@article{Herman
title = {Drivers of low-frequency Sahel precipitation variability: comparing CMIP5 and CMIP6 ensemble means with observations},
author = {
Herman, Rebecca Jean
and Biasutti, Michela
and Kushnir, Yochanan
},
url = {https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-023-06755-1},
journal = {Climate Dynamics},
volume = {61},
pages = {4449-4470},
}
,@article{Kajtar
title = {CMIP5 Intermodel Relationships in the Baseline Southern Ocean Climate System and With Future Projections},
author = {
Kajtar, Jules B.
and Santoso, Agus
and Collins, Matthew
and Taschetto, Andréa S.
and England, Matthew H.
and Frankcombe, Leela M.
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2020EF001873},
journal = {Earth's Future},
volume = {9},
}
,@article{Nicholls
title = {Regionally aggregated, stitched and de‐drifted CMIP‐climate data, processed with netCDF‐SCM v2.0.0},
author = {
Nicholls, Zebedee
and Lewis, Jared
and Makin, Melissa
and Nattala, Usha
and Zhang, Geordie Z.
and Mutch, Simon J.
and Tescari, Edoardo
and Meinshausen, Malte
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/gdj3.113},
journal = {Geoscience Data Journal},
}
,@article{Tang
title = {Evaluating Diurnal and Semi-Diurnal Cycle of Precipitation in CMIP6 Models Using Satellite- and Ground-Based Observations},
author = {
Tang, Shuaiqi
and Gleckler, Peter
and Xie, Shaocheng
and Lee, Jiwoo
and Ahn, Min-Seop
and Covey, Curt
and Zhang, Chengzhu
},
url = {https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/clim/aop/JCLI-D-20-0639.1/JCLI-D-20-0639.1.xml},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
pages = {1-56},
}
,@article{Hobbs
title = {Anthropogenic Temperature and Salinity Changes in the Southern Ocean},
author = {
Hobbs, William R.
and Roach, Christopher
and Roy, Tilla
and Sallée, Jean-Baptiste
and Bindoff, Nathaniel
},
url = {https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/clim/34/1/jcliD200454.xml},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
volume = {34},
pages = {215-228},
}
,@article{Zhang
title = {The ARM Data-Oriented Metrics and Diagnostics Package for Climate Models: A New Tool for Evaluating Climate Models with Field Data},
author = {
Zhang, C.
and Xie, S.
and Tao, C.
and Tang, S.
and Emmenegger, T.
and Neelin, J. D.
and Schiro, K. A.
and Lin, W.
and Shaheen, Z.
},
url = {https://journals.ametsoc.org/bams/article/101/10/E1619/348634/The-ARM-DataOriented-Metrics-and-Diagnostics},
journal = {Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society},
volume = {101},
pages = {E1619-E1627},
}
,@article{Hayashi
title = {Dynamics for El Niño-La Niña asymmetry constrain equatorial-Pacific warming pattern},
author = {
Hayashi, Michiya
and Jin, Fei-Fei
and Stuecker, Malte F.
},
url = {https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-020-17983-y},
journal = {Other},
volume = {11},
pages = {4230},
}
,@article{Irving
title = {A Mass and Energy Conservation Analysis of Drift in the CMIP6 Ensemble},
author = {
Irving, Damien
and Hobbs, Will
and Church, John
and Zika, Jan
},
url = {https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0281.1},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
pages = {1-43},
}
,@article{Grise
title = {Hadley cell expansion in CMIP6 models},
author = {
Grise, Kevin M.
and Davis, Sean M.
},
url = {https://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/20/5249/2020/},
journal = {Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics},
volume = {20},
pages = {5249-5268},
}
,@article{Tian
title = {The Double‐ITCZ Bias in CMIP3, CMIP5, and CMIP6 Models Based on Annual Mean Precipitation},
author = {
Tian, Baijun
and Dong, Xinyu
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1029/2020GL087232},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {47},
}
,@article{Tsutsui
title = {Diagnosing Transient Response to CO 2 Forcing in Coupled Atmosphere‐Ocean Model Experiments Using a Climate Model Emulator},
author = {
Tsutsui, Junichi
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2019GL085844},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {47},
}
,@article{Lu
title = {Uncertainty and hotspots in 21st century projections of agricultural drought from CMIP5 models},
author = {
Lu, Junyu
and Carbone, Gregory J.
and Grego, John M.
},
url = {https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-019-41196-z},
journal = {Other},
volume = {9},
}
,@article{Po‐Chedley
title = {Climatology Explains Intermodel Spread in Tropical Upper Tropospheric Cloud and Relative Humidity Response to Greenhouse Warming},
author = {
Po‐Chedley, Stephen
and Zelinka, Mark D.
and Jeevanjee, Nadir
and Thorsen, Tyler J.
and Santer, Benjamin D.
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1029/2019GL084786},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {46},
pages = {13399-13409},
}
,@article{Giannini
title = {The role of aerosols and greenhouse gases in Sahel drought and recovery},
author = {
Giannini, Alessandra
and Kaplan, Alexey
},
journal = {Climatic Change},
volume = {152},
pages = {449},
}
,@article{Po-Chedley
title = {Climate constraint reflects forced signal},
author = {
Po-Chedley, Stephen
and Proistosescu, Cristian
and Armour, Kyle C.
and Santer, Benjamin D.
},
url = {https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-018-0640-y},
journal = {Nature},
volume = {563},
pages = {E6-E9},
}
,@article{Ferguson
title = {The Effect of Global Warming on Future Water Availability: CMIP5 Synthesis},
author = {
Ferguson, C. R.
and Pan, M.
and Oki, Taikan
},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1029/2018WR022792},
journal = {Water Resources Research},
volume = {54},
pages = {7791-7819},
}
,@article{Po-Chedley
title = {Sources of Intermodel Spread in the Lapse Rate and Water Vapor Feedbacks},
author = {
Po-Chedley, Stephen
and Armour, Kyle C.
and Bitz, Cecilia M.
and Zelinka, Mark D.
and Santer, Benjamin D.
and Fu, Qiang
},
url = {https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0674.1},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
volume = {31},
pages = {3187-3206},
}
,@article{Esteban Abellán
title = {Analysis of the southward wind shift of ENSO in CMIP5 models},
author = {
Esteban Abellán
and Shayne McGregor
and Matthew H. England
},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
volume = {30},
pages = {2415-2435},
}
,@article{Zazulie
title = {Regional climate of the subtropical central Andes using high-resolution CMIP5 models—part I: past performance (1980–2005)},
author = {
Zazulie, N
and Rusticucci, M
and Raga, G. B.
},
journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,@article{DeAngelis
title = {Importance of vegetation processes for model spread in the fast precipitation response to CO2 forcing},
author = {
DeAngelis, Anthony M.
and Qu, Xin
and Hall, Alex
},
url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL071392/abstract},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {43},
pages = {12,550-12,559},
}
,@article{Rotstayn
title = {Why Does Aerosol Forcing Control Historical Global-Mean Surface Temperature Change in CMIP5 Models?},
author = {
Rotstayn, Leon D.
and Collier, Mark A.
and Shindell, Drew T.
and Boucher, Olivier
},
url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00712.1},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
volume = {28},
pages = {6608-6625},
}
,@article{Marvel
title = {External Influences on Modeled and Observed Cloud Trends},
author = {
Marvel, Kate
and Zelinka, Mark
and Klein, Stephen A.
and Bonfils, Céline
and Caldwell, Peter
and Doutriaux, Charles
and Santer, Benjamin D.
and Taylor, Karl E.
},
url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00734.1},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
volume = {28},
pages = {4820-4840},
}
,@article{Rotstayn
title = {Effects of declining aerosols on projections of zonally averaged tropical precipitation},
author = {
Rotstayn, L D
and Collier, M A
and Luo, J-J
},
url = {http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/10/4/044018/meta},
journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
volume = {10},
pages = {044018-044018},
}
,@article{Chang E. K.
title = {Significant Modulation of Variability and Projected Change in California Winter Precipitation by Extratropical Cyclone Acitivity},
author = {
Chang E. K.
and Zheng C.
and Lanigan P.
and Yau A. M.
and Neelin J. D.
},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
}
,@article{Boisier J.
title = {Anthropogenic and natural contributions to the Southeast Pacific precipitation decline and recent megadrought in central Chile},
author = {
Boisier J.
and Rondanelli R.
and Garreaud R.
and Muñoz F.
},
url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL067265/full},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
}
,@article{Boisier J.
title = {Projected strengthening of Amazonian dry season by constrained climate model simulations},
author = {
Boisier J.
and Ciais P.
and Ducharne A.
and Guimberteau M.
},
url = {http://http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/v5/n7/full/nclimate2658.html},
journal = {Nature Climate Change},
volume = {5},
pages = {656-660},
}
,@article{Fueglistaler S.
title = {The distribution of precipitation and the spread in tropical upper tropospheric temperature trends in CMIP5/AMIP simulations},
author = {
Fueglistaler S.
and Radley C.
and Held I. M.
},
url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL064966/full},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {42},
pages = {6000-6007},
}
,@article{Fueglistaler S.
title = {The distribution of precipitation and the spread in tropical upper tropospheric temperature trends in CMIP5/AMIP simulations},
author = {
Fueglistaler S.
and Radley C.
and Held I. M.
},
url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL064966/full},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {42},
pages = {6000-6007},
}
,@article{Rykaczewski R. R.
title = {Poleward displacement of coastal upwelling-favorable winds in the ocean's eastern boundary currents through the 21st century},
author = {
Rykaczewski R. R.
and Dunne J. P.
and Sydeman W. J.
and GarcÃa-Reyes M.
and Black B. A.
and Bograd S. J.
},
url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL064694/full},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {42},
}
,@article{Swart N. C.
title = {Influence of internal variability on Arctic sea-ice trends},
author = {
Swart N. C.
and Fyfe J. C.
and Hawkins E.
and Kay J. E.
and Jahn A.
},
url = {http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/v5/n2/full/nclimate2483.html},
journal = {Nature Climate Change},
volume = {5},
pages = {86-89},
}
,@article{Evan A. T.
title = {Water Vapor%u2013Forced Greenhouse Warming over the Sahara Desert and the Recent Recovery from the Sahelian Drought},
author = {
Evan A. T.
and Flamant C.
and Lavaysse C.
and Kocha C.
and Saci A.
},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
volume = {28},
}
,@article{Flamant C.
title = {An analysis of aeolian dust in climate models},
author = {
Flamant C.
and Fiedler S.
and Doherty O.
