = {1-7},
}
,
@article{Wu R.
  title = {Precipitation-Surface Temperature Relationship in the IPCC CMIP5 Models},
  author = {
Wu R.
and Chen J.
and Wen Z.
},
  journal = {Advances in Atmospheric Sciences},
  volume = {30},
  pages = {766-788},
}
,
@article{Cai W.
  title = {Why is the amplitude of the Indian Ocean Dipole overly large in CMIP3 and CMIP5 climate models?},
  author = {
Cai W.
and Cowan T.
},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {40},
  pages = {1200-1205},
}
,
@article{Cowan T.
  title = {Forcing of anthropogenic aerosols on temperature trends of the sub-thermocline southern Indian Ocean},
  author = {
Cowan T.
and Cai W.
and Purich A.
and Rotstayn L.
and Matthew E. H.
},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {3},
}
,
@article{Kumar S.
  title = {Land Use/Cover Change Impacts in CMIP5 Climate Simulations %u2013A New Methodology and 21st Century Challenges},
  author = {
Kumar S.
and Dirmeyer P.
and Merwade V.
and DelSole T.
and Niyogi D.
},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
}
,
@article{Marvel K.
  title = {Identifying external influences on global precipitation},
  author = {
Marvel K.
and Bonfils C.
},
  journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences},
  volume = {110},
  pages = {19301-19306},
}
,
@article{Lutz A. F.
  title = {Comparison of climate change signals in CMIP3 and CMIP5 multi-model ensembles and implications for Central Asian glaciers},
  author = {
Lutz A. F.
and Immerzeel W. W.
and Gobiet A.
and Pellicciotti F.
and Bierkens M. F.
},
  url = {http://www.hydrol-earth-syst-sci.net/17/3661/2013/hess-17-3661-2013.html},
  journal = {Hydrology and Earth System Sciences},
  volume = {17},
  pages = {3661-3677},
}
,
@article{Lee Y.
  title = {Boreal winter low-frequency variability in CMIP5 models},
  author = {
Lee Y.
and Black R. X.
},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
}
,
@article{Young P. J.
  title = {Agreement in late twentieth century Southern Hemisphere stratospheric temperature trends in observations and CCMVal-2, CMIP3, and CMIP5 models},
  author = {
Young P. J.
and Bulter A. H.
and Calvo N.
and Haimberger L.
and Kushner P. J.
and Marsh D. R.
and Randell W. J.
and Rosenlof K. H.
},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {113},
  pages = {605-613},
}
,
@article{Dunstone N. J.
  title = {Anthropogenic aerosol forcing of Atlantic tropical storms},
  author = {
Dunstone N. J.
and Smith D. M.
and Booth B. B.
and Hermanson L. H.
and Eade R.
},
  url = {http://www.nature.com/ngeo/journal/v6/n7/full/ngeo1854.html},
  journal = {Nature Geoscience},
  volume = {6},
  pages = {534-539},
}
,
@article{Westby R. M.
  title = {Anomalous Temperature Regimes during the Cool Season: Long-Term Trends, Low-Frequency Mode Modulation, and Representation in CMIP5 Simulations},
  author = {
Westby R. M.
and Lee Y.
and Black R. X.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,
@article{Zunz V.
  title = {How does internal variability influence the ability of CMIP5 models to reproduce the recent trend in Southern Ocean sea ice extent?},
  author = {
Zunz V.
and Goosse H.
and Massonnet F.
},
  url = {http://www.the-cryosphere.net/7/451/2013/tc-7-451-2013.pdf},
  journal = {The Cryosphere},
  volume = {7},
  pages = {451-468},
}
,
@article{xu j.
  title = {Intercomparison of temperature trends in IPCC CMIP5 simulations with observations, reanalyses and CMIP3 models},
  author = {
xu j.
and M. Powell Jr A.
and zhao l.
},
  journal = {Geoscientific Model Development},
}
,
@article{Roberts C. D.
  title = {A multi-model study of sea surface temperature and sub-surface density fingerprints of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation},
  author = {
Roberts C. D.
and Garry F.
and Jackson L. J.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {26},
  pages = { 9155-9174},
}
,
@article{Aloysius N. R.
  title = {Global Bias-corrected and Downscaled Climate Grids for the 20th and 21st Centuries Based on CMIP5: Application to the Congo Basin},
  author = {
Aloysius N. R.
and Sheffield J.
and Saiers J.
and Li H.
and Wood E.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,
@article{Kumar S.
  title = {Evaluation of Temperature and Precipitation Trends and long-term Persistence in CMIP5 20th Century Climate Simulations},
  author = {
Kumar S.
and Merwade V.
and Niyogi D.
and Kinter III J.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,
@article{Mitchell D. M.
  title = {Revisiting the controversial issue of tropical tropospheric temperature trends},
  author = {
Mitchell D. M.
and Thorne P. W.
and Stott P. A.
and Gray L. J.
},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {40},
}
,
@article{MacMartin D. G.
  title = {Frequency-domain multi-model analysis of the response of Atlantic meridional overturning circulation to surface forcing},
  author = {
MacMartin D. G.
and Tziperman E.
and Zanna L.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00717.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {26},
  pages = {8323-8340},
}
,
@article{Sabeerali C. T.
  title = {Simulation of boreal summer intraseasonal oscillations in the latest CMIP5 coupled GCMs},
  author = {
Sabeerali C. T.
and Dandi R. A.
and Dhakate A. R.
and Salunke K.
and Mahapatra S.
and Rao S. A.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/jgrd.50403/pdf},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research},
  volume = {118},
  pages = {4401-4420},
}
,
@article{Huntingford C.
  title = {No increase in global temperature variability despite changing regional patterns},
  author = {
Huntingford C.
and Jones P. D.
and Livina V. N.
and Lenton T. M.
},
  url = {http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v500/n7462/full/nature12310.html},
  journal = {Nature},
  volume = {500},
  pages = {327-330},
}
,
@article{Vermeulen S. J.
  title = {Addressing uncertainty in adaptation planning for agriculture},
  author = {
Vermeulen S. J.
and Challinor A. J.
and Thornton P. K.
and Campbell B. M.
and Eriyagama N.
and Vervoort J. M.
and Kinyangi J.
and Jarvis A.
and Laderach P.
and Ramirez-Villegas J.
and Nicklin K. J.
and Hawkins E.
and Smith D. R.
