@article{Herman
  title = {Drivers of low-frequency Sahel precipitation variability: comparing CMIP5 and CMIP6 ensemble means with observations},
  author = {
Herman, Rebecca Jean
and Biasutti, Michela
and Kushnir, Yochanan
},
  url = {https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-023-06755-1},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {61},
  pages = {4449-4470},
}
,
@article{von der Gathen
  title = {Climate change favours large seasonal loss of Arctic ozone},
  author = {
von der Gathen, Peter
and Kivi, Rigel
and Wohltmann, Ingo
and Salawitch, Ross J.
and Rex, Markus
},
  url = {https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-021-24089-6},
  journal = {Nature Communications},
  volume = {12},
}
,
@article{Kajtar
  title = {CMIP5 Intermodel Relationships in the Baseline Southern Ocean Climate System and With Future Projections},
  author = {
Kajtar, Jules B.
and Santoso, Agus
and Collins, Matthew
and Taschetto, Andréa S.
and England, Matthew H.
and Frankcombe, Leela M.
},
  url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2020EF001873},
  journal = {Earth's Future},
  volume = {9},
}
,
@article{Zhang
  title = {The ARM Data-Oriented Metrics and Diagnostics Package for Climate Models: A New Tool for Evaluating Climate Models with Field Data},
  author = {
Zhang, C.
and Xie, S.
and Tao, C.
and Tang, S.
and Emmenegger, T.
and Neelin, J. D.
and Schiro, K. A.
and Lin, W.
and Shaheen, Z.
},
  url = {https://journals.ametsoc.org/bams/article/101/10/E1619/348634/The-ARM-DataOriented-Metrics-and-Diagnostics},
  journal = {Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society},
  volume = {101},
  pages = {E1619-E1627},
}
,
@article{Irving
  title = {A Mass and Energy Conservation Analysis of Drift in the CMIP6 Ensemble},
  author = {
Irving, Damien
and Hobbs, Will
and Church, John
and Zika, Jan
},
  url = {https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0281.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  pages = {1-43},
}
,
@article{Grise
  title = {Hadley cell expansion in CMIP6 models},
  author = {
Grise, Kevin M.
and Davis, Sean M.
},
  url = {https://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/20/5249/2020/},
  journal = {Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics},
  volume = {20},
  pages = {5249-5268},
}
,
@article{Tian
  title = {The Double‐ITCZ Bias in CMIP3, CMIP5, and CMIP6 Models Based on Annual Mean Precipitation},
  author = {
Tian, Baijun
and Dong, Xinyu
},
  url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1029/2020GL087232},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {47},
}
,
@article{Tsutsui
  title = {Diagnosing Transient Response to CO 2 Forcing in Coupled Atmosphere‐Ocean Model Experiments Using a Climate Model Emulator},
  author = {
Tsutsui, Junichi
},
  url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2019GL085844},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {47},
}
,
@article{Lu
  title = {Uncertainty and hotspots in 21st century projections of agricultural drought from CMIP5 models},
  author = {
Lu, Junyu
and Carbone, Gregory J.
and Grego, John M.
},
  url = {https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-019-41196-z},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {9},
}
,
@article{Po‐Chedley
  title = {Climatology Explains Intermodel Spread in Tropical Upper Tropospheric Cloud and Relative Humidity Response to Greenhouse Warming},
  author = {
Po‐Chedley, Stephen
and Zelinka, Mark D.
and Jeevanjee, Nadir
and Thorsen, Tyler J.
and Santer, Benjamin D.
},
  url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1029/2019GL084786},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {46},
  pages = {13399-13409},
}
,
@article{Giannini
  title = {The role of aerosols and greenhouse gases in Sahel drought and recovery},
  author = {
Giannini, Alessandra
and Kaplan, Alexey
},
  journal = {Climatic Change},
  volume = {152},
  pages = {449},
}
,
@article{Po-Chedley
  title = {Climate constraint reflects forced signal},
  author = {
Po-Chedley, Stephen
and Proistosescu, Cristian
and Armour, Kyle C.
and Santer, Benjamin D.
},
  url = {https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-018-0640-y},
  journal = {Nature},
  volume = {563},
  pages = {E6-E9},
}
,
@article{Ferguson
  title = {The Effect of Global Warming on Future Water Availability: CMIP5 Synthesis},
  author = {
Ferguson, C. R.
and Pan, M.
and Oki, Taikan
},
  url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1029/2018WR022792},
  journal = {Water Resources Research},
  volume = {54},
  pages = {7791-7819},
}
,
@article{Jayasankar
  title = {Monsoon Climate Change Projection for the Orographic West Coast of India Using High-Resolution Nested Dynamical Downscaling Model},
  author = {
Jayasankar, C. B.
and Rajendran, Kavirajan
and Surendran, Sajani
},
  url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/resolve/doi?DOI=10.1029/2018JD028677},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
}
,
@article{Po-Chedley
  title = {Sources of Intermodel Spread in the Lapse Rate and Water Vapor Feedbacks},
  author = {
Po-Chedley, Stephen
and Armour, Kyle C.
and Bitz, Cecilia M.
and Zelinka, Mark D.
and Santer, Benjamin D.
and Fu, Qiang
},
  url = {https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0674.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {31},
  pages = {3187-3206},
}
,
@article{Pendergrass
  title = {The Rain Is Askew: Two Idealized Models Relating Vertical Velocity and Precipitation Distributions in a Warming World},
  author = {
Pendergrass, Angeline G.
and Gerber, Edwin P.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0097.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {29},
  pages = {6445-6462},
}
,
@article{Danco
  title = {Effects of a Warming Climate on Daily Snowfall Events in the Northern Hemisphere},
  author = {
Danco, James F.
and DeAngelis, Anthony M.
and Raney, Bryan K.
and Broccoli, Anthony J.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0687.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {29},
  pages = {6295-6318},
}
,
@article{Grieve
  title = {Range expansion of the invasive lionfish in the Northwest Atlantic with climate change},
  author = {
Grieve, BD
and Curchitser, EN
and Rykaczewski, RR
},
  url = {http://www.int-res.com/abstracts/meps/v546/p225-237/},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {546},
  pages = {225-237},
}
,
@article{Mahowald
  title = {Projections of leaf area index in earth system models},
  author = {
Mahowald, Natalie
and Lo, Fiona
and Zheng, Yun
and Harrison, Laura
and Funk, Chris
and Lombardozzi, Danica
and Goodale, Christine
},
  url = {http://www.earth-syst-dynam.net/7/211/2016/},
  journal = {Earth System Dynamics},
  volume = {7},
  pages = {211-229},
}
,
@article{Marvel
  title = {External Influences on Modeled and Observed Cloud Trends},
  author = {
Marvel, Kate
and Zelinka, Mark
and Klein, Stephen A.
and Bonfils, Céline
and Caldwell, Peter
and Doutriaux, Charles
and Santer, Benjamin D.
and Taylor, Karl E.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00734.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {28},
  pages = {4820-4840},
}
,
@article{Wieder
  title = {Future productivity and carbon storage limited by terrestrial nutrient availability},
  author = {
Wieder, William R.
and Cleveland, Cory C.
and Smith, W. Kolby
and Todd-Brown, Katherine
},
  url = {http://www.nature.com/ngeo/journal/v8/n6/full/ngeo2413.html},
  journal = {Nature Geoscience},
  volume = {8},
  pages = {441-444},
}
,
@article{Rotstayn
  title = {Effects of declining aerosols on projections of zonally averaged tropical precipitation},
  author = {
Rotstayn, L D
and Collier, M A
and Luo, J-J
},
  url = {http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/10/4/044018/meta},
  journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
  volume = {10},
  pages = {044018-044018},
}
,
@article{Drijfhout S.
  title = {Catalogue of abrupt shifts in Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change climate models},
  author = {
Drijfhout S.
and Bathiany S.
and Beaulieu C.
and Brovkin V.
and Claussen M.
and Huntingford C.
and Scheffer M.
and Sgubin G.
and Swingedouw D.
},
  url = {http://www.pnas.org/content/early/2015/10/07/1511451112},
  journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences},
}
,
@article{Frölicher T. L.
  title = { Extending the relationship between global warming and cumulative carbon emissions to multi-millennial timescales},
  author = {
Frölicher T. L.
and Paynter D. J.
},
  journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
}
,
@article{Fueglistaler S.
  title = {The distribution of precipitation and the spread in tropical upper tropospheric temperature trends in CMIP5/AMIP simulations},
  author = {
Fueglistaler S.
and Radley C.
and Held I. M.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL064966/full},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {42},
  pages = {6000-6007},
}
,
@article{Fueglistaler S.
  title = {The distribution of precipitation and the spread in tropical upper tropospheric temperature trends in CMIP5/AMIP simulations},
  author = {
Fueglistaler S.
and Radley C.
and Held I. M.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL064966/full},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {42},
  pages = {6000-6007},
}
,
@article{Salzmann M.
  title = {On the enhancement of the Indian summer monsoon drying by Pacific multidecadal variability during the latter half of the 20th century},
  author = {
Salzmann M.
and Cherian R.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JD023313/pdf},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
}
,
@article{Swart N. C.
  title = {Influence of internal variability on Arctic sea-ice trends},
  author = {
Swart N. C.
and Fyfe J. C.
and Hawkins E.
and Kay J. E.
and Jahn A.
},
  url = {http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/v5/n2/full/nclimate2483.html},
  journal = {Nature Climate Change},
  volume = {5},
  pages = {86-89},
}
,
@article{Tian D.
  title = {Future Changes and Uncertainties in Temperature and Precipitation over China based on CMIP5 models},
  author = {
Tian D.
and Guo Y.
and Dong W.