},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {41},
}
,@article{Flamant C.
title = {An analysis of aeolian dust in climate models},
author = {
Flamant C.
and Fiedler S.
and Doherty O.
},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {41},
}
,@article{Wright D. B.
title = {Regional climate model projections of rainfall from U.S. landfalling tropical cyclones},
author = {
Wright D. B.
and Knutson T. R.
and Smith J. A.
},
url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-015-2544-y},
journal = {Climate Dynamics},
pages = {1-15},
}
,@article{Menary M. B.
title = {Exploring the impact of CMIP5 model biases on the simulation of North Atlantic decadal variability},
author = {
Menary M. B.
and Hodson D. L.
and Robson J. I.
and Sutton R. T.
and Wood R. A.
and Hunt J. A.
},
url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL064360/full},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
}
,@article{Chan D.
title = {Attributing Observed SST Trends and Sub-Continental Land Warming to Anthropogenic Forcing during 1979-2005},
author = {
Chan D.
and Wu Q.
},
url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/pdf/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00253.1},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
volume = {28},
pages = {3152-3170},
}
,@article{Durack P. J.
title = {Ocean salinity and the global water cycle},
author = {
Durack P. J.
},
url = {http://www.tos.org/oceanography/archive/28-1_durack.html},
journal = {Other},
volume = {28},
pages = {20-31},
}
,@article{Durack P. J.
title = {Long-term sea-level change revisited: the role of salinity},
author = {
Durack P. J.
and Wijffels S. E.
and Gleckler P. J.
},
url = {http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/9/11/114017/},
journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
volume = {9},
pages = {---},
}
,@article{Heuz C.
title = {Changes in global ocean bottom properties and volume transports in CMIP5 models under climate change scenarios},
author = {
Heuz C.
and Heywood K. J.
and Stevens D. P.
and Ridley J. K.
},
url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/full/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00381.1},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
volume = {28},
pages = {2917-2944},
}
,@article{Nasrollahi N.
title = {How Well Do CMIP5 Climate Simulations Replicate Historical Trends and Patterns of Meteorological Droughts?},
author = {
Nasrollahi N.
and AghaKouchak A.
and Cheng L.
and Damberg L.
and Phillips T.
and Miao C.
and Hsu K.
and Sorooshian S.
},
url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014WR016318/full},
journal = {Water Resources Research},
volume = { 51},
pages = {2847-2864},
}
,@article{Cheng L.
title = {Non-stationary Return Levels of CMIP5 Multi-Model Temperature Extremes},
author = {
Cheng L.
and AghaKouchak A.
and Phillips T.
},
url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-015-2625-y},
journal = {Climate Dynamics},
volume = {44},
pages = {2947-2963},
}
,@article{Scheff J.
title = {Terrestrial aridity and its response to greenhouse warming across CMIP5 climate models},
author = {
Scheff J.
and Frierson D. M.
},
url = {http://www.ldeo.columbia.edu/~jscheff/SF2014Aridity_EOR.pdf},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,@article{Tabari H.
title = {Water availability change in central Belgium for the late 21st century},
author = {
Tabari H.
and Teferi Taye M.
and Willems P.
},
url = {http://ac.els-cdn.com/S0921818115001095/1-s2.0-S0921818115001095-main.pdf?_tid=8870216a-1985-11e5-97db-00000aab0f02&acdnat=1435049881_8afe47599c8ba7bdae2dbf1bd6600e52},
journal = {Other},
volume = {131},
}
,@article{Wang W.
title = {Statistical modeling and CMIP5 simulations of hot spell changes in China},
author = {
Wang W.
and Zhou W.
and Li Y.
and Wang X.
and Wang D.
},
url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-014-2287-1},
journal = {Climate Dynamics},
volume = {44},
pages = {2859-2872},
}
,@article{Smith S. J.
title = {Near-term acceleration in the rate of temperature change},
author = {
Smith S. J.
and Edmonds J. A.
and Hartin C. A.
and Mundra A.
and Calvin K.
},
url = {http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/v5/n4/full/nclimate2552.html},
journal = {Nature Climate Change},
volume = {5},
pages = {333-336},
}
,@article{Schwalm C. R.
title = {Reduction in carbon uptake during turn of the century drought in western North America},
author = {
Schwalm C. R.
and Williams C. A.
and Schaefer K.
and Baldocchi D.
and Black T.
and Goldstein A. H.
and Beverly L. E.
and Oechel W. C.
and Paw U K.
and Scott R. L.
},
journal = {Nature Geoscience},
}
,@article{Tian B.
title = {Spread of model climate sensitivity linked to double-intertropical convergence zone bias},
author = {
Tian B.
},
url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL064119/abstract},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {42},
pages = {4133-4141},
}
,@article{Schnorbus M. A.
title = {Statistical emulation of streamflow projections from a distributed hydrological model: Application to CMIP3 and CMIP5 climate projections for British Columbia, Canada},
author = {
Schnorbus M. A.
and Cannon A. J.
},
url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014WR015279/abstract},
journal = {Water Resources Research},
volume = {50},
pages = {8907-8926},
}
,@article{Cannon A. J.
title = {Selecting GCM Scenarios that Span the Range of Changes in a Multimodel Ensemble: Application to CMIP5 Climate Extremes Indices},
author = {
Cannon A. J.
},
url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00636.1},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
volume = {28},
pages = {1260-1267},
}
,@article{Steinman B. A.
title = {Atlantic and Pacific multidecadal oscillations and Northern Hemisphere temperatures},
author = {
Steinman B. A.
and Mann M. E.
and Miller S. K.
},
journal = {Science},
volume = {347},
pages = {988-991},
}
,@article{Wang X. L.
title = {Climate change signal and uncertainty in CMIP5-based projections of global ocean surface wave heights},
author = {
Wang X. L.
and Feng Y.
and Swail V. R.
},
journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research},
volume = {120},
pages = {3859-3871},
}
,@article{Wang D.
title = {Intensification and spatial homogenization of coastal upwelling under climate change},
author = {
Wang D.
and Gouhier T. C.
and Menge B. A.
and Ganguly A. R.
},
url = {http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v518/n7539/full/nature14235.html},
journal = {Nature},
}
,@article{Srivastava A. K.
title = {Robust Forced Response in South Asian Summer Monsoon in a Future Climate},
author = {
Srivastava A. K.
and DelSole T.
},
url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00599.1},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
volume = {27},
pages = {7849-7860},
}
,@article{Wild M.
title = {The energy balance over land and oceans: An assessment based on direct observations and CMIP5 climate models},
author = {
Wild M.
and Folini D.
and Hakuba M.
and Schär C.
and Seneviratne S.
and Kato S.
and Rutan D.
and Ammann C.
and Wood E.
and König-Langlo G.
},
url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-014-2430-z},
journal = {Climate Dynamics},
volume = {44},
pages = {3393-3429},
}
,@article{Iles C. E.
title = {Systematic change in global patterns of streamflow following volcanic eruptions},
author = {
Iles C. E.
and Hegerl G. C.
},
journal = {Nature Geoscience},
}
,@article{Gerber E. P.
title = {Quantifying the Summertime Response of the Austral Jet Stream and Hadley Cell to Stratospheric Ozone and Greenhouse Gases},
author = {
Gerber E. P.
and Son S. W.
},
url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00539.1},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
volume = {27},
pages = {5538-5559},
}
,@article{Köhl A.
title = {The impact of regional multidecadal and century-scale internal variability on sea level trends in CMIP5 models},
author = {
Köhl A.
and Stammer D.
},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
volume = {28},
}
,@article{Plotka H.
title = {Physics of changes in synoptic midlatitude temperature variability},
author = {
Plotka H.
},
url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00632.1},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
volume = {28},
pages = {2312-2331},
}
,@conference{Dowdy A. J.
title = {Large-scale modelling of environments favourable for dry lightning occurrence},
author = {
Dowdy A. J.
},
year = {2015},
}
,@article{Haughton N.
title = {Weighting climate model ensembles for mean and variance estimates},
author = {
Haughton N.
and Abramowitz G.
and Pitman A. J.
and Phipps S. J.
},
url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-015-2531-3},
journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,@article{Abramowitz G.
title = {Climate Model Dependence and the Ensemble Dependence Transformation of CMIP Projections},
author = {
Abramowitz G.
and Bishop C. H.
},
url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00364.1},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
volume = {28},
pages = {2332-2348},
}
,@article{Agosta C.
title = {Evaluation of the CMIP5 models in the aim of regional modelling of the Antarctic surface mass balance},
author = {
Agosta C.
and Fettweis X.
and Datta R.
},
url = {http://www.the-cryosphere-discuss.net/9/3113/2015/},
journal = {The Cryosphere Discussions},
volume = {9},
pages = {3113-3136},
}
,@article{Zappa G.
title = {Improving climate change detection through optimal seasonal averaging: the case of the North Atlantic jet and European precipitation},
author = {
Zappa G.
and Hoskins B. J.
and Shepherd T. G.
},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,@article{Kamae Y.
title = {Recent slowdown of tropical upper tropospheric warming associated with Pacific climate variability},
author = {
Kamae Y.
and Shiogama H.
and Watanabe M.
and Ishii M.
and Ueda H.
and Kimoto M.
},
url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/wol1/doi/10.1002/2015GL063608/abstract},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {42},
pages = {2995-3003},
}
,@article{Lindvall J.
title = {The diurnal temperature range in the CMIP5 models},
author = {
Lindvall J.
and Svensson G.
},
journal = {Climate Dynamics},
volume = {44},
pages = {405-421},
}
,@article{Chavaillaz Y.
title = {Investigating the pace of temperature change and its implications over the twenty-first century},
author = {
Chavaillaz Y.
and Joussaume S.
and Dehecq A.
and Braconnot P.
and Vautard R.
},
url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10584-016-1659-4},
journal = {Climatic Change},
pages = {1-14},
}
,@article{Chavaillaz Y.
title = {Spatial stabilization and intensification of moistening and drying rate patterns under future climate change},
author = {
Chavaillaz Y.
and Joussaume S.
and Bony S.
and Braconnot P.
},
journal = {Climate Dynamics},
pages = {1-15},
}
,@article{Roberts C. D.
title = {Quantifying the likelihood of a continued hiatus in global warming},
author = {
Roberts C. D.
and Palmer M. D.
and McNeall D.
and Collins M.