},
  url = {http://www.pnas.org/content/110/21/8357.full},
  journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences},
  volume = {110},
  pages = {8357-8362},
}
,
@article{Sengupta A.
  title = {Uncertainty quantification and reliability analysis of CMIP5 projections for the Indian summer monsoon},
  author = {
Sengupta A.
and Rajeevan M.
},
  url = {http://www.currentscience.ac.in/Volumes/105/12/1692.pdf},
  journal = {Current Science},
  volume = {105},
  pages = {1692-1703},
}
,
@article{Charlton-Perez A. J.
  title = {On the lack of stratospheric dynamical variability in low-top versions of the CMIP5 models},
  author = {
Charlton-Perez A. J.
and Baldwin M. P.
and Birner T.
and Black R. X.
and Butler A. H.
and Calvo N.
and Davis N. A.
and Gerber E. P.
and Gillett N.
and Hardiman S.
and Kim J.
and Krueger K.
and Lee Y. Y.
and Manzini E.
and McDaniel B. A.
and Polvani L.
and Reichler T.
and Shaw T. A.
and Sigmond M.
and Son S. W.
and Toohey M.
and Wilcox L.
and Yoden S.
and Cristiansen B.
and Lott F.
and Shindell D.
and Yukimoto S.
and Watanabe S.
},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
}
,
@article{Tory K. J.
  title = {Projected changes in late-twenty-first-century tropical cyclone frequency in 13 coupled climate models from Phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project},
  author = {
Tory K. J.
and Chand S. S.
and McBride J. L.
and Ye H.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00010.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {26},
  pages = {9946-9959},
}
,
@article{Kumar S.
  title = {Multi-decadal Climate Variability and the %u201CWarming Hole%u201D in North America %u2013 results from CMIP5 20th and 21st Century Climate Simulations},
  author = {
Kumar S.
and Kinter III J.
and Dirmeyer P.
and Pan Z.
and Adams J.
},
  url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00535.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {26},
  pages = {3511-3527},
}
,
@article{Roche D.
  title = {Modeling past sea ice changes.},
  author = {
Roche D.
and Mairesse A.
and Berger M.
},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {79},
  pages = {191-206},
}
,
@article{Harada M.
  title = {Intensification of the South Side of the Asian Jet Stream during the Northern Winter in CMIP5 models},
  author = {
Harada M.
and Hirahara S.
and Hagiya S.
and Murai H.
and Oikawa Y.
and Maeda S.
},
  url = {http://doi.org/10.2151/sola.2013-021},
  journal = {SOLA},
  volume = {9},
  pages = {94-97},
}
,
@article{Chang E. K.
  title = {CMIP5 projection of significant reduction in extratropical cyclone activity over North America},
  author = {
Chang E. K.
},
  url = {10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00209.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {26},
  pages = {9903-9922},
}
,
@article{Sillmann J.
  title = {Climate extreme indices in the CMIP5 multi-model ensemble. Part 1: Model evaluation in the present climate},
  author = {
Sillmann J.
and Kharin V. V.
and Zwiers F. W.
and Zhang X.
and Bronaugh D. R.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/jgrd.50203/abstract},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {118},
  pages = {1716-1733},
}
,
@article{Sillmann J.
  title = {Climate extreme indices in the CMIP5 multi-model ensemble. Part 2: Future climate projections},
  author = {
Sillmann J.
and Kharin V. V.
and Zwiers F. W.
and Zhang X.
and Bronaugh D. R.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/jgrd.50188/abstract},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {118},
  pages = {2473-2493},
}
,
@article{Sillmann J.
  title = {Evaluating model-simulated variability in temperature extremes using modified percentile indices from CMIP5 simulations},
  author = {
Sillmann J.
and Kharin V. V.
and Zwiers F. W.
and Zhang X.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/joc.3899/abstract},
  journal = {International Journal of Climatology},
}
,
@article{Duan A.
  title = {The Tibetan Plateau Summer Monsoon in the CMIP5 Simulations},
  author = {
Duan A.
and Hu J.
and Xiao Z.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/pdf/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00685.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {26},
  pages = {7747-7766},
}
,
@article{Zhang R.
  title = {The role of global climate change in the extreme low summer Arctic sea ice extent in 2012 in %u201CExplaining Extreme Events of 2012 from a Climate Perspective},
  author = {
Zhang R.
and Knutson T. R.
},
  url = {http://http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/BAMS-D-13-00085.1},
  journal = {Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society},
  volume = {94},
  pages = {S23-S26},
}
,
@article{Huang P.
  title = {Patterns of the seasonal response of tropical rainfall to global warming},
  author = {
Huang P.
and Xie S.
and Huang G.
and HUANG R.
},
  journal = {Nature Geoscience},
}
,
@article{Orlowsky B.
  title = {Elusive drought: uncertainty in observed trends and short- and long-term CMIP5 projections},
  author = {
Orlowsky B.
and Seneviratne S. I.
},
  url = {http://www.hydrol-earth-syst-sci.net/17/1765/2013/hess-17-1765-2013.html},
  journal = {Hydrology and Earth System Sciences},
  volume = {17},
  pages = {1765-1781},
}
,
@article{Friedman A. R.
  title = {Interhemispheric temperature asymmetry over the 20th century and in future projections},
  author = {
Friedman A. R.
and Hwang Y.
and Chiang J. C.
and Frierson D. M.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/full/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00525.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {26},
  pages = {5419-5433},
}
,
@article{Tian B.
  title = {Evaluating CMIP5 models using AIRS tropospheric air temperature and specific humidity climatology},
  author = {
Tian B.
and Fetzer E.
and Kahn B.
and Teixeira J.
and Manning E.
and Hearty T.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2012JD018607/abstract},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {118},
  pages = {114-134},
}
,
@article{Power S. B.
  title = {Robust twenty-first-century projections of El%u2009Niño and related precipitation variability},
  author = {
Power S. B.
and Delage F. P.
and Chung C.
and Kociuba G.
and Keay K.