},
  journal = {Advances in Atmospheric Sciences},
  volume = {32},
  pages = {487-496},
}
,
@article{Guo Y.
  title = {Two dominant modes of winter temperature variations over China and their relationships with large-scale circulations in CMIP5 models},
  author = {
Guo Y.
and Zhao Z.
and Dong W.
},
  journal = {Theoretical and Applied Climatology},
}
,
@article{Evan A. T.
  title = {Water Vapor%u2013Forced Greenhouse Warming over the Sahara Desert and the Recent Recovery from the Sahelian Drought},
  author = {
Evan A. T.
and Flamant C.
and Lavaysse C.
and Kocha C.
and Saci A.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {28},
}
,
@article{Xiao C.
  title = {Projected changes of wintertime synoptic-scale transient eddy activities in the East Asian eddy-driven jet from CMIP5 experiments},
  author = {
Xiao C.
and Zhang Y.
},
  url = {http://www-personal.umich.edu/~cxiao/pubs/2015_GRL_Xiao&Zhang.pdf},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {42},
  pages = {6008-6013},
}
,
@article{Jiang L.
  title = {Scale-Dependent Performance of CMIP5 Earth System Models in Simulating Terrestrial Vegetation Carbon},
  author = {
Jiang L.
and Yan Y.
and Hararuk O.
and Mikle N.
and Xia J.
and Shi Z.
and Tjiputra J.
and Wu T.
and Luo Y.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {28},
  pages = {5217-5231},
}
,
@article{Chavaillaz Y.
  title = {Spatial stabilization and intensification of moistening and drying rate patterns under future climate change},
  author = {
Chavaillaz Y.
and Joussaume S.
and Bony S.
and Braconnot P.
},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  pages = {1-15},
}
,
@article{Chavaillaz Y.
  title = {Investigating the pace of temperature change and its implications over the twenty-first century},
  author = {
Chavaillaz Y.
and Joussaume S.
and Dehecq A.
and Braconnot P.
and Vautard R.
},
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10584-016-1659-4},
  journal = {Climatic Change},
  pages = {1-14},
}
,
@article{Kamae Y.
  title = {Recent slowdown of tropical upper tropospheric warming associated with Pacific climate variability},
  author = {
Kamae Y.
and Shiogama H.
and Watanabe M.
and Ishii M.
and Ueda H.
and Kimoto M.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/wol1/doi/10.1002/2015GL063608/abstract},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {42},
  pages = {2995-3003},
}
,
@article{Zappa G.
  title = {Improving climate change detection through optimal seasonal averaging: the case of the North Atlantic jet and European precipitation},
  author = {
Zappa G.
and Hoskins B. J.
and Shepherd T. G.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,
@article{C B J.
  title = {Robust signals of future projections of Indian summer monsoon rainfall by IPCC AR5 climate models: Role of seasonal cycle and interannual variability},
  author = {
C B J.
and Surendran S.
and Rajendran K.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL063659/full},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {42},
  pages = {3513-3520},
}
,
@article{Agosta C.
  title = {Evaluation of the CMIP5 models in the aim of regional modelling of the Antarctic surface mass balance},
  author = {
Agosta C.
and Fettweis X.
and Datta R.
},
  url = {http://www.the-cryosphere-discuss.net/9/3113/2015/},
  journal = {The Cryosphere Discussions},
  volume = {9},
  pages = {3113-3136},
}
,
@article{Abramowitz G.
  title = {Climate Model Dependence and the Ensemble Dependence Transformation of CMIP Projections},
  author = {
Abramowitz G.
and Bishop C. H.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00364.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {28},
  pages = {2332-2348},
}
,
@article{Haughton N.
  title = {Weighting climate model ensembles for mean and variance estimates},
  author = {
Haughton N.
and Abramowitz G.
and Pitman A. J.
and Phipps S. J.
},
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-015-2531-3},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,
@article{Wright D. B.
  title = {Regional climate model projections of rainfall from U.S. landfalling tropical cyclones},
  author = {
Wright D. B.
and Knutson T. R.
and Smith J. A.
},
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-015-2544-y},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  pages = {1-15},
}
,
@article{Wild M.
  title = {The energy balance over land and oceans: An assessment based on direct observations and CMIP5 climate models},
  author = {
Wild M.
and Folini D.
and Hakuba M.
and Schär C.
and Seneviratne S.
and Kato S.
and Rutan D.
and Ammann C.
and Wood E.
and König-Langlo G.
},
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-014-2430-z},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {44},
  pages = {3393-3429},
}
,
@article{Chan D.
  title = {Attributing Observed SST Trends and Sub-Continental Land Warming to Anthropogenic Forcing during 1979-2005},
  author = {
Chan D.
and Wu Q.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/pdf/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00253.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {28},
  pages = {3152-3170},
}
,
@article{Durack P. J.
  title = {Ocean salinity and the global water cycle},
  author = {
Durack P. J.
},
  url = {http://www.tos.org/oceanography/archive/28-1_durack.html},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {28},
  pages = {20-31},
}
,
@article{Durack P. J.
  title = {Long-term sea-level change revisited: the role of salinity},
  author = {
Durack P. J.
and Wijffels S. E.
and Gleckler P. J.
},
  url = {http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/9/11/114017/},
  journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
  volume = {9},
  pages = {---},
}
,
@article{Gong H.
  title = {Diverse Influences of ENSO on the East Asian%u2013Western Pacific Winter Climate Tied to Different ENSO Properties in CMIP5 Models},
  author = {
Gong H.
and Wang L.
and Chen W.
and Nath D.
and Huang G.
and Tao W.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00405.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {28},
  pages = {2187-2202},
}
,
@article{Lindvall J.
  title = {The diurnal temperature range in the CMIP5 models},
  author = {
Lindvall J.
and Svensson G.
},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {44},
  pages = {405-421},
}
,
@article{Jiang D.
  title = {Reliability of climate models for China through the IPCC Third to Fifth Assessment Reports},
  author = {
Jiang D.
and Tian Z.
and Lang X.
},
  journal = {International Journal of Climatology},
  volume = {36},
  pages = {1114-1133},
}
,
@article{Murari K. K.
  title = {Intensification of future severe heat waves in India and their effect on heat stress and mortality },
  author = {
Murari K. K.
and Ghosh S.
and Patwardhan A.
and Daly E.
and Salvi K.
},
  url = {http://http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10113-014-0660-6},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {15},
  pages = {569-579},
}
,
@article{Nasrollahi N.
  title = {How Well Do CMIP5 Climate Simulations Replicate Historical Trends and Patterns of Meteorological Droughts?},
  author = {
Nasrollahi N.
and AghaKouchak A.
and Cheng L.
and Damberg L.
and Phillips T.
and Miao C.
and Hsu K.
and Sorooshian S.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014WR016318/full},
  journal = {Water Resources Research},
  volume = { 51},
  pages = {2847-2864},
}
,
@article{Cheng L.
  title = {Non-stationary Return Levels of CMIP5 Multi-Model Temperature Extremes},
  author = {
Cheng L.
and AghaKouchak A.
and Phillips T.
},
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-015-2625-y},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {44},
  pages = {2947-2963},
}
,
@article{Lee Y.
  title = {The Structure and Dynamics of the Stratospheric Northern Annular Mode in CMIP5 Simulations},
  author = {
Lee Y.
and Black R. X.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,
@article{Shuai-Lei Y.
  title = {INHOMOGENEOUS warming of the Tropical Indian Ocean in the CMIP5 model simulations during 1900-2005 and associated mechanisms},
  author = {
Shuai-Lei Y.
and Gang H.
and Renguang W.
and Xia Q.
and Dong C.
},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,
@article{Belleflamme A.
  title = {Do global warming-induced circulation pattern changes affect temperature and precipitation over Europe during summer?},
  author = {
Belleflamme A.
and Fettweis X.
and Erpicum M.
},
  journal = {International Journal of Climatology},
  volume = {35},
  pages = {1484-1499},
}
,
@article{Scheff J.
  title = {Terrestrial aridity and its response to greenhouse warming across CMIP5 climate models},
  author = {
Scheff J.
and Frierson D. M.
},
  url = {http://www.ldeo.columbia.edu/~jscheff/SF2014Aridity_EOR.pdf},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,
@article{Schoof J. T.
  title = {High-resolution projections of 21st century daily precipitation for the contiguous U.S.},
  author = {
Schoof J. T.
},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {120},
}
,
@article{Zappa G.
  title = {The dependence of wintertime Mediterranean precipitation on the atmospheric circulation response to climate change},
  author = {
Zappa G.
and Hoskins B. J.
and Shepherd T. G.
},
  journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
  volume = {10},
}
,
@article{Tabari H.
  title = {Water availability change in central Belgium for the late 21st century},
  author = {
Tabari H.
and Teferi Taye M.
and Willems P.
},
  url = {http://ac.els-cdn.com/S0921818115001095/1-s2.0-S0921818115001095-main.pdf?_tid=8870216a-1985-11e5-97db-00000aab0f02&acdnat=1435049881_8afe47599c8ba7bdae2dbf1bd6600e52},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {131},
}
,
@article{Wang W.
  title = {Statistical modeling and CMIP5 simulations of hot spell changes in China},
  author = {
Wang W.
and Zhou W.
and Li Y.
and Wang X.
and Wang D.
},
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-014-2287-1},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {44},
  pages = {2859-2872},
}
,
@article{Smith S. J.
  title = {Near-term acceleration in the rate of temperature change},
  author = {
Smith S. J.
and Edmonds J. A.
and Hartin C. A.
and Mundra A.
and Calvin K.