},
url = {http://http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/v5/n4/full/nclimate2531.html},
journal = {Nature Climate Change},
volume = {5},
pages = {337-342},
}
,@article{Salzmann M.
title = {On the enhancement of the Indian summer monsoon drying by Pacific multidecadal variability during the latter half of the 20th century},
author = {
Salzmann M.
and Cherian R.
},
url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015JD023313/pdf},
journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
}
,@article{Praveen V.
title = {On the relationship between mean monsoon precipitation and low pressure systems in climate model simulations},
author = {
Praveen V.
and Sandeep S.
and Ajayamohan R. S.
},
url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00415.1},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,@article{Drijfhout S.
title = {Catalogue of abrupt shifts in Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change climate models},
author = {
Drijfhout S.
and Bathiany S.
and Beaulieu C.
and Brovkin V.
and Claussen M.
and Huntingford C.
and Scheffer M.
and Sgubin G.
and Swingedouw D.
},
url = {http://www.pnas.org/content/early/2015/10/07/1511451112},
journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences},
}
,@article{Drijfhout S.
title = {Catalogue of abrupt shifts in Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change climate models},
author = {
Drijfhout S.
and Bathiany S.
and Beaulieu C.
and Brovkin V.
and Claussen M.
and Huntingford C.
and Scheffer M.
and Sgubin G.
and Swingedouw D.
},
url = {http://www.pnas.org/content/early/2015/10/07/1511451112},
journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences},
}
,@article{Lin J.
title = {Is the tropical atmosphere in convective quasi-equilibrium?},
author = {
Lin J.
and Qian T.
and Shinoda T.
and Li S.
},
url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00681.1},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
volume = {28},
pages = {4357-4372},
}
,@article{Dowdy A. J.
title = {Rainfall in Australia%u2019s eastern seaboard: a review of confidence in projections based on observations and physical processes},
author = {
Dowdy A. J.
and Grose M. R.
and Timbal B.
and Moise A.
and Ekström M.
and Bhend J.
and Wilson L.
},
journal = {Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Journal},
volume = {65},
pages = {107-126},
}
,@article{DeAngelis A. M.
title = {An observational radiative constraint on hydrologic cycle intensification},
author = {
DeAngelis A. M.
and Qu X.
and Zelinka M. D.
and Hall A.
},
url = {http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v528/n7581/full/nature15770.html},
journal = {Nature},
volume = {528},
pages = {249-253},
}
,@article{Fläschner D.
title = {Understanding the inter-model spread in global-mean hydrological sensitivity},
author = {
Fläschner D.
and Mauritsen T.
and Stevens B.
},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,@article{Fläschner D.
title = {Understanding the inter-model spread in global-mean hydrological sensitivity},
author = {
Fläschner D.
and Mauritsen T.
and Stevens B.
},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,@article{Melet A. V.
title = {Explaining the Spread in Global Mean Thermosteric Sea Level Rise in CMIP5 Climate Models},
author = {
Melet A. V.
and Meyssignac B.
},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,@article{Melet A. V.
title = {Explaining the Spread in Global Mean Thermosteric Sea Level Rise in CMIP5 Climate Models},
author = {
Melet A. V.
and Meyssignac B.
},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,@article{Melet A. V.
title = {Explaining the Spread in Global Mean Thermosteric Sea Level Rise in CMIP5 Climate Models},
author = {
Melet A. V.
and Meyssignac B.
},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,@article{Sui Y.
title = {Temperature and precipitation signals over China with a 2°C global warming},
author = {
Sui Y.
and Lang X.
and Jiang D.
},
journal = {Climate Research},
volume = {64},
pages = {227-242},
}
,@article{Jiang D.
title = {Reliability of climate models for China through the IPCC Third to Fifth Assessment Reports},
author = {
Jiang D.
and Tian Z.
and Lang X.
},
journal = {International Journal of Climatology},
volume = {36},
pages = {1114-1133},
}
,@article{Zappa G.
title = {The dependence of wintertime Mediterranean precipitation on the atmospheric circulation response to climate change},
author = {
Zappa G.
and Hoskins B. J.
and Shepherd T. G.
},
journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
volume = {10},
}
,@article{Yi S.
title = { Impacts of External Forcing on the Decadal Climate Variability in CMIP5 Simulations},
author = {
Yi S.
and Yongqiang Y.
},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,@article{Bolin D.
title = {Statistical prediction of global sea level from global temperature},
author = {
Bolin D.
and Guttorp P.
and Januzzi A.
and Jones D.
and Nowak M.
and Podschwit H.
and Richardson L.
and Särkkä A.
and Sowder C.
and Zimmerman A.
},
journal = {Other},
volume = {25},
pages = {351-357},
}
,@article{van Oldenborgh G.
title = {Cold extremes in North America vs. mild weather in Europe: the winter 2013/2014 in the context of a warming world},
author = {
van Oldenborgh G.
and Haarsma R. J.
and De Vries H.
and Allen M. R.
},
url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/BAMS-D-14-00036.1},
journal = {Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society},
}
,@article{Palazzi E.
title = {Precipitation in the Karakoram-Himalaya: a CMIP5 view},
author = {
Palazzi E.
and von Hardenberg J.
and Terzago S.
and Provenzale A.
},
journal = {Climate Dynamics},
volume = {45},
pages = {21-45},
}
,@article{Fountoulakis I.
title = {Projected changes in erythemal and vitamin D effective irradiance over northern-hemisphere high latitudes},
author = {
Fountoulakis I.
and Bais A. F.
},
url = {http://http://pubs.rsc.org/en/content/articlelanding/2015/pp/c5pp00093a/unauth#!divAbstract},
journal = {Other},
}
,@article{Gong H.
title = {Diverse Influences of ENSO on the East Asian%u2013Western Pacific Winter Climate Tied to Different ENSO Properties in CMIP5 Models},
author = {
Gong H.
and Wang L.
and Chen W.
and Nath D.
and Huang G.
and Tao W.
},
url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00405.1},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
volume = {28},
pages = {2187-2202},
}
,@article{Donohoe
title = {Shortwave and longwave radiative contributions to global warming under increasing CO 2},
author = {
Donohoe, Aaron
and Armour, Kyle C.
and Pendergrass, Angeline G.
and Battisti, David S.
},
url = {http://www.pnas.org/content/111/47/16700},
journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences},
volume = {111},
pages = {16700-16705},
}
,@article{Pendergrass
title = {Changes in the Distribution of Rain Frequency and Intensity in Response to Global Warming*},
author = {
Pendergrass, Angeline G.
and Hartmann, Dennis L.
},
url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00183.1},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
volume = {27},
pages = {8372-8383},
}
,@article{Pendergrass
title = {Two Modes of Change of the Distribution of Rain},
author = {
Pendergrass, Angeline G.
and Hartmann, Dennis L.
},
url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00182.1},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
volume = {27},
pages = {8357-8371},
}
,@article{Luomaranta
title = {Multimodel estimates of the changes in the Baltic Sea ice cover during the present century},
author = {
Luomaranta, Anna
and Ruosteenoja, Kimmo
and Jylhä, Kirsti
and Gregow, Hilppa
and Haapala, Jari
and Laaksonen, Ari
},
url = {http://www.tellusa.net/index.php/tellusa/article/view/22617},
journal = {Tellus},
volume = {66},
}
,@article{Santer
title = {Volcanic contribution to decadal changes in tropospheric temperature},
author = {
Santer, Benjamin D.
and Bonfils, Céline
and Painter, Jeffrey F.
and Zelinka, Mark D.
and Mears, Carl
and Solomon, Susan
and Schmidt, Gavin A.
and Fyfe, John C.
and Cole, Jason N. S.
and Nazarenko, Larissa
and Taylor, Karl E.
and Wentz, Frank J.
},
url = {http://www.nature.com/ngeo/journal/v7/n3/full/ngeo2098.html},
journal = {Nature Geoscience},
volume = {7},
pages = {185-189},
}
,@article{Baker N. C.
title = {A Comparative Study of Precipitation and Evaporation between CMIP3 and CMIP5 Climate Model Ensembles in Semiarid Regions},
author = {
Baker N. C.
and Huang H.
},
url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/pdf/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00398.1},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
volume = {27},
pages = {3731-3749},
}
,@article{Cattiaux J.
title = {Projected increase in diurnal and inter-diurnal variations of European summer temperatures},
author = {
Cattiaux J.
and Douville H.
and Schoetter R.
and Parey S.
and Yiou P.
},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
}
,@article{Ceppi P.
title = {The response of the Southern Hemispheric eddy-driven jet to future changes in shortwave radiation in CMIP5},
author = {
Ceppi P.
and Zelinka M. D.
and Hartmann D. L.
},
url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014GL060043/abstract},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {41},
pages = {3244-3250},
}
,@article{Ma Q.
title = {Evaluations of Atmospheric Downward Longwave Radiation from 44 Coupled General Circulation Models of CMIP5},
author = {
Ma Q.
and Wang K.
and Wild M.
},
url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013JD021427/abstract},
journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
volume = {119},
pages = {4486-4497},
}
,@article{Wang K.
title = {Measurement Biases Explain Discrepancies between the Observed and Simulated Decadal Variability of Surface Incident Solar Radiation},
author = {
Wang K.
},
url = {http://www.nature.com/srep/2014/140821/srep06144/full/srep06144.html},
journal = {Other},
volume = {4},
}
,@article{Bathols J.
title = {What influences the skill of climate models over the continents?},
author = {
Bathols J.
and Heady C.
and Watterson I. G.
},
journal = {Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society},
volume = {95},
pages = {689-700},
}
,@article{Taschetto A. S.
title = {Cold tongue and warm pool ENSO events in CMIP5: mean state and future projections},
author = {
Taschetto A. S.
and Sen Gupta A.
and Jourdain N. C.
and Santoso A.
and Ummenhofer C. C.
and England M. H.
},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
volume = {27},
pages = {2861-2885},
}
,@article{Kamae Y.
title = {Summertime land-sea thermal contrast and atmospheric circulation over East Asia in a warming climate. Part I: Past changes and future projections},
author = {
Kamae Y.
and Watanabe M.
and Kimoto M.
and Shiogama H.
},
journal = {Climate Dynamics},
volume = {43},
pages = {2553-2568},
}
,@article{Kamae Y.
title = {Attributing the increase in Northern Hemisphere hot summers since the late 20th century},
author = {
Kamae Y.
and Shiogama H.
and Watanabe M.
and Kimoto M.
},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {41},
pages = {5192-5199},
}
,@article{Wjcik R.
title = {Reliability of the CMIP5 GCM simulations in reproducing atmospheric circulation over Europe and the North Atlantic: a statistical downscaling perspective},
author = {
Wjcik R.