},
  url = {http://http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v502/n7472/full/nature12580.html},
  journal = {Nature},
  volume = {502},
  pages = {541-545},
}
,
@article{Seo K.
  title = {Assessing future changes in the East Asian summer monsoon using CMIP5 coupled models},
  author = {
Seo K.
and Ok J.
and Son J.
and Cha D.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,
@article{Bracegirdle T. J.
  title = {On the robustness of emergent constraints used in multi-model climate change projections of Arctic warming},
  author = {
Bracegirdle T. J.
and Stephenson D. B.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {26},
  pages = {669-678},
}
,
@article{Downes S. M.
  title = {Southern Ocean Circulation and Eddy Compensation in CMIP5 Models},
  author = {
Downes S. M.
and Hogg A. M.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00504.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {26},
  pages = {7198-7220},
}
,
@article{Kravitz B.
  title = {An energetic perspective on hydrological cycle changes in the Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project (GeoMIP)},
  author = {
Kravitz B.
and Rasch P. J.
and Forster P. M.
and Andrews T.
and Cole J. N.
and Irvine P. J.
and Ji D.
and Kristjánsson J.
and Moore J. C.
and Muri H.
and Niemeier U.
and Robock A.
and Singh B.
and Tilmes S.
and Watanabe S.
and Yoon J.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013JD020502/abstract},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {118},
  pages = {13087-13102},
}
,
@article{Tilmes S.
  title = {The hydrological impact of geoengineering in the Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project (GeoMIP)},
  author = {
Tilmes S.
and Fasullo J.
and Lamarque J.
and Marsch D. R.
and Mills M.
and Alterskjær K.
and Boucher O.
and Cole J. N.
and Curry C. L.
and Haywood J. M.
and Irvine P. J.
and Ji D.
and Jones A.
and Bou Karam D.
and Kravitz B.
and Kristjánsson J.
and Moore J. C.
and Muri H.
and Niemeier U.
and Rasch P. J.
and Robock A.
and Schmidt H.
and SChulz M.
and Singh B.
and Watanabe S.
and Yang S.
and Yoon J.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/jgrd.50868/abstract},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {118},
  pages = {11036-11058},
}
,
@article{Jones A.
  title = {The impact of abrupt suspension of solar radiation management (termination effect) in experiment G2 of the Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project (GeoMIP)},
  author = {
Jones A.
and Haywood J. M.
and Alterskjær K.
and Boucher O.
and Cole J. N.
and Curry C. L.
and Irvine P. J.
and Ji D.
and Kravitz B.
and Kristjánsson J.
and Moore J. C.
and Niemeier U.
and Robock A.
and Schmidt H.
and Singh B.
and Tilmes S.
and Watanabe S.
and Yoon J.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/jgrd.50762/abstract},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {118},
  pages = {9743-9752},
}
,
@article{Kravitz B.
  title = {Climate model response from the Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project (GeoMIP)},
  author = {
Kravitz B.
and Caldeira K.
and Boucher O.
and Robock A.
and Rasch P. J.
and Alterskjær K.
and Bou Karam D.
and Cole J. N.
and Curry C. L.
and Haywood J. M.
and Irvine P. J.
and Ji D.
and Jones A.
and Kristjánsson J.
and Lunt D. J.
and Moore J. C.
and Niemeier U.
and Schmidt H.
and SChulz M.
and Singh B.
and Tilmes S.
and Watanabe S.
and Yang S.
and Yoon J.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/jgrd.50646/abstract},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {118},
  pages = {8320-8332},
}
,
@article{Watterson I. G.
  title = {A skill-score based evaluation of simulated Australian climate},
  author = {
Watterson I. G.
and Hirst A. C.
and Rotstayn L. D.
},
  journal = {Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Journal},
  volume = {63},
  pages = {181-190},
}
,
@article{Brown J. R.
  title = {The South Pacific Convergence Zone in CMIP5 simulations of historical and future climate},
  author = {
Brown J. R.
and Moise A. F.
and Colman R. A.
},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,
@article{Lohmann G.
  title = {A model-data comparison of the Holocene global sea surface temperature evolution},
  author = {
Lohmann G.
and Pfeiffer M.
and Laepple T.
and Leduc G.
and Kim J.
},
  url = {http://www.clim-past.net/9/1807/2013/cp-9-1807-2013.html},
  journal = {Climate of the Past},
  volume = {9},
  pages = {1807-1839},
}
,
@article{Kim J.
  title = { Thermal characteristics of the cold-point tropopause region in CMIP5 models},
  author = {
Kim J.
and Grise K. M.
and Son S.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/jgrd.50649/full},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {118},
}
,
@article{Gonzalez P. L.
  title = {Stratospheric ozone depletion: a key driver of recent precipitation trends in South Eastern South America},
  author = {
Gonzalez P. L.
and Polvani L.
and Seager R.
and Correa G.
},
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-013-1777-x},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {42},
  pages = {1775-1792},
}
,
@article{Collins M.
  title = {CORRESPONDENCE: Observational challenges in evaluating climate models},
  author = {
Collins M.
and AchutaRao K.
and Ashok K.
and Bhandari S.
and Mitra A. K.
and Srivastava R.
and Turner A.
},
  url = {http://http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/v3/n11/full/nclimate2012.html},
  journal = {Nature Climate Change},
  volume = {3},
  pages = {940-941},
}
,
@article{Villarini G.
  title = {Projections of heavy rainfall over the central United States based on CMIP5 models},
  author = {
Villarini G.
and Scoccimarro E.
and Gualdi S.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/asl2.440/abstract},
  journal = {Atmospheric Science Letters},
  volume = {14},
  pages = {200-205},
}
,
@article{Boos W. R.
  title = {Thermodynamic bias in the multi-model mean boreal summer monsoon},
  author = {
Boos W. R.
and Hurley J. V.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,
@article{Scoccimarro E.
  title = {Heavy precipitation events in a warmer climate: results from CMIP5 models},
  author = {
Scoccimarro E.
and Gualdi S.
and Bellucci A.
and Zampieri M.
and Navarra A.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,
@article{Chiang J. C.
  title = {Long-Term Behavior of the Atlantic Interhemispheric SST Gradient in the CMIP5 Historical Simulations},
  author = {
Chiang J. C.
and Chang C.
and Michael W. F.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,
@article{Roehrig R.
  title = {The present and future of the West African monsoon: a process-oriented assessment of CMIP5 simulations along the AMMA transect.},
  author = {
Roehrig R.
and Bouniol D.
and Guichard F.
and Hourdin F.
and Redelsperger J.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00505.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,
@article{Shao P.
  title = {Terrestrial carbon cycle - climate relations in eight CMIP5 earth system models},
  author = {
Shao P.
and Zeng X.
and Sakaguchi K.
and Monson R. K.
and Zeng X.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {26},
  pages = {8744-8764},
}
,
@article{Chadwick R. S.
  title = {Spatial Patterns of Precipitation Change in CMIP5: Why the Rich do not get Richer in the tropics},
  author = {
Chadwick R. S.
and Boutle I.
and Martin G.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {26},
  pages = {3803-3822},
}
,
@article{Bothe O.
  title = {Consistency of the Multi-Model CMIP5/PMIP3-past1000 Ensemble},
  author = {
Bothe O.
and Jungclaus J. H.
and Zanchettin D.