},
  url = {http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/v5/n4/full/nclimate2552.html},
  journal = {Nature Climate Change},
  volume = {5},
  pages = {333-336},
}
,
@article{Schwalm C. R.
  title = {Reduction in carbon uptake during turn of the century drought in western North America},
  author = {
Schwalm C. R.
and Williams C. A.
and Schaefer K.
and Baldocchi D.
and Black T.
and Goldstein A. H.
and Beverly L. E.
and Oechel W. C.
and Paw U K.
and Scott R. L.
},
  journal = {Nature Geoscience},
}
,
@article{Tian B.
  title = {Spread of model climate sensitivity linked to double-intertropical convergence zone bias},
  author = {
Tian B.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL064119/abstract},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {42},
  pages = {4133-4141},
}
,
@article{Schnorbus M. A.
  title = {Statistical emulation of streamflow projections from a distributed hydrological model: Application to CMIP3 and CMIP5 climate projections for British Columbia, Canada},
  author = {
Schnorbus M. A.
and Cannon A. J.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014WR015279/abstract},
  journal = {Water Resources Research},
  volume = {50},
  pages = {8907-8926},
}
,
@article{Cannon A. J.
  title = {Selecting GCM Scenarios that Span the Range of Changes in a Multimodel Ensemble: Application to CMIP5 Climate Extremes Indices},
  author = {
Cannon A. J.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00636.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {28},
  pages = {1260-1267},
}
,
@article{Lute A. C.
  title = {Projected changes in snowfall extremes and interannual variability of snowfall in the western United States},
  author = {
Lute A. C.
and Abatzoglou J. T.
and Hegewisch K. C.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014WR016267/epdf},
  journal = {Water Resources Research},
  volume = {51},
  pages = {960-972},
}
,
@article{Sui Y.
  title = {Temperature and precipitation signals over China with a 2°C global warming},
  author = {
Sui Y.
and Lang X.
and Jiang D.
},
  journal = {Climate Research},
  volume = {64},
  pages = {227-242},
}
,
@article{Steinman B. A.
  title = {Atlantic and Pacific multidecadal oscillations and Northern Hemisphere temperatures},
  author = {
Steinman B. A.
and Mann M. E.
and Miller S. K.
},
  journal = {Science},
  volume = {347},
  pages = {988-991},
}
,
@article{Wang D.
  title = {Intensification and spatial homogenization of coastal upwelling under climate change},
  author = {
Wang D.
and Gouhier T. C.
and Menge B. A.
and Ganguly A. R.
},
  url = {http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v518/n7539/full/nature14235.html},
  journal = {Nature},
}
,
@article{Lin J.
  title = {Is the tropical atmosphere in convective quasi-equilibrium?},
  author = {
Lin J.
and Qian T.
and Shinoda T.
and Li S.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00681.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {28},
  pages = {4357-4372},
}
,
@article{Dowdy A. J.
  title = {Rainfall in Australia%u2019s eastern seaboard: a review of confidence in projections based on observations and physical processes},
  author = {
Dowdy A. J.
and Grose M. R.
and Timbal B.
and Moise A.
and Ekström M.
and Bhend J.
and Wilson L.
},
  journal = {Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Journal},
  volume = {65},
  pages = {107-126},
}
,
@article{Fläschner D.
  title = {Understanding the inter-model spread in global-mean hydrological sensitivity},
  author = {
Fläschner D.
and Mauritsen T.
and Stevens B.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,
@article{Fläschner D.
  title = {Understanding the inter-model spread in global-mean hydrological sensitivity},
  author = {
Fläschner D.
and Mauritsen T.
and Stevens B.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,
@article{Sylla M. B.
  title = {Projected robust shift of climate zones over West Africa in response to anthropogenic climate change for the late 21st century},
  author = {
Sylla M. B.
and Elguindi N.
and Giorgi F.
and Wisser D.
},
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-015-1522-z},
  journal = {Climatic Change},
}
,
@article{Melet A. V.
  title = {Explaining the Spread in Global Mean Thermosteric Sea Level Rise in CMIP5 Climate Models},
  author = {
Melet A. V.
and Meyssignac B.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,
@article{Iles C. E.
  title = {Systematic change in global patterns of streamflow following volcanic eruptions},
  author = {
Iles C. E.
and Hegerl G. C.
},
  journal = {Nature Geoscience},
}
,
@article{van Oldenborgh G.
  title = {Cold extremes in North America vs. mild weather in Europe: the winter 2013/2014 in the context of a warming world},
  author = {
van Oldenborgh G.
and Haarsma R. J.
and De Vries H.
and Allen M. R.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/BAMS-D-14-00036.1},
  journal = {Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society},
}
,
@article{Fountoulakis I.
  title = {Projected changes in erythemal and vitamin D effective irradiance over northern-hemisphere high latitudes},
  author = {
Fountoulakis I.
and Bais A. F.
},
  url = {http://http://pubs.rsc.org/en/content/articlelanding/2015/pp/c5pp00093a/unauth#!divAbstract},
  journal = {Other},
}
,
@article{Yi S.
  title = { Impacts of External Forcing on the Decadal Climate Variability in CMIP5 Simulations},
  author = {
Yi S.
and Yongqiang Y.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,
@article{Melet A. V.
  title = {Explaining the Spread in Global Mean Thermosteric Sea Level Rise in CMIP5 Climate Models},
  author = {
Melet A. V.
and Meyssignac B.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,
@article{Melet A. V.
  title = {Explaining the Spread in Global Mean Thermosteric Sea Level Rise in CMIP5 Climate Models},
  author = {
Melet A. V.
and Meyssignac B.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,
@article{Nishii K.
  title = {Arctic summer storm track in CMIP3/5 climate models},
  author = {
Nishii K.
and Nakamura H.
and Orsolini Y. J.
},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {44},
  pages = {1311-1327},
}
,
@article{Ferraro A. J.
  title = {Physical Mechanisms of Tropical Climate Feedbacks Investigated using Temperature and Moisture Trends},
  author = {
Ferraro A. J.
and Lambert F. H.
and Collins M.
and Miles G. M.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,
@article{Nishii K.
  title = {Arctic summer storm track in CMIP3/5 climate models},
  author = {
Nishii K.
and Nakamura H.
and Orsolini Y. J.
},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {44},
  pages = {1311-1327},
}
,
@article{Bolin D.
  title = {Statistical prediction of global sea level from global temperature},
  author = {
Bolin D.
and Guttorp P.
and Januzzi A.
and Jones D.
and Nowak M.
and Podschwit H.
and Richardson L.
and Särkkä A.
and Sowder C.
and Zimmerman A.
},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {25},
  pages = {351-357},
}
,
@article{Boisier J.
  title = {Projected strengthening of Amazonian dry season by constrained climate model simulations},
  author = {
Boisier J.
and Ciais P.
and Ducharne A.
and Guimberteau M.
},
  url = {http://http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/v5/n7/full/nclimate2658.html},
  journal = {Nature Climate Change},
  volume = {5},
  pages = {656-660},
}
,
@article{Plotka H.
  title = {Physics of changes in synoptic midlatitude temperature variability},
  author = {
Plotka H.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00632.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {28},
  pages = {2312-2331},
}
,
@article{Drijfhout S.
  title = {Catalogue of abrupt shifts in Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change climate models},
  author = {
Drijfhout S.
and Bathiany S.
and Beaulieu C.
and Brovkin V.
and Claussen M.
and Huntingford C.
and Scheffer M.
and Sgubin G.
and Swingedouw D.
},
  url = {http://www.pnas.org/content/early/2015/10/07/1511451112},
  journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences},
}
,
@article{Pendergrass
  title = {Two Modes of Change of the Distribution of Rain},
  author = {
Pendergrass, Angeline G.
and Hartmann, Dennis L.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00182.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
  pages = {8357-8371},
}
,
@article{Todd-Brown
  title = {Changes in soil organic carbon storage predicted by Earth system models during the 21st century},
  author = {
Todd-Brown, K. E. O.
and Randerson, J. T.
and Hopkins, F.
and Arora, V.
and Hajima, T.
and Jones, C.
and Shevliakova, E.
and Tjiputra, J.
and Volodin, E.
and Wu, T.
and Zhang, Q.
and Allison, S. D.
},
  url = {http://www.biogeosciences.net/11/2341/2014/},
  journal = {Biogeosciences},
  volume = {11},
  pages = {2341-2356},
}
,
@article{Hao Z.
  title = {Changes in Concurrent Monthly Precipitation and Temperature Extremes},
  author = {
Hao Z.
and AghaKouchak A.
and Phillips T. J.
},
  url = {http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/8/3/034014/},
  journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
  volume = {8},
}
,
@article{Cattiaux J.
  title = {Projected increase in diurnal and inter-diurnal variations of European summer temperatures},
  author = {
Cattiaux J.
and Douville H.
and Schoetter R.
and Parey S.
and Yiou P.
},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
}
,
@article{Ma Q.
  title = {Evaluations of Atmospheric Downward Longwave Radiation from 44 Coupled General Circulation Models of CMIP5},
  author = {
Ma Q.
and Wang K.
and Wild M.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013JD021427/abstract},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {119},
  pages = {4486-4497},
}
,
@article{Wang K.
  title = {Measurement Biases Explain Discrepancies between the Observed and Simulated Decadal Variability of Surface Incident Solar Radiation},
  author = {
Wang K.
},
  url = {http://www.nature.com/srep/2014/140821/srep06144/full/srep06144.html},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {4},
}
,
@article{Chadwick R. S.
  title = {Surface warming patterns drive tropical rainfall pattern responses to CO2 forcing on all timescales},
  author = {
Chadwick R. S.
and Good P.
and Andrews T.
and Martin G.