},
journal = {International Journal of Climatology},
}
,@article{Bracegirdle T. J.
title = {Sources of uncertainty in projections of twenty-first century westerly wind changes over the Amundsen Sea, West Antarctica, in CMIP5 climate models},
author = {
Bracegirdle T. J.
and Turner J.
and Hosking J. S.
and Phillips T.
},
url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-013-2032-1},
journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,@article{Slangen A. B.
title = {Projecting twenty-first century regional sea-level changes},
author = {
Slangen A. B.
and Katsman C. A.
and Carson M.
and van de Wal R. S.
and Köhl A.
and Vermeersen L. L.
and Stammer D.
},
url = {http://http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10584-014-1080-9},
journal = {Climatic Change},
volume = {124},
pages = {317-332},
}
,@article{Sherwood S. C.
title = {Spread in model climate sensitivity traced to atmospheric convective mixing},
author = {
Sherwood S. C.
and Bony S.
and Dufresne J.
},
journal = {Nature},
volume = {505},
pages = {37-42},
}
,@article{Zou Y.
title = {CMIP5 model simulations of the impacts of the two types of El Niño on the U.S. winter temperature},
author = {
Zou Y.
and Yu J.
and Lee T.
and Lu M.
and Kim S.
},
url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013JD021064/abstract},
journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
volume = {119},
pages = {3076-3092},
}
,@article{Dowdy A. J.
title = {Fewer large waves projected for eastern Australia due to decreasing storminess},
author = {
Dowdy A. J.
and Mills G. A.
and Timbal B.
and Wang Y.
},
url = {http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/v4/n4/full/nclimate2142.html},
journal = {Nature Climate Change},
volume = {4},
pages = {283-286},
}
,@article{Kim S.
title = {ENSO Stability in Coupled Climate Models and its Association with Mean State},
author = {
Kim S.
and Cai W.
and Jin F.
and Yu J.
},
journal = {Climate Dynamics},
volume = {42},
pages = {3313-3321},
}
,@article{King A. D.
title = {The ENSO-Australian rainfall teleconnection in reanalysis and CMIP5},
author = {
King A. D.
and Donat M. G.
and Alexander L. V.
and Karoly D. J.
},
url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-014-2159-8},
journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,@article{Haughton N.
title = {On the generation of climate model ensembles},
author = {
Haughton N.
and Abramowitz G.
and Pitman A.
and Phipps S. J.
},
url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-014-2054-3},
journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,@article{Wang F.
title = {Radiation budget biases in AMIP5 models over the East Asian monsoon region},
author = {
Wang F.
and Yang S.
and Wu T.
},
journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
}
,@article{Cowan T.
title = {More Frequent, Longer, and Hotter Heat Waves for Australia in the Twenty-First Century},
author = {
Cowan T.
and Purich A.
and Perkins S.
and Pezza A.
and Boschat G.
and Sadler K.
},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,@article{Cai W.
title = {Did Climate Change%u2013Induced Rainfall Trends Contribute to the Australian Millennium Drought?},
author = {
Cai W.
and Purich A.
and Cowan T.
and van Rensch P.
and Weller E.
},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
volume = {27},
pages = {3145-3168},
}
,@article{Ramesh K. V.
title = {Assessing reliability of regional climate projections: the case of Indian monsoon},
author = {
Ramesh K. V.
},
url = {http://www.nature.com/srep/2014/140212/srep04071/full/srep04071.html},
journal = {Other},
volume = {4},
pages = {1-9},
}
,@article{Lutz A. F.
title = {Consistent increase in High Asia%u2019s runoff due to increasing glacier melt and precipitation},
author = {
Lutz A. F.
and Immerzeel W. W.
and Shrestha A. B.
and Bierkens M. F.
},
url = {http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/v4/n7/full/nclimate2237.html},
journal = {Nature Climate Change},
volume = {4},
pages = {587-592},
}
,@article{Zomer R. J.
title = {Environmental stratification to model climate change impacts on biodiversity and rubber production in Xishuangbanna, Yunnan, China.},
author = {
Zomer R. J.
and Trabucco A.
and Wang M.
and Lang R.
and Chen H.
and Metzger M. J.
and Smajgl A.
and Beckschäfer P.
and Xu J.
},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.biocon.2013.11.028},
journal = {Other},
volume = {170},
pages = {264-273},
}
,@article{Feng X.
title = {Changes in significant and maximum wave heights in the Norwegian Sea},
author = {
Feng X.
and Tsimplis M. N.
and Yelland M. J.
and Quartly G. D.
},
journal = {Other},
volume = {113},
pages = {58-76},
}
,@article{Mitchell D. M.
title = {Solar Signals in CMIP-5 Simulations: The Stratospheric Pathway},
author = {
Mitchell D. M.
and Misios S.
and Gray L.
and Tourpali K.
and Matthes K.
and Hood L.
and Schmidt H.
and Chiodo G.
and Thieblemont R.
and Rozanov E.
and Shindell D.
and Krivolutsky A.
},
journal = {Quarterly Journal Royal Meteorological Society},
}
,@article{Dirmeyer P. A.
title = {Intensified land surface control on boundary layer growth in a changing climate},
author = {
Dirmeyer P. A.
and Wang Z.
and Mbuh M. J.
and Norton H. E.
},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {41},
pages = {1290-1294},
}
,@article{Dirmeyer P. A.
title = {Climate change and sectors of the surface water cycle In CMIP5 projections. },
author = {
Dirmeyer P. A.
and Fang G.
and Wang Z.
and Yadav P.
},
journal = {Hydrology and Earth System Sciences},
volume = {11},
pages = {8537-8569},
}
,@article{Laeppe T.
title = {Global and regional variability in marine surface temperatures},
author = {
Laeppe T.
},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2014GL059345},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
}
,@article{Grise K. M.
title = {Is climate sensitivity related to dynamical sensitivity? A Southern Hemisphere perspective},
author = {
Grise K. M.
and Polvani L. M.
},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {41},
pages = {534-540},
}
,@article{Hartmann D. L.
title = {Trends in the CERES data set 2000-2013: The effects of ice melt and jet shifts and comparison to climate models},
author = {
Hartmann D. L.
and Ceppi P.
},
url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00411.1},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
volume = {27},
pages = {2444-2456},
}
,@article{Meehl G. A.
title = {Decadal Climate Prediction: An Update from the Trenches},
author = {
Meehl G. A.
and co-authors a.
},
journal = {Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society},
volume = {95},
pages = {243-267},
}
,@article{England M. H.
title = {Recent intensification of wind-driven circulation in the Pacific and the ongoing warming hiatus},
author = {
England M. H.
and co-authors a.
},
journal = {Nature Climate Change},
volume = {4},
pages = {222-227},
}
,@article{Wuebbles D.
title = {CMIP5 climate model analyses: Climate extremes in the United States},
author = {
Wuebbles D.
and co-authors a.
},
journal = {Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society},
volume = {95},
pages = {571-583},
}
,@article{Meehl G. A.
title = {CMIP5 multi-model initialized decadal hindcasts for the mid-1970s shift and early-2000s hiatus and predictions for 2016-2035},
author = {
Meehl G. A.
and Teng H.
},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
}
,@article{Richter I.
title = {Equatorial Atlantic variability and its relation to mean state biases in CMIP5},
author = {
Richter I.
and Xie S.
and Behera S. K.
and Doi T.
and Masumoto Y.
},
journal = {Climate Dynamics},
volume = {42},
pages = {171-188},
}
,@article{Elguindi N.
title = {Assessment of CMIP5 global model simulations and climate change projections for the 21 st century using a modified Thornthwaite climate classification},
author = {
Elguindi N.
and Grundstein A.
and Bernardes S.
and Turuncoglu U.
and Feddema J.
},
journal = {Climatic Change},
volume = {122},
pages = {523-538},
}
,@article{de Lavergne C.
title = {Cessation of deep convection in the open Southern Ocean under anthropogenic climate change},
author = {
de Lavergne C.
and Palter J. B.
and Galbraith E. D.
and Bernardello R.
and Marinov I.
},
url = {http://http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/v4/n4/full/nclimate2132.html},
journal = {Nature Climate Change},
volume = {4},
pages = {278-282},
}
,@article{Stroeve J. C.
title = {Using Combined Records of IceBridge and Satellite-Derived Thickness and Extent to Constrain Future Projections of Arctic Sea Ice},
author = {
Stroeve J. C.
and Barrett A.
and Schweiger A.
and Serreze M.
},
url = {http://www.the-cryosphere-discuss.net/8/2179/2014/tcd-8-2179-2014-discussion.html},
journal = {The Cryosphere Discussions},
}
,@article{Petkova E. P.
title = {Projected Heat-Related Mortality in the U.S. Urban Northeast},
author = {
Petkova E. P.
and Horton R. M.
and Bader D. A.
},
url = {http://www.mdpi.com/1660-4601/10/12/6734},
journal = {Other},
volume = {10},
pages = {6734-6747},
}
,@article{Thorpe L.
title = {The physical drivers of historical and 21st century global precipitation changes},
author = {
Thorpe L.
and Andrews T.
},
url = {http://stacks.iop.org/1748-9326/9/064024},
journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
volume = {9},
}
,@article{Dolinar E. K.
title = {Evaluation of CMIP5 Simulated Clouds and TOA Radiation Budgets Using NASA Satellite Observations},
author = {
Dolinar E. K.
and Dong X.
and Xi B.
and Jiang J. H.
and Su H.
},
journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,@article{Kostov Y.
title = {Impact of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation on ocean heat storage and transient climate change},
author = {
Kostov Y.
and Armour K. C.
and Marshall J.
},
url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013GL058998/abstract},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {41},
pages = {2108-2116},
}
,@article{Tan M.
title = {Impacts and uncertainties of climate change on streamflow of the Johor River Basin, Malaysia using a CMIP5 General Circulation Model ensemble},
author = {
Tan M.
and Ficklin D.
and Ibrahim A.
and Yusop Z.
},
url = {http://www.iwaponline.com/jwc/up/jwc2014020.htm},
journal = {Other},
}
,@article{Pithan F.
title = {Arctic amplification dominated by temperature feedbacks in contemporary climate models},
author = {
Pithan F.
and Mauritsen T.