},
  url = {http://www.clim-past-discuss.net/9/3789/2013/cpd-9-3789-2013.html},
  journal = {Climate of the Past Discussions},
  volume = {9},
  pages = {3789-3824},
}
,
@article{Cheng W.
  title = {Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) in CMIP5 Models: RCP and Historical Simulations},
  author = {
Cheng W.
and Chiang J. C.
and Zhang D.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,
@article{Markovic M.
  title = {A Transition from CMIP3 to CMIP5 for climate information providers: the case of surface temperature over eastern North America},
  author = {
Markovic M.
and de El?a R.
and Frigon A.
and Matthews H.
},
  journal = {Climatic Change},
}
,
@article{Ceppi P.
  title = {The relationship between the ITCZ and the Southern Hemisphere eddy-driven jet},
  author = {
Ceppi P.
and Hwang Y.
and Liu X.
and Frierson D. M.
and Hartmann D. L.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/jgrd.50461/abstract},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {118},
  pages = {5136-5146},
}
,
@article{Joetzjer E.
  title = {Present-day and future Amazonian precipitation in global climate models: CMIP5 versus CMIP3},
  author = {
Joetzjer E.
and Douville H.
and Delire C.
},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,
@article{Weller E.
  title = {Realism of the Indian Ocean Dipole in CMIP5 models: the implication for climate projections},
  author = {
Weller E.
and Cai W.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {26},
  pages = {6649-6659},
}
,
@article{Weller E.
  title = {Asymmetry in the IOD and ENSO Teleconnection in a CMIP5 Model Ensemble and Its Relevance to Regional Rainfall},
  author = {
Weller E.
and Cai W.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {26},
  pages = {5139-5149},
}
,
@article{Berger M.
  title = {The sensitivity of the Arctic sea ice to orbitally-induced insolation changes; a study of the mid-Holocene Paleoclimate Modelling Intercomparison Project 2 and 3 simulations},
  author = {
Berger M.
and Brandefelt J.
and Nilsson J.
},
  journal = {Climate of the Past},
}
,
@article{Zahid M.
  title = {CMIP5 Projected Soil Moisture Changes over South Asia},
  author = {
Zahid M.
and Iqbal W.
and Park K.
and Yang H.
and Rasul G.
},
  journal = {Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics},
}
,
@article{Lauer A.
  title = {Simulating clouds with global climate models: A comparison of CMIP5 results with CMIP3 and satellite data},
  author = {
Lauer A.
and Hamilton K.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/full/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00451.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {26},
  pages = {3823-3845},
}
,
@article{Jiang D.
  title = {Mid-Holocene East Asian summer monsoon strengthening: Insights from Paleoclimate Modeling Intercomparison Project (PMIP) simulations},
  author = {
Jiang D.
and Lang X.
and Tian Z.
and Ju L.
},
  url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.palaeo.2012.11.007},
  journal = {Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology},
  volume = {369},
  pages = {422-429},
}
,
@article{Chou C.
  title = {Increase in the range between wet and dry season precipitation},
  author = {
Chou C.
and Chiang J. C.
and Lan C.
and Chung C.
and Liao Y.
and Lee C.
},
  url = {http://www.nature.com/ngeo/journal/vaop/ncurrent/full/ngeo1744.html},
  journal = {Nature Geoscience},
}
,
@article{Chou C.
  title = {Changes in gross moist stability in the tropics under global warming},
  author = {
Chou C.
and Wu T.
and Tan P.
},
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-013-1703-2},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,
@article{Chen L.
  title = {Assessing the performance of IPCC AR5 Climate Models in simulating and projecting wind speeds over China},
  author = {
Chen L.
and Pryor S. C.
},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {117},
}
,
@article{Dunn-Sigouin E.
  title = {Northern Hemisphere blocking frequency and duration in the CMIP5 models},
  author = {
Dunn-Sigouin E.
and Son S.
},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research},
}
,
@article{Yan Q.
  title = {Greenland ice sheet contribution to future global sea-level rise based on CMIP5 models},
  author = {
Yan Q.
and Wang H.
and Johannessen O. M.
and Zhang Z.
},
  journal = {Advances in Atmospheric Sciences},
}
,
@article{Zappa G.
  title = {The ability of CMIP5 models to simulate North Atlantic extratropical cyclones},
  author = {
Zappa G.
and Shaffrey L. C.
and Hodges K. I.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,
@article{Su F.
  title = {Evaluation of the Global Climate Models in the CMIP5 over the Tibetan Plateau},
  author = {
Su F.
and Duan X.
and Chen D.
and Hao Z.
and Lan C.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,
@article{Pithan F.
  title = {Mixed-phase clouds cause climate model biases in Arctic wintertime temperature inversions },
  author = {
Pithan F.
and Medeiros B.
and Mauritsen T.
},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {43},
}
,
@article{Rowell D. P.
  title = {Simulating SST Teleconnections to Africa: What is the State of the Art?},
  author = {
Rowell D. P.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00761.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,
@article{Chen H.
  title = {Projected change in East Asian summer monsoon precipitation under RCP scenario},
  author = {
Chen H.
and Sun J.
},
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00703-013-0257-5},
  journal = {Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics},
}
,
@article{Chen H.
  title = {Projected change in East Asian summer monsoon precipitation under RCP scenario},
  author = {
Chen H.
and Sun J.
},
  journal = {Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics},
}
,
@article{Zhang X.
  title = {Attributing intensification of precipitation extremes to human influence},
  author = {
Zhang X.
and Wan H.
and Zwiers F. W.
and Hegerl G.
and Min S.
},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {40},
  pages = {5252-5257},
}
,
@article{Sallee J.
  title = {Assessment of Southern Ocean mixed layer depths in CMIP5 models: historical bias and forcing response},
  author = {
Sallee J.
and Shuckburgh E.
and Bruneau N.
and Meijers A.
and Bracegirdle T. J.
and Wang Z.
},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research},
}
,
@article{Armour K. C.
  title = {Time-varying climate sensitivity from regional feedbacks},
  author = {
Armour K. C.
and Bitz C. M.
and Roe G. H.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,
@article{Jia L.
  title = {Multi-Year Predictability of Temperature and Precipitation Identified in Climate Models},
  author = {
Jia L.
and DelSole T.