},
  url = {http://http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013GL058504/abstract},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {41},
}
,
@article{Wjcik R.
  title = {Reliability of the CMIP5 GCM simulations in reproducing atmospheric circulation over Europe and the North Atlantic: a statistical downscaling perspective},
  author = {
Wjcik R.
},
  journal = {International Journal of Climatology},
}
,
@article{Bracegirdle T. J.
  title = {Sources of uncertainty in projections of twenty-first century westerly wind changes over the Amundsen Sea, West Antarctica, in CMIP5 climate models},
  author = {
Bracegirdle T. J.
and Turner J.
and Hosking J. S.
and Phillips T.
},
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-013-2032-1},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,
@article{Sherwood S. C.
  title = {Spread in model climate sensitivity traced to atmospheric convective mixing},
  author = {
Sherwood S. C.
and Bony S.
and Dufresne J.
},
  journal = {Nature},
  volume = {505},
  pages = {37-42},
}
,
@article{Dowdy A. J.
  title = {Fewer large waves projected for eastern Australia due to decreasing storminess},
  author = {
Dowdy A. J.
and Mills G. A.
and Timbal B.
and Wang Y.
},
  url = {http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/v4/n4/full/nclimate2142.html},
  journal = {Nature Climate Change},
  volume = {4},
  pages = {283-286},
}
,
@article{Skinner C. B.
  title = {Projected changes in African easterly wave intensity and track in response to greenhouse forcing},
  author = {
Skinner C. B.
and Diffenbaugh N. S.
},
  url = {http://www.pnas.org/content/early/2014/04/23/1319597111.abstract},
  journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences},
}
,
@article{King A. D.
  title = {The ENSO-Australian rainfall teleconnection in reanalysis and CMIP5},
  author = {
King A. D.
and Donat M. G.
and Alexander L. V.
and Karoly D. J.
},
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-014-2159-8},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,
@article{Haughton N.
  title = {On the generation of climate model ensembles},
  author = {
Haughton N.
and Abramowitz G.
and Pitman A.
and Phipps S. J.
},
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-014-2054-3},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,
@article{Gao Y.
  title = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  author = {
Gao Y.
and Leung L.
and Lu J.
and Liu Y.
and Huang M.
and Qian Y.
},
  url = {http://http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014GL059562/abstract},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {41},
  pages = {1745-1751},
}
,
@article{Cai W.
  title = {Did Climate Change%u2013Induced Rainfall Trends Contribute to the Australian Millennium Drought?},
  author = {
Cai W.
and Purich A.
and Cowan T.
and van Rensch P.
and Weller E.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
  pages = {3145-3168},
}
,
@article{Ramesh K. V.
  title = {Assessing reliability of regional climate projections: the case of Indian monsoon},
  author = {
Ramesh K. V.
},
  url = {http://www.nature.com/srep/2014/140212/srep04071/full/srep04071.html},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {4},
  pages = {1-9},
}
,
@article{Lutz A. F.
  title = {Consistent increase in High Asia%u2019s runoff due to increasing glacier melt and precipitation},
  author = {
Lutz A. F.
and Immerzeel W. W.
and Shrestha A. B.
and Bierkens M. F.
},
  url = {http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/v4/n7/full/nclimate2237.html},
  journal = {Nature Climate Change},
  volume = {4},
  pages = {587-592},
}
,
@article{Feng X.
  title = {Changes in significant and maximum wave heights in the Norwegian Sea},
  author = {
Feng X.
and Tsimplis M. N.
and Yelland M. J.
and Quartly G. D.
},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {113},
  pages = {58-76},
}
,
@article{Mitchell D. M.
  title = {Solar Signals in CMIP-5 Simulations: The Stratospheric Pathway},
  author = {
Mitchell D. M.
and Misios S.
and Gray L.
and Tourpali K.
and Matthes K.
and Hood L.
and Schmidt H.
and Chiodo G.
and Thieblemont R.
and Rozanov E.
and Shindell D.
and Krivolutsky A.
},
  journal = {Quarterly Journal Royal Meteorological Society},
}
,
@article{Laeppe T.
  title = {Global and regional variability in marine surface temperatures},
  author = {
Laeppe T.
},
  url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2014GL059345},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
}
,
@article{Hartmann D. L.
  title = {Trends in the CERES data set 2000-2013: The effects of ice melt and jet shifts and comparison to climate models},
  author = {
Hartmann D. L.
and Ceppi P.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00411.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
  pages = {2444-2456},
}
,
@article{Meehl G. A.
  title = {Decadal Climate Prediction: An Update from the Trenches},
  author = {
Meehl G. A.
and co-authors a.
},
  journal = {Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society},
  volume = {95},
  pages = {243-267},
}
,
@article{England M. H.
  title = {Recent intensification of wind-driven circulation in the Pacific and the ongoing warming hiatus},
  author = {
England M. H.
and co-authors a.
},
  journal = {Nature Climate Change},
  volume = {4},
  pages = {222-227},
}
,
@article{Wuebbles D.
  title = {CMIP5 climate model analyses: Climate extremes in the United States},
  author = {
Wuebbles D.
and co-authors a.
},
  journal = {Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society},
  volume = {95},
  pages = {571-583},
}
,
@article{Meehl G. A.
  title = {CMIP5 multi-model initialized decadal hindcasts for the mid-1970s shift and early-2000s hiatus and predictions for 2016-2035},
  author = {
Meehl G. A.
and Teng H.
},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
}
,
@article{Richter I.
  title = {Equatorial Atlantic variability and its relation to mean state biases in CMIP5},
  author = {
Richter I.
and Xie S.
and Behera S. K.
and Doi T.
and Masumoto Y.
},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {42},
  pages = {171-188},
}
,
@article{Elguindi N.
  title = {Assessment of CMIP5 global model simulations and climate change projections for the 21 st century using a modified Thornthwaite climate classification},
  author = {
Elguindi N.
and Grundstein A.
and Bernardes S.
and Turuncoglu U.
and Feddema J.
},
  journal = {Climatic Change},
  volume = {122},
  pages = {523-538},
}
,
@article{de Lavergne C.
  title = {Cessation of deep convection in the open Southern Ocean under anthropogenic climate change},
  author = {
de Lavergne C.
and Palter J. B.
and Galbraith E. D.
and Bernardello R.
and Marinov I.
},
  url = {http://http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/v4/n4/full/nclimate2132.html},
  journal = {Nature Climate Change},
  volume = {4},
  pages = {278-282},
}
,
@article{Burls N. J.
  title = {What controls the mean east-west sea surface temperature gradient in the equatorial Pacific: the role of cloud albedo},
  author = {
Burls N. J.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
  pages = { 2757-2778},
}
,
@article{Petkova E. P.
  title = {Projected Heat-Related Mortality in the U.S. Urban Northeast},
  author = {
Petkova E. P.
and Horton R. M.
and Bader D. A.
},
  url = {http://www.mdpi.com/1660-4601/10/12/6734},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {10},
  pages = {6734-6747},
}
,
@article{Dolinar E. K.
  title = {Evaluation of CMIP5 Simulated Clouds and TOA Radiation Budgets Using NASA Satellite Observations},
  author = {
Dolinar E. K.
and Dong X.
and Xi B.
and Jiang J. H.
and Su H.
},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,
@article{Baker N. C.
  title = {A Comparative Study of Precipitation and Evaporation between CMIP3 and CMIP5 Climate Model Ensembles in Semiarid Regions},
  author = {
Baker N. C.
and Huang H.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/pdf/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00398.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
  pages = {3731-3749},
}
,
@article{Xia L.
  title = {Solar Radiation Management impacts on agriculture in China: A case study in the Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project (GeoMIP)},
  author = {
Xia L.
and Robock A.
and Cole J. N.
and Curry C. L.
and Ji D.
and Jones A.
and Kravitz B.
and Moore J. C.
and Muri H.
and Niemeier U.
and Singh B.
and Tilmes S.
and Watanabe S.
and Yoon J.
},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
}
,
@article{Irvine P. J.
  title = {Key factors governing uncertainty in the response to sunshade geoengineering from a comparison of the GeoMIP ensemble and a perturbed parameter ensemble},
  author = {
Irvine P. J.
and Boucher O.
and Kravitz B.
and Alterskjær K.
and Cole J. N.
and Ji D.
and Jones A.
and Lunt D. J.
and Moore J. C.
and Muri H.
and Niemeier U.
and Robock A.
and Singh B.
and Tilmes S.
and Watanabe S.
and Yoon J.