},
journal = {Nature Geoscience},
}
,@article{Maloney E. D.
title = {North American climate in CMIP5 experiments: Part III: Assessment of 21st century projections. },
author = {
Maloney E. D.
and Camargo S. J.
and Chang E.
and Colle B.
and Fu R.
and Geil K.
and Hu Q.
and Jiang X.
and Johnson N.
and Karnauskas K. B.
and Kinter J.
and Kirtman B.
and Kumar S.
and Langenbrunner B.
and Lombardo K.
and Long L.
and Mariotti A.
and Meyerson J.
and Mo K.
and Neelin J. D.
and Pan Z.
and Seager R.
and Serra Y.
and Seth A.
and Sheffield J.
and Stroeve J.
and Thibeault J.
and Xie S.
and Wang C.
and Wyman B.
and Zhao M.
},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
volume = {27},
pages = {2230-2270},
}
,@article{Marcos M.
title = {Quantifying anthropogenic and natural contributions to thermosteric sea level rise},
author = {
Marcos M.
and Amores A.
},
url = {http://http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014GL059766/abstract},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {41},
pages = {2502-2507},
}
,@article{Wang X. L.
title = {Changes in global ocean wave heights as projected using multimodel CMIP5 simulations},
author = {
Wang X. L.
and Feng Y.
and Swail V. R.
},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {41},
pages = {1026-1034},
}
,@article{Van den Hurk B. J.
title = { Drivers of mean climate change around the Netherlands derived from CMIP5},
author = {
Van den Hurk B. J.
and Van Oldenborgh G. J.
and Lenderink G.
and Hazeleger W.
and Haarsma R. J.
and De Vries H.
},
journal = {Climate Dynamics},
volume = {42},
pages = {1683-1697},
}
,@article{Hao Z.
title = {Changes in Concurrent Monthly Precipitation and Temperature Extremes},
author = {
Hao Z.
and AghaKouchak A.
and Phillips T. J.
},
url = {http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/8/3/034014/},
journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
volume = {8},
}
,@article{Sabeerali C. T.
title = {Why ensemble mean projection of South Asian Monsoon rainfall by CMIP5 models is not reliable?},
author = {
Sabeerali C. T.
and Rao S. A.
and Dhakate A. R.
and Salunke K.
and Goswami B. N.
},
url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-014-2269-3},
journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,@article{Sandeep S.
title = {Poleward shift in Indian summer monsoon low level jetstream under global warming},
author = {
Sandeep S.
and Ajayamohan R.
},
url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-014-2261-y},
journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,@article{Palmer M. D.
title = {Internal variability of Earth's energy budget simulated by CMIP5 climate models },
author = {
Palmer M. D.
and McNeall D. J.
},
url = {http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/9/3/034016/article},
journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
volume = {9},
}
,@article{Akurut M.
title = {Potential Impacts of Climate Change on Precipitation over Lake Victoria, East Africa, in the 21st Century},
author = {
Akurut M.
and Wilems P.
and Niwagaba C. B.
},
url = {http://www.mdpi.com/2073-4441/6/9/2634},
journal = {Other},
volume = {6},
pages = {2634-2659},
}
,@article{Sandeep S.
title = {Origin of cold bias over the Arabian Sea in Climate Models},
author = {
Sandeep S.
and Ajayamohan R.
},
url = {http://www.nature.com/srep/2014/140917/srep06403/full/srep06403.html},
journal = {Other},
}
,@article{Dwyer J. G.
title = {The Effect of greenhouse gas-induced changes in SST on the annual cycle of zonal mean tropical precipitation},
author = {
Dwyer J. G.
and Biasutti M.
and Sobel A. H.
},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
volume = {27},
}
,@article{Ott I.
title = {Teleconnections of the tropical Atlantic and Pacific Oceans in a CMIP5 model ensemble},
author = {
Ott I.
and Romberg K.
and Jacobeit J.
},
url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-014-2394-z},
journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,@article{Cheruy f.
title = {Role of clouds and land-atmosphere coupling in midlatitude continental summer warm biases and climate change amplification in CMIP5 simulations},
author = {
Cheruy f.
and Dufresne J.
and Hourdin F.
},
url = {http://http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014GL061145/abstract},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {48},
pages = {6493-6500},
}
,@article{King A. D.
title = {Climate Change turns Australia's 2013 Big Dry into a year of record-breaking heat},
author = {
King A. D.
and Karoly D. J.
and Donat M. G.
and Alexander L. V.
},
url = {http://www.journals.ametsoc.org/doi/pdf/10.1175/1520-0477-95.9.S1.1},
journal = {Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society},
volume = {95},
pages = {S41-S45},
}
,@article{Guttorp P.
title = {Assessing the uncertainty in projecting local mean sea level from global temperature},
author = {
Guttorp P.
and Bolin D.
and Januzzi A.
and Novak M.
and Podschwit H.
and Richardson L.
and Särkkä A.
and Sowder C.
and Zimmerman A.
},
journal = {Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology},
volume = {53},
pages = {2163-2170},
}
,@article{Sanap S. D.
title = {Assessment of the aerosol distribution over Indian subcontinent in CMIP5 models},
author = {
Sanap S. D.
and Pandithurai G.
and Chaudhury A. D.
and Niranjan K.
},
url = {http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1352231014000260?np=y},
journal = {Atmospheric Environment},
volume = {87},
pages = {123-127},
}
,@article{Manda A.
title = {Impacts of a warming marginal sea on torrential rainfall organized under the Asian summer monsoon},
author = {
Manda A.
and Nakamura H.
and Asano N.
and Iizuka S.
and Miyama T.
and Moteki Q.
and Yoshioka M. K.
and Nishii K.
},
url = {http://www.nature.com/srep/2014/140718/srep05741/full/srep05741.html},
journal = {Other},
volume = {4},
}
,@article{Laine A.
title = {A diagnostic study of future evaporation changes projected in CMIP5 climate models},
author = {
Laine A.
and Nakamura H.
and Kazuaki N.
and Takafumi M.
},
url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-014-2087-7#page-1},
journal = {Climate Dynamics},
volume = {42},
pages = {2745-2761},
}
,@article{Noda A. T.
title = {Intermodel variances of subtropical stratocumulus environments simulated in CMIP5 models},
author = {
Noda A. T.
and Satoh M.
},
url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014GL061812/abstract},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {41},
}
,@article{Cowan T.
title = {Future projections of Australian heat wave number and intensity based on CMIP5 models},
author = {
Cowan T.
and Purich A.
and Boschat G.
and Perkins S.
},
journal = {Other},
volume = {27},
pages = {134-139},
}
,@article{Young P. J.
title = {Modeling the climate impact of Southern Hemisphere ozone depletion: The importance of the ozone dataset},
author = {
Young P. J.
and Davis S. M.
and Hassler B.
and Solomon S.
and Rosenlof K. H.
},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2014GL061738},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {41},
pages = {9033-9039},
}
,@article{Smith R. S.
title = {The impact of salinity perturbations on the future uptake of heat by the Atlantic Ocean},
author = {
Smith R. S.
and Sutton R.
and Gregory J. M.
},
url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014GL062169/abstract},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {41},
pages = {9072-9079},
}
,@article{Terzago S.
title = {Snowpack Changes in the Hindu Kush%u2013Karakoram%u2013Himalaya from CMIP5 Global Climate Models},
author = {
Terzago S.
and von Hardenberg J.
and Palazzi E.
and Provenzale A.
},
journal = {Journal of Hydrometeorology},
volume = {15},
pages = {2293-2313},
}
,@article{Iles C. E.
title = {The global precipitation response to volcanic eruptions in the CMIP5 models},
author = {
Iles C. E.
and Hegerl G. C.
},
url = {http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/9/10/104012/article},
journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
volume = {9},
}
,@article{Wan H.
title = {Attributing northern high-latitude precipitation change over the period 1966%u20132005 to human influence},
author = {
Wan H.
and Zhang X.
and Zwiers F.
and Min S.
},
journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,@article{Sun Y.
title = {Rapid increase in the risk of extreme summer heat in Eastern China},
author = {
Sun Y.
and Zhang X.
and Zwiers F.
and Song L.
and Wan H.
and Hu T.
and Yin H.
and Ren G.
},
journal = {Nature Climate Change},
volume = {4},
pages = {1082-1085},
}
,@article{Wang C.
title = {A global perspective on CMIP5 climate model biases},
author = {
Wang C.
and Zhang L.
and Lee S.
and Wu L.
and Mechoso C.
},
journal = {Nature Climate Change},
volume = {4},
pages = {201-205},
}
,@article{Lebsock M. D.
title = {Application of Active Spaceborne Remote Sensing for Understanding Biases Between Passive Cloud Water Path Retrievals},
author = {
Lebsock M. D.
and Su H.
},
journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
volume = {119},
pages = {8962-8979},
}
,@article{Purich A.
title = {Atmospheric and Oceanic Conditions Associated with Southern Australian Heat Waves: A CMIP5 Analysis},
author = {
Purich A.
and Cowan T.
and Cai W.
and van Rensch P.
and Uotila P.
and Pezza A.
and Boschat G.
and Perkins S.
},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
volume = {27},
pages = {7807},
}
,@article{Grise K. M.
title = {Southern Hemisphere cloud-dynamics biases in CMIP5 models and their implications for climate projections},
author = {
Grise K. M.
and Polvani L. M.
},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
volume = {27},
pages = {6074-6092},
}
,@article{Grise K. M.
title = {The response of midlatitude jets to increased CO2: Distinguishing the roles of sea surface temperature and direct radiative forcing},
author = {
Grise K. M.
and Polvani L. M.
},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {41},
pages = {6863-6871},
}
,@article{Mori M.
title = {Robust Arctic sea-ice influence on the frequent Eurasian cold winters in past decades},
author = {
Mori M.
and Watanabe M.
and Shiogama H.
and Inoue J.
and Kimoto M.
},
url = {http://www.nature.com/ngeo/journal/v7/n12/full/ngeo2277.html},
journal = {Nature Geoscience},
volume = {7},
pages = {869-873},
}
,@article{Bintanja R.
title = {Future increases in Arctic precipitation linked to local evaporation and sea ice retreat},
author = {
Bintanja R.
and Selten F.
},
url = {http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v509/n7501/full/nature13259.html},
journal = {Nature},
volume = {509},
pages = {479-482},
}
,@article{Scheff J.
title = {Scaling Potential Evapotranspiration with Greenhouse Warming},
author = {
Scheff J.
and Frierson D. M.