},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {39},
}
,
@article{Weare B. C.
  title = {Late 21st Century ENSO Teleconnections in CMIP5 Models},
  author = {
Weare B. C.
},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,
@article{Weare B. C.
  title = {ENSO Teleconnections in CMIP5 Models},
  author = {
Weare B. C.
},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,
@article{Shin S.
  title = {A novel method for selecting climate projections based on cloud variations: Results from CMIP5 multi-models},
  author = {
Shin S.
and Lee M.
},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
}
,
@article{Landerer F. W.
  title = {Evaluation of dynamic sea surface height in CMIP3 and CMIP5 models against satellite observations},
  author = {
Landerer F. W.
and Gleckler P.
and Tong L.
},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research},
}
,
@article{Kavvada A.
  title = {AMO's Structure and Climate Footprint in Observations and IPCC AR5 Climate Simulations},
  author = {
Kavvada A.
and Ruiz-Barradas A.
and Nigam S.
},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,
@article{Geoffroy O.
  title = {Quantifying the sources of spread in climate change experiments},
  author = {
Geoffroy O.
and Saint-Martin D.
and Ribes A.
},
  url = {http://www.cnrm.meteo.fr/spip.php?article180&lang=fr},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
}
,
@article{Chaturvedi R. K.
  title = {Multi-model climate change projections for India under representative concentration pathways},
  author = {
Chaturvedi R. K.
and Joshi J.
and Jayaraman M.
and Bala G.
and Ravindranath N.
},
  url = {http://www.currentscience.ac.in/cs/Volumes/103/07/0791.pdf},
  journal = {Current Science},
  volume = {103},
  pages = {791-802},
}
,
@article{Todd-Brown K. E.
  title = {Causes of variation in soil carbon predictions from CMIP5 Earth system models and comparison with observations},
  author = {
Todd-Brown K. E.
and Randerson J. T.
and Post W. M.
and Hoffman F. M.
and Tarnocai C.
and Schuur E. A.
and Allison S. D.
},
  url = {http://www.biogeosciences-discuss.net/9/14437/2012/},
  journal = {Biogeosciences Discussions},
  volume = {9},
  pages = {14437-14473},
}
,
@article{Shindell D. T.
  title = {Radiative forcing in the ACCMIP historical and future climate simulations},
  author = {
Shindell D. T.
and al e.
},
  journal = {Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics},
}
,
@article{Sen Gupta A.
  title = {Climate Drift in the CMIP5 models},
  author = {
Sen Gupta A.
and Jourdain N. C.
and Brown J. N.
and Monselesan D.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,
@article{Meijers A. J.
  title = {Representation of the Antarctic Circumpolar Current in the CMIP5 climate models and future changes under warming scenarios},
  author = {
Meijers A. J.
and Shuckburgh E.
and Bruneau N.
and Sallee J.
and Bracegirdle T.
and Zhaomin W.
},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research},
}
,
@article{sallee J.
  title = {Assessment of Southern Ocean water mass circulation in CMIP5 models: historical bias and forcing response},
  author = {
sallee J.
and Shuckburgh E.
and Bruneau N.
and Meijers A.
and Wang Z.
and Bracegirdle T.
},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research},
}
,
@article{Ruiz-Barradas A.
  title = {The Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation in 20th Century Climate Simulations: Uneven Progress from CMIP3 to CMIP5},
  author = {
Ruiz-Barradas A.
and Nigam S.
and Kavvada A.
},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,
@article{Tomassini L.
  title = {The respective roles of surface temperature driven feedbacks and tropospheric adjustment to CO2 in CMIP5 transient climate simulations},
  author = {
Tomassini L.
and Geoffroy O.
and Dufresne J.
and Idelkadi A.
and Cagnazzo C.
and Block K.
and Mauritsen T.
and Giorgetta M.
and Quaas J.
},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,
@article{Brohan P.
  title = {Constraining the temperature history of the past millennium using early temperature observations},
  author = {
Brohan P.
and Allan R.
and Freeman E.
and Wheeler D.
and Wilkinson C.
and Williamson F.
},
  url = {http://www.clim-past.net/8/1551/2012/cp-8-1551-2012.html},
  journal = {Climate of the Past},
  volume = {8},
  pages = {1551-1563},
}
,
@article{DU Z.
  title = {How well can CMIP5 CGCMs simulate the Asian summer monsoon rainfall and its interannual variability and their future projections},
  author = {
DU Z.
and HUANG R.
and Huang G.
},
  journal = {Advances in Atmospheric Sciences},
}
,
@article{Grose M. R.
  title = {Incremental improvements in the CMIP5 global climate model simulations for the western tropical Pacific},
  author = {
Grose M. R.
and Brown J. N.
and Narsey S. Y.
and Brown J. R.
and Murphy B. F.
and Langlais C.
and Sen Gupta A.
and Moise A. F.
and Irving D. B.
},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,
@article{Holmes C. D.
  title = {Future methane, hydroxyl, and their uncertainties: key climate and emission parameters for future predictions},
  author = {
Holmes C. D.
and Prather M. J.
and Søvde O. A.
and Myhre G.
},
  url = {http://www.atmos-chem-phys-discuss.net/12/20931/2012/},
  journal = {Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics},
}
,
@article{Wang B.
  title = {Future change of Asian-Australian monsoon},
  author = {
Wang B.
and Yim S.
and Lee J.
and Liu J.
and Ha K.
},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,
@article{McSweeney C. F.
  title = {No consensus on consensus: The challenge of finding a universal approach to measuring and mapping ensemble consistency in GCM projections},
  author = {
McSweeney C. F.
and Jones R. G.
},
  journal = {Climatic Change},
}
,
@article{Kim O.
  title = {How do weather characteristics change in a warming climate?},
  author = {
Kim O.
and Wang B.
},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,
@article{Funk C. C.
  title = {The Ocean Atmosphere Hydrodyne and recent rapid warming in the western Pacific},
  author = {
Funk C. C.
and Barlow M.
and Hoell A.
},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,
@article{Kongola L.
  title = {Dependence of groundwater resources on extreme rainfall: evidence from East Africa. },
  author = {
Kongola L.
and Taylor R. G.
and Todd M. C.
},
  journal = {Nature},
}
,
@article{Funk C. C.
  title = {Water vapor and the post-1999 Pacific climate shift},
  author = {
Funk C. C.
and Hoell A.
and Barlow M.