},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
}
,
@article{Huneeus N.
  title = {Forcings and feedbacks in the GeoMIP ensemble for a reduction in solar irradiance and increase in CO2},
  author = {
Huneeus N.
and Boucher O.
and Alterskjær K.
and Cole J. N.
and Curry C. L.
and Ji D.
and Jones A.
and Kravitz B.
and Kristjánsson J.
and Moore J. C.
and Muri H.
and Niemeier U.
and Rasch P. J.
and Robock A.
and Singh B.
and Schmidt H.
and SChulz M.
and Tilmes S.
and Watanabe S.
and Yoon J.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013JD021110/full},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {119},
  pages = {5226-5239},
}
,
@article{Curry C. L.
  title = {A multi-model examination of climate extremes in an idealized geoengineering experiment},
  author = {
Curry C. L.
and Sillmann J.
and Bronaugh D.
and Alterskjær K.
and Cole J. N.
and Ji D.
and Kravitz B.
and Kristjánsson J.
and Moore J. C.
and Muri H.
and Niemeier U.
and Robock A.
and Tilmes S.
and Yang S.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013JD020648/full},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {119},
  pages = {3900-3923},
}
,
@article{Berdahl M.
  title = {Arctic cryosphere response in the Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project (GeoMIP) G3 and G4 scenarios},
  author = {
Berdahl M.
and Robock A.
and Ji D.
and Kravitz B.
and Moore J. C.
and Watanabe S.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013JD020627/abstract},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {119},
  pages = {1308-1321},
}
,
@article{Moore J. C.
  title = {Arctic sea ice and atmospheric circulation under the GeoMIP G1 scenario},
  author = {
Moore J. C.
and Rinke A.
and Yu X.
and Ji D.
and Cui X.
and Li Y.
and Alterskjær K.
and Kristjánsson J.
and Muri H.
and Boucher O.
and Huneeus N.
and Kravitz B.
and Robock A.
and Niemeier U.
and SChulz M.
and Tilmes S.
and Watanabe S.
and Yang S.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013JD021060/abstract},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {119},
  pages = {567-583},
}
,
@article{Kravitz B.
  title = {A multi-model assessment of regional climate disparities caused by solar geoengineering},
  author = {
Kravitz B.
and MacMartin D. G.
and Robock A.
and Rasch P. J.
and Ricke K. L.
and Cole J. N.
and Curry C. L.
and Irvine P. J.
and Ji D.
and Keith D. W.
and Kristjánsson J.
and Moore J. C.
and Muri H.
and Singh B.
and Tilmes S.
and Watanabe S.
and Yang S.
and Yoon J.
},
  url = {http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/9/7/074013/},
  journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
  volume = {9},
}
,
@article{Tan M.
  title = {Impacts and uncertainties of climate change on streamflow of the Johor River Basin, Malaysia using a CMIP5 General Circulation Model ensemble},
  author = {
Tan M.
and Ficklin D.
and Ibrahim A.
and Yusop Z.
},
  url = {http://www.iwaponline.com/jwc/up/jwc2014020.htm},
  journal = {Other},
}
,
@article{Marcos M.
  title = {Quantifying anthropogenic and natural contributions to thermosteric sea level rise},
  author = {
Marcos M.
and Amores A.
},
  url = {http://http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014GL059766/abstract},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {41},
  pages = {2502-2507},
}
,
@article{Van den Hurk B. J.
  title = { Drivers of mean climate change around the Netherlands derived from CMIP5},
  author = {
Van den Hurk B. J.
and Van Oldenborgh G. J.
and Lenderink G.
and Hazeleger W.
and Haarsma R. J.
and De Vries H.
},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {42},
  pages = {1683-1697},
}
,
@article{Sabeerali C. T.
  title = {Why ensemble mean projection of South Asian Monsoon rainfall by CMIP5 models is not reliable?},
  author = {
Sabeerali C. T.
and Rao S. A.
and Dhakate A. R.
and Salunke K.
and Goswami B. N.
},
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-014-2269-3},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,
@article{Sandeep S.
  title = {Poleward shift in Indian summer monsoon low level jetstream under global warming},
  author = {
Sandeep S.
and Ajayamohan R.
},
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-014-2261-y},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,
@article{Akurut M.
  title = {Potential Impacts of Climate Change on Precipitation over Lake Victoria, East Africa, in the 21st Century},
  author = {
Akurut M.
and Wilems P.
and Niwagaba C. B.
},
  url = {http://www.mdpi.com/2073-4441/6/9/2634},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {6},
  pages = {2634-2659},
}
,
@article{Sandeep S.
  title = {Origin of cold bias over the Arabian Sea in Climate Models},
  author = {
Sandeep S.
and Ajayamohan R.
},
  url = {http://www.nature.com/srep/2014/140917/srep06403/full/srep06403.html},
  journal = {Other},
}
,
@article{Dwyer J. G.
  title = {The Effect of greenhouse gas-induced changes in SST on the annual cycle of zonal mean tropical precipitation},
  author = {
Dwyer J. G.
and Biasutti M.
and Sobel A. H.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
}
,
@article{Scoccimarro E.
  title = {Heavy precipitation events over the Euro-Mediterranean region in a warmer climate: results from CMIP5 models},
  author = {
Scoccimarro E.
and Gualdi S.
and Bellucci A.
and Zampieri M.
},
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10113-014-0712-y },
  journal = {Other},
}
,
@article{Cheruy f.
  title = {Role of clouds and land-atmosphere coupling in midlatitude continental summer warm biases and climate change amplification in CMIP5 simulations},
  author = {
Cheruy f.
and Dufresne J.
and Hourdin F.
},
  url = {http://http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014GL061145/abstract},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {48},
  pages = {6493-6500},
}
,
@article{King A. D.
  title = {Climate Change turns Australia's 2013 Big Dry into a year of record-breaking heat},
  author = {
King A. D.
and Karoly D. J.
and Donat M. G.
and Alexander L. V.
},
  url = {http://www.journals.ametsoc.org/doi/pdf/10.1175/1520-0477-95.9.S1.1},
  journal = {Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society},
  volume = {95},
  pages = {S41-S45},
}
,
@article{Guttorp P.
  title = {Assessing the uncertainty in projecting local mean sea level from global temperature},
  author = {
Guttorp P.
and Bolin D.
and Januzzi A.
and Novak M.
and Podschwit H.
and Richardson L.
and Särkkä A.
and Sowder C.
and Zimmerman A.
},
  journal = {Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology},
  volume = {53},
  pages = {2163-2170},
}
,
@article{Sanap S. D.
  title = {Assessment of the aerosol distribution over Indian subcontinent in CMIP5 models},
  author = {
Sanap S. D.
and Pandithurai G.
and Chaudhury A. D.
and Niranjan K.
},
  url = {http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1352231014000260?np=y},
  journal = {Atmospheric Environment},
  volume = {87},
  pages = {123-127},
}
,
@article{Manda A.
  title = {Impacts of a warming marginal sea on torrential rainfall organized under the Asian summer monsoon},
  author = {
Manda A.
and Nakamura H.
and Asano N.
and Iizuka S.
and Miyama T.
and Moteki Q.
and Yoshioka M. K.
and Nishii K.
},
  url = {http://www.nature.com/srep/2014/140718/srep05741/full/srep05741.html},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {4},
}
,
@article{Laine A.
  title = {A diagnostic study of future evaporation changes projected in CMIP5 climate models},
  author = {
Laine A.
and Nakamura H.
and Kazuaki N.
and Takafumi M.
},
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-014-2087-7#page-1},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {42},
  pages = {2745-2761},
}
,
@article{Noda A. T.
  title = {Intermodel variances of subtropical stratocumulus environments simulated in CMIP5 models},
  author = {
Noda A. T.
and Satoh M.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014GL061812/abstract},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {41},
}
,
@article{Young P. J.
  title = {Modeling the climate impact of Southern Hemisphere ozone depletion: The importance of the ozone dataset},
  author = {
Young P. J.
and Davis S. M.
and Hassler B.
and Solomon S.
and Rosenlof K. H.
},
  url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2014GL061738},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {41},
  pages = {9033-9039},
}
,
@article{Terzago S.
  title = {Snowpack Changes in the Hindu Kush%u2013Karakoram%u2013Himalaya from CMIP5 Global Climate Models},
  author = {
Terzago S.
and von Hardenberg J.
and Palazzi E.
and Provenzale A.
},
  journal = {Journal of Hydrometeorology},
  volume = {15},
  pages = {2293-2313},
}
,
@article{Iles C. E.
  title = {The global precipitation response to volcanic eruptions in the CMIP5 models},
  author = {
Iles C. E.
and Hegerl G. C.
},
  url = {http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/9/10/104012/article},
  journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
  volume = {9},
}
,
@article{Wan H.
  title = {Attributing northern high-latitude precipitation change over the period 1966%u20132005 to human influence},
  author = {
Wan H.
and Zhang X.
and Zwiers F.
and Min S.
},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,
@article{Sun Y.
  title = {Rapid increase in the risk of extreme summer heat in Eastern China},
  author = {
Sun Y.
and Zhang X.
and Zwiers F.
and Song L.
and Wan H.
and Hu T.
and Yin H.
and Ren G.
},
  journal = {Nature Climate Change},
  volume = {4},
  pages = {1082-1085},
}
,
@article{Hoffman F. M.
  title = {Causes and Implications of Persistent Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide Biases in Earth System Models},
  author = {
Hoffman F. M.
and Randerson J. T.
and Arora V. K.
and Bao Q.
and Cadule P.
and Ji D.
and Jones C. D.
and Kawamiya M.
and Khatiwala S.
and Lindsay K.
and Obata A.
and Shevliakova E.
and Six K. D.
and Tjiputra J. F.
and Volodin E. M.
and Wu T.
},
  url = {http://www.climatemodeling.org/~forrest/pubs/papers/Hoffman_JGRB_20140201.pdf},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research},
  volume = {119},
  pages = {141-162},
}
,
@article{Wang C.
  title = {A global perspective on CMIP5 climate model biases},
  author = {
Wang C.
and Zhang L.
and Lee S.
and Wu L.
and Mechoso C.
},
  journal = {Nature Climate Change},
  volume = {4},
  pages = {201-205},
}
,
@article{Lebsock M. D.
  title = {Application of Active Spaceborne Remote Sensing for Understanding Biases Between Passive Cloud Water Path Retrievals},
  author = {
Lebsock M. D.
and Su H.
},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {119},
  pages = {8962-8979},
}
,
@article{Endo H.
  title = {Thermodynamic and dynamic effects on regional monsoon rainfall changes in a warmer climate},
  author = {
Endo H.
and Kitoh A.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013GL059158/abstract},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {41},
  pages = {1704-1710},
}
,
@article{Grise K. M.
  title = {The response of midlatitude jets to increased CO2: Distinguishing the roles of sea surface temperature and direct radiative forcing},
  author = {
Grise K. M.
and Polvani L. M.