},
url = {http://www.ldeo.columbia.edu/~jscheff/SF2013ScalingPotEvap.pdf},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
volume = {27},
pages = {1539-1558},
}
,@article{Saha A.
title = {Failure of CMIP5 climate models in simulating post-1950 decreasing trend of Indian monsoon},
author = {
Saha A.
and Ghosh S.
and A.S. S.
and Rao E.
},
url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014GL061573/pdf},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {41},
pages = {7323-7330},
}
,@article{Yu M.
title = {Future changes of the terrestrial ecosystem based on a dynamic vegetation model driven with RCP8.5 climate projections from 19 GCMs},
author = {
Yu M.
and Wang G.
and Parr D.
and Ahmed K. F.
},
journal = {Climatic Change},
volume = {127},
pages = {257-271},
}
,@article{zhao l.
title = {Uncertainties of the global-to-regional temperature and precipitation simulations in CMIP5 models for past and future 100 years},
author = {
zhao l.
and xu j.
and M. Powell Jr. A.
},
journal = {Theoretical and Applied Climatology},
}
,@article{Harada M.
title = {Impacts of Slowed Tropical Circulation on Winter Stationary Waves in East Asia and the North Pacific},
author = {
Harada M.
and Wakamatsu S.
and Hirahara S.
and Murai H.
and Oikawa Y.
and Maeda S.
},
url = {http://doi.org/10.2151/sola.2014-038},
journal = {SOLA},
volume = {10},
pages = {180-184},
}
,@article{Durack P. J.
title = {Quantifying underestimates of long-term upper-ocean warming},
author = {
Durack P. J.
and Gleckler P. J.
and Landerer F. W.
and Taylor K. E.
},
url = {http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/v4/n11/abs/nclimate2389.html},
journal = {Nature Climate Change},
volume = {4},
pages = {999-1005},
}
,@article{Wu Q.
title = {Interannual Variability and Long-Term Changes of Atmospheric Circulation over the Chukchi and Beaufort Seas },
author = {
Wu Q.
and Zhang J.
and Zhang X.
and Tao W.
},
url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/pdf/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00610.1},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
volume = {27},
pages = {4871-4889},
}
,@article{Ohba M.
title = {Statistical parameterization expressing ENSO variability and reversibility in response to CO2 concentration changes},
author = {
Ohba M.
and Tsutsui J.
and Nohara D.
},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
volume = {27},
pages = {398-410},
}
,@article{Smith I. N.
title = {Squeezing information from regional climate change projections - results from a synthesis of CMIP5 results for south-east Queensland, Australia.},
author = {
Smith I. N.
and Syktus J.
and McAlpine C.
},
journal = {Climatic Change},
}
,@conference{Zou Y.
title = {CMIP5 Simulations of US Winter Responses to El Niño Diversity},
author = {
Zou Y.
and Yu J.
and Lee T.
},
year = {2013},
}
,@article{Pithan F.
title = {Mixed-phase clouds cause climate model biases in Arctic wintertime temperature inversions },
author = {
Pithan F.
and Medeiros B.
and Mauritsen T.
},
journal = {Climate Dynamics},
volume = {43},
}
,@article{Torres R. R.
title = {Climate change hotspots over South America: from CMIP3 to CMIP5 multi-model datasets},
author = {
Torres R. R.
and Marengo J. A.
},
journal = {Theoretical and Applied Climatology},
}
,@article{Brown J. R.
title = {The South Pacific Convergence Zone in CMIP5 simulations of historical and future climate},
author = {
Brown J. R.
and Moise A. F.
and Colman R. A.
},
journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,@article{Sabeerali C. T.
title = {Simulation of boreal summer intraseasonal oscillations in the latest CMIP5 coupled GCMs},
author = {
Sabeerali C. T.
and Dandi R. A.
and Dhakate A. R.
and Salunke K.
and Mahapatra S.
and Rao S. A.
},
url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/jgrd.50403/pdf},
journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research},
volume = {118},
pages = {4401-4420},
}
,@article{Su F.
title = {Evaluation of the Global Climate Models in the CMIP5 over the Tibetan Plateau},
author = {
Su F.
and Duan X.
and Chen D.
and Hao Z.
and Lan C.
},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,@article{Chiang J. C.
title = {Long-Term Behavior of the Atlantic Interhemispheric SST Gradient in the CMIP5 Historical Simulations},
author = {
Chiang J. C.
and Chang C.
and Michael W. F.
},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,@article{Marvel K.
title = {Identifying external influences on global precipitation},
author = {
Marvel K.
and Bonfils C.
},
journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences},
volume = {110},
pages = {19301-19306},
}
,@article{Weller E.
title = {Realism of the Indian Ocean Dipole in CMIP5 models: the implication for climate projections},
author = {
Weller E.
and Cai W.
},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
volume = {26},
pages = {6649-6659},
}
,@article{Sillmann J.
title = {Climate extreme indices in the CMIP5 multi-model ensemble. Part 2: Future climate projections},
author = {
Sillmann J.
and Kharin V. V.
and Zwiers F. W.
and Zhang X.
and Bronaugh D. R.
},
url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/jgrd.50188/abstract},
journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
volume = {118},
pages = {2473-2493},
}
,@article{Weller E.
title = {Asymmetry in the IOD and ENSO Teleconnection in a CMIP5 Model Ensemble and Its Relevance to Regional Rainfall},
author = {
Weller E.
and Cai W.
},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
volume = {26},
pages = {5139-5149},
}
,@article{Harada M.
title = {Intensification of the South Side of the Asian Jet Stream during the Northern Winter in CMIP5 models},
author = {
Harada M.
and Hirahara S.
and Hagiya S.
and Murai H.
and Oikawa Y.
and Maeda S.
},
url = {http://doi.org/10.2151/sola.2013-021},
journal = {SOLA},
volume = {9},
pages = {94-97},
}
,@article{Cattiaux J.
title = {European temperatures in CMIP5: origins of present-day biases and future uncertainties},
author = {
Cattiaux J.
and Douville H.
and Peings Y.
},
journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,@article{Long D. J.
title = {Quantifying global climate feedbacks, responses and forcing under abrupt and gradual CO2 forcing},
author = {
Long D. J.
and Collins M.
},
url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-013-1677-0},
journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,@article{Orlowsky B.
title = {Elusive drought: uncertainty in observed trends and short- and long-term CMIP5 projections},
author = {
Orlowsky B.
and Seneviratne S. I.
},
url = {http://www.hydrol-earth-syst-sci.net/17/1765/2013/hess-17-1765-2013.html},
journal = {Hydrology and Earth System Sciences},
volume = {17},
pages = {1765-1781},
}
,@article{Chen L.
title = {Assessing the performance of IPCC AR5 Climate Models in simulating and projecting wind speeds over China},
author = {
Chen L.
and Pryor S. C.
},
journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
volume = {117},
}
,@article{Friedman A. R.
title = {Interhemispheric temperature asymmetry over the 20th century and in future projections},
author = {
Friedman A. R.
and Hwang Y.
and Chiang J. C.
and Frierson D. M.
},
url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/full/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00525.1},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
volume = {26},
pages = {5419-5433},
}
,@article{Rowell D. P.
title = {Simulating SST Teleconnections to Africa: What is the State of the Art?},
author = {
Rowell D. P.
},
url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00761.1},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,@article{Power S. B.
title = {Robust twenty-first-century projections of El%u2009Niño and related precipitation variability},
author = {
Power S. B.
and Delage F. P.
and Chung C.
and Kociuba G.
and Keay K.
},
url = {http://http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v502/n7472/full/nature12580.html},
journal = {Nature},
volume = {502},
pages = {541-545},
}
,@article{Sillmann J.
title = {Climate extreme indices in the CMIP5 multi-model ensemble. Part 1: Model evaluation in the present climate},
author = {
Sillmann J.
and Kharin V. V.
and Zwiers F. W.
and Zhang X.
and Bronaugh D. R.
},
url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/jgrd.50203/abstract},
journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
volume = {118},
pages = {1716-1733},
}
,@article{Lohmann G.
title = {A model-data comparison of the Holocene global sea surface temperature evolution},
author = {
Lohmann G.
and Pfeiffer M.
and Laepple T.
and Leduc G.
and Kim J.
},
url = {http://www.clim-past.net/9/1807/2013/cp-9-1807-2013.html},
journal = {Climate of the Past},
volume = {9},
pages = {1807-1839},
}
,@article{Gonzalez P. L.
title = {Stratospheric ozone depletion: a key driver of recent precipitation trends in South Eastern South America},
author = {
Gonzalez P. L.
and Polvani L.
and Seager R.
and Correa G.
},
url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-013-1777-x},
journal = {Climate Dynamics},
volume = {42},
pages = {1775-1792},
}
,@article{Brown J. R.
title = {The western Pacific monsoon in CMIP5 models: Model evaluation and projections},
author = {
Brown J. R.
and Colman R. A.
and Moise A. F.
and Smith I. N.
},
url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013JD020290/full},
journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
volume = {118},
pages = {12,458-12,475},
}
,@article{Downes S. M.
title = {Southern Ocean Circulation and Eddy Compensation in CMIP5 Models},
author = {
Downes S. M.
and Hogg A. M.
},
url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00504.1},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
volume = {26},
pages = {7198-7220},
}
,@article{Collins M.
title = {CORRESPONDENCE: Observational challenges in evaluating climate models},
author = {
Collins M.
and AchutaRao K.
and Ashok K.
and Bhandari S.
and Mitra A. K.
and Srivastava R.
and Turner A.
},
url = {http://http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/v3/n11/full/nclimate2012.html},
journal = {Nature Climate Change},
volume = {3},
pages = {940-941},
}
,@article{Tory K. J.
title = {Projected changes in late-twenty-first-century tropical cyclone frequency in 13 coupled climate models from Phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project},
author = {
Tory K. J.
and Chand S. S.
and McBride J. L.
and Ye H.
},
url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00010.1},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
volume = {26},
pages = {9946-9959},
}
,@article{Huntingford C.
title = {No increase in global temperature variability despite changing regional patterns},
author = {
Huntingford C.
and Jones P. D.
and Livina V. N.
and Lenton T. M.
},
url = {http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v500/n7462/full/nature12310.html},
journal = {Nature},
volume = {500},
pages = {327-330},
}
,@article{Kumar S.
title = {Multi-decadal Climate Variability and the %u201CWarming Hole%u201D in North America %u2013 results from CMIP5 20th and 21st Century Climate Simulations},
author = {
Kumar S.
and Kinter III J.
and Dirmeyer P.
and Pan Z.
and Adams J.