},
  journal = {Climatic Change},
}
,
@article{Funk C. C.
  title = {Exceptional warming in the western Pacific-Indian Ocean Warm Pool has contributed to more frequent droughts in Eastern Africa},
  author = {
Funk C. C.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/BAMS-D-12-00021.1},
  journal = {Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society},
  volume = {7},
  pages = { 1049-1051},
}
,
@article{Sheffield J.
  title = {North American Climate in CMIP5 Experiments. Part II: Evaluation of 20th Century Intra-Seasonal to Decadal Variability},
  author = {
Sheffield J.
and Camargo S.
and Fu R.
and Hu Q.
and Jiang X.
and Johnson N.
and Karnauskas K.
and Kinter J.
and Kumar S.
and Langenbrunner B.
and Maloney E.
and Mariotti A.
and Meyerson J.
and Neelin D.
and Pan Z.
and Ruiz-Barradas A.
and Seager R.
and Serra Y.
and Sun D.
and Wang C.
and Xie S.
and Yu J.
and Zhang T.
and Zhao M.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,
@article{Koven C. D.
  title = {Analysis of permafrost thermal dynamics and response to climate change in the CMIP5 Earth System Models},
  author = {
Koven C. D.
and Riley W. J.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,
@article{Sheffield J.
  title = {North American Climate in CMIP5 Experiments. Part I: Evaluation of 20th Century Continental and Regional Climatology},
  author = {
Sheffield J.
and Barrett A.
and Colle B.
and Fu R.
and Geil K.
and Hu Q.
and Kinter J.
and Kumar S.
and Langenbrunner B.
and Lombardo K.
and Long L.
and Maloney E.
and Mariotti A.
and Meyerson J.
and Mo K.
and Neelin D.
and Pan Z.
and Ruiz-Barradas A.
and Serra Y.
and Seth A.
and Thibeault J.
and Stroeve J.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,
@article{Sheffield J.
  title = {Global and regional drought from CMIP5: 20th Century evaluations, future projections and comparison with CMIP3},
  author = {
Sheffield J.
and Wood E. F.
},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
}
,
@article{Huopo C.
  title = {Projected change of extreme precipitation events in China under global warming scenario},
  author = {
Huopo C.
},
  journal = {Other},
}
,
@article{Lee J.
  title = {Future change of global monsoon in the CMIP5},
  author = {
Lee J.
and Wang B.
},
  url = {http://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007%2Fs00382-012-1564-0},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,
@article{Jourdain N. C.
  title = {The Indo-Australian monsoon and its relationship to ENSO and IOD in reanalysis data and the CMIP3/CMIP5 simulations},
  author = {
Jourdain N. C.
and Sen Gupta A.
and Taschetto A. S.
and Ummenhofer C. C.
and Moise A. F.
and Ashok K.
},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,
@article{Sakaguchi K.
  title = {The Hindcast Skill of the CMIP Ensembles for the Surface Air Temperature Trend},
  author = {
Sakaguchi K.
and Zeng X.
and Brunke M. A.
},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
}
,
@article{Balan Sarojini B.
  title = {Fingerprints of Changes in Annual and Seasonal Precipitation from CMIP5 Models over Land and Ocean},
  author = {
Balan Sarojini B.
and Stott P.
and Stott P. A.
and Black E.
and Polson D.
},
  url = {http://www.agu.org/pubs/crossref/2012/2012GL053373.shtml},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {39},
  pages = {L21706},
}
,
@article{Peings Y.
  title = {Evaluation and response of winter cold spells over Western Europe in CMIP5 models},
  author = {
Peings Y.
and Cattiaux J.
and Douville H.
},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,
@article{Kamae Y.
  title = {On the robustness of tropospheric adjustment in CMIP5 models},
  author = {
Kamae Y.
and Watanabe M.
},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {39},
}
,
@article{Stevenson S. L.
  title = {Significant Changes to ENSO Strength and Impacts in the Twenty-First Century: Results from CMIP5},
  author = {
Stevenson S. L.
},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
}
,
@article{Brutel-Vuilmet C.
  title = {An analysis of present and future seasonal Northern Hemisphere land snow cover simulated by CMIP5 coupled climate models},
  author = {
Brutel-Vuilmet C.
and Menegoz M.
and Krinner G.
},
  journal = {The Cryosphere},
}
,
@article{Notz D.
  title = {Sea-ice extent provides a limited metric of model performance},
  author = {
Notz D.
},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research},
}
,
@article{Keenlyside N. S.
  title = {Uncertainty in Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation Projections for the 21st Century and the North Atlantic/Ar},
  author = {
Keenlyside N. S.
and Latif M.
and Martin T.
and Reintges A.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,
@article{Meehl G.
  title = {Will there be a significant change to El Nino in the 21st century?},
  author = {
Meehl G.
and Deser C.
and Neale R.
and Jochum M.
and Fox-Kemper B.
and Stevenson S. L.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00252.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {25},
  pages = {2129-2145},
}
,
@article{Lawrence D. M.
  title = {Diagnosing Present and Future Permafrost from Climate Models},
  author = {
Lawrence D. M.
and Slater A. G.
},
  url = {http://cires.colorado.edu/~aslater/PAPERS/Slater_CMIP5_Permafrost_submit_20120612.pdf},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,
@article{Yang S.
  title = {Arctic sea ice reduction and European cold winters in CMIP5 climate change experiments},
  author = {
Yang S.
and Christensen J. H.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2012GL053338/pdf},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {39},
}
,
@article{Frierson D. M.
  title = {Robust future precipitation declines in CMIP5 largely reflect the poleward expansion of model subtropical dry zones},
  author = {
Frierson D. M.
and Scheff J.
},
  url = {http://www.ldeo.columbia.edu/~jscheff/2012GL052910.pdf},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {39},
}
,
@article{Santer B. D.
  title = {Identifying human influences on atmospheric temperature: Are results robust to uncertainties?},
  author = {
Santer B. D.
and Painter J.
and Mears C.
and Doutriaux C.
and Caldwell P.
and Arblaster J. M.
and Cameron-Smith P.
and Gillett N. P.
and Gleckler P. J.
and Lanzante J. R.
and Perlwitz J.
and Solomon S.
and Stott P. A.
and Taylor K. E.
and Terray L.
and Thorne P. W.
and Wehner M. F.
and Wentz F. J.
and Wigley T. M.
and Wilcox L.
and Zou C.