},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {41},
  pages = {6863-6871},
}
,
@article{Bintanja R.
  title = {Future increases in Arctic precipitation linked to local evaporation and sea ice retreat},
  author = {
Bintanja R.
and Selten F.
},
  url = {http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v509/n7501/full/nature13259.html},
  journal = {Nature},
  volume = {509},
  pages = {479-482},
}
,
@article{Schoof J. T.
  title = {Assessing the fidelity of AOGCM-simulated relationships between large-scale modes of climate variability and wind speeds},
  author = {
Schoof J. T.
and Pryor S. C.
},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {119},
}
,
@article{Scheff J.
  title = {Scaling Potential Evapotranspiration with Greenhouse Warming},
  author = {
Scheff J.
and Frierson D. M.
},
  url = {http://www.ldeo.columbia.edu/~jscheff/SF2013ScalingPotEvap.pdf},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
  pages = {1539-1558},
}
,
@article{Saha A.
  title = {Failure of CMIP5 climate models in simulating post-1950 decreasing trend of Indian monsoon},
  author = {
Saha A.
and Ghosh S.
and A.S. S.
and Rao E.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014GL061573/pdf},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {41},
  pages = {7323-7330},
}
,
@article{Shashikanth K.
  title = {Comparing statistically downscaled simulations of Indian monsoon at different spatial resolutions},
  author = {
Shashikanth K.
},
  url = {http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0022169414008373#},
  journal = {Other},
  pages = {3163-3177},
}
,
@article{Yu M.
  title = {Future changes of the terrestrial ecosystem based on a dynamic vegetation model driven with RCP8.5 climate projections from 19 GCMs},
  author = {
Yu M.
and Wang G.
and Parr D.
and Ahmed K. F.
},
  journal = {Climatic Change},
  volume = {127},
  pages = {257-271},
}
,
@article{Harada M.
  title = {Impacts of Slowed Tropical Circulation on Winter Stationary Waves in East Asia and the North Pacific},
  author = {
Harada M.
and Wakamatsu S.
and Hirahara S.
and Murai H.
and Oikawa Y.
and Maeda S.
},
  url = {http://doi.org/10.2151/sola.2014-038},
  journal = {SOLA},
  volume = {10},
  pages = {180-184},
}
,
@article{Durack P. J.
  title = {Quantifying underestimates of long-term upper-ocean warming},
  author = {
Durack P. J.
and Gleckler P. J.
and Landerer F. W.
and Taylor K. E.
},
  url = {http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/v4/n11/abs/nclimate2389.html},
  journal = {Nature Climate Change},
  volume = {4},
  pages = {999-1005},
}
,
@article{Wu Q.
  title = {Interannual Variability and Long-Term Changes of Atmospheric Circulation over the Chukchi and Beaufort Seas },
  author = {
Wu Q.
and Zhang J.
and Zhang X.
and Tao W.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/pdf/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00610.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
  pages = {4871-4889},
}
,
@article{Ji D.
  title = {Description and basic evaluation of Beijing Normal University Earth System Model (BNU-ESM) version 1},
  author = {
Ji D.
and Wang L.
and Feng J.
and Wu Q.
and Cheng H.
and Zhang Q.
and Yang J.
and Dong W.
and Dai Y.
and Gong D.
and Zhang R.
and Wang X.
and Liu J.
and Moore J. C.
and Chen D.
and Zhou M.
},
  url = {http://www.geosci-model-dev.net/7/2039/2014/gmd-7-2039-2014.html},
  journal = {Geoscientific Model Development},
  volume = {7},
  pages = {2039-2064},
}
,
@article{Ohba M.
  title = {Statistical parameterization expressing ENSO variability and reversibility in response to CO2 concentration changes},
  author = {
Ohba M.
and Tsutsui J.
and Nohara D.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {27},
  pages = {398-410},
}
,
@article{Anav A.
  title = {EVALUATING THE LAND AND OCEAN COMPONENTS OF THE GLOBAL CARBON CYCLE IN THE CMIP5 EARTH SYSTEM MODELS},
  author = {
Anav A.
and Friedlingstein P.
and Kidston M.
and Bopp L.
and Ciais P.
and Cox P.
and Jones C.
and Jung M.
and Myneni R.
and Zhu Z.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,
@article{van Oldenborgh G.
  title = {Reliability of regional climate model trends},
  author = {
van Oldenborgh G.
and Doblas-Reyes F. R.
and Drijfhout S. S.
and Hawkins E.
},
  url = {http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/8/1/014055/},
  journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
  volume = {8},
}
,
@article{Mitchell D. M.
  title = {Revisiting the controversial issue of tropical tropospheric temperature trends},
  author = {
Mitchell D. M.
and Thorne P. W.
and Stott P. A.
and Gray L. J.
},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {40},
}
,
@article{Dwyer J. G.
  title = {The effect of greenhouse-gas-induced changes in SST on the seasonality of tropical precipitation},
  author = {
Dwyer J. G.
and Biasutti M.
and Sobel A. H.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,
@article{Sabeerali C. T.
  title = {Simulation of boreal summer intraseasonal oscillations in the latest CMIP5 coupled GCMs},
  author = {
Sabeerali C. T.
and Dandi R. A.
and Dhakate A. R.
and Salunke K.
and Mahapatra S.
and Rao S. A.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/jgrd.50403/pdf},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research},
  volume = {118},
  pages = {4401-4420},
}
,
@article{Villarini G.
  title = {Projections of heavy rainfall over the central United States based on CMIP5 models},
  author = {
Villarini G.
and Scoccimarro E.
and Gualdi S.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/asl2.440/abstract},
  journal = {Atmospheric Science Letters},
  volume = {14},
  pages = {200-205},
}
,
@article{Scoccimarro E.
  title = {Heavy precipitation events in a warmer climate: results from CMIP5 models},
  author = {
Scoccimarro E.
and Gualdi S.
and Bellucci A.
and Zampieri M.
and Navarra A.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,
@article{Weller E.
  title = {Asymmetry in the IOD and ENSO Teleconnection in a CMIP5 Model Ensemble and Its Relevance to Regional Rainfall},
  author = {
Weller E.
and Cai W.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {26},
  pages = {5139-5149},
}
,
@article{Chen L.
  title = {Assessing the performance of IPCC AR5 Climate Models in simulating and projecting wind speeds over China},
  author = {
Chen L.
and Pryor S. C.
},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {117},
}
,
@article{Dunn-Sigouin E.
  title = {Northern Hemisphere blocking frequency and duration in the CMIP5 models},
  author = {
Dunn-Sigouin E.
and Son S.
},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research},
}
,
@article{Collins M.
  title = {CORRESPONDENCE: Observational challenges in evaluating climate models},
  author = {
Collins M.
and AchutaRao K.
and Ashok K.
and Bhandari S.
and Mitra A. K.
and Srivastava R.
and Turner A.
},
  url = {http://http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/v3/n11/full/nclimate2012.html},
  journal = {Nature Climate Change},
  volume = {3},
  pages = {940-941},
}
,
@article{Brown J. R.
  title = {The western Pacific monsoon in CMIP5 models: Model evaluation and projections},
  author = {
Brown J. R.
and Colman R. A.
and Moise A. F.
and Smith I. N.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013JD020290/full},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {118},
  pages = {12,458-12,475},
}
,
@article{Kim J.
  title = { Thermal characteristics of the cold-point tropopause region in CMIP5 models},
  author = {
Kim J.
and Grise K. M.
and Son S.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/jgrd.50649/full},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {118},
}
,
@article{Lohmann G.
  title = {A model-data comparison of the Holocene global sea surface temperature evolution},
  author = {
Lohmann G.
and Pfeiffer M.
and Laepple T.
and Leduc G.
and Kim J.
},
  url = {http://www.clim-past.net/9/1807/2013/cp-9-1807-2013.html},
  journal = {Climate of the Past},
  volume = {9},
  pages = {1807-1839},
}
,
@article{Kravitz B.
  title = {Climate model response from the Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project (GeoMIP)},
  author = {
Kravitz B.
and Caldeira K.
and Boucher O.
and Robock A.
and Rasch P. J.
and Alterskjær K.
and Bou Karam D.
and Cole J. N.
and Curry C. L.
and Haywood J. M.
and Irvine P. J.
and Ji D.
and Jones A.
and Kristjánsson J.
and Lunt D. J.
and Moore J. C.
and Niemeier U.
and Schmidt H.
and SChulz M.
and Singh B.
and Tilmes S.
and Watanabe S.
and Yang S.
and Yoon J.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/jgrd.50646/abstract},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {118},
  pages = {8320-8332},
}
,
@article{Pithan F.
  title = {Mixed-phase clouds cause climate model biases in Arctic wintertime temperature inversions },
  author = {
Pithan F.
and Medeiros B.
and Mauritsen T.