},
url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00535.1},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
volume = {26},
pages = {3511-3527},
}
,@article{van Oldenborgh G.
title = {Reliability of regional climate model trends},
author = {
van Oldenborgh G.
and Doblas-Reyes F. R.
and Drijfhout S. S.
and Hawkins E.
},
url = {http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/8/1/014055/},
journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
volume = {8},
}
,@article{Mitchell D. M.
title = {Revisiting the controversial issue of tropical tropospheric temperature trends},
author = {
Mitchell D. M.
and Thorne P. W.
and Stott P. A.
and Gray L. J.
},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {40},
}
,@article{Dunstone N. J.
title = {Anthropogenic aerosol forcing of Atlantic tropical storms},
author = {
Dunstone N. J.
and Smith D. M.
and Booth B. B.
and Hermanson L. H.
and Eade R.
},
url = {http://www.nature.com/ngeo/journal/v6/n7/full/ngeo1854.html},
journal = {Nature Geoscience},
volume = {6},
pages = {534-539},
}
,@article{Young P. J.
title = {Agreement in late twentieth century Southern Hemisphere stratospheric temperature trends in observations and CCMVal-2, CMIP3, and CMIP5 models},
author = {
Young P. J.
and Bulter A. H.
and Calvo N.
and Haimberger L.
and Kushner P. J.
and Marsh D. R.
and Randell W. J.
and Rosenlof K. H.
},
journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
volume = {113},
pages = {605-613},
}
,@article{Lutz A. F.
title = {Comparison of climate change signals in CMIP3 and CMIP5 multi-model ensembles and implications for Central Asian glaciers},
author = {
Lutz A. F.
and Immerzeel W. W.
and Gobiet A.
and Pellicciotti F.
and Bierkens M. F.
},
url = {http://www.hydrol-earth-syst-sci.net/17/3661/2013/hess-17-3661-2013.html},
journal = {Hydrology and Earth System Sciences},
volume = {17},
pages = {3661-3677},
}
,@article{Cowan T.
title = {Forcing of anthropogenic aerosols on temperature trends of the sub-thermocline southern Indian Ocean},
author = {
Cowan T.
and Cai W.
and Purich A.
and Rotstayn L.
and Matthew E. H.
},
journal = {Other},
volume = {3},
}
,@article{Cai W.
title = {Why is the amplitude of the Indian Ocean Dipole overly large in CMIP3 and CMIP5 climate models?},
author = {
Cai W.
and Cowan T.
},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {40},
pages = {1200-1205},
}
,@article{Marsland S. J.
title = {Evaluation of ACCESS Climate Model ocean diagnostics in CMIP5 simulations},
author = {
Marsland S. J.
and Bi D.
and Uotila P.
and Fiedler R.
and Griffies S. M.
and Lorbacher K.
and OFarrell S.
and Sullivan A.
and Uhe P.
and Zhou X.
and Hirst A. C.
},
url = {http://www.bom.gov.au/amoj/docs/2013/marsland_hres.pdf},
journal = {Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Journal},
volume = {63},
pages = {101-119},
}
,@article{Kitoh A.
title = {Monsoons in a changing world: a regional perspective in a global context.},
author = {
Kitoh A.
and Endo H.
and Krishna Kumar K.
and Cavalcanti I. F.
and Goswami P.
},
journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
volume = {118},
pages = {3053-3065},
}
,@article{Barnes E. A.
title = {Model projections of atmospheric steering of Sandy-like superstorms},
author = {
Barnes E. A.
and Polvani L. M.
and Sobel A. H.
},
url = {http://http://www.pnas.org/content/early/2013/08/28/1308732110.abstract},
journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences},
volume = {110},
pages = {15211-15215},
}
,@article{Purich A.
title = {Autumn Precipitation Trends over Southern Hemisphere Midlatitudes as Simulated by CMIP5 Models},
author = {
Purich A.
and Cowan T.
and Min S.
and Cai W.
},
url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/pdf/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00007.1},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
volume = {26},
pages = {8341-8356},
}
,@article{Bracegirdle T. J.
title = {On the robustness of emergent constraints used in multi-model climate change projections of Arctic warming},
author = {
Bracegirdle T. J.
and Stephenson D. B.
},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
volume = {26},
pages = {669-678},
}
,@article{Rotstayn L. D.
title = {Projected effects of declining aerosols in RCP4.5: unmasking global warming?},
author = {
Rotstayn L. D.
and Collier M. A.
and Chrastansky A.
and Jeffrey S. J.
and Luo J.
},
url = {http://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/13/10883/2013/},
journal = {Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics},
volume = {13},
pages = {10883-10905},
}
,@article{Qu X.
title = {On the presistent spread in snow-albedo feedback},
author = {
Qu X.
and Hall A.
},
journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,@article{Pendergrass A. G.
title = {The atmospheric energy constraint on global-mean precipitation change},
author = {
Pendergrass A. G.
and Hartmann D. L.
},
url = {http://http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/pdf/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00163.1},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,@article{Loranty M. M.
title = {Vegetation controls on northern high latitude snow%u2010albedo feedback: observations and CMIP5 model predictions},
author = {
Loranty M. M.
and Berner L. T.
and Goetz S. J.
and Jin Y.
and Randerson J. T.
},
journal = {Global Change Biology},
}
,@article{Ribes A.
title = {Application of regularised optimal fingerprinting to attribution. Part II: application to global near-surface temperature based on CMIP5 simulations},
author = {
Ribes A.
and Terray L.
},
url = {http://http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-013-1736-6},
journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,@article{Ribes A.
title = {Application of regularised optimal fingerprinting to attribution. Part I: method, properties, and idealised analysis},
author = {
Ribes A.
and Planton S.
and Terray L.
},
url = {http://http://rd.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-013-1735-7},
journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,@article{Wild M.
title = {The global energy balance from a surface perspective},
author = {
Wild M.
and Folini D.
and Schär C.
and Loeb N.
and Dutton E. G.
and König-Langlo G.
},
url = {http://www.iac.ethz.ch/people/wild/Wild_et_al_ClimDyn_2013.pdf},
journal = {Climate Dynamics},
volume = {40},
pages = {3107-3134},
}
,@article{Brown J. N.
title = {Zonal Structure and Variability of the western Pacific Warm Pool edge in CMIP5},
author = {
Brown J. N.
and Langlais C.
and Maes C.
},
journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,@article{Roehrig R.
title = {The present and future of the West African monsoon: a process-oriented assessment of CMIP5 simulations along the AMMA transect.},
author = {
Roehrig R.
and Bouniol D.
and Guichard F.
and Hourdin F.
and Redelsperger J.
},
url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00505.1},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,@article{Zhang X.
title = {Attributing intensification of precipitation extremes to human influence},
author = {
Zhang X.
and Wan H.
and Zwiers F. W.
and Hegerl G.
and Min S.
},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {40},
pages = {5252-5257},
}
,@article{Perez J.
title = {Evaluating the performance of CMIP3 and CMIP5 global climate models over the north-east Atlantic region},
author = {
Perez J.
and Menendez M.
and Mendez F. J.
and Losada I. J.
},
url = {http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-014-2078-8},
journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,@article{Eyring V.
title = {Long-term ozone changes and associated climate impacts in CMIP5 simulations},
author = {
Eyring V.
and Arblaster J. M.
and Cionni I.
and SedláÄ?ek J.
and Perlwitz J.
and Young P. J.
and Bekki S.
and Bergmann D.
and Cameron-Smith P.
and Collins W. J.
and Faluvegi G.
and Gottschaldt K.
and Horowitz L. W.
and Kinnison D. E.
and Lamarque J.
and Marsh D. R.
and Saint-Martin D.
and Shindell D. T.
and Sudo K.
and Szopa S.
and Watanabe S.
},
url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/jgrd.50316/abstract},
journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research},
volume = {118},
pages = {5029-5060},
}
,@article{Hu y.
title = {Poleward Expansion of the Hadley Circulation in CMIP5 Simulations},
author = {
Hu y.
and Tao L.
},
journal = {Advances in Atmospheric Sciences},
volume = {30},
pages = {790-795},
}
,@article{Ramirez-Villegas J.
title = { Implications of regional improvement in global climate models for agricultural impact research },
author = {
Ramirez-Villegas J.
and Challinor A. J.
and Thornton P. K.
and Jarvis A.
},
url = {http://stacks.iop.org/ERL/8/024018},
journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
volume = {8},
pages = {1-12},
}
,@article{Watterson I. G.
title = {A skill-score based evaluation of simulated Australian climate},
author = {
Watterson I. G.
and Hirst A. C.
and Rotstayn L. D.
},
journal = {Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Journal},
volume = {63},
pages = {181-190},
}
,@article{Smith I. N.
title = {The relative performance of Australian CMIP5 models based on rainfall and ENSO metrics},
author = {
Smith I. N.
and Syktus J.
and Rotstayn L.
and Jeffrey S.
},
journal = {Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Journal},
}
,@article{Bracegirdle T. J.
title = {Assessment of surface winds over the Atlantic, Indian and Pacific Ocean sectors of the Southern Ocean in CMIP5 models: historical bias, forcing response, and state dependence},
author = {
Bracegirdle T. J.
and Shuckburgh E.
and Sallee J.
and Wang Z.
and Meijers A. J.
and Bruneau N.
and Phillips T.
and Wilcox L. J.
},
journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
}
,@article{Ceppi P.
title = {The relationship between the ITCZ and the Southern Hemisphere eddy-driven jet},
author = {
Ceppi P.
and Hwang Y.
and Liu X.
and Frierson D. M.
and Hartmann D. L.
},
url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/jgrd.50461/abstract},
journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres},
volume = {118},
pages = {5136-5146},
}
,@article{Dirmeyer P. A.
title = {Evolving land-atmosphere interactions over North America from CMIP5 simulations},
author = {
Dirmeyer P. A.
and Jin Y.
and Singh B.
and Yan X.
},
url = {ftp://cola.gmu.edu/pub/dirmeyer/JCLI-S-12-00601_manuscript.pdf},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,@article{Dwyer J. G.
title = {The effect of greenhouse-gas-induced changes in SST on the seasonality of tropical precipitation},
author = {
Dwyer J. G.
and Biasutti M.
and Sobel A. H.
},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,@article{Dirmeyer P. A.
title = {Trends in land-atmosphere interactions from CMIP5 simulations},
author = {
Dirmeyer P. A.
and Jin Y.
and Singh B.
and Yan X.