},
  journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences},
}
,
@article{Neelin J.
  title = {California winter precipitation change under global warming in theCoupled Model Intercomparison Project 5 ensemble},
  author = {
Neelin J.
and Langenbrunner B.
and Meyerson J. E.
and Hall A.
and Berg N.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,
@article{Collevatti R.
  title = {A coupled phylogeographic and species distribution modeling approach recovers the demographic history of a Neotropical seasonally dry forest tree species},
  author = {
Collevatti R.
and Terribile L. C.
and Lima-Ribeiro M.
and Nabout J.
and Oliveira G.
and Rangel T.
and RAbelo S.
and Diniz-Filho J.
},
  journal = {Molecular Ecology},
}
,
@article{Lima-Ribeiro M.
  title = {Modelando a distribuição geográfica das espécies no passado: uma abordagem promissora em paleoecologia},
  author = {
Lima-Ribeiro M.
and Diniz-Filho J.
},
  journal = {Other},
}
,
@article{Wang K.
  title = {A review of global terrestrial evapotranspiration: Observation, modeling, climatology, and climatic variability},
  author = {
Wang K.
and Dickinson R.
},
  url = {http://www.agu.org/pubs/crossref/2012/2011RG000373.shtml},
  journal = {Reviews of Geophysics},
  volume = {50},
}
,
@article{Fettweis X.
  title = {Estimating Greenland ice sheet surface mass balance contribution to future sea level rise using the regional atmospheric climate model MAR},
  author = {
Fettweis X.
and Franco B.
and Tedesco M.
and van Angelen J.
and Lenaerts J.
and van den Broeke M.
and Gallée H.
},
  journal = {The Cryosphere Discussions},
}
,
@article{Lima-Ribeiro M.
  title = {Potential suitable areas of giant ground sloths dropped before its extinction in South America: the evidences from bioclimatic envelope modeling},
  author = {
Lima-Ribeiro M.
and Varela S.
and Nogues-Bravo D.
and Diniz-Filho J.
},
  journal = {Other},
}
,
@article{Catto J. L.
  title = {North Australian sea surface temperatures and the El Nino Southern Oscillation in the CMIP5 models},
  author = {
Catto J. L.
and Nicholls N.
and Jakob C.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {25},
  pages = {6375-6382},
}
,
@article{Ceppi P.
  title = {Southern Hemisphere jet latitude biases in CMIP5 models linked to shortwave cloud forcing},
  author = {
Ceppi P.
and Hwang Y.
and Frierson D. M.
and Hartmann D. L.
},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
}
,
@article{Nam C.
  title = {The "too few, too bright" tropical low-cloud problem in CMIP5 models},
  author = {
Nam C.
and Bony S.
and Dufresne J.
and Chepfer H.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2012GL053421/pdf},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {39},
}
,
@article{Villarini G.
  title = {Projected Increases in North Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Intensity from CMIP5 Models.},
  author = {
Villarini G.
and Vecchi G. A.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,
@article{Liu H.
  title = {Atlantic Warm Pool Variability in the CMIP5 Simulations},
  author = {
Liu H.
and Wang C.
and Lee S.
and Enfield D.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {25},
  pages = {5612-5628},
}
,
@article{Chang E. K.
  title = {CMIP5 Multi-Model Ensemble Projection of Storm Track Change Under Global Warming},
  author = {
Chang E. K.
and Guo Y.
and Xia X.
},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {117},
  pages = {D23118},
}
,
@article{Arblaster J. M.
  title = {The impact of the El Nino Southern Oscillation on maximum temperature extremes},
  author = {
Arblaster J. M.
and Alexander L. V.
},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
}
,
@article{Goosse H.
  title = {Antarctic temperature changes during the last millennium: evaluation of simulations and reconstructions},
  author = {
Goosse H.
and Braida M.
and Crosta X.
and Mairesse A.
and Masson-Delmotte V.
and Mathiot P.
and Neukom R.
and Oeter H.
and Philippon G.
and Renssen H.
and Stenni B.
and van Ommen T.
and Verleyen E.
},
  journal = {Aerosol Science and Technology},
}
,
@article{Massonnet F.
  title = {Constraining projections of summer Arctic sea ice},
  author = {
Massonnet F.
and Fichefet T.
and Goosse H.
and Bitz C. M.
and Philippon-Berthier G.
and Holland M. M.
and Barriat P.
},
  url = {http://www.the-cryosphere.net/6/1383/2012/tc-6-1383-2012.html},
  journal = {The Cryosphere},
  volume = {6},
  pages = {1383-1394},
}
,
@article{Goosse H.
  title = {Antarctic temperature changes during the last millennium: evaluation of simulations and reconstructions},
  author = {
Goosse H.
and Braida M.
and Crosta X.
and Mairesse A.
and Masson-Delmotte V.
and Mathiot P.
and Neukom R.
and Oerter H.
and Philippon G.
and Renssen H.
and Stenni B.
and van Ommen T.
and Verleyen E.
},
  url = {http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0277379112003381},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {55},
  pages = {75-90},
}
,
@article{Wilcox L. J.
  title = {Trends in Austral jet position in ensembles of high- and low-top CMIP5 models},
  author = {
Wilcox L. J.
and Charlton-Perez A. J.
and Gray L. J.
},
  url = {http://www.agu.org/pubs/crossref/pip/2012JD017597.shtml},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
}
,
@article{Terribile L. C.
  title = {Areas of climate stability in the Brazilian Cerrado: disentangling methodological and biological uncertainties in ensemble},
  author = {
Terribile L. C.
and Lima-Ribeiro M.
and et a.
},
  journal = {Other},
}
,
@article{Li Y.
  title = {Evaluation of Monsoon Fidelity and the Tropospheric Biennial Oscillation Transitions in the CMIP Models},
  author = {
Li Y.
and Jourdain N. C.
and Taschetto A. S.
and Ummenhofer C. C.
and Ashok K.
and Sen Gupta A.
},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
}
,
@article{Villarini G.
  title = {21st Century Projections of North Atlantic Tropical Storms from CMIP5 Models. },
  author = {
Villarini G.
and Vecchi G. A.
},
  journal = {Nature},
  volume = {2},
  pages = {604-607},
}
,
@article{Li G.
  title = {Origins of tropical-wide SST biases in CMIP multi-model ensembles},
  author = {
Li G.
and Xie S.