},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {43},
}
,
@article{Jones A.
  title = {The impact of abrupt suspension of solar radiation management (termination effect) in experiment G2 of the Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project (GeoMIP)},
  author = {
Jones A.
and Haywood J. M.
and Alterskjær K.
and Boucher O.
and Cole J. N.
and Curry C. L.
and Irvine P. J.
and Ji D.
and Kravitz B.
and Kristjánsson J.
and Moore J. C.
and Niemeier U.
and Robock A.
and Schmidt H.
and Singh B.
and Tilmes S.
and Watanabe S.
and Yoon J.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/jgrd.50762/abstract},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {118},
  pages = {9743-9752},
}
,
@article{Tilmes S.
  title = {The hydrological impact of geoengineering in the Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project (GeoMIP)},
  author = {
Tilmes S.
and Fasullo J.
and Lamarque J.
and Marsch D. R.
and Mills M.
and Alterskjær K.
and Boucher O.
and Cole J. N.
and Curry C. L.
and Haywood J. M.
and Irvine P. J.
and Ji D.
and Jones A.
and Bou Karam D.
and Kravitz B.
and Kristjánsson J.
and Moore J. C.
and Muri H.
and Niemeier U.
and Rasch P. J.
and Robock A.
and Schmidt H.
and SChulz M.
and Singh B.
and Watanabe S.
and Yang S.
and Yoon J.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/jgrd.50868/abstract},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {118},
  pages = {11036-11058},
}
,
@article{Kravitz B.
  title = {An energetic perspective on hydrological cycle changes in the Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project (GeoMIP)},
  author = {
Kravitz B.
and Rasch P. J.
and Forster P. M.
and Andrews T.
and Cole J. N.
and Irvine P. J.
and Ji D.
and Kristjánsson J.
and Moore J. C.
and Muri H.
and Niemeier U.
and Robock A.
and Singh B.
and Tilmes S.
and Watanabe S.
and Yoon J.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013JD020502/abstract},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {118},
  pages = {13087-13102},
}
,
@article{Friedman A. R.
  title = {Interhemispheric temperature asymmetry over the 20th century and in future projections},
  author = {
Friedman A. R.
and Hwang Y.
and Chiang J. C.
and Frierson D. M.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/full/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00525.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {26},
  pages = {5419-5433},
}
,
@article{Zhang X.
  title = {Attributing intensification of precipitation extremes to human influence},
  author = {
Zhang X.
and Wan H.
and Zwiers F. W.
and Hegerl G.
and Min S.
},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {40},
  pages = {5252-5257},
}
,
@article{Roehrig R.
  title = {The present and future of the West African monsoon: a process-oriented assessment of CMIP5 simulations along the AMMA transect.},
  author = {
Roehrig R.
and Bouniol D.
and Guichard F.
and Hourdin F.
and Redelsperger J.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00505.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,
@article{Orlowsky B.
  title = {Elusive drought: uncertainty in observed trends and short- and long-term CMIP5 projections},
  author = {
Orlowsky B.
and Seneviratne S. I.
},
  url = {http://www.hydrol-earth-syst-sci.net/17/1765/2013/hess-17-1765-2013.html},
  journal = {Hydrology and Earth System Sciences},
  volume = {17},
  pages = {1765-1781},
}
,
@article{Sillmann J.
  title = {Climate extreme indices in the CMIP5 multi-model ensemble. Part 2: Future climate projections},
  author = {
Sillmann J.
and Kharin V. V.
and Zwiers F. W.
and Zhang X.
and Bronaugh D. R.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/jgrd.50188/abstract},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {118},
  pages = {2473-2493},
}
,
@article{Sillmann J.
  title = {Climate extreme indices in the CMIP5 multi-model ensemble. Part 1: Model evaluation in the present climate},
  author = {
Sillmann J.
and Kharin V. V.
and Zwiers F. W.
and Zhang X.
and Bronaugh D. R.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/jgrd.50203/abstract},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {118},
  pages = {1716-1733},
}
,
@article{Dunstone N. J.
  title = {Anthropogenic aerosol forcing of Atlantic tropical storms},
  author = {
Dunstone N. J.
and Smith D. M.
and Booth B. B.
and Hermanson L. H.
and Eade R.
},
  url = {http://www.nature.com/ngeo/journal/v6/n7/full/ngeo1854.html},
  journal = {Nature Geoscience},
  volume = {6},
  pages = {534-539},
}
,
@article{Bracegirdle T. J.
  title = {Assessment of surface winds over the Atlantic, Indian and Pacific Ocean sectors of the Southern Ocean in CMIP5 models: historical bias, forcing response, and state dependence},
  author = {
Bracegirdle T. J.
and Shuckburgh E.
and Sallee J.
and Wang Z.
and Meijers A. J.
and Bruneau N.
and Phillips T.
and Wilcox L. J.
},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
}
,
@article{Ceppi P.
  title = {The relationship between the ITCZ and the Southern Hemisphere eddy-driven jet},
  author = {
Ceppi P.
and Hwang Y.
and Liu X.
and Frierson D. M.
and Hartmann D. L.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/jgrd.50461/abstract},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {118},
  pages = {5136-5146},
}
,
@article{Paek H.
  title = {Centennial trend and decadal-to-interdecadal variability of atmospheric angular momentum in CMIP3 and CMIP5 simulations},
  author = {
Paek H.
and Huang H.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00515.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {26},
  pages = {3846-3864},
}
,
@article{Young P. J.
  title = {Agreement in late twentieth century Southern Hemisphere stratospheric temperature trends in observations and CCMVal-2, CMIP3, and CMIP5 models},
  author = {
Young P. J.
and Bulter A. H.
and Calvo N.
and Haimberger L.
and Kushner P. J.
and Marsh D. R.
and Randell W. J.
and Rosenlof K. H.
},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
  volume = {113},
  pages = {605-613},
}
,
@article{Lutz A. F.
  title = {Comparison of climate change signals in CMIP3 and CMIP5 multi-model ensembles and implications for Central Asian glaciers},
  author = {
Lutz A. F.
and Immerzeel W. W.
and Gobiet A.
and Pellicciotti F.
and Bierkens M. F.
},
  url = {http://www.hydrol-earth-syst-sci.net/17/3661/2013/hess-17-3661-2013.html},
  journal = {Hydrology and Earth System Sciences},
  volume = {17},
  pages = {3661-3677},
}
,
@article{Cowan T.
  title = {Forcing of anthropogenic aerosols on temperature trends of the sub-thermocline southern Indian Ocean},
  author = {
Cowan T.
and Cai W.
and Purich A.
and Rotstayn L.
and Matthew E. H.
},
  journal = {Other},
  volume = {3},
}
,
@article{Belleflamme A.
  title = {Current and future atmospheric circulation at 500 hPa over Greenland simulated by the CMIP3 and CMIP5 global models},
  author = {
Belleflamme A.
and Fettweis X.
and Lang C.
and Erpicum M.
},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {41},
  pages = {2061-2080},
}
,
@article{Wu R.
  title = {Precipitation-Surface Temperature Relationship in the IPCC CMIP5 Models},
  author = {
Wu R.
and Chen J.
and Wen Z.
},
  journal = {Advances in Atmospheric Sciences},
  volume = {30},
  pages = {766-788},
}
,
@article{Anav A. A.
  title = {Evaluation of Land Surface Models in Reproducing Satellite Derived Leaf Area Index over the High-Latitude Northern Hemisphere. Part II: Earth System Models},
  author = {
Anav A. A.
and Murray-Tortarolo G. M.
and Friedlingstein P. P.
and Sitch S. S.
and Piao S. S.
and Zhu Z. Z.
},
  url = {http://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/5/8/3637},
  journal = {Remote Sensing},
  volume = {5},
  pages = {3637-3661},
}
,
@article{Huntingford C.
  title = {No increase in global temperature variability despite changing regional patterns},
  author = {
Huntingford C.
and Jones P. D.
and Livina V. N.
and Lenton T. M.
},
  url = {http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v500/n7462/full/nature12310.html},
  journal = {Nature},
  volume = {500},
  pages = {327-330},
}
,
@article{Niznik M. J.
  title = {Circulation, moisture, and precipitation relationships along the South Pacific Convergence Zone in reanalyses and CMIP5 models},
  author = {
Niznik M. J.
and Lintner B. R.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {26},
  pages = {10174-10192},
}
,
@article{Marvel K.
  title = {Identifying external influences on global precipitation},
  author = {
Marvel K.
and Bonfils C.
},
  journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences},
  volume = {110},
  pages = {19301-19306},
}
,
@article{Gillett N. P.
  title = {Annular mode changes in the CMIP5 simulations},
  author = {
Gillett N. P.
and Fyfe J. C.
},
  url = {http://http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/grl.50249/abstract},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {40},
  pages = {1189-1193},
}
,
@article{Gillett N. P.
  title = {Constraining the Ratio of Global Warming to Cumulative CO2 Emissions Using CMIP5 Simulations},
  author = {
Gillett N. P.
and Arora V. K.
and Matthews D.
and Allen M. R.
},
  url = {http://http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00476.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {26},
  pages = {6844-6858},
}
,
@article{Barnes E. A.
  title = {Model projections of atmospheric steering of Sandy-like superstorms},
  author = {
Barnes E. A.
and Polvani L. M.
and Sobel A. H.
},
  url = {http://http://www.pnas.org/content/early/2013/08/28/1308732110.abstract},
  journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences},
  volume = {110},
  pages = {15211-15215},
}
,
@article{Purich A.
  title = {Autumn Precipitation Trends over Southern Hemisphere Midlatitudes as Simulated by CMIP5 Models},
  author = {
Purich A.
and Cowan T.
and Min S.
and Cai W.
},
  url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/pdf/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00007.1},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
  volume = {26},
  pages = {8341-8356},
}
,
@article{Harada M.
  title = {Intensification of the South Side of the Asian Jet Stream during the Northern Winter in CMIP5 models},
  author = {
Harada M.
and Hirahara S.
and Hagiya S.
and Murai H.
and Oikawa Y.
and Maeda S.
},
  url = {http://doi.org/10.2151/sola.2013-021},
  journal = {SOLA},
  volume = {9},
  pages = {94-97},
}
,
@article{Torres R. R.
  title = {Climate change hotspots over South America: from CMIP3 to CMIP5 multi-model datasets},
  author = {
Torres R. R.
and Marengo J. A.