},
url = {http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JHM-D-12-0107.1},
journal = {Journal of Hydrometeorology},
}
,@article{Kim O.
title = {How do weather characteristics change in a warming climate?},
author = {
Kim O.
and Wang B.
},
journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,@article{McSweeney C. F.
title = {No consensus on consensus: The challenge of finding a universal approach to measuring and mapping ensemble consistency in GCM projections},
author = {
McSweeney C. F.
and Jones R. G.
},
journal = {Climatic Change},
}
,@article{Brutel-Vuilmet C.
title = {An analysis of present and future seasonal Northern Hemisphere land snow cover simulated by CMIP5 coupled climate models},
author = {
Brutel-Vuilmet C.
and Menegoz M.
and Krinner G.
},
journal = {The Cryosphere},
}
,@article{Sheffield J.
title = {North American Climate in CMIP5 Experiments. Part II: Evaluation of 20th Century Intra-Seasonal to Decadal Variability},
author = {
Sheffield J.
and Camargo S.
and Fu R.
and Hu Q.
and Jiang X.
and Johnson N.
and Karnauskas K.
and Kinter J.
and Kumar S.
and Langenbrunner B.
and Maloney E.
and Mariotti A.
and Meyerson J.
and Neelin D.
and Pan Z.
and Ruiz-Barradas A.
and Seager R.
and Serra Y.
and Sun D.
and Wang C.
and Xie S.
and Yu J.
and Zhang T.
and Zhao M.
},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,@article{Wang B.
title = {Future change of Asian-Australian monsoon},
author = {
Wang B.
and Yim S.
and Lee J.
and Liu J.
and Ha K.
},
journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,@article{Sheffield J.
title = {North American Climate in CMIP5 Experiments. Part I: Evaluation of 20th Century Continental and Regional Climatology},
author = {
Sheffield J.
and Barrett A.
and Colle B.
and Fu R.
and Geil K.
and Hu Q.
and Kinter J.
and Kumar S.
and Langenbrunner B.
and Lombardo K.
and Long L.
and Maloney E.
and Mariotti A.
and Meyerson J.
and Mo K.
and Neelin D.
and Pan Z.
and Ruiz-Barradas A.
and Serra Y.
and Seth A.
and Thibeault J.
and Stroeve J.
},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,@article{Notz D.
title = {Sea-ice extent provides a limited metric of model performance},
author = {
Notz D.
},
journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research},
}
,@article{Lee J.
title = {Future change of global monsoon in the CMIP5},
author = {
Lee J.
and Wang B.
},
url = {http://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007%2Fs00382-012-1564-0},
journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,@article{Li Y.
title = {Evaluation of Monsoon Fidelity and the Tropospheric Biennial Oscillation Transitions in the CMIP Models},
author = {
Li Y.
and Jourdain N. C.
and Taschetto A. S.
and Ummenhofer C. C.
and Ashok K.
and Sen Gupta A.
},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
}
,@article{Kongola L.
title = {Dependence of groundwater resources on extreme rainfall: evidence from East Africa. },
author = {
Kongola L.
and Taylor R. G.
and Todd M. C.
},
journal = {Nature},
}
,@article{Sen Gupta A.
title = {Climate Drift in the CMIP5 models},
author = {
Sen Gupta A.
and Jourdain N. C.
and Brown J. N.
and Monselesan D.
},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,@article{Catto J. L.
title = {North Australian sea surface temperatures and the El Nino Southern Oscillation in the CMIP5 models},
author = {
Catto J. L.
and Nicholls N.
and Jakob C.
},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
volume = {25},
pages = {6375-6382},
}
,@article{Massonnet F.
title = {Constraining projections of summer Arctic sea ice},
author = {
Massonnet F.
and Fichefet T.
and Goosse H.
and Bitz C. M.
and Philippon-Berthier G.
and Holland M. M.
and Barriat P.
},
url = {http://www.the-cryosphere.net/6/1383/2012/tc-6-1383-2012.html},
journal = {The Cryosphere},
volume = {6},
pages = {1383-1394},
}
,@article{Jourdain N. C.
title = {The Indo-Australian monsoon and its relationship to ENSO and IOD in reanalysis data and the CMIP3/CMIP5 simulations},
author = {
Jourdain N. C.
and Sen Gupta A.
and Taschetto A. S.
and Ummenhofer C. C.
and Moise A. F.
and Ashok K.
},
journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,@article{Wang K.
title = {A review of global terrestrial evapotranspiration: Observation, modeling, climatology, and climatic variability},
author = {
Wang K.
and Dickinson R.
},
url = {http://www.agu.org/pubs/crossref/2012/2011RG000373.shtml},
journal = {Reviews of Geophysics},
volume = {50},
}
,@article{Weare B. C.
title = {Late 21st Century ENSO Teleconnections in CMIP5 Models},
author = {
Weare B. C.
},
journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,@article{Mauritsen T.
title = {Tuning the climate of a global model},
author = {
Mauritsen T.
and Stevens B.
and Roeckner E.
and Crueger T.
and Esch M.
and Giorgetta M.
and Haak H.
and Jungclaus J.
and Klocke D.
and Matei D.
and Mikolajewicz U.
and Notz D.
and Pincus R.
and Schmidt H.
and Tomassini L.
},
url = {http://www.agu.org/pubs/crossref/2012/2012MS000154.shtml},
journal = {Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems},
volume = {4},
}
,@article{Levine R. C.
title = {The role of northern Arabian Sea surface temperature biases in CMIP5 model simulations and future predictions of Indian summer monsoon rainfall},
author = {
Levine R. C.
and Turner A. G.
and Marathayil D.
and Martin G. M.
},
journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,@article{Kuhlbrodt T.
title = {Ocean heat uptake and its consequences for the magnitude of sea level rise and climate change},
author = {
Kuhlbrodt T.
and Gregory J. M.
},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {39},
}
,@article{Weare B. C.
title = {ENSO Teleconnections in CMIP5 Models},
author = {
Weare B. C.
},
journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,@article{Fettweis X.
title = {Estimating Greenland ice sheet surface mass balance contribution to future sea level rise using the regional atmospheric climate model MAR},
author = {
Fettweis X.
and Franco B.
and Tedesco M.
and van Angelen J.
and Lenaerts J.
and van den Broeke M.
and Gallée H.
},
journal = {The Cryosphere Discussions},
}
,@article{DU Z.
title = {How Well can CMIP5 CGCMs Simulate the EAP/PJ Teleconnection Pattern and its Corresponding Summer Climate in the East Asian Monsoon Region},
author = {
DU Z.
and HUANG R.
and Huang G.
},
journal = {Advances in Atmospheric Sciences},
}
,@article{Po-Chedley S.
title = {Discrepancies in tropical upper tropospheric warming between atmospheric circulation models and satellites},
author = {
Po-Chedley S.
and Fu Q.
},
url = {http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/7/4/044018/},
journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
volume = {7},
}
,@article{Kim S.
title = {The Two Types of ENSO in CMIP5 Models},
author = {
Kim S.
and Yu J.
},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {39},
}
,@article{Ceppi P.
title = {Southern Hemisphere jet latitude biases in CMIP5 models linked to shortwave cloud forcing},
author = {
Ceppi P.
and Hwang Y.
and Frierson D. M.
and Hartmann D. L.
},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
}
,@article{Fyfe J. C.
title = {Human influence on extratropical Southern Hemisphere precipitation},
author = {
Fyfe J. C.
and Gillett N. P.
and Marshall G. G.
},
journal = {Aerosol Science and Technology},
}
,@article{Tomassini L.
title = {The respective roles of surface temperature driven feedbacks and tropospheric adjustment to CO2 in CMIP5 transient climate simulations},
author = {
Tomassini L.
and Geoffroy O.
and Dufresne J.
and Idelkadi A.
and Cagnazzo C.
and Block K.
and Mauritsen T.
and Giorgetta M.
and Quaas J.
},
journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,@article{Du Y.
title = {Indian Ocean variability in the CMIP5 multi-model ensemble: The basin mode},
author = {
Du Y.
and Shang-Ping X.
and Ya-Li Y.
and Zheng X.
and Liu L.
and Huang G.
},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,@article{DU Z.
title = {How well can CMIP5 CGCMs simulate the Asian summer monsoon rainfall and its interannual variability and their future projections},
author = {
DU Z.
and HUANG R.
and Huang G.
},
journal = {Advances in Atmospheric Sciences},
}
,@article{Jones G. S.
title = {Attribution of observed historical near surface temperature variations to anthropogenic and natural causes using CMIP5 simulations},
author = {
Jones G. S.
and Stott P. A.
and Christidis N.
},
url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/jgrd.50239/abstract},
journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research},
volume = {118},
pages = {4001-4024},
}
,@article{Frierson D. M.
title = {Robust future precipitation declines in CMIP5 largely reflect the poleward expansion of model subtropical dry zones},
author = {
Frierson D. M.
and Scheff J.
},
url = {http://www.ldeo.columbia.edu/~jscheff/2012GL052910.pdf},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
volume = {39},
}
,@article{Shin S.
title = {A novel method for selecting climate projections based on cloud variations: Results from CMIP5 multi-models},
author = {
Shin S.
and Lee M.
},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
}
,@article{Grose M. R.
title = {Incremental improvements in the CMIP5 global climate model simulations for the western tropical Pacific},
author = {
Grose M. R.
and Brown J. N.
and Narsey S. Y.
and Brown J. R.
and Murphy B. F.
and Langlais C.
and Sen Gupta A.
and Moise A. F.
and Irving D. B.
},
journal = {Climate Dynamics},
}
,@article{Su F.
title = {Evaluation of the Global Climate Models in the CMIP5 over the Tibetan Plateau},
author = {
Su F.
and Duan X.
and Hao Z.
and Cuo L.
and Chen D.
},
journal = {Journal of Climate},
}
,@article{Wang M.
title = {Summer Arctic sea ice will be gone sooner or later %u2013 an update from CMIP5 models},
author = {
Wang M.
and Overland J. E.
},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
}
,@article{Holmes C. D.
title = {Future methane, hydroxyl, and their uncertainties: key climate and emission parameters for future predictions},
author = {
Holmes C. D.
and Prather M. J.
and Søvde O. A.
and Myhre G.
},
url = {http://www.atmos-chem-phys-discuss.net/12/20931/2012/},
journal = {Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics},
}
,@article{Stevenson S. L.
title = {Significant Changes to ENSO Strength and Impacts in the Twenty-First Century: Results from CMIP5},
author = {
Stevenson S. L.
},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
}
,