},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {39},
}
,
@article{Levine R. C.
  title = {The role of northern Arabian Sea surface temperature biases in CMIP5 model simulations and future predictions of Indian summer monsoon rainfall},
  author = {
Levine R. C.
and Turner A. G.
and Marathayil D.
and Martin G. M.
},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,
@conference{Zou Y.
  title = {The Changing Impacts of El Niño on US Winter Climate},
  author = {
Zou Y.
and Yu J.
and Kim S.
and Lee T.
},
  year = {2012},
}
,
@article{Jones G. S.
  title = {Attribution of observed historical near surface temperature variations to anthropogenic and natural causes using CMIP5 simulations},
  author = {
Jones G. S.
and Stott P. A.
and Christidis N.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/jgrd.50239/abstract},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research},
  volume = {118},
  pages = {4001-4024},
}
,
@article{Mauritsen T.
  title = {Tuning the climate of a global model},
  author = {
Mauritsen T.
and Stevens B.
and Roeckner E.
and Crueger T.
and Esch M.
and Giorgetta M.
and Haak H.
and Jungclaus J.
and Klocke D.
and Matei D.
and Mikolajewicz U.
and Notz D.
and Pincus R.
and Schmidt H.
and Tomassini L.
},
  url = {http://www.agu.org/pubs/crossref/2012/2012MS000154.shtml},
  journal = {Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems},
  volume = {4},
}
,
@article{Marzeion B.
  title = {Past and future sea-level change from the surface mass balance of glaciers},
  author = {
Marzeion B.
and Jarosch A. H.
and Hofer M.
},
  url = {http://www.the-cryosphere.net/6/1295/2012/tc-6-1295-2012.html},
  journal = {The Cryosphere},
  volume = {6},
  pages = {1295-1322},
}
,
@article{Kim S.
  title = {The Two Types of ENSO in CMIP5 Models},
  author = {
Kim S.
and Yu J.
},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {39},
}
,
@article{Su F.
  title = {Evaluation of the Global Climate Models in the CMIP5 over the Tibetan Plateau},
  author = {
Su F.
and Duan X.
and Hao Z.
and Cuo L.
and Chen D.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,
@article{BELLENGER H.
  title = {ENSO representation in climate models: from CMIP3 to CMIP5},
  author = {
BELLENGER H.
and Guilyardi E.
and Leloup J.
and Lengaigne M.
and Vialard J.
},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,
@article{DU Z.
  title = {How Well can CMIP5 CGCMs Simulate the EAP/PJ Teleconnection Pattern and its Corresponding Summer Climate in the East Asian Monsoon Region},
  author = {
DU Z.
and HUANG R.
and Huang G.
},
  journal = {Advances in Atmospheric Sciences},
}
,
@article{Stroeve J.
  title = {Trends in Arctic sea ice extent from CMIP5, CMIP3 and observations},
  author = {
Stroeve J.
and Kattsov V.
and Barrett A.
and Serreze M.
and Pavlova T.
and Holland M.
and Meier W.
},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
}
,
@article{Po-Chedley S.
  title = {Discrepancies in tropical upper tropospheric warming between atmospheric circulation models and satellites},
  author = {
Po-Chedley S.
and Fu Q.
},
  url = {http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/7/4/044018/},
  journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
  volume = {7},
}
,
@article{Wang M.
  title = {Summer Arctic sea ice will be gone sooner or later %u2013 an update from CMIP5 models},
  author = {
Wang M.
and Overland J. E.
},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
}
,
@article{Yin L.
  title = {How well can CMIP5 simulate precipitation and its controlling processes over tropical South America?},
  author = {
Yin L.
and Fu R.
and Shevliakova E.
and Dickinson R.
and Dickinson R. E.
},
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-012-1582-y},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,
@article{Drost F.
  title = {Evaluating global climate responses to different forcings using simple indices},
  author = {
Drost F.
and Karoly D.
},
  url = {http://http://www.agu.org/pubs/crossref/2012/2012GL052667.shtml},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research},
  volume = {39},
}
,
@article{Mizuta R.
  title = {Intensification of extratropical cyclones associated with the polar jet change in the CMIP5 global warming projections},
  author = {
Mizuta R.
},
  url = {http://www.gfd-dennou.org/member/mizuta/Mizuta_2012_GRL_submitted.pdf},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
}
,
@article{Terray L.
  title = {Evidence for multiple drivers of North Atlantic multi-decadal climate variability},
  author = {
Terray L.
},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {39},
}
,
@article{Drost F.
  title = {Evaluating global climate responses to different forcings using simple indices},
  author = {
Drost F.
and Karoly D. J.
},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
}
,
@article{Luo J.
  title = {Indian Ocean warming modulates Pacific climate change},
  author = {
Luo J.
and Sasaki W.
and Masumoto Y.
},
  journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences},
}
,
@article{Ahlstrm A.
  title = {Robustness and uncertainty in terrestrial ecosystem carbon response to CMIP5 climate change projections},
  author = {
Ahlstrm A.
and Schurgers G.
and Arneth A.
and Smith B.
},
  url = {http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/7/4/044008/},
  journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
  volume = {7},
}
,
@article{Fu R.
  title = {Assessing Future Changes of Climate and Drought over South-Central United States 3 Projected by the CMIP5 Models},
  author = {
Fu R.
and Fernando N.
and Yin L.
and Ren T.
and Yang Z.
and Bowerman A.
and Dickinson R. E.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,
@article{Fyfe J. C.
  title = {Human influence on extratropical Southern Hemisphere precipitation},
  author = {
Fyfe J. C.
and Gillett N. P.
and Marshall G. G.
},
  journal = {Aerosol Science and Technology},
}
,
@article{Chen H.
  title = {Projected change in extreme rainfall events in China by the end of the 21st century using CMIP5 models},
  author = {
Chen H.
},
  journal = {Other},
}
,
@article{Zscheischler J.
  title = {Significant reduction of global carbon uptake by water-cycle driven extreme vegetation anomalies},
  author = {
Zscheischler J.
and Mahecha M. D.
and von Buttlar J.
and Harmeling S.
and Jung M.
and Randerson J. T.
and Reichstein M.
},
  journal = {Nature Geoscience},
}
,
@article{Liu C.
  title = {Co-variation of temperature and precipitation in CMIP5 models and satellite observations},
  author = {
Liu C.
and Allan R. P.
and Huffman G. J.
},
  url = {http://www.agu.org/journals/gl/gl1213/2012GL052093/},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {39},
}
,