},
  journal = {Theoretical and Applied Climatology},
}
,
@article{Ribes A.
  title = {Application of regularised optimal fingerprinting to attribution. Part II: application to global near-surface temperature based on CMIP5 simulations},
  author = {
Ribes A.
and Terray L.
},
  url = {http://http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-013-1736-6},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,
@article{Ribes A.
  title = {Application of regularised optimal fingerprinting to attribution. Part I: method, properties, and idealised analysis},
  author = {
Ribes A.
and Planton S.
and Terray L.
},
  url = {http://http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-013-1735-7},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,
@article{Wild M.
  title = {The global energy balance from a surface perspective},
  author = {
Wild M.
and Folini D.
and Schär C.
and Loeb N.
and Dutton E. G.
and König-Langlo G.
},
  url = {http://www.iac.ethz.ch/people/wild/Wild_et_al_ClimDyn_2013.pdf},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
  volume = {40},
  pages = {3107-3134},
}
,
@article{Song Y.
  title = {Water vapor transport and cross-equatorial flow over the Asian-Australia monsoon region simulated by CMIP5 climate models},
  author = {
Song Y.
and Qiao F.
and Song Z.
and Jiang C.
},
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00376-012-2148-y},
  journal = {Advances in Atmospheric Sciences},
  volume = {30},
  pages = {726-738},
}
,
@article{Perez J.
  title = {Evaluating the performance of CMIP3 and CMIP5 global climate models over the north-east Atlantic region},
  author = {
Perez J.
and Menendez M.
and Mendez F. J.
and Losada I. J.
},
  url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-014-2078-8},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,
@article{Eyring V.
  title = {Long-term ozone changes and associated climate impacts in CMIP5 simulations},
  author = {
Eyring V.
and Arblaster J. M.
and Cionni I.
and SedláÄ?ek J.
and Perlwitz J.
and Young P. J.
and Bekki S.
and Bergmann D.
and Cameron-Smith P.
and Collins W. J.
and Faluvegi G.
and Gottschaldt K.
and Horowitz L. W.
and Kinnison D. E.
and Lamarque J.
and Marsh D. R.
and Saint-Martin D.
and Shindell D. T.
and Sudo K.
and Szopa S.
and Watanabe S.
},
  url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/jgrd.50316/abstract},
  journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research},
  volume = {118},
  pages = {5029-5060},
}
,
@article{Hu y.
  title = {Poleward Expansion of the Hadley Circulation in CMIP5 Simulations},
  author = {
Hu y.
and Tao L.
},
  journal = {Advances in Atmospheric Sciences},
  volume = {30},
  pages = {790-795},
}
,
@article{vial j.
  title = {On the interpretation of inter-model spread in CMIP5 climate sensitivity estimates},
  author = {
vial j.
and Dufresne J.
and Bony S.
},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,
@article{Ramirez-Villegas J.
  title = { Implications of regional improvement in global climate models for agricultural impact research },
  author = {
Ramirez-Villegas J.
and Challinor A. J.
and Thornton P. K.
and Jarvis A.
},
  url = {http://stacks.iop.org/ERL/8/024018},
  journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
  volume = {8},
  pages = {1-12},
}
,
@article{Smith I. N.
  title = {Squeezing information from regional climate change projections - results from a synthesis of CMIP5 results for south-east Queensland, Australia.},
  author = {
Smith I. N.
and Syktus J.
and McAlpine C.
},
  journal = {Climatic Change},
}
,
@article{Smith I. N.
  title = {The relative performance of Australian CMIP5 models based on rainfall and ENSO metrics},
  author = {
Smith I. N.
and Syktus J.
and Rotstayn L.
and Jeffrey S.
},
  journal = {Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Journal},
}
,
@article{Fettweis X.
  title = {Estimating Greenland ice sheet surface mass balance contribution to future sea level rise using the regional atmospheric climate model MAR},
  author = {
Fettweis X.
and Franco B.
and Tedesco M.
and van Angelen J.
and Lenaerts J.
and van den Broeke M.
and Gallée H.
},
  journal = {The Cryosphere Discussions},
}
,
@article{Wang B.
  title = {Future change of Asian-Australian monsoon},
  author = {
Wang B.
and Yim S.
and Lee J.
and Liu J.
and Ha K.
},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,
@article{Lee J.
  title = {Future change of global monsoon in the CMIP5},
  author = {
Lee J.
and Wang B.
},
  url = {http://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007%2Fs00382-012-1564-0},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,
@article{Myhrvold N.
  title = {Time scale of thermal response of an abrupt change in atmospheric CO2 content in CMIP5 simulations },
  author = {
Myhrvold N.
and Caldeira K.
},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
}
,
@article{Kongola L.
  title = {Dependence of groundwater resources on extreme rainfall: evidence from East Africa. },
  author = {
Kongola L.
and Taylor R. G.
and Todd M. C.
},
  journal = {Nature},
}
,
@article{Ceppi P.
  title = {Southern Hemisphere jet latitude biases in CMIP5 models linked to shortwave cloud forcing},
  author = {
Ceppi P.
and Hwang Y.
and Frierson D. M.
and Hartmann D. L.
},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
}
,
@article{Levine R. C.
  title = {The role of northern Arabian Sea surface temperature biases in CMIP5 model simulations and future predictions of Indian summer monsoon rainfall},
  author = {
Levine R. C.
and Turner A. G.
and Marathayil D.
and Martin G. M.
},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,
@article{BELLENGER H.
  title = {ENSO representation in climate models: from CMIP3 to CMIP5},
  author = {
BELLENGER H.
and Guilyardi E.
and Leloup J.
and Lengaigne M.
and Vialard J.
},
  journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,
@article{Su F.
  title = {Evaluation of the Global Climate Models in the CMIP5 over the Tibetan Plateau},
  author = {
Su F.
and Duan X.
and Hao Z.
and Cuo L.
and Chen D.
},
  journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,
@article{McSweeney C. F.
  title = {No consensus on consensus: The challenge of finding a universal approach to measuring and mapping ensemble consistency in GCM projections},
  author = {
McSweeney C. F.
and Jones R. G.
},
  journal = {Climatic Change},
}
,
@article{Wang M.
  title = {Summer Arctic sea ice will be gone sooner or later %u2013 an update from CMIP5 models},
  author = {
Wang M.
and Overland J. E.
},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
}
,
@article{Frierson D. M.
  title = {Robust future precipitation declines in CMIP5 largely reflect the poleward expansion of model subtropical dry zones},
  author = {
Frierson D. M.
and Scheff J.
},
  url = {http://www.ldeo.columbia.edu/~jscheff/2012GL052910.pdf},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {39},
}
,
@article{Mauritsen T.
  title = {Tuning the climate of a global model},
  author = {
Mauritsen T.
and Stevens B.
and Roeckner E.
and Crueger T.
and Esch M.
and Giorgetta M.
and Haak H.
and Jungclaus J.
and Klocke D.
and Matei D.
and Mikolajewicz U.
and Notz D.
and Pincus R.
and Schmidt H.
and Tomassini L.
},
  url = {http://www.agu.org/pubs/crossref/2012/2012MS000154.shtml},
  journal = {Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems},
  volume = {4},
}
,
@article{Wang K.
  title = {A review of global terrestrial evapotranspiration: Observation, modeling, climatology, and climatic variability},
  author = {
Wang K.
and Dickinson R.
},
  url = {http://www.agu.org/pubs/crossref/2012/2011RG000373.shtml},
  journal = {Reviews of Geophysics},
  volume = {50},
}
,
@article{DU Z.
  title = {How Well can CMIP5 CGCMs Simulate the EAP/PJ Teleconnection Pattern and its Corresponding Summer Climate in the East Asian Monsoon Region},
  author = {
DU Z.
and HUANG R.
and Huang G.
},
  journal = {Advances in Atmospheric Sciences},
}
,
@article{Kim S.
  title = {The Two Types of ENSO in CMIP5 Models},
  author = {
Kim S.
and Yu J.
},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  volume = {39},
}
,
@article{Geoffroy O.
  title = {Quantifying the sources of spread in climate change experiments},
  author = {
Geoffroy O.
and Saint-Martin D.
and Ribes A.
},
  url = {http://www.cnrm.meteo.fr/spip.php?article180&lang=fr},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
}
,
@article{Po-Chedley S.
  title = {Discrepancies in tropical upper tropospheric warming between atmospheric circulation models and satellites},
  author = {
Po-Chedley S.
and Fu Q.
},
  url = {http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/7/4/044018/},
  journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
  volume = {7},
}
,
@article{DU Z.
  title = {How well can CMIP5 CGCMs simulate the Asian summer monsoon rainfall and its interannual variability and their future projections},
  author = {
DU Z.
and HUANG R.
and Huang G.
},
  journal = {Advances in Atmospheric Sciences},
}
,
@article{Holmes C. D.
  title = {Future methane, hydroxyl, and their uncertainties: key climate and emission parameters for future predictions},
  author = {
Holmes C. D.
and Prather M. J.
and Søvde O. A.
and Myhre G.
},
  url = {http://www.atmos-chem-phys-discuss.net/12/20931/2012/},
  journal = {Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics},
}
,
@article{Fyfe J. C.
  title = {Human influence on extratropical Southern Hemisphere precipitation},
  author = {
Fyfe J. C.
and Gillett N. P.
and Marshall G. G.
},
  journal = {Aerosol Science and Technology},
}
,
@article{Swart N. C.
  title = {Observed and simulated changes in the Southern Hemisphere surface westerly wind-stress},
  author = {
Swart N. C.
and Fyfe J. C.
},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
}